demanda A_t ERROR DEL PRON

1 194 194 194 194 0

2 187 193.44 193.9552 192.9248 -0.0448 194 -7.00
3 208 194.6048 194.007168 195.202432 0.051968 192.88 15.12
4 193 194.476416 194.044708 194.908124 0.03753984 195.2544 -2.25
5 188 193.958303 194.037795 193.87881 -0.0069124 194.945664 -6.95
6 190 193.641639 194.006103 193.277174 -0.0316926 193.871898 -3.87
7 207 194.710307 194.062439 195.358176 0.05633636 193.245482 13.75
8 187 194.093483 194.064923 194.122043 0.00248349 195.414512 -8.41
9 205 194.966004 194.137009 195.794999 0.07208652 194.124526 10.88
10 188 194.408724 194.158746 194.658701 0.02173717 195.867086 -7.87
11 201 194.936026 194.220929 195.651123 0.06218236 194.680438 6.32
12 190 194.541144 194.246546 194.835742 0.02561721 195.713305 -5.71
13 212 195.937852 194.38185 197.493854 0.13530451 194.861359 17.14
14 239 199.382824 194.781928 203.98372 0.40007789 197.629159 41.37
15 236 202.312198 195.38435 209.240047 0.60242159 204.383798 31.62
16 190 201.327222 195.85978 206.794665 0.47542979 209.842468 -19.84
17 224 203.141045 196.442281 209.839808 0.58250119 207.270095 16.73
18 213 203.929761 197.041279 210.818243 0.59899841 210.422309 2.58
19 207 204.17538 197.612007 210.738753 0.57072806 211.417241 -4.42
20 211 204.72135 198.180755 211.261945 0.56874738 211.309481 -0.31
21 230 206.743642 198.865786 214.621498 0.68503096 211.830692 18.17
22 197 205.96415 199.433655 212.494646 0.56786917 215.306529 -18.31
23 187 204.447018 199.834724 209.059313 0.40106908 213.062515 -26.06
24 239 207.211257 200.424847 213.997667 0.59012263 209.460382 29.54
25 214.58779
26 215.177912
27 215.768035
28 216.358158
29 216.94828
30 217.538403
31 218.128526
32 218.718648
33 219.308771
34 219.898893
35 220.489016
36 221.079139
CFE ERROR PROMEDIO ERROR ABSOLUTO MAD

-7.00 -7.00 7.00 7.00

8.12 4.06 15.12 11.06
5.87 1.96 2.25 8.12
-1.08 -0.27 6.95 7.83
-4.95 -0.99 3.87 7.04
8.80 1.47 13.75 8.16
0.39 0.06 8.41 8.19
11.26 1.41 10.88 8.53
3.40 0.38 7.87 8.46
9.72 0.97 6.32 8.24
4.00 0.36 5.71 8.01
21.14 1.76 17.14 8.77
62.51 4.81 41.37 11.28
94.13 6.72 31.62 12.73
74.29 4.95 19.84 13.21
91.02 5.69 16.73 13.43
93.59 5.51 2.58 12.79
89.18 4.95 4.42 12.32
88.87 4.68 0.31 11.69
107.04 5.35 18.17 12.02
88.73 4.23 18.31 12.31
62.67 2.85 26.06 12.94
92.21 4.01 29.54 13.66

Alfa 0.08
Beta 0.92
A..0 194
A*0 194
SEÑAL DE RASTREO LCS

-1 13.656008 Chart Ti
0.7341772152 13.656008
15
0.7219377708 13.656008
-0.1379389263
10 13.656008
-0.7035643049 13.656008
1.0790426794
5 13.656008
0.047354725 13.656008
0
1.3205277671 13.656008
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1
0.4016618721 13.656008
-5
1.1787948732 13.656008
0.4995616729 13.656008
-10
2.4098391325 13.656008
SEÑAL DE RAST
5.5416361494 13.656008 LCC
7.3924698788 13.656008
5.6247494536 13.656008
6.7784882197 13.656008
7.3183094578 13.656008
7.2360679896 13.656008
7.6009599617 13.656008
8.908234371 13.656008
7.2050062828 13.656008
4.8429405365 13.656008
6.7493298044 13.656008
ERROR AL CUADRADO MSE DVISIÓN 1 MAPE

49.00 49.00 0.04 3.74

228.61 138.81 0.07 5.51
5.08 94.23 0.01 4.06
48.24 82.73 0.04 3.97
14.99 69.19 0.02 3.58
189.19 89.19 0.07 4.09
70.80 86.56 0.04 4.15
118.28 90.52 0.05 4.30
61.89 87.34 0.04 4.28
39.94 82.60 0.03 4.17
32.64 78.06 0.03 4.06
293.73 96.03 0.08 4.40
1711.55 220.30 0.17 5.39
999.58 275.97 0.13 5.96
393.72 283.82 0.10 6.26
279.89 283.57 0.07 6.34
6.64 267.28 0.01 6.04
19.51 253.52 0.02 5.82
0.10 240.18 0.00 5.52
330.12 244.68 0.08 5.64
335.13 248.98 0.09 5.81
679.25 268.54 0.14 6.18
872.59 294.80 0.12 6.45
 LCC LCI

3.5543298514
Chart Title -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
SEÑAL DE RASTREO LCS
LCC
3.5543298514 LCI
-6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
3.5543298514 -6.5473482836
 SEÑAL DE RASTREO

-1.00
0.73
0.72
-0.14
-0.70
1.08
0.05
1.32
0.40
1.18
0.50
2.41
5.54
7.39
5.62
6.78
7.32
7.24
7.60
8.91
7.21
4.84
6.75
PROMEDIO TS
3.55
DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR
3.37
LCS
13.66
LCC
3.55
LCI
-6.55