Ejercicio 3.

23
X Y
Year PIBR X X*Y X^2 Y^ u^2 x^2 y^2
1959 2441.3 1 2441.3 1 1800.6871 410384.89 529 12288109.594
1960 2501.8 2 5003.6 4 1980.9502 271284.51 484 11867611.604
1961 2560 3 7680 9 2161.2133 159030.83 441 11470007.828
1962 2715.2 4 10860.8 16 2341.4764 139669.33 400 10442850.772
1963 2834 5 14170 25 2521.7395 97506.62 361 9689150.3076
1964 2998.6 6 17991.6 36 2702.0026 87970.02 324 8691529.4596
1965 3191.1 7 22337.7 49 2882.2657 95378.62 289 7593551.8096
1966 3399.1 8 27192.8 64 3062.5288 113280.17 256 6490469.5696
1967 3484.6 9 31361.4 81 3242.7919 58471.16 225 6062133.3796
1968 3652.7 10 36527 100 3423.055 52736.83 196 5262619.5216
1969 3765.4 11 41419.4 121 3603.3181 26270.54 169 4758244.1956
1970 3771.9 12 45262.8 144 3783.5812 136.45 144 4729929.0256
1971 3898.6 13 50681.8 169 3963.8443 4256.82 121 4194877.4596
1972 4105 14 57470 196 4144.1074 1529.39 100 3392006.2276
1973 4341.5 15 65122.5 225 4324.3705 293.42 81 2576795.4576
1974 4319.6 16 69113.6 256 4504.6336 34237.43 64 2647584.5796
1975 4311.2 17 73290.4 289 4684.8967 139649.22 49 2674991.0916
1976 4540.9 18 81736.2 324 4865.1598 105144.42 36 1976386.1056
1977 4750.5 19 90259.5 361 5045.4229 86979.52 25 1430990.1376
1978 5015 20 100300 400 5225.686 44388.59 16 868139.4276
1979 5173.4 21 108641.4 441 5405.9491 54079.08 9 598054.7556
1980 5161.7 22 113557.4 484 5586.2122 180210.61 4 616287.8016
1981 5291.7 23 121709.1 529 5766.4753 225411.59 1 429077.4016
1982 5189.3 24 124543.2 576 5946.7384 573712.93 0 573715.3536
1983 5423.8 25 135595 625 6127.0015 494492.35 1 273466.2436
1984 5813.6 26 151153.6 676 6307.2646 243704.74 4 17726.2596
1985 6053.7 27 163449.9 729 6487.5277 188206.47 9 11440.4416
1986 6263.6 28 175380.8 784 6667.7908 163370.20 16 100400.2596
1987 6475.1 29 187777.9 841 6848.0539 139094.61 25 279164.2896
1988 6742.7 30 202281 900 7028.317 81577.07 36 633552.3216
1989 6981.4 31 216423.4 961 7208.5801 51610.80 49 1070521.3156 3000
1990 7112.5 32 227600 1024 7388.8432 76365.56 64 1358996.3776
1991 7100.5 33 234316.5 1089 7569.1063 219591.86 81 1331162.1376 2500
1992 7336.6 34 249444.4 1156 7749.3694 170378.58 100 1931710.8196
1993 7532.7 35 263644.5 1225 7929.6325 157555.41 121 2515269.1216 2000
1994 7835.5 36 282078 1296 8109.8956 75292.95 144 3567414.3376
1500
1995 8031.7 37 297172.9 1369 8290.1587 66800.90 169 4347058.2016
1996 8328.9 38 316498.2 1444 8470.4218 20028.42 196 5674686.2656
1000
1997 8703.5 39 339436.5 1521 8650.6849 2789.43 225 7599725.6976
1998 9066.9 40 362676 1600 8830.948 55673.35 256 9735398.4256 500
1999 9470.3 41 388282.3 1681 9011.2111 210762.62 289 12415475.074
2000 9817 42 412314 1764 9191.4742 391282.53 324 14978912.468 0
1500
2001 9890.7 43 425300.1 1849 9371.7373 269322.28 361 15554820.482
2002 10048.8 44 442147.2 1936 9552.0004 246809.84 400 16826896.244
2003 10301 45 463545 2025 9732.2635 323461.21 441 18959580.148
2004 10703.5 46 492361 2116 9912.5266 625638.92 484 22626765.698
2005 11048.6 47 519284.2 2209 10092.79 913573.33 529 26028975.46
279496.7 1128 8266835.9 35720 8149396.42 8648 289164231

n= 47

B2= 180.26308 ee(B2) 4.58 r^2 0.9718174

B1= 1620.4244 ee(B1) 126.16 r 0.985808

Ecuacion de regresion lineal media X 24.00 interpretacion de B2:

Y = 1620.424+180.2631X media Y 5946.74
Estime cuanto seria el PIB para el 20
varianza 181097.7 10994.1052

coeficiente de variacion
CV(B2) 0.03 3%
CV(B1) 0.08 8%
 PIBR
3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
 el 97.18% del PIBR puede ser explicado por este modelo

Por cada año, el PIB aumenta 180.2631 miles de millones de dolares

ria el PIB para el 2010