Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 3

Year Q_44 descendingrank m/(n+1) T=1/p yt

1964 323.9 1061.9 1 0.022727 44 3.772717


1965 370.9 861.9 2 0.045455 22 3.067873
1966 425.9 821.9 3 0.068182 14.66667 2.650476
1967 419.9 649.9 4 0.090909 11 2.350619
1968 385.9 606.9 5 0.113636 8.8 2.115044
1969 374.9 586.9 6 0.136364 7.333333 1.920024
1970 649.9 578.9 7 0.159091 6.285714 1.752894
1971 403.9 561.9 8 0.181818 5.5 1.60609
1972 451.9 552.9 9 0.204545 4.888889 1.474725
1973 495.9 550.9 10 0.227273 4.4 1.355458
1974 586.9 537.9 11 0.25 4 1.245899
1975 402.9 517.9 12 0.272727 3.666667 1.144278
1976 339.9 508.9 13 0.295455 3.384615 1.049244
1977 446.9 496.9 14 0.318182 3.142857 0.959741
1978 401.9 495.9 15 0.340909 2.933333 0.874924
1979 352.9 491.9 16 0.363636 2.75 0.794106
1980 517.9 486.9 17 0.386364 2.588235 0.716717
1981 435.9 451.9 18 0.409091 2.444444 0.642277
1982 561.9 446.9 19 0.431818 2.315789 0.570374
1983 821.9 446.9 20 0.454545 2.2 0.500651
1984 537.9 445.9 21 0.477273 2.095238 0.432792
1985 1061.9 444.9 22 0.5 2 0.366513
1986 508.9 440.9 23 0.522727 1.913043 0.301555
1987 606.9 437.9 24 0.545455 1.833333 0.237677
1988 861.9 435.9 25 0.568182 1.76 0.17465
1989 446.9 425.9 26 0.590909 1.692308 0.112253
1990 402.9 420.9 27 0.613636 1.62963 0.050266
1991 359.9 419.9 28 0.636364 1.571429 -0.011534
1992 332.9 418.9 29 0.659091 1.517241 -0.07338
1993 496.9 403.9 30 0.681818 1.466667 -0.13552
1994 354.9 402.9 31 0.704545 1.419355 -0.198228
1995 550.9 402.9 32 0.727273 1.375 -0.261813
1996 437.9 401.9 33 0.75 1.333333 -0.326634
1997 486.9 385.9 34 0.772727 1.294118 -0.393126
1998 578.9 374.9 35 0.795455 1.257143 -0.461823
1999 491.9 370.9 36 0.818182 1.222222 -0.533417
2000 440.9 368.9 37 0.840909 1.189189 -0.60883
2001 445.9 359.9 38 0.863636 1.157895 -0.689355
2002 418.9 354.9 39 0.886364 1.128205 -0.776915
2003 368.9 352.9 40 0.909091 1.1 -0.874591
2004 444.9 339.9 41 0.931818 1.073171 -0.987896
2005 552.9 332.9 42 0.954545 1.047619 -1.128508
2006 420.9 323.9 43 0.977273 1.023256 -1.330832
gumbel's distribution
1200

1000

f(x) = 118.929841225398 x + 418.490702435834


800

600

400

200

0
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

y=118.93x+418.49
x=200 24204.49
x=500 59883.49
5

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi