Año Gasto (m3/s)

1 1939 36.2 n= 68
2 1940 35.7
3 1941 0 x ̄= 33.7844
4 1942 24.74
5 1943 19.6 S= 45.2215
6 1944 46.1
7 1945 14.6
8 1946 28.6
9 1947 24.32
10 1948 11
11 1949 3.69
12 1950 5.78
13 1951 6.7
14 1952 258
15 1953 0.619
16 1954 8.69
17 1955 37.2
18 1956 3.5
19 1957 0.333
20 1958 20.3
21 1959 85.4
22 1960 85.6
23 1961 47.68
24 1962 30.5
25 1963 14.24
26 1964 23
27 1965 28.4
28 1966 60.928
29 1967 87.64
30 1968 57.6
31 1969 50.8
32 1970 21.36
33 1971 51.35
34 1972 41.64
35 1973 81.6
36 1974 20.4
37 1975 88.6
38 1976 201.486
39 1977 2.675
40 1978 17.2
41 1979 88.8
42 1980 128.1
43 1981 18.67
44 1982 0.515
45 1983 40.04
46 1984 18.29
47 1985 25.2
48 1986 46.9
49 1987 87.49
50 1988 8.39
51 1989 1.151
52 1990 1.87
53 1991 3.466
54 1992 1.6
55 1993 2.357
56 1994 2.601
57 1995 18.229
58 1996 2.135
59 1997 13.523
60 1998 0.72
61 1999 12.521
62 2000 6.768
63 2001 0.481
64 2002 0.944
65 2003 51.224
66 2004 28.356
67 2005 2.73
68 2006 0.494

T P(x) z X
2 0.5 0 33.7844
5 0.8 0.85 72.2226
10 0.9 1.29 92.1200
20 0.95 1.65 108.3997
50 0.98 2.06 126.9405
100 0.99 2.33 139.1503
500 0.998 2.88 164.0221
1000 0.999 3.09 173.5186
5000 0.9998 3.54 193.8683
10000 0.9999 3.73 202.4604
Año Gasto (m3/s) In Q In Q -x ̄ (In Q -x ̄)^2
1939 36.2 3.5891 0.9828 0.9658
1940 35.7 3.5752 0.9689 0.9387
1941 11.8 2.4681 -0.1382 0.0191
1942 24.74 3.2084 0.6021 0.3626
1943 19.6 2.9755 0.3692 0.1363
1944 46.1 3.8308 1.2245 1.4994
1945 14.6 2.6810 0.0747 0.0056
1946 28.6 3.3534 0.7471 0.5582
1947 24.32 3.1913 0.5850 0.3422
1948 11 2.3979 -0.2084 0.0434
1949 3.69 1.3056 -1.3007 1.6917
1950 5.78 1.7544 -0.8519 0.7257
1951 6.7 1.9021 -0.7042 0.4959
1952 258 5.5530 2.9467 8.6828
1953 0.619 -0.4797 -3.0859 9.5230
1954 8.69 2.1622 -0.4441 0.1972
1955 37.2 3.6163 1.0100 1.0201
1956 3.5 1.2528 -1.3535 1.8320
1957 0.333 -1.0996 -3.7059 13.7337
1958 20.3 3.0106 0.4043 0.1635
1959 85.4 4.4473 1.8411 3.3895
1960 85.6 4.4497 1.8434 3.3981
1961 47.68 3.8645 1.2582 1.5831
1962 30.5 3.4177 0.8114 0.6584
1963 14.24 2.6561 0.0498 0.0025
1964 23 3.1355 0.5292 0.2801
1965 28.4 3.3464 0.7401 0.5477
1966 60.928 4.1097 1.5034 2.2602
1967 87.64 4.4732 1.8669 3.4855
1968 57.6 4.0535 1.4472 2.0945
1969 50.8 3.9279 1.3216 1.7466
1970 21.36 3.0615 0.4552 0.2072
1971 51.35 3.9387 1.3324 1.7752
1972 41.64 3.7291 1.1228 1.2606
1973 81.6 4.4018 1.7955 3.2240
1974 20.4 3.0155 0.4092 0.1675
1975 88.6 4.4841 1.8778 3.5263
1976 201.486 5.3057 2.6994 7.2869
1977 2.675 0.9839 -1.6223 2.6320
1978 17.2 2.8449 0.2386 0.0569
1979 88.8 4.4864 1.8801 3.5348
1980 128.1 4.8528 2.2465 5.0468
1981 18.67 2.9269 0.3206 0.1028
1982 0.515 -0.6636 -3.2699 10.6921
1983 40.04 3.6899 1.0836 1.1742
1984 18.29 2.9064 0.3001 0.0900
1985 25.2 3.2268 0.6206 0.3851
1986 46.9 3.8480 1.2417 1.5419
1987 87.49 4.4715 1.8652 3.4791
1988 8.39 2.1270 -0.4793 0.2297
1989 1.151 0.1406 -2.4657 6.0795
1990 1.87 0.6259 -1.9804 3.9218
1991 3.466 1.2430 -1.3633 1.8586
1992 1.6 0.4700 -2.1363 4.5637
1993 2.357 0.8574 -1.7489 3.0587
1994 2.601 0.9559 -1.6504 2.7238
1995 18.229 2.9030 0.2967 0.0880
1996 2.135 0.7585 -1.8478 3.4145
1997 13.523 2.6044 -0.0019 0.0000036
1998 0.72 -0.3285 -2.9348 8.6130
1999 12.521 2.5274 -0.0789 0.0062
2000 6.768 1.9122 -0.6941 0.4818
2001 0.481 -0.7319 -3.3382 11.1435
2002 0.944 -0.0576 -2.6639 7.0965
2003 51.224 3.9362 1.3299 1.7687
2004 28.356 3.3448 0.7385 0.5454
2005 2.73 1.0043 -1.6020 2.5664
2006 0.494 -0.7052 -3.3115 10.9661
177.2279 177.6926

T P(x) z X
2 0.5 0 13.5487
5 0.8 0.85 53.5348
10 0.9 1.29 109.0274
20 0.95 1.65 195.1065
50 0.98 2.06 378.5384
100 0.99 2.33 585.6820
500 0.998 2.88 1424.9062
1000 0.999 3.09 2000.8549
5000 0.9998 3.54 4141.2891
10000 0.9999 3.73 5630.2020
n= 68

x ̄= 2.6063

S= 1.6165
Año Gasto (m3/s)
1939 36.2 n= 68
1940 35.7
1941 11.8 x ̄= 33.9579
1942 24.74
1943 19.6 S= 45.1124
1944 46.1
1945 14.6 n<= 100
1946 28.6
1947 24.32 α= σy β=
1948 11 S
1949 3.69
1950 5.78 Interpolando:
1951 6.7
1952 258
1953 0.619
1954 8.69
1955 37.2
1956 3.5
1957 0.333
1958 20.3 σy= 1.18336
1959 85.4 uy= 0.55428
1960 85.6
1961 47.68 α= 0.0262314 β=
1962 30.5
1963 14.24
1964 23
1965 28.4
1966 60.928
1967 87.64
1968 57.6
1969 50.8
1970 21.36
1971 51.35
1972 41.64
1973 81.6
1974 20.4
1975 88.6
1976 201.486
1977 2.675
1978 17.2
1979 88.8
1980 128.1
1981 18.67
1982 0.515
1983 40.04
1984 18.29
1985 25.2
1986 46.9
1987 87.49
1988 8.39
1989 1.151
1990 1.87
1991 3.466
1992 1.6
1993 2.357
1994 2.601
1995 18.229
1996 2.135
1997 13.523
1998 0.72
1999 12.521
2000 6.768
2001 0.481
2002 0.944
2003 51.224
2004 28.356
2005 2.73
2006 0.494

T T/(T-1) α β X
2 2.0000 0.0262 12.8275 26.7998
5 1.2500 0.0262 12.8275 70.0086
10 1.1111 0.0262 12.8275 98.6166
20 1.0526 0.0262 12.8275 126.0581
50 1.0204 0.0262 12.8275 161.5783
100 1.0101 0.0262 12.8275 188.1957
500 1.0020 0.0262 12.8275 249.7044
1000 1.0010 0.0262 12.8275 276.1478
5000 1.0002 0.0262 12.8275 337.5185
10000 1.0001 0.0262 12.8275 363.9448
x ̄ - uy/α

12.8275
Año Gasto (m3/s) Año Gasto (m3/s) Clasificacion
1939 36.2 1 258 Ciclonico
1940 35.7 2 201.486 Ciclonico
1941 11.8 3 128.1 Ciclonico
1942 24.74 4 88.8 Ciclonico
1943 19.6 5 88.6 Ciclonico
1944 46.1 6 87.64 Ciclonico
1945 14.6 7 87.49 Ciclonico
1946 28.6 8 85.6 Ciclonico
1947 24.32 9 85.4 Ciclonico
1948 11 10 81.6 Ciclonico
1949 3.69 11 60.928 No ciclonico
1950 5.78 12 57.6 No ciclonico
1951 6.7 13 51.35 No ciclonico
1952 258 14 51.224 No ciclonico
1953 0.619 15 50.8 No ciclonico
1954 8.69 16 47.68 No ciclonico
1955 37.2 17 46.9 No ciclonico
1956 3.5 18 46.1 No ciclonico
1957 0.333 19 41.64 No ciclonico
1958 20.3 20 40.04 No ciclonico
1959 85.4 21 37.2 No ciclonico
1960 85.6 22 36.2 No ciclonico
1961 47.68 23 35.7 No ciclonico
1962 30.5 24 30.5 No ciclonico
1963 14.24 25 28.6 No ciclonico
1964 23 26 28.4 No ciclonico
1965 28.4 27 28.356 No ciclonico
1966 60.928 28 25.2 No ciclonico
1967 87.64 29 24.74 No ciclonico
1968 57.6 30 24.32 No ciclonico
1969 50.8 31 23 No ciclonico
1970 21.36 32 21.36 No ciclonico
1971 51.35 33 20.4 No ciclonico
1972 41.64 34 20.3 No ciclonico
1973 81.6 35 19.6 No ciclonico
1974 20.4 36 18.67 No ciclonico
1975 88.6 37 18.29 No ciclonico
1976 201.486 38 18.229 No ciclonico
1977 2.675 39 17.2 No ciclonico
1978 17.2 40 14.6 No ciclonico
1979 88.8 41 14.24 No ciclonico
1980 128.1 42 13.523 No ciclonico
1981 18.67 43 12.521 No ciclonico
1982 0.515 44 11.8 No ciclonico
1983 40.04 45 11 No ciclonico
1984 18.29 46 8.69 No ciclonico
1985 25.2 47 8.39 No ciclonico
1986 46.9 48 6.768 No ciclonico
1987 87.49 49 6.7 No ciclonico
1988 8.39 50 5.78 No ciclonico
1989 1.151 51 3.69 No ciclonico
1990 1.87 52 3.5 No ciclonico
1991 3.466 53 3.466 No ciclonico
1992 1.6 54 2.73 No ciclonico
1993 2.357 55 2.675 No ciclonico
1994 2.601 56 2.601 No ciclonico
1995 18.229 57 2.357 No ciclonico
1996 2.135 58 2.135 No ciclonico
1997 13.523 59 1.87 No ciclonico
1998 0.72 60 1.6 No ciclonico
1999 12.521 61 1.151 No ciclonico
2000 6.768 62 0.944 No ciclonico
2001 0.481 63 0.72 No ciclonico
2002 0.944 64 0.619 No ciclonico
2003 51.224 65 0.515 No ciclonico
2004 28.356 66 0.494 No ciclonico
2005 2.73 67 0.481 No ciclonico
2006 0.494 68 0.333 No ciclonico

Datos no ciclonicos Datos ciclonicos

T (T-1)/ T= F(x) α1 β1 α2 β2
2 0.5000 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
5 0.8000 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
10 0.9000 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
20 0.9500 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
50 0.9800 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
100 0.9900 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
500 0.9980 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
1000 0.9990 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
5000 0.9998 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
10000 0.9999 0.0672 11.0390 0.0155 87.3787
 n= 68

x ̄= 33.9579

S= 45.1124

Clasificacion= x ̄ +S
Clasificacion= 79.0703

Ciclonicos

n= 10
x ̄= 119.2716
S= 61.158103

No ciclonicos

n= 58
x ̄= 19.248621
S= 17.450372

n<= 100

α= σy β= x ̄ - uy/α
S

Ciclonicos

σy= 0.9496 uy= 0.4952

α2 = 0.015527 β2 = 87.3787054

No ciclonicos

Interpolando:

σy= 1.1721
uy= 0.55142

α1 = 0.0671676 β1 = 11.0390
 Probabilidad de eventos no ciclonicos

P= Nn Nn= 58
NT NT= 68

P= 0.8529412

F(x)=P(X<=x)= T-1
T

P X
0.8529 20.0962
0.8529 46.8462
0.8529 86.0016
0.8529 144.2583
0.8529 211.4609
0.8529 258.5747
0.8529 364.2257
0.8529 409.1660
0.8529 513.1768
0.8529 557.9179
Año Gasto (m3/s) (Xi-x ̄)2 (Xi-x ̄)3
1939 36.2 5.0271 11.2713 n=
1940 35.7 3.0350 5.2873
1941 11.8 490.9718 10878.8943 x ̄=
1942 24.74 84.9694 783.2375
1943 19.6 206.1488 2959.8600 S=
1944 46.1 147.4310 1790.1248
1945 14.6 374.7276 7253.9330 γ=
1946 28.6 28.7069 153.8082
1947 24.32 92.8888 895.2511 β=
1948 11 527.0644 12100.2816
1949 3.69 916.1447 27729.7601 α=
1950 5.78 793.9931 22373.0429
1951 6.7 742.9922 20252.3926 δ=
1952 258 50194.8705 11245765.0773
1953 0.619 1111.4811 37055.5368 v=
1954 8.69 638.4659 16132.6807 v=
1955 37.2 10.5113 34.0790
1956 3.5 927.6826 28255.2474
1957 0.333 1130.6327 38017.3920
1958 20.3 186.5378 2547.7106
1959 85.4 2646.2915 136130.8370
1960 85.6 2666.9083 137724.7930
1961 47.68 188.2965 2583.8269
1962 30.5 11.9570 41.3457
1963 14.24 388.7949 7666.2118
1964 23 120.0752 1315.7698
1965 28.4 30.8901 171.6833
1966 60.928 727.3872 19617.7196
1967 87.64 2881.7698 154699.5030
1968 57.6 558.9497 13214.7552
1969 50.8 283.6569 4777.3833
1970 21.36 158.7066 1999.3676
1971 51.35 302.4858 5260.8679
1972 41.64 59.0149 453.3596
1973 81.6 2269.7714 108136.7148
1974 20.4 183.8162 2492.1581
1975 88.6 2985.7610 163148.3050
1976 201.486 28065.6702 4701788.8995
1977 2.675 978.6187 30614.0145
1978 17.2 280.8266 4706.0595
1979 88.8 3007.6579 164946.3266
1980 128.1 8862.7383 834356.9531
1981 18.67 233.7193 3573.0739
1982 0.515 1118.4264 37403.4018
1983 40.04 36.9922 224.9906
1984 18.29 245.4825 3846.1915
1985 25.2 76.7005 671.7340
1986 46.9 167.4984 2167.7841
1987 87.49 2865.6876 153406.3268
1988 8.39 653.7166 16714.1493
1989 1.151 1076.2915 35309.7696
1990 1.87 1029.6322 33038.7167
1991 3.466 929.7549 28349.9767
1992 1.6 1047.0326 33879.7561
1993 2.357 998.6158 31557.1393
1994 2.601 983.2541 30831.7822
1995 18.229 247.3977 3891.2899
1996 2.135 1012.6958 32226.9006
1997 13.523 417.5844 8533.2884
1998 0.72 1104.7568 36719.7773
1999 12.521 459.5399 9851.1033
2000 6.768 739.2897 20101.2000 𝑦=𝑥^2/2
2001 0.481 1120.7017 37517.5974
2002 0.944 1089.9164 35982.3727
2003 51.224 298.1188 5147.3546
2004 28.356 31.3811 175.7932 𝑥=(𝑦∗𝑎)+𝛿
2005 2.73 975.1806 30452.8262
2006 0.494 1119.8314 37473.9070
136353.5261 18639889.9268

T (T-1)/T n x2 y α
2 0.5 1 0.455 0.2275 67.3462
5 0.8 1 1.7833 0.8917 67.3462
10 0.9 1 2.71 1.3550 67.3462
20 0.95 1 3.84 1.9200 67.3462
50 0.98 1 5.5567 2.7784 67.3462
100 0.99 1 6.63 3.3150 67.3462
500 0.998 1 7.88 3.9400 67.3462
1000 0.999 1 7.88 3.9400 67.3462
5000 0.9998 1 7.88 3.9400 67.3462
10000 0.9999 1 7.88 3.9400 67.3462
 68

33.9579

45.1124

2.9857

0.4487

67.3462

3.7390

0.897420192063659
1
=𝑥^2/2

𝑥=(𝑦∗𝑎)+𝛿

δ X
3.7390 19.0602
3.7390 63.7882
3.7390 94.9930
3.7390 133.0436
3.7390 190.8502
3.7390 226.9915
3.7390 269.0829
3.7390 269.0829
3.7390 269.0829
3.7390 269.0829
 Normal
Año Gasto (m3/s) Orden N T (años) P(x) Xo z
1939 36.2 1 69.000 0.9855 258 2.19
1940 35.7 2 34.500 0.9710 201.486 1.9
1941 11.8 3 23.000 0.9565 128.1 1.72
1942 24.74 4 17.250 0.9420 88.8 1.58
1943 19.6 5 13.800 0.9275 88.6 1.46
1944 46.1 6 11.500 0.9130 87.64 1.36
1945 14.6 7 9.857 0.8986 87.49 1.28
1946 28.6 8 8.625 0.8841 85.6 1.2
1947 24.32 9 7.667 0.8696 85.4 1.13
1948 11 10 6.900 0.8551 81.6 1.06
1949 3.69 11 6.273 0.8406 60.928 1
1950 5.78 12 5.750 0.8261 57.6 0.94
1951 6.7 13 5.308 0.8116 51.35 0.89
1952 258 14 4.929 0.7971 51.224 0.84
1953 0.619 15 4.600 0.7826 50.8 0.79
1954 8.69 16 4.313 0.7681 47.68 0.74
1955 37.2 17 4.059 0.7536 46.9 0.69
1956 3.5 18 3.833 0.7391 46.1 0.65
1957 0.333 19 3.632 0.7246 41.64 0.6
1958 20.3 20 3.450 0.7101 40.04 0.56
1959 85.4 21 3.286 0.6957 37.2 0.52
1960 85.6 22 3.136 0.6812 36.2 0.48
1961 47.68 23 3.000 0.6667 35.7 0.44
1962 30.5 24 2.875 0.6522 30.5 0.4
1963 14.24 25 2.760 0.6377 28.6 0.36
1964 23 26 2.654 0.6232 28.4 0.32
1965 28.4 27 2.556 0.6087 28.356 0.28
1966 60.928 28 2.464 0.5942 25.2 0.24
1967 87.64 29 2.379 0.5797 24.74 0.21
1968 57.6 30 2.300 0.5652 24.32 0.17
1969 50.8 31 2.226 0.5507 23 0.13
1970 21.36 32 2.156 0.5362 21.36 0.1
1971 51.35 33 2.091 0.5217 20.4 0.05
1972 41.64 34 2.029 0.5072 20.3 0.02
1973 81.6 35 1.971 0.4928 19.6 0
1974 20.4 36 1.917 0.4783 18.67 0
1975 88.6 37 1.865 0.4638 18.29 0
1976 201.486 38 1.816 0.4493 18.229 0
1977 2.675 39 1.769 0.4348 17.2 0
1978 17.2 40 1.725 0.4203 14.6 0
1979 88.8 41 1.683 0.4058 14.24 0
1980 128.1 42 1.643 0.3913 13.523 0
1981 18.67 43 1.605 0.3768 12.521 0
1982 0.515 44 1.568 0.3623 11.8 0
1983 40.04 45 1.533 0.3478 11 0
1984 18.29 46 1.500 0.3333 8.69 0
1985 25.2 47 1.468 0.3188 8.39 0
1986 46.9 48 1.438 0.3043 6.768 0
1987 87.49 49 1.408 0.2899 6.7 0
1988 8.39 50 1.380 0.2754 5.78 0
1989 1.151 51 1.353 0.2609 3.69 0
1990 1.87 52 1.327 0.2464 3.5 0
1991 3.466 53 1.302 0.2319 3.466 0
1992 1.6 54 1.278 0.2174 2.73 0
1993 2.357 55 1.255 0.2029 2.675 0
1994 2.601 56 1.232 0.1884 2.601 0
1995 18.229 57 1.211 0.1739 2.357 0
1996 2.135 58 1.190 0.1594 2.135 0
1997 13.523 59 1.169 0.1449 1.87 0
1998 0.72 60 1.150 0.1304 1.6 0
1999 12.521 61 1.131 0.1159 1.151 0
2000 6.768 62 1.113 0.1014 0.944 0
2001 0.481 63 1.095 0.0870 0.72 0
2002 0.944 64 1.078 0.0725 0.619 0
2003 51.224 65 1.062 0.0580 0.515 0
2004 28.356 66 1.045 0.0435 0.494 0
2005 2.73 67 1.030 0.0290 0.481 0
2006 0.494 68 1.015 0.0145 0.333 0
 Normal Log normal Gumbel
Xei (Xei-Xo)^2 z Xei (Xei-Xo)^2 T/(T-1) Xei
132.7540 15686.5593 2.19 467.063 43707.4433 1.0147 173.9633
119.6714 6693.6266 1.9 292.269 8241.5639 1.0299 147.2576
111.5512 273.8633 1.72 218.482 8168.8331 1.0455 131.5155
105.2355 270.1240 1.58 174.232 7298.6769 1.0615 120.2599
99.8220 125.9325 1.46 143.510 3015.1506 1.0781 111.4610
95.3107 58.8400 1.36 122.090 1186.7794 1.0952 104.2144
91.7017 17.7387 1.28 107.279 391.6108 1.1129 98.0379
88.0927 6.2138 1.2 94.265 75.0873 1.1311 92.6434
84.9349 0.2163 1.13 84.180 1.4885 1.1500 87.8451
81.7770 0.0313 1.06 75.174 41.2981 1.1695 83.5160
79.0703 329.1419 1 68.225 53.2448 1.1897 79.5657
76.3635 352.0698 0.94 61.918 18.6493 1.2105 75.9272
74.1079 517.9222 0.89 57.111 33.1865 1.2321 72.5496
71.8523 425.5262 0.84 52.676 2.1094 1.2545 69.3935
69.5967 353.3147 0.79 48.586 4.9006 1.2778 66.4273
67.3410 386.5568 0.74 44.814 8.2153 1.3019 63.6257
65.0854 330.7098 0.69 41.334 30.9785 1.3269 60.9680
63.2809 295.1844 0.65 38.746 54.0806 1.3529 58.4369
61.0253 375.7904 0.6 35.738 34.8385 1.3800 56.0179
59.2208 367.9038 0.56 33.500 42.7730 1.4082 53.6987
57.4163 408.6997 0.52 31.402 33.6132 1.4375 51.4687
55.6118 376.8190 0.48 29.436 45.7507 1.4681 49.3189
53.8073 327.8755 0.44 27.593 65.7243 1.5000 47.2412
52.0028 462.3720 0.4 25.865 21.4811 1.5333 45.2288
50.1983 466.4883 0.36 24.246 18.9600 1.5682 43.2754
48.3938 399.7539 0.32 22.728 32.1766 1.6047 41.3756
46.5894 332.4551 0.28 21.304 49.7239 1.6429 39.5245
44.7849 383.5665 0.24 19.971 27.3475 1.6829 37.7175
43.4315 349.3715 0.21 19.025 32.6596 1.7250 35.9506
41.6270 299.5318 0.17 17.834 42.0696 1.7692 34.2203
39.8225 282.9962 0.13 16.717 39.4732 1.8158 32.5230
38.4691 292.7220 0.1 15.926 29.5298 1.8649 30.8557
36.2135 250.0668 0.05 14.689 32.6122 1.9167 29.2154
34.8601 211.9974 0.02 13.994 39.7666 1.9714 27.5995
33.9579 206.1488 0 13.549 36.6179 2.0294 26.0052
33.9579 233.7193 0 13.549 26.2274 2.0909 24.4302
33.9579 245.4825 0 13.549 22.4796 2.1563 22.8720
33.9579 247.3977 0 13.549 21.9049 2.2258 21.3285
33.9579 280.8266 0 13.549 13.3318 2.3000 19.7974
33.9579 374.7276 0 13.549 1.1052 2.3793 18.2765
33.9579 388.7949 0 13.549 0.4779 2.4643 16.7636
33.9579 417.5844 0 13.549 0.0007 2.5556 15.2565
33.9579 459.5399 0 13.549 1.0562 2.6538 13.7532
33.9579 490.9718 0 13.549 3.0581 2.7600 12.2512
33.9579 527.0644 0 13.549 6.4960 2.8750 10.7483
33.9579 638.4659 0 13.549 23.6073 3.0000 9.2421
33.9579 653.7166 0 13.549 26.6125 3.1364 7.7300
33.9579 739.2897 0 13.549 45.9783 3.2857 6.2093
33.9579 742.9922 0 13.549 46.9051 3.4500 4.6769
33.9579 793.9931 0 13.549 60.3532 3.6316 3.1297
33.9579 916.1447 0 13.549 97.1946 3.8333 1.5641
33.9579 927.6826 0 13.549 100.9770 4.0588 0.0239
33.9579 929.7549 0 13.549 101.6615 4.3125 1.6390
33.9579 975.1806 0 13.549 117.0449 4.6000 3.2863
33.9579 978.6187 0 13.549 118.2380 4.9286 4.9720
33.9579 983.2541 0 13.549 119.8528 5.3077 6.7033
33.9579 998.6158 0 13.549 125.2548 5.7500 8.4889
33.9579 1012.6958 0 13.549 130.2732 6.2727 10.3396
33.9579 1029.6322 0 13.549 136.3927 6.9000 12.2687
33.9579 1047.0326 0 13.549 142.7722 7.6667 14.2935
33.9579 1076.2915 0 13.549 153.7037 8.6250 16.4365
33.9579 1089.9164 0 13.549 158.8792 9.8571 18.7288
33.9579 1104.7568 0 13.549 164.5763 11.5000 21.2142
33.9579 1111.4811 0 13.549 167.1779 13.8000 23.9588
33.9579 1118.4264 0 13.549 169.8781 17.2500 27.0695
33.9579 1119.8314 0 13.549 170.4260 23.0000 30.7382
33.9579 1120.7017 0 13.549 170.7656 34.5000 35.3743
33.9579 1130.6327 0 13.549 174.6555 69.0000 42.1896
Σ= 57823.3469 Σ= 75777.7325 Σ=
C= 240.4649 C= 275.2776 C=

Distribucion a tomar: GUMBEL II POBLACIONE

Gumbel Gumbel 2 poblaciones Pearson III
(Xei-Xo)^2 Xei (Xei-Xo)^2 x2 y Xei (Xei-Xo)^2
7062.1605 233.5430 598.1448 7.88 3.94 269.0829 122.8299
2940.7163 185.2073 264.9961 5.02 2.51 172.7779 824.1578
11.6656 155.1093 729.5023 5.02 2.51 172.7779 1996.1103
989.7260 132.3170 1893.7293 3.84 1.92 133.0436 1957.4974
522.6237 113.5648 623.2412 3.84 1.92 133.0436 1975.2348
274.7116 97.7659 102.5339 3.84 1.92 133.0436 2061.4881
111.2581 84.8727 6.8503 2.71 1.355 94.9930 56.2955
49.6091 79.6927 34.8962 2.71 1.355 94.9930 88.2290
5.9783 74.4127 120.7208 2.71 1.355 94.9930 92.0262
3.6711 69.0727 156.9332 2.71 1.355 94.9930 179.3733
347.3637 63.6527 7.4240 2.71 1.355 94.9930 1160.4263
335.8858 52.3440 27.6255 2.71 1.355 94.9930 1398.2388
449.4246 50.4140 0.8761 2.71 1.355 94.9930 1904.7142
330.1297 48.4340 7.7841 2.71 1.355 94.9930 1915.7281
244.2123 46.4140 19.2370 2.71 1.355 94.9930 1953.0240
254.2666 44.3640 10.9959 2.71 1.355 94.9930 2238.5229
197.9094 39.7880 50.5805 2.71 1.355 94.9930 2312.9396
152.1994 38.7380 54.1990 1.32 0.66 48.1874 4.3574
206.7238 37.6480 15.9361 1.32 0.66 48.1874 42.8691
186.5592 36.5280 12.3341 1.32 0.66 48.1874 66.3809
203.5958 35.3780 3.3197 1.32 0.66 48.1874 120.7240
172.1046 34.1680 4.1290 1.32 0.66 48.1874 143.6989
133.1999 30.9779 22.2982 1.32 0.66 48.1874 155.9363
216.9378 29.8479 0.4252 1.32 0.66 48.1874 312.8458
215.3686 28.6779 0.0061 1.32 0.66 48.1874 383.6681
168.3671 27.4479 0.9065 1.32 0.66 48.1874 391.5431
124.7344 26.6396 2.9460 1.32 0.66 48.1874 393.2863
156.6871 25.1696 0.0009 1.32 0.66 48.1874 528.4227
125.6786 23.6296 1.2330 1.32 0.66 48.1874 549.7828
98.0159 23.8337 0.2365 1.32 0.66 48.1874 569.6550
90.6882 23.0437 0.0019 1.32 0.66 48.1874 634.4075
90.1688 22.2037 0.7118 1.32 0.66 48.1874 719.7119
77.7121 21.3137 0.8348 1.32 0.66 48.1874 772.1422
53.2822 20.3837 0.0070 1.32 0.66 48.1874 777.7097
41.0265 19.4137 0.0347 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 0.2914
33.1796 18.9432 0.0746 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 0.1523
20.9951 18.3332 0.0019 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 0.5933
9.6070 17.6832 0.2979 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 0.6909
6.7464 16.9932 0.0428 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 3.4605
13.5164 16.2532 2.7331 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 19.8937
6.3684 15.4532 1.4719 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 23.2346
3.0051 14.6036 1.1677 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 30.6609
1.5182 13.9836 2.1392 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 42.7615
0.2036 13.3136 2.2910 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 52.7110
0.0633 12.6036 2.5715 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 64.9673
 0.3049 11.8636 10.0717 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 107.5417
0.4355 11.0736 7.2017 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 113.8538
0.3122 10.4981 13.9136 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 151.0989
4.0928 9.8581 9.9736 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 152.7753
7.0238 9.1781 11.5471 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 176.3645
4.5193 8.4481 22.6395 0.455 0.2275 19.0602 236.2440
12.0830 7.7515 18.0753 0.102 0.051 7.1736 13.4956
3.3379 7.1915 13.8794 0.102 0.051 7.1736 13.7465
0.3095 6.5515 14.6039 0.102 0.051 7.1736 19.7459
5.2762 5.6039 8.5785 0.102 0.051 7.1736 20.2377
16.8289 4.9939 5.7260 0.102 0.051 7.1736 20.9090
37.6006 4.3539 3.9876 0.102 0.051 7.1736 23.2000
67.3157 3.3050 1.3689 0.102 0.051 7.1736 25.3878
108.1338 2.5150 0.4160 0.102 0.051 7.1736 28.1285
161.1249 1.6295 0.0009 0.102 0.051 7.1736 31.0654
233.6479 0.7269 0.1799 0.102 0.051 7.1736 36.2721
316.2986 0.2344 0.5035 0.102 0.051 7.1736 38.8083
420.0118 1.2649 0.2969 0.0158 0.0079 4.2710 12.6097
544.7467 2.4054 3.1912 0.0158 0.0079 4.2710 13.3372
705.1389 3.6921 10.0940 0.0158 0.0079 4.2710 14.1076
914.7103 5.2022 22.1671 0.0039 0.00195 3.8703 11.3994
1217.5398 7.1001 43.8125 0.0039 0.00195 3.8703 11.4874
1751.9716 9.8718 90.9887 0.001 0.0005 3.7727 11.8312
23272.3305 Σ= 5101.6408 Σ= 30327.0428
152.5527 C= 71.4258 C= 174.1466

MBEL II POBLACIONES
 Normal
n= 68

x ̄= 33.9579

S= 45.1124

Log normal

n= 68

x ̄= 2.6063

S= 1.6165

Gumbel

n= 68

x ̄= 34.0961

S= 39.6043

α= 0.0262
β= 12.8275

Gumbel 2 poblaciones

Ciclonicos

n= 10
x ̄= 119.2716
S= 61.1581

α2 = 0.0155
β2 = 87.3787

No ciclonicos

n= 58
x ̄= 19.2486
S= 17.4504
α1 = 0.0672
β1 = 11.0390

P= 0.8529
Pearson III

n= 68.0000
x ̄= 33.9579
S= 45.1124
γ= 2.9857
β= 0.4487
α= 67.3462
δ= 3.7390
v= 1 𝑥=(𝑦∗𝑎)+𝛿
 Normal
|F0(xm) -
n = 63 m Xm [m3/s] F0(xm) Z F(xm) Media Desviación n =
F(xm)|
1 36.2 0.9844 0.05 0.99998 0.0156 33.784353 45.221453
2 35.7 0.9688 0.04 0.99998 0.0312
3 0 0.9531 -0.75 0.9706 0.0175
4 24.74 0.9375 -0.20 0.9664 0.0289
5 19.6 0.9219 -0.31 0.9535 0.0316
6 46.1 0.9063 0.27 0.881 0.0253
7 14.6 0.8906 -0.42 0.8289 0.0617
8 28.6 0.8750 -0.11 0.7422 0.1328
9 24.32 0.8594 -0.21 0.6985 0.1609
10 11 0.8438 -0.50 0.6985 0.1453
11 3.69 0.8281 -0.67 0.67 0.1581
12 5.78 0.8125 -0.62 0.6628 0.1497
13 6.7 0.7969 -0.60 0.6331 0.1638
14 258 0.7813 4.96 0.6331 0.1482
15 0.619 0.7656 -0.73 0.6293 0.1363
16 8.69 0.7500 -0.55 0.591 0.1590
17 37.2 0.7344 0.08 0.5793 0.1551
18 3.5 0.7188 -0.67 0.5714 0.1474
19 0.333 0.7031 -0.74 0.5675 0.1356
20 20.3 0.6875 -0.30 0.5517 0.1358
21 85.4 0.6719 1.14 0.512 0.1599
22 85.6 0.6563 1.15 0.508 0.1483
23 47.68 0.6406 0.31 0.4562 0.1844
24 30.5 0.6250 -0.07 0.4483 0.1767
25 14.24 0.6094 -0.43 0.4325 0.1769
26 23 0.5938 -0.24 0.4207 0.1731
27 28.4 0.5781 -0.12 0.4168 0.1613
28 60.928 0.5625 0.60 0.4013 0.1612
29 87.64 0.5469 1.19 0.3836 0.1633
30 57.6 0.5313 0.53 0.3859 0.1454
31 50.8 0.5156 0.38 0.3707 0.1449
32 21.36 0.5000 -0.27 0.3632 0.1368
33 51.35 0.4844 0.39 0.3632 0.1212
34 41.64 0.4688 0.17 0.3632 0.1056
35 81.6 0.4531 1.06 0.3557 0.0974
36 20.4 0.4375 -0.30 0.352 0.0855
37 88.6 0.4219 1.21 0.3446 0.0773
38 201.486 0.4063 3.71 0.3264 0.0799
39 2.675 0.3906 -0.69 0.3264 0.0642
40 17.2 0.3750 -0.37 0.3228 0.0522
41 88.8 0.3594 1.22 0.3192 0.0402
42 128.1 0.3438 2.09 0.305 0.0388
43 18.67 0.3281 -0.33 0.2981 0.0300
44 0.515 0.3125 -0.74 0.2912 0.0213
45 40.04 0.2969 0.14 0.2877 0.0092
46 18.29 0.2813 -0.34 0.2877 0.0065
47 25.2 0.2656 -0.19 0.281 0.0154
48 46.9 0.2500 0.29 0.2778 0.0278
49 87.49 0.2344 1.19 0.2778 0.0434
50 8.39 0.2188 -0.56 0.2743 0.0556
51 1.151 0.2031 -0.72 0.2743 0.0712
52 1.87 0.1875 -0.71 0.2676 0.0801
53 3.466 0.1719 -0.67 0.2643 0.0924
54 1.6 0.1563 -0.71 0.2643 0.1081
55 2.357 0.1406 -0.69 0.2611 0.1205
56 2.601 0.1250 -0.69 0.2611 0.1361
57 18.229 0.1094 -0.34 0.242 0.1326
58 2.135 0.0938 -0.70 0.2389 0.1452
59 13.523 0.0781 -0.45 0.2148 0.1367
60 0.72 0.0625 -0.73 0.1949 0.1324
61 12.521 0.0469 -0.47 0.1894 0.1425
62 6.768 0.0313 -0.60 0.1807 0.1495
63 0.481 0.0156 -0.74 0.1841 0.1685
 LOG Normal
|F0(xm) -
63 m Xm [m3/s] F0(xm) Z F(xm) Media Desviación n = 63
F(xm)|
1 36.2 0.9844 0.61 0.9955 0.0111 2.6062929 1.6165168
2 35.7 0.9688 0.60 0.9953 0.0266
3 0 0.9531 Err:502 0.9641 0.0110
4 24.74 0.9375 0.37 0.9616 0.0241
5 19.6 0.9219 0.23 0.9545 0.0326
6 46.1 0.9063 0.76 0.9222 0.0160
7 14.6 0.8906 0.05 0.898 0.0074
8 28.6 0.8750 0.46 0.8508 0.0242
9 24.32 0.8594 0.36 0.8238 0.0356
10 11 0.8438 -0.13 0.8238 0.0200
11 3.69 0.8281 -0.80 0.8051 0.0230
12 5.78 0.8125 -0.53 0.7995 0.0130
13 6.7 0.7969 -0.44 0.7794 0.0175
14 258 0.7813 1.82 0.7794 0.0019
15 0.619 0.7656 -1.91 0.7764 0.0108
16 8.69 0.7500 -0.27 0.7454 0.0046
17 37.2 0.7344 0.62 0.7324 0.0020
18 3.5 0.7188 -0.84 0.7257 0.0070
19 0.333 0.7031 -2.29 0.7224 0.0193
20 20.3 0.6875 0.25 0.7088 0.0213
21 85.4 0.6719 1.14 0.6628 0.0091
22 85.6 0.6563 1.14 0.6591 0.0029
23 47.68 0.6406 0.78 0.5948 0.0458
24 30.5 0.6250 0.50 0.5832 0.0418
25 14.24 0.6094 0.03 0.5596 0.0498
26 23 0.5938 0.33 0.5398 0.0540
27 28.4 0.5781 0.46 0.5398 0.0383
28 60.928 0.5625 0.93 0.512 0.0505
29 87.64 0.5469 1.15 0.5 0.0469
30 57.6 0.5313 0.90 0.484 0.0473
31 50.8 0.5156 0.82 0.4522 0.0634
32 21.36 0.5000 0.28 0.4404 0.0596
33 51.35 0.4844 0.82 0.4364 0.0480
34 41.64 0.4688 0.69 0.4364 0.0324
35 81.6 0.4531 1.11 0.4247 0.0284
36 20.4 0.4375 0.25 0.4168 0.0207
37 88.6 0.4219 1.16 0.3974 0.0245
38 201.486 0.4063 1.67 0.3632 0.0431
39 2.675 0.3906 -1.00 0.3557 0.0349
40 17.2 0.3750 0.15 0.3557 0.0193
41 88.8 0.3594 1.16 0.3446 0.0148
42 128.1 0.3438 1.39 0.3121 0.0317
43 18.67 0.3281 0.20 0.294 0.0341
44 0.515 0.3125 -2.02 0.2743 0.0382
45 40.04 0.2969 0.67 0.2676 0.0293
46 18.29 0.2813 0.19 0.2676 0.0137
47 25.2 0.2656 0.38 0.2451 0.0205
48 46.9 0.2500 0.77 0.2451 0.0049
49 87.49 0.2344 1.15 0.2389 0.0045
50 8.39 0.2188 -0.30 0.2358 0.0171
51 1.151 0.2031 -1.53 0.2327 0.0296
52 1.87 0.1875 -1.23 0.2148 0.0273
53 3.466 0.1719 -0.84 0.209 0.0371
54 1.6 0.1563 -1.32 0.2033 0.0471
55 2.357 0.1406 -1.08 0.2005 0.0599
56 2.601 0.1250 -1.02 0.2005 0.0755
57 18.229 0.1094 0.18 0.144 0.0346
58 2.135 0.0938 -1.14 0.1335 0.0398
59 13.523 0.0781 0.00 0.0778 0.0003
60 0.72 0.0625 -1.82 0.0367 0.0258
61 12.521 0.0469 -0.05 0.0262 0.0207
62 6.768 0.0313 -0.43 0.0202 0.0111
63 0.481 0.0156 -2.07 0.0183 0.0027
63
 Gumbel
|F0(xm) -
m Xm [m3/s] F0(xm) F(xm) Media Desviación α β
F(xm)|
1 36.2 0.9844 0.5818 0.4026 33.957882 45.112385 0.0262314 12.827463
2 35.7 0.9688 0.5776 0.3911
3 0 0.9531 0.2466 0.7065
4 24.74 0.9375 0.4811 0.4564
5 19.6 0.9219 0.4329 0.4890
6 46.1 0.9063 0.6585 0.2477
7 14.6 0.8906 0.3850 0.5056
8 28.6 0.8750 0.5162 0.3588
9 24.32 0.8594 0.4772 0.3821
10 11 0.8438 0.3503 0.4935
11 3.69 0.8281 0.2806 0.5475
12 5.78 0.8125 0.3003 0.5122
13 6.7 0.7969 0.3090 0.4879
14 258 0.7813 0.9984 0.2171
15 0.619 0.7656 0.2522 0.5134
16 8.69 0.7500 0.3280 0.4220
17 37.2 0.7344 0.5900 0.1444
18 3.5 0.7188 0.2788 0.4399
19 0.333 0.7031 0.2496 0.4535
20 20.3 0.6875 0.4396 0.2479
21 85.4 0.6719 0.8616 0.1897
22 85.6 0.6563 0.8622 0.2060
23 47.68 0.6406 0.6698 0.0291
24 30.5 0.6250 0.5331 0.0919
25 14.24 0.6094 0.3815 0.2279
26 23 0.5938 0.4650 0.1288
27 28.4 0.5781 0.5145 0.0637
28 60.928 0.5625 0.7534 0.1909
29 87.64 0.5469 0.8689 0.3220
30 57.6 0.5313 0.7342 0.2029
31 50.8 0.5156 0.6912 0.1756
32 21.36 0.5000 0.4496 0.0504
33 51.35 0.4844 0.6949 0.2105
34 41.64 0.4688 0.6252 0.1565
35 81.6 0.4531 0.8482 0.3951
36 20.4 0.4375 0.4405 0.0030
37 88.6 0.4219 0.8720 0.4501
38 201.486 0.4063 0.9929 0.5867
39 2.675 0.3906 0.2711 0.1195
40 17.2 0.3750 0.4100 0.0350
41 88.8 0.3594 0.8726 0.5132
42 128.1 0.3438 0.9525 0.6088
43 18.67 0.3281 0.4240 0.0959
44 0.515 0.3125 0.2513 0.0612
45 40.04 0.2969 0.6128 0.3159
46 18.29 0.2813 0.4204 0.1392
47 25.2 0.2656 0.4854 0.2197
48 46.9 0.2500 0.6642 0.4142
49 87.49 0.2344 0.8684 0.6341
50 8.39 0.2188 0.3252 0.1064
51 1.151 0.2031 0.2571 0.0540
52 1.87 0.1875 0.2637 0.0762
53 3.466 0.1719 0.2785 0.1066
54 1.6 0.1563 0.2612 0.1049
55 2.357 0.1406 0.2682 0.1276
56 2.601 0.1250 0.2704 0.1454
57 18.229 0.1094 0.4198 0.3105
58 2.135 0.0938 0.2661 0.1724
59 13.523 0.0781 0.3746 0.2965
60 0.72 0.0625 0.2531 0.1906
61 12.521 0.0469 0.3649 0.3180
62 6.768 0.0313 0.3097 0.2784
63 0.481 0.0156 0.2510 0.2353

Datos obtenidos

NORMAL LOG NORMGUMBEL GUMBEL II

0.184 0.063 0.235 0.201

La distribución que se r
utilizar es Logno
 D<d
0.1713 El valor crítico d=0.1713 con un numero de datos de 63
 Gumbel 2 Poblaciones
|F0(xm) -
n= 63 m Xm [m3/s] F0(xm) F(xm) Media Desv Est Clasificación
F(xm)|
1 36.2 0.9844 0.7837 0.2007 33.957882 45.11 79.07
2 35.7 0.9688 0.7787 0.1900
3 0 0.9531 0.1155 0.8376
4 24.74 0.9375 0.6327 0.3048
5 19.6 0.9219 0.5368 0.3850
6 46.1 0.9063 0.8570 0.0492
7 14.6 0.8906 0.4288 0.4618
8 28.6 0.8750 0.6929 0.1821
9 24.32 0.8594 0.6255 0.2339
10 11 0.8438 0.3457 0.4980
11 3.69 0.8281 0.1831 0.6450
12 5.78 0.8125 0.2269 0.5856
13 6.7 0.7969 0.2471 0.5498
14 258 0.7813 0.9422 0.1610
15 0.619 0.7656 0.1258 0.6398
16 8.69 0.7500 0.2922 0.4578
17 37.2 0.7344 0.7928 0.0585
18 3.5 0.7188 0.1793 0.5395
19 0.333 0.7031 0.1210 0.5822
20 20.3 0.6875 0.5507 0.1368
21 85.4 0.6719 0.9357 0.2638
22 85.6 0.6563 0.9358 0.2795
23 47.68 0.6406 0.8650 0.2243
24 30.5 0.6250 0.7187 0.0937
25 14.24 0.6094 0.4205 0.1889
26 23 0.5938 0.6019 0.0082
27 28.4 0.5781 0.6898 0.1116
28 60.928 0.5625 0.9095 0.3470
29 87.64 0.5469 0.9364 0.3896
30 57.6 0.5313 0.9015 0.3702
31 50.8 0.5156 0.8789 0.3633
32 21.36 0.5000 0.5713 0.0713
33 51.35 0.4844 0.8811 0.3967
34 41.64 0.4688 0.8286 0.3599
35 81.6 0.4531 0.9336 0.4805
36 20.4 0.4375 0.5525 0.1150
37 88.6 0.4219 0.9366 0.5147
38 201.486 0.4063 0.9417 0.5355
39 2.675 0.3906 0.1630 0.2276
 40 17.2 0.3750 0.4862 0.1112
41 88.8 0.3594 0.9366 0.5772
42 128.1 0.3438 0.9413 0.5975
43 18.67 0.3281 0.5173 0.1892
44 0.515 0.3125 0.1240 0.1885
45 40.04 0.2969 0.8165 0.5196
46 18.29 0.2813 0.5093 0.2281
47 25.2 0.2656 0.6398 0.3742
48 46.9 0.2500 0.8605 0.6105
49 87.49 0.2344 0.9360 0.7016
50 8.39 0.2188 0.2851 0.0663
51 1.151 0.2031 0.1349 0.0682
52 1.87 0.1875 0.1478 0.0397
53 3.466 0.1719 0.1785 0.0066
54 1.6 0.1563 0.1429 0.0133
55 2.357 0.1406 0.1569 0.0163
56 2.601 0.1250 0.1615 0.0365
57 18.229 0.1094 0.5079 0.3986
58 2.135 0.0938 0.1527 0.0590
59 13.523 0.0781 0.4038 0.3257
60 0.72 0.0625 0.1274 0.0649
61 12.521 0.0469 0.3807 0.3338
62 6.768 0.0313 0.2484 0.2171
63 0.481 0.0156 0.1233 0.1077

os
Función Kolmogorov
PEARSON Normal 0.184
0.085 Lognormal 0.063
Gumbel 0.235
Gumbel 2P 0.201
Pearson III 0.244
}

tribución que se recomienda

utilizar es Lognormal
numero de datos de 63
 Ciclonico No ciclonico

n2 = 10 n1 = 58 p n = 63 m Xm [m3/s] F0(xm)

x2 = 119.27 x1 = 19.25 0.9206349 1 36.2 0.9844

S2 = 61.158 S1 = 17.45 2 35.7 0.9688
α2 = 0.01553 α1 = 0.0671676 3 0 0.9531
β2 = 87.38 β1 = 11.039011 4 24.74 0.9375
5 19.6 0.9219
6 46.1 0.9063
7 14.6 0.8906
8 28.6 0.8750
9 24.32 0.8594
10 11 0.8438
11 3.69 0.8281
12 5.78 0.8125
13 6.7 0.7969
14 258 0.7813
15 0.619 0.7656
16 8.69 0.7500
17 37.2 0.7344
18 3.5 0.7188
19 0.333 0.7031
20 20.3 0.6875
21 85.4 0.6719
22 85.6 0.6563
23 47.68 0.6406
24 30.5 0.6250
25 14.24 0.6094
26 23 0.5938
27 28.4 0.5781
28 60.928 0.5625
29 87.64 0.5469
30 57.6 0.5313
31 50.8 0.5156
32 21.36 0.5000
33 51.35 0.4844
34 41.64 0.4688
35 81.6 0.4531
36 20.4 0.4375
37 88.6 0.4219
38 201.486 0.4063
39 2.675 0.3906
40 17.2 0.3750
41 88.8 0.3594
42 128.1 0.3438
43 18.67 0.3281
44 0.515 0.3125
45 40.04 0.2969
46 18.29 0.2813
47 25.2 0.2656
48 46.9 0.2500
49 87.49 0.2344
50 8.39 0.2188
51 1.151 0.2031
52 1.87 0.1875
53 3.466 0.1719
54 1.6 0.1563
55 2.357 0.1406
56 2.601 0.1250
57 18.229 0.1094
58 2.135 0.0938
59 13.523 0.0781
60 0.72 0.0625
61 12.521 0.0469
62 6.768 0.0313
63 0.481 0.0156
 Pearson III
|F0(xm) -
Y X2 F(xm) Media Desv Est Sesgo α
F(xm)|
0.4820025 0.9640051 0.9672 0.0172 33.957882 45.11 2.9857062 67.346164
0.4745782 0.9491564 0.9671 0.0016
0.0555188 0.1110376 0.8712 0.0819
0.3118369 0.6236739 0.8820 0.0555
0.2355148 0.4710297 0.8023 0.1196
0.6290042 1.2580084 0.8368 0.0694
0.1612716 0.3225431 0.6753 0.2153
0.3691527 0.7383055 0.7146 0.1604
0.3056005 0.611201 0.7026 0.1568
0.1078164 0.2156328 0.6652 0.1786
0.0007273 0.0014545 0.6449 0.1832
0.0303064 0.0606128 0.6505 0.1620
0.0439672 0.0879344 0.6531 0.1438
3.7754343 7.5508687 1.3585 0.5772
0.0463275 0.092655 0.6536 0.1121
0.073516 0.147032 0.5368 0.2132
0.4968512 0.9937024 0.6859 0.0485
0.0035485 0.007097 0.5122 0.2066
0.0505742 0.1011484 0.5287 0.1744
0.2459089 0.4918178 0.5975 0.0900
1.2125564 2.4251128 0.9379 0.2660
1.2155261 2.4310522 0.9389 0.2827
0.6524651 1.3049302 0.7631 0.1225
0.3973652 0.7947304 0.6237 0.0013
0.1559261 0.3118521 0.4918 0.1176
0.2860003 0.5720005 0.5628 0.0309
0.366183 0.732366 0.6067 0.0285
0.8491801 1.6983602 0.8706 0.3081
1.2458174 2.4916347 1.0873 0.5405
0.7997638 1.5995275 0.8436 0.3123
0.6987929 1.3975858 0.8726 0.3569
0.2616485 0.523297 0.5270 0.0270
0.7069597 1.4139193 0.8790 0.3946
0.5627792 1.1255584 0.7650 0.2963
1.1561315 2.312263 1.2341 0.7810
0.2473938 0.4947875 0.5157 0.0782
1.2600721 2.5201442 1.3163 0.8944
2.9362774 5.8725548 2.6413 2.2351
0.0157987 0.0315973 0.3326 0.0580
0.1998781 0.3997561 0.4782 0.1032
1.2630418 2.5260836 1.6506 1.2912
1.846594 3.693188 2.2990 1.9552
0.2217056 0.4434112 0.4936 0.1654
0.0478717 0.0957435 0.3004 0.0121
0.5390214 1.0780427 0.8461 0.5493
0.2160631 0.4321262 0.4873 0.2060
0.3186673 0.6373346 0.6853 0.4197
0.6408831 1.2817663 1.1927 0.9427
1.2435901 2.4871802 2.1419 1.9075
0.0690614 0.1381228 0.2922 0.0735
0.038428 0.076856 0.2440 0.0409
0.0277518 0.0555036 0.2272 0.0397
0.0040534 0.0081067 0.1898 0.0180
0.031761 0.0635219 0.2335 0.0772
0.0205205 0.041041 0.2158 0.0752
0.0168975 0.0337949 0.2101 0.0851
0.2151573 0.4303147 0.6361 0.5267
0.0238169 0.0476339 0.1805 0.0868
0.1452796 0.2905591 2.4380 2.3599
0.0448278 0.0896555 0.0541 0.0084
0.1304012 0.2608024 0.1888 0.1419
0.0449769 0.0899538 0.2543 0.2230
0.0483766 0.0967532 0.2596 0.2440
 Grado de
β δ Interpolación x0 x1 y0 y1 x
libertad
0.4487101 3.7389786 1 0.9672 6.635 7.879 0.99 0.995 0.9640051
0.9671 6.635 7.879 0.99 0.995 0.9491564
0.8712 3.841 5.024 0.95 0.975 0.1110376
0.8820 3.841 5.024 0.95 0.975 0.6236739
0.8023 2.7 3.841 0.9 0.95 0.4710297
0.8368 2.7 3.841 0.9 0.95 1.2580084
0.6753 1.642 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.3225431
0.7146 1.642 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.7383055
0.7026 1.642 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.611201
0.6652 1.642 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.2156328
0.6449 1.642 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.0014545
0.6505 1.642 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.0606128
0.6531 1.642 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.0879344
1.3585 1.642 2.7 0.8 0.9 7.5508687
0.6536 1.642 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.092655
0.5368 1.074 1.642 0.7 0.8 0.147032
0.6859 1.074 1.642 0.7 0.8 0.9937024
0.5122 1.074 1.642 0.7 0.8 0.007097
0.5287 1.074 1.642 0.7 0.8 0.1011484
0.5975 1.074 1.642 0.7 0.8 0.4918178
0.9379 1.074 1.642 0.7 0.8 2.4251128
0.9389 1.074 1.642 0.7 0.8 2.4310522
0.7631 0.708 1.074 0.6 0.7 1.3049302
0.6237 0.708 1.074 0.6 0.7 0.7947304
0.4918 0.708 1.074 0.6 0.7 0.3118521
0.5628 0.708 1.074 0.6 0.7 0.5720005
0.6067 0.708 1.074 0.6 0.7 0.732366
0.8706 0.708 1.074 0.6 0.7 1.6983602
1.0873 0.708 1.074 0.6 0.7 2.4916347
0.8436 0.708 1.074 0.6 0.7 1.5995275
0.8726 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 1.3975858
0.5270 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 0.523297
0.8790 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 1.4139193
0.7650 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 1.1255584
1.2341 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 2.312263
0.5157 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 0.4947875
1.3163 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 2.5201442
2.6413 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 5.8725548
0.3326 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 0.0315973
0.4782 0.455 0.708 0.5 0.6 0.3997561
1.6506 0.275 0.455 0.4 0.5 2.5260836
2.2990 0.275 0.455 0.4 0.5 3.693188
0.4936 0.275 0.455 0.4 0.5 0.4434112
0.3004 0.275 0.455 0.4 0.5 0.0957435
0.8461 0.275 0.455 0.4 0.5 1.0780427
0.4873 0.275 0.455 0.4 0.5 0.4321262
0.6853 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.6373346
1.1927 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 1.2817663
2.1419 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 2.4871802
0.2922 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.1381228
0.2440 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.076856
0.2272 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.0555036
0.1898 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.0081067
0.2335 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.0635219
0.2158 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.041041
0.2101 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.0337949
0.6361 0.064 0.148 0.2 0.3 0.4303147
0.1805 0.064 0.148 0.2 0.3 0.0476339
2.4380 0.001 0.004 0.025 0.05 0.2905591
0.0541 0.148 0.275 0.1 0.2 0.0896555
0.1888 0.148 0.275 0.1 0.2 0.2608024
0.2543 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.0899538
0.2596 0.148 0.275 0.3 0.4 0.0967532
 DISTRIBUCION NORMAL DISTRIBUCIÓ
Gasto
n Año Gasto (m3/s) (m3/s) n
ordenados

1 1939 36.2 36.2 1

2 1940 35.7 35.7 2

3 1941 0 0 3
4 1942 24.74 24.74 4

5 1943 19.6 19.6 5

6 1944 46.1 46.1 6

7 1945 14.6 14.6 7
8 1946 28.6 28.6 8
9 1947 24.32 24.32 9
10 1948 11 11 10
11 1949 3.69 3.69 11
12 1950 5.78 5.78 12
13 1951 6.7 6.7 13
14 1952 258 258 14
15 1953 0.619 0.619 15
16 1954 8.69 8.69 16
17 1955 37.2 37.2 17
18 1956 3.5 3.5 18
19 1957 0.333 0.333 19
20 1958 20.3 20.3 20
21 1959 85.4 85.4 21
22 1960 85.6 85.6 22
23 1961 47.68 47.68 23
24 1962 30.5 30.5 24
25 1963 14.24 14.24 25
26 1964 23 23 26
27 1965 28.4 28.4 27
28 1966 60.928 60.928 28
29 1967 87.64 87.64 29
30 1968 57.6 57.6 30
31 1969 50.8 50.8 31
32 1970 21.36 21.36 32
33 1971 51.35 51.35 33
34 1972 41.64 41.64 34
35 1973 81.6 81.6 35
 36 1974 20.4 20.4 36
37 1975 88.6 88.6 37
38 1976 201.486 201.486 38
39 1977 2.675 2.675 39
40 1978 17.2 17.2 40
41 1979 88.8 88.8 41
42 1980 128.1 128.1 42
43 1981 18.67 18.67 43
44 1982 0.515 0.515 44
45 1983 40.04 40.04 45
46 1984 18.29 18.29 46
47 1985 25.2 25.2 47
48 1986 46.9 46.9 48
49 1987 87.49 87.49 49
50 1988 8.39 8.39 50
51 1989 1.151 1.151 51
52 1990 1.87 1.87 52
53 1991 3.466 3.466 53
54 1992 1.6 1.6 54
55 1993 2.357 2.357 55
56 1994 2.601 2.601 56
57 1995 18.229 18.229 57
58 1996 2.135 2.135 58
59 1997 13.523 13.523 59
60 1998 0.72 0.72 60
61 1999 12.521 12.521 61
62 2000 6.768 6.768 62
63 2001 0.481 0.481 63

Regla de Sturges Regla de Sturges

K= 1+Log2n K= 1+Log2n

LIMITE LIMITE
0
INFERIOR INFERIOR
LIMITE LIMITE
SUPERIO 1400 SUPERIO
R R
n= 63 n=
K= 6.9774093 7 K=
233.33333
Amplitud= 200 Amplitud=

LIMITE NÚMERO
INTERVAL LIMITE MARCA INTERVAL
SUPERIO OBSERVA
O INFERIOR DE CLASE O
R DO
1 0 200 100 36 1
 2 200 400 300 19 2
3 400 600 500 3 3
4 600 800 700 3 4
5 800 1000 900 0 5
6 1000 1200 1100 0 6
7 1200.0 1400.0 1300 2 7
n= 63

Media Desviación
33.784353 45.221453

INTERVAL
x z F(li)
O
LIMITE INFERIOR

LIMITE INFERIOR
1 0 -0.75 0.228
2 200 3.68 1.000
3 400 8.10 1.000
4 600 12.52 1.000
5 800 16.94 1.000
6 1000 21.37 1.000
7 1200 25.79 1.000

INTERVAL
x z F(Si)
O
LIMITE SUPERIOR

LIMITE SUPERIOR
1 200 3.68 1.000
2 400 8.10 1.000
3 600 12.52 1.000
4 800 16.94 1.000
5 1000 21.37 1.000
6 1200 25.79 1.000
7 1400 30.21 1.000

NÚMERO
INTERVAL INTERVAL
F(Si) F(li) ESPERAD D
O O
O Ei
1 1.000 0.228 48.660 3.294 1
2 1.000 0.405 37.473 9.106 2
3 1.000 0.726 17.254 11.776 3
4 1.000 0.925 4.701 0.616 4
5 1.000 0.989 0.706 0.706 5
6 1.000 0.999 0.056 0.056 6
7 1.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 7
108.850 25.55
DISTRIBUCIÓN LOGNORMAL DISTRIBUCIÓN DE GUMBEL
Gasto
Año Gasto (m3/s) (m3/s) n Año Gasto (m3/s)
ordenados Ln(Xi)

1939 36.2 1266.8 1 1939 36.2

7.1442493
1940 35.7 1266 7.1436176 2 1940 35.7
1941 0 708.52 6.5631783 3 1941 0
1942 24.74 692.8 6.5407414 4 1942 24.74

1943 19.6 657.4 5 1943 19.6

6.4882927
1944 46.1 537.7 6.2873008 6 1944 46.1
1945 14.6 483 6.1800167 7 1945 14.6
1946 28.6 411.3 6.0193229 8 1946 28.6
1947 24.32 380.2 9 1947 24.32
5.9406974
1948 11 379.667 5.9392946 10 1948 11
1949 3.69 361.622 5.8905995 11 1949 3.69
1950 5.78 356.23 5.8755766 12 1950 5.78
1951 6.7 337.832 5.8225487 13 1951 6.7
1952 258 337.403 5.8212781 14 1952 258
1953 0.619 335.691 5.8161911 15 1953 0.619
1954 8.69 311.44 5.7412067 16 1954 8.69
1955 37.2 304 5.7170277 17 1955 37.2
1956 3.5 298.835 5.6998916 18 1956 3.5
1957 0.333 297.143 5.6942135 19 1957 0.333
1958 20.3 288.92 5.6661498 20 1958 20.3
1959 85.4 263.5 5.5740534 21 1959 85.4
1960 85.6 261 5.5645204 22 1960 85.6
1961 47.68 230.516 5.4403203 23 1961 47.68
1962 30.5 225 5.4161004 24 1962 30.5
1963 14.24 215.9 5.3748153 25 1963 14.24
1964 23 209.11 5.3428604 26 1964 23
1965 28.4 208 5.3375381 27 1965 28.4
1966 60.928 198.5 5.2907891 28 1966 60.928
1967 87.64 193.95 5.2676004 29 1967 87.64
1968 57.6 188.67 5.2399995 30 1968 57.6
1969 50.8 178 5.1817836 31 1969 50.8
1970 21.36 174 5.1590553 32 1970 21.36
1971 51.35 173 5.1532916 33 1971 51.35
1972 41.64 172.762 5.1519149 34 1972 41.64
1973 81.6 169.445 5.1325284 35 1973 81.6
 1974 20.4 167.2 5.1191907 36 1974 20.4
1975 88.6 161.3 5.083266 37 1975 88.6
1976 201.486 151 5.0172798 38 1976 201.486
1977 2.675 149.13 5.0048184 39 1977 2.675
1978 17.2 148.548 5.0009081 40 1978 17.2
1979 88.8 145.35 4.9791446 41 1979 88.8
1980 128.1 136.14 4.9136838 42 1980 128.1
1981 18.67 131.58 4.879615 43 1981 18.67
1982 0.515 126.086 4.8369642 44 1982 0.515
1983 40.04 124.431 4.8237513 45 1983 40.04
1984 18.29 123.8 4.8186674 46 1984 18.29
1985 25.2 118.357 4.7737055 47 1985 25.2
1986 46.9 117.714 4.768258 48 1986 46.9
1987 87.49 116.236 4.7556226 49 1987 87.49
1988 8.39 115.454 4.7488722 50 1988 8.39
1989 1.151 114.511 4.7406709 51 1989 1.151
1990 1.87 109.6 4.6968374 52 1990 1.87
1991 3.466 108.288 4.6847943 53 1991 3.466
1992 1.6 107 4.6728288 54 1992 1.6
1993 2.357 106 4.6634391 55 1993 2.357
1994 2.601 106 4.6634391 56 1994 2.601
1995 18.229 90.752 4.5081305 57 1995 18.229
1996 2.135 87.04 4.4663678 58 1996 2.135
1997 13.523 69.72 4.2444872 59 1997 13.523
1998 0.72 53.519 3.9800367 60 1998 0.72
1999 12.521 48.018 3.8715759 61 1999 12.521
2000 6.768 44.443 3.7942075 62 2000 6.768
2001 0.481 43.187 3.7655395 63 2001 0.481

Regla de Sturges Regla de Sturges

K= 1+Log2n K= 1+Log2n

LIMITE
0 0
INFERIOR
LIMITE
14 SUPERIO 1400
R
63 n= 63
6.9774093 7 K= 6.9774093 7
2.3333333 233.33333
2 Amplitud= 200

LIMITE NÚMERO LIMITE

LIMITE MARCA INTERVAL LIMITE
SUPERIO OBSERVA SUPERIO
INFERIOR DE CLASE O INFERIOR
R DO R
0 2 1 0 1 0 200
 2 4 3 4 2 200 400
4 6 5 51 3 400 600
6 8 7 8 4 600 800
8 10 9 0 5 800 1000
10 12 11 0 6 1000 1200
12.0 14.0 13 0 7 1200.0 1400.0
n= 63

Media Desviación Media Desviación α

5.3 0.8 33.957882 45.112385 0.0262314

INTERVAL INTERVAL
x z F(li) x
O O

LIMITE INFERIOR
1 0 0.000 1 0
2 2 -5.76 0.000 2 200
3 4 -4.89 0.052 3 400
4 6 -4.39 0.809 4 600
5 8 -4.03 1.000 5 800
6 10 -3.75 1.000 6 1000
7 12 -3.52 1.000 7 1200.0

INTERVAL INTERVAL
x z F(Si) x
O O
LIMITE SUPERIOR

1 2 -5.76 0.000 1 200

2 4 -4.89 0.052 2 400
3 6 -4.39 0.809 3 600
4 8 -4.03 1.000 4 800
5 10 -3.75 1.000 5 1000
6 12 -3.52 1.000 6 1200
7 14 -3.33 1.000 7 1400.0

NÚMERO
INTERVAL
F(Si) F(li) ESPERAD D F(Si) F(li)
O
O Ei
0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 1 0.993 0.247
0.052 0.000 3.280 0.158 2 1.000 0.993
0.809 0.052 47.699 0.228 3 1.000 1.000
1.000 0.809 11.996 1.331 4 1.000 1.000
1.000 1.000 0.023 0.023 5 1.000 1.000
1.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 6 1.000 1.000
1.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 7 1.000 1.000
63.000 1.74
DE GUMBEL DISTRIBUCIÓN DE GUMBEL DOS POBLACIONES
Gasto Gasto
(m3/s) n Año Gasto (m3/s) (m3/s)
ordenados ordenados

1266.8 1 1939 36.2 1266.8

1266 2 1940 35.7 1266

708.52 3 1941 0 708.52
692.8 4 1942 24.74 692.8

657.4 5 1943 19.6 657.4

537.7 6 1944 46.1 537.7

483 7 1945 14.6 483
411.3 8 1946 28.6 411.3
380.2 9 1947 24.32 380.2
379.667 10 1948 11 379.667
361.622 11 1949 3.69 361.622
356.23 12 1950 5.78 356.23
337.832 13 1951 6.7 337.832
337.403 14 1952 258 337.403
335.691 15 1953 0.619 335.691
311.44 16 1954 8.69 311.44
304 17 1955 37.2 304
298.835 18 1956 3.5 298.835
297.143 19 1957 0.333 297.143
288.92 20 1958 20.3 288.92
263.5 21 1959 85.4 263.5
261 22 1960 85.6 261
230.516 23 1961 47.68 230.516
225 24 1962 30.5 225
215.9 25 1963 14.24 215.9
209.11 26 1964 23 209.11
208 27 1965 28.4 208
198.5 28 1966 60.928 198.5
193.95 29 1967 87.64 193.95
188.67 30 1968 57.6 188.67
178 31 1969 50.8 178
174 32 1970 21.36 174
173 33 1971 51.35 173
172.762 34 1972 41.64 172.762
169.445 35 1973 81.6 169.445
 167.2 36 1974 20.4 167.2
161.3 37 1975 88.6 161.3
151 38 1976 201.486 151
149.13 39 1977 2.675 149.13
148.548 40 1978 17.2 148.548
145.35 41 1979 88.8 145.35
136.14 42 1980 128.1 136.14
131.58 43 1981 18.67 131.58
126.086 44 1982 0.515 126.086
124.431 45 1983 40.04 124.431
123.8 46 1984 18.29 123.8
118.357 47 1985 25.2 118.357
117.714 48 1986 46.9 117.714
116.236 49 1987 87.49 116.236
115.454 50 1988 8.39 115.454
114.511 51 1989 1.151 114.511
109.6 52 1990 1.87 109.6
108.288 53 1991 3.466 108.288
107 54 1992 1.6 107
106 55 1993 2.357 106
106 56 1994 2.601 106
90.752 57 1995 18.229 90.752
87.04 58 1996 2.135 87.04
69.72 59 1997 13.523 69.72
53.519 60 1998 0.72 53.519
48.018 61 1999 12.521 48.018
44.443 62 2000 6.768 44.443
43.187 63 2001 0.481 43.187

Regla de Sturges
K= 1+Log2n

LIMITE
0
INFERIOR
LIMITE
SUPERIO 1400
R
n= 63
K= 6.9774093 7
233.33333
Amplitud= 200

LIMITE
MARCA NÚMERO INTERVAL LIMITE MARCA
SUPERIO
DE CLASE OBSERVADO O INFERIOR DE CLASE
R
100 36 1 0 200 100
 300 19 2 200 400 300
500 3 3 400 600 500
700 3 4 600 800 700
900 0 5 800 1000 900
1100 0 6 1000 1200 1100
1300 2 7 1200.0 1400.0 1300
n= 63 n=

β α2 = 0.01553 α1 = 0.0671676
12.827463 β2 = 87.38 β1 = 11.039011
p 0.8529412
INTERVAL
F(li) x F(li)
O

LIMITE INFERIOR
0.25 1 0 0.005
0.99 2 200 0.529
1.00 3 400 0.864
1.00 4 600 0.926
1.00 5 800 0.951
1.00 6 1000 0.969
1.00 7 1200.0 0.981

INTERVAL
F(Si) x F(Si)
O
LIMITE SUPERIOR

0.993 1 200 0.529

1.000 2 400 0.864
1.000 3 600 0.926
1.000 4 800 0.951
1.000 5 1000 0.969
1.000 6 1200 0.981
1.000 7 1400.0 0.989

NÚMERO NÚMERO
INTERVAL
ESPERAD D F(Si) F(li) ESPERAD
O
O Ei O Ei
47.002 2.575 1 0.529 0.005 32.968
0.460 746.549 2 0.864 0.529 21.111
0.002 3691.677 3 0.926 0.864 3.890
0.000 702012.843 4 0.951 0.926 1.586
0.000 0.000 5 0.969 0.951 1.129
0.000 0.000 6 0.981 0.969 0.782
0.000 2133901742412.720 7 0.989 0.981 0.497
47.465 2.58 61.963
EL DOS POBLACIONES DISTRIBUCIÓN DE PEARSON TIPO III
Gasto
n Año Gasto (m3/s) (m3/s)
ordenados

1 1939 36.2 1266.8

2 1940 35.7 1266

3 1941 0 708.52
4 1942 24.74 692.8

5 1943 19.6 657.4

6 1944 46.1 537.7

7 1945 14.6 483
8 1946 28.6 411.3
9 1947 24.32 380.2
10 1948 11 379.667
11 1949 3.69 361.622
12 1950 5.78 356.23
13 1951 6.7 337.832
14 1952 258 337.403
15 1953 0.619 335.691
16 1954 8.69 311.44
17 1955 37.2 304
18 1956 3.5 298.835
19 1957 0.333 297.143
20 1958 20.3 288.92
21 1959 85.4 263.5
22 1960 85.6 261
23 1961 47.68 230.516
24 1962 30.5 225
25 1963 14.24 215.9
26 1964 23 209.11
27 1965 28.4 208
28 1966 60.928 198.5
29 1967 87.64 193.95
30 1968 57.6 188.67
31 1969 50.8 178
32 1970 21.36 174
33 1971 51.35 173
34 1972 41.64 172.762
35 1973 81.6 169.445
 36 1974 20.4 167.2
37 1975 88.6 161.3
38 1976 201.486 151
39 1977 2.675 149.13
40 1978 17.2 148.548
41 1979 88.8 145.35
42 1980 128.1 136.14
43 1981 18.67 131.58
44 1982 0.515 126.086
45 1983 40.04 124.431
46 1984 18.29 123.8
47 1985 25.2 118.357
48 1986 46.9 117.714
49 1987 87.49 116.236
50 1988 8.39 115.454
51 1989 1.151 114.511
52 1990 1.87 109.6
53 1991 3.466 108.288
54 1992 1.6 107
55 1993 2.357 106
56 1994 2.601 106
57 1995 18.229 90.752
58 1996 2.135 87.04
59 1997 13.523 69.72
60 1998 0.72 53.519
61 1999 12.521 48.018
62 2000 6.768 44.443
63 2001 0.481 43.187

Regla de Sturges
K= 1+Log2n

LIMITE
0
INFERIOR
LIMITE
SUPERIO 1400
R
n= 63
K= 6.9774093 7
233.33333
Amplitud= 200

NÚMERO LIMITE NÚMERO

INTERVAL LIMITE MARCA
OBSERVA SUPERIO OBSERVA
O INFERIOR DE CLASE
DO R DO
36 1 0 200 100 36
 19 2 200 400 300 19
3 3 400 600 500 3
3 4 600 800 700 3
0 5 800 1000 900 0
0 6 1000 1200 1100 0
2 7 1200.0 1400.0 1300 2
63 n= 63

Media Desv Est Media Desv Est Sesgo α β

33.957882 45.11 33.957882 45.11 2.9857062 67.346164 0.4487101

INTERVAL
x y x2
O
LIMITE INFERIOR
1 0 -0.753 -1.505
2 200 3.681 7.361
3 400 8.114 16.228
4 600 12.547 25.095
5 800 16.981 33.961
6 1000 21.414 42.828
7 1200.0 25.847 51.695

INTERVAL
x y x2
O
LIMITE SUPERIOR

1 200 3.681 7.361

2 400 8.114 16.228
3 600 12.547 25.095
4 800 16.981 33.961
5 1000 21.414 42.828
6 1200 25.847 51.695
7 1400.0 30.281 60.562

NÚMERO
INTERVAL
D F(Si) F(li) ESPERAD D
O
O Ei
0.279 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0.211 2 0.723 0.000 45.549 15.475
0.204 3 0.908 0.723 11.655 6.427
1.260 4 0.965 0.908 3.591 0.097
1.129 5 0.986 0.965 1.323 1.323
0.782 6 0.995 0.986 0.567 0.567
4.548 7 0.997 0.995 0.126 27.872
8.41 62.811 51.76
IPO III

Función
de
D
distribució
n
Normal 25.55
LogNormal 1.74
Gumbel 2.58
Gumbel 2
poblacione 8.41
s
Pearson III 51.76

El valor más común usado para α

es de 0.05

5%
Metodo D X2
NORMAL 25.554 9.488
LOG NORMAL 1.742 9.488
GUMBEL 2.575 9.488
GUMBEL DOS POBLACIONES
8.412 5.991
PEARSON TIPO III 51.761 7.815

La distribución que se recomienda utiliza

LOGNORMAL
 δ Grado de libertad
3.7389786 1

F(li)

0.000
0.000
0.723
0.908
0.965
0.986
0.995

F(Si)

0.000
0.723
0.908
0.965
0.986
0.995
0.997
omienda utilizar es
AL
 Año Precipitacion (mm)
1 1961 68.96 n= 33
2 1962 75.98
3 1963 69.68 x ̄= 66.7121
4 1964 47.53
5 1965 76.7 S= 16.0839
6 1966 73.66
7 1967 92.52
8 1968 79.76
9 1969 65.08
10 1970 71.13
11 1971 66.51
12 1972 64.43
13 1973 84.08
14 1974 61.56
15 1975 75.33
16 1976 87.8
17 1977 60.14
18 1978 70.32
19 1979 54.42
20 1980 75.38
21 1981 57.13
22 1982 62.66
23 1983 65.58
24 1984 57.25
25 1985 74.81
26 1986 58.46
27 1987 2.2
28 1988 57.02
29 1989 58.29
30 1990 63.72
31 1991 91.93
32 1992 52.27
33 1993 79.21

T P(x) z X
2 0.5 0 66.7121
5 0.8 0.85 80.3834
10 0.9 1.29 87.4603
20 0.95 1.65 93.2505
50 0.98 2.06 99.8449
100 0.99 2.33 104.1876
500 0.998 2.88 113.0337
1000 0.999 3.09 116.4113
5000 0.9998 3.54 123.6491
10000 0.9999 3.73 126.7050
Año Precipitacion (mm) In Hp In Hp -x ̄ (In Hp -x ̄)^2
1961 68.96 4.2335 0.1204 0.0145
1962 75.98 4.3305 0.2173 0.0472
1963 69.68 4.2439 0.1308 0.0171
1964 47.53 3.8614 -0.2518 0.0634
1965 76.7 4.3399 0.2267 0.0514
1966 73.66 4.2995 0.1863 0.0347
1967 92.52 4.5274 0.4143 0.1716
1968 79.76 4.3790 0.2659 0.0707
1969 65.08 4.1756 0.0625 0.0039
1970 71.13 4.2645 0.1514 0.0229
1971 66.51 4.1974 0.0842 0.0071
1972 64.43 4.1656 0.0524 0.0027
1973 84.08 4.4318 0.3186 0.1015
1974 61.56 4.1200 0.0069 0.0000
1975 75.33 4.3219 0.2087 0.0436
1976 87.8 4.4751 0.3619 0.1310
1977 60.14 4.0967 -0.0165 0.0003
1978 70.32 4.2531 0.1399 0.0196
1979 54.42 3.9967 -0.1164 0.0136
1980 75.38 4.3225 0.2094 0.0438
1981 57.13 4.0453 -0.0678 0.0046
1982 62.66 4.1377 0.0246 0.0006
1983 65.58 4.1833 0.0701 0.0049
1984 57.25 4.0474 -0.0657 0.0043
1985 74.81 4.3150 0.2018 0.0407
1986 58.46 4.0683 -0.0448 0.0020
1987 2.2 0.7885 -3.3247 11.0536
1988 57.02 4.0434 -0.0698 0.0049
1989 58.29 4.0654 -0.0477 0.0023
1990 63.72 4.1545 0.0413 0.0017
1991 91.93 4.5210 0.4079 0.1664
1992 52.27 3.9564 -0.1567 0.0246
1993 79.21 4.3721 0.2589 0.0671
135.7343 12.2382

T P(x) z X
2 0.5 0 61.1396
5 0.8 0.85 102.5953
10 0.9 1.29 134.1210
20 0.95 1.65 166.9969
50 0.98 2.06 214.3600
100 0.99 2.33 252.6693
500 0.998 2.88 353.1949
1000 0.999 3.09 401.3789
5000 0.9998 3.54 527.9209
10000 0.9999 3.73 592.6788
n= 33

x ̄= 4.1132

S= 0.6090
Año Precipitacion (mm)
1961 68.96 n= 33
1962 75.98
1963 69.68 x ̄= 66.7121
1964 47.53
1965 76.7 S= 16.0839
1966 73.66
1967 92.52 n<= 100
1968 79.76
1969 65.08 α= σy β=
1970 71.13 S
1971 66.51
1972 64.43 Interpolando:
1973 84.08
1974 61.56
1975 75.33
1976 87.8
1977 60.14
1978 70.32
1979 54.42
1980 75.38 σy= 1.12206
1981 57.13 uy= 0.53866
1982 62.66
1983 65.58 α= 0.069763 β=
1984 57.25
1985 74.81
1986 58.46
1987 2.2
1988 57.02
1989 58.29
1990 63.72
1991 91.93
1992 52.27
1993 79.21

T T/(T-1) α β X
2 2.0000 0.0698 58.9908 64.2445
5 1.2500 0.0698 58.9908 80.4913
10 1.1111 0.0698 58.9908 91.2482
20 1.0526 0.0698 58.9908 101.5664
50 1.0204 0.0698 58.9908 114.9222
100 1.0101 0.0698 58.9908 124.9305
500 1.0020 0.0698 58.9908 148.0582
1000 1.0010 0.0698 58.9908 158.0012
5000 1.0002 0.0698 58.9908 181.0770
10000 1.0001 0.0698 58.9908 191.0134
x ̄ - uy/α

58.9908
 Año Precipitacion (mm) Año Precipitacion (mm)
1961 68.96 1 92.52
1962 75.98 2 91.93
1963 69.68 3 87.8
1964 47.53 4 84.08
1965 76.7 5 79.76
1966 73.66 6 79.21
1967 92.52 7 76.7
1968 79.76 8 75.98
1969 65.08 9 75.38
1970 71.13 10 75.33
1971 66.51 11 74.81
1972 64.43 12 73.66
1973 84.08 13 71.13
1974 61.56 14 70.32
1975 75.33 15 69.68
1976 87.8 16 68.96
1977 60.14 17 66.51
1978 70.32 18 65.58
1979 54.42 19 65.08
1980 75.38 20 64.43
1981 57.13 21 63.72
1982 62.66 22 62.66
1983 65.58 23 61.56
1984 57.25 24 60.14
1985 74.81 25 58.46
1986 58.46 26 58.29
1987 2.2 27 57.25
1988 57.02 28 57.13
1989 58.29 29 57.02
1990 63.72 30 54.42
1991 91.93 31 52.27
1992 52.27 32 47.53
1993 79.21 33 2.2
 Datos no ciclonicos Datos ciclonicos
T (T-1)/ T= F(x) α1 β1 α2
2 0.5000 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
5 0.8000 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
10 0.9000 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
20 0.9500 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
50 0.9800 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
100 0.9900 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
500 0.9980 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
1000 0.9990 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
5000 0.9998 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
10000 0.9999 0.0760 56.5851 0.2410
Clasificacion
Ciclonico n= 33
Ciclonico
Ciclonico x ̄= 66.7121
Ciclonico
No Ciclonico S= 16.0839
No Ciclonico
No Ciclonico Clasificacion= x ̄ +S
No Ciclonico Clasificacion= 82.7960
No Ciclonico
No Ciclonico Ciclonicos
No ciclonico
No ciclonico n= 4
No ciclonico x ̄= 89.0825
No ciclonico S= 3.9410014
No ciclonico
No ciclonico No ciclonicos
No ciclonico
No ciclonico n= 29
No ciclonico x ̄= 63.626552
No ciclonico S= 14.581907
No ciclonico
No ciclonico n<= 100
No ciclonico
No ciclonico α= σy β= x ̄ - uy/α
No ciclonico S
No ciclonico
No ciclonico Ciclonicos
No ciclonico
No ciclonico σy= 0.9496 uy= 0.4952
No ciclonico
No ciclonico α2 = 0.240954 β2 = 87.0273359
No ciclonico
No ciclonico No ciclonicos

Interpolando:

σy= 1.1082
uy= 0.53514

α1 = 0.0759983 β1 = 56.5851
 Probabilidad de eventos no ciclonicos

P= Nn Nn= 29
NT NT= 33

P= 0.8787879

F(x)=P(X<=x)= T-1
T

Datos ciclonicos
β2 P X
87.0273 0.8788 20.0962
87.0273 0.8788 46.8462
87.0273 0.8788 86.0016
87.0273 0.8788 144.2583
87.0273 0.8788 211.4609
87.0273 0.8788 258.5747
87.0273 0.8788 364.2257
87.0273 0.8788 409.1660
87.0273 0.8788 513.1768
87.0273 0.8788 557.9179
 Año Gasto (m3/s) (Xi-x ̄)2 (Xi-x ̄)3
1961 68.96 5.0530 11.3584 n=
1962 75.98 85.8936 796.0513
1963 69.68 8.8083 26.1420 x ̄=
1964 47.53 367.9538 7058.1339
1965 76.7 99.7577 996.3680 S=
1966 73.66 48.2730 335.3951
1967 92.52 666.0466 17189.2501 γ=
1968 79.76 170.2471 2221.3641
1969 65.08 2.6638 4.3477 β=
1970 71.13 19.5177 86.2266
1971 66.51 0.0409 0.0083 α=
1972 64.43 5.2081 11.8855
1973 84.08 301.6432 5238.9028 δ=
1974 61.56 26.5444 136.7597
1975 75.33 74.2678 640.0312 v=
1976 87.8 444.6986 9377.7508 v=
1977 60.14 43.1928 283.8682
1978 70.32 13.0168 46.9630
1979 54.42 151.0962 1857.2933
1980 75.38 75.1321 651.2361
1981 57.13 91.8170 879.8021
1982 62.66 16.4197 66.5346
1983 65.58 1.2817 1.4510
1984 57.25 89.5317 847.1602
1985 74.81 65.5756 531.0236
1986 58.46 68.0975 561.9489
1987 2.2 4161.8138 268487.4352
1988 57.02 93.9372 910.4509
1989 58.29 70.9321 597.3990
1990 63.72 8.9528 26.7878
1991 91.93 635.9414 16037.0934
1992 52.27 208.5749 3012.2635
1993 79.21 156.1970 1952.1309
 𝑦=𝑥^2/2

𝑥=(𝑦∗𝑎)+𝛿

8278.1280 340880.8170

T (T-1)/T n x2 y α
2 0.5 1 0.455 0.2275 19.9653
5 0.8 1 1.7833 0.8917 19.9653
10 0.9 1 2.71 1.3550 19.9653
20 0.95 1 3.84 1.9200 19.9653
50 0.98 1 5.5567 2.7784 19.9653
100 0.99 1 6.63 3.3150 19.9653
500 0.998 1 7.88 3.9400 19.9653
1000 0.999 1 7.88 3.9400 19.9653
5000 0.9998 1 7.88 3.9400 19.9653
10000 0.9999 1 7.88 3.9400 19.9653
 33

66.7121

16.0839

2.4826

0.6490

19.9653

53.7551

1.29795373372712
1
=𝑥^2/2

𝑥=(𝑦∗𝑎)+𝛿

δ X
53.7551 58.2972
53.7551 71.5572
53.7551 80.8081
53.7551 92.0885
53.7551 109.2258
53.7551 119.9402
53.7551 132.4185
53.7551 132.4185
53.7551 132.4185
53.7551 132.4185
 Normal
Año Precipitacion (mm) Orden N T (años) P(x) Xo z
1961 68.96 1 34.000 0.9706 92.52 2.19
1962 75.98 2 17.000 0.9412 91.93 1.9
1963 69.68 3 11.333 0.9118 87.8 1.72
1964 47.53 4 8.500 0.8824 84.08 1.58
1965 76.7 5 6.800 0.8529 79.76 1.46
1966 73.66 6 5.667 0.8235 79.21 1.36
1967 92.52 7 4.857 0.7941 76.7 1.28
1968 79.76 8 4.250 0.7647 75.98 1.2
1969 65.08 9 3.778 0.7353 75.38 1.13
1970 71.13 10 3.400 0.7059 75.33 1.06
1971 66.51 11 3.091 0.6765 74.81 1
1972 64.43 12 2.833 0.6471 73.66 0.94
1973 84.08 13 2.615 0.6176 71.13 0.89
1974 61.56 14 2.429 0.5882 70.32 0.84
1975 75.33 15 2.267 0.5588 69.68 0.79
1976 87.8 16 2.125 0.5294 68.96 0.74
1977 60.14 17 2.000 0.5000 66.51 0.69
1978 70.32 18 1.889 0.4706 65.58 0.65
1979 54.42 19 1.789 0.4412 65.08 0.6
1980 75.38 20 1.700 0.4118 64.43 0.56
1981 57.13 21 1.619 0.3824 63.72 0.52
1982 62.66 22 1.545 0.3529 62.66 0.48
1983 65.58 23 1.478 0.3235 61.56 0.44
1984 57.25 24 1.417 0.2941 60.14 0.4
1985 74.81 25 1.360 0.2647 58.46 0.36
1986 58.46 26 1.308 0.2353 58.29 0.32
1987 2.2 27 1.259 0.2059 57.25 0.28
1988 57.02 28 1.214 0.1765 57.13 0.24
1989 58.29 29 1.172 0.1471 57.02 0.21
1990 63.72 30 1.133 0.1176 54.42 0.17
1991 91.93 31 1.097 0.0882 52.27 0.13
1992 52.27 32 1.063 0.0588 47.53 0.1
33 1993 79.21 33 1.030 0.0294 2.2 0.05
 Normal Log normal Gumbel
Xei (Xei-Xo)^2 z Xei (Xei-Xo)^2 T/(T-1) Xei
101.9358 88.6580 2.19 467.063 140282.6475 1.0303 109.3251
97.2715 28.5317 1.9 292.269 40135.7387 1.0625 99.1705
94.3764 43.2492 1.72 218.482 17077.6798 1.0968 93.1338
92.1247 64.7167 1.58 174.232 8127.4361 1.1333 88.7794
90.1946 108.8809 1.46 143.510 4064.1118 1.1724 85.3436
88.5862 87.9133 1.36 122.090 1838.6657 1.2143 82.4860
87.2995 112.3494 1.28 107.279 935.0849 1.2593 80.0249
86.0128 100.6568 1.2 94.265 334.3518 1.3077 77.8516
84.8869 90.3815 1.13 84.180 77.4393 1.3600 75.8956
83.7610 71.0825 1.06 75.174 0.0244 1.4167 74.1088
82.7960 63.7764 1 68.225 43.3635 1.4783 72.4563
81.8310 66.7649 0.94 61.918 137.8633 1.5455 70.9123
81.0268 97.9463 0.89 57.111 196.5386 1.6190 69.4569
80.2226 98.0613 0.84 52.676 311.2976 1.7000 68.0744
79.4184 94.8363 0.79 48.586 444.9451 1.7895 66.7517
78.6142 93.2036 0.74 44.814 583.0408 1.8889 65.4781
77.8100 127.6901 0.69 41.334 633.8225 2.0000 64.2445
77.1666 134.2504 0.65 38.746 720.0609 2.1250 63.0426
76.3625 127.2938 0.6 35.738 860.9773 2.2667 61.8650
75.7191 127.4438 0.56 33.500 956.6714 2.4286 60.7048
75.0757 128.9529 0.52 31.402 1044.4328 2.6154 59.5549
74.4324 138.5891 0.48 29.436 1103.8293 2.8333 58.4086
73.7890 149.5492 0.44 27.593 1153.7606 3.0909 57.2584
73.1457 169.1476 0.4 25.865 1174.7599 3.4000 56.0962
72.5023 197.1868 0.36 24.246 1170.6189 3.7778 54.9123
71.8590 184.1168 0.32 22.728 1264.6872 4.2500 53.6952
71.2156 195.0383 0.28 21.304 1292.0801 4.8571 52.4299
70.5723 180.6942 0.24 19.971 1380.8274 5.6667 51.0959
70.0897 170.8181 0.21 19.025 1443.6092 6.8000 49.6632
69.4464 225.7922 0.17 17.834 1338.5433 8.5000 48.0848
68.8030 273.3410 0.13 16.717 1263.9993 11.3333 46.2769
68.3205 432.2453 0.1 15.926 998.8213 17.0000 44.0630
67.5163 4266.2211 0.05 14.689 155.9824 34.0000 40.9259
Σ= 8539.3794 Σ= 232547.7128 Σ=
C= 92.4088 C= 482.2320 C=

Distribucion a tomar: GUMBEL

 Gumbel Gumbel 2 poblaciones Pearson III
(Xei-Xo)^2 Xei (Xei-Xo)^2 x2 y Xei (Xei-Xo)^2
282.4128 233.5430 19887.4865 7.88 3.94 132.4185 1591.8888
52.4251 185.2073 8700.6547 5.02 2.51 103.8681 142.5173
28.4497 155.1093 4530.5419 5.02 2.51 103.8681 258.1826
22.0841 132.3170 2326.8082 3.84 1.92 92.0885 64.1363
31.1761 113.5648 1142.7645 3.84 1.92 92.0885 151.9923
10.7322 97.7659 344.3214 3.84 1.92 92.0885 165.8562
11.0552 84.8727 66.7930 2.71 1.355 80.8081 16.8765
3.5029 79.6927 13.7841 2.71 1.355 80.8081 23.3106
0.2659 74.4127 0.9357 2.71 1.355 80.8081 29.4643
1.4914 69.0727 39.1538 2.71 1.355 80.8081 30.0096
5.5400 63.6527 124.4853 2.71 1.355 80.8081 35.9773
7.5497 52.3440 454.3719 2.71 1.355 80.8081 51.0954
2.7991 50.4140 429.1527 2.71 1.355 80.8081 93.6657
5.0429 48.4340 478.9970 2.71 1.355 80.8081 110.0004
8.5751 46.4140 541.3068 2.71 1.355 80.8081 123.8347
12.1233 44.3640 604.9632 2.71 1.355 80.8081 140.3776
5.1324 39.7880 714.0653 2.71 1.355 80.8081 204.4358
6.4382 38.7380 720.4930 1.32 0.66 66.9322 1.8284
10.3359 37.6480 752.5146 1.32 0.66 66.9322 3.4307
13.8774 36.5280 778.5216 1.32 0.66 66.9322 6.2610
17.3478 35.3780 803.2690 1.32 0.66 66.9322 10.3182
18.0743 34.1680 811.7941 1.32 0.66 66.9322 18.2517
18.5036 30.9779 935.2648 1.32 0.66 66.9322 28.8606
16.3526 29.8479 917.6113 1.32 0.66 66.9322 46.1340
12.5860 28.6779 886.9735 1.32 0.66 66.9322 71.7782
21.1118 27.4479 951.2351 1.32 0.66 66.9322 74.6877
23.2333 26.6396 936.9966 1.32 0.66 66.9322 93.7450
36.4109 25.1696 1021.4672 1.32 0.66 66.9322 96.0832
54.1220 23.6296 1114.9188 1.32 0.66 66.9322 98.2517
40.1346 23.8337 935.5217 1.32 0.66 66.9322 156.5552
35.9176 23.0437 854.1766 1.32 0.66 66.9322 214.9802
12.0202 22.2037 641.4215 1.32 0.66 66.9322 376.4454
1499.6922 21.3137 365.3335 1.32 0.66 66.9322 4190.2579
2326.5168 Σ= 53828.0989 Σ= 8721.4905
48.2340 C= 232.0088 C= 93.3889

mar: GUMBEL
 Normal
n= 33

x ̄= 66.7121

S= 16.0839

Log normal

n= 68

x ̄= 2.6063

S= 1.6165

Gumbel

n= 68

x ̄= 61.2229

S= 18.4379

α= 0.0698
β= 58.9908

Gumbel 2 poblaciones
 Ciclonicos

n= 4
x ̄= 89.0825
S= 3.9410

α2 = 0.2410
β2 = 87.0273

No ciclonicos

n= 29
x ̄= 63.6266
S= 14.5819
α1 = 0.0760
β1 = 56.5851

P= 0.8788

Pearson III

n= 33.0000
x ̄= 66.7121
S= 16.0839
γ= 2.4826
β= 0.6490
α= 19.9653
δ= 53.7551
v= 1
 Ciclonicos

No ciclonicos

𝑥=(𝑦∗𝑎)+𝛿
 Normal
|F0(xm) -
n = 33 m Xm [m3/s] F0(xm) Z F(xm) Media Desviación
F(xm)|
1 68.96 0.9706 0.14 0.99998 0.0294 66.712121 16.083889
2 75.98 0.9412 0.58 0.99998 0.0588
3 69.68 0.9118 0.18 0.9706 0.0588
4 47.53 0.8824 -1.19 0.9664 0.0840
5 76.7 0.8529 0.62 0.9535 0.1006
6 73.66 0.8235 0.43 0.881 0.0575
7 92.52 0.7941 1.60 0.8289 0.0348
8 79.76 0.7647 0.81 0.7422 0.0225
9 65.08 0.7353 -0.10 0.6985 0.0368
10 71.13 0.7059 0.27 0.6985 0.0074
11 66.51 0.6765 -0.01 0.67 0.0065
12 64.43 0.6471 -0.14 0.6628 0.0157
13 84.08 0.6176 1.08 0.6331 0.0155
14 61.56 0.5882 -0.32 0.6331 0.0449
15 75.33 0.5588 0.54 0.6293 0.0705
16 87.8 0.5294 1.31 0.591 0.0616
17 60.14 0.5000 -0.41 0.5793 0.0793
18 70.32 0.4706 0.22 0.5714 0.1008
19 54.42 0.4412 -0.76 0.5675 0.1263
20 75.38 0.4118 0.54 0.5517 0.1399
21 57.13 0.3824 -0.60 0.512 0.1296
22 62.66 0.3529 -0.25 0.508 0.1551
23 65.58 0.3235 -0.07 0.4562 0.1327
24 57.25 0.2941 -0.59 0.4483 0.1542
25 74.81 0.2647 0.50 0.4325 0.1678
26 58.46 0.2353 -0.51 0.4207 0.1854
27 2.2 0.2059 -4.01 0.4168 0.2109
28 57.02 0.1765 -0.60 0.4013 0.2248
29 58.29 0.1471 -0.52 0.3836 0.2365
30 63.72 0.1176 -0.19 0.3859 0.2683
31 91.93 0.0882 1.57 0.3707 0.2825
32 52.27 0.0588 -0.90 0.3632 0.3044
33 79.21 0.0294 0.78 0.3632 0.3338
 LOG Normal
|F0(xm) -
n = 33 m Xm [m3/s] F0(xm) Z F(xm) Media Desviación
F(xm)|
1 68.96 0.9706 0.20 0.9955 0.0249 4.1131591 0.6089795
2 75.98 0.9412 0.36 0.9953 0.0541
3 69.68 0.9118 0.21 0.9641 0.0523
4 47.53 0.8824 -0.41 0.9616 0.0792
5 76.7 0.8529 0.37 0.9545 0.1016
6 73.66 0.8235 0.31 0.9222 0.0987
7 92.52 0.7941 0.68 0.898 0.1039
8 79.76 0.7647 0.44 0.8508 0.0861
9 65.08 0.7353 0.10 0.8238 0.0885
10 71.13 0.7059 0.25 0.8238 0.1179
11 66.51 0.6765 0.14 0.8051 0.1286
12 64.43 0.6471 0.09 0.7995 0.1524
13 84.08 0.6176 0.52 0.7794 0.1618
14 61.56 0.5882 0.01 0.7794 0.1912
15 75.33 0.5588 0.34 0.7764 0.2176
16 87.8 0.5294 0.59 0.7454 0.2160
17 60.14 0.5000 -0.03 0.7324 0.2324
18 70.32 0.4706 0.23 0.7257 0.2551
19 54.42 0.4412 -0.19 0.7224 0.2812
20 75.38 0.4118 0.34 0.7088 0.2970
21 57.13 0.3824 -0.11 0.6628 0.2804
22 62.66 0.3529 0.04 0.6591 0.3062
23 65.58 0.3235 0.12 0.5948 0.2713
24 57.25 0.2941 -0.11 0.5832 0.2891
25 74.81 0.2647 0.33 0.5596 0.2949
26 58.46 0.2353 -0.07 0.5398 0.3045
27 2.2 0.2059 -5.46 0.5398 0.3339
28 57.02 0.1765 -0.11 0.512 0.3355
29 58.29 0.1471 -0.08 0.5 0.3529
30 63.72 0.1176 0.07 0.484 0.3664
31 91.93 0.0882 0.67 0.4522 0.3640
32 52.27 0.0588 -0.26 0.4404 0.3816
33 79.21 0.0294 0.43 0.4364 0.4070
 Gumbel
|F0(xm) -
n = 33 m Xm [m3/s] F0(xm) F(xm) Media Desviación α
F(xm)|
1 68.96 0.9706 0.6072 0.3634 66.712121 16.083889 0.06976298
2 75.98 0.9412 0.7366 0.2046
3 69.68 0.9118 0.6223 0.2895
4 47.53 0.8824 0.1081 0.7742
5 76.7 0.8529 0.7477 0.1052
6 73.66 0.8235 0.6981 0.1254
7 92.52 0.7941 0.9081 0.1140
8 79.76 0.7647 0.7907 0.0260
9 65.08 0.7353 0.5200 0.2153
10 71.13 0.7059 0.6513 0.0546
11 66.51 0.6765 0.5533 0.1231
12 64.43 0.6471 0.5045 0.1426
13 84.08 0.6176 0.8405 0.2229
14 61.56 0.5882 0.4335 0.1548
15 75.33 0.5588 0.7263 0.1674
16 87.8 0.5294 0.8746 0.3452
17 60.14 0.5000 0.3973 0.1027
18 70.32 0.4706 0.6353 0.1647
19 54.42 0.4412 0.2527 0.1885
20 75.38 0.4118 0.7271 0.3153
21 57.13 0.3824 0.3203 0.0621
22 62.66 0.3529 0.4611 0.1081
23 65.58 0.3235 0.5318 0.2083
24 57.25 0.2941 0.3233 0.0292
25 74.81 0.2647 0.7177 0.4530
26 58.46 0.2353 0.3543 0.1190
27 2.2 0.2059 0.0000 0.2059
28 57.02 0.1765 0.3175 0.1410
29 58.29 0.1471 0.3499 0.2028
30 63.72 0.1176 0.4872 0.3696
31 91.93 0.0882 0.9044 0.8162
32 52.27 0.0588 0.2023 0.1434
33 79.21 0.0294 0.7835 0.7541

Datos obtenidos

NORMAL LOG NORMGUMBEL

0.133 0.364 0.754
 La distribuc
utiliz

D<d
63 0.242 El valor crítico d=0.1713 con un numero
 Gumbel 2 Poblaciones
|F0(xm) -
β n= 33 m Xm [m3/s] F0(xm) F(xm) Media
F(xm)|
58.990834 1 68.96 0.9706 0.5947 0.3759 66.712121
2 75.98 0.9412 0.6989 0.2423
3 69.68 0.9118 0.6072 0.3045
4 47.53 0.8824 0.1201 0.7622
5 76.7 0.8529 0.7075 0.1454
6 73.66 0.8235 0.6687 0.1548
7 92.52 0.7941 0.8234 0.0292
8 79.76 0.7647 0.7400 0.0247
9 65.08 0.7353 0.5202 0.2151
10 71.13 0.7059 0.6311 0.0748
11 66.51 0.6765 0.5491 0.1274
12 64.43 0.6471 0.5066 0.1405
13 84.08 0.6176 0.7765 0.1589
14 61.56 0.5882 0.4429 0.1453
15 75.33 0.5588 0.6909 0.1320
16 87.8 0.5294 0.8005 0.2711
17 60.14 0.5000 0.4096 0.0904
18 70.32 0.4706 0.6180 0.1474
19 54.42 0.4412 0.2703 0.1708
20 75.38 0.4118 0.6915 0.2797
21 57.13 0.3824 0.3367 0.0457
22 62.66 0.3529 0.4679 0.1150
23 65.58 0.3235 0.5305 0.2069
24 57.25 0.2941 0.3396 0.0455
25 74.81 0.2647 0.6842 0.4195
26 58.46 0.2353 0.3692 0.1339
27 2.2 0.2059 0.0000 0.2059
28 57.02 0.1765 0.3340 0.1575
29 58.29 0.1471 0.3651 0.2180
30 63.72 0.1176 0.4913 0.3737
31 91.93 0.0882 0.8209 0.7327
32 52.27 0.0588 0.2193 0.1605
33 79.21 0.0294 0.7346 0.7052

s obtenidos
Función Kolmogorov
GUMBEL II PEARSON Normal 0.133
0.376 1.299 Lognormal 0.364
Gumbel 0.754
 Gumbel 2P 0.376
Pearson III 1.299
}

La distribución que se recomienda

utilizar es Lognormal

D<d
3 con un numero de datos de 63
 Ciclonico No ciclonico

Desv Est Clasificación n2 = 4 n1 = 29 p n = 33 m

16.08 82.80 x2 = 89.08 x1 = 63.63 0.8787879 1

S2 = 3.941 S1 = 14.58 2
α2 = 0.24095 α1 = 0.0759983 3
β2 = 87.03 β1 = 56.585077 4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
 Pearson III
|F0(xm) -
Xm [m3/s] F0(xm) Y X2 F(xm) Media Desv Est
F(xm)|
68.96 0.9706 0.761566 1.523132 0.9695 0.0011 66.712121 16.08
75.98 0.9412 1.1131755 2.226351 0.9723 0.0311
69.68 0.9118 0.7976285 1.595257 0.9025 0.0092
47.53 0.8824 0.3117947 0.6235895 0.8820 0.0003
76.7 0.8529 1.149238 2.2984761 0.8824 0.0295
73.66 0.8235 0.9969741 1.9939482 0.8691 0.0455
92.52 0.7941 1.9416117 3.8832233 1.0118 0.2177
79.76 0.7647 1.3025037 2.6050075 0.8910 0.1263
65.08 0.7353 0.5672291 1.1344582 0.7520 0.0167
71.13 0.7059 0.8702544 1.7405088 0.8093 0.1034
66.51 0.6765 0.6388533 1.2777065 0.7656 0.0891
64.43 0.6471 0.5346727 1.0693453 0.7459 0.0988
84.08 0.6176 1.5188788 3.0377577 0.9319 0.3143
61.56 0.5882 0.3909235 0.7818469 0.7187 0.1305
75.33 0.5588 1.0806191 2.1612382 0.8491 0.2903
87.8 0.5294 1.7052018 3.4104037 1.1113 0.5819
60.14 0.5000 0.3198002 0.6396003 0.6235 0.1235
70.32 0.4706 0.8296841 1.6593681 0.8031 0.3325
54.42 0.4412 0.0333035 0.066607 0.5226 0.0815
75.38 0.4118 1.0831234 2.1662468 0.8923 0.4805
57.13 0.3824 0.1690388 0.3380776 0.5704 0.1881
62.66 0.3529 0.446019 0.8920379 0.6680 0.3150
65.58 0.3235 0.5922725 1.184545 0.7302 0.4067
57.25 0.2941 0.1750492 0.3500985 0.5022 0.2081
74.81 0.2647 1.0545739 2.1091479 0.9828 0.7181
58.46 0.2353 0.2356543 0.4713086 0.5353 0.3000
2.2 0.2059 2.5822307 5.1644613 1.8176 1.6117
57.02 0.1765 0.1635293 0.3270585 0.4959 0.3194
58.29 0.1471 0.2271395 0.4542791 0.5307 0.3836
63.72 0.1176 0.499111 0.998222 0.6793 0.5616
91.93 0.0882 1.9120604 3.8241209 1.8317 1.7434
52.27 0.0588 0.0743832 0.1487664 0.3790 0.3201
79.21 0.0294 1.274956 2.5499119 1.3280 1.2986
 Sesgo α β δ Grado de libertad
Interpolación x0 x1

2.4826494 19.965329 0.6489769 53.755085 1 0.9695 6.635 7.879

0.9723 6.635 7.879
0.9025 3.841 5.024
0.8820 3.841 5.024
0.8824 2.7 3.841
0.8691 2.7 3.841
1.0118 1.642 2.7
0.8910 1.642 2.7
0.7520 1.642 2.7
0.8093 1.642 2.7
0.7656 1.642 2.7
0.7459 1.642 2.7
0.9319 1.642 2.7
0.7187 1.642 2.7
0.8491 1.642 2.7
1.1113 1.074 1.642
0.6235 1.074 1.642
0.8031 1.074 1.642
0.5226 1.074 1.642
0.8923 1.074 1.642
0.5704 1.074 1.642
0.6680 1.074 1.642
0.7302 0.708 1.074
0.5022 0.708 1.074
0.9828 0.708 1.074
0.5353 0.708 1.074
1.8176 0.708 1.074
0.4959 0.708 1.074
0.5307 0.708 1.074
0.6793 0.708 1.074
1.8317 0.455 0.708
0.3790 0.455 0.708
1.3280 0.455 0.708
y0 y1 x

0.99 0.995 1.523132

0.99 0.995 2.226351
0.95 0.975 1.595257
0.95 0.975 0.6235895
0.9 0.95 2.2984761
0.9 0.95 1.9939482
0.8 0.9 3.8832233
0.8 0.9 2.6050075
0.8 0.9 1.1344582
0.8 0.9 1.7405088
0.8 0.9 1.2777065
0.8 0.9 1.0693453
0.8 0.9 3.0377577
0.8 0.9 0.7818469
0.8 0.9 2.1612382
0.7 0.8 3.4104037
0.7 0.8 0.6396003
0.7 0.8 1.6593681
0.7 0.8 0.066607
0.7 0.8 2.1662468
0.7 0.8 0.3380776
0.7 0.8 0.8920379
0.6 0.7 1.184545
0.6 0.7 0.3500985
0.6 0.7 2.1091479
0.6 0.7 0.4713086
0.6 0.7 5.1644613
0.6 0.7 0.3270585
0.6 0.7 0.4542791
0.6 0.7 0.998222
0.5 0.6 3.8241209
0.5 0.6 0.1487664
0.5 0.6 2.5499119
 DISTRIBUCION NORMAL
Gasto
n Año Gasto (m3/s) (m3/s)
ordenados
1 1939 68.96 68.96
2 1940 75.98 75.98
3 1941 69.68 69.68
4 1942 47.53 47.53
5 1943 76.7 76.7
6 1944 73.66 73.66
7 1945 92.52 92.52
8 1946 79.76 79.76
9 1947 65.08 65.08
10 1948 71.13 71.13
11 1949 66.51 66.51
12 1950 64.43 64.43
13 1951 84.08 84.08
14 1952 61.56 61.56
15 1953 75.33 75.33
16 1954 87.8 87.8
17 1955 60.14 60.14
18 1956 70.32 70.32
19 1957 54.42 54.42
20 1958 75.38 75.38
21 1959 57.13 57.13
22 1960 62.66 62.66
23 1961 65.58 65.58
24 1962 57.25 57.25
25 1963 74.81 74.81
26 1964 58.46 58.46
27 1965 2.2 2.2
28 1966 57.02 57.02
29 1967 58.29 58.29
30 1968 63.72 63.72
31 1969 91.93 91.93
32 1970 52.27 52.27
33 1971 79.21 79.21

Regla de Sturges
K= 1+Log2n

LIMITE
0
INFERIOR
 LIMITE
SUPERIO 1400
R
n= 33
K= 6.04450330827 6
233.333333333
Amplitud= 233.333333333

NÚMERO
INTERVAL LIMITE LIMITE MARCA
OBSERVA
O INFERIOR SUPERIOR DE CLASE
DO
1 0 233.333333333 116.66667 33
2 233.333333333 466.666666667 350 0
3 466.666666667 700 583.33333 0
4 700 933.333333333 816.66667 0
5 933.333333333 1166.66666667 1050 0
6 1166.66666667 1400 1283.3333 0

n= 33

Media Desviación
66.7121212121 16.0838894079

INTERVALO x z F(li)
LIMITE INFERIOR

1 0 -4.15 0.000
2 200 8.29 1.000
3 400 20.72 1.000
4 600 33.16 1.000
5 800 45.59 1.000
6 1000 58.03 1.000
7 1200 70.46 1.000

INTERVALO x z F(Si)
LIMITE SUPERIOR

1 200 8.29 1.000

2 400 20.72 1.000
3 600 33.16 1.000
4 800 45.59 1.000
5 1000 58.03 1.000
6 1200 70.46 1.000
7 1400 82.90 1.000

NÚMERO
INTERVAL
F(Si) F(li) ESPERAD D
O
O Ei
1 1.000 0.000 32.999 0.000
2 1.000 0.405 19.629 19.629
3 1.000 0.726 9.038 9.038
4 1.000 0.925 2.463 2.463
5 1.000 0.989 0.370 0.370
6 1.000 0.999 0.029 0.029
7 1.000 1.000 0.001 0.000
64.529 31.53
 DISTRIBUCIÓN LOGNORMAL DISTRIBUCIÓN DE G
Gasto
n Año Gasto (m3/s) (m3/s) n
ordenados Ln(Xi)
1 1939 68.96 1266.8 7.1442493 1
2 1940 75.98 1266 7.1436176 2
3 1941 69.68 708.52 6.5631783 3
4 1942 47.53 692.8 6.5407414 4
5 1943 76.7 657.4 6.4882927 5
6 1944 73.66 537.7 6.2873008 6
7 1945 92.52 483 6.1800167 7
8 1946 79.76 411.3 6.0193229 8
9 1947 65.08 380.2 9
5.9406974
10 1948 71.13 379.667 5.9392946 10
11 1949 66.51 361.622 5.8905995 11
12 1950 64.43 356.23 5.8755766 12
13 1951 84.08 337.832 5.8225487 13
14 1952 61.56 337.403 5.8212781 14
15 1953 75.33 335.691 5.8161911 15
16 1954 87.8 311.44 5.7412067 16
17 1955 60.14 304 5.7170277 17
18 1956 70.32 298.835 5.6998916 18
19 1957 54.42 297.143 5.6942135 19
20 1958 75.38 288.92 5.6661498 20
21 1959 57.13 263.5 5.5740534 21
22 1960 62.66 261 5.5645204 22
23 1961 65.58 230.516 5.4403203 23
24 1962 57.25 225 5.4161004 24
25 1963 74.81 215.9 5.3748153 25
26 1964 58.46 209.11 5.3428604 26
27 1965 2.2 208 5.3375381 27
28 1966 57.02 198.5 5.2907891 28
29 1967 58.29 193.95 5.2676004 29
30 1968 63.72 188.67 5.2399995 30
31 1969 91.93 178 5.1817836 31
32 1970 52.27 174 5.1590553 32
33 1971 79.21 173 5.1532916 33

Regla de Sturges Regla de Sturges

K= 1+Log2n K= 1+Log2n

LIMITE LIMITE
0
INFERIOR INFERIOR
 LIMITE LIMITE
SUPERIO 14 SUPERIO
R R
n= 33 n=
K= 6.04450330827 6 K=
2.33333333333
Amplitud= 2.33333333333 Amplitud=

NÚMERO
INTERVAL LIMITE LIMITE MARCA INTERVAL
OBSERVA
O INFERIOR SUPERIOR DE CLASE O
DO
1 0 2.33333333333 1.1666667 0 1
2 2.33333333333 4.66666666667 3.5 3 2
3 4.66666666667 7 5.8333333 30 3
4 7 9.33333333333 8.1666667 0 4
5 9.33333333333 11.6666666667 10.5 0 5
6 11.6666666667 14 12.833333 0 6

n= 33

Media Desviación Media

4.11315910664 0.8 66.712121

INTERVALO x z F(li)
LIMITE INFERIOR

LIMITE INFERIOR
1 0 0.000
2 2 -4.28 0.004
3 4 -3.41 0.444
4 6 -2.90 0.991
5 8 -2.54 1.000
6 10 -2.26 1.000
7 12 -2.04 1.000

INTERVALO x z F(Si)
LIMITE SUPERIOR

LIMITE SUPERIOR

1 2 -4.28 0.004
2 4 -3.41 0.444
3 6 -2.90 0.991
4 8 -2.54 1.000
5 10 -2.26 1.000
6 12 -2.04 1.000
7 14 -1.84 1.000

NÚMERO
INTERVAL INTERVAL
F(Si) F(li) ESPERAD D
O O
O Ei
1 0.004 0.000 0.136 0.136 1
2 0.444 0.004 14.508 9.128 2
3 0.991 0.444 18.053 7.906 3
4 1.000 0.991 0.303 0.303 4
5 1.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 5
6 1.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 6
7 1.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 7
33.000 17.47
 DISTRIBUCIÓN DE GUMBEL DISTRIBUCIÓN DE GUMBEL
Gasto
Año Gasto (m3/s) (m3/s) n Año
ordenados
1939 68.96 1266.8 1 1939
1940 75.98 1266 2 1940
1941 69.68 708.52 3 1941
1942 47.53 692.8 4 1942
1943 76.7 657.4 5 1943
1944 73.66 537.7 6 1944
1945 92.52 483 7 1945
1946 79.76 411.3 8 1946
1947 65.08 380.2 9 1947
1948 71.13 379.667 10 1948
1949 66.51 361.622 11 1949
1950 64.43 356.23 12 1950
1951 84.08 337.832 13 1951
1952 61.56 337.403 14 1952
1953 75.33 335.691 15 1953
1954 87.8 311.44 16 1954
1955 60.14 304 17 1955
1956 70.32 298.835 18 1956
1957 54.42 297.143 19 1957
1958 75.38 288.92 20 1958
1959 57.13 263.5 21 1959
1960 62.66 261 22 1960
1961 65.58 230.516 23 1961
1962 57.25 225 24 1962
1963 74.81 215.9 25 1963
1964 58.46 209.11 26 1964
1965 2.2 208 27 1965
1966 57.02 198.5 28 1966
1967 58.29 193.95 29 1967
1968 63.72 188.67 30 1968
1969 91.93 178 31 1969
1970 52.27 174 32 1970
1971 79.21 173 33 1971

Regla de Sturges Regla de Sturges

K= 1+Log2n K= 1+Log2n

LIMITE
0 0
INFERIOR
 LIMITE
1400 SUPERIO 1400
R
33 n= 33
6.0445033 6 K= 6.0445033
233.33333 233.33333
233.33333 Amplitud= 233.33333

LIMITE
LIMITE MARCA NÚMERO INTERVAL LIMITE
SUPERIO
INFERIOR DE CLASE OBSERVADO O INFERIOR
R
0 233.33333 116.66667 33 1 0
233.33333 466.66667 350 0 2 233.33333
466.66667 700 583.33333 0 3 466.66667
700 933.33333 816.66667 0 4 700
933.33333 1166.6667 1050 0 5 933.33333
1166.6667 1400 1283.3333 0 6 1166.6667
0
n= 33

Desviación α β α2 = 0.24095
16.083889 0.069763 58.990834 β2 = 87.03
p 0.8787879
INTERVAL INTERVAL
x F(li)
O LIMITE INFERIOR O
1 0 0.00 1
2 200 1.00 2
3 400 1.00 3
4 600 1.00 4
5 800 1.00 5
6 1000 1.00 6
7 1200.0 1.00 7

INTERVAL INTERVAL
x F(Si)
O O
LIMITE SUPERIOR

1 200 1.000 1
2 400 1.000 2
3 600 1.000 3
4 800 1.000 4
5 1000 1.000 5
6 1200 1.000 6
7 1400.0 1.000 7

NÚMERO
INTERVAL
F(Si) F(li) ESPERAD D F(Si)
O
O Ei
1.000 0.000 62.997 14.283 1 0.529
1.000 0.900 6.300 6.300 2 0.864
1.000 0.900 6.300 6.300 3 0.926
1.000 0.900 6.300 6.300 4 0.951
1.000 0.900 6.300 6.300 5 0.969
1.000 0.900 6.300 6.300 6 0.981
1.000 0.900 6.300 6.300 7 0.989
100.797 52.08
STRIBUCIÓN DE GUMBEL DOS POBLACIONES DISTRIBUCIÓN DE PEARSON TIP
Gasto
Gasto (m3/s) (m3/s) n Año Gasto (m3/s)
ordenados
68.96 1266.8 1 1939 68.96
75.98 1266 2 1940 75.98
69.68 708.52 3 1941 69.68
47.53 692.8 4 1942 47.53
76.7 657.4 5 1943 76.7
73.66 537.7 6 1944 73.66
92.52 483 7 1945 92.52
79.76 411.3 8 1946 79.76
65.08 380.2 9 1947 65.08
71.13 379.667 10 1948 71.13
66.51 361.622 11 1949 66.51
64.43 356.23 12 1950 64.43
84.08 337.832 13 1951 84.08
61.56 337.403 14 1952 61.56
75.33 335.691 15 1953 75.33
87.8 311.44 16 1954 87.8
60.14 304 17 1955 60.14
70.32 298.835 18 1956 70.32
54.42 297.143 19 1957 54.42
75.38 288.92 20 1958 75.38
57.13 263.5 21 1959 57.13
62.66 261 22 1960 62.66
65.58 230.516 23 1961 65.58
57.25 225 24 1962 57.25
74.81 215.9 25 1963 74.81
58.46 209.11 26 1964 58.46
2.2 208 27 1965 2.2
57.02 198.5 28 1966 57.02
58.29 193.95 29 1967 58.29
63.72 188.67 30 1968 63.72
91.93 178 31 1969 91.93
52.27 174 32 1970 52.27
79.21 173 33 1971 79.21

Regla de Sturges
K= 1+Log2n

LIMITE
0
INFERIOR
 LIMITE
SUPERIO 1400
R
n= 33
6 K= 6.0445033 6
233.33333
Amplitud= 233.33333

LIMITE NÚMERO LIMITE

MARCA INTERVAL LIMITE
SUPERIO OBSERVA SUPERIO
DE CLASE O INFERIOR
R DO R
233.33333 116.66667 33 1 0 233.33333
466.66667 350 0 2 233.33333 466.66667
700 583.33333 0 3 466.66667 700
933.33333 816.66667 0 4 700 933.33333
1166.6667 1050 0 5 933.33333 1166.6667
1400 1283.3333 0 6 1166.6667 1400

n= 33

α1 = 0.0759983 Media Desv Est Media Desv Est Sesgo

β1 = 56.585077 66.712121 16.08 66.712121 16.08 2.4826494

INTERVAL
x F(li) x
O
LIMITE INFERIOR

0 0.005 1 0
200 0.529 2 200
400 0.864 3 400
600 0.926 4 600
800 0.951 5 800
1000 0.969 6 1000
1200.0 0.981 7 1200.0

INTERVAL
x F(Si) x
O
LIMITE SUPERIOR

200 0.529 1 200

400 0.864 2 400
600 0.926 3 600
800 0.951 4 800
1000 0.969 5 1000
1200 0.981 6 1200
1400.0 0.989 7 1400.0

NÚMERO
INTERVAL
F(li) ESPERAD D F(Si) F(li)
O
O Ei
0.005 32.968 0.000 1 0.000 0.000
0.529 21.111 21.111 2 0.723 0.000
0.864 3.890 3.890 3 0.908 0.723
0.926 1.586 1.586 4 0.965 0.908
0.951 1.129 1.129 5 0.986 0.965
0.969 0.782 0.782 6 0.995 0.986
0.981 0.497 0.497 7 0.997 0.995
61.963 29.00
UCIÓN DE PEARSON TIPO III
Gasto
(m3/s)
ordenados
1266.8 Función de distribución
1266 Normal
708.52 LogNormal
692.8 Gumbel
657.4 Gumbel 2 poblaciones
537.7 Pearson III
483
411.3
380.2 El valor más común usado para α es de 0.05
379.667
361.622
356.23 Metodo
337.832 NORMAL
337.403 LOG NORMAL
335.691 GUMBEL
311.44 GUMBEL DOS POBLACIONES
304 PEARSON TIPO III
298.835
297.143
288.92
263.5
261
230.516
225
215.9
209.11
La distribución que se
208 LOGNO
198.5
193.95
188.67
178
174
173
 NÚMERO
MARCA
OBSERVA
DE CLASE
DO
116.66667 33
350 0
583.33333 0
816.66667 0
1050 0
1283.3333 0

n= 33

α β δ Grado de libertad
19.965329 0.6489769 53.755085 1

y x2 F(li)

-4.148 -8.296 0.000

8.287 16.574 0.000
20.722 41.444 0.723
33.157 66.313 0.908
45.591 91.183 0.965
58.026 116.053 0.986
70.461 140.922 0.995

y x2 F(Si)

8.287 16.574 0.000

20.722 41.444 0.723
33.157 66.313 0.908
45.591 91.183 0.965
58.026 116.053 0.986
70.461 140.922 0.995
82.896 165.792 0.997

NÚMERO
ESPERAD D
O Ei
0.000 0.000
45.549 45.549
11.655 11.655
3.591 3.591
1.323 1.323
0.567 0.567
0.126 0.126
62.811 62.81
 D
31.53
17.47
52.08
29.00
62.81

usado para α es de 0.05

5%
D X2
31.528 9.488
17.473 9.488
52.083 9.488
28.995 5.991
62.811 7.815

ribución que se recomienda utilizar es

LOGNORMAL
 Alturas de precipitacion en mm
Fecha Duracion
Año Mes Dia 5 10 20
1980 Jul 1 140.2 5.1 11.5
1981 Jul 9 90 10 1.2
1982 Jul 13 48 7.4 5.4
1983 May 28 25.6 5.8 34.7
1984 Jun 24 29 10.2 6
1985 - - SIN DATOS - -
1986 May 18 156 1.1 0.3
1987 Jun 18 22.6 4.3 23.1
1988 - - SIN DATOS - -
1989 May 19 70.1 1.4 45.4
1990 May 27 80 11.9 8.6
115
Intensidades en mm/hr
Duraciones en min
Año
45 0 0
1980 187 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1981 120 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1982 64 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1983 34 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1984 39 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1986 208 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1987 30 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1989 93 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1990 107 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
153
M Tr 45 0 0 ∑
1 11.00 208 0.00 0.00
2 5.50 187 0.00 0.00
3 3.67 153 0.00 0.00
4 2.75 120 0.00 0.00
5 2.20 107 0.00 0.00
6 1.83 93 0.00 0.00
7 1.57 64 0.00 0.00
8 1.38 39 0.00 0.00
9 1.22 34 0.00 0.00
10 1.10 30
64
39
34
30
 X2 X1 Y X1Y X2Y X1^2 X2^2 X1X2
1.653 1.041 2.318 2.414 3.832 1.084 2.733 1.722
1.653 0.740 2.272 1.682 3.756 0.548 2.733 1.224
1.653 0.564 2.185 1.233 3.612 0.318 2.733 0.933
1.653 0.439 2.079 0.913 3.437 0.193 2.733 0.726
1.653 0.342 2.029 0.695 3.355 0.117 2.733 0.566
1.653 0.263 1.968 0.518 3.254 0.069 2.733 0.435
1.653 0.196 1.806 0.355 2.986 0.039 2.733 0.325
1.653 0.138 1.591 0.220 2.630 0.019 2.733 0.229
1.653 0.087 1.531 0.133 2.532 0.008 2.733 0.144
1.653 0.041 1.477 0.061 2.442 0.002 2.733 0.068

16.53 3.85 19.26 8.22 31.84 2.40 27.33 6.37

a0 -0.0793 1.9300 *
a1 0.8705 *
a2 1.0104 *

K 0.8331

Tr 5 10 20
11.00 0.1434916 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
5.50 0.0784838 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
3.67 0.0551432 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
2.75 0.0429273 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
I 2.20 0.0353487 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1.83 0.030161 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1.57 0.0263735 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
1.38 0.0234794 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
I

1.22 0.0211913 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!

 DATOS DE LA CUENCA Tr K
Ac 182.5913 km2 2 7.0694
S 0.0695 5 11.8627
Lc 22632 22.632 km 10 15.5080
D 840 m 20 19.3093
N 54 50 24.7857
Tiempo de concentracion Tc 100 29.2153
Metodo Rowe 2.6035887 250 40.8387
Kripich 2.0426183 Hr 500 46.4101
SUS 2.5553481 1000 61.0417
10000 68.5295
T Hp (mm)
2 61.139559 1-e= 0.3
5 102.59526 e= 0.7
10 134.12104
20 166.99691
50 214.36001
100 252.66926
500 353.19492
1000 401.37886
5000 527.92095
10000 592.67883
 Gastos
Hpd (mm) He (mm) C (He/hdp) I mm/hr X Racional HUT VenTeChow
29.1954 0.0980 0.0034 14.2931 0.0480 2.4349 2.2135411 1.7044
48.9914 0.0147 0.0003 23.9846 0.0072 0.3658 0.3325141 0.2560
64.0457 0.1819 0.0028 31.3547 0.0891 4.5214 4.1103221 3.1649
79.7446 0.5261 0.0066 39.0404 0.2575 13.0730 11.884514 9.1511
102.3615 1.2675 0.0124 50.1129 0.6205 31.4972 28.633853 22.0481
120.6550 2.0384 0.0169 59.0688 0.9979 50.6554 46.050323 35.4587
168.6581 4.6001 0.0273 82.5696 2.2521 114.3163 103.92388 80.0214
191.6670 6.0369 0.0315 93.8340 2.9555 150.0213 136.38296 105.0149
252.0935 10.2556 0.0407 123.4169 5.0208 254.8571 231.68825 178.4000
283.0168 12.6014 0.0445 138.5559 6.1692 313.1526 284.68416 219.2068

Y= 0.278 Z=
Tr= 1.6629
Tc/Tr= 1.2283
Medios
2.1176 Viendo que el numero mayor de medios consta del metodo de HUT, se escoge ese metodo
0.3181 HUT
3.9322
11.3695
27.3931
44.0548
99.4205
130.4730
221.6484
272.3478

Campos Aranda Aparicio

Tr 1.2256 Tp 2.2469
Tp 2.2469 Tb 4.4938
Tb 5.9992

0.7
HUT, se escoge ese metodo