Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 35

Caudales Medios mensuales Rio Andalien, en m3/s

AÑO ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC ENE FEB
1961 2.49 3.21 21.45 48.81 38.55 67.46 19.48 9.33 4.66 3.63 2.28
1962 3.42 4.46 14.82 4.56 10.05 6.42 6.94 8.29 10.47 2.28 1.76
1963 1.04 2.9 7.77 25.28 50.26 27.25 3.52 7.36 0.93 0.83 0.83
1964 3.11 3.73 7.98 14.4 12.23 11.19 4.66 9.01 7.25 1.55 2.07
1965 2.8 8.08 41.86 66.42 69.43 14.51 11.81 12.64 8.29 2.59 2.9
1966 6.32 5.6 48.7 35.13 25.08 22.28 13.37 6.42 13.47 2.38 1.76
1967 3.42 14.51 2.69 12.12 25.49 22.38 10.47 6.32 3.21 2.69 3.63
1968 1.24 1.24 1.97 3.38 4.97 2.09 1.14 1.04 0.93 2.49 3.52
1969 1.45 6.32 12.64 18.44 54.5 19.38 1.04 12.54 6.63 1.04 0.93
1970 6.53 19.79 41.45 65.49 19.9 9.01 18.76 8.81 6.63 0.62 0.31
1971 8.81 17.82 71.29 89.84 29.22 3.73 18.76 37.34 4.64 1.24 8.08
1972 5.81 29.25 127.44 25.07 30.56 38.69 73.15 13.93 3.72 2.28 2.13
1973 0.41 31.5 57.41 36.68 24.45 3 17.93 0.73 3.67 2.78 2.64
1974 0.62 17.72 89.73 25.31 15.28 6.41 7.99 11.92 11.92 2.32 2.59
1975 3.63 36.98 36.25 32.9 19.83 11.98 8.06 5.74 4.24 5.44 2.45
1976 2.34 12.47 23.01 14.39 21.06 12.95 1.77 1.7 1.63 3.38 2.75
1977 1.94 4.55 3 24.08 53.27 30.29 9 4.99 2.94 1.75 1.61
1978 0.31 24.25 73.07 68.91 38.65 41.86 18.44 7.98 5.28 1.24 0.23
1979 5.8 8.29 4.04 53.47 66.11 13.89 4.35 4.97 4.35 0.52 0.23
1980 19.79 46.01 49.94 35.33 27 15.76 8.3 4.59 0.48 1.35 1.35
1981 4.2 98.12 116.16 95.97 22.13 53.84 14.95 4.67 3.08 2.06 3.16
1982 2.63 21.13 46.81 41.29 39.78 34.9 23.78 11.51 6.4 3.05 3.45
1983 3.5 8.19 23.66 36.08 18.52 17.07 7.98 4.29 2.61 4.26 3.22
1984 2.82 19.55 17.31 57.75 17.12 18.54 19.26 11.66 4.63 2.19 1.43
1985 5 31.73 11.87 127.82 13.46 9.91 7.78 6.05 2.87 4.38 2.67
1986 4.69 15.47 39.45 12.04 23.87 14.89 8.99 11.98 8.55 1.91 1.58
1987 2.73 8.51 33.04 24.04 32.56 15.39 9.14 6.58 3.38 3.59 2.54
1988 2.21 3.64 11.62 19.07 68.99 16.05 8.3 3.19 2.91 2.14 1.92
1989 1.6 5.8 12.67 26.69 19.94 9.52 6.03 3.75 4.24 1.83 1.28
1990 3.47 5.15 7.69 10.05 14.9 16.18 7.05 4.06 1.96 1.35 1.63
1991 2.54 11.84 17.29 35.27 7.34 14.67 12.67 3.88 4.14 1.41 1.12
1992 6.63 48 45.17 23.49 18.15 21.44 13.93 8.2 12.89 1.83 1.58
1993 4.91 22.55 55.65 41.91 21.24 16.1 11.34 7.21 6.72 2.6 2.76
1994 3.6 5.73 23.89 30.51 9.89 22.34 9.47 4.57 3.8 5.33 2.7
1995 4.33 3.84 19.44 32.18 26.25 12.06 8.37 5.23 2.53 2 1.64
1996 5.07 3.7 5.99 7.8 18.65 5.6 38.32 2.2 1.31 1.99 1.21
1997 11.69 12.52 38.41 20.06 33.41 13.44 16.32 14.23 6.62 0.87 1.08
1998 3.07 7.89 11.9 7.16 7.85 5.15 2.58 3.02 0.7 2.36 2.03
1999 0.92 3.32 13.39 9.8 17.98 31.02 4.52 2.31 1.23 0.71 0.59
Caudales Medios mensuales Rio Andalien, en m3/s

prom 4.02 16.29 33.02 34.85 27.38 18.68 12.56 7.54 4.77 2.26 2.09
Desest 3.481 18.063 30.158 26.978 16.832 13.762 12.320 6.127 3.299 1.190 1.346
Asim 2.798 2.801 1.526 1.596 1.196 1.747 3.464 3.137 1.111 0.978 2.255
Max 19.79 98.12 127.44 127.82 69.43 67.46 73.15 37.34 13.47 5.44 8.08
Min 0.31 1.24 1.97 3.38 4.97 2.09 1.04 0.73 0.48 0.52 0.23
Caudales Medios mensuales Rio Andalien, en m3/s

MAR Qma(m3/s)
3.63 18.75
2.28 6.31
0.73 10.72
2.9 6.67
1.87 20.27
1.66 15.18
3.73 9.22
3 2.25
0.93 11.32
0.41 16.48
6.32 24.76
2.53 29.55
7.25 15.7
5.6 16.45
2.07 14.13
2.34 8.32
1.52 11.58
0.41 23.39
3.83 14.15
4.46 17.86
3.12 35.12
3.02 19.81
2.99 11.03
1.55 14.48
4.61 19.01
2 12.12
1.93 11.95
2.03 11.84
1.37 7.89
2.4 6.32
1.31 9.46
2.12 16.95
2.41 16.28
1.46 10.27
2.12 10
1.27 7.76
1.74 14.2
2.01 4.64
1.31 7.26
Caudales Medios mensuales Rio Andalien, en m3/s

2.52 13.83
1.514 6.741
1.373 1.067
7.25 35.12
0.41 2.25
Caudales extendidos y corregidos por Santana (2004)
CaudalesMaximos instantáneos, en (m3/s)
AÑO Qicorr Qi original
1961 267.8 1 321.3
1962 96.4 2 267.8
1963 241.0 3 254.0
1964 99.4 4 241.0
1965 321.3 5 238.6
1966 215.4 6 223.3
1967 75.0 7 215.4
1968 8 208.1
1969 9 206.9
1970 10 205.7
1971 146.1 11 205.2
1972 206.9 12 194.7
1973 13 194.7
1974 40.4 14 189.1
1975 174.0 15 180.1
1976 42.2 16 174.4
1977 140.0 17 174.0
1978 208.1 18 165.2
1979 194.7 19 164.3
1980 164.3 20 161.9
1981 194.7 21 161.6
1982 132.7 22 158.4
1983 161.9 23 157.4
1984 238.6 24 146.7
1985 223.3 223.28 25 146.1
1986 158.4 158.40 26 140.0
1987 180.1 180.08 27 133.3
1988 254.0 253.99 28 132.7
1989 133.3 133.32 29 116.8
1990 161.6 161.64 30 99.4
1991 189.1 189.10 31 96.4
1992 205.7 198.80 32 83.5
1993 205.2 205.20 33 75.0
1994 116.8 3.80 34 68.6
1995 157.4 157.44 35 56.5
1996 48.5 48.50 36 48.5
1997 174.4 174.36 37 42.2
1998 29.3 29.35 38 40.4
1999 56.5 56.54 39 29.3
2000 165.2 165.24
2001 146.7 146.73
2002 83.5 83.52 promedio 156.9
2003 68.6 68.59 Desv. Est 68.9

Promedio (m3/s) 156.9 138.8 Gumbel

Desv. Est. (m3/s) 68.88 70.34 Alfa 125.89


Asimetría -0.049 -0.475 Beta 53.71

-0.30871061

Chart Title
Chart Title

Axis Title

0.01 0.1
Axis Title
LN Pex Pnoex Normal Normal inv Gumbel Gumbel inv Gamma
5.77 0.025 0.975 0.008 291.892379 0.02594128 323.325166 0.0232
5.59 0.05 0.95 0.054 270.187565 0.06876446 285.406259 0.0699
5.54 0.075 0.925 0.079 256.044968 0.08796198 262.92213 0.0912
5.48 0.1 0.9 0.111 245.163306 0.11067502 246.747508 0.1162
5.47 0.125 0.875 0.118 236.126094 0.11549857 234.022051 0.1215
5.41 0.15 0.85 0.168 228.279557 0.15049247 223.471174 0.1595
5.37 0.175 0.825 0.198 221.264531 0.17203147 214.414488 0.1826
5.34 0.2 0.8 0.228 214.860888 0.19448747 206.445398 0.2064
5.33 0.225 0.775 0.234 208.923001 0.19847077 199.301185 0.2106
5.33 0.25 0.75 0.239 203.348865 0.202525 192.802006 0.2149
5.32 0.275 0.725 0.242 198.063726 0.20417708 186.819119 0.2166
5.27 0.3 0.7 0.291 193.010713 0.24232947 181.256985 0.2563
5.27 0.325 0.675 0.291 188.145142 0.24232947 176.042545 0.2563
5.24 0.35 0.65 0.320 183.430874 0.26524039 171.118482 0.2797
5.19 0.375 0.625 0.368 178.837877 0.3055103 166.438788 0.3204
5.16 0.4 0.6 0.400 174.340544 0.3333907 161.965768 0.3481
5.16 0.425 0.575 0.402 169.91647 0.33497761 157.667922 0.3497
5.11 0.45 0.55 0.452 165.545544 0.38161227 153.518431 0.3953
5.10 0.475 0.525 0.457 161.209231 0.38677387 149.494016 0.4003
5.09 0.5 0.5 0.471 156.889986 0.40052222 145.57408 0.4136
5.09 0.525 0.475 0.473 152.57074 0.4018619 141.740012 0.4149
5.07 0.55 0.45 0.491 148.234427 0.42067581 137.974625 0.4330
5.06 0.575 0.425 0.497 143.863501 0.42635168 134.261658 0.4385
4.99 0.6 0.4 0.559 139.439428 0.49257839 130.585327 0.5012
4.98 0.625 0.375 0.563 134.942094 0.49692011 126.929876 0.5053
4.94 0.65 0.35 0.597 130.349097 0.53672501 123.2791 0.5425
4.89 0.675 0.325 0.634 125.634829 0.58138407 119.615801 0.5840
4.89 0.7 0.3 0.637 120.769259 0.58584083 115.921117 0.5881
4.76 0.725 0.275 0.720 115.716246 0.69379891 112.173647 0.6878
4.60 0.75 0.25 0.798 110.431106 0.80534008 108.348233 0.7920
4.57 0.775 0.225 0.810 104.85697 0.82305139 104.4142 0.8090
4.43 0.8 0.2 0.857 98.9190834 0.88931378 100.332641 0.8741
4.32 0.825 0.175 0.883 92.51544 0.92428203 96.0520316 0.9105
4.23 0.85 0.15 0.900 85.5004147 0.94531905 91.5006594 0.9334
4.04 0.875 0.125 0.927 77.653877 0.97367751 86.5725081 0.9665
3.88 0.9 0.1 0.942 68.6166655 0.98536958 81.0981367 0.9813
3.74 0.925 0.075 0.952 57.7350037 0.99132987 74.7754592 0.9892
3.70 0.95 0.05 0.955 43.5924058 0.99264256 66.9651866 0.9910
3.38 0.975 0.025 0.968 21.8875925 0.99760799 55.7872345 0.9977

4.9
0.6

Gamma Exponencial

5.19 0.01
30.24

Chart Title
350
Chart Title
350

300

250

200
Column H
Normal

150 Gumbel
Gamma

100

50

0
0.1 1
Axis Title
test Kolmogorov-Smirnov
0.07818556 0.14864832
Gamma inv Exp exp inv Log normal lognorm inv normal Gumbel
317.922309 0.1815 578.748245 0.0696 423.307734 0.01650936 0.00094128
284.621355 0.1981 470.000393 0.1230 353.409602 0.00373831 0.01876446
264.164286 0.2152 406.386978 0.1427 314.201509 0.00432095 0.01296198
249.080796 0.2186 361.252542 0.1645 287.021014 0.01106146 0.01067502
236.982943 0.2410 326.243554 0.1689 266.243849 0.00710251 0.00950143
226.791507 0.2533 297.639127 0.1996 249.427936 0.0175606 0.00049247
217.923754 0.2654 273.454429 0.2175 235.295305 0.02270822 0.00296853
210.028007 0.2675 252.504691 0.2357 223.094664 0.02849372 0.00551253
202.875039 0.2695 234.025712 0.2388 212.347419 0.00887441 0.02652923
196.306685 0.2704 217.495702 0.2420 202.730142 0.01067542 0.047475
190.208881 0.2890 202.54249 0.2433 194.014082 0.03346222 0.07082292
184.496388 0.2890 188.891276 0.2728 186.031467 0.00865106 0.05767053
179.103585 0.2996 176.333377 0.2728 178.655519 0.03365106 0.08267053
173.978652 0.3173 164.706578 0.2901 171.788002 0.02997354 0.08475961
169.079726 0.3291 153.882287 0.3200 165.35112 0.0068181 0.0694897
164.372283 0.3298 143.75684 0.3404 159.282074 0.00010913 0.0666093
159.827289 0.3488 134.245444 0.3416 153.529278 0.02334311 0.09002239
155.419858 0.3509 125.277861 0.3755 148.049668 0.00177348 0.06838773
151.128247 0.3564 116.795255 0.3792 142.806723 0.01788394 0.08822613
146.933088 0.3569 108.747851 0.3892 137.769 0.02884319 0.09947778
142.816762 0.3644 101.093163 0.3901 132.90899 0.05248954 0.1231381
138.762891 0.3666 93.7946385 0.4038 128.202229 0.05874506 0.12932419
134.755885 0.3925 86.8206021 0.4079 123.626566 0.07818556 0.14864832
130.780524 0.3942 80.1434248 0.4562 119.161541 0.0413562 0.10742161
126.821542 0.4098 73.7388626 0.4594 114.787837 0.06248616 0.12807989
122.86318 0.4275 67.5855255 0.4890 110.486747 0.05295914 0.11327499
118.888675 0.4293 61.664446 0.5229 106.239637 0.04110436 0.09361593
114.879629 0.4749 55.9587268 0.5263 102.027349 0.06252631 0.11415917
110.815185 0.5306 50.4532502 0.6132 97.8294833 0.00547796 0.03120109
106.670888 0.5410 45.1344362 0.7154 93.6234603 0.04788799 0.05534008
102.417045 0.5872 39.9900414 0.7335 89.3832263 0.03510295 0.04805139
98.0162159 0.6201 35.0089886 0.8089 85.077326 0.0566039 0.08931378
93.4191899 0.6458 30.1812235 0.8560 80.6658568 0.05783232 0.09928203
88.5581047 0.6974 25.4975925 0.8883 76.0953151 0.05005774 0.09531905
83.3337617 0.7341 20.9497383 0.9400 71.2891489 0.05241931 0.09867751
77.5897934 0.7640 16.5300098 0.9658 66.1285986 0.04220391 0.08536958
71.0522574 0.7729 12.2313851 0.9805 60.4080403 0.02700212 0.06632987
63.154942 0.8294 8.04740422 0.9839 53.7062301 0.00459009 0.04264256
52.292964 1.0000 3.97211053 0.9965 44.8380596 0.00703464 0.02260799

PP Pex
y = -236,26x + 275,02 269.1135 -0.1959642
x=-0,004233*(y-275,02) 263.207 0.03072311
257.3005 0.08903269
251.394 0.14406677
245.4875 0.15437074
239.581 0.21901542
233.6745 0.25225844
227.768 0.28317034
221.8615 0.28832233
215.955 0.29347431
210.0485 0.29554806
204.142 0.33984217
198.2355 0.33984217
192.329 0.36369936
186.4225 0.40188102
180.516 0.42609378
174.6095 0.42742591
168.703 0.46471144
162.7965 0.46864178
156.89 0.47894575
150.9835 0.47993754
145.077 0.49365246
139.1705 0.49771614
133.264 0.54306004
127.3575 0.54592154
121.451 0.57168147
115.5445 0.5998161
109.638 0.60259337
103.7315 0.66956917
97.825 0.74324254
91.9185 0.7561225
86.012 0.8106195
80.1055 0.84679743
74.199 0.87380126
68.2925 0.92481314
62.386 0.95884223
56.4795 0.9853858
50.573 0.99311378
44.6665 1.03994227
0.21777429 Se rechaza exponencial y gráfica
0.13654748 0.24569408 0.17371697 0.2209642
Gamma Exp Log-normal Gráfica
0.00175252 0.15646611 0.04462129 0.2209642
0.0199241 0.14811928 0.07296798 0.01927689
0.01616856 0.14023653 0.06774685 0.01403269
0.01619447 0.11860203 0.0644545 0.04406677 Chi-cuadrado
0.00351613 0.11595072 0.04388333 0.02937074
0.00952346 0.10331874 0.04959432 0.06901542 n 39
0.00761937 0.09038843 0.0425328 0.07725844 k 6.2505132 6
0.00643175 0.06745523 0.03565828 0.08317034 Rango 58.39388
0.01437268 0.04453812 0.01382172 0.06332233
0.0351111 0.02038109 0.00797287 0.04347431
0.05837703 0.01402952 0.0316707 0.02054806 k min max M. de clase
0.0437264 0.01097048 0.02715962 0.03984217 1 0.14806 58.54194 29.3
0.0687264 0.02539885 0.05215962 0.01484217 2 58.54194 116.93582 87.7
0.07026679 0.03266925 0.05985663 0.01369936 3 116.93582 175.3297 146.1
0.05462656 0.0458863 0.05497494 0.02688102 4 175.3297 233.72358 204.5
0.05190132 0.07022548 0.05956208 0.02609378 5 233.72358 292.11746 262.9
0.07533276 0.0761813 0.08340501 0.00242591 6 292.11746 350.51134 321.3
0.05466201 0.09911082 0.0745428 0.01471144
0.0746549 0.1186242 0.09580469 0.00635822
0.08636127 0.14309159 0.11084963 0.02105425
0.11006918 0.16064429 0.13487953 0.04506246
0.11698284 0.18340799 0.14624944 0.05634754
0.13654748 0.18250387 0.16713357 0.07728386 0.4
0.09876482 0.20580905 0.14379696 0.05693996
0.11968543 0.21521863 0.16559836 0.07907846
0.35
0.10745712 0.22248565 0.16102161 0.07831853
0.09098805 0.24569408 0.15214688 0.0751839

Axis Title
0.3
0.11186282 0.22514029 0.17371697 0.09740663
0.03719998 0.19442887 0.11179747 0.05543083
0.04203446 0.20903846 0.03457578 0.00675746 0.25
0.03395957 0.18777519 0.04145687 0.0188775
0.07414453 0.17989855 0.00890773 0.0106195 0.2
0.08546104 0.17916474 0.03096585 0.02179743
0.08340143 0.15260202 0.0383196 0.02380126 0.15
0.09148561 0.14093618 0.06502469 0.04981314
0.08128773 0.13600267 0.06582897 0.05884223 0.1
0.06421482 0.15206049 0.05551287 0.0603858
0.04099493 0.12059101 0.03388779 0.04311378 0.05
0.02269269 0.025 0.0215348 0.06494227
0
0.0 50.0
Max 321.3
min 29.3

GDL Chi GDL


Normal 3 7.8147279 Gumbel 3
fabs frel FDA FDR X^2 FDA FDR
5 0.12820513 0.07667236 0.07667236 0.80784151 0.03006368 0.0300636836
6 0.15384615 0.28093898 0.20426662 0.64445372 0.30683697 0.2767732863
13 0.33333333 0.60553783 0.32459884 0.00892608 0.67146438 0.3646274144
10 0.25641026 0.8676754 0.26213757 0.00498921 0.87434909 0.2028847062
4 0.1025641 0.97519037 0.10751497 0.00932035 0.95574145 0.0813923597
1 0.02564103 0.99753056 0.02234019 0.01657207 0.98485487 0.0291134159
1.49210294

Chart Title
0.4

35

0.3

25

0.2

15

0.1

05

0
0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0
Axis Title

Si bien la Distr. Normal tiene menor error medio cua


no me gusta como queda la distr normal

T (años) Pex Qnorm (m3/s) Qgumb (m3/s)


2 0.5 156.9 145.6
10 0.1 245.2 246.7
50 0.02 298.4 335.4
100 0.01 317.1 372.9
GDL GDL
7.8147279 Gamma 3 7.8147279 Exp 4 9.48772904 Lognormal
X^2 FDA FDR X^2 FDA FDR X^2 FDA
2.92997627 0.03807567 0.03807567 2.47111346 0.31143122 0.31143122 10.2125419 0.067546
3.83065875 0.31278765 0.27471198 3.70326682 0.52542538 0.21399416 0.91710796 0.3873363
0.11458038 0.65670651 0.34391886 0.01311024 0.6729142 0.14748882 4.04096738 0.6631049
0.43576415 0.86741772 0.21071121 0.31764605 0.77456629 0.10165208 3.64280902 0.82196695
0.17044429 0.9570778 0.08966008 0.0633169 0.84462682 0.07006054 0.40172719 0.90528763
0.01833945 0.9877384 0.0306606 0.03832324 0.89291387 0.04828705 0.78003307 0.94849949
7.49976328 6.60677672 19.9951865

Column
AH
Normal
Gumbel
Gamma

250.0 300.0 350.0

error medio cuadrado total, la distr. Gumbel se comporta


Error medio cuadrado

normal
1 29.4
2 -2.4
3 -2.1
4 -4.2
5 2.4
6 -5.0
7 -5.8
8 -6.7
GDL 9 -2.0
3 7.8147279 Gráfica 3 7.8147279 10 2.3
FDR X^2 FDA FDR X^2 11 7.1
0.067546 1.11931309 3 0.07692308 0.8 12 1.7
0.31979031 6.98074649 10 0.25641026 2.66666667 13 6.6
0.2757686 0.38770272 10 0.25641026 0.69230769 14 5.7
0.15886204 1.44733092 10 0.25641026 0 15 1.2
0.08332068 0.14081006 6 0.15384615 1 16 0.0
0.04321186 0.46958464 0 0 1 17 4.1
10.5454879 6.15897436 18 -0.3
19 3.1
20 5.0
21 9.1
22 10.2
23 13.6
24 7.3
25 11.1
26 9.6
27 7.7
28 11.9
29 1.1
30 -11.0
31 -8.5
32 -15.4
33 -17.5
34 -16.9
35 -21.1
36 -20.1
37 -15.5
38 -3.2
39 7.5
64.9

Bajo 50% ex 34.6

Bajo 10% ex 29.9

e comporta mejor para los periodos de retorno que se des


rror medio cuadrado

Gumbel Gamma Exp Log-normal Gráfica


-2.0 3.4 -257.4 -102.0 52.2
-17.6 -16.9 -202.2 -85.6 4.6
-8.9 -10.2 -152.4 -60.2 -3.3
-5.8 -8.1 -120.3 -46.0 -10.4
4.5 1.6 -87.7 -27.7 -6.9
-0.2 -3.5 -74.4 -26.1 -16.3
1.0 -2.5 -58.0 -19.9 -18.2
1.7 -1.9 -44.4 -15.0 -19.6
7.6 4.0 -27.1 -5.4 -15.0
12.9 9.4 -11.8 3.0 -10.3
18.4 15.0 2.7 11.2 -4.8
13.5 10.2 5.8 8.7 -9.4
18.7 15.6 18.4 16.1 -3.5
18.0 15.1 24.4 17.3 -3.2
13.6 11.0 26.2 14.7 -6.3
12.4 10.0 30.6 15.1 -6.2
16.4 14.2 39.8 20.5 -0.6
11.7 9.8 40.0 17.2 -3.5
14.8 13.2 47.5 21.5 1.5
16.3 14.9 53.1 24.1 5.0
19.9 18.8 60.5 28.7 10.7
20.4 19.6 64.6 30.2 13.3
23.2 22.7 70.6 33.8 18.3
16.1 15.9 66.6 27.6 13.5
19.1 19.2 72.3 31.3 18.7
16.7 17.1 72.4 29.5 18.5
13.7 14.4 71.7 27.1 17.8
16.7 17.8 76.7 30.6 23.0
4.7 6.0 66.4 19.0 13.1
-8.9 -7.2 54.3 5.8 1.6
-8.0 -6.0 56.4 7.0 4.5
-16.8 -14.5 48.5 -1.6 -2.5
-21.1 -18.4 44.8 -5.7 -5.1
-22.9 -20.0 43.1 -7.5 -5.6
-30.0 -26.8 35.6 -14.7 -11.7
-32.6 -29.1 32.0 -17.6 -13.9
-32.5 -28.8 30.0 -18.2 -14.2
-26.6 -22.7 32.4 -13.3 -10.2
-26.4 -22.9 25.4 -15.5 -15.3
108.0 97.6 485.3 193.7 89.2

55.7 48.1 418.5 169.0 66.9

20.7 21.6 380.6 153.2 53.5

que se desean analizar


área cuenca
715.2 km2 T (años)
2
10
50
P_24^10 130.5 mm 100
Estación carriel sur

Andre El factor de convergencia del caudal me


toma el valor de 1.35, el cual correspon
Up donde se localiza la cuenca

MOP El factor de conversión a de caudal med


se determina en función de la zona hom
estos factores para cada zona homogén
Q(T)/Q(10) med Q(T)/Q(10) max Q(T)/Q(10) min Alfa Beta Gamma Delta
0.57 0.63 0.50 1.35 0.002 0.97 1.22
1.00 1.00 1.00 1.35 0.002 0.97 1.22
1.38 1.44 1.33 1.35 0.002 0.97 1.22
1.54 1.63 1.46 1.35 0.002 0.97 1.22

factor de convergencia del caudal medio diario a caudal máximo instantáneo


ma el valor de 1.35, el cual corresponde al valor medio para la zona homogénea
p donde se localiza la cuenca

factor de conversión a de caudal medio diario máximo a caudal instantáneo máximo,


e determina en función de la zona homogénea a la cual pertenece la cuenca. Los valores de
stos factores para cada zona homogénea se presentan en la Tabla 3.24.
P10,24 (mm) Q(10) (m3/s) Qmed (m3/s) Qmax (m3/s) Qmin (m3/s)
130.50 465 358 396 314
130.50 465 628 628 628
130.50 465 867 905 836
130.50 465 968 1024 917

T (años) Q(T)/Q(10) med Q(T)/Q(10) max Q(T)/Q(10) min P10,24 (mm) Q(10) (m3/s)
2 0.57 0.63 0.5 130.5 465
10 1.00 1.00 1.00 130.5 465
50 1.38 1.44 1.33 130.5 465
100 1.54 1.63 1.46 130.5 465
Qmed (m3/s) Qmax (m3/s) Qmin (m3/s)
358 396 314
628 628 628
867 905 836
968 1024 917
Se utilizan los datos de P24 de la estación c

T P (mm)
2 83.4
5 111.8
10 130.5
25 154.1
50 171.6
100 189.2
área cuenca
atos de P24 de la estación carriel sur 715.2

T años C(10) C(T)/C(10) C(T) PP Q(T) (m3/s)


2 0.79 0.91 0.7189 83.4 348
10 0.79 1 0.79 130.5 667
50 0.79 1.04 0.8216 171.6 974
100 0.79 1.04 0.8216 189.2 1099

Hay que ordenarlos de menor a mayor

T (años) QT/Q1O
2 0.91
5 0.99
10 1
20 1.01
25 1.02
50 1.04
100 1.04
Longitud curso principal
Desnivel máximo
Área cuenca

T (años) C(T)/C(10)
2 0.91
5 0.99
10 1
20 1.01
25 1.02
50 1.04
100 1.04
T años c(10) C(T)/C(10) C(T) tmpo. Conc I24 mm/hr
2 0.36 0.91 0.3276 12.4252067 3.47
10 0.36 1 0.36 12.4252067 5.44
50 0.36 1.04 0.3744 12.4252067 7.15
100 0.36 1.04 0.3744 12.4252067 7.88

ongitud curso principal 77.6 km


esnivel máximo 588 m
715.2 km^2
Intensidad mm/hr Q
4.822622680161 314
7.560538149878 541
9.937104369785 739
10.95166187887 815
Datos
LCP
LCG
S
A

Comparación méto
1200

1000
Q (m3/s)

800

600

400

200

0
0 20 40 60
Periodo de ret
Datos Datos de la cuenca TP 11.14324 (hrs)
77.6 (Km) TC 12.4252067176 TB 30.57364 (hrs)
36.7 (Km) L 77.6 Tu 2.026044 (hrs)
0.15 H 588 qp 23.07882 (L/s/mm/Km2)
715.2 (Km2) area 715.2 qp 0.023079 (m3/s/mm/Km2)
c10 0.36 Pulsos 5.5
Pulsos app 6

T PP I mm/h I tc=12,43 I tc/Pulsos T Q [m3/s]


2 83.4 3.475 4.829572 0.80492861737 2 370
10 130.5 5.4375 7.557064 1.25951060631 10 578
50 171.6 7.15 9.937104 1.65618406163 50 761
100 189.2 7.8833333 10.95629 1.82604909359 100 839

Comparación métodos Indirectos y directo

HUS Linsley
Racional Mod.
Verni y King
DGA-AC
Gumbel

40 60 80 100 120
Periodo de retorno (años)
Tiempo q0 q0corr Q T=2
0 0 0 0
2 0.004142 0.024505 14.1074 0
(L/s/mm/Km2) 4 0.008284 0.049011 28.21481 14.1074 0
(m3/s/mm/Km2) 6 0.012427 0.073516 42.32221 28.21481 14.1074 0
8 0.016569 0.098022 56.42962 42.32221 28.21481 14.1074 0
10 0.020711 0.122527 70.53702 56.42962 42.32221 28.21481 14.1074 0
12 0.02138 0.126484 72.81478 70.53702 56.42962 42.32221 28.21481 14.1074
14 0.019004 0.11243 64.72425 72.81478 70.53702 56.42962 42.32221 28.21481
16 0.016629 0.098376 56.63372 64.72425 72.81478 70.53702 56.42962 42.32221
18 0.014253 0.084322 48.54319 56.63372 64.72425 72.81478 70.53702 56.42962
20 0.011878 0.070269 40.45265 48.54319 56.63372 64.72425 72.81478 70.53702
22 0.009502 0.056215 32.36212 40.45265 48.54319 56.63372 64.72425 72.81478
24 0.007127 0.042161 24.27159 32.36212 40.45265 48.54319 56.63372 64.72425
26 0.004751 0.028107 16.18106 24.27159 32.36212 40.45265 48.54319 56.63372
28 0.002376 0.014054 8.090531 16.18106 24.27159 32.36212 40.45265 48.54319
30 0 0 0 8.090531 16.18106 24.27159 32.36212 40.45265
32 0 8.090531 16.18106 24.27159 32.36212
34 0 8.090531 16.18106 24.27159
36 0 8.090531 16.18106
38 0 8.090531
40 0
Correcion 0.169032 1
Q [m3/s] Q T=10 Q [m3/s]
0 0 0
14.1074 22.07453 0 22.07453
42.32221 44.14907 22.07453 0 66.2236
84.64442 66.2236 44.14907 22.07453 0 132.4472
141.074 88.29814 66.2236 44.14907 22.07453 0 220.7453
211.6111 110.3727 88.29814 66.2236 44.14907 22.07453 0 331.118
284.4258 113.9368 110.3727 88.29814 66.2236 44.14907 22.07453 445.0548
335.0427 101.2771 113.9368 110.3727 88.29814 66.2236 44.14907 524.2574
363.4616 88.61751 101.2771 113.9368 110.3727 88.29814 66.2236 568.7259
369.6826 75.95786 88.61751 101.2771 113.9368 110.3727 88.29814 578.4601
353.7056 63.29822 75.95786 88.61751 101.2771 113.9368 110.3727 553.4602
315.5307 50.63857 63.29822 75.95786 88.61751 101.2771 113.9368 493.7261
266.9875 37.97893 50.63857 63.29822 75.95786 88.61751 101.2771 417.7682
218.4443 25.31929 37.97893 50.63857 63.29822 75.95786 88.61751 341.8104
169.9011 12.65964 25.31929 37.97893 50.63857 63.29822 75.95786 265.8525
121.358 0 12.65964 25.31929 37.97893 50.63857 63.29822 189.8947
80.90531 0 12.65964 25.31929 37.97893 50.63857 126.5964
48.54319 0 12.65964 25.31929 37.97893 75.95786
24.27159 0 12.65964 25.31929 37.97893
8.090531 12.65964 12.65964
0 0 0
Q T=50 Q [m3/s] Q T=1
0 0 0
29.02674 0 29.02674 32.00385 0
58.05349 29.02674 0 87.08023 64.00769 32.00385
87.08023 58.05349 29.02674 0 174.1605 96.01154 64.00769
116.107 87.08023 58.05349 29.02674 0 290.2674 128.0154 96.01154
145.1337 116.107 87.08023 58.05349 29.02674 0 435.4012 160.0192 128.0154
149.8203 145.1337 116.107 87.08023 58.05349 29.02674 585.2215 165.1865 160.0192
133.1736 149.8203 145.1337 116.107 87.08023 58.05349 689.3684 146.8325 165.1865
116.5269 133.1736 149.8203 145.1337 116.107 87.08023 747.8418 128.4784 146.8325
99.88022 116.5269 133.1736 149.8203 145.1337 116.107 760.6418 110.1243 128.4784
83.23352 99.88022 116.5269 133.1736 149.8203 145.1337 727.7684 91.77029 110.1243
66.58682 83.23352 99.88022 116.5269 133.1736 149.8203 649.2214 73.41623 91.77029
49.94011 66.58682 83.23352 99.88022 116.5269 133.1736 549.3412 55.06217 73.41623
33.29341 49.94011 66.58682 83.23352 99.88022 116.5269 449.461 36.70812 55.06217
16.6467 33.29341 49.94011 66.58682 83.23352 99.88022 349.5808 18.35406 36.70812
0 16.6467 33.29341 49.94011 66.58682 83.23352 249.7006 0 18.35406
0 16.6467 33.29341 49.94011 66.58682 166.467 0
0 16.6467 33.29341 49.94011 99.88022
0 16.6467 33.29341 49.94011
16.6467 16.6467
0 0
Q T=100 Q [m3/s]
0
32.00385
0 96.01154
32.00385 0 192.0231
64.00769 32.00385 0 320.0385
96.01154 64.00769 32.00385 0 480.0577
128.0154 96.01154 64.00769 32.00385 645.2442
160.0192 128.0154 96.01154 64.00769 760.0728
165.1865 160.0192 128.0154 96.01154 824.5436
146.8325 165.1865 160.0192 128.0154 838.6564
128.4784 146.8325 165.1865 160.0192 802.4113
110.1243 128.4784 146.8325 165.1865 715.8083
91.77029 110.1243 128.4784 146.8325 605.6839
73.41623 91.77029 110.1243 128.4784 495.5596
55.06217 73.41623 91.77029 110.1243 385.4352
36.70812 55.06217 73.41623 91.77029 275.3109
18.35406 36.70812 55.06217 73.41623 183.5406
0 18.35406 36.70812 55.06217 110.1243
0 18.35406 36.70812 55.06217
18.35406 18.35406
0 0

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi