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PRECIPITACIÓN Maxima en mm

0.16 0.25 0.5


año 10 min 15 min 30 min 1 hora 2 horas 3 horas 4 horas
1 1972 55.4228 55.88 57.15 58.42 66.04 71.12 73.66
2 1973 42.3164 42.545 43.18 43.18 48.26 50.8 50.8
3 1974 64.43472 64.9605 66.421 66.04 78.74 83.82 83.82
4 1975 58.04408 58.547 59.944 58.42 73.66 76.2 76.2
5 1976 75.5396 75.8825 76.835 76.2 86.36 86.36 88.9
6 1977 89.26576 89.4715 90.043 88.9 96.52 96.52 96.52
7 1978 87.08136 88.2015 91.313 86.36 124.46 127 127
8 1979 71.0184 72.39 76.2 73.66 111.76 119.38 121.92
9 1980 77.05344 77.5335 78.867 78.74 91.44 91.44 96.52
10 1981 52.1716 53.6575 57.785 53.34 99.06 104.14 106.68
11 1982 61.32576 61.5315 62.103 60.96 68.58 68.58 68.58
12 1983 76.2 76.2 76.2 76.2 76.2 76.2 76.2
13 1984 66.02984 66.7385 68.707 66.04 88.9 91.44 91.44
14 1985 55.4228 55.88 57.15 58.42 66.04 71.12 73.66
15 1986 49.80432 50.673 53.086 50.8 76.2 81.28 81.28
16 1987 35.58032 37.0205 41.021 53.34 58.42 81.28 99.06
17 1988 49.59096 51.054 55.118 53.34 91.44 101.6 104.14
18 1989 44.07408 44.577 45.974 45.72 58.42 60.96 63.5
19 1990 39.18712 40.513 44.196 45.72 73.66 83.82 91.44
20 1991 55.94096 57.404 61.468 66.04 86.36 111.76 111.76
21 1992 58.674 60.96 67.31 68.58 116.84 142.24 144.78
22 1993 94.09176 94.869 97.028 93.98 119.38 121.92 121.92
23 1994 82.21472 82.7405 84.201 83.82 96.52 101.6 101.6
24 1995 38.862 40.005 43.18 45.72 66.04 78.74 83.82
25 1996 49.80432 50.673 53.086 50.8 76.2 81.28 81.28
26 1997 54.356 54.9275 56.515 55.88 71.12 73.66 76.2
27 1998 65.62344 66.1035 67.437 66.04 81.28 81.28 83.82
28 1999 51.36624 53.1135 57.967 50.8 78.74 83.82 83.82
29 2000 40.5892 41.275 43.18 45.72 55.88 63.5 68.58
30 2001 49.72304 50.546 52.832 48.26 78.74 78.74 78.74
31 2002 40.02024 40.386 41.402 43.18 48.26 50.8 55.88
32 2003 61.522 62.5525 65.415 68.58 83.82 99.06 101.6
33 2004 77.94752 78.9305 81.661 83.82 101.6 111.76 116.84
34 2005 60.12688 61.087 63.754 58.42 93.98 93.98 93.98
35 2006 57.58688 58.547 61.214 63.5 78.74 93.98 93.98
36 2007 33.228 34.2 36.9 40 54 69 71
37 2008 61.556 63.275 68.05 65 112 123 125
38 2009 76.568 77.45 79.9 76 106 108 108
39 2010 72.624 72.975 73.95 72 85 85 85
40 2011 68.284 69.85 74.2 78 107 119 132
INTENSIDAD MAXIMAS EN mm/h

año 10 min 15 min 30 min 1 hora 2 horas 3 horas


1972 332.5 223.5 114.3 58.4 33.0 23.7
1973 253.9 170.2 86.4 43.2 24.1 16.9
1974 386.6 259.8 132.8 66.0 39.4 27.9
1975 348.3 234.2 119.9 58.4 36.8 25.4
1976 453.2 303.5 153.7 76.2 43.2 28.8
1977 535.6 357.9 180.1 88.9 48.3 32.2
1978 522.5 352.8 182.6 86.4 62.2 42.3
1979 426.1 289.6 152.4 73.7 55.9 39.8
1980 462.3 310.1 157.7 78.7 45.7 30.5
1981 313.0 214.6 115.6 53.3 49.5 34.7
1982 368.0 246.1 124.2 61.0 34.3 22.9
1983 457.2 304.8 152.4 76.2 38.1 25.4
1984 396.2 267.0 137.4 66.0 44.5 30.5
1985 332.5 223.5 114.3 58.4 33.0 23.7
1986 298.8 202.7 106.2 50.8 38.1 27.1
1987 213.5 148.1 82.0 53.3 29.2 27.1
1988 297.5 204.2 110.2 53.3 45.7 33.9
1989 264.4 178.3 91.9 45.7 29.2 20.3
1990 235.1 162.1 88.4 45.7 36.8 27.9
1991 335.6 229.6 122.9 66.0 43.2 37.3
1992 352.0 243.8 134.6 68.6 58.4 47.4
1993 564.6 379.5 194.1 94.0 59.7 40.6
1994 493.3 331.0 168.4 83.8 48.3 33.9
1995 233.2 160.0 86.4 45.7 33.0 26.2
1996 298.8 202.7 106.2 50.8 38.1 27.1
1997 326.1 219.7 113.0 55.9 35.6 24.6
1998 393.7 264.4 134.9 66.0 40.6 27.1
1999 308.2 212.5 115.9 50.8 39.4 27.9
2000 243.5 165.1 86.4 45.7 27.9 21.2
2001 298.3 202.2 105.7 48.3 39.4 26.2
2002 240.1 161.5 82.8 43.2 24.1 16.9
2003 369.1 250.2 130.8 68.6 41.9 33.0
2004 467.7 315.7 163.3 83.8 50.8 37.3
2005 360.8 244.3 127.5 58.4 47.0 31.3
2006 345.5 234.2 122.4 63.5 39.4 31.3
2007 199.4 136.8 73.8 40.0 27.0 23.0
2008 369.3 253.1 136.1 65.0 56.0 41.0
2009 459.4 309.8 159.8 76.0 53.0 36.0
2010 435.7 291.9 147.9 72.0 42.5 28.3
2011 409.7 279.4 148.4 78.0 53.5 39.7
n 20 30 40 50 100
Yn 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.56
Sigma n 1.06 1.11 1.14 1.16 1.21

Yn 0.54 TIEMPO
Sigma n 1.14 Promedio
Desviacion
Y=-ln(-ln(1-P)) K=Y-Yn/Sigma n C.V
TR=1/P P=1/TR

AÑOS TR Y K 10 MINUTOS
Y-5 0.2 -1.49994 -1.78942 194.4661972
Y-10 0.1 2.250367 1.500322 498.8653391
Y-50 0.02 3.901939 2.949069 632.9175256
Y-100 0.01 4.600149 3.561534 689.5888009

Periodo
de
retorno Probabilidad K 10 min
1.005 0.99502487562 -1.66833 -1.93713 180.7985614
1.05 0.95238095238 -1.11334 -1.4503 225.8448178
1.25 0.8 -0.47588 -0.89113 277.5851084
2 0.5 0.366513 -0.15218 345.9595591
5 0.2 1.49994 0.842053 437.9558137
10 0.1 2.250367 1.500322 498.8653391
20 0.05 2.970195 2.13175 557.2912182
50 0.02 3.901939 2.949069 632.9175256
100 0.01 4.600149 3.561534 689.5888009
200 0.005 5.295812 4.171765 746.0532921
500 0.002 6.213607 4.976848 820.5474666
1,000 0.001 6.907255 5.585311 876.8483986
2,000 0.0005 7.600652 6.193555 933.1290009
5,000 0.0002 8.517093 6.99745 1007.513248
10,000 0.0001 9.21029 7.605518 1063.777605
P= m/n+1*100

4 horas año # orden 10 min 10 min Prob(%) 10 min


18.4 1972 1 332.54 564.55 2.44 564.55 CURVA D
12.7 1973 2 253.90 535.59 4.88 535.59
21.0 1974 3 386.61 522.49 7.32 522.49
1200.00
19.1 1975 4 348.26 493.29 9.76 493.29
22.2 1976 5 453.24 467.69 12.20 467.69
24.1 1977 6 535.59 462.32 14.63 462.32 1000.00
31.8 1978 7 522.49 459.41 17.07 459.41
30.5 1979 8 426.11 457.20 19.51 457.20
800.00

INTENSIDAD EN mm/h
24.1 1980 9 462.32 453.24 21.95 453.24
26.7 1981 10 313.03 435.74 24.39 435.74
17.1 1982 11 367.95 426.11 26.83 426.11 600.00
19.1 1983 12 457.20 409.70 29.27 409.70
22.9 1984 13 396.18 396.18 31.71 396.18 400.00
18.4 1985 14 332.54 393.74 34.15 393.74
20.3 1986 15 298.83 386.61 36.59 386.61
24.8 1987 16 213.48 369.34 39.02 369.34 200.00

26.0 1988 17 297.55 369.13 41.46 369.13


15.9 1989 18 264.44 367.95 43.90 367.95 0.00
0.00
22.9 1990 19 235.12 360.76 46.34 360.76
27.9 1991 20 335.65 352.04 48.78 352.04
36.2 1992 21 352.04 348.26 51.22 348.26
30.5 1993 22 564.55 345.52 53.66 345.52
25.4 1994 23 493.29 335.65 56.10 335.65
21.0 1995 24 233.17 332.54 58.54 332.54
20.3 1996 25 298.83 332.54 60.98 332.54
19.1 1997 26 326.14 326.14 63.41 326.14
21.0 1998 27 393.74 313.03 65.85 313.03
21.0 1999 28 308.20 308.20 68.29 308.20
17.1 2000 29 243.54 298.83 70.73 298.83
19.7 2001 30 298.34 298.83 73.17 298.83
14.0 2002 31 240.12 298.34 75.61 298.34
25.4 2003 32 369.13 297.55 78.05 297.55
29.2 2004 33 467.69 264.44 80.49 264.44
23.5 2005 34 360.76 253.90 82.93 253.90
23.5 2006 35 345.52 243.54 85.37 243.54
17.8 2007 36 199.37 240.12 87.80 240.12
31.3 2008 37 369.34 235.12 90.24 235.12
27.0 2009 38 459.41 233.17 92.68 233.17
21.3 2010 39 435.74 213.48 95.12 213.48
33.0 2011 40 409.70 199.37 97.56 199.37
Promedio 360.0409
Desv Est 92.52973
Cv 0.256998
200
0.57
1.24

TIEMPO 10 MINUTOS
Promedio 360.0409
Desviacion 92.52976
C.V 0.256998

Probabilidad
%
99.50
95.24
80.00
50.00 180.7986
20.00
10.00
5.00
2.00
1.00 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PclhP-YIko8&ab_channel=BrandonChejoJa
0.50
0.20
0.10
0.05
0.02
0.01
CURVA DE DURACIÓN-INTENSIDAD-FRECUENCIA (IDF) -
ESTACION PEDRO MIGUEL
1200.00

1000.00

800.00
INTENSIDAD EN mm/h

600.00

400.00

200.00

0.00
0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00

PROBABILIDAD EN %
channel=BrandonChejoJaita
PRECIPITACIÓN Maxima en mm
0.16 0.25 0.5
año 10 min 15 min 30 min 1 hora 2 horas 3 horas
1 1972 55.4228 55.88 57.15 58.42 66.04 71.12
2 1973 42.3164 42.545 43.18 43.18 48.26 50.8
3 1974 64.43472 64.9605 66.421 66.04 78.74 83.82
4 1975 58.04408 58.547 59.944 58.42 73.66 76.2
5 1976 75.5396 75.8825 76.835 76.2 86.36 86.36
6 1977 89.26576 89.4715 90.043 88.9 96.52 96.52
7 1978 87.08136 88.2015 91.313 86.36 124.46 127
8 1979 71.0184 72.39 76.2 73.66 111.76 119.38
9 1980 77.05344 77.5335 78.867 78.74 91.44 91.44
10 1981 52.1716 53.6575 57.785 53.34 99.06 104.14
11 1982 61.32576 61.5315 62.103 60.96 68.58 68.58
12 1983 76.2 76.2 76.2 76.2 76.2 76.2
13 1984 66.02984 66.7385 68.707 66.04 88.9 91.44
14 1985 55.4228 55.88 57.15 58.42 66.04 71.12
15 1986 49.80432 50.673 53.086 50.8 76.2 81.28
16 1987 35.58032 37.0205 41.021 53.34 58.42 81.28
17 1988 49.59096 51.054 55.118 53.34 91.44 101.6
18 1989 44.07408 44.577 45.974 45.72 58.42 60.96
19 1990 39.18712 40.513 44.196 45.72 73.66 83.82
20 1991 55.94096 57.404 61.468 66.04 86.36 111.76
21 1992 58.674 60.96 67.31 68.58 116.84 142.24
22 1993 94.09176 94.869 97.028 93.98 119.38 121.92
23 1994 82.21472 82.7405 84.201 83.82 96.52 101.6
24 1995 38.862 40.005 43.18 45.72 66.04 78.74
25 1996 49.80432 50.673 53.086 50.8 76.2 81.28
26 1997 54.356 54.9275 56.515 55.88 71.12 73.66
27 1998 65.62344 66.1035 67.437 66.04 81.28 81.28
28 1999 51.36624 53.1135 57.967 50.8 78.74 83.82
29 2000 40.5892 41.275 43.18 45.72 55.88 63.5
30 2001 49.72304 50.546 52.832 48.26 78.74 78.74
31 2002 40.02024 40.386 41.402 43.18 48.26 50.8
32 2003 61.522 62.5525 65.415 68.58 83.82 99.06
33 2004 77.94752 78.9305 81.661 83.82 101.6 111.76
34 2005 60.12688 61.087 63.754 58.42 93.98 93.98
35 2006 57.58688 58.547 61.214 63.5 78.74 93.98
36 2007 33.228 34.2 36.9 40 54 69
37 2008 61.556 63.275 68.05 65 112 123
38 2009 76.568 77.45 79.9 76 106 108
39 2010 72.624 72.975 73.95 72 85 85
40 2011 68.284 69.85 74.2 78 107 119
n 20 30 40 50 100
Yn 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.56
Sigma n 1.06 1.11 1.14 1.16 1.21

Yn 0.54 TIEMPO
Sigma n 1.14 Promedio
Desviacion
Y=-ln(-ln(1-P)) K=Y-Yn/Sigma n C.V
TR=1/P P=1/TR

AÑOS TR Y K
Y-5 0.2 -1.49993999 0.84205262
Y-10 0.1 2.25036733 1.50032222
Y-50 0.02 3.90193866 2.949069
Y-100 0.01 4.60014923 3.56153441
INTENSIDAD MAXIMAS EN mm/h

4 horas año 10 min 15 min 30 min 1 hora 2 horas


73.66 1972 332.5 223.5 114.3 58.4 33.0
50.8 1973 253.9 170.2 86.4 43.2 24.1
83.82 1974 386.6 259.8 132.8 66.0 39.4
76.2 1975 348.3 234.2 119.9 58.4 36.8
88.9 1976 453.2 303.5 153.7 76.2 43.2
96.52 1977 535.6 357.9 180.1 88.9 48.3
127 1978 522.5 352.8 182.6 86.4 62.2
121.92 1979 426.1 289.6 152.4 73.7 55.9
96.52 1980 462.3 310.1 157.7 78.7 45.7
106.68 1981 313.0 214.6 115.6 53.3 49.5
68.58 1982 368.0 246.1 124.2 61.0 34.3
76.2 1983 457.2 304.8 152.4 76.2 38.1
91.44 1984 396.2 267.0 137.4 66.0 44.5
73.66 1985 332.5 223.5 114.3 58.4 33.0
81.28 1986 298.8 202.7 106.2 50.8 38.1
99.06 1987 213.5 148.1 82.0 53.3 29.2
104.14 1988 297.5 204.2 110.2 53.3 45.7
63.5 1989 264.4 178.3 91.9 45.7 29.2
91.44 1990 235.1 162.1 88.4 45.7 36.8
111.76 1991 335.6 229.6 122.9 66.0 43.2
144.78 1992 352.0 243.8 134.6 68.6 58.4
121.92 1993 564.6 379.5 194.1 94.0 59.7
101.6 1994 493.3 331.0 168.4 83.8 48.3
83.82 1995 233.2 160.0 86.4 45.7 33.0
81.28 1996 298.8 202.7 106.2 50.8 38.1
76.2 1997 326.1 219.7 113.0 55.9 35.6
83.82 1998 393.7 264.4 134.9 66.0 40.6
83.82 1999 308.2 212.5 115.9 50.8 39.4
68.58 2000 243.5 165.1 86.4 45.7 27.9
78.74 2001 298.3 202.2 105.7 48.3 39.4
55.88 2002 240.1 161.5 82.8 43.2 24.1
101.6 2003 369.1 250.2 130.8 68.6 41.9
116.84 2004 467.7 315.7 163.3 83.8 50.8
93.98 2005 360.8 244.3 127.5 58.4 47.0
93.98 2006 345.5 234.2 122.4 63.5 39.4
71 2007 199.4 136.8 73.8 40.0 27.0
125 2008 369.3 253.1 136.1 65.0 56.0
108 2009 459.4 309.8 159.8 76.0 53.0
85 2010 435.7 291.9 147.9 72.0 42.5
132 2011 409.7 279.4 148.4 78.0 53.5
200
0.57
1.24

15 MINUTOS
243.51265
61.27419
0.25163
Periodo de r Probabilidad K
1.005 0.99502488 -1.66833019 -1.93713175
15 MIN 1.05 0.95238095 -1.11334405 -1.4503018
295.108742 1.25 0.8 -0.475885 -0.89112719
335.443677 2 0.5 0.36651292 -0.15218165
424.214462 5 0.2 1.49993999 0.84205262
461.742783 10 0.1 2.25036733 1.50032222
20 0.05 2.97019525 2.13175022
50 0.02 3.90193866 2.949069
100 0.01 4.60014923 3.56153441
200 0.005 5.29581214 4.17176504
500 0.002 6.21360726 4.97684848
1000 0.001 6.90725507 5.58531147
2000 0.0005 7.60065241 6.19355474
5000 0.0002 8.51709318 6.99745016
10000 0.0001 9.21029037 7.60551787
/h P= m/n+1*100

3 horas 4 horas año # orden 15 min 15 min Prob(%)


23.7 18.4 1972 1 223.5 379.5 2.44
16.9 12.7 1973 2 170.2 357.9 4.88
27.9 21.0 1974 3 259.8 352.8 7.32
25.4 19.1 1975 4 234.2 331.0 9.76
28.8 22.2 1976 5 303.5 315.7 12.20
32.2 24.1 1977 6 357.9 310.1 14.63
42.3 31.8 1978 7 352.8 309.8 17.07
39.8 30.5 1979 8 289.6 304.8 19.51
30.5 24.1 1980 9 310.1 303.5 21.95
34.7 26.7 1981 10 214.6 291.9 24.39
22.9 17.1 1982 11 246.1 289.6 26.83
25.4 19.1 1983 12 304.8 279.4 29.27
30.5 22.9 1984 13 267.0 267.0 31.71
23.7 18.4 1985 14 223.5 264.4 34.15
27.1 20.3 1986 15 202.7 259.8 36.59
27.1 24.8 1987 16 148.1 253.1 39.02
33.9 26.0 1988 17 204.2 250.2 41.46
20.3 15.9 1989 18 178.3 246.1 43.90
27.9 22.9 1990 19 162.1 244.3 46.34
37.3 27.9 1991 20 229.6 243.8 48.78
47.4 36.2 1992 21 243.8 234.2 51.22
40.6 30.5 1993 22 379.5 234.2 53.66
33.9 25.4 1994 23 331.0 229.6 56.10
26.2 21.0 1995 24 160.0 223.5 58.54
27.1 20.3 1996 25 202.7 223.5 60.98
24.6 19.1 1997 26 219.7 219.7 63.41
27.1 21.0 1998 27 264.4 214.6 65.85
27.9 21.0 1999 28 212.5 212.5 68.29
21.2 17.1 2000 29 165.1 204.2 70.73
26.2 19.7 2001 30 202.2 202.7 73.17
16.9 14.0 2002 31 161.5 202.7 75.61
33.0 25.4 2003 32 250.2 202.2 78.05
37.3 29.2 2004 33 315.7 178.3 80.49
31.3 23.5 2005 34 244.3 170.2 82.93
31.3 23.5 2006 35 234.2 165.1 85.37
23.0 17.8 2007 36 136.8 162.1 87.80
41.0 31.3 2008 37 253.1 161.5 90.24
36.0 27.0 2009 38 309.8 160.0 92.68
28.3 21.3 2010 39 291.9 148.1 95.12
39.7 33.0 2011 40 279.4 136.8 97.56
Promedio 243.51265
Desv Est 61.27419
Cv 0.25163

15 min Prob %
124.816473 99.5024876
154.646583 95.2380952
188.909554 80
234.187843 50
295.108742 20
335.443677 10
374.133916 5
424.214462 2
461.742783 1
499.13417 0.5
548.465005 0.2
585.748082 0.1
623.017695 0.05
672.275735 0.02
709.534591 0.01
15 min
379.5
357.9
352.8 CURVA DE DURACIÓN - INTENSIDAD - FRECUNCIA
331.0 (IDF) - ESTACIÓN PEDRO MIGUEL
315.7 800.0
310.1
700.0
309.8
304.8 600.0
INTENSIDAD EN mm/h

303.5 500.0
291.9
289.6 400.0

279.4 300.0
267.0
200.0
264.4
259.8 100.0
253.1 0.0
250.2 0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00
246.1 PROBABILIDAD EN %
244.3
243.8
234.2
234.2
229.6
223.5
223.5
219.7
214.6
212.5
204.2
202.7
202.7
202.2
178.3
170.2
165.1
162.1
161.5
160.0
148.1
136.8
CIA

0 120.00

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