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ESTACION TINGO MARIA

PRECIPITACION PLUVIAL MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS DEL AÑO DESDE 1996 - 2015


AÑO ENE. FEB. MAR. ABR. MAY. JUN. JUL.
1996 68.7 75.3 32.2 76 63.9 50 21
1997 55 39.7 60.4 51 50 33.7 51.3
1998 52.5 87 74.5 63.3 156 83 16.4
1999 57.1 78.3 82.6 66.3 116.5 52.2 48
2000 88.5 64.5 54.6 24.1 20.9 60.9 85.6
2001 95.9 45.8 71.8 38.7 67.7 28.3 43.3
2002 72.2 78.8 123.1 72.7 64.7 46.9 40.7
2003 33.8 106 51.7 54.6 149.7 94.6 23.5
2004 64.1 67.8 80 50 38.1 13.8 79.6
2005 48.8 92.6 94.7 23.3 37.5 43.7 37.5
2006 54.8 108 53 80.5 41.9 20.5 42
2007 70.5 35 69.8 51.5 35.8 4.9 35.5
2008 69.5 88.6 65.5 31.7 34.9 26.5 35
2009 78.2 53 48.5 55.5 65.6 27.4 35.5
2010 46 64.4 69.9 30.3 23.7 26.9 55.7
2011 105 66.3 85.3 64 44 37.6 21.7
2012 58.9 51.5 103.7 52.2 43 33.7 9.6
2013 98 96.5 65.3 115 32.4 59.7 18.8
2014 44.7 42.4 73.2 43.8 36.8 46 18.6
2015 59.8 122.5 55.7 107.7 74.8 21.8 101.2
ARIA

AGO. SET. OCT. NOV. DIC. maximas corregido con 1.13


30 54.5 53 78 44.6 78 88.1
23.7 76.2 33.6 68 99.8 99.8 112.8
27.5 36.9 97.1 72.2 54.8 156 176.3
22.3 22.7 26.1 71.8 94 116.5 131.6
20.5 32.8 53.4 51.7 65.4 88.5 100.0
7.4 88.3 35.5 79 43.9 95.9 108.4
28.9 61.3 46 65.2 60.4 123.1 139.1
57.1 58.4 111.12 86 103.3 149.7 169.2
27.5 33.4 48.5 68.2 46.1 80 90.4
25.7 54.3 58.7 66.8 97.5 97.5 110.2
30.6 68.1 68.9 96 64.5 108 122.0
29.1 27.8 48.3 61.8 60.9 70.5 79.7
14.5 24.6 95.8 28.8 32.9 95.8 108.3
34.8 39.8 34.4 41.8 56.7 78.2 88.4
22 45.3 51.4 68.4 66.3 69.9 79.0
26 79.6 47.2 60.5 38.8 105 118.7
15.8 28.8 55.1 48.5 61.6 103.7 117.2
37.8 121 69.2 44.2 53 121 136.7
10.8 56.5 148 65.5 75.9 148 167.2
8.7 63.1 36 58.1 58.9 122.5 138.4
cuadro precipitacion maxima en 24 horas
1 88.1 78 176.28 79.0
2 112.8 99.8 169.161 79.7
3 176.3 156 167.24 88.1
4 131.6 116.5 139.103 88.4
5 100.0 88.5 138.425 90.4
6 108.4 95.9 136.73 100.0
7 139.1 123.1 131.645 108.3
8 169.2 149.7 122.04 108.4
9 90.4 80 118.65 110.2
10 110.2 97.5 117.181 112.8
11 122.0 108 112.774 117.2
12 79.7 70.5 110.175 118.7
13 108.3 95.8 108.367 122.0
14 88.4 78.2 108.254 131.6
15 79.0 69.9 100.005 136.7
16 118.7 105 90.4 138.4
17 117.2 103.7 88.366 139.1
18 136.7 121 88.14 167.2
19 167.2 148 79.665 169.2
20 138.4 122.5 78.987 176.3

69.9
70.5 Cuadro N° 3: Precipitación Máxima En 24 Horas (m
78 Estación – TINGO MARIA
P mayor a
Nº P (mm)
78.2 menor
80 1 78 156
88.5 2 99.8 149.7
95.8 3 156 148
95.9 4 116.5 123.1
97.5 5 88.5 122.5
99.8 6 95.9 121
103.7 7 123.1 116.5
105 8 149.7 108
108 9 80 105
116.5 10 97.5 103.7
121 11 108 99.8
122.5 12 70.5 97.5
123.1 13 95.8 95.9
148 14 78.2 95.8
149.7 15 69.9 88.5
156 16 105 80
17 103.7 78.2
18 121 78
19 148 70.5
20 122.5 69.9
áxima En 24 Horas (mm)
GO MARIA
P memor a
mayor
69.9
70.5
78
78.2
80
88.5
95.8
95.9
97.5
99.8
103.7
105
108
116.5
121
122.5
123.1
148
149.7
156
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for:All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained a
Normal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 97.38%
Normal (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 98.08%
LogNormal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 98.86%
Galton ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.26%
Exponential ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 19.48%
Exponential (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 60.14%
Gamma ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.21%
Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.31%
Log Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 98.76%
EV1-Max (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 95.15%
EV2-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 53.59%
EV1-Min (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 67.56%
EV3-Min (Weibull) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 94.59%
GEV-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.37%
GEV-Min ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.49%
Pareto ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 96.97%
GEV-Max (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.72%
GEV-Min (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.73%
EV1-Max (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.39%
EV2-Max (L-Momments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 84.52%
EV1-Min (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 66.71%
EV3-Min (Weibull, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 95.99%
Pareto (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 97.14%
GEV-Max (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 58.64%
GEV-Min (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 91.14%
GEV-Max (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 89.94%
GEV-Min (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 91.16%
X-Square test for All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained a
Normal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 77.88%
Normal (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 77.88%
LogNormal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 60.65%
Galton ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 31.73%
Exponential ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 22.31%
Exponential (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT REJECT 8.21%
Gamma ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 60.65%
Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 31.73%
Log Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 31.73%
EV1-Max (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 13.53%
EV2-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 13.53%
EV1-Min (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 60.65%
EV3-Min (Weibull) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 60.65%
GEV-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 31.73%
GEV-Min ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 31.73%
Pareto ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 2.53%
GEV-Max (L-Moments) ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 2.53%
GEV-Min (L-Moments) ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 2.53%
EV1-Max (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 13.53%
EV2-Max (L-Momments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 22.31%
EV1-Min (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 60.65%
EV3-Min (Weibull, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 77.88%
Pareto (L-Moments) ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 2.53%
GEV-Max (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 13.53%
GEV-Min (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 60.65%
GEV-Max (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 22.31%
GEV-Min (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 60.65%
DMax
0.09459
0.09124
0.08632
0.08281
0.22782
0.15772
0.08326
0.08217
0.08706
0.10234
0.1666
0.14786
0.10391
0.08149
0.08001
0.09625
0.07602
0.07576
0.08123
0.12388
0.14899
0.09977
0.09556
0.15973
0.11202
0.11441
0.11198
Pearson Param.
0.5
0.5
1
1
3
500.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
400.00%
400.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
500.00%
500.00%
500.00%
400.00%
300.00%
100.00%
50.00%
500.00%
400.00%
100.00%
300.00%
100.00%
Weibull PearsonIII

Exceedance probability (%) - scale: Normal distributio


99.95%
99.9%
99.8%

99.5%
99%

90%

80%

70%

50%

30%

20%
98%

95%

60%

40%

10%
200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
mm

100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1
Weibull PearsonIII

ability (%) - scale: Normal distribution


70%

50%

30%

20%
60%

40%

10%

.5%

.2%
.1%
5%

2%
1%

0 1 2 3
CuadroN°13: Lluvias máximas (mm).
T P.Max Duración en minutos
años 24 horas 15 30 60 120 180 240
200 184.5 59.0 70.1 83.4 99.2 109.7 117.9
100 175.2 56.0 66.5 79.1 94.1 104.1 111.9
50 165.3 52.8 62.8 74.7 88.8 98.3 105.6
25 154.7 49.4 58.8 69.9 83.1 92.0 98.9
10 139.4 44.5 53.0 63.0 74.9 82.9 89.1
5 126.0 40.3 47.9 56.9 67.7 74.9 80.5
3 114.4 36.5 43.4 51.7 61.4 68.0 73.1
2 103.0 32.9 39.1 46.6 55.4 61.3 65.8

Cuadro N° 7: Intensidades máximas (mm/hora)


T P.Max Duración en minutos
años 24 horas 15 30 60 120 180 240
200 184.5 235.8 140.2 83.4 49.6 36.6 29.5
100 175.2 223.8 133.1 79.1 47.1 34.7 28.0
50 165.3 211.2 125.6 74.7 44.4 32.8 26.4
25 154.7 197.7 117.6 69.9 41.6 30.7 24.7
10 139.4 178.1 105.9 63.0 37.4 27.6 22.3
5 126.0 161.0 95.7 56.9 33.8 25.0 20.1
3 114.4 146.1 86.9 51.7 30.7 22.7 18.3
2 103.0 131.7 78.3 46.6 27.7 20.4 16.5

Log I Log T logt

2.4 2.301 1.176091


2.3 2.000 1.176091
2.3 1.699 1.176091
2.3 1.398 1.176091
2.3 1.000 1.176091
2.2 0.699 1.176091
2.2 0.477 1.176091
2.1 0.301 1.176091
2.14674801 2.30103 1.477121
2.12417806 2 1.477121
2.09898964 1.69897 1.477121
2.07040732 1.39794 1.477121
2.02489596 1 1.477121
1.98091194 0.69897 1.477121
1.93901978 0.477121 1.477121
1.89376176 0.30103 1.477121
1.92116605 2.30103 1.778151
1.89817648 2 1.778151
1.8733206 1.69897 1.778151
1.84447718 1.39794 1.778151
1.79934055 1 1.778151
1.75511227 0.69897 1.778151
1.71349054 0.477121 1.778151
1.66838592 0.30103 1.778151
1.69548168 2.30103 2.079181
1.67302091 2 2.079181
1.64738297 1.69897 2.079181
1.61909333 1.39794 2.079181
1.5728716 1 2.079181
1.5289167 0.69897 2.079181
1.48713838 0.477121 2.079181
1.44247977 0.30103 2.079181
1.56348109 2.30103 2.255273
1.54032947 2 2.255273
1.51587384 1.69897 2.255273
1.48713838 1.39794 2.255273
1.44090908 1 2.255273
1.39794001 0.69897 2.255273
1.35602586 0.477121 2.255273
1.30963017 0.30103 2.255273
1.46982202 2.30103 2.380211
1.44715803 2 2.380211
1.42160393 1.69897 2.380211
1.39269695 1.39794 2.380211
1.34830486 1 2.380211
1.30319606 0.69897 2.380211
1.26245109 0.477121 2.380211
1.21748394 0.30103 2.380211
T P.Max
años 24 horas
200 184.5
100 175.2
50 165.3
25 154.7
10 139.4
5 126.0
3 114.4
2 103.0

2.3725438 2.30103 1.17609126


Periodo Retorno Pearson Tipo III
2.34986008 2 1.17609126
2.32469391 1.69897 1.17609126 2 103.039
2.29600667 1.39794001 1.17609126 3 114.361
2.25066392 1 1.17609126 5 125.997
2.20682588 0.69897 1.17609126 10 139.383
2.16465022 0.47712125 1.17609126 25 154.741
2.11958577 0.30103 1.17609126 50 165.27
2.14674801 2.30103 1.47712125 100 175.153
2.12417806 2 1.47712125 200 184.546
2.09898964 1.69897 1.47712125 Fuente: Resultados obtenidos en base al Software
2.07040732 1.39794001 1.47712125 Hydrognomon ver. 4.0
2.02489596 1 1.47712125
1.98091194 0.69897 1.47712125
1.93901978 0.47712125 1.47712125
1.89376176 0.30103 1.47712125
1.92116605 2.30103 1.77815125
1.89817648 2 1.77815125
1.8733206 1.69897 1.77815125
1.84447718 1.39794001 1.77815125
1.79934055 1 1.77815125
1.75511227 0.69897 1.77815125
1.71349054 0.47712125 1.77815125
1.66838592 0.30103 1.77815125
1.69548168 2.30103 2.07918125
1.67302091 2 2.07918125
1.64738297 1.69897 2.07918125
1.61909333 1.39794001 2.07918125
1.5728716 1 2.07918125
1.5289167 0.69897 2.07918125
1.48713838 0.47712125 2.07918125
1.44247977 0.30103 2.07918125
1.56348109 2.30103 2.25527251
1.54032947 2 2.25527251
1.51587384 1.69897 2.25527251
1.48713838 1.39794001 2.25527251
1.44090908 1 2.25527251
1.39794001 0.69897 2.25527251
1.35602586 0.47712125 2.25527251
1.30963017 0.30103 2.25527251
1.46982202 2.30103 2.38021124
1.44715803 2 2.38021124
1.42160393 1.69897 2.38021124
1.39269695 1.39794001 2.38021124
1.34830486 1 2.38021124
1.30319606 0.69897 2.38021124
1.26245109 0.47712125 2.38021124
1.21748394 0.30103 2.38021124
en base al Software
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.99894257
Coeficiente d 0.99788625
R^2 ajustado 0.99779231
Error típico 0.01574309
Observacione 48

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 2 5.26526928 2.63263464 10622.1044 6.51167E-61
Residuos 45 0.01115302 0.00024784
Total 47 5.27642231

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción 2.99149829 0.01093127 273.664358 3.8872E-74 2.96948159 3.01351499 2.96948159
Variable X 1 0.12224808 0.00331774 36.8467469 2.95386E-35 0.1155658 0.12893035 0.1155658
Variable X 2 -0.7497908 0.00531693 -141.019594 3.39633E-61 -0.76049964 -0.73908196 -0.76049964

Resultado del Análisis de Regresión:

Constante 2.99149829 Log K= 2.9915


Err. estándar de est.Y 0.01574309
R cuadrada 0.99779231
Núm. de observaciones 48 I= 9.75 T1.001
Grado de libertad 46 Donde: t.0.751
Coeficiente(s) X 0.12224808 -0.7497908 T= años
Error estándar de coef. 0.00331774 0.00531693 t= minutos
Fuente: Elaboración del autor
Superior 95.0%
3.01351499
0.12893035
-0.73908196

sis de Regresión:

K= 980.61
m= 0.122
n= 0.750
Cuadro N°15: Resultado del Análisis de Regresión:
Constante 2.99149829 Log K= 2.9915 K=
Err. estándar de est.Y 0.01574309 m=
R cuadrada 0.99779231 n=
Núm. de observaciones 48 I= 980.61 T0.122
Grado de libertad 46 Donde: t.0.750
Coeficiente(s) X 0.12224808 -0.7497908 T= años
Error estándar de coef. 0.00331774 0.00531693 t= minutos
Fuente: Elaboración del autor
980.61
0.122
0.750
Cuadro N° 9: Intensidades máximas (mm/hora)

I= K Tm
tn
K= 980.6
m= 0.122
n= 0.750

Duración (t) Período de Retorno (T) en años Figura N° 1 - Curva Intensi


(minutos) 5 10 25 500.00
5 357.16 388.74 434.82 450.00
10 212.40 231.18 258.58 400.00
15 156.72 170.58 190.80

Intensidad (mm/hora)
350.00
20 126.31 137.48 153.78
300.00
30 93.20 101.44 113.46
250.00
40 75.12 81.76 91.45
200.00
50 63.54 69.16 77.36
60 55.42 60.33 67.48 150.00
70 49.37 53.74 60.11 100.00
80 44.67 48.62 54.38 50.00
90 40.90 44.51 49.79 0.00
100 37.79 41.13 46.01 0 20 40 60

110 35.18 38.29 42.83 Duracion en


120 32.96 35.88 40.13

Figura N° 1 - Curva Intensidad - Duración - Frecuencia

500.00

450.00

400.00

350.00
Intensidad (mm/hora)

300.00

5
250.00
10
25
200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
200.00

Inte
150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Duración en minutos
Figura N° 1 - Curva Intensidad - Duración - Frecuencia
500.00
450.00
400.00
350.00
300.00
5
250.00
10
200.00 25
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00 REDONDEAR(($C$9*$B$14^$C$10)/A15^$C$1
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Duracion en Minutos

echoyg@yahoo.es

5
10
25

140
140

Q
$C$9*$B$14^$C$10)/A15^$C$11,2
CUENCA
Descripcion Unidades
SC-01
Caracteris Area (Km2) 0.179
ticas de Longitud del Cauce (m) 568.00
las Cota Maxima (msnm) 774
Cuencas Cota Minima (msnm) 685
de Desnivel (m) 89
Drenaje
Pendiente (m/m) 0.1567

Kirpich (horas) 0.09


Ventura (horas) 0.28
Giandotti (horas) 0.34
USCE
Bransby (horas) 0.19
Tiempo de Williams (horas) 0.24
Concentra
cion (tc) Ven Te Chow (horas) 0.26
Temes (horas) 0.28
Ministerio de obras pu(horas) 0.24

Promedio (horas) 0.262

MINUTOS 15.69
Cuadro N°10: Coeficientes de escorrentía para ser usados en el Método Racional

Período de retorno (años)


Característica de la superficie
2 5 10 25 50
Areas de Cultivos
Plano, 0-2% 0.31 0.41 0.36 0.40 0.43
Promedio, 2-7% 0.35 0.38 0.41 0.44 0.48
Pendiente superior a 7% 0.39 0.42 0.44 0.48 0.51
Pastizales
Planos, 0-2% 0.25 0.28 0.30 0.34 0.37
Promedio, 2-7% 0.33 0.36 0.38 0.42 0.45
Pendiente superior a 7% 0.37 0.40 0.42 0.46 0.49
Bosques
Planos, 0-2% 0.22 0.25 0.28 0.31 0.35
Promedio, 2-7% 0.31 0.34 0.36 0.40 0.43
Pendiente superior a 7%  0.35 0.39 0.41 0.45 0.48
Fuente: Hidrología Aplicada, Ven Te Chow, David R. Maidment, Larry W. Mays
do Racional

100 500

0.47 0.57
0.51 0.60
0.54 0.61

0.41 0.53
0.49 0.58
0.53 0.60

0.39 0.48
0.47 0.56
0.52 0.58
Cuadro N°11: Caudales Máximos Método Racional.

K= 980.61
m= 0.122
n= 0.750
C= 0.40
Tr= 25 años

Area Tiempo de Intensidad Caudal


UBICACIÓN concentración Tc mm/hora Máximo
A (km2) horas minutos (m3/s)
QUEBRADA CUSHURO 0.179 0.26 15.69 231.18 4.60

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