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Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.080471
R Square 0.006476
Adjusted R-0.022746
Standard E 0.073775
Observatio 36
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.001206 0.001206 0.221606 0.640825
Residual 34 0.185052 0.005443
Total 35 0.186258
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -0.020808 0.047392 -0.439063 0.663394 -0.11712 0.075504 -0.11712 0.075504
X Variable 0.000215 0.000457 0.47075 0.640825 -0.000714 0.001145 -0.000714 0.001145
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 -0.007622 0.059011
2 -0.007759 0.038128
3 -0.007294 -0.016636
4 -0.006761 -0.072773
5 -0.006477 -0.041311
6 -0.006583 0.024291
7 -0.005805 -0.053741
8 -0.005378 -0.005958
9 -0.005354 0.030403
10 -0.003551 0.065447
11 -0.003345 -0.02872
12 -0.002972 0.042091
13 -0.000997 0.068003
14 -0.001256 -0.04682
15 -0.001688 -0.004019
16 -0.001216 -0.053988
17 -0.000102 -0.025078
18 -6.06E-05 -0.000358
19 0.001511 0.035926
20 0.002826 0.007869
21 0.003348 0.040096
22 0.001751 -0.238376
23 0.002613 0.07397
24 0.000737 -0.074385
25 0.001344 0.181202
26 0.002956 0.024644
27 0.004316 0.029087
28 0.007013 -0.012896
29 0.005539 -0.100214
30 0.007835 0.090977
31 0.008329 0.066653
32 0.008669 -0.094408
33 0.009018 0.076597
34 0.009949 -0.090337
35 0.011283 -0.006722
36 0.011745 0.012342
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.108896
R Square 0.011858
Adjusted R-0.017205
Standard E 0.081138
Observatio 36
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.002686 0.002686 0.408026 0.527253
Residual 34 0.223833 0.006583
Total 35 0.22652
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.050591 0.052122 0.970622 0.338591 -0.055334 0.156516 -0.055334 0.156516
X Variable -0.000321 0.000503 -0.638769 0.527253 -0.001343 0.000701 -0.001343 0.000701
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 0.030913 0.101812
2 0.031117 0.008938
3 0.030423 0.017607
4 0.029627 0.028099
5 0.029204 -0.021151
6 0.029362 -0.032531
7 0.028201 0.092808
8 0.027564 -0.011493
9 0.027528 -0.033924
10 0.024837 0.028947
11 0.02453 -0.040525
12 0.023973 -0.028037
13 0.021026 0.03808
14 0.021412 -0.067268
15 0.022057 -0.125971
16 0.021353 0.055059
17 0.01969 0.09531
18 0.019628 -0.006384
19 0.017283 -0.12916
20 0.015321 0.002932
21 0.014542 -0.078674
22 0.016925 -0.093965
23 0.015639 -0.089293
24 0.018438 -0.086143
25 0.017533 0.254037
26 0.015127 -0.046562
27 0.013097 0.019359
28 0.009072 0.151166
29 0.011272 -0.09364
30 0.007846 0.079662
31 0.007109 -0.000736
32 0.006602 -0.050673
33 0.00608 -0.046959
34 0.004691 0.071511
35 0.0027 0.039774
36 0.00201 -0.00201
Date MSFT FB IBM sandp R_MSFT R_FB R_IBM R_Sp
### 58.8779 115.05 145.8804 2238.83
1/1/2017 61.25614 130.32 153.3771 2278.87 0.040393 0.132725 0.051389 0.017884
2/1/2017 60.62132 135.54 158.035 2363.64 -0.010363 0.040055 0.030369 0.037198
3/1/2017 62.78093 142.05 154.2532 2362.72 0.035625 0.04803 -0.02393 -0.000389
4/1/2017 65.25936 150.25 141.9848 2384.2 0.039477 0.057726 -0.079534 0.009091
5/1/2017 66.57487 151.46 135.1996 2411.8 0.020158 0.008053 -0.047788 0.011576
6/1/2017 66.08405 150.98 137.5937 2423.41 -0.007372 -0.003169 0.017708 0.004814
7/1/2017 69.69839 169.25 129.4005 2470.3 0.054693 0.121009 -0.059546 0.019349
8/1/2017 71.68291 171.97 127.9336 2471.65 0.028473 0.016071 -0.011336 0.000546
9/1/2017 71.79497 170.87 131.1383 2519.36 0.001563 -0.006396 0.02505 0.019303
### 80.17058 180.06 139.2554 2575.26 0.11666 0.053784 0.061897 0.022188
### 81.12474 177.18 134.7901 2584.84 0.011902 -0.015995 -0.032065 0.00372
### 82.85923 176.46 140.063 2673.61 0.021381 -0.004064 0.039119 0.034343
1/1/2018 92.03246 186.89 149.448 2823.81 0.110709 0.059107 0.067006 0.056179
2/1/2018 90.8313 178.32 142.2632 2713.83 -0.013051 -0.045856 -0.048076 -0.038947
3/1/2018 88.82495 159.79 141.4512 2640.87 -0.022089 -0.103914 -0.005707 -0.026884
4/1/2018 91.01467 172 133.6425 2648.05 0.024652 0.076413 -0.055204 0.002719
5/1/2018 96.19215 191.78 130.2775 2705.27 0.056886 0.115 -0.02518 0.021608
6/1/2018 96.38429 194.32 130.2229 2718.37 0.001997 0.013244 -0.000419 0.004842
7/1/2018 103.6857 172.58 135.0981 2816.29 0.075753 -0.111877 0.037437 0.036022
8/1/2018 109.7946 175.73 136.5429 2901.52 0.058918 0.018252 0.010695 0.030263
9/1/2018 112.2188 164.46 142.4749 2913.98 0.022079 -0.064132 0.043444 0.004294
### 104.801 151.79 108.7618 2711.74 -0.066101 -0.07704 -0.236625 -0.069403
### 108.8042 140.61 117.0911 2760.17 0.038199 -0.073654 0.076583 0.017859
### 100.0901 131.09 108.4676 2506.85 -0.08009 -0.067705 -0.073648 -0.091777
1/1/2019 102.9084 166.69 128.2679 2704.1 0.028158 0.271569 0.182546 0.078684
2/1/2019 110.3977 161.45 131.8081 2784.49 0.072776 -0.031436 0.0276 0.029729
3/1/2019 116.7179 166.69 136.211 2834.4 0.05725 0.032456 0.033403 0.017924
4/1/2019 129.2467 193.4 135.4097 2945.83 0.107343 0.160238 -0.005882 0.039313
5/1/2019 122.3984 177.47 122.5898 2752.06 -0.052986 -0.082368 -0.094675 -0.065778
6/1/2019 133.0626 193 134.7031 2941.76 0.087127 0.087508 0.098811 0.06893
7/1/2019 135.3572 194.23 144.8034 2980.38 0.017244 0.006373 0.074982 0.013128
8/1/2019 136.9365 185.67 132.3881 2926.46 0.011668 -0.044071 -0.085739 -0.018092
9/1/2019 138.5585 178.08 143.7225 2976.74 0.011845 -0.040879 0.085615 0.017181
### 142.8838 191.65 132.1689 3037.56 0.031216 0.076202 -0.080388 0.020432
### 149.0827 199.79 132.7718 3110.29 0.043384 0.042473 0.004561 0.023944
### 151.23 199.79 135.97 3133.64 0.014403 0 0.024088 0.007507
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.629277 Standard deviation of DSEX Index Return 0.034
R Square 0.39599 Average return of DSEX 0.11
Adjusted R Square 0.395445 US Treasury bill 0.06
Standard Error 0.019913
Observations 36
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.10063 0.10063 39.95663 3.30738E-07
Residual 34 0.085628 0.002518
Total 35 0.186258
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Intercept -0.01465 0.008711 -1.68171 0.10179 -0.032352667 0.003054 -0.032353
DSEX 1.23 0.2439 6.321125 3.307E-07 1.0460596913 2.03739 1.04606
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Total risk
1) Adjusted Beta 1.1541
Expected Return = 0.117705
0.051389 0.017884
0.030369 0.037198
-0.02393 -0.000389
-0.079534 0.009091
-0.047788 0.011576
0.017708 0.004814
-0.059546 0.019349
-0.011336 0.000546
0.02505 0.019303
0.061897 0.022188
-0.032065 0.00372
0.039119 0.034343
0.067006 0.056179
-0.048076 -0.038947
-0.005707 -0.026884
-0.055204 0.002719
-0.02518 0.021608
-0.000419 0.004842
0.037437 0.036022
0.010695 0.030263
0.043444 0.004294
-0.236625 -0.069403
0.076583 0.017859
-0.073648 -0.091777
0.182546 0.078684
0.0276 0.029729
0.033403 0.017924
-0.005882 0.039313
-0.094675 -0.065778
0.098811 0.06893
0.074982 0.013128
-0.085739 -0.018092
0.085615 0.017181
-0.080388 0.020432
0.004561 0.023944
0.024088 0.007507
0.07295 0.034779
0.005174 0.001176
0.07295 0.034779
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.782776
R Square 0.612738
Adjusted R 0.601348
Standard E 0.028125
Observatio 36
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.042555 0.042555 53.79593 1.691E-08
Residual 34 0.026895 0.000791
Total 35 0.06945
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.01749 0.004882 3.582551 0.001052 0.007569 0.027412 0.007569 0.027412
X Variable 1.002577 0.136692 7.334571 1.691E-08 0.724786 1.280369 0.724786 1.280369
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 0.035421 0.004972
2 0.054784 -0.065148
3 0.0171 0.018525
4 0.026605 0.012872
5 0.029096 -0.008938
6 0.022316 -0.029689
7 0.036889 0.017804
8 0.018038 0.010435
9 0.036843 -0.03528
10 0.039736 0.076925
11 0.02122 -0.009318
12 0.051921 -0.030541
13 0.073814 0.036895
14 -0.021557 0.008506
15 -0.009464 -0.012625
16 0.020216 0.004436
17 0.039154 0.017732
18 0.022345 -0.020348
19 0.053605 0.022148
20 0.047831 0.011086
21 0.021796 0.000283
22 -0.052092 -0.014009
23 0.035396 0.002803
24 -0.074523 -0.005567
25 0.096377 -0.068219
26 0.047296 0.02548
27 0.035461 0.021789
28 0.056905 0.050438
29 -0.048457 -0.004529
30 0.086598 0.000529
31 0.030652 -0.013408
32 -0.000648 0.012316
33 0.034716 -0.022871
34 0.037975 -0.006758
35 0.041496 0.001889
36 0.025017 -0.010614
R_MSFT R_Sp
0.040393 0.017884
-0.010363 0.037198
0.035625 -0.000389
0.039477 0.009091
0.020158 0.011576
-0.007372 0.004814
0.054693 0.019349
0.028473 0.000546
0.001563 0.019303
0.11666 0.022188
0.011902 0.00372
0.021381 0.034343
0.110709 0.056179
-0.013051 -0.038947
-0.022089 -0.026884
0.024652 0.002719
0.056886 0.021608
0.001997 0.004842
0.075753 0.036022
0.058918 0.030263
0.022079 0.004294
-0.066101 -0.069403
0.038199 0.017859
-0.08009 -0.091777
0.028158 0.078684
0.072776 0.029729
0.05725 0.017924
0.107343 0.039313
-0.052986 -0.065778
0.087127 0.06893
0.017244 0.013128
0.011668 -0.018092
0.011845 0.017181
0.031216 0.020432
0.043384 0.023944
0.014403 0.007507
0.044545 0.034779
0.001984 0.00121
0.122%
0.077%
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.782776
R Square 0.612738 Standard deviation of S&P500 Index Return 0.034
Adjusted R Square 0.601348 Average return of S&P500 0.15
Standard Error 0.028125 US Treasury bill 0.06
Observations 36
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.042555 0.04255487 53.79593 1.6908866E-08
Residual 34 0.026895 0.00079104
Total 35 0.06945
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.01749 0.004882 3.582551 0.001052 0.007568709 0.027412 0.007569 0.027412
S&P500 1.002577 0.136692 7.33457081 1.691E-08 0.7247857015 1.280369 0.724786 1.280369
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
0.027721
Upper 95.0%
R_MSFT R_Sp
0.040393 0.017884
-0.010363 0.037198
0.035625 -0.000389
0.039477 0.009091
0.020158 0.011576
-0.007372 0.004814
0.054693 0.019349
0.028473 0.000546
0.001563 0.019303
0.11666 0.022188
0.011902 0.00372
0.021381 0.034343
0.110709 0.056179
-0.013051 -0.038947
-0.022089 -0.026884
0.024652 0.002719
0.056886 0.021608
0.001997 0.004842
0.075753 0.036022
0.058918 0.030263
0.022079 0.004294
-0.066101 -0.069403
0.038199 0.017859
-0.08009 -0.091777
0.028158 0.078684
0.072776 0.029729
0.05725 0.017924
0.107343 0.039313
-0.052986 -0.065778
0.087127 0.06893
0.017244 0.013128
0.011668 -0.018092
0.011845 0.017181
0.031216 0.020432
0.043384 0.023944
0.014403 0.007507