Year MekeAp MekleOP Wukro Dongolat Adigrat Hawzen Adigudem Abiadi Hageresel

1983 555.75 499.76 584.48 699.30 436.60 683.20 450.34 688.80 655.58
1984 639.40 457.31 455.66 490.70 453.70 596.80 461.03 704.42 396.92
1985 600.74 551.62 611.17 552.82 667.30 424.40 411.27 904.16 690.11
1986 763.26 457.74 551.62 552.82 553.70 453.50 579.97 1017.31 1191.50
1987 621.95 438.18 457.74 645.37 667.30 499.30 380.57 866.05 882.85
1988 742.48 608.44 438.18 568.60 425.10 410.40 664.26 1002.01 962.39
1989 626.36 513.09 608.44 528.16 453.70 552.82 563.09 763.80 626.52
1990 450.71 459.34 513.09 599.01 669.30 445.30 549.00 705.75 437.01
1991 568.16 480.42 438.18 480.42 667.30 495.70 398.61 1021.91 788.09
1992 552.82 593.58 304.80 473.58 531.10 426.20 488.55 746.33 643.17
1993 645.37 515.84 491.50 657.60 749.60 545.10 423.70 726.55 702.20
1994 568.60 555.75 515.20 780.70 794.40 513.20 565.09 930.26 688.98
1995 628.16 639.40 486.40 707.10 636.70 501.20 503.14 946.48 729.52
1996 509.01 600.74 605.30 725.40 738.60 511.50 508.37 1016.36 800.80
1997 562.81 763.26 352.40 671.50 928.70 487.90 556.98 914.71 586.57
1998 642.69 621.95 467.00 819.80 649.20 594.60 608.58 1027.55 931.92
1999 753.70 742.48 533.40 727.70 542.20 580.40 671.78 1025.71 873.93
2000 523.18 626.36 584.00 644.80 501.40 668.50 556.35 879.11 646.89
2001 584.48 480.42 612.00 785.70 555.90 612.60 531.57 673.54 475.87
2002 455.66 593.58 568.80 642.00 572.20 433.30 608.50 630.20 431.28
2003 499.76 540.00 472.90 568.80 548.20 395.20 420.01 723.07 540.93
2004 457.31 464.30 445.30 516.80 438.90 367.70 394.48 607.48 377.32
2005 417.64 648.00 495.70 731.90 597.90 448.00 382.47 606.54 514.53
2006 711.17 610.00 574.30 764.80 716.50 750.50 578.87 1043.56 690.52
2007 551.62 752.50 557.81 769.30 671.70 523.10 446.67 877.47 748.00
2008 457.74 458.60 502.50 507.40 487.60 340.50 476.39 809.38 493.30
2009 438.18 485.81 370.30 610.30 369.60 440.30 396.35 723.87 468.13
2010 608.44 568.16 568.60 552.82 438.18 584.48 610.07 1025.12 952.66
2011 513.09 552.82 528.16 645.37 608.44 455.66 454.69 911.58 570.85
2012 459.34 645.37 509.01 568.60 593.09 490.76 413.05 770.15 606.94
2013 480.42 568.60 562.81 568.16 579.34 457.31 435.63 911.49 761.91
2014 593.58 528.16 642.69 609.01 580.42 417.64 516.32 1054.54 805.43
2015 515.84 509.01 453.70 570.42 593.58 471.17 476.75 947.93 803.21
2016 690.08 480.42 642.69 573.58 605.84 551.62 514.95 1059.74 776.33
2017 552.96 473.58 453.70 595.37 608.08 502.82 423.84 863.82 736.83
Samre Edagahamus Average Year Observed
619.18 621.18 590.38 1983 590
367.45 448.24 497.42 1984 497
667.76 669.91 613.75 1985 614
951.06 784.77 714.30 1986 714
682.56 684.76 620.60 1987 621
854.37 787.21 678.49 1988 678
516.93 618.59 579.23 1989 579
435.13 436.53 518.20 1990 518
745.79 748.20 621.16 1991 621
585.72 667.61 546.68 1992 547
664.03 666.17 617.06 1993 617
763.73 766.19 676.55 1994 677
706.59 708.87 653.96 1995 654
826.56 829.22 697.44 1996 697
557.37 559.16 631.03 1997 631
891.68 694.55 722.68 1998 723
897.05 799.94 740.75 1999 741 1200
621.77 623.77 625.10 2000 625
505.15 586.78 582.18 2001 582
1000
369.74 430.80 521.46 2002 521
502.55 504.17 519.60 2003 520
364.43 420.34 441.31 2004 441 800
502.95 509.57 532.29 2005 532
671.78 673.94 707.81 2006 708
691.28 693.51 662.09 2007 662 600
542.22 599.97 515.96 2008 516
392.18 493.44 471.68 2009 472
400
910.41 813.34 693.84 2010 694
651.53 653.63 595.08 2011 595
678.48 680.67 583.22 2012 583 200
769.33 771.81 624.26 2013 624
862.82 865.60 679.66 2014 680
647.18 649.26 603.46 2015 603 0
1980 2000
722.50 686.55 664.03 2016 664
625.75 631.76 588.05 2017 588 588
2018 704 778 788 926
2019 593 656 664 780
2020 731 809 819 963
609.45 B2 A2 2021 851 942 953 1121
715.53 789.38 -0.17 -0.30 2022 740 818 828 974
758.51 799.17 -0.24 -0.31 2023 792 876 887 1042
817.93 857.52 -0.34 -0.41 2024 676 748 757 890
2025 605 669 677 796
2026 725 802 812 954
2027 638 706 714 840
2028 720 796 806 948
2029 789 873 884 1039
2030 779 862 873 1026
2031 831 919 931 1094
2032 752 832 842 990
2033 861 953 965 1134
2034 883 977 989 1162
2035 745 824 834 981
2036 694 768 777 913
2037 608 673 681 801
2038 606 671 679 798
2039 515 546 577 650
2040 621 659 695 784
2041 886 933 1027 887
2042 829 873 961 829
2043 646 680 749 646
2044 590 622 685 591
2045 859 905 996 860
2046 737 776 855 737
2047 722 761 838 723
2048 773 814 896 774
2049 841 886 976 842
2050 747 787 867 748
2051 822 866 954 823
2052 728 767 844 729
2053 715 753 829 716
2054 602 635 699 603
2055 743 783 862 744
2056 865 911 1003 866
2057 752 792 872 752
2058 822 866 953 822
2059 701 739 814 702
2060 628 661 728 628
2061 752 793 873 753
2062 662 698 768 663
2063 731 770 848 731
2064 801 844 929 802
2065 774 816 898 775
2066 826 870 958 827
2067 747 787 867 748
2068 856 902 993 857
2069 867 914 1006 868
2070 732 771 849 732
2071 819 858 737 729
2072 733 769 660 653
2073 731 766 657 651
2074 620 650 558 553
2075 748 785 674 667
2076 995 1043 896 887
2077 931 976 838 830
2078 725 761 653 646
2079 663 695 597 591
2080 976 1023 878 869
2081 837 877 753 746
2082 867 909 780 773
2083 928 973 835 827
2084 1010 1059 909 900
2085 897 941 807 800
2086 987 1035 889 880
2087 874 917 787 779
2088 789 827 710 703
2089 664 697 598 592
2090 820 859 738 731
2091 954 1000 859 850
2092 829 869 746 739
2093 887 930 798 791
2094 757 794 682 675
2095 639 670 575 569
2096 766 803 689 682
2097 674 706 606 600
2098 760 797 684 678
2099 834 874 750 743
2100 823 863 741 734

500.94
443.62
1200 Precepitation (mm)

1000

800

600

400 Observed B2

200

0
1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
Year

`
2100
Year MekeAp MekleOP Wukro Dongolat Adigrat Hawzen Adigudem Abiadi Hageresel Samre
1983 555.75 499.76 584.48 699.30 436.60 683.20 450.34 688.80 655.58 619.18
1984 639.40 457.31 455.66 490.70 453.70 596.80 461.03 704.42 396.92 367.45
1985 600.74 551.62 611.17 552.82 667.30 424.40 411.27 904.16 690.11 667.76
1986 763.26 457.74 551.62 552.82 553.70 453.50 579.97 1017.31 1191.50 951.06
1987 621.95 438.18 457.74 645.37 667.30 499.30 380.57 866.05 882.85 682.56
1988 742.48 608.44 438.18 568.60 425.10 410.40 664.26 1002.01 962.39 854.37
1989 626.36 513.09 608.44 528.16 453.70 552.82 563.09 763.80 626.52 516.93
1990 450.71 459.34 513.09 599.01 669.30 445.30 549.00 705.75 437.01 435.13
1991 568.16 480.42 438.18 480.42 667.30 495.70 398.61 1021.91 788.09 745.79
1992 552.82 593.58 304.80 473.58 531.10 426.20 488.55 746.33 643.17 585.72
1993 645.37 515.84 491.50 657.60 749.60 545.10 423.70 726.55 702.20 664.03
1994 568.60 555.75 515.20 780.70 794.40 513.20 565.09 930.26 688.98 763.73
1995 628.16 639.40 486.40 707.10 636.70 501.20 503.14 946.48 729.52 706.59
1996 509.01 600.74 605.30 725.40 738.60 511.50 508.37 1016.36 800.80 826.56
1997 562.81 763.26 352.40 671.50 928.70 487.90 556.98 914.71 586.57 557.37
1998 642.69 621.95 467.00 819.80 649.20 594.60 608.58 1027.55 931.92 891.68
1999 753.70 742.48 533.40 727.70 542.20 580.40 671.78 1025.71 873.93 897.05
2000 523.18 626.36 584.00 644.80 501.40 668.50 556.35 879.11 646.89 621.77
2001 584.48 480.42 612.00 785.70 555.90 612.60 531.57 673.54 475.87 505.15
2002 455.66 593.58 568.80 642.00 572.20 433.30 608.50 630.20 431.28 369.74
2003 499.76 540.00 472.90 568.80 548.20 395.20 420.01 723.07 540.93 502.55
2004 457.31 464.30 445.30 516.80 438.90 367.70 394.48 607.48 377.32 364.43
2005 417.64 648.00 495.70 731.90 597.90 448.00 382.47 606.54 514.53 502.95
2006 711.17 610.00 574.30 764.80 716.50 750.50 578.87 1043.56 690.52 671.78
2007 551.62 752.50 557.81 769.30 671.70 523.10 446.67 877.47 748.00 691.28
2008 457.74 458.60 502.50 507.40 487.60 340.50 476.39 809.38 493.30 542.22
2009 438.18 485.81 370.30 610.30 369.60 440.30 396.35 723.87 468.13 392.18
2010 608.44 568.16 568.60 552.82 438.18 584.48 610.07 1025.12 952.66 910.41
2011 513.09 552.82 528.16 645.37 608.44 455.66 454.69 911.58 570.85 651.53
2012 459.34 645.37 509.01 568.60 593.09 490.76 413.05 770.15 606.94 678.48
2013 480.42 568.60 562.81 568.16 579.34 457.31 435.63 911.49 761.91 769.33
2014 593.58 528.16 642.69 609.01 580.42 417.64 516.32 1054.54 805.43 862.82
2015 515.84 509.01 453.70 570.42 593.58 471.17 476.75 947.93 803.21 647.18
2016 690.08 480.42 642.69 573.58 605.84 551.62 514.95 1059.74 776.33 722.50
2017 552.96 473.58 453.70 595.37 608.08 502.82 423.84 863.82 736.83 625.75
EdagahamAverage
621.18 590.38
448.24 497.42
669.91 613.75
784.77 714.30
684.76 620.60
787.21 678.49
618.59 579.23
436.53 518.20
748.20 621.16
667.61 546.68
666.17 617.06
766.19 676.55
708.87 653.96
829.22 697.44
559.16 631.03
694.55 722.68
799.94 740.75
623.77 625.10
586.78 582.18
430.80 521.46
504.17 519.60
420.34 441.31
509.57 532.29
673.94 707.81
693.51 662.09
599.97 515.96
493.44 471.68
813.34 693.84
653.63 595.08
680.67 583.22
771.81 624.26
865.60 679.66
649.26 603.46
686.55 664.03
631.76 588.05
Year Observed
1983 11 10
1984 12 11 16
1985 11 10
1986 12 11 14
1987 11 10 12
1988 12 11
1989 11 10 10

Tmin (oC)
1990 12 11
1991 12 11 8
1992 13 12 6
1993 11 10
Observed A2
1994 12 11 4
1995 11 10
1996 12 11
2
Year
1997 11 10 0
1998 12 11 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060
1999 11 10
2000 12 11
2001 11 10
2002 12 11
2003 12 11 Observed
2004 13 12 13
2005 11 10
2006 12 11
2007 11 10
12
2008 12 11
2009 11 10
2010 12 11
2011 11 10 11
2012 12 11
2013 11 10
2014 12 11 10
2015 12 11 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20
2016 13 12
2017 12 12
2018 10 11 12 10
2019 11 12 11 10 12
2020 10 11 12 10 12 12
2021 10 11 12 10 11 13 12
2022 11 10 13 11 12 13 12
2023 11 10 13 11 12
2024 12 12 14 12 13
2025 11 10 13 11 12 B2 A2
2026 12 12 14 12 13 2020-2040 0.5 0.88
2027 11 10 13 11 12 2041-2070 1.1 1.4
2028 12 12 14 12 13 2071-2100 1.5 1.7
2029 11 10 13 11 12
2030 12 12 14 12 13
2031 13 13 15 13 14
2032 12 12 14 12 13
2033 13 13 15 13 14
2034 13 12 15 12 14
2035 14 13 16 13 15
2036 12 12 14 12 13
2037 13 13 15 13 14
2038 12 12 14 12 13
2039 13 13 15 13 14
2040 12 12 14 12 13
2041 13 13 15 13 14
2042 12 12 14 12 13
2043 13 13 15 13 14
2044 12 12 14 12 13
2045 13 13 15 13 14
2046 13 12 15 12 14
2047 14 13 16 13 15
2048 12 12 14 12 13
2049 13 13 15 13 14
2050 13 13 15 13 14
2051 12 12 14 12 13
2052 13 13 15 13 14
2053 13 12 15 12 14
2054 14 13 16 13 15
2055 12 12 14 12 13
2056 13 13 15 13 14
2057 12 12 14 12 13
2058 13 13 15 13 14
2059 12 12 14 12 13
2060 13 13 15 13 14
2061 12 12 14 12 13
2062 13 13 15 13 14
2063 12 12 14 12 13
2064 13 13 15 13 14
2065 13 12 15 12 14
2066 14 13 16 13 15
2067 12 12 14 12 13
2068 13 13 15 13 14
2069 12 12 14 12 13
2070 13 13 15 13 14
2071 12 12 14 12 13
2072 13 13 15 13 14
2073 12 12 14 12 13
2074 13 13 15 13 14
2075 12 12 14 12 13
2076 13 13 15 13 14
2077 13 12 15 12 14
2078 14 13 16 13 15
2079 12 12 14 12 13
2080 13 13 15 13 14
2081 13 13 15 13 14
2082 12 12 14 12 13
2083 13 13 15 13 14
2084 13 12 15 12 14
2085 14 13 16 13 15
2086 12 12 14 12 13
2087 13 13 15 13 14
2088 12 12 14 12 13
2089 13 13 15 13 14
2090 12 12 14 12 13
2091 13 13 15 13 14
2092 12 12 14 12 13
2093 13 13 15 13 14
2094 12 12 14 12 13
2095 13 13 15 13 14
2096 13 12 15 12 14
2097 14 13 16 13 15
2098 12 12 14 12 13
2099 13 13 15 13 14
2100 12 12 14 12 13

500.94
443.62
rved A2

Year
0 2040 2060 2080 2100

ved

1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7
00 200 200 200 200 201 201 201 201
1.8
1.6 B2 A2
1.4
Change in Tmin (oC)

1.2
0 0
1
1 1
1 1 0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2020-2040 2041-2070 2071-2100
Year
0.2
0
2020-2040 2041-2070 2071-2100
Year
Year Observed
1983 22 20
1984 23 21
1985 22 20
1986 23 21
1987 22 20 30
1988 23 21
1989 22 20 25
1990 23 21
1991 22 21 20
1992 23 22

Tmax (oC)
1993 22 20 15
1994 23 21
1995 22 20
10
1996 23 21 Observed A2 B2
1997 22 20
1998 23 21 5
1999 22 20 Year
2000 23 21 0
2001 22 20
1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080
2002 23 21
2003 22 21
2004 23 22
2005 22 20
2006 23 21
2007 22 20
2008 23 21
2009 22 20
2010 23 21
2011 22 20
2012 23 21
2013 22 20
2014 23 21
2015 22 21
2016 23 22
2017 21 21
2018 22 21 23 20
2019 21 20 22 19 22
2020 22 21 23 20 23 23
2021 22 21 23 20 23 24 23
2022 23 22 24 21 24 24 23
2023 23 22 24 21 24
2024 24 23 25 23 25 B2 A2
2025 23 22 24 21 24 2020-2040 0.4 0.45
2026 24 23 25 23 25 2041-2070 0.91 1.3
2027 23 22 24 21 24 2071-2100 1.3 1.5
2028 24 23 25 23 25
2029 23 22 24 21 24
2030 24 23 25 23 25
2031 25 24 26 24 26
2032 24 23 25 23 25
2033 25 24 26 24 26
2034 24 23 25 23 25
2035 25 24 26 24 26
2036 24 23 25 23 25
2037 25 24 26 24 26
2038 24 23 25 23 25
2039 25 24 26 24 26
2040 24 23 25 23 25
2041 25 24 26 24 26
2042 24 23 25 23 25
2043 25 24 26 24 26
2044 24 23 25 23 25
2045 25 24 26 24 26
2046 24 23 25 23 25
2047 25 24 26 24 26
2048 24 22 25 23 25
2049 25 23 26 24 26
2050 25 23 26 24 26
2051 24 22 25 23 25
2052 25 23 26 24 26
2053 24 23 25 23 25
2054 25 24 26 24 26
2055 24 22 25 23 25
2056 25 23 26 24 26
2057 24 22 25 23 25
2058 25 23 26 24 26
2059 24 22 25 23 25
2060 25 23 26 24 26
2061 24 22 25 23 25
2062 25 23 26 24 26
2063 24 22 25 23 25
2064 25 23 26 24 26
2065 24 23 25 23 25
2066 25 24 26 24 26
2067 24 22 25 23 25
2068 25 23 26 24 26
2069 24 22 25 23 25
2070 25 23 26 24 26
2071 24 22 25 23 25
2072 25 23 26 24 26
2073 24 22 25 23 25
2074 25 23 26 24 26
2075 24 22 25 23 25
2076 25 23 26 24 26
2077 24 23 25 23 25
2078 25 24 26 24 26
2079 24 22 25 23 25
2080 25 23 26 24 26
2081 25 23 26 24 26
2082 24 22 25 23 25
2083 25 23 26 24 26
2084 24 23 25 23 25
2085 25 24 26 24 26
2086 24 22 25 23 25
2087 25 23 26 24 26
2088 24 22 25 23 25
2089 25 23 26 24 26
2090 24 22 25 23 25
2091 25 23 26 24 26
2092 24 22 25 23 25
2093 25 23 26 24 26
2094 24 22 25 23 25
2095 25 23 26 24 26
2096 24 23 25 23 25
2097 25 24 26 24 26
2098 24 22 25 23 25
2099 25 23 26 24 26
2100 24 22 25 23 25

500.94
443.62
A2 B2

2060 2080 2100

1.6
1.4
B2 A2
Change in Tmax (oC)

1.2
1
0.8

1 1 0.6
2 1 0.4
2 1 0.2
0
2020-2040 2041-2070 2071-2100
Year
2071-2100
 Agricultural Demand Projection(Mm3)

3273626.7
Demand Projection

2900222.7 4161033
2570725.7 2200785
Sum 2218304.1 9241906
1846223.5 6626034
1508968.1 2033112
3148084

2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Projected Year
 7000000

Population and Demand Projection

Livestock Population projection Livestock Demand Projection
6000000
5000000
4000000
3000000 5,700,238.7 5,841,271.9 5,981,322.0 6,126,368.9 6,280,707.8 6,444,793.5
0 4 1 7 6 3
2000000
2,221,800.6 2,409,901.9
1000000 1,639,543.8 1,764,149.6 1,901,141.3 2,052,904.6 8 4
2 3
0 2 0
2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Projected Year
mand Projection

6,280,707.8 6,444,793.5
6 3
2,221,800.6 2,409,901.9
8 4
2045 2050
 Irr WS
2025 189 65 254 126 0 0 55.19 9.77 64.96
2030 315 84 399 79 0 0 11.28 72.85 84.13
2035 394 96 490 78 0 0 16.66 79.73 96.39
2040 472 106 578 158 0 0 17.57 88.87 106.44
2045 630 122 752 153 0 10 97.95 23.75 121.70
2050 783 127 910 17 0 20 101.85 25.28 127.13
2055 800 134 934 30 17 25
2060 830 141 971 30 43 64
2065 860 148 1,008 40 69 103
2070 900 155 1,055 50 102 152
2075 950 162 1,112 30 141 212
2080 980 169 1,149 30 167 251
2085 1,010 176 1,186 90 193 290
2090 1,100 183 1,283 100 261 392
2095 1,200 190 1,390 100 336 504
2100 1,300 260 1,560 455 682

0.31
0.41 RS
20s 0.00 0.00 0.00
50s 32.87 53.56 0.02
80s 236.58 354.87 0.16

1,500,000,000.00
 0.00
0.00 720
0.00 630
0.00
0.00 540 REFERENCE SCENARIO

UNMET DEMAND (MCM)

0.06 HIGH POPULATION GROUTH
450
11.82
360
29.95
48.08 270
71.11 180
99.04
117.17 90
135.30 0
2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
182.83
YEAR
235.26
318.50

HPG
0.00
0.04
0.24
2080 2090 2100
 720

630

540
REFERENCE SCENARIO
HIGH POPULATION GROUTH
450
UNMET DEMAND (MCM)

360

270

180

90

0
2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090
YEAR
2080 2090 2100
 450 912
2.026667

2017 588 588 1191.772 1191.772 0 0

2018 561 550 1136.676 1113.943 0 0
2019 473 463 957.7028 938.5487 0 0
2020 583 571 1181.672 1158.038 0 0
2021 679 665 1375.256 1347.751 1168.616 1150.011 0 0
2022 590 578 1194.864 1170.967 0 0
2023 631 618 1278.827 1253.25 0 0
2024 539 528 1091.729 1069.895 0 0
2025 482 472 976.696 957.1621 0 0
2026 578 566 1170.767 1147.352 1142.577 1119.725 0 0
2027 508 498 1030.375 1009.768 0 0
2028 574 562 1163.036 1139.775 50 30
2029 629 617 1275.169 1249.666 50 80
2030 621 609 1259.093 1233.911 240.9073 266.0892
2031 663 649 1342.805 1315.949 1214.096 1189.814 157.195 184.0511
2032 599 587 1214.949 1190.65 285.0515 309.3504
2033 687 673 1391.408 1363.58 108.5916 136.4198
2034 704 690 1426.198 1397.674 73.80203 102.326
2035 594 582 1203.53 1179.459 296.47 320.5406
2036 553 542 1120.893 1098.475 1271.396 1245.968 379.1071 401.5249
2037 485 475 982.847 963.19 317.153 336.81
2038 483 474 979.3413 959.7545 320.6587 340.2455
2039 410 386 831.7735 781.8671 468.2265 410
2040 495 465 1003.261 943.0653 327.5131 385.8623
2041 658 619 1334.086 1254.04 1026.262 980.3835 410.9814 464.3226
2042 616 579 1247.903 1173.028 392.7026 447.1405
2043 480 451 972.4869 914.1377 354.8103 411.5217
2044 439 412 889.0186 835.6774 302.8626 362.6908
2045 638 600 1293.695 1216.073 380.5625 463.3119
2046 547 515 1109.539 1042.967 1102.528 1036.377 383.842 466.2962
2047 537 504 1087.44 1022.194 521.8893 591.9192
2048 574 540 1163.946 1094.109 361.4656 445.9337
2049 625 588 1267.24 1191.205 390.2542 472.1313
2050 555 522 1125.166 1057.656 468.3375 543.1871
2051 611 574 1238.1 1163.814 1176.378 1105.796 311.0916 400.0934
2052 541 509 1096.43 1030.645 466.7986 541.7867
2053 531 499 1076.851 1012.24 350.1954 435.6779
2054 448 421 907.2974 852.8595 499.1093 571.1895
2055 552 519 1119.478 1052.31 339.971 426.3736
2056 643 604 1302.874 1224.702 1100.586 1034.551 455.0922 531.1339
2057 559 525 1131.977 1064.058 346.3104 432.1425
2058 611 574 1237.574 1163.32 262.4257 336.6801
2059 521 490 1056.512 993.1216 443.4877 506.8784
2060 466 438 945.1897 888.4783 354.8103 411.5217
2061 559 526 1133 1065.02 1100.851 1034.8 302.8626 362.6908
2062 492 462 997.1374 937.3092 380.5625 463.3119
2063 543 510 1100.507 1034.477 383.842 466.2962
2064 595 560 1206.612 1134.215 521.8893 591.9192
2065 575 541 1166.317 1096.338 361.4656 445.9337
2066 614 577 1243.861 1169.23 1142.887 1074.314 256.1385 330.7702
2067 555 522 1125.426 1057.9 374.574 442.0996
2068 636 598 1288.884 1211.551 211.1165 288.4495
2069 644 606 1306.097 1227.731 193.9029 272.2687
2070 544 511 1102.18 1036.049 397.8199 463.9507
2071 506 461 1026.502 934.1168 1169.818 1093.47 473.498 565.8832
2072 454 413 919.4375 836.6881 380.5625 463.3119
2073 452 411 916.158 833.7038 383.842 466.2962
2074 384 349 778.1107 708.0808 521.8893 591.9192
2075 463 421 938.5344 854.0663 361.4656 445.9337
2076 616 560 1248.016 1135.694 960.0512 873.6466 251.9845 364.3059
2077 576 524 1167.393 1062.327 332.6073 437.6727
2078 449 408 909.7458 827.8687 390.2542 472.1313
2079 410 373 831.6625 756.8129 468.3375 543.1871
2080 604 549 1223.385 1113.28 311.0916 400.0934
2081 518 471 1049.238 954.8067 1036.285 943.0192 466.7986 541.7867
2082 537 488 1087.44 989.5708 350.1954 435.6779
2083 574 523 1163.946 1059.191 499.1093 571.1895
2084 625 569 1267.24 1153.188 339.971 426.3736
2085 555 505 1125.166 1023.901 455.0922 531.1339
2086 611 556 1238.1 1126.671 1176.378 1070.504 346.3104 432.1425
2087 541 492 1096.43 997.7516 403.5696 502.2484
2088 488 444 988.9084 899.9066 311.0916 400.0934
2089 411 374 833.2014 758.2133 350.1954 435.6779
2090 507 462 1028.054 935.5294 499.1093 571.1895
2091 590 537 1196.473 1088.79 1028.613 936.0383 339.971 426.3736
2092 513 467 1039.532 945.974 455.0922 531.1339
2093 549 500 1112.579 1012.447 346.3104 432.1425
2094 469 426 949.8046 864.3221 254.3221 364.3221
2095 395 360 800.8907 728.8105 250 464.3221
2096 474 431 960.029 873.6264 972.5671 885.036 273.6264 300
2097 417 379 844.9078 768.8661 250 264.3221
2098 471 428 953.6896 867.8575 267.8575 400
2099 516 470 1045.639 951.5312 454.3613 264.3221
2100 509 464 1032.456 939.5349 967.3442 880.2832 300 400
264.3221
264.3221
2017 1191.772 1192 264 -928 264.3221
2022 1168.616 1150 320 -830 264.3221
2027 1142.577 1120 400 -720 264.3221
2032 1214.096 1190 490 -700 264.3221
2037 1271.396 1246 580 -666 264.3221
2042 1026.262 980 752 -228 264.3221
2047 1102.528 1036 910 75 24.13 264.3221 934.13
2052 1176.378 1106 920 100 61.13 971.13
2057 1100.586 1034.551 934.13 78 98.13 1008.13
2062 1100.851 1034.8 971.13 65 145.13 1055.13
2067 1142.887 1074.314 1008.13 66 202.13 1112.13
2072 1169.818 1093.47 1055.13 38 239.13 1149.13
2077 960.0512 873.6466 1112.13 238 276.13 1186.13
2082 1036.285 943.0192 1149.13 206 373.13 1283.13
2087 1176.378 1070.504 1186.13 116 480.13 1390.13
2092 1028.613 936.0383 1283.13 347 650 1560
2097 972.5671 885.036 1390.13 505
2100 967.3442 880.2832 1560 680
220
 700 Climate change A2 Scenario
Climate change B2 Scenario
600

500
UNMET DEMAND MCM)

400

300

200
117.153 136.81
120.6587 140.2455 100
268.2265 210
0
2017 2027 2037 2047 2057 2067
YEAR
154.8103 211.5217
102.8626 162.6908

299.1093 371.1895

154.8103 211.5217
180.5625 263.3119

180.5625 263.3119
183.842 266.2962
321.8893 391.9192
161.4656 245.9337

190.2542 272.1313
268.3375 343.1871

111.0916 200.0934
150.1954 235.6779

54.32215 180
71 154
73.62635 100
90 64.32215
67.85754 100
B2 A2 B2 A2
20s 270.4251 290.2927 0.180283 0.193528
50s 372.7058 446.3208 0.248471 0.297547
80s 369.6172 448.1729 0.246411 0.298782

Summary of average unmet demand for all scenarios of the three periods
20s 50s 80s
Predictand
A2 B2 A2 B2 A2
RS (%) 0 2 16
HPG (%) 0 4 24
CC (%) 19 18 29 25 30
NIT (%) 14 13 25 21 25
ILC (%) 11 10 19 16 19
NIT+ILC (%) 8 7 14 12 14

5
1500 75 1500
1500 450 375 1500
1500 360 285 1500

285 210
195 120
io
io

7 2057 2067 2077 2087 2097

YEAR
three periods
80s
B2
16
24
24
21
16
12

11 16 12
165 1500 240 180
375 210 1500 210 180
300 135 1500 30 0
 450 912
2.026667

2017 588 588 1191.772 1191.772 0 0 0

2018 561 550 1136.676 1113.943 0 0 0
2019 473 463 957.7028 938.5487 0 0 0
2020 583 571 1181.672 1158.038 0 0 0
2021 679 665 1375.256 1347.751 1168.616 1150.011 0 0 0
2022 590 578 1194.864 1170.967 0 0 0
2023 631 618 1278.827 1253.25 0 0 0
2024 539 528 1091.729 1069.895 0 0 0
2025 482 472 976.696 957.1621 0 0 0
2026 578 566 1170.767 1147.352 1142.577 1119.725 0 0 0
2027 508 498 1030.375 1009.768 0 0 0
2028 574 562 1163.036 1139.775 50 30 42.5
2029 629 617 1275.169 1249.666 50 80 42.5
2030 621 609 1259.093 1233.911 240.9073 266.0892 204.7712
2031 663 649 1342.805 1315.949 1214.096 1189.814 157.195 184.0511 133.6157
2032 599 587 1214.949 1190.65 285.0515 309.3504 242.2937
2033 687 673 1391.408 1363.58 108.5916 136.4198 92.30289
2034 704 690 1426.198 1397.674 73.80203 102.326 62.73173
2035 594 582 1203.53 1179.459 296.47 320.5406 251.9995
2036 553 542 1120.893 1098.475 1271.396 1245.968 379.1071 401.5249 322.241
2037 485 475 982.847 963.19 317.153 336.81 269.5801
2038 483 474 979.3413 959.7545 320.6587 340.2455 272.5599
2039 410 386 831.7735 781.8671 468.2265 410 397.9925
2040 495 465 1003.261 943.0653 327.5131 385.8623 278.3861
2041 658 619 1334.086 1254.04 1026.262 980.3835 410.9814 464.3226 349.3342
2042 616 579 1247.903 1173.028 392.7026 447.1405 333.7972
2043 480 451 972.4869 914.1377 354.8103 411.5217 301.5888
2044 439 412 889.0186 835.6774 302.8626 362.6908 257.4332
2045 638 600 1293.695 1216.073 380.5625 463.3119 323.4781
2046 547 515 1109.539 1042.967 1102.528 1036.377 383.842 466.2962 326.2657
2047 537 504 1087.44 1022.194 521.8893 591.9192 443.6059
2048 574 540 1163.946 1094.109 361.4656 445.9337 307.2457
2049 625 588 1267.24 1191.205 390.2542 472.1313 331.7161
2050 555 522 1125.166 1057.656 468.3375 543.1871 398.0869
2051 611 574 1238.1 1163.814 1176.378 1105.796 311.0916 400.0934 264.4279
2052 541 509 1096.43 1030.645 466.7986 541.7867 396.7788
2053 531 499 1076.851 1012.24 350.1954 435.6779 297.6661
2054 448 421 907.2974 852.8595 499.1093 571.1895 424.2429
2055 552 519 1119.478 1052.31 339.971 426.3736 288.9754
2056 643 604 1302.874 1224.702 1100.586 1034.551 455.0922 531.1339 386.8284
2057 559 525 1131.977 1064.058 346.3104 432.1425 294.3638
2058 611 574 1237.574 1163.32 262.4257 336.6801 223.0618
2059 521 490 1056.512 993.1216 443.4877 506.8784 376.9645
2060 466 438 945.1897 888.4783 354.8103 411.5217 301.5888
2061 559 526 1133 1065.02 1100.851 1034.8 302.8626 362.6908 257.4332
2062 492 462 997.1374 937.3092 380.5625 463.3119 323.4781
2063 543 510 1100.507 1034.477 383.842 466.2962 326.2657
2064 595 560 1206.612 1134.215 521.8893 591.9192 443.6059
2065 575 541 1166.317 1096.338 361.4656 445.9337 307.2457
2066 614 577 1243.861 1169.23 1142.887 1074.314 256.1385 330.7702 217.7177
2067 555 522 1125.426 1057.9 374.574 442.0996 318.3879
2068 636 598 1288.884 1211.551 211.1165 288.4495 179.449
2069 644 606 1306.097 1227.731 193.9029 272.2687 164.8175
2070 544 511 1102.18 1036.049 397.8199 463.9507 338.1469
2071 506 461 1026.502 934.1168 1169.818 1093.47 473.498 565.8832 402.4733
2072 454 413 919.4375 836.6881 380.5625 463.3119 323.4781
2073 452 411 916.158 833.7038 383.842 466.2962 326.2657
2074 384 349 778.1107 708.0808 521.8893 591.9192 443.6059
2075 463 421 938.5344 854.0663 361.4656 445.9337 307.2457
2076 616 560 1248.016 1135.694 960.0512 873.6466 251.9845 364.3059 214.1868
2077 576 524 1167.393 1062.327 332.6073 437.6727 282.7162
2078 449 408 909.7458 827.8687 390.2542 472.1313 331.7161
2079 410 373 831.6625 756.8129 468.3375 543.1871 398.0869
2080 604 549 1223.385 1113.28 311.0916 400.0934 264.4279
2081 518 471 1049.238 954.8067 1036.285 943.0192 466.7986 541.7867 396.7788
2082 537 488 1087.44 989.5708 350.1954 435.6779 297.6661
2083 574 523 1163.946 1059.191 499.1093 571.1895 424.2429
2084 625 569 1267.24 1153.188 339.971 426.3736 288.9754
2085 555 505 1125.166 1023.901 455.0922 531.1339 386.8284
2086 611 556 1238.1 1126.671 1176.378 1070.504 346.3104 432.1425 294.3638
2087 541 492 1096.43 997.7516 403.5696 502.2484 343.0342
2088 488 444 988.9084 899.9066 311.0916 400.0934 264.4279
2089 411 374 833.2014 758.2133 350.1954 435.6779 297.6661
2090 507 462 1028.054 935.5294 499.1093 571.1895 424.2429
2091 590 537 1196.473 1088.79 1028.613 936.0383 339.971 426.3736 288.9754
2092 513 467 1039.532 945.974 455.0922 531.1339 386.8284
2093 549 500 1112.579 1012.447 346.3104 432.1425 294.3638
2094 469 426 949.8046 864.3221 254.3221 364.3221 216.1738
2095 395 360 800.8907 728.8105 250 464.3221 212.5
2096 474 431 960.029 873.6264 972.5671 885.036 273.6264 300 232.5824
2097 417 379 844.9078 768.8661 250 264.3221 212.5
2098 471 428 953.6896 867.8575 267.8575 400 227.6789
2099 516 470 1045.639 951.5312 454.3613 264.3221 386.2071
2100 509 464 1032.456 939.5349 967.3442 880.2832 300 400 255
220
 0
0
0
0
0 Climate change A2 Scenario
0 700 Climate change B2 Scenario
New Irrigation Technology for B2
0
600 New Irrigation Technology for A2
0
0
0 500
UNMET DEMAND MCM)

0
25.5 400
68
226.1758 300
156.4434
262.9479
200
115.9568
86.97709
272.4595 100
341.2962
286.2885 0
2017 2027 2037 2047 2057 2067 2077 2
289.2087
348.5 YEAR
327.983
394.6742
380.0694 B2 A1 B2
349.7935 20s 236.5135 254.0938 201.0365 215.9798 0.157676 0.169396 0.134024
308.2872 50s 372.7058 446.3208 316.7999 379.3727 0.248471 0.297547 0.2112
393.8151 80s 369.6172 448.1729 314.1746 380.9469 0.246411 0.298782 0.20945
396.3518
503.1314
379.0436
401.3116
461.709
340.0794
460.5187
370.3262
485.511
362.4176
451.4638
367.3211
286.1781
430.8467
349.7935
308.2872
393.8151
396.3518
503.1314
379.0436
281.1547
375.7846
245.1821
231.4284
394.3581
481.0007
393.8151
396.3518
503.1314
379.0436
309.66
372.0218
401.3116
461.709
340.0794
460.5187
370.3262
485.511
362.4176
451.4638
367.3211
426.9111
340.0794
370.3262
485.511
362.4176
451.4638
367.3211
309.6738
394.6738
255
224.6738
340
224.6738
340
 2067 2077 2087 2097
EAR

A1
0.143987
0.252915
0.253965
 450 912
2.026667

2017 588 588 1191.772 1191.772 0 0 0

2018 561 550 1136.676 1113.943 0 0 0
2019 473 463 957.7028 938.5487 0 0 0
2020 583 571 1181.672 1158.038 0 0 0
2021 679 665 1375.256 1347.751 1168.616 1150.011 0 0 0
2022 590 578 1194.864 1170.967 0 0 0
2023 631 618 1278.827 1253.25 0 0 0
2024 539 528 1091.729 1069.895 0 0 0
2025 482 472 976.696 957.1621 0 0 0
2026 578 566 1170.767 1147.352 1142.577 1119.725 0 0 0
2027 508 498 1030.375 1009.768 0 0 0
2028 574 562 1163.036 1139.775 50 30 32.5
2029 629 617 1275.169 1249.666 50 80 32.5
2030 621 609 1259.093 1233.911 240.9073 266.0892 156.5898
2031 663 649 1342.805 1315.949 1214.096 1189.814 157.195 184.0511 102.1767
2032 599 587 1214.949 1190.65 285.0515 309.3504 185.2835
2033 687 673 1391.408 1363.58 108.5916 136.4198 70.58456
2034 704 690 1426.198 1397.674 73.80203 102.326 47.97132
2035 594 582 1203.53 1179.459 296.47 320.5406 192.7055
2036 553 542 1120.893 1098.475 1271.396 1245.968 379.1071 401.5249 246.4196
2037 485 475 982.847 963.19 317.153 336.81 206.1495
2038 483 474 979.3413 959.7545 320.6587 340.2455 208.4281
2039 410 386 831.7735 781.8671 468.2265 410 304.3472
2040 495 465 1003.261 943.0653 327.5131 385.8623 212.8835
2041 658 619 1334.086 1254.04 1026.262 980.3835 410.9814 464.3226 267.1379
2042 616 579 1247.903 1173.028 392.7026 447.1405 255.2567
2043 480 451 972.4869 914.1377 354.8103 411.5217 230.6267
2044 439 412 889.0186 835.6774 302.8626 362.6908 196.8607
2045 638 600 1293.695 1216.073 380.5625 463.3119 247.3656
2046 547 515 1109.539 1042.967 1102.528 1036.377 383.842 466.2962 249.4973
2047 537 504 1087.44 1022.194 521.8893 591.9192 339.228
2048 574 540 1163.946 1094.109 361.4656 445.9337 234.9526
2049 625 588 1267.24 1191.205 390.2542 472.1313 253.6652
2050 555 522 1125.166 1057.656 468.3375 543.1871 304.4194
2051 611 574 1238.1 1163.814 1176.378 1105.796 311.0916 400.0934 202.2096
2052 541 509 1096.43 1030.645 466.7986 541.7867 303.4191
2053 531 499 1076.851 1012.24 350.1954 435.6779 227.627
2054 448 421 907.2974 852.8595 499.1093 571.1895 324.421
2055 552 519 1119.478 1052.31 339.971 426.3736 220.9812
2056 643 604 1302.874 1224.702 1100.586 1034.551 455.0922 531.1339 295.81
2057 559 525 1131.977 1064.058 346.3104 432.1425 225.1018
2058 611 574 1237.574 1163.32 262.4257 336.6801 170.5767
2059 521 490 1056.512 993.1216 443.4877 506.8784 288.267
2060 466 438 945.1897 888.4783 354.8103 411.5217 230.6267
2061 559 526 1133 1065.02 1100.851 1034.8 302.8626 362.6908 196.8607
2062 492 462 997.1374 937.3092 380.5625 463.3119 247.3656
2063 543 510 1100.507 1034.477 383.842 466.2962 249.4973
2064 595 560 1206.612 1134.215 521.8893 591.9192 339.228
2065 575 541 1166.317 1096.338 361.4656 445.9337 234.9526
2066 614 577 1243.861 1169.23 1142.887 1074.314 256.1385 330.7702 166.49
2067 555 522 1125.426 1057.9 374.574 442.0996 243.4731
2068 636 598 1288.884 1211.551 211.1165 288.4495 137.2257
2069 644 606 1306.097 1227.731 193.9029 272.2687 126.0369
2070 544 511 1102.18 1036.049 397.8199 463.9507 258.5829
2071 506 461 1026.502 934.1168 1169.818 1093.47 473.498 565.8832 307.7737
2072 454 413 919.4375 836.6881 380.5625 463.3119 247.3656
2073 452 411 916.158 833.7038 383.842 466.2962 249.4973
2074 384 349 778.1107 708.0808 521.8893 591.9192 339.228
2075 463 421 938.5344 854.0663 361.4656 445.9337 234.9526
2076 616 560 1248.016 1135.694 960.0512 873.6466 251.9845 364.3059 163.7899
2077 576 524 1167.393 1062.327 332.6073 437.6727 216.1948
2078 449 408 909.7458 827.8687 390.2542 472.1313 253.6652
2079 410 373 831.6625 756.8129 468.3375 543.1871 304.4194
2080 604 549 1223.385 1113.28 311.0916 400.0934 202.2096
2081 518 471 1049.238 954.8067 1036.285 943.0192 466.7986 541.7867 303.4191
2082 537 488 1087.44 989.5708 350.1954 435.6779 227.627
2083 574 523 1163.946 1059.191 499.1093 571.1895 324.421
2084 625 569 1267.24 1153.188 339.971 426.3736 220.9812
2085 555 505 1125.166 1023.901 455.0922 531.1339 295.81
2086 611 556 1238.1 1126.671 1176.378 1070.504 346.3104 432.1425 225.1018
2087 541 492 1096.43 997.7516 403.5696 502.2484 262.3203
2088 488 444 988.9084 899.9066 311.0916 400.0934 202.2096
2089 411 374 833.2014 758.2133 350.1954 435.6779 227.627
2090 507 462 1028.054 935.5294 499.1093 571.1895 324.421
2091 590 537 1196.473 1088.79 1028.613 936.0383 339.971 426.3736 220.9812
2092 513 467 1039.532 945.974 455.0922 531.1339 295.81
2093 549 500 1112.579 1012.447 346.3104 432.1425 225.1018
2094 469 426 949.8046 864.3221 254.3221 364.3221 165.3094
2095 395 360 800.8907 728.8105 250 464.3221 162.5
2096 474 431 960.029 873.6264 972.5671 885.036 273.6264 300 177.8571
2097 417 379 844.9078 768.8661 250 264.3221 162.5
2098 471 428 953.6896 867.8575 267.8575 400 174.1074
2099 516 470 1045.639 951.5312 454.3613 264.3221 295.3348
2100 509 464 1032.456 939.5349 967.3442 880.2832 300 400 195
220
 0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
700 Climate change A2 Scenario
0 Climate change B2 Scenario
0 Improved Living Standard for B2
0 600 Improved Living Standard for A2
19.5
52 500
UNMET DEMAND MCM)

172.958
119.6332 400
201.0778
88.67287
300
66.51189
208.3514
260.9912 200
218.9265
221.1596 100
266.5
250.8105 0
301.8097 2017 2027 2037 2047 2057 2067 2077 20
290.6413 YEAR
267.4891
235.749
301.1527 B2 A1 B2
303.0925 20s 236.5135 254.0938 153.7338 165.161 0.157676 0.169396 0.102489
384.7475 50s 372.7058 446.3208 242.2588 290.1085 0.248471 0.297547 0.161506
289.8569 80s 369.6172 448.1729 240.2512 291.3124 0.246411 0.298782 0.160167
306.8854
353.0716
260.0607
352.1614
283.1906
371.2732
277.1429
345.2371
280.8926
218.8421
329.471
267.4891
235.749
301.1527
303.0925
384.7475
289.8569
215.0006
287.3647
187.4922
176.9747
301.5679
367.8241
301.1527
303.0925
384.7475
289.8569
236.7988
284.4872
306.8854
353.0716
260.0607
352.1614
283.1906
371.2732
277.1429
345.2371
280.8926
326.4614
260.0607
283.1906
371.2732
277.1429
345.2371
280.8926
236.8094
301.8094
195
171.8094
260
171.8094
260
 2067 2077 2087 2097
R

A1
0.110107
0.193406
0.194208
 450 912
2.026667

2017 588 588 1191.772 1191.772 0 0 0

2018 561 550 1136.676 1113.943 0 0 0
2019 473 463 957.7028 938.5487 0 0 0
2020 583 571 1181.672 1158.038 0 0 0
2021 679 665 1375.256 1347.751 1168.616 1150.011 0 0 0
2022 590 578 1194.864 1170.967 0 0 0
2023 631 618 1278.827 1253.25 0 0 0
2024 539 528 1091.729 1069.895 0 0 0
2025 482 472 976.696 957.1621 0 0 0
2026 578 566 1170.767 1147.352 1142.577 1119.725 0 0 0
2027 508 498 1030.375 1009.768 0 0 0
2028 574 562 1163.036 1139.775 50 30 25
2029 629 617 1275.169 1249.666 50 80 25
2030 621 609 1259.093 1233.911 240.9073 266.0892 120.4537
2031 663 649 1342.805 1315.949 1214.096 1189.814 157.195 184.0511 78.59749
2032 599 587 1214.949 1190.65 285.0515 309.3504 142.5257
2033 687 673 1391.408 1363.58 108.5916 136.4198 54.29582
2034 704 690 1426.198 1397.674 73.80203 102.326 36.90102
2035 594 582 1203.53 1179.459 296.47 320.5406 148.235
2036 553 542 1120.893 1098.475 1271.396 1245.968 379.1071 401.5249 189.5535
2037 485 475 982.847 963.19 317.153 336.81 158.5765
2038 483 474 979.3413 959.7545 320.6587 340.2455 160.3293
2039 410 386 831.7735 781.8671 468.2265 410 234.1132
2040 495 465 1003.261 943.0653 327.5131 385.8623 163.7566
2041 658 619 1334.086 1254.04 1026.262 980.3835 410.9814 464.3226 205.4907
2042 616 579 1247.903 1173.028 392.7026 447.1405 196.3513
2043 480 451 972.4869 914.1377 354.8103 411.5217 177.4052
2044 439 412 889.0186 835.6774 302.8626 362.6908 151.4313
2045 638 600 1293.695 1216.073 380.5625 463.3119 190.2813
2046 547 515 1109.539 1042.967 1102.528 1036.377 383.842 466.2962 191.921
2047 537 504 1087.44 1022.194 521.8893 591.9192 260.9446
2048 574 540 1163.946 1094.109 361.4656 445.9337 180.7328
2049 625 588 1267.24 1191.205 390.2542 472.1313 195.1271
2050 555 522 1125.166 1057.656 468.3375 543.1871 234.1687
2051 611 574 1238.1 1163.814 1176.378 1105.796 311.0916 400.0934 155.5458
2052 541 509 1096.43 1030.645 466.7986 541.7867 233.3993
2053 531 499 1076.851 1012.24 350.1954 435.6779 175.0977
2054 448 421 907.2974 852.8595 499.1093 571.1895 249.5547
2055 552 519 1119.478 1052.31 339.971 426.3736 169.9855
2056 643 604 1302.874 1224.702 1100.586 1034.551 455.0922 531.1339 227.5461
2057 559 525 1131.977 1064.058 346.3104 432.1425 173.1552
2058 611 574 1237.574 1163.32 262.4257 336.6801 131.2128
2059 521 490 1056.512 993.1216 443.4877 506.8784 221.7438
2060 466 438 945.1897 888.4783 354.8103 411.5217 177.4052
2061 559 526 1133 1065.02 1100.851 1034.8 302.8626 362.6908 151.4313
2062 492 462 997.1374 937.3092 380.5625 463.3119 190.2813
2063 543 510 1100.507 1034.477 383.842 466.2962 191.921
2064 595 560 1206.612 1134.215 521.8893 591.9192 260.9446
2065 575 541 1166.317 1096.338 361.4656 445.9337 180.7328
2066 614 577 1243.861 1169.23 1142.887 1074.314 256.1385 330.7702 128.0693
2067 555 522 1125.426 1057.9 374.574 442.0996 187.287
2068 636 598 1288.884 1211.551 211.1165 288.4495 105.5582
2069 644 606 1306.097 1227.731 193.9029 272.2687 96.95146
2070 544 511 1102.18 1036.049 397.8199 463.9507 198.9099
2071 506 461 1026.502 934.1168 1169.818 1093.47 473.498 565.8832 236.749
2072 454 413 919.4375 836.6881 380.5625 463.3119 190.2813
2073 452 411 916.158 833.7038 383.842 466.2962 191.921
2074 384 349 778.1107 708.0808 521.8893 591.9192 260.9446
2075 463 421 938.5344 854.0663 361.4656 445.9337 180.7328
2076 616 560 1248.016 1135.694 960.0512 873.6466 251.9845 364.3059 125.9922
2077 576 524 1167.393 1062.327 332.6073 437.6727 166.3037
2078 449 408 909.7458 827.8687 390.2542 472.1313 195.1271
2079 410 373 831.6625 756.8129 468.3375 543.1871 234.1687
2080 604 549 1223.385 1113.28 311.0916 400.0934 155.5458
2081 518 471 1049.238 954.8067 1036.285 943.0192 466.7986 541.7867 233.3993
2082 537 488 1087.44 989.5708 350.1954 435.6779 175.0977
2083 574 523 1163.946 1059.191 499.1093 571.1895 249.5547
2084 625 569 1267.24 1153.188 339.971 426.3736 169.9855
2085 555 505 1125.166 1023.901 455.0922 531.1339 227.5461
2086 611 556 1238.1 1126.671 1176.378 1070.504 346.3104 432.1425 173.1552
2087 541 492 1096.43 997.7516 403.5696 502.2484 201.7848
2088 488 444 988.9084 899.9066 311.0916 400.0934 155.5458
2089 411 374 833.2014 758.2133 350.1954 435.6779 175.0977
2090 507 462 1028.054 935.5294 499.1093 571.1895 249.5547
2091 590 537 1196.473 1088.79 1028.613 936.0383 339.971 426.3736 169.9855
2092 513 467 1039.532 945.974 455.0922 531.1339 227.5461
2093 549 500 1112.579 1012.447 346.3104 432.1425 173.1552
2094 469 426 949.8046 864.3221 254.3221 364.3221 127.1611
2095 395 360 800.8907 728.8105 250 464.3221 125
2096 474 431 960.029 873.6264 972.5671 885.036 273.6264 300 136.8132
2097 417 379 844.9078 768.8661 250 264.3221 125
2098 471 428 953.6896 867.8575 267.8575 400 133.9288
2099 516 470 1045.639 951.5312 454.3613 264.3221 227.1806
2100 509 464 1032.456 939.5349 967.3442 880.2832 300 400 150
220
 0
0
0
0
Climate change A2 Scenario
700 Climate change B2 Scenario
0 Improved Living Standard & New Irrigation Technology for B2
0 Improved Living Standard & New Irrigation Technology for A2
0 600
0
0 500
UNMET DEMAND MCM)

0
0 400
15
40 300
133.0446
92.02554
200
154.6752
68.2099
51.163 100
160.2703
200.7625 0
2017 2027 2037 2047 2057 2067 2077 2
168.405
170.1228 YEAR
205
192.9312
232.1613
223.5702 B2 A1 B2
205.7609 20s 236.5135 254.0938 118.2568 127.0469 0.157676 0.169396 0.078838
181.3454 50s 372.7058 446.3208 186.3529 223.1604 0.248471 0.297547 0.124235
231.6559 80s 369.6172 448.1729 184.8086 224.0864 0.246411 0.298782 0.123206
233.1481
295.9596
222.9668
236.0657
271.5936
200.0467
270.8934
217.8389
285.5947
213.1868
265.567
216.0712
168.3401
253.4392
205.7609
181.3454
231.6559
233.1481
295.9596
222.9668
165.3851
221.0498
144.2247
136.1344
231.9753
282.9416
231.6559
233.1481
295.9596
222.9668
182.1529
218.8363
236.0657
271.5936
200.0467
270.8934
217.8389
285.5947
213.1868
265.567
216.0712
251.1242
200.0467
217.8389
285.5947
213.1868
265.567
216.0712
182.1611
232.1611
150
132.1611
200
132.1611
200
Technology for B2
Technology for A2

2067 2077 2087 2097

AR

A1
0.084698
0.148774
0.149391
Symbol Descriptions Dimension
26040
8680
7480
R2
Coefficient of determination (-)
r Coefficient of correlation (-)
PET Potential Evapotranspiration (L.T-1)
AET Actual evapotranspiration (L.T-1)