Tugas Project Metode Numerik : Menyelesaikan Model SIR dengan meto

Kelompok 4
1. Nurmarita F1C221016
2. Ramadhan F1C221019
3. M. Rizky Ramadhan F1C221026
4. Dea Arum Septriana F1C221033
5. Harly Abrar F1C221048

Persamaan diferensial Dari Model

𝑑𝑆/𝑑𝑡=𝜇𝑅−𝛽𝑆𝐼

𝑑𝐼/𝑑𝑡=𝛽𝑆𝐼−𝛾𝐼

𝑑𝑅/𝑑𝑡=𝛾𝐼−𝜇𝑅

Diketahui :

N(jumlah populasi) = 100 S(0) = 90

t0 (Waktu = 0) = 0 I(0) = 8
tn (Waktu ke n) = 30 R(0) = 2
h= 0.3

iterasi n Sn In Rn fS
0 0 90 8 2 -14.39
1 0.3 85.683 12.152 2.165 -20.814
2 0.6 79.439 18.144 2.417 -28.815
3 0.9 70.794 26.411 2.794 -37.381
4 1.2 59.580 37.075 3.345 -44.162
5 1.5 46.331 49.550 4.118 -45.894
6 1.8 32.563 62.284 5.153 -40.538
7 2.1 20.402 73.145 6.453 -29.814
8 2.4 11.458 80.563 7.979 -18.422
9 2.7 5.931 84.409 9.659 -9.965
10 3 2.942 85.641 11.417 -4.982
11 3.3 1.447 85.354 13.199 -2.405
12 3.6 0.726 84.303 14.971 -1.149
13 3.9 0.381 82.900 16.719 -0.548
14 4.2 0.217 81.348 18.435 -0.260
15 4.5 0.139 79.746 20.116 -0.120
16 4.8 0.102 78.137 21.760 -0.051
17 5.1 0.087 76.545 23.368 -0.016
18 5.4 0.082 74.977 24.941 0.002
19 5.7 0.083 73.440 26.478 0.011
20 6 0.086 71.934 27.980 0.016
21 6.3 0.091 70.460 29.449 0.019
22 6.6 0.097 69.019 30.885 0.021
23 6.9 0.103 67.610 32.288 0.022
24 7.2 0.110 66.231 33.659 0.023
25 7.5 0.117 64.884 34.999 0.024
26 7.8 0.124 63.567 36.309 0.024
27 8.1 0.131 62.279 37.590 0.025
28 8.4 0.138 61.020 38.841 0.025
29 8.7 0.146 59.790 40.064 0.026
30 9 0.154 58.586 41.260 0.026
31 9.3 0.162 57.410 42.428 0.027
32 9.6 0.170 56.260 43.570 0.027
33 9.9 0.178 55.136 44.686 0.028
34 10.2 0.186 54.037 45.777 0.028
35 10.5 0.194 52.962 46.843 0.028
36 10.8 0.203 51.912 47.885 0.029
37 11.1 0.211 50.885 48.904 0.029
38 11.4 0.220 49.881 49.899 0.030
39 11.7 0.229 48.899 50.872 0.030
40 12 0.238 47.940 51.822 0.031
41 12.3 0.247 47.001 52.751 0.031
42 12.6 0.257 46.084 53.659 0.032
43 12.9 0.266 45.187 54.546 0.032
44 13.2 0.276 44.311 55.413 0.033
45 13.5 0.286 43.454 56.261 0.033
46 13.8 0.296 42.615 57.089 0.034
47 14.1 0.306 41.796 57.898 0.034
48 14.4 0.316 40.995 58.689 0.034
49 14.7 0.326 40.212 59.462 0.035
50 15 0.337 39.446 60.217 0.035
51 15.3 0.347 38.697 60.955 0.036
52 15.6 0.358 37.965 61.676 0.036
53 15.9 0.369 37.250 62.381 0.037
54 16.2 0.380 36.550 63.070 0.037
55 16.5 0.391 35.866 63.743 0.038
56 16.8 0.403 35.197 64.400 0.038
57 17.1 0.414 34.543 65.043 0.039
58 17.4 0.426 33.903 65.671 0.039
59 17.7 0.438 33.278 66.284 0.040
60 18 0.450 32.666 66.884 0.041
61 18.3 0.462 32.069 67.469 0.041
62 18.6 0.474 31.484 68.042 0.042
63 18.9 0.487 30.913 68.601 0.042
64 19.2 0.499 30.354 69.147 0.043
65 19.5 0.512 29.807 69.681 0.043
 66 19.8 0.525 29.273 70.202 0.044
67 20.1 0.538 28.750 70.711 0.044
68 20.4 0.551 28.239 71.209 0.045
69 20.7 0.565 27.740 71.695 0.045
70 21 0.578 27.251 72.170 0.046
71 21.3 0.592 26.774 72.634 0.046
72 21.6 0.606 26.306 73.088 0.047
73 21.9 0.620 25.850 73.531 0.047
74 22.2 0.634 25.403 73.963 0.048
75 22.5 0.648 24.966 74.386 0.048
76 22.8 0.663 24.539 74.798 0.049
77 23.1 0.677 24.121 75.201 0.049
78 23.4 0.692 23.713 75.595 0.050
79 23.7 0.707 23.313 75.980 0.050
80 24 0.722 22.923 76.355 0.051
81 24.3 0.737 22.540 76.722 0.051
82 24.6 0.753 22.167 77.080 0.052
83 24.9 0.768 21.801 77.430 0.052
84 25.2 0.784 21.444 77.772 0.053
85 25.5 0.800 21.095 78.106 0.053
86 25.8 0.816 20.753 78.431 0.054
87 26.1 0.832 20.419 78.750 0.054
88 26.4 0.848 20.092 79.060 0.055
89 26.7 0.864 19.772 79.364 0.055
90 27 0.881 19.459 79.660 0.055
91 27.3 0.897 19.154 79.949 0.056
92 27.6 0.914 18.854 80.231 0.056
93 27.9 0.931 18.562 80.507 0.057
94 28.2 0.948 18.276 80.776 0.057
95 28.5 0.965 17.996 81.039 0.058
96 28.8 0.983 17.722 81.295 0.058
97 29.1 1.000 17.455 81.545 0.059
98 29.4 1.018 17.193 81.789 0.059
99 29.7 1.035 16.937 82.028 0.059
100 30 1.053 16.686 82.260 0.060

Maka didapat kesimpulan yaitu pada hari ke 30 atau saat n=30 maka jumlah populasi yang Susceptible
del SIR dengan metode Euler

Beta = 0.02
Mu = 0.005
Gamma = 0.07

fI fR
13.84 0.55
19.974 0.840
27.557 1.258
35.547 1.835
41.584 2.579
42.446 3.448
36.203 4.334
24.726 5.088
12.822 5.600
4.105 5.860
-0.956 5.938
-3.504 5.909
-4.677 5.826
-5.171 5.719
-5.342 5.602
-5.361 5.482
-5.310 5.361
-5.225 5.241
-5.125 5.124
-5.019 5.008
-4.912 4.895
-4.804 4.785
-4.698 4.677
-4.594 4.571
-4.491 4.468
-4.391 4.367
-4.292 4.268
-4.196 4.172
-4.103 4.077
-4.011 3.985
-3.921 3.895
-3.833 3.807
-3.747 3.720
-3.664 3.636
-3.582 3.554
-3.502 3.473
-3.423 3.394
-3.347 3.317
-3.272 3.242
-3.199 3.169
-3.127 3.097
-3.057 3.026
-2.989 2.958
-2.922 2.890
-2.857 2.825
-2.793 2.760
-2.731 2.698
-2.670 2.636
-2.611 2.576
-2.552 2.518
-2.496 2.460
-2.440 2.404
-2.386 2.349
-2.333 2.296
-2.281 2.243
-2.230 2.192
-2.180 2.142
-2.132 2.093
-2.084 2.045
-2.038 1.998
-1.993 1.952
-1.948 1.907
-1.905 1.864
-1.863 1.821
-1.822 1.779
-1.781 1.738
 -1.742 1.698
-1.703 1.659
-1.665 1.621
-1.628 1.583
-1.592 1.547
-1.557 1.511
-1.523 1.476
-1.489 1.442
-1.456 1.408
-1.424 1.376
-1.392 1.344
-1.362 1.312
-1.332 1.282
-1.302 1.252
-1.274 1.223
-1.245 1.194
-1.218 1.166
-1.191 1.139
-1.165 1.112
-1.139 1.086
-1.114 1.061
-1.090 1.036
-1.066 1.011
-1.042 0.987
-1.019 0.964
-0.997 0.941
-0.975 0.919
-0.954 0.897
-0.933 0.875
-0.912 0.855
-0.892 0.834
-0.873 0.814
-0.854 0.795
-0.835 0.775
-0.817 0.757

h populasi yang Susceptible = 1,053 , Infected = 16,686 , dan Recovery =82,260.