Aos

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2009
2010
2011P/
2012P/
2013E/
2014E/

X1

X2

X3

X4

Producto Bruto
Interno

Agricultura

Pesca

Extraccin de
Petrleo y
Minerales

Manufactura

40,920
44,711
47,347
50,085
52,762
55,858
58,484
62,371
61,706
63,653
69,946
75,085
82,620
86,196
91,840
97,003
104,995
109,040
109,206
113,044
116,849
122,213
126,463
134,401
147,017
153,340
155,559
156,102
151,977
158,194
167,596
176,901
176,507
158,136
163,842
167,219
182,981
200,778
181,822
159,436
151,492
154,854
154,017
162,093
182,044
195,536
201,009
214,028
213,190
216,377
222,207
223,580
235,773
245,593
257,770
273,971
294,598
319,693
348,870
352,693 ###
382,081 ###
406,256 ###
431,199 ###
456,787 ###
467,666 ###

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

4,486
4,621
4,755
4,865
4,962
4,922
4,686
4,705
5,030
5,276
5,614
5,782
5,921
6,010
6,305
6,431
6,778
7,042
6,803
7,252
7,818
7,975
7,784
7,815
8,104
8,101
8,222
8,214
8,091
8,406
7,917
8,633
8,824
7,974
8,790
9,046
9,438
10,060
10,772
10,169
9,463
9,762
9,010
9,845
11,156
11,842
12,611
13,160
13,177
14,646
15,496
15,374
16,152
16,472
16,391
16,948
18,462
19,074
20,600
20,784
21,656
22,517
23,944
24,262
24,609

45
47
51
44
58
68
85
95
142
229
312
440
567
591
762
630
744
849
864
776
1,031
711
378
274
383
340
400
349
441
494
412
450
528
371
543
636
840
740
876
922
916
818
923
1,117
1,440
1,223
1,195
1,191
1,076
1,428
1,710
1,488
1,529
1,417
1,988
2,086
2,163
2,364
2,435
2,321
1,675
2,709
1,729
2,134
1,528

4,220
4,553
4,704
4,431
5,920
5,961
6,593
7,226
6,546
6,690
10,002
10,932
10,396
11,062
11,615
11,789
12,944
13,100
13,912
13,815
14,796
13,897
14,767
15,326
16,179
14,924
15,816
19,116
25,101
29,554
30,171
29,243
29,603
26,698
27,973
29,175
27,868
27,036
22,984
21,865
19,965
20,390
19,860
21,478
21,896
22,532
23,802
25,718
26,643
29,184
29,440
32,360
35,582
36,993
39,206
43,236
44,058
45,892
49,601
49,910
50,601
50,750
51,662
54,119
53,833

5,630
6,192
6,525
7,370
8,067
8,673
8,939
9,853
9,589
10,486
12,162
13,108
14,185
14,985
16,037
17,092
18,415
19,141
19,505
19,725
21,423
22,642
23,111
24,615
26,689
27,523
28,519
28,037
26,906
28,021
29,628
29,827
29,477
24,128
25,510
26,659
30,817
34,765
30,869
26,034
24,524
26,038
25,421
26,643
30,583
32,312
32,879
34,365
33,425
32,962
34,792
35,094
37,424
38,883
41,778
44,529
47,766
52,807
57,304
53,600
59,024
63,943
64,758
68,178
66,000

X5

X6

Electricidad y
Construccin
Agua
123
127
132
166
169
184
196
221
250
252
289
359
374
398
425
460
501
548
579
608
636
705
768
856
936
1,008
1,145
1,292
1,346
1,444
1,644
1,765
1,909
1,603
1,608
1,707
2,007
2,162
2,173
2,144
2,152
2,237
2,285
2,532
2,761
2,773
2,919
3,310
3,465
3,620
3,750
3,823
4,049
4,205
4,435
4,685
5,040
5,505
5,948
6,008
6,531
7,066
7,481
7,858
8,261

1,527
1,794
2,216
2,336
2,623
2,778
3,111
3,195
2,901
2,556
2,453
3,015
3,289
2,842
3,143
3,552
3,868
3,845
3,291
3,512
3,989
4,357
4,825
5,285
6,353
6,488
6,493
5,763
5,169
5,439
6,064
6,745
6,880
5,447
5,491
4,915
5,966
7,024
6,549
5,587
5,764
5,862
6,119
6,996
9,172
10,804
10,501
12,066
12,163
10,934
10,169
9,467
10,281
10,672
11,195
12,168
13,994
16,317
19,071
20,319
23,765
24,626
28,539
31,279
31,832

X7
Comercio
4,303
4,575
4,764
5,123
5,430
5,634
5,619
5,965
6,048
6,529
7,337
7,811
8,318
8,662
9,253
9,652
10,348
10,782
10,800
11,072
12,065
13,296
13,891
14,763
16,357
17,929
17,256
16,559
16,141
16,967
17,818
18,944
18,839
15,440
15,764
15,893
18,309
20,109
18,013
15,055
14,790
15,296
14,922
15,511
18,381
20,379
20,556
22,125
21,543
21,366
22,173
22,353
23,010
23,710
25,075
26,368
29,500
32,537
36,029
35,735
39,981
43,434
47,105
49,906
52,192

X8

X9

Servicios
Otros
Gubernamental
servicios
es
1,899
1,988
2,080
2,176
2,275
2,385
2,502
2,626
2,761
2,899
3,048
3,444
3,690
3,963
4,257
4,494
4,768
4,930
5,044
5,145
5,367
5,618
6,023
6,304
6,607
7,102
7,598
7,926
7,925
7,972
8,677
8,911
8,983
9,586
10,317
10,370
11,241
11,775
10,720
9,197
8,081
7,532
7,623
7,849
8,088
8,963
9,613
10,242
10,798
11,135
11,109
10,733
10,370
11,016
11,233
12,440
13,482
13,723
14,785
17,472
18,886
19,691
21,288
22,383
23,269

18,687
20,814
22,120
23,574
23,258
25,253
26,753
28,485
28,439
28,736
28,729
30,194
35,880
37,683
40,043
42,903
46,629
48,803
48,408
51,139
49,724
53,012
54,916
59,163
65,409
69,925
70,110
68,846
60,857
59,897
65,265
72,383
71,464
66,889
67,846
68,818
76,495
87,107
78,866
68,463
65,837
66,919
67,854
70,122
78,567
84,708
86,933
91,851
90,900
91,102
93,568
92,888
97,376
102,225
106,469
111,511
120,133
131,474
143,097
146,544
159,962
171,520
184,693
196,668
206,142

1/

_=( ^ ) ^(1)
( ^ ) 1
2

^
=

(
^ )=

( ^
) ^(
1)=

(
^ )=

(
^
) ^(1)
( ^ )=

1
4486
45
4220
5630
123
1527
4303
1899
18687

1
4621
47
4553
6192
127
1794
4575
1988
20814

65
691812
59121
1527214
1855911
147918
536751
1171410
556397
4851048

691812
9E+009
9E+008
2E+010
3E+010
2E+009
8E+009
2E+010
8E+009
7E+010

1.190624
-0.00021
0.000222
-2E-005
9.4E-006
0.000623
-3E-005
8.7E-005
1.9E-005
-3E-005

-0.00021
5.6E-008
-6E-008
1.8E-010
1.5E-009
-1E-007
5.3E-009
-7E-009
1.1E-008
-2E-009

1
4755
51
4704
6525
132
2216
4764
2080
22120

1
4865
44
4431
7370
166
2336
5123
2176
23574

59121 1527214
9E+008 2E+010
8E+007 2E+009
2E+009 5E+010
2E+009 6E+010
2E+008 5E+009
7E+008 2E+010
1E+009 4E+010
7E+008 2E+010
6E+009 2E+011
0.000222
-6E-008
4.8E-007
-3E-009
-5E-008
-2E-009
-3E-008
1.0E-007
2.9E-008
-6E-009

1E+007
2E+011
1E+010
4E+011
4E+011
4E+010
1E+011
3E+011
1E+011
1E+012
-1E-007
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

-2E-005
1.8E-010
-3E-009
3.7E-009
-2E-009
-2E-008
4.0E-009
-7E-009
-7E-009
2.6E-009

1
4962
58
5920
8067
169
2623
5430
2275
23258

1
4922
68
5961
8673
184
2778
5634
2385
25253

1855911
3E+010
2E+009
6E+010
7E+010
6E+009
2E+010
4E+010
2E+010
2E+011

147918
2E+009
2E+008
5E+009
6E+009
6E+008
2E+009
4E+009
2E+009
2E+010

9.4E-006
1.5E-009
-5E-008
-2E-009
1.6E-008
1.5E-008
1.3E-008
-2E-008
6.5E-009
-3E-009

0.000623
-1E-007
-2E-009
-2E-008
1.5E-008
4.6E-007
-5E-008
5.9E-008
7.4E-009
-2E-008

1
4686
85
6593
8939
196
3111
5619
2502
26753

1
4705
95
7226
9853
221
3195
5965
2626
28485

536751 1171410
8E+009 2E+010
7E+008 1E+009
2E+010 4E+010
2E+010 4E+010
2E+009 4E+009
8E+009 1E+010
1E+010 3E+010
7E+009 1E+010
6E+010 1E+011
-3E-005
5.3E-009
-3E-008
4.0E-009
1.3E-008
-5E-008
3.3E-008
-4E-008
5.7E-009
1.4E-010

8.7E-005
-7E-009
1.0E-007
-7E-009
-2E-008
5.9E-008
-4E-008
8.2E-008
7.9E-009
-1E-008

1
5030
142
6546
9589
250
2901
6048
2761
28439

10

1
5276
229
6690
10486
252
2556
6529
2899
28736

556397 4851048
8E+009 7E+010
7E+008 6E+009
2E+010 2E+011
2E+010 2E+011
2E+009 2E+010
7E+009 6E+010
1E+010 1E+011
6E+009 6E+010
6E+010 5E+011
1.9E-005 -3E-005
1.1E-008 -2E-009
2.9E-008 -6E-009
-7E-009 2.6E-009
6.5E-009 -3E-009
7.4E-009 -2E-008
5.7E-009 1.4E-010
7.9E-009 -1E-008
4.5E-008 -1E-008
-1E-008 5.0E-009

11

1
5614
312
10002
12162
289
2453
7337
3048
28729

12

1
5782
440
10932
13108
359
3015
7811
3444
30194

13

1
5921
567
10396
14185
374
3289
8318
3690
35880

14

1
6010
591
11062
14985
398
2842
8662
3963
37683

15

1
6305
762
11615
16037
425
3143
9253
4257
40043

16

1
6431
630
11789
17092
460
3552
9652
4494
42903

17

1
6778
744
12944
18415
501
3868
10348
4768
46629

18

1
7042
849
13100
19141
548
3845
10782
4930
48803

19

1
6803
864
13912
19505
579
3291
10800
5044
48408

20

1
7252
776
13815
19725
608
3512
11072
5145
51139

21

1
7818
1031
14796
21423
636
3989
12065
5367
49724

22

1
7975
711
13897
22642
705
4357
13296
5618
53012

23

1
7784
378
14767
23111
768
4825
13891
6023
54916

24

1
7815
274
15326
24615
856
5285
14763
6304
59163

25

1
8104
383
16179
26689
936
6353
16357
6607
65409

26

1
8101
340
14924
27523
1008
6488
17929
7102
69925

27

1
8222
400
15816
28519
1145
6493
17256
7598
70110

28

1
8214
349
19116
28037
1292
5763
16559
7926
68846

29

1
8091
441
25101
26906
1346
5169
16141
7925
60857

30

1
8406
494
29554
28021
1444
5439
16967
7972
59897

31

1
7917
412
30171
29628
1644
6064
17818
8677
65265

32

1
8633
450
29243
29827
1765
6745
18944
8911
72383

33

1
8824
528
29603
29477
1909
6880
18839
8983
71464

34

1
7974
371
26698
24128
1603
5447
15440
9586
66889

35

1
8790
543
27973
25510
1608
5491
15764
10317
67846

36

1
9046
636
29175
26659
1707
4915
15893
10370
68818

37

1
9438
840
27868
30817
2007
5966
18309
11241
76495

38

1
10060
740
27036
34765
2162
7024
20109
11775
87107

39

1
10772
876
22984
30869
2173
6549
18013
10720
78866

40

1
10169
922
21865
26034
2144
5587
15055
9197
68463

41

1
9463
916
19965
24524
2152
5764
14790
8081
65837

42

1
9762
818
20390
26038
2237
5862
15296
7532
66919

43

1
9010
923
19860
25421
2285
6119
14922
7623
67854

44

1
9845
1117
21478
26643
2532
6996
15511
7849
70122

45

1
11156
1440
21896
30583
2761
9172
18381
8088
78567

46

1
11842
1223
22532
32312
2773
10804
20379
8963
84708

47

1
12611
1195
23802
32879
2919
10501
20556
9613
86933

48

1
13160
1191
25718
34365
3310
12066
22125
10242
91851

49

1
13177
1076
26643
33425
3465
12163
21543
10798
90900

50

1
14646
1428
29184
32962
3620
10934
21366
11135
91102

51

1
15496
1710
29440
34792
3750
10169
22173
11109
93568

52

1
15374
1488
32360
35094
3823
9467
22353
10733
92888

53

1
16152
1529
35582
37424
4049
10281
23010
10370
97376

54

1
16472
1417
36993
38883
4205
10672
23710
11016
102225

55

1
16391
1988
39206
41778
4435
11195
25075
11233
106469

56

1
16948
2086
43236
44529
4685
12168
26368
12440
111511

57

1
18462
2163
44058
47766
5040
13994
29500
13482
120133

58

1
19074
2364
45892
52807
5505
16317
32537
13723
131474

59

1
20600
2435
49601
57304
5948
19071
36029
14785
143097

60

1
20784
2321
49910
53600
6008
20319
35735
17472
146544

61

1
21656
1675
50601
59024
6531
23765
39981
18886
159962

62

1
22517
2709
50750
63943
7066
24626
43434
19691
171520

63

1
23944
1729
51662
64758
7481
28539
47105
21288
184693

64

1
24262
2134
54119
68178
7858
31279
49906
22383
196668

65

1
24609
1528
53833
66000
8261
31832
52192
23269
206142

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
1
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
1
R^2 ajustado
1
Error tpico
5.48343042956E-011
Observaciones
65
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Regresin
Residuos
Total

Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
Variable X 3
Variable X 4
Variable X 5
Variable X 6
Variable X 7
Variable X 8
Variable X 9

Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
9 6.913E+011 7.681E+010
55 1.6537E-019 3.0068E-021
64 6.913E+011
Coeficientes
1.16415321827E-010
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Error tpico
5.9833E-011
1.2928E-014
3.8135E-014
3.3387E-015
6.9907E-015
3.7095E-014
1.0001E-014
1.5690E-014
1.1679E-014
3.8911E-015

Estadstico t
1.94567621
7.735E+013
2.622E+013
2.995E+014
1.430E+014
2.696E+013
9.999E+013
6.374E+013
8.563E+013
2.570E+014

F
Valor crtico de F
2.554E+031
0

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
0.0568112 -3.492E-012 2.3632E-010 -3.492E-012 2.3632E-010
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1