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Tables

Actual Values

Electricity Demand

Electricity Demand
Year
Residential Commercial Industrial Others Total
2001 13,547 10,098 14,452 1,042 39140
2002 13,715 10,109 13,628 1,172 38624
2003 15357 11,106 15,188 1,069 42720
2004 15920 11,785 15,012 1,359 44076
2005 16,031 12,245 15,705 1,177 45159
2006 15,830 12,679 15,888 1,275 45672
2007 16,376 13,470 16,522 1,641 48009
2008 16,644 14,136 17,031 1,395 49206
2009 17,504 14,756 17,084 1,523 50868
2010 18,833 16,261 18,576 1,596 55266
2011 18,694 16,624 19,334 1,446 56098
2012 19,695 17,777 20,071 1,668 59211
2013 20,614 18,304 20,677 1,971 61566
2014 20,969 18,761 21,429 2,186 63345

Factors
Description
Year
Population GDP per Capita Inflation (%) Electricity Demand
2001 79604541 958.01 5.35 66441.78
2002 81294378 1000.78 2.72 68432.64
2003 82971734 1011.29 2.29 70799.79
2004 84596249 1080.09 4.83 73458.29
2005 86141373 1196.54 6.52 76211.47
2006 87592899 1395.21 5.49 76335.03
2007 88965508 1678.85 2.90 78641.36
2008 90297115 1929.13 8.26 80980.13
2009 91641881 1836.87 4.22 83447.07
2010 93038902 2145.24 3.79 86547.04
2011 94501233 2371.85 4.65 90805.39
2012 96017322 2604.66 3.17 66441.78
2013 97571676 2786.01 3.00 68432.64
2014 99138690 2873.09 4.10 70799.79
Regression Statistics

Variables Value
Multiple R -29778.87
R Square 0.983762564
Adjusted R Square 0.978891333
Standard Error 1171.006542
Observations 14

Parameter for estimating annual electricity demand

Variables Standard Error t Value p Value


Intercept -29764.75488 19465.754467 -1.529 0.157
Population 0.000816775 0.000264 3.095 0.011
GDP per Capita 4.273671147 2.344909 1.823 0.098
Inflation -233.9007207 201.234507 -1.162 0.272

Predicted Values

Year Description
Population GDP per Capita Inflation (%)

2015 100721246 3045.60 4.01


2016 102316572 3238.93 3.42
2017 103922121 3472.09 3.67
2018 105532614 3758.69 4.18
2019 107139854 4106.68 3.98
2020 108736328 3824.24 4.09
2021 110321007 4066.12 4.00
2022 111902558 4339.88 3.47
2023 113496057 4626.47 3.22
2024 115118429 4861.97 6.51
2025 116784653 5708.54 3.42

Graphs