Consumo Consumo Inversión

PERIODO Exportaciones Importaciones

Privado Público Bruta Fija

1.00 T100 34,941.62 6,137.13 10,165.24 13,623.85 9,846.93

2.00 T200 35,361.30 6,366.53 9,465.13 14,097.45 10,211.30
3.00 T300 36,160.91 6,499.80 9,653.70 15,043.05 9,962.78
4.00 T400 36,727.17 6,440.53 10,379.42 15,665.96 10,872.42
5.00 T101 35,365.18 5,442.90 8,212.41 13,939.23 10,470.38
6.00 T201 36,088.84 6,292.55 8,814.33 15,405.27 10,205.61
7.00 T301 36,684.40 6,448.65 9,165.41 16,895.56 10,775.16
8.00 T401 36,490.59 7,055.90 9,690.92 15,963.24 10,621.72
9.00 T102 37,166.15 5,558.24 8,098.03 14,466.97 9,920.47
10.00 T202 37,694.37 6,165.22 8,563.35 16,999.25 10,721.49
11.00 T302 38,481.15 6,562.00 9,028.20 18,205.42 11,203.96
12.00 T402 38,332.33 6,954.53 9,768.27 16,722.88 11,203.18
13.00 T103 37,520.55 5,883.62 8,804.84 16,294.35 11,192.89
14.00 T203 38,830.87 6,313.51 8,950.06 17,958.93 10,833.48
15.00 T303 39,644.77 6,661.14 9,585.41 18,181.88 11,391.20
16.00 T403 39,490.81 7,365.72 10,053.39 17,855.88 11,427.26
17.00 T104 39,277.15 5,865.66 9,279.16 18,267.72 11,230.28
18.00 T204 40,053.85 6,519.79 9,274.33 18,549.83 12,483.36
19.00 T304 40,861.62 7,083.92 10,010.87 22,052.58 12,516.22
20.00 T404 40,576.38 7,829.62 11,237.16 21,936.79 12,901.36
21.00 T105 40,601.02 6,448.93 9,598.29 21,714.95 12,525.20
22.00 T205 41,347.90 6,928.22 10,098.29 22,337.18 13,761.56
23.00 T305 42,411.10 7,494.57 11,172.69 24,315.50 13,907.16
24.00 T405 42,293.98 8,911.28 13,572.18 24,760.31 14,277.41
25.00 T106 42,939.81 6,914.68 11,999.16 21,346.84 14,643.06
26.00 T206 43,935.43 7,473.40 12,022.01 22,212.25 14,908.26
27.00 T306 45,099.68 8,081.90 13,066.71 24,017.83 14,877.52
28.00 T406 45,031.08 9,576.02 16,058.88 25,119.24 17,158.47
29.00 T107 46,181.00 7,999.00 13,409.64 21,907.71 17,337.86
30.00 T207 47,902.00 7,888.00 14,549.36 22,992.82 17,775.21
31.00 T307 48,878.00 8,475.00 16,725.23 26,072.15 19,732.06
32.00 T407 49,355.00 9,062.00 20,263.49 26,528.75 19,891.06
33.00 T108 50,198.75 8,446.00 16,884.45 24,955.33 21,196.51
34.00 T208 53,698.14 8,409.00 19,498.89 25,347.61 23,027.72
35.00 T308 53,716.92 8,923.00 21,517.70 27,558.10 24,401.64
36.00 T408 51,822.75 9,448.00 22,895.30 27,532.89 24,081.83
37.00 T109 51,955.70 9,405.00 17,323.60 24,636.30 18,960.29
38.00 T209 54,288.82 9,432.00 17,369.97 25,203.99 18,007.42
39.00 T309 55,382.15 10,205.00 20,436.88 27,054.26 19,211.05
40.00 T409 54,258.42 10,769.00 24,557.65 27,917.74 21,024.97
41.00 T110 55,488.69 10,137.00 20,058.65 24,859.56 21,731.14
42.00 T210 59,391.97 9,873.00 23,051.11 24,982.63 22,667.57
43.00 T310 61,252.65 10,588.00 25,798.89 28,305.30 26,472.64
44.00 T410 59,358.71 11,438.00 29,223.49 28,069.55 26,334.08
45.00 T111 60,704.63 10,135.00 21,993.85 25,296.25 25,067.20
46.00 T211 64,618.46 10,368.00 23,859.61 27,685.78 27,381.15
47.00 T311 64,560.30 11,266.00 26,412.12 29,818.91 27,740.80
48.00 T411 62,623.44 12,294.00 31,761.35 29,875.51 28,106.65
49.00 T112 65,354.60 10,716.00 25,845.29 29,589.85 27,758.47
50.00 T212 69,051.29 11,276.00 28,166.77 27,820.45 29,299.18
51.00 T312 69,014.96 11,997.00 30,746.20 31,625.46 32,469.34
52.00 T412 67,883.81 13,645.00 36,269.87 30,912.17 31,152.69
53.00 T113 69,022.86 10,145.08 29,064.54 26,995.99 30,483.61
54.00 T213 73,017.14 11,487.75 31,899.91 28,367.56 31,129.20
55.00 T313 72,824.10 11,975.43 32,914.63 32,179.08 33,080.02
56.00 T413 71,993.07 17,193.73 36,668.73 31,624.60 31,024.70
57.00 T114 72,455.10 11,141.84 29,133.86 28,553.31 30,419.69
58.00 T214 76,111.01 12,055.31 31,074.37 28,496.56 30,538.62
59.00 T314 75,378.87 12,776.19 31,577.48 30,411.80 31,692.23
60.00 T414 74,099.69 17,871.76 35,743.92 30,712.49 31,489.96
61.00 T115 75,061.96 11,780.51 27,145.95 27,941.67 30,869.68
62.00 T215 79,052.63 13,544.79 28,561.44 28,823.90 31,134.03
63.00 T315 78,593.98 13,618.23 30,260.91 32,040.58 32,161.13
64.00 T415 77,208.84 20,204.45 35,546.58 34,923.45 32,674.27

65.00 T116 77,895.81 13,810.52 27,205.49 30,418.19 30,254.76

66.00 T216 81,746.27 14,195.99 27,727.19 31,434.01 29,580.34
67.00 T316 81,879.15 13,785.90 28,516.47 35,440.04 31,795.64
68.00 T416 79,862.11 17,126.76 32,827.59 37,664.85 32,302.00
69.00 T117 79,642.72 12,316.02 25,272.85 33,756.75 30,281.21
70.00 T217 84,138.96 13,808.52 26,826.60 35,388.58 30,886.16
71.00 T317 84,035.24 14,268.69 30,032.33 37,960.51 33,154.00
72.00 T417 82,053.51 18,873.90 33,927.97 37,781.18 34,432.44
73.00 T118 82,163.66 12,932.59 26,641.18 34,943.75 32,691.73
74.00 T218 88,400.15 13,829.75 29,105.05 36,791.63 32,871.76
75.00 T318 86,834.01 13,733.02 30,070.70 37,509.12 33,457.88
76.00 T418 85,143.64 18,803.56 35,728.52 39,157.41 33,823.61

77.00 T119 84,792.89 12,466.67 26,995.44 35,985.51 32,591.27

78.00 T219 90,583.31 14,054.36 30,883.47 36,248.89 33,068.91
79.00 T319 89,687.33 14,699.86 31,756.86 37,716.76 34,438.26
80.00 T419 87,683.48 19,301.67 35,412.03 39,672.34 34,405.14
81.00 T1-20 83,341.54 13,274.41 23,520.41 31,096.96 30,512.70
PBI Y = C+I+G+X - M
54,674.82
58,255.55
54,621.75 ANÁLISIS DEL PBI Y SUS COMPONENTES
54,654.58
51,760.37 V. DEPENDIENTE
58,431.06
56,119.65 V. INDEPENDIENTE
57,268.50
55,137.74
62,307.23 OBJETIVOS:
58,404.35
59,923.62
58,249.27
65,202.49
60,551.68 1. El diagrama de series d
61,589.17
60,913.82
67,639.71
63,145.75
66,070.50
64,340.89
71,310.37
67,229.83
71,090.07
69,670.76
75,823.94
72,806.27
76,296.86
73,353.82
80,625.63
80,689.08
85,024.46
80,813.10
89,146.44
88,439.84
90,523.62 INTERPRETACIÓN:
82,894.93
88,427.18
88,282.98
 92,978.92 2. El diagrama de dispersión
87,418.21
96,887.26
96,918.82
101,155.71
94,996.28
102,176.04
102,605.53
107,274.13
100,668.84
107,960.88
109,624.76
113,018.50
105,427.64
114,690.34
115,431.14
120,899.60
110,643.30
116,939.26
117,592.10
122,201.78
112,788.30
120,660.08
121,314.56
127,913.43

117,962.56 3. COVARIANZA
125,338.81
127,090.95 POBLACIONAL
131,832.41 COV (X1,Y) =
120,628.12 COV (X2,Y) =
128,584.25 COV (X3,Y) =
130,568.80 COV (X4,Y) =
134,873.87 COV (X5,Y) =
124,393.40
135,728.90 INTERPRETACIÓN:
133,824.19
141,136.39

127,434.75 4. COEFICIENTE DE CORRELA

137,351.81
138,165.28 COR (X1,Y) = r =
143,698.53 COR (X2,Y) = r =
123,111.36 COR (X3,Y) = r =
COR (X4,Y) = r =
COR (X5,Y) = r =
 INTERPRETACIÓN:

5. COEFICIENTE DE DETERMI
DET.(Y,X1) = r2 =
DET.(Y,X2) = r2 =
DET.(Y,X3) = r2 =
DET.(Y,X4) = r2 =
DET.(Y,X5) = r2 =

INTERPRETACIÓN:

CONCLUSIÓN
+G+X - M

US COMPONENTES DEL GASTO

a de series de tiempo

COMO SE PUEDE OBSERVAR, C. PRIVADO PRESENTA UNA TENCIA SIMILAR AL PBI

POR OTRO LADO, LAS DEMÁS VARIABLES PRESENTAN UNA TENDENCIA MENOR
de dispersión

EL CONSUMO PRIVADO PRESENTA MAYOR RELACIÓN CON EL PBI

LAS DEMÁS VARIABLES TAMBIEN SE RELACIONANA PERO EN MENOR MEDIDA
LA RELACIÓN ES POSITIVA

E DE CORRELACIÓN
DE DETERMINACIÓN