A- Base Profit Demand SD Total Cost Impact

stylish Option 1 79 56 2 4424 3

storage Option 2 73 56 3 4088 2
ext battery Option 3 70 54 7 3780 20
durability Option 4 70 57 10 3990 15
Option 1&2 82 55 2 4510 7
Option 1&3 79 53 8 4187 23
Option 1&4 79 56 9 4424
Option 2&3 73 53 8 3869
Option 2&4 73 56 10 4088
Option 3&4 70 54 12 3780
Option 1,2&3 82 52 9 4264 25
Option 1,3&4 79 53 12 4187
Option 2,3&4 73 53 13 3869
Option 1,2&4 82 55 9 4510 20
Option 1,2,3&4 82 52 13 4264 40
None 70 57 4 3990

4510

60
51
61
56
61
53

57
4.3358967 2.2939605649
 B- High End Profit Demand SD Total Cost Impact Sum
Option 1 99 33 6 3267 3 7691
Option 2 93 33 6 3069 7157
Option 3 90 31 8 2790 6570
Option 4 90 34 13 3060 7050
Option 1&2 102 32 4 3264 7774
Option 1&3 99 30 8 2970 7157
Option 1&4 99 33 11 3267 7691
Option 2&3 93 30 8 2790 6659
Option 2&4 93 33 12 3069 7157
Option 3&4 90 31 13 2790 6570
Option 1,2&3 102 29 8 2958 7222
Option 1,3&4 99 30 12 2970 7157
Option 2,3&4 93 30 13 2790 6659
Option 1,2&4 102 32 10 3264 7774
Option 1,2,3& 102 29 13 2958 7222
None 90 34 8 3060 7050

3267 7774

40
22
42
32
42
26

34
8.6717934 4.7239387284
16.66667
 A- Base Profit Demand SD Total Cost Impact B- High End
Option 1 79 56 2 4424 3 Option 1
Option 2 73 56 3 4088 2 Option 2
Option 3 70 54 7 3780 20 Option 3
Option 4 70 57 10 3990 15 Option 4
Option 1&2 82 55 2 4510 7 Option 1&2
Option 1&3 79 53 8 4187 23 Option 1&3
Option 1&4 79 56 9 4424 Option 1&4
Option 2&3 73 53 8 3869 Option 2&3
Option 2&4 73 56 10 4088 Option 2&4
Option 3&4 70 54 12 3780 Option 3&4
Option 1,2&3 82 52 9 4264 25 Option 1,2&3
Option 1,3&4 79 53 12 4187 Option 1,3&4
Option 2,3&4 73 53 13 3869 Option 2,3&4
Option 1,2&4 82 55 9 4510 20 Option 1,2&4
Option 1,2,3&4 82 52 13 4264 40 Option 1,2,3&4
None 70 57 3990 None

4510

60
51
61
56
61
53

57
4.335897 2.2939605649
Profit Demand SD Total Cost Impact Sum
99 33 6 3267 3 7691
93 33 6 3069 7157
90 31 8 2790 6570
90 34 13 3060 7050
102 32 4 3264 7774
99 30 8 2970 7157
99 33 11 3267 7691
93 30 8 2790 6659
93 33 12 3069 7157
90 31 13 2790 6570
102 29 8 2958 7222
99 30 12 2970 7157
93 30 13 2790 6659
102 32 10 3264 7774
102 29 13 2958 7222
90 34 8 3060 7050

3267 7774

16.66667

40
22
42
32
42
26

34
8.671793 4.7239387284
 A- Base Profit Demand Total B- High End Profit
Option 1 79 53 4187 Option 1 79
Option 2 73 55 4015 Option 2 93
Option 3 70 58 4060 Option 3 90
Option 4 70 56 3920 Option 4 90
Option 1&2 82 52 4264 Option 1&2 102
Option 1&3 79 55 4345 Option 1&3 99
Option 1&4 79 53 4187 Option 1&4 99
Option 2&3 73 57 4161 Option 2&3 93
Option 2&4 73 55 4015 Option 2&4 93
Option 3&4 70 58 4060 Option 3&4 90
Option 1,2&3 82 54 4428 Option 1,2&3 102
Option 1,3&4 79 55 4345 Option 1,3&4 99
Option 2,3&4 73 57 4161 Option 2,3&4 93
Option 1,2&4 82 52 4264 Option 1,2&4 102
Option 1,2,3&4 82 54 4428 Option 1,2,3&4 102
None 70 56 3920 None 90

4428

63
54
64
59
64
56

60
4.3358967
Demand Total Sum
33 2607 6794
35 3255 7270
38 3420 7480
36 3240 7160
32 3264 7528
35 3465 7810
33 3267 7454
37 3441 7602
35 3255 7270
38 3420 7480
34 3468 7896
35 3465 7810
37 3441 7602
32 3264 7528
34 3468 7896
36 3240 7160

3468 7896

36
18
38
28
38
22

30
8.6717934
 Holding
A Cost Model A
CSL= CU/(CU+CO) 0.629704 52.12 R W S
217 135 121.5
Z-Value 0.331068
Annual Demand 448.4276
Monthly Demand 56.05345 Model B
B 257 155 46.5
CSL= CU/(CU+CO) 0.405373 162.52

Z-Value -0.239463 A 66 46 20
Annual Demand 249.227 B 22 14 8
Monthly Demand 31.15337 88
Holding cost Cu Co Cu/(cu+co)
4.34 82 48.22 0.629703579

5.14 102 149.62 0.405373182

15 2244.3
5 510
2754.3
 24.84786 7.197384
0.040245 0.138939

A B 66 22
May 65 22 1 0 1 0
June 65 27 2 -5 1 -5
July 63 22 5 0 3 2,000,000 Celldex 0
August 68 20 3 2 -2 2,000,000 Change Ord 2
September 67 21 2 3 -1 1
October 68 22 0 3 -2 0
November 65 21 1 4 1 1
December 65 20 2 6 1 2
Average 65.75 21.875 Profit
Std Dev 1.63936 2.087912 51,493,120

Coeff. Of Var 0.024933 0.095447

 2 3 4
-510 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 3 4
30.84 4 94.576 5 135.696 6 172.704
540.84 3 94.576 4 135.696 5 172.704
2 3 4
3 4 5
4 5 6

3 400.576 4 339.696 5 274.704

5 6
0 0 0
5 6
7 210.74 8
6 210.74 7
5 6
6 7
7 8

6 210.74 7