Promedio movil doble

N° Yt Mt Mt" At Bt Yt" m
1 1140 ###
2 1212 P
3 1274 ###
4 1297 ###
5 1317 1,231 ###
6 1370 1,275 ###
7 1348 1,315
8 1436 1,333 1,288 1,378 29.8
9 1433 1,368 1,323 1,413 30.1 1,407.48
10 1461 1,397 1,353 1,441 29.2 1,473.19
11 1509 1,420 1,379 1,460 26.8 1,528.00
12 1510 1,460 1,411 1,509 32.5 1,567.08
13 1546 1,478 1,439 1,518 26.5 1,508.56
14 1541 1,507 1,466 1,547 27.0 1,517.94
15 1494 1,527 1,493 1,560 22.5 1,547.00
16 1545 1,523 1,509 1,537 9.5 1,560.25
17 1552 1,532 1,522 1,541 6.5 1,537.00
18 1568 1,533 1,528 1,538 3.0 1,541.19
19 1605 1,540 1,532 1,548 5.3 1,537.56
20 1621 1,568 1,543 1,592 16.4 1,547.75
21 1647 1,587 1,557 1,616 19.9 1,592.06
22 1728 1,610 1,576 1,645 22.8 1,616.31
23 1730 1,650 1,604 1,697 31.1 1,644.50
24 1766 1,682 1,632 1,731 32.9 1,696.88
p=2 1,796.71
p=3 1,829.63
p=4 1,862.54
p=1 1,763.79
P

ventas,promedio movil doble pon

2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Column B Column G
 t Yt Yt" |et|
1 1274 1274 0
2 1297 1274 23
3 1317 1290 27
4 1370 1309 61
5 1347 1352 5
6 1435 1348 87
7 1333 1409 76
8 1451 1356 95
9 1209 1422 213
10 1311 1273 38
11 1246 1300 54
12 1450 1262 188
13 Pronostico 1394
DAM 72

Constante= 0.7