SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA E HIDROLOGIA

ESTACION : JAÉN LATITUD : 5°40'39" DEPARTAMENTO: CAJAMARCA

LONGITUD: 78°46'46" PROVINCIA : JAÉN
REGISTRO: Precipitacion(mm) ALTITUD : 654 msnm DISTRITO :JAÉN

DATOS: PRECIPITACIÓN MAXIMAS EN 24 HORAS

AÑO Ene. Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic TOTAL MAX. ANUAL
1993 7.87 62.56 45.19 11.78 18.82 7.73 4.67 36.10 72.94 24.81 38.85 30.44 361.76 72.94
1994 14.70 58.46 35.44 57.94 13.87 12.24 6.56 4.75 48.20 7.54 17.39 14.06 291.15 58.46
1995 4.94 25.51 23.81 22.74 10.18 4.60 10.26 56.98 7.81 9.52 41.22 36.00 253.57 56.98
1996 7.90 25.70 18.00 11.20 16.50 14.70 0.50 6.70 13.70 19.80 18.40 38.00 191.10 38.00
1997 11.00 16.70 14.40 30.00 9.66 4.24 7.41 11.97 13.34 23.74 31.61 33.94 208.01 33.94
1998 26.59 76.25 41.16 37.27 31.44 18.50 3.10 21.82 23.25 29.68 35.65 15.39 360.10 76.25
1999 24.97 73.60 17.34 16.95 20.36 17.86 5.91 6.16 27.57 24.92 23.13 44.23 303.00 73.60
2000 7.10 70.45 49.15 39.80 67.99 18.06 8.18 75.14 40.81 3.61 10.89 18.02 409.20 75.14
2001 33.88 32.71 26.26 22.64 14.83 3.29 7.08 77.94 61.48 10.96 75.31 17.95 384.33 77.94
2002 7.26 31.63 38.37 18.24 27.04 4.05 12.70 1.26 8.14 25.28 34.01 29.71 237.69 38.37
2003 6.93 54.34 15.18 15.46 17.14 28.03 8.93 2.30 11.12 15.67 37.01 17.92 230.03 54.34
2004 7.50 6.80 17.70 30.60 38.10 18.00 2.40 7.20 17.00 19.40 18.20 12.00 194.90 38.10
2005 6.50 42.00 36.20 31.00 10.20 18.30 1.90 14.50 18.70 27.90 78.50 31.50 317.20 78.50
2006 18.50 38.70 23.00 9.40 13.50 26.50 1.30 8.50 5.60 11.70 15.50 16.00 188.20 38.70
2007 7.60 27.00 32.50 29.00 29.30 13.00 27.20 7.50 7.20 45.90 38.90 22.60 287.70 45.90
2008 17.00 37.20 63.70 10.20 15.80 26.90 17.40 3.40 9.93 24.57 77.48 9.96 313.54 77.48
2009 21.47 54.12 29.48 13.67 22.19 8.30 8.30 14.64 14.52 20.23 59.48 23.59 289.99 59.48
2010 16.60 32.80 5.50 41.50 12.50 13.30 4.00 22.90 10.70 24.00 12.10 30.00 225.90 41.50
2011 25.50 39.50 48.90 39.80 70.60 4.50 21.80 5.80 2.50 30.80 23.50 38.70 351.90 70.60
2012 23.80 32.60 22.50 27.50 7.80 17.00 6.40 6.80 5.20 26.00 23.20 12.20 211.00 32.60
2013 9.40 47.00 10.30 18.80 12.90 9.00 6.40 7.40 14.00 56.90 0.70 18.60 211.40 56.90
2014 14.60 20.00 38.60 50.30 47.80 8.00 10.00 11.90 6.50 9.70 30.80 20.50 268.70 50.30
2015 49.50 16.60 73.00 15.60 21.60 4.00 51.00 7.00 6.00 13.60 15.00 20.60 293.50 73.00
2016 25.60 23.40 2.20 28.60 12.50 9.20 15.40 13.20 11.60 6.62 29.63 27.40 205.35 29.63
2017 19.20 11.20 37.80 26.80 22.50 12.80 9.40 21.70 3.40 17.40 15.00 39.60 236.80 39.60
2018 15.70 64.00 10.00 27.80 23.60 6.80 16.30 7.40 11.40 21.20 54.40 15.60 274.20 64.00
2019 10.20 44.00 22.40 17.40 19.40 6.00 41.20 3.50 10.60 8.40 7.00 25.30 215.40 44.00
Prom 14.62 47.36 30.91 26.86 23.07 10.53 6.64 29.88 31.72 17.99 32.65 27.77 299.99
 PRECIP. MAXIMAS EN 24 HORAS
AÑO P(mm)
1993 1 72.94 ANALISIS ESTADISTICA
1994 2 58.46 Media 55.42
1995 3 56.98 Mediana 56.90
1996 4 38.00 Desviación estándar 16.58
1997 5 33.94 Mínimo 29.63
1998 6 76.25 Máximo 78.50
1999 7 73.60 Suma 1496.25
2000 8 75.14 Cuenta 27.00
2001 9 77.94
2002 10 38.37
2003 11 54.34
2004 12 38.10
2005 13 78.50
2006 14 38.70
2007 15 45.90
2008 16 77.48
2009 17 59.48
2010 18 41.50
2011 19 70.60
2012 20 32.60
2013 21 56.90
2014 22 50.30
2015 23 73.00
2016 24 29.63
2017 25 39.60
2018 26 64.00
2019 27 44.00
P. MÁX 78.50
 P max 24 h
80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00
P max 24h

40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19
19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
P max Año
24 h
DISTRIBUCIÓN DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES MAX. EN 24 HORAS

ANÁLISIS CON DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG - NORMAL

AÑO PREC. ORDENADAS F(x) f(x)

1 78.50 0.9181298 0.0091268
2 77.94 0.9128976 0.0095610
3 77.48 0.9084162 0.0099246
4 76.25 0.8955979 0.0109247
5 75.14 0.8829561 0.0118574
6 73.60 0.8636766 0.0131864
7 73.00 0.8556073 0.0137116
8 72.94 0.8547830 0.0137643
9 70.60 0.8201665 0.0158212
10 64.00 0.6977103 0.0210480
11 59.48 0.5968252 0.0233555
12 58.46 0.5728372 0.0236656
13 56.98 0.5375704 0.0239611
14 56.90 0.5356531 0.0239717
15 54.34 0.4741051 0.0240172
16 50.30 0.3787806 0.0229481
17 45.90 0.2829387 0.0204108
18 44.00 0.2454874 0.0189857
19 41.50 0.2005712 0.0169189
20 39.60 0.1699891 0.0152659
21 38.70 0.1566062 0.0144738
22 38.37 0.1518777 0.0141833
23 38.10 0.1480803 0.0139458
24 38.00 0.1466901 0.0138579
25 33.94 0.0975443 0.0103968
26 32.60 0.0843314 0.0093323
27 29.63 0.0598908 0.0071764
MEDIA 55.417
DESV.EST. 16.576

HISTOGRAMA
0.030

0.025

0.020

0.015

0.010

0.005

0.000
20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00
precipitacion media
 0.005

0.000
20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00
precipitacion media

ANÁLISIS CON DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG - NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS:

AÑO PREC. ORDENADAS y = ln (x) F(x) f(x)

1 78.500 4.3630986 0.8952786 0.5779373
2 77.940 4.3559393 0.8910815 0.5945590
3 77.480 4.3500198 0.8875211 0.6084238
4 76.250 4.3340174 0.8774819 0.6463943
5 75.140 4.3193530 0.8677445 0.6817108
6 73.600 4.2986450 0.8531061 0.7321688
7 73.000 4.2904594 0.8470308 0.7522265
8 72.940 4.2896372 0.8464115 0.7542431
9 70.600 4.2570301 0.8205144 0.8341034
10 64.000 4.1588831 0.7273378 1.0580913
11 59.480 4.0856401 0.6448828 1.1856905
12 58.460 4.0683428 0.6241727 1.2083718
13 56.980 4.0427003 0.5928183 1.2358772
14 56.900 4.0412953 0.5910810 1.2371639
15 54.340 3.9952606 0.5333646 1.2659734
16 50.300 3.9180051 0.4355398 1.2537990
17 45.900 3.8264651 0.3249888 1.1461202
18 44.000 3.7841896 0.2781258 1.0684710
19 41.500 3.7256934 0.2192592 0.9410759
20 39.600 3.6788291 0.1777600 0.8290443
21 38.700 3.6558396 0.1593471 0.7727481
22 38.370 3.6472759 0.1528195 0.7517383
23 38.100 3.6402143 0.1475721 0.7344331
24 38.000 3.6375862 0.1456504 0.7280008
25 33.940 3.5245943 0.0785208 0.4667810
26 32.600 3.4843123 0.0613707 0.3861050
27 29.630 3.3887874 0.0323327 0.2305241
MEDIA 3.969
DESV.EST. 0.314
C.ASIMETRIA (0.240)

LN2
1.400

1.200

1.000

0.800

0.600

0.400

0.200

0.000
3.20 3.40 3.60 3.80 4.00 4.20 4.40 4.60
Y=LnX
 0.600

0.400

0.200

0.000
3.20 3.40 3.60 3.80 4.00 4.20 4.40 4.60
Y=LnX

ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS:

AÑO PREC. ORDENADAS y = ln (x-a) F(x) f(x)

1 78.500 4.6579524 0.9033969 0.8333555
2 77.940 4.6526261 0.8988830 0.8616731
3 77.480 4.6482297 0.8950428 0.8853219
4 76.250 4.6363781 0.8841675 0.9501832
5 75.140 4.6255609 0.8735634 1.0105800
6 73.600 4.6103567 0.8575442 1.0968573
7 73.000 4.6043699 0.8508749 1.1311146
8 72.940 4.6037692 0.8501945 1.1345569
9 70.600 4.5800575 0.8216799 1.2704354
10 64.000 4.5099800 0.7192086 1.6416782
11 59.480 4.4589877 0.6301110 1.8386721
12 58.460 4.4471119 0.6080765 1.8712034
13 56.980 4.4296256 0.5750112 1.9084974
14 56.900 4.4286716 0.5731897 1.9101547
15 54.340 4.3976539 0.5133370 1.9418585
16 50.300 4.3466585 0.4149138 1.8985845
17 45.900 4.2879906 0.3083090 1.7140855
18 44.000 4.2615525 0.2645405 1.5938085
19 41.500 4.2256652 0.2106439 1.4061345
20 39.600 4.1975027 0.1732634 1.2474944
21 38.700 4.1838805 0.1568016 1.1693927
22 38.370 4.1788389 0.1509788 1.1404698
23 38.100 4.1746949 0.1463019 1.1167288
24 38.000 4.1731557 0.1445899 1.1079223
25 33.940 4.1085761 0.0846524 0.7555274
26 32.600 4.0863124 0.0690544 0.6471041
27 29.630 4.0351252 0.0416221 0.4334442
MEDIA 4.391
DESV.EST. 0.205
a (26.920)
C.ASIMETRIA (0.137)

LN3
2.500

2.000

1.500

1.000

0.500

0.000
 1.500

1.000

0.500

0.000
4.00 4.10 4.20 4.30 4.40 4.50 4.60 4.70

ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL:

Var. Reducida
AÑO
PREC. ORDENADAS y = (x - u)/a Tr
1 78.500 2.07 8.40
2 77.940 2.03 8.11
3 77.480 2.00 7.88
4 76.250 1.92 7.31
5 75.140 1.84 6.83
6 73.600 1.74 6.21
7 73.000 1.70 5.99
8 72.940 1.70 5.97
9 70.600 1.54 5.19
10 64.000 1.10 3.54
11 59.480 0.80 2.77
12 58.460 0.74 2.63
13 56.980 0.64 2.43
14 56.900 0.63 2.42
15 54.340 0.46 2.14
16 50.300 0.19 1.78
17 45.900 -0.10 1.50
18 44.000 -0.22 1.40
19 41.500 -0.39 1.30
20 39.600 -0.52 1.23
21 38.700 -0.58 1.20
22 38.370 -0.60 1.19
23 38.100 -0.62 1.19
24 38.000 -0.62 1.18
25 33.940 -0.89 1.10
26 32.600 -0.98 1.07
27 29.630 -1.18 1.04
x medio 55.417
desv. Est x (Sx) 16.576
n = número de datos 27.000
yn medio = 0.533
Sn = 1.100
parámetros, según n
a = Sx / Sn 15.063
u = x-yn*a 47.385

90.000
80.000
70.000
CIPITACION MEDIA

60.000
50.000
40.000
30.000
20.000
 90.000
80.000
70.000
PRECIPITACION MEDIA

60.000
50.000
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0.000 TIEPO DE RETORNO AÑOS
- 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00
DATOS ORDENADOS
72.94 78.50
58.46 77.94
56.98 77.48
38.00 76.25
33.94 75.14
76.25 73.60
73.60 73.00
75.14 72.94
77.94 70.60
38.37 64.00
54.34 59.48
38.10 58.46
78.50 56.98
38.70 56.90
45.90 54.34
77.48 50.30
59.48 45.90
41.50 44.00
70.60 41.50
32.60 39.60
56.90 38.70
50.30 38.37
73.00 38.10
29.63 38.00
39.60 33.94
64.00 32.60
44.00 29.63
 BONDAD DE AJUSTE DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES

Probabilidad de excedencia F(x) Diferencia Delta D

DATOS
Empírica Normal LN2 LN3 Gumbel Normal LN2 LN3 Gumbel
1 0.036 0.08187 0.10472 0.09660 0.119 0.046 0.069 0.061 0.0833
2 0.071 0.08710 0.10892 0.10112 0.123 0.016 0.037 0.030 0.0518
3 0.107 0.09158 0.11248 0.10496 0.127 0.016 0.005 0.002 0.0197
4 0.143 0.10440 0.12252 0.11583 0.137 0.038 0.020 0.027 0.0060
5 0.179 0.11704 0.13226 0.12644 0.147 0.062 0.046 0.052 0.0321
6 0.214 0.13632 0.14689 0.14246 0.161 0.078 0.067 0.072 0.0534
7 0.250 0.14439 0.15297 0.14913 0.167 0.106 0.097 0.101 0.0831
8 0.286 0.14522 0.15359 0.14981 0.168 0.140 0.132 0.136 0.1182
9 0.321 0.17983 0.17949 0.17832 0.193 0.142 0.142 0.143 0.1287
10 0.357 0.30229 0.27266 0.28079 0.282 0.055 0.084 0.076 0.0747
11 0.393 0.40317 0.35512 0.36989 0.361 0.010 0.038 0.023 0.0318
12 0.429 0.42716 0.37583 0.39192 0.381 0.001 0.053 0.037 0.0477
13 0.464 0.46243 0.40718 0.42499 0.411 0.002 0.057 0.039 0.0535
14 0.500 0.46435 0.40892 0.42681 0.412 0.036 0.091 0.073 0.0876
15 0.536 0.52589 0.46664 0.48666 0.468 0.010 0.069 0.049 0.0682
16 0.571 0.62122 0.56446 0.58509 0.561 0.050 0.007 0.014 0.0101
17 0.607 0.71706 0.67501 0.69169 0.668 0.110 0.068 0.085 0.0612
18 0.643 0.75451 0.72187 0.73546 0.714 0.112 0.079 0.093 0.0712
19 0.679 0.79943 0.78074 0.78936 0.772 0.121 0.102 0.111 0.0933
20 0.714 0.83001 0.82224 0.82674 0.813 0.116 0.108 0.112 0.0987
21 0.750 0.84339 0.84065 0.84320 0.831 0.093 0.091 0.093 0.0813
22 0.786 0.84812 0.84718 0.84902 0.838 0.062 0.061 0.063 0.0522
23 0.821 0.85192 0.85243 0.85370 0.843 0.030 0.031 0.032 0.0217
24 0.857 0.85331 0.85435 0.85541 0.845 0.004 0.003 0.002 0.0121
25 0.893 0.90246 0.92148 0.91535 0.913 0.010 0.029 0.022 0.0201
26 0.929 0.91567 0.93863 0.93095 0.931 0.013 0.010 0.002 0.0021
27 0.964 0.94011 0.96767 0.95838 0.961 0.024 0.003 0.006 0.0031

0.14160 0.14194 0.14311 0.12867

Aceptada Aceptada Aceptada Aceptada
0.2617
PARAMETROS GUMBEL En función de n

Media reducida Yn

0 1 2 3 4 5
10 0.4952 0.4996 0.5035 0.5070 0.5100 0.5128
20 0.5230 0.5252 0.5268 0.5283 0.5296 0.5309
30 0.5362 0.5371 0.5380 0.5388 0.5396 0.5402
40 0.5436 0.5442 0.5448 0.5453 0.5458 0.5463
50 0.5485 0.5489 0.5493 0.5497 0.5501 0.5504
60 0.5521 0.5524 0.5527 0.5530 0.5533 0.5535
70 0.5548 0.5550 0.5552 0.5555 0.5557 0.5559
80 0.5569 0.5570 0.5572 0.5574 0.5576 0.5578
90 0.5586 0.5587 0.5589 0.5591 0.5592 0.5593
100 0.5600

Desviación tipica reducida Sn

0 1 2 3 4 5
10 0.9496 0.9676 0.9833 0.9971 1.0095 1.0206
20 1.0628 1.0696 1.0754 1.0811 1.0864 1.0915
30 1.1124 1.1159 1.1193 1.2260 1.1255 1.1285
40 1.1413 1.1430 1.1458 1.1480 1.1499 1.1519
50 1.1607 1.1623 1.1638 1.1658 1.1667 1.1681
60 1.1747 1.1759 1.1770 1.1782 1.1793 1.1803
70 1.1854 1.1863 1.1873 1.1881 1.1890 1.1898
80 1.1938 1.1945 1.1953 1.1959 1.1967 1.1973
90 1.2007 1.2013 1.2020 1.2026 1.2032 1.2038
100 1.2065
 6 7 8 9
0.5157 0.5181 0.5202 0.5220
0.5320 0.5332 0.5343 0.5353
0.5410 0.5418 0.5424 0.5430
0.5468 0.5473 0.5477 0.5481
0.5508 0.5511 0.5515 0.5518
0.5538 0.5540 0.5543 0.5545
0.5561 0.5563 0.5565 0.5567
0.5580 0.5581 0.5583 0.5585
0.5595 0.5596 0.5598 0.5599

6 7 8 9
1.0316 1.0411 1.0493 1.0565
1.0961 1.1004 1.1047 1.1086
1.1313 1.1339 1.1363 1.3880
1.1538 1.1557 1.1574 1.1590
1.1696 1.1708 1.1721 1.1734
1.1814 1.1824 1.1834 1.1844
1.1906 1.1915 1.1923 1.1930
1.1980 1.1987 1.1994 1.2001
1.2044 1.2049 1.2055 1.2060
 ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL:

TIEMPO DE Var. Reducida

RETORNO Y=-LN(-LN(1/TR)) X=u+Y*a
2 0.367 52.91
3 0.903 60.98
5 1.500 69.98
10 2.250 81.28
25 3.199 95.57
50 3.902 106.16
100 4.600 116.68
200 5.296 127.16

x medio 55.417
desv. Est x (Sx) 16.576

n = número de datos 27.000

yn medio = 0.533
Sn = 1.100

parámetros, según n
a = Sx / Sn 15.063
u = x-yn*a 47.385

140.00

120.00

100.00
PRECIPITACION MEDIA

80.00

60.00

40.00

20.00

-
0 50 100 150 200 250
TIEPO DE RETORNO AÑOS
 DETERMINACION DE LAS INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS

Cuadro : Lluvias máximas (mm)

T P.Max Duración en minutos
años 24 horas 5 10 15 20 30 60
200 127.16 10.9 16.3 19.9 22.7 27.0 35.5
100 116.68 9.9 14.8 18.1 20.7 24.6 32.3
50 106.16 8.9 13.4 16.4 18.7 22.2 29.2
25 95.57 8.0 11.9 14.6 16.6 19.8 26.0
10 81.28 6.7 10.0 12.2 14.0 16.6 21.7
5 69.98 5.7 8.6 10.5 11.9 14.2 18.7
3 60.98 5.0 7.5 9.2 10.4 12.4 16.3
2 52.91 4.4 6.6 8.1 9.3 11.0 14.5
Aplicando el Modelo de Bell

Intensidades máximas (mm/hora)

T P.Max Duración en minutos
años 24 horas 5 10 15 20 30 60
200 127.2 130.6 97.8 79.7 68.2 54.1 35.5
100 116.7 119.0 89.0 72.6 62.1 49.3 32.3
50 106.2 107.3 80.3 65.5 56.0 44.4 29.2
25 95.6 95.7 71.6 58.4 49.9 39.6 26.0
10 81.3 80.3 60.1 49.0 41.9 33.2 21.7
5 70.0 68.6 51.4 41.9 35.8 28.4 18.7
3 61.0 60.1 45.0 36.6 31.3 24.9 16.3
2 52.9 53.2 39.9 32.5 27.8 22.0 14.5

Cuadro : Resultado del Análisis de Regresión:

Constante 2.083224 Log K= 2.0832 K= 121.12
Err. estándar de est.Y 0.0224501 m= 0.193
R cuadrada 0.9902476 n= 0.527
Núm. de observaciones 48 I= 121.12T0.193
Grado de libertad 45 Donde: t0.527
Coeficiente(s) X 0.1933819 -0.5270394 T= años
Error estándar de coef. 0.0047312 0.0094603 t= minutos
 DATOS DE LAS VARIABLES

Y X1 X2
log I LogT Logt
2.1159 2.3010 0.6990
1.9903 2.3010 1.0000
1.9015 2.3010 1.1761
1.8338 2.3010 1.3010
1.7332 2.3010 1.4771
1.5502 2.3010 1.7782
2.0755 2.0000 0.6990
1.9494 2.0000 1.0000
1.8609 2.0000 1.1761
1.7931 2.0000 1.3010
1.6928 2.0000 1.4771
1.5092 2.0000 1.7782
2.0306 1.6990 0.6990
1.9047 1.6990 1.0000
1.8162 1.6990 1.1761
1.7482 1.6990 1.3010
1.6474 1.6990 1.4771
1.4654 1.6990 1.7782
1.9809 1.3979 0.6990
1.8549 1.3979 1.0000
1.7664 1.3979 1.1761
1.6981 1.3979 1.3010
1.5977 1.3979 1.4771
1.4150 1.3979 1.7782
1.9047 1.0000 0.6990
1.7789 1.0000 1.0000
1.6902 1.0000 1.1761
1.6222 1.0000 1.3010
1.5211 1.0000 1.4771
1.3365 1.0000 1.7782
1.8363 0.6990 0.6990
1.7110 0.6990 1.0000
1.6222 0.6990 1.1761
1.5539 0.6990 1.3010
1.4533 0.6990 1.4771
1.2718 0.6990 1.7782
1.7789 0.4771 0.6990
1.6532 0.4771 1.0000
1.5635 0.4771 1.1761
1.4955 0.4771 1.3010
1.3962 0.4771 1.4771
1.2122 0.4771 1.7782
1.7259 0.3010 0.6990
1.6010 0.3010 1.0000
1.5119 0.3010 1.1761
1.4440 0.3010 1.3010
1.3424 0.3010 1.4771
1.1614 0.3010 1.7782
 RESULTADOS DE REGRESION LINEAL

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.995320372343294
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.990662643601594
R^2 ajustado 0.990247649983887
Error típico 0.0224500885611
Observaciones 48

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresión 2 2.40630393818 1.2031519690902
Residuos 45 0.022680291438 0.00050400647640121
Total 47 2.428984229618

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t

Intercepción 2.08322399355041 0.013486966718 154.462010407982
Variable X 1 0.19338186329856 0.004731195831 40.8737812168459
Variable X 2 -0.527039383226748 0.009460285307 -55.7107281801937
DE REGRESION LINEAL

F Valor crítico de F
2387.17561 2.1381518948004E-46

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
5.69122E-63 2.05605984817819 2.11038814 2.05605985 2.11038814
3.16949E-37 0.183852745741479 0.20291098 0.18385275 0.20291098
3.67525E-43 -0.546093375922683 -0.50798539 -0.54609338 -0.50798539
 INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS (mm/h)

I= K Tm
tn
K= 121.12
m= 0.193
n= 0.527
Duración (t) Período de Retorno (T) en años
(minutos) 10 20 50 100 200 500
5 80.95 92.56 110.50 126.36 144.48 172.49
13.2 48.53 55.49 66.25 75.75 86.62 103.41
20 38.99 44.58 53.22 60.85 69.58 83.07
32.4 30.23 34.57 41.27 47.19 53.96 64.42
40 27.06 30.94 36.93 42.23 48.29 57.65
50 24.05 27.50 32.84 37.55 42.93 51.25
60 21.85 24.98 29.83 34.11 39.00 46.56
70 20.14 23.03 27.50 31.44 35.95 42.92
80 18.78 21.47 25.63 29.31 33.51 40.01
90 17.65 20.18 24.09 27.54 31.49 37.60
100 16.69 19.09 22.79 26.06 29.79 35.57
110 15.87 18.15 21.67 24.78 28.33 33.83
120 15.16 17.34 20.70 23.67 27.06 32.31
180 12.25 14.00 16.72 19.11 21.86 26.09
240 10.52 12.03 14.36 16.43 18.78 22.42
300 9.36 10.70 12.77 14.60 16.70 19.93

Curva Intensidad-Duración-Frecuencia
190
180
170 10 20 50 100 200 500
160
150
140
130
120
Intensidad (mm/hora)

110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
Duración en minutos
CURVAS IDF
 I= K Tm CAUDAL DE DISEÑO
tn
Q  0.278CIA
K= 121.12
m= 0.193 Q= Caudal (m³/s)
n= 0.527 C= Es la relación entre la escorrentía y la
cantidad de lluvia caída en el área
I= Intensidad de lluvia (mm/h)
A= Área por drenar en km2.

Tiempo de Concentración Intencidad mm/hora

Ítem Cuenca Área ( Km2)
Horas Minutos Tr: 10 años Tr: 20 años Tr: 50 años
1 Cuenca 1 0.466 0.54 32.4 30.23 34.57 41.27
2 Cuenca 2 0.042 0.22 13.2 48.53 55.49 66.25

DETERMINACION DEL COEFICIENTE DE ESCORRENTIA

1. Terreno semipermeable > 5% 0.6
.278CIA

entre la escorrentía y la
uvia caída en el área
lluvia (mm/h)

cidad mm/hora Caudal Máximo

Tr: 100 años Tr: 200 años Tr: 10 años Tr: 20 años Tr: 50 años Tr: 100 años Tr: 200 años
47.19 53.96 2.35 2.68 3.21 3.67 4.19
75.75 86.62 0.34 0.39 0.46 0.53 0.61