Tabel 4 Analisis Frekuensi Hujan Rencana

A. Distribusi Normal
No. Tahun Xi X (Xi-X) (Xi-X)2
1 1985 195.4 237.16 -41.76 1743.90
2 1986 195 237.16 -42.16 1777.47
3 1987 243 237.16 5.84 34.11
4 1988 244 237.16 6.84 46.79
5 1989 170 237.16 -67.16 4510.47
6 1990 236 237.16 -1.16 1.35
7 1991 244 237.16 6.84 46.79
8 1992 276 237.16 38.84 1508.55
9 1993 198 237.16 -39.16 1533.51
10 1994 316 237.16 78.84 6215.75
11 1995 228 237.16 -9.16 83.91
12 1996 273 237.16 35.84 1284.51
13 1997 206 237.16 -31.16 970.95
14 1998 211 237.16 -26.16 684.35
15 1999 322 237.16 84.84 7197.83
Jumlah 3557.4 237.16 0.00 27640.18

Perhitungan
Xt = X + Kt S T (Tahun)
Rata-rata (X) 237.16 2.38 274.48 5
294.03 10
Standar Deviasi (Sx) 1974.30 0.01 302.03 15
44.43 0.08 310.03 20
328.25 50
Koefisien variasi (Cv) 0.19

Koef. Skewness (Cs) 9697730.3712

15965794.7046299
0.61

Koef.Kurtosis (Ck) 2.805525E+10

8512912526.60802
3.3E+00

Rekapitulasi
Distribusi
Periode Ulang
Normal log Normal log Pearson T III Gumbel
5 274.48 276.86 467.08 278.69
10 294.03 300.23 536.33 380.40
15 302.03 310.36 558.83 406.09
20 310.03 320.82 582.27 343.72
50 328.25 346.00 668.68 486.82

t (jam) (24/t)2/3

1 8.320
2 5.241
3 4.000
4 3.302
5 2.846
6 2.520
7 2.274
8 2.080
9 1.923
10 1.793
11 1.682
12 1.587
13 1.505
14 1.432
15 1.368
16 1.310
17 1.258
18 1.211
19 1.169
20 1.129
21 1.093
22 1.060
23 1.029
24 1.000
 B. Distribusi Log Normal
(Xi-X)3 (Xi-X)4 Log X LOG X LOG (Xi-X)
-72825.16 3041178.84 2.29 2.38 -0.08
-74937.95 3159383.96 2.29 2.38 -0.09
199.18 1163.19 2.39 2.38 0.01
320.01 2188.89 2.39 2.38 0.01
-302922.87 20344299.93 2.23 2.38 -0.14
-1.56 1.81 2.37 2.38 0.00
320.01 2188.89 2.39 2.38 0.01
58591.91 2275709.83 2.44 2.38 0.07
-60052.08 2351639.43 2.30 2.38 -0.08
490049.38 38635493.36 2.50 2.38 0.12
-768.58 7040.15 2.36 2.38 -0.02
46036.68 1649954.64 2.44 2.38 0.06
-30254.66 942735.36 2.31 2.38 -0.06
-17902.48 468328.90 2.32 2.38 -0.05
610663.52 51808693.37 2.51 2.38 0.13
646515.36 124690000.54 35.52 2.38 -0.10

Kt Yt = Y + Kt S Yt = Log X
K5 0.84 2.44 X5 276.86
K10 1.28 2.48 X10 300.23
K15 1.46 2.49 X15 310.36
K20 1.64 2.51 X20 320.82
K50 2.05 2.54 X50 346.00

Jenis agihan Syarat yang dipenuhi

Normal Cs = 0 ; Ck = 3
 Log normal Cs = 3Cv
Gumbel Cs = 1 ; Ck = 5,4
Log-Pearson Type III
Jika semua tidak memenuhi syarat tersebut diatas

R24
R5 R10 R15 R20 R50
467.08 536.33 558.83 582.27 668.68
161.927 185.934 193.734 201.861 231.820
102.008 117.131 122.045 127.165 146.038
77.847 89.388 93.138 97.045 111.447
64.261 73.788 76.883 80.109 91.998
55.378 63.589 66.256 69.036 79.281
49.040 56.311 58.673 61.134 70.208
44.251 50.811 52.943 55.164 63.351
40.482 46.484 48.434 50.465 57.955
37.425 42.973 44.776 46.654 53.578
34.886 40.058 41.739 43.490 49.944
32.738 37.592 39.169 40.812 46.869
30.893 35.474 36.962 38.512 44.228
29.288 33.630 35.041 36.511 41.930
27.876 32.009 33.352 34.751 39.909
26.623 30.570 31.853 33.189 38.115
25.502 29.283 30.511 31.791 36.509
24.492 28.123 29.303 30.532 35.063
23.576 27.071 28.207 29.390 33.752
22.741 26.113 27.208 28.350 32.557
21.977 25.235 26.294 27.397 31.463
21.274 24.428 25.452 26.520 30.456
20.624 23.682 24.675 25.710 29.526
20.022 22.990 23.955 24.959 28.664
19.462 22.347 23.284 24.261 27.862
 C. Distribusi Log-Pearson Tipe III
LOG (Xi-X)2 LOG (Xi-X)3 LOG (Xi-X)4 LOG X LOG (X-X) LOG (X-X)2
0.0071 -0.0006 0.0001 2.37 -0.08 0.01
0.0072 -0.0006 0.0001 2.37 -0.08 0.01
0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 2.37 0.02 0.00
0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 2.37 0.02 0.00
0.0209 -0.0030 0.0004 2.37 -0.14 0.02
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 2.37 0.00 0.00
0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 2.37 0.02 0.00
0.0043 0.0003 0.0000 2.37 0.07 0.01
0.0061 -0.0005 0.0000 2.37 -0.07 0.01
0.0155 0.0019 0.0002 2.37 0.13 0.02
0.0003 0.0000 0.0000 2.37 -0.01 0.00
0.0037 0.0002 0.0000 2.37 0.07 0.00
0.0037 -0.0002 0.0000 2.37 -0.05 0.00
0.0026 -0.0001 0.0000 2.37 -0.04 0.00
0.0176 0.0023 0.0003 2.37 0.14 0.02
0.0896 -0.0003 0.0012 2.37 0.00 0.09

S Log X Cs T LOG X X = LOG XT

0.08 0.02 5 2.43592 467.08
0.09 10 2.46646 536.33
0.26 15 2.47554 558.83
20 2.48462 582.27
50 2.51518 668.68

t yang dipenuhi Nilai - nilai yang diperoleh Keterangan

Berdasarkan analisa
= 0 ; Ck = 3 parameter statistik, maka
Cv = 0.19
 parameter statistik, maka
Cs = 3Cv Cv = 0.19 data-data historis curah hujan
= 1 ; Ck = 5,4 Cs = 0.61 pada stasiun Stamet
Maumere tergolong dalam
jenis agihan Log-Pearson
menuhi syarat tersebut diatas Ck = 3.32 Type III

Grafik Intensitas Hujan

250

200
Intensitas Hujan (mm/jam)

150

100

50

0
0 5 10 15 20 2

Durasi Hujan (jam)

 D. Distribusi Gumbel
LOG (X-X)3 LOG (X-X)4 Yt = - ln [-ln (Tr-1)/Tr} 5 0.223143551
0.00 0.00 15 0.068992871
0.00 0.00 20 0.051293294
0.00 0.00 10 0.105360516
0.00 0.00 50 0.020202707
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 X Sx Sn
0.00 0.00 237.16 44.43 0.5128
0.00 0.00 237.16 44.43
0.00 0.00 237.16 44.43
0.00 0.00 237.16 44.43
0.00 0.00 237.16 44.43
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
Hujan

R5
R10
R15
R20
R50

20 25 30
 ==== 1.4999
2.6738
2.9702
2.2504
3.9019

Yn K Xx
10,206 0.93 278.69
3.22 380.40
3.80 406.09
2.40 343.72
5.62 486.82