Câu 1

152 149 145 147 150 146 150

154 144 150 151 153 153 142
152 143 144 147 163 150 151
159 154 154 155 145 157 150
151 160 154 144 156 149 153

K 5
h 4.4 5
X Tần số Tần số tích lũy Tần suất Tần suất tích lũy X*
141 146 10 10 0.20 0.20 143.5
146 151 12 22 0.24 0.44 148.5
151 156 21 43 0.42 0.86 153.5
156 161 5 48 0.10 0.96 158.5
161 166 2 50 0.04 1.00 163.5
50 1

x-tb 151.20
mod 152.80
Q1 147.04
Q2 151.71
Q3 150.50

Câu 3
Năm Quý t yt MA(4) MA'(4) at
1 1 1574
2 2 1654
2001
3 3 1607
4 4 1994 1707.250
1 5 2149 1851.000
2 6 1658 1852.000
2002
3 7 1428 1807.250 1804.375 1810.125
4 8 1603 1709.500 1804.938 1614.063
1 9 1381 1517.500 1721.563 1313.438
2 10 1039 1362.750 1599.250 1126.250
2003
3 11 995 1254.500 1461.063 1047.938
4 12 1330 1186.250 1330.250 1042.250
1 13 1324 1172.000 1243.875 1100.125
2 14 1288 1234.250 1211.750 1256.750
2004
3 15 1108 1262.500 1213.750 1311.250
4 16 1446 1291.500 1240.063 1342.938
1 17 979.805
2 18 770.896
2005
3 19 664.075
4 20 756.507
 Câu 2
154 152 151 Mặt hàng p0 q0 p1 q1
154 150 147 A
162 141 144 B
158 155 151 C
151 154 144 D

A1 A2 A3 Ip 1.055715
12.75 25.5 38.25 Iq 1.033337
IM 1.090909
146

S1 1.097
S2 0.934
S3 0.877
a 1919.924 S4 1.099
alpha 0.3 b -68.3361 Sindex 0.998253
bt DMA(4) SES(0.25) Tt ST*Et St Et
1574.000 1.095 1.000
1574.000 0.933 1.000
1598.000 1779.125 0.903 0.876 1.031
1600.700 1851.500 1.077 1.097 0.982
1718.690 1829.625 1.175 1.095 1.073
1847.783 1758.375 0.943 0.933 1.011
1.917 1790.848 1613.500 0.885 0.876 1.010
-63.625 1681.994 1440.125 1.113 1.097 1.015
-136.042 1658.296 1308.625 1.055 1.095 0.964
-157.667 1575.107 1220.375 0.851 0.933 0.913
-137.708 1414.275 1179.125 0.844 0.876 0.963
-96.000 1288.492 1203.125 1.105 1.097 1.008
-47.917 1300.945 1248.375 1.061 1.095 0.969
15.000 1307.861 1277.000 1.009 0.933 1.081
32.500 1301.903 0.876 1.000
34.292 1243.732 1.097 1.000
1377.229 1304.412 894.883 1.095 1.000
1411.521 826.547 0.933 1.000
1445.813 758.211 0.876 1.000
1480.104 689.874 1.097 1.000
ip = p1/p0 iq = q1/q0 p0*q0 p1*q1 p0*q1
0.050 2500 3000 2857.1428571
0.085 6000 6500 5990.7834101
0.065 8500 9000 8450.7042254
0.012 5000 5500 5434.7826087
22000 24000 22733.413101

\ t Tt
1.000 18.760
2.000 20.469
3.000 21.938
4.000 23.131
5.000 24.505
6.000 26.023
7.000 27.408
8.000 28.887
9.000 31.406
10.000 34.797
11.000 37.825
12.000 40.740
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