METODE GUMBEL

St.A St. B St.C

no.urut CHHmax CHHmax CHHmax P%
(mm/hari) (mm/hari) (mm/hari)

1 159 177 182 4.8

2 155 175 171 9.5
3 155 175 172 14.3
4 146 163 164 19.0
5 144 163 160 23.8
6 141 152 156 28.6
7 133 139 144 33.3
8 130 135 113 38.1
9 123 134 113 42.9
10 119 128 110 47.6
11 115 123 109 52.4
12 114 121 105 57.1
13 109 112 103 61.9
14 102 112 99 66.7
15 101 103 92 71.4
16 99 101 84 76.2
17 91 92 83 81.0
18 90 84 80 85.7
19 80 84 68 90.5
20 75 83 67 95.2
total 119.05 127.8 118.75 1000.0

standar deviasi St. A 25.75078 standar dev

yn 0.524 yn
sn 1.06 sn

Kala Ulang
(thn) yt kt rt(mm)
St.A
2 0.367 -0.148 115
5 1.500 0.919 143
10 2.250 1.625 161
25 3.199 2.517 184
50 3.902 3.179 201
100 4.600 3.836 218

METODE LOG PEARSON III

St.A St. B St.C
no.urut CHHmax CHHmax CHHmax Log R St. A Log Ri
(mm/hari) (mm/hari) (mm/hari)
1 159 177 182 2.066 2.201
 2 155 175 171 2.066 2.190
3 155 175 172 2.066 2.190
4 146 163 164 2.066 2.164
5 144 163 160 2.066 2.158
6 141 152 156 2.066 2.149
7 133 139 144 2.066 2.124
8 130 135 113 2.066 2.114
9 123 134 113 2.066 2.090
10 119 128 110 2.066 2.076
11 115 123 109 2.066 2.061
12 114 121 105 2.066 2.057
13 109 112 103 2.066 2.037
14 102 112 99 2.066 2.009
15 101 103 92 2.066 2.004
16 99 101 84 2.066 1.996
17 91 92 83 2.066 1.959
18 90 84 80 2.066 1.954
19 80 84 68 2.066 1.903
20 75 83 67 2.066 1.875
total 119.05 127.8 118.75 41.312

Standar deviasi St.A 0.0974917741

Cs -0.349056904

Kala Ulang
(thn) Log R K Log Rt Rt(mm)
St.A
2 2.066 0.058 2.071 118
5 2.066 0.854 2.149 141
10 2.066 1.238 2.186 154
25 2.066 1.625 2.224 168
50 2.066 1.862 2.247 177
100 2.066 2.067 2.267 185

Resume Hujan Ratarata Metode Log Pearson III dan metode

Stasion Metode Hujan Rencana (mm/hari) dengan kala u

Hujan Analisa 2 thn 5 thn 10 thn
Log Pearson III 118 141 154
St.A Gumbel 115 143 161
Log Pearson III 125 154 171
St.B Gumbel 123 157 179
Log Pearson III 113 148 170
St.C Gumbel 113 153 179
Ratarata (mm/hari) 118 149 169
 Analisa Intensitas Hujan (mm/jam)
t 118 149 169 194
(menit) It 2 Thn It 5 Thn It 10 Thn It 25 Thn
10 135 171 193 221
20 85 107 122 139
30 65 82 93 106
40 54 68 77 88
50 46 58 66 76
60 41 52 59 67
70 37 47 53 60
80 34 43 48 55
90 31 39 45 51
100 29 37 42 48
110 27 34 39 45
130 24 31 35 40
150 22 28 32 36
170 20 26 29 33
190 19 24 27 31
210 18 22 25 29
230 17 21 24 27
250 16 20 23 26

INTENSITAS HUJAN
300

250

200
Intensitas Hujan (mm/jam

150

100

50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Waktu (menit)
50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Waktu (menit)
 METODE GUMBEL

Ri-Rrata (Ri-Rrata)^2 Ri-Rrata (Ri-Rrata)^2 Ri-Rrata

40.0 1596.0 49.2 2420.64 63.3

36.0 1292.4 47.2 2227.84 52.3
36.0 1292.4 47.2 2227.84 53.3
27.0 726.3 35.2 1239.04 45.3
25.0 622.5 35.2 1239.04 41.3
22.0 481.8 24.2 585.64 37.3
14.0 194.6 11.2 125.44 25.3
11.0 119.9 7.2 51.84 -5.8
4.0 15.6 6.2 38.44 -5.8
0.0 0.0 0.2 0.04 -8.8
-4.0 16.4 -4.8 23.04 -9.8
-5.0 25.5 -6.8 46.24 -13.8
-10.0 101.0 -15.8 249.64 -15.8
-17.0 290.7 -15.8 249.64 -19.8
-18.0 325.8 -24.8 615.04 -26.8
-20.0 402.0 -26.8 718.24 -34.8
-28.0 786.8 -35.8 1281.64 -35.8
-29.0 843.9 -43.8 1918.44 -38.8
-39.1 1524.9 -43.8 1918.44 -50.8
-44.1 1940.4 -44.8 2007.04 -51.8
0.0 12599.0 0.00 19183.20 0.0

standar deviasi St. B 31.77487

yn 0.524
sn 1.06

Kala Ulang
(thn) yt kt rt(mm)
St.B
2 0.367 -0.148 123
5 1.500 0.919 157
10 2.250 1.625 179
25 3.199 2.517 208
50 3.902 3.179 229
100 4.600 3.836 250

METODE LOG PEARSON III

Log Ri - Log R (Log Ri - Log R)^2 (Log Ri - Log R)^3 Log R St. B Log Ri Log Ri - Log R

0.136 0.018 0.003 2.093 2.248 0.155

 0.125 0.016 0.002 2.093 2.243 0.150
0.125 0.016 0.002 2.093 2.243 0.150
0.099 0.010 0.001 2.093 2.212 0.119
0.093 0.009 0.001 2.093 2.212 0.119
0.084 0.007 0.001 2.093 2.182 0.088
0.058 0.003 0.000 2.093 2.143 0.050
0.048 0.002 0.000 2.093 2.130 0.037
0.024 0.001 0.000 2.093 2.127 0.034
0.010 0.000 0.000 2.093 2.107 0.014
-0.005 0.000 0.000 2.093 2.090 -0.003
-0.009 0.000 0.000 2.093 2.083 -0.011
-0.028 0.001 0.000 2.093 2.049 -0.044
-0.057 0.003 0.000 2.093 2.049 -0.044
-0.061 0.004 0.000 2.093 2.013 -0.081
-0.070 0.005 0.000 2.093 2.004 -0.089
-0.107 0.011 -0.001 2.093 1.964 -0.130
-0.111 0.012 -0.001 2.093 1.924 -0.169
-0.163 0.026 -0.004 2.093 1.924 -0.169
-0.191 0.036 -0.007 2.093 1.919 -0.174
0.000 0.181 -0.006 41.868 0.000

Standar deviasi St. B 0.1106718986327 Standar deviasi St.C

Cs -0.1677295963802 Cs

Kala Ulang
(thn) Log R K Log Rt Rt(mm)
St.B
2 2.093 0.028 2.096 125
5 2.093 0.849 2.187 154
10 2.093 1.262 2.233 171
25 2.093 1.691 2.281 191
50 2.093 1.962 2.311 204
100 2.093 2.202 2.337 217

Metode Log Pearson III dan metode Gumbel

n Rencana (mm/hari) dengan kala ulang
25 thn 50 thn 100 thn
168 177 185
184 201 218
191 204 217
208 229 250
198 218 237
212 237 262
194 211 228
m/jam)
211 228
It 50 Thn It 100 Thn
242 261
152 164
116 125
96 104
83 89
73 79
66 71
60 65
56 60
52 56
49 53
44 47
40 43
37 39
34 37
32 34
30 32
28 31

INTENSITAS HUJAN

118 It 2 Thn
149 It 5 Thn
169 It 10 Thn
194 It 25 Thn
211 It 50 Thn
228 It 100 Thn

8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Waktu (menit)
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Waktu (menit)
(Ri-Rrata)^2

4000.6
2730.1
2835.6
2047.6
1701.6
1387.6
637.6
33.1
33.1
76.6
95.1
189.1
248.1
390.1
715.6
1207.6
1278.1
1501.6
2575.6
2678.1
26361.8

standar deviasi St.C 37.24863

yn 0.524
sn 1.06

Kala Ulang
(thn) yt kt rt(mm)
St.C
2 0.367 -0.148 113
5 1.500 0.919 153
10 2.250 1.625 179
25 3.199 2.517 213
50 3.902 3.179 237
100 4.600 3.836 262

(Log Ri - Log R)^2 (Log Ri - Log R)^3 Log R St.C Log Ri Log Ri - Log R (Log Ri - Log R)^2

0.024 0.004 2.054 2.260 0.206 0.042

 0.022 0.003 2.054 2.233 0.179 0.032
0.022 0.003 2.054 2.236 0.181 0.033
0.014 0.002 2.054 2.215 0.161 0.026
0.014 0.002 2.054 2.204 0.150 0.022
0.008 0.001 2.054 2.193 0.139 0.019
0.002 0.000 2.054 2.158 0.104 0.011
0.001 0.000 2.054 2.053 -0.001 0.000
0.001 0.000 2.054 2.053 -0.001 0.000
0.000 0.000 2.054 2.041 -0.013 0.000
0.000 0.000 2.054 2.037 -0.017 0.000
0.000 0.000 2.054 2.021 -0.033 0.001
0.002 0.000 2.054 2.013 -0.041 0.002
0.002 0.000 2.054 1.996 -0.058 0.003
0.006 -0.001 2.054 1.964 -0.090 0.008
0.008 -0.001 2.054 1.924 -0.130 0.017
0.017 -0.002 2.054 1.919 -0.135 0.018
0.029 -0.005 2.054 1.903 -0.151 0.023
0.029 -0.005 2.054 1.833 -0.222 0.049
0.030 -0.005 2.054 1.826 -0.228 0.052
0.233 -0.004 41.083 0.000 0.360

0.1375874009649
-0.002708964679

Kala Ulang
(thn) Log R K Log Rt Rt(mm)
St.C
2 2.054 0.000 2.054 113
5 2.054 0.845 2.170 148
10 2.054 1.286 2.231 170
25 2.054 1.756 2.296 198
50 2.054 2.060 2.338 218
100 2.054 2.333 2.375 237
(Log Ri - Log R)^3

0.009
 0.006
0.006
0.004
0.003
0.003
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.002
-0.002
-0.003
-0.011
-0.012
0.000
 NAMA : YANTI RISTUA BUTARBUTAR
NPM : 21310034
QUIZ STATISTIKA

METODE GUMBEL

St.A St. B St.C

No.urut CHHmax CHHmax CHHmax P% Ri-Rrata (Ri-Rrata)^2 Ri-Rrata (Ri-Rrata)^2 Ri-Rrata (Ri-Rrata)^2
(mm/hari) (mm/hari) (mm/hari)

1 159 177 182 4.8 40.0 1,596.00 49.2 2,420.64 63.3 4,000.56
2 155 175 171 9.5 36.0 1,292.40 47.2 2,227.84 52.3 2,730.06
3 155 175 172 14.3 36.0 1,292.40 47.2 2,227.84 53.3 2,835.56
4 146 163 164 19.0 27.0 726.30 35.2 1,239.04 45.3 2,047.56
5 144 163 160 23.8 25.0 622.50 35.2 1,239.04 41.3 1,701.56
6 141 152 156 28.6 22.0 481.80 24.2 585.64 37.3 1,387.56
7 133 139 144 33.3 14.0 194.60 11.2 125.44 25.3 637.56
8 130 135 113 38.1 11.0 119.90 7.2 51.84 -5.8 33.06
9 123 134 113 42.9 4.0 15.60 6.2 38.44 -5.8 33.06
10 119 128 110 47.6 0.0 0.00 0.2 0.04 -8.8 76.56
11 115 123 109 52.4 -4.0 16.40 -4.8 23.04 -9.8 95.06
12 114 121 105 57.1 -5.0 25.50 -6.8 46.24 -13.8 189.06
13 109 112 103 61.9 -10.0 101.00 -15.8 249.64 -15.8 248.06
14 102 112 99 66.7 -17.0 290.70 -15.8 249.64 -19.8 390.06
15 101 103 92 71.4 -18.0 325.80 -24.8 615.04 -26.8 715.56
16 99 101 84 76.2 -20.0 402.00 -26.8 718.24 -34.8 1,207.56
17 91 92 83 81.0 -28.0 786.80 -35.8 1,281.64 -35.8 1,278.06
18 90 84 80 85.7 -29.0 843.90 -43.8 1,918.44 -38.8 1,501.56
19 80 84 68 90.5 -39.1 1,524.90 -43.8 1,918.44 -50.8 2,575.56
20 75 83 67 95.2 -44.1 1,940.40 -44.8 2,007.04 -51.8 2,678.06
Total 119.05 127.8 118.75 1,000.00 0.0 12,598.95 0.00 19,183.20 0.0 26,361.75

standar deviasi St. A 25.75078 standar deviasi St. B 31.77487 standar deviasi St.C 37.24863
yn 0.524 yn 0.524 yn 0.524
sn 1.06 sn 1.06 sn 1.06

Kala Ulang Kala Ulang Kala Ulang

(thn) yt kt rt(mm) (thn) yt kt rt(mm) (thn) yt kt rt(mm)
St.A St.B St.C
2 0.367 -0.148 115 2 0.367 -0.148 123 2 0.367 -0.148 113
5 1.500 0.919 143 5 1.500 0.919 157 5 1.500 0.919 153
10 2.250 1.625 161 10 2.250 1.625 179 10 2.250 1.625 179
25 3.199 2.517 184 25 3.199 2.517 208 25 3.199 2.517 213
50 3.902 3.179 201 50 3.902 3.179 229 50 3.902 3.179 237
100 4.600 3.836 218 100 4.600 3.836 250 100 4.600 3.836 262
 NAMA : YANTI RISTUA BUTARBUTAR
NPM : 21310034
QUIZ STATISTIKA
METODE LOG PEARSON III
St.A St. B St.C
No.urut CHHmax CHHmax CHHmax Log R St. A Log Ri Log Ri - Log R (Log Ri - Log R)^2 (Log Ri - Log R)^3 Log R St. B Log Ri Log Ri - Log R (Log Ri - Log R)^2 (Log Ri - Log R)^3 Log R St.C Log Ri Log Ri - Log R (Log Ri - Log R)^2 (Log Ri - Log R)^3
(mm/hari) (mm/hari) (mm/hari)
1 159 177 182 2.066 2.201 0.136 0.018 0.003 2.093 2.248 0.155 0.024 0.004 2.054 2.260 0.206 0.042 0.009
2 155 175 171 2.066 2.190 0.125 0.016 0.002 2.093 2.243 0.150 0.022 0.003 2.054 2.233 0.179 0.032 0.006
3 155 175 172 2.066 2.190 0.125 0.016 0.002 2.093 2.243 0.150 0.022 0.003 2.054 2.236 0.181 0.033 0.006
4 146 163 164 2.066 2.164 0.099 0.010 0.001 2.093 2.212 0.119 0.014 0.002 2.054 2.215 0.161 0.026 0.004
5 144 163 160 2.066 2.158 0.093 0.009 0.001 2.093 2.212 0.119 0.014 0.002 2.054 2.204 0.150 0.022 0.003
6 141 152 156 2.066 2.149 0.084 0.007 0.001 2.093 2.182 0.088 0.008 0.001 2.054 2.193 0.139 0.019 0.003
7 133 139 144 2.066 2.124 0.058 0.003 0.000 2.093 2.143 0.050 0.002 0.000 2.054 2.158 0.104 0.011 0.001
8 130 135 113 2.066 2.114 0.048 0.002 0.000 2.093 2.130 0.037 0.001 0.000 2.054 2.053 -0.001 0.000 0.000
9 123 134 113 2.066 2.090 0.024 0.001 0.000 2.093 2.127 0.034 0.001 0.000 2.054 2.053 -0.001 0.000 0.000
10 119 128 110 2.066 2.076 0.010 0.000 0.000 2.093 2.107 0.014 0.000 0.000 2.054 2.041 -0.013 0.000 0.000
11 115 123 109 2.066 2.061 -0.005 0.000 0.000 2.093 2.090 -0.003 0.000 0.000 2.054 2.037 -0.017 0.000 0.000
12 114 121 105 2.066 2.057 -0.009 0.000 0.000 2.093 2.083 -0.011 0.000 0.000 2.054 2.021 -0.033 0.001 0.000
13 109 112 103 2.066 2.037 -0.028 0.001 0.000 2.093 2.049 -0.044 0.002 0.000 2.054 2.013 -0.041 0.002 0.000
14 102 112 99 2.066 2.009 -0.057 0.003 0.000 2.093 2.049 -0.044 0.002 0.000 2.054 1.996 -0.058 0.003 0.000
15 101 103 92 2.066 2.004 -0.061 0.004 0.000 2.093 2.013 -0.081 0.006 -0.001 2.054 1.964 -0.090 0.008 -0.001
16 99 101 84 2.066 1.996 -0.070 0.005 0.000 2.093 2.004 -0.089 0.008 -0.001 2.054 1.924 -0.130 0.017 -0.002
17 91 92 83 2.066 1.959 -0.107 0.011 -0.001 2.093 1.964 -0.130 0.017 -0.002 2.054 1.919 -0.135 0.018 -0.002
18 90 84 80 2.066 1.954 -0.111 0.012 -0.001 2.093 1.924 -0.169 0.029 -0.005 2.054 1.903 -0.151 0.023 -0.003
19 80 84 68 2.066 1.903 -0.163 0.026 -0.004 2.093 1.924 -0.169 0.029 -0.005 2.054 1.833 -0.222 0.049 -0.011
20 75 83 67 2.066 1.875 -0.191 0.036 -0.007 2.093 1.919 -0.174 0.030 -0.005 2.054 1.826 -0.228 0.052 -0.012
total 119.05 127.8 118.75 41.312 0.000 0.181 -0.006 41.868 0.000 0.233 -0.004 41.083 0.000 0.360 0.000

Standar deviasi St.A 0.09749177 Standar deviasi St. B 0.1106718986327 Standar deviasi St.C 0.137587400965
Cs -0.3490569 Cs -0.1677295963802 Cs -0.00270896468

Kala Ulang Kala Ulang Kala Ulang

(thn) Log R K Log Rt Rt(mm) (thn) Log R K Log Rt Rt(mm) (thn) Log R K Log Rt Rt(mm)
St.A St.B St.C
2 2.066 0.058 2.071 118 2 2.093 0.028 2.096 125 2 2.054 0.000 2.054 113
5 2.066 0.854 2.149 141 5 2.093 0.849 2.187 154 5 2.054 0.845 2.170 148
10 2.066 1.238 2.186 154 10 2.093 1.262 2.233 171 10 2.054 1.286 2.231 170
25 2.066 1.625 2.224 168 25 2.093 1.691 2.281 191 25 2.054 1.756 2.296 198
50 2.066 1.862 2.247 177 50 2.093 1.962 2.311 204 50 2.054 2.060 2.338 218
100 2.066 2.067 2.267 185 100 2.093 2.202 2.337 217 100 2.054 2.333 2.375 237
 NAMA : YANTI RISTUA BUTARBUTAR
NPM : 21310034
QUIZ STATISTIKA

RESUME HUJAN RATA-RATA METODE LOG PEARSON III DAN METODE GUMBEL

Stasion Metode Hujan Rencana (mm/hari) dengan kala ulang

Hujan Analisa 2 thn 5 thn 10 thn 25 thn 50 thn 100 thn
Log Pearson III 118 141 154 168 177 185
St.A Gumbel 115 143 161 184 201 218
Log Pearson III 125 154 171 191 204 217
St.B Gumbel 123 157 179 208 229 250
Log Pearson III 113 148 170 198 218 237
St.C Gumbel 113 153 179 212 237 262
Ratarata (mm/hari) 118 149 169 194 211 228

ANALISA INTENSITAS HUJAN (MM/JAM)

t 118 149 169 194 211 228
(menit) It 2 Thn It 5 Thn It 10 Thn It 25 Thn It 50 Thn It 100 Thn
10 135 171 193 221 242 261
20 85 107 122 139 152 164
30 65 82 93 106 116 125
40 54 68 77 88 96 104
50 46 58 66 76 83 89
60 41 52 59 67 73 79
70 37 47 53 60 66 71
80 34 43 48 55 60 65
90 31 39 45 51 56 60
100 29 37 42 48 52 56
110 27 34 39 45 49 53
130 24 31 35 40 44 47
150 22 28 32 36 40 43
170 20 26 29 33 37 39
190 19 24 27 31 34 37
210 18 22 25 29 32 34
230 17 21 24 27 30 32
250 16 20 23 26 28 31

INTENSITAS HUJAN
300

250

200
Intensitas Hujan (mm/jam

118 It 2 Thn
149 It 5 Thn
169 It 10 Thn
150
194 It 25 Thn
211 It 50 Thn
228 It 100 Thn
100

50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Waktu (menit)