NAMA MARESELINA TEKU

KELAS 1VB

NIM 062160101

TUGAS 4

MATA KULIAH STATISTIK

ANALISIS REGRESI BERGANDA

MODEL

Tahun (t) Y 𝑋1 𝑋2
1 30 3 3
2 32 6 3
3 34 9 5
4 36 12 7
5 38 14 9
6 40 16 14
7 44 18 16
8 48 20 20
9 50 24 22
10 54 26 24

Metode OLS (Analisis Regresi Berganda)

𝑌𝑡 = 𝑎 + 𝑏1 𝑋1𝑡 +𝑏2 𝑋2𝑡 +𝑒𝑡

𝑌̂𝑡 = 𝑎̂+𝑏̂1𝑋1𝑡+𝑏2 𝑋2𝑡

𝑒𝑡=𝑌𝑡 -𝑌𝑡
 Prosedur Estimasi

𝑏1=(∑ 𝑥1 y)(∑ 𝑥² − (∑ 𝑥2𝑦)(∑ 𝑥1𝑥2)

(∑ 𝑥1²)(∑ 𝑥2²) − (∑ 𝑥1𝑥2)²

𝑏2=∑ 𝑥2𝑦)(∑ 𝑥1²)−(∑ 𝑥1𝑦)(∑ 𝑥1𝑥2)

(∑ 𝑥1²)(∑ 𝑥 ²2) − (∑ 𝑥1𝑥2²

𝑎̂=𝑌̅-𝑏̂1𝑥̅ 𝑋̅1-𝑏̂2 𝑋̅2

Tahun Y 𝑋1 𝑋2 y 𝑥1 𝑥2 𝑥1 𝑦 𝑥2 𝑦 𝑥1 𝑥2 𝑥1² 𝑥2
1 30 3 3 -11 -12 -9 132 99 108 144 81
2 32 6 3 -9 -9 -9 81 81 81 81 81
3 34 9 5 -7 -6 -7 42 294 42 36 49
4 36 12 7 -5 -3 -5 15 25 15 9 25
5 38 14 9 -3 -1 -3 3 9 3 1 9
6 40 16 14 -1 1 2 1 2 2 1 4
7 44 18 16 3 3 4 9 12 9 9 8
8 48 20 20 7 5 8 35 56 35 25 64
9 50 24 22 9 9 10 81 90 81 81 100
10 54 26 24 13 11 12 143 156 143 143 144
406 148 123 0 0 0 542 824 519 508 565

Rata- 41 15 12

rata

y=Y-𝑌̅ 𝑥1=𝑋1−𝑋1 𝑥2=𝑋2−𝑋2

Persamaan Regresi Berganda
𝑥1 y 542 𝑥1² 508 𝑌̅ 41
𝑥2 𝑦 824 𝑥2² 565 𝑋1 15

𝑥1 𝑥2 519 𝑋2 12

𝑏1=(∑ 𝑥1 y)(∑ 𝑥² − (∑ 𝑥2𝑦)(∑ 𝑥1𝑥2)

(∑ 𝑥1²)(∑ 𝑥2²) − (∑ 𝑥1𝑥2)²

= (542)(565)-(824)(519) =0.687
(508)(565)-(519)²

𝑏2=∑ 𝑥2𝑦)(∑ 𝑥1²)−(∑ 𝑥1𝑦)(∑ 𝑥1𝑥2)

(∑ 𝑥1²)(∑ 𝑥 ²2) − (∑ 𝑥1𝑥2²

=(824)(508)-(542)(519) =7.75
(508)(565)-(519)²

𝑎̂=𝑌̅-𝑏̂ 1𝑥̅ 𝑋̅1- ̂𝑏2 𝑋̅2=41-(0.687)(15)-(7.75)(12)=62.305

𝑌̂= 62.305+0.687𝑥1 +7.75𝑥2