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année Pluie (mm) Ln P 1/P P²

1922 626 6.43935037 0.00159744 391876


1923 411 6.01859321 0.00243309 168921 moyenne N=
1924 537 6.28599809 0.0018622 288369 Pa arithmétique 514.3
1925 658 6.48920493 0.00151976 432964 Pg géométrique 488.59
1926 472 6.15697899 0.00211864 222784 Ph harmonique 457.214127
1927 579 6.36130248 0.00172712 335241 Pq quadratique 536.364304
1928 550 6.30991828 0.00181818 302500 médiane
1929 499 6.2126061 0.00200401 249001 1 512.5
1930 511 6.23636959 0.00195695 261121 2 512.5
1931 582 6.36647045 0.00171821 338724 3 518.33
1932 161 5.08140436 0.00621118 25921 4 512
1933 443 6.09356977 0.00225734 196249
1934 576 6.35610766 0.00173611 331776 Pluie (mm)
1935 737 6.60258789 0.00135685 543169 159
1936 661 6.49375384 0.00151286
Pluie (mm)436921 161
1000
1937 648 6.4738907 0.00154321 419904 238
900
1938 701 6.55250789 0.00142653 491401 274
800
1939 496 6.20657593 0.00201613 246016 310
700
1940 455 6.12029742 0.0021978 207025 321
600
1941 473 6.15909539 0.00211416 223729 350
500
1942 358 5.88053299 0.0027933 128164 350
400
1943 388 5.96100534 0.00257732 150544 358
300
1944 562 6.33150185 0.00177936 315844 371
200
1945 371 5.91620206 0.00269542 137641 380
100
1946 274 5.61312811 0.00364964 75076 386
0
1947 722 6.58202514 0.00138504 521284
22 25 928 931 934 937 940 943 946 949 952 955 958 969 972 975 978 981 984 987
388
1948 19 19707 1 6.56103067
1 1 1 1 0.00141443
1 1 1 1 1 499849 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 404
1949 522 6.25766759 0.00191571 272484 411
1950 650 6.47697236 0.00153846 422500 414
1951 488 6.19031541 0.00204918 238144 416
1952 510 6.23441073 0.00196078 260100 440
1953 386 5.95583737 0.00259067 148996 443
1954 350 5.85793315 0.00285714 122500 448
1955 509 6.23244802 0.00196464 259081 455
1956 507 6.228511 0.00197239 257049 472
1957 559 6.32614947 0.00178891 312481 473
1958 310 5.7365723 0.00322581 96100 475
1959 519 6.25190388 0.00192678 269361 488
1960 575 6.35437004 0.00173913 330625 496
1969 916 6.82001636 0.0010917 839056 499
1970 404 6.00141488 0.00247525 163216 507
1971 545 6.30078579 0.00183486 297025 509
1972 321 5.77144112 0.00311526 103041 510
1973 680 6.5220928 0.00147059 462400 511
1974 606 6.40687999 0.00165017 367236 519
1975 547 6.3044488 0.00182815 299209 522
1976 583 6.36818719 0.00171527 339889 537
1977 448 6.10479323 0.00223214 200704 545
1978 416 6.03068526 0.00240385 173056 547
1979 682 6.52502966 0.00146628 465124 550
1980 159 5.0689042 0.00628931 25281 553
1981 414 6.02586597 0.00241546 171396 559
1982 440 6.08677473 0.00227273 193600 562
1983 475 6.1633148 0.00210526 225625 575
1984 238 5.47227067 0.00420168 56644 576
1985 380 5.94017125 0.00263158 144400 579
1986 835 6.72743172 0.0011976 697225 582
1987 350 5.85793315 0.00285714 122500 583
1988 553 6.315358 0.00180832 305809 606
1989 823 6.7129562 0.00121507 677329 626
648
650
658
661
680
682
701
707
722
737
823
835
916
N° classe centre
Pluie (mm) 1 150-250 200
2 250-350 300
60 3 350-450 400
6.19153094 val max 916 4 450-550 500
488.593543 val min 159 5 550-650 600
E 757 6 650-750 700
7 750-850 800
8 850-950 900
fréquence absolue (effectif) total
512.5
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

fréquence absolue
fréquence (effectif)
relative
30.00%

25.00%

20.00%

15.00%

10.00%

5.00%

0.00%
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

fréquence relative
fréquence
absolue fréquence effectif effectif
(effectif) relative cumulé Pluie (mm) cumulé FND FD
3 5.00% 3 150 0 0.00% 100.00%
3 5.00% 6 250 3 5.00% 95.00%
14 23.33% 20 350 6 10.00% 90.00%
16 26.67% 36 450 20 33.33% 66.67%
12 20.00% 48 550 36 60.00% 40.00%
9 15.00% 57 650 48 80.00% 20.00%
2 3.33% 59 750 57 95.00% 5.00%
1 1.67% 60 850 59 98.33% 1.67%
60 100.00% 950 60 100.00% 0.00%
FND FD

100.00%

90.00%

80.00%

70.00%

60.00%
fréquences cumulées

50.00%

40.00%

30.00%

20.00%

10.00%

0.00%
150 250 350 450 550 650 750 850 950

pluies (mm)
-FND-
Année Pluie (mm) rang Pluie (mm) F(x) VCR Z
1922 44 1 19.7 0.00943396 -1.58410043 -2.3481302
1923 29.7 2 21 0.02830189 -1.46740576 -1.906358
1924 30.2 3 21.8 0.04716981 -1.39559366 -1.67293739
1925 40.5 4 22.1 0.06603774 -1.36866412 -1.50596768
1926 63 5 24 0.08490566 -1.19811038 -1.37281032
1927 35.1 6 25.4 0.10377358 -1.07243921 -1.2603388
1928 41.6 7 26.6 0.12264151 -0.96472106 -1.16188294
1929 49.5 8 27 0.14150943 -0.928815 -1.07356238
1930 43.8 9 27.5 0.16037736 -0.88393244 -0.99290815
1931 53.5 10 28.2 0.17924528 -0.82109685 -0.91824509
1932 22.1 11 28.7 0.19811321 -0.77621429 -0.84837993
1933 35.4 12 29.7 0.21698113 -0.68644916 -0.7824294
1934 40.6 13 29.9 0.23584906 -0.66849614 -0.71971886
1935 26.6 14 30 0.25471698 -0.65951963 -0.65971933
1943 30 15 30.2 0.27358491 -0.6415666 -0.6020065
1944 40.5 16 30.6 0.29245283 -0.60566055 -0.54623318
1945 32.5 17 30.7 0.31132075 -0.59668404 -0.4921101
1946 31.2 18 31 0.33018868 -0.5697545 -0.43939223
1947 40.2 19 31.2 0.3490566 -0.55180147 -0.38786869
1948 45.8 20 32.4 0.36792453 -0.44408332 -0.33735533
1949 25.4 21 32.5 0.38679245 -0.43510681 -0.28768888
1950 40 22 33.3 0.40566038 -0.36329471 -0.23872252
1951 44.9 23 35 0.4245283 -0.21069399 -0.19032227
1952 21 24 35 0.44339623 -0.21069399 -0.14236406
1953 47.3 25 35.1 0.46226415 -0.20171748 -0.09473124
1954 39.7 26 35.4 0.48113208 -0.17478794 -0.04731252
1955 39.6 27 36.9 0.5 -0.04014025 0
1956 29.9 28 37.4 0.51886792 0.00474231 0.04731252
1957 79.1 29 37.5 0.53773585 0.01371882 0.09473124
1958 28.7 30 37.7 0.55660377 0.03167185 0.14236406
1959 31 31 39.6 0.5754717 0.20222559 0.19032227
1969 30.6 32 39.7 0.59433962 0.2112021 0.23872252
1970 21.8 33 40 0.61320755 0.23813164 0.28768888
1971 27 34 40.2 0.63207547 0.25608466 0.33735533
1972 43.4 35 40.5 0.6509434 0.2830142 0.38786869
1973 42.6 36 40.5 0.66981132 0.2830142 0.43939223
1974 63.8 37 40.6 0.68867925 0.29199071 0.4921101
1975 32.4 38 41 0.70754717 0.32789676 0.54623318
1976 37.7 39 41.6 0.72641509 0.38175584 0.6020065
1977 35 40 42.6 0.74528302 0.47152097 0.65971933
1978 30.7 41 43.1 0.76415094 0.51640353 0.71971886
1979 28.2 42 43.4 0.78301887 0.54333307 0.7824294
1980 37.4 43 43.8 0.80188679 0.57923912 0.84837993
1981 36.9 44 44 0.82075472 0.59719214 0.91824509
1982 24 45 44.9 0.83962264 0.67798076 0.99290815
1983 35 46 45.8 0.85849057 0.75876937 1.07356238
1984 27.5 47 47.3 0.87735849 0.89341706 1.16188294
1985 43.1 48 48.4 0.89622642 0.9921587 1.2603388
1986 48.4 49 49.5 0.91509434 1.09090034 1.37281032
1987 19.7 50 53.5 0.93396226 1.44996084 1.50596768
1988 37.5 51 63 0.95283019 2.30272954 1.67293739
1989 33.3 52 63.8 0.97169811 2.37454164 1.906358
1990 41 53 79.1 0.99056604 3.74794807 2.3481302

F(x) Z VCR Pluie (mm)


0.00943396 -2.3481302 -1.58410043 19.7
0.02830189 -1.906358 -1.46740576 21
0.04716981 -1.67293739 -1.39559366 21.8
0.06603774 -1.50596768 -1.36866412 22.1
0.08490566 -1.37281032 -1.19811038 24
0.10377358 -1.2603388 -1.07243921 25.4
0.12264151 -1.16188294 -0.96472106 26.6
0.14150943 -1.07356238 -0.928815 27
0.16037736 -0.99290815 -0.88393244 27.5
0.17924528 -0.91824509 -0.82109685 28.2
0.19811321 -0.84837993 -0.77621429 28.7
0.21698113 -0.7824294 -0.68644916 29.7
0.23584906 -0.71971886 -0.66849614 29.9
0.25471698 -0.65971933 -0.65951963 30 Pluie (mm)
0.27358491 -0.6020065 -0.6415666 30.2 90
0.29245283 -0.54623318 -0.60566055 30.6 80
0.31132075 -0.4921101 -0.59668404 30.7
70
0.33018868 -0.43939223 -0.5697545 31
60
f(x) = 10.6627489040444 x + 37.3471698113208
0.3490566 -0.38786869 -0.55180147 31.2
0.36792453 -0.33735533 -0.44408332 32.4 50

0.38679245 -0.28768888 -0.43510681 32.5 40


0.40566038 -0.23872252 -0.36329471 33.3 30
0.4245283 -0.19032227 -0.21069399 35 20
0.44339623 -0.14236406 -0.21069399 35
10
0.46226415 -0.09473124 -0.20171748 35.1
0
0.48113208 -0.04731252 -0.17478794 35.4 -3 -2 -1 0 1
0.5 0 -0.04014025 36.9
0.51886792 0.04731252 0.00474231 37.4
0.53773585 0.09473124 0.01371882 37.5 Pluie (mm)
0.55660377 0.14236406 0.03167185 37.7 90
0.5754717 0.19032227 0.20222559 39.6
80
0.59433962 0.23872252 0.2112021 39.7
70
60
50 f(x) = 35.0132478632479 x + 19.8405458796968
40
Pluie (mm)
90
80
70
0.61320755 0.28768888 0.23813164 40
0.63207547 0.33735533 0.25608466 40.2 60
0.6509434 0.38786869 0.2830142 40.5 50 f(x) = 35.0132478632479 x + 19.8405458796968
0.66981132 0.43939223 0.2830142 40.5 40
0.68867925 0.4921101 0.29199071 40.6
30
0.70754717 0.54623318 0.32789676 41
20
0.72641509 0.6020065 0.38175584 41.6
0.74528302 0.65971933 0.47152097 42.6 10

0.76415094 0.71971886 0.51640353 43.1 0


0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8
0.78301887 0.7824294 0.54333307 43.4
0.80188679 0.84837993 0.57923912 43.8
0.82075472 0.91824509 0.59719214 44
0.83962264 0.99290815 0.67798076 44.9
0.85849057 1.07356238 0.75876937 45.8
0.87735849 1.16188294 0.89341706 47.3
0.89622642 1.2603388 0.9921587 48.4
0.91509434 1.37281032 1.09090034 49.5
0.93396226 1.50596768 1.44996084 53.5
0.95283019 1.67293739 2.30272954 63
0.97169811 1.906358 2.37454164 63.8
0.99056604 2.3481302 3.74794807 79.1
flag N= 53
0 moyenne 37.3471698
0 écart type 11.1401837
0 dif 26.2069861 48.4873536
0 pourcentage 79.25% >68%
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1 F(x)
1
1.2
1
1 1
1
1 0.8
1
1 0.6
1
0.4
1
1
0.2
1
1 0
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 9
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
42

Pluie (mm) Chart Title


90
90
80
80
70
70
60
60
7489040444 x + 37.3471698113208
50
50
40
40
30
30
20
20
10
10
0
0 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
-1 0 1 2 3

Pluie (mm)

79 x + 19.8405458796968
Pluie (mm)

79 x + 19.8405458796968

0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2


60 70 80 90
e

2 3 4 5
rang borne inf borne sup Z inf Z sup FND inf FND sup Fo i
1∞ 26 ∞ -1.02 0 0.154 6
2 26 30 -1.02 -0.66 0.154 0.255 7
3 30 33 -0.66 -0.39 0.255 0.348 8
4 33 36 -0.39 -0.12 0.348 0.452 5
5 36 40 -0.12 0.24 0.452 0.594 6
6 40 42 0.24 0.42 0.594 0.662 7
7 42 46 0.42 0.78 0.662 0.781 7
8 46 ∞ 0.78 ∞ 0.781 1.000 7

N= 53
moyenne 37.3471698
écart type 11.1401837

rang borne inf borne sup Z inf Z sup FND inf FND sup Fo i
1∞ 26 ∞ -1.02 0 0.154 6
2 26 31 -1.02 -0.57 0.154 0.284 11
3 31 35 -0.57 -0.21 0.284 0.417 5
4 35 39 -0.21 0.15 0.417 0.559 8
5 39 43 0.15 0.51 0.559 0.694 10
6 43 46 0.51 0.78 0.694 0.781 6
7 46 ∞ 0.78 ∞ 0.781 1.000 7
ft i χ²i fréq rel fréq cum
8.17 0.58 11% 0.113
5.33 0.52 13% 0.245
4.95 1.88 15% 0.396
5.50 0.04 9% 0.491
7.54 0.31 11% 0.604
3.59 3.23 13% 0.736
6.33 0.07 13% 0.868
11.59 1.82 13% 1.000
χ²= 8.46 11.0704977

ft i χ²i
8.17 0.58
6.90 2.43
7.00 0.57
7.55 0.03
7.16 1.13
4.63 0.41
11.59 1.82
χ²= 6.96 9.48772904

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