Semana Periodo T Demanda 𝒙_𝒕 Mt Pronostico Error Error absoluto

1 65
2 70
3 50
4 66
5 40
6 50
7 63
8 49
9 49
10 77
11 95
12 94
13 50
14 73
15 92
16 45
17 10
18 39
19 27
20 80
21 72
22 55
23 62
24 81
25 65
26 64
27 70
28 68
29 59
30 98
31 88
32 10
33 50
34 59
35 83
36 30
37 90
38 73
39 35
40 80
41 79
42 88
43 58
44 71
45 85
46 79
47 63
48 57
49 50
50 71
51 0 112 72.00
52 1 53 67.67 72.00 -19.00 19.00
53 2 85 71.33 67.67 17.33 17.33
54 3 43 69.00 71.33 -28.33 28.33
55 4 47 68.50 69.00 -22.00 22.00
56 5 48 64.67 68.50 -20.50 20.50
57 6 73 58.17 64.67 8.33 8.33
58 7 23 53.17 58.17 -35.17 35.17
59 8 116 58.33 53.17 62.83 62.83
60 9 67 62.33 58.33 8.67 8.67
61 10 39 61.00 62.33 -23.33 23.33
62 11 81 66.50 61.00 20.00 20.00
63 12 67 65.50 66.50 0.50 0.50
64 13 58 71.33 65.50 -7.50 7.50
65 14 51 60.50 71.33 -20.33 20.33
66 15 52 58.00 60.50 -8.50 8.50
67 16 51 60.00 58.00 -7.00 7.00
68 17 65 57.33 60.00 5.00 5.00
69 18 56 55.50 57.33 -1.33 1.33
70 19 46 53.50 55.50 -9.50 9.50
71 20 75 57.50 53.50 21.50 21.50
72 21 47 56.67 57.50 -10.50 10.50
73 22 69 59.67 56.67 12.33 12.33
74 23 59 58.67 59.67 -0.67 0.67
75 24 54 58.33 58.67 -4.67 4.67
76 25 46 58.33 58.33 -12.33 12.33
77 26 44 53.17 58.33 -14.33 14.33
78 27 51 53.83 53.17 -2.17 2.17
79 28 41 49.17 53.83 -12.83 12.83
80 29 77 52.17 49.17 27.83 27.83
81 30 69 54.67 52.17 16.83 16.83
82 31 54 56.00 54.67 -0.67 0.67
83 32 76 61.33 56.00 20.00 20.00
84 33 88 67.50 61.33 26.67 26.67
85 34 55 69.83 67.50 -12.50 12.50
86 35 74 69.33 69.83 4.17 4.17
87 36 46 65.50 69.33 -23.33 23.33
88 37 49 64.67 65.50 -16.50 16.50
89 38 80 65.33 64.67 15.33 15.33
65.33
Error cuadratico APE APE' INV.MAX

120

100

80

60 f(x) = − 0.01450459652706
R² = 0.00035691531987613
40

20

0
0 10 20 30

De
 361.00 -35.8% -26.4%
300.44 20.4% 25.6%
802.78 -65.9% -39.7%
484.00 -46.8% -31.9%
420.25 -42.7% -29.9%
69.44 11.4% 12.9%
1236.69 -152.9% -60.5%
3948.03 54.2% 118.2%
75.11 12.9% 14.9%
544.44 -59.8% -37.4%
400.00 24.7% 32.8%
0.25 0.7% 0.8%
56.25 -12.9% -11.5%
413.44 -39.9% -28.5%
72.25 -16.3% -14.0%
49.00 -13.7% -12.1%
25.00 7.7% 8.3%
1.78 -2.4% -2.3%
90.25 -20.7% -17.1%
462.25 28.7% 40.2%
110.25 -22.3% -18.3%
152.11 17.9% 21.8%
0.44 -1.1% -1.1%
21.78 -8.6% -8.0%
152.11 -26.8% -21.1%
205.44 -32.6% -24.6%
4.69 -4.2% -4.1%
164.69 -31.3% -23.8%
774.69 36.1% 56.6%
283.36 24.4% 32.3%
0.44 -1.2% -1.2%
400.00 26.3% 35.7%
711.11 30.3% 43.5%
156.25 -22.7% -18.5%
17.36 5.6% 6.0%
544.44 -50.7% -33.7%
272.25 -33.7% -25.2%
235.11 19.2% 23.7%
368.93 -11.2% -0.5%

N ECM
6 368.93
10 351.27
12 334.96
15 341.33
20 339,837
 Demanda
120

100

80

60 f(x) = − 0.0145045965270684 x + 63.1695607763024

R² = 0.000356915319876139
40

20

0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Demanda Linear (Demanda )