De acuerdo a la información adjunta, hallar el caudal máximo de diseño usando el método de Nash y Gu

periodo de retorno, luego de graficar se pide analizar dichos resultados.

y enviarlo al aula virtual

AÑO    ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL

1976 166.12 216.11 356.27 366.02 105.68 64.39 45.17
1977 116.70 139.54 295.32 538.80 135.05 95.92 59.84
1978 136.98 195.25 289.98 239.88 80.68 58.29 47.86
1979 132.20 137.19 336.41 252.82 83.56 61.95 48.56
1980 194.27 243.15 318.96 314.97 117.80 68.13 49.56
1981 233.18 197.44 390.16 313.06 114.72 82.06 42.04
1982 253.58 241.34 515.44 370.23 106.29 72.56 56.26
1983 153.96 291.65 471.65 290.62 100.77 53.49 42.30
1984 196.47 252.72 312.22 277.68 118.79 61.56 65.41
1985 115.43 126.65 415.48 223.60 97.23 50.33 42.13
1986 235.32 208.38 176.72 124.52 89.98 57.39 53.54
1987 185.49 168.32 449.40 173.27 96.04 60.46 49.75
1988 136.71 143.39 180.28 109.03 63.14 46.61 33.23
1989 111.05 137.76 212.72 216.16 100.00 68.58 51.74
1990 254.79 171.61 184.54 224.46 77.51 59.45 48.10
1991 344.96 294.38 811.19 483.22 126.06 89.69 59.74
1992 172.49 262.41 511.84 548.07 96.54 51.74 67.83
1993 220.60 295.85 403.18 415.39 158.92 84.48 68.97
1994 298.89 224.81 412.72 253.96 99.98 76.40 57.87
1995 228.83 235.39 377.61 324.59 97.71 71.66 52.50
1996 232.62 304.99 352.13 166.25 73.89 63.33 48.43
1997 159.71 424.44 297.80 186.69 93.76 68.68 52.04
1998 111.81 192.81 152.44 124.34 85.03 57.77 53.43
1999 128.86 226.86 386.26 195.24 96.44 61.64 50.42
2000 117.39 128.93 118.26 117.67 53.66 48.26 37.00
2001 159.38 477.12 394.02 177.74 86.75 66.86 54.73
2002 175.78 316.33 190.04 192.78 97.74 65.56 48.87
2003 338.18 202.61 386.13 330.83 153.50 89.48 63.78
2004 137.39 711.05 599.96 346.45 171.98 93.50 58.63
2005 142.56 158.51 172.45 174.42 83.50 46.65 35.26
2006 169.67 165.61 198.15 269.23 105.86 52.48 40.77
2007 301.59 292.71 215.41 159.07 113.71 55.17 46.30
2008 254.42 314.40 191.03 243.25 124.02 62.16 46.13
2009 203.24 339.42 345.22 312.69 106.01 61.29 39.88
2010 133.24 131.26 116.60 88.70 52.02 47.96 38.80
2011 120.50 134.77 355.97 134.75 89.98 49.21 38.80
2012 133.24 131.26 116.60 88.70 52.02 47.96 38.80
2013 104.79 324.14 724.26 616.70 169.70 60.10 45.38
2014 369.20 471.45 390.88 262.42 46.03 41.42 47.85
2015 141.88 151.90 227.95 230.10 77.82 46.70 38.65
2016 219.99 309.73 257.57 318.30 103.22 54.47 42.65
o el método de Nash y Gumbel para 10, 50 y 100 año de

AGO SET OCT NOV DIC

45.89 46.05 71.51 66.87 74.62
53.48 62.97 86.95 66.90 119.73
48.42 76.01 95.97 108.91 124.39
50.61 50.68 91.60 95.14 191.83
48.96 48.34 61.19 97.18 102.39
39.97 55.80 61.09 166.90 288.00
53.90 67.71 59.68 81.40 87.40
42.02 48.79 63.55 130.15 237.50
47.68 44.35 73.94 103.64 144.05
44.83 34.17 95.04 99.02 139.99
52.04 57.34 115.66 125.78 124.40
47.53 49.31 116.63 102.37 110.08
37.39 50.32 82.44 94.76 100.00
49.53 53.21 85.85 106.32 150.51
52.77 66.25 104.42 164.89 285.66
53.35 60.95 84.59 66.87 64.80
60.17 60.55 70.78 93.52 134.58
61.30 72.04 131.70 164.83 233.00
52.44 68.24 98.04 229.84 431.27
51.89 66.77 95.04 160.97 276.75
43.71 46.24 68.22 75.53 85.92
53.24 53.86 66.73 113.72 127.00
45.40 63.55 64.78 93.34 108.76
49.55 57.59 68.66 93.77 104.39
39.29 67.51 102.68 128.33 221.14
47.59 44.09 89.26 171.02 195.03
43.04 48.69 107.13 181.83 257.07
53.36 53.96 70.46 94.29 176.88
45.04 45.14 106.68 78.79 144.01
34.40 52.22 53.21 63.00 89.88
38.22 39.74 57.01 82.96 132.62
41.37 48.88 62.40 114.26 173.58
41.38 31.38 48.48 61.81 85.66
33.78 37.45 100.53 90.54 67.33
38.36 37.77 84.72 144.04 109.44
38.48 39.34 54.20 61.61 85.25
38.36 37.77 84.72 144.04 109.44
38.81 57.65 95.52 193.34 277.41
40.63 37.61 41.35 70.27 92.57
41.12 43.00 47.31 94.78 114.10
41.82 41.21 63.55 73.22 69.69
De acuerdo a la información adjunta, hallar el caudal máximo de diseño usando el método de Nash y Gu
periodo de retorno, luego de graficar se pide analizar dichos resultados.
y enviarlo al aula virtual

AÑO    ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL

1976 166.12 216.11 356.27 366.02 105.68 64.39 45.17
1977 116.7 139.54 295.32 538.8 135.05 95.92 59.84
1978 136.98 195.25 289.98 239.88 80.68 58.29 47.86
1979 132.2 137.19 336.41 252.82 83.56 61.95 48.56
1980 194.27 243.15 318.96 314.97 117.8 68.13 49.56
1981 233.18 197.44 390.16 313.06 114.72 82.06 42.04
1982 253.58 241.34 515.44 370.23 106.29 72.56 56.26
1983 153.96 291.65 471.65 290.62 100.77 53.49 42.3
1984 196.47 252.72 312.22 277.68 118.79 61.56 65.41
1985 115.43 126.65 415.48 223.6 97.23 50.33 42.13
1986 235.32 208.38 176.72 124.52 89.98 57.39 53.54
1987 185.49 168.32 449.4 173.27 96.04 60.46 49.75
1988 136.71 143.39 180.28 109.03 63.14 46.61 33.23
1989 111.05 137.76 212.72 216.16 100 68.58 51.74
1990 254.79 171.61 184.54 224.46 77.51 59.45 48.1
1991 344.96 294.38 811.19 483.22 126.06 89.69 59.74
1992 172.49 262.41 511.84 548.07 96.54 51.74 67.83
1993 220.6 295.85 403.18 415.39 158.92 84.48 68.97
1994 298.89 224.81 412.72 253.96 99.98 76.4 57.87
1995 228.83 235.39 377.61 324.59 97.71 71.66 52.5
1996 232.62 304.99 352.13 166.25 73.89 63.33 48.43
1997 159.71 424.44 297.8 186.69 93.76 68.68 52.04
1998 111.81 192.81 152.44 124.34 85.03 57.77 53.43
1999 128.86 226.86 386.26 195.24 96.44 61.64 50.42
2000 117.39 128.93 118.26 117.67 53.66 48.26 37
2001 159.38 477.12 394.02 177.74 86.75 66.86 54.73
2002 175.78 316.33 190.04 192.78 97.74 65.56 48.87
2003 338.18 202.61 386.13 330.83 153.5 89.48 63.78
2004 137.39 711.05 599.96 346.45 171.98 93.5 58.63
2005 142.56 158.51 172.45 174.42 83.5 46.65 35.26
2006 169.67 165.61 198.15 269.23 105.86 52.48 40.77
2007 301.59 292.71 215.41 159.07 113.71 55.17 46.3
2008 254.42 314.4 191.03 243.25 124.02 62.16 46.13
2009 203.24 339.42 345.22 312.69 106.01 61.29 39.88
2010 133.24 131.26 116.6 88.7 52.02 47.96 38.8
2011 120.5 134.77 355.97 134.75 89.98 49.21 38.8
2012 133.24 131.26 116.6 88.7 52.02 47.96 38.8
2013 104.79 324.14 724.26 616.7 169.7 60.1 45.38
2014 369.2 471.45 390.88 262.42 46.03 41.42 47.85
2015 141.88 151.9 227.95 230.1 77.82 46.7 38.65
2016 219.99 309.73 257.57 318.3 103.22 54.47 42.65
o el método de Nash y Gumbel para 10, 50 y 100 año de

AGO SET OCT NOV DIC Qmax

45.89 46.05 71.51 66.87 74.62 366.02
53.48 62.97 86.95 66.9 119.73 538.80
48.42 76.01 95.97 108.91 124.39 289.98
50.61 50.68 91.6 95.14 191.83 336.41
48.96 48.34 61.19 97.18 102.39 318.96
39.97 55.8 61.09 166.9 288 390.16
53.9 67.71 59.68 81.4 87.4 515.44
42.02 48.79 63.55 130.15 237.5 471.65
47.68 44.35 73.94 103.64 144.05 312.22
44.83 34.17 95.04 99.02 139.99 415.48
52.04 57.34 115.66 125.78 124.4 235.32
47.53 49.31 116.63 102.37 110.08 449.40
37.39 50.32 82.44 94.76 100 180.28
49.53 53.21 85.85 106.32 150.51 216.16
52.77 66.25 104.42 164.89 285.66 285.66
53.35 60.95 84.59 66.87 64.8 811.19
60.17 60.55 70.78 93.52 134.58 548.07
61.3 72.04 131.7 164.83 233 415.39
52.44 68.24 98.04 229.84 431.27 431.27
51.89 66.77 95.04 160.97 276.75 377.61
43.71 46.24 68.22 75.53 85.92 352.13
53.24 53.86 66.73 113.72 127 424.44
45.4 63.55 64.78 93.34 108.76 192.81
49.55 57.59 68.66 93.77 104.39 386.26
39.29 67.51 102.68 128.33 221.14 221.14
47.59 44.09 89.26 171.02 195.03 477.12
43.04 48.69 107.13 181.83 257.07 316.33
53.36 53.96 70.46 94.29 176.88 386.13
45.04 45.14 106.68 78.79 144.01 711.05
34.4 52.22 53.21 63 89.88 174.42
38.22 39.74 57.01 82.96 132.62 269.23
41.37 48.88 62.4 114.26 173.58 301.59
41.38 31.38 48.48 61.81 85.66 314.40
33.78 37.45 100.53 90.54 67.33 345.22
38.36 37.77 84.72 144.04 109.44 144.04
38.48 39.34 54.2 61.61 85.25 355.97
38.36 37.77 84.72 144.04 109.44 144.04
38.81 57.65 95.52 193.34 277.41 724.26
40.63 37.61 41.35 70.27 92.57 471.45
41.12 43 47.31 94.78 114.1 230.10
41.82 41.21 63.55 73.22 69.69 318.30
Para los mismos datos de la tabla 6.14, del ejemplo 7, calcular el caudal de
diseño utilizando el método de Nash, para períodos de retorno de 50 y 100
años.

AÑO CAUDAL(m3/s) AÑO CAUDAL(m3/s)

1970 1660 1985 563

1971 917 1986 520
1972 3800 1987 360
1973 1410 1988 367
1974 2280 1989 658
1975 618 1990 824
1976 683 1991 850
1977 934 1992 1230
1978 779 1993 522
1979 921 1994 581
1980 876 1995 557
1981 740 1996 818
1982 1120 1997 1030
1983 610 1998 418
1984 1150 1999 953

AÑO Qmax Qmax

1 1976 366.02 811.19
2 1977 538.8 724.26
3 1978 289.98 711.05
4 1979 336.41 548.07
5 1980 318.96 538.8
6 1981 390.16 515.44
7 1982 515.44 477.12
8 1983 471.65 471.65
9 1984 312.22 471.45
10 1985 415.48 449.4
11 1986 235.32 431.27
12 1987 449.4 424.44
13 1988 180.28 415.48
14 1989 216.16 415.39
15 1990 285.66 390.16
16 1991 811.19 386.26
17 1992 548.07 386.13
18 1993 415.39 377.61
 19 1994 431.27 366.02
20 1995 377.61 355.97
21 1996 352.13 352.13
22 1997 424.44 345.22
23 1998 192.81 336.41
24 1999 386.26 318.96
25 2000 221.14 318.3
26 2001 477.12 316.33
27 2002 316.33 314.4
28 2003 386.13 312.22
29 2004 711.05 301.59
30 2005 174.42 289.98
31 2006 269.23 285.66
32 2007 301.59 269.23
33 2008 314.4 235.32
34 2009 345.22 230.1
35 2010 144.04 221.14
36 2011 355.97 216.16
37 2012 144.04 192.81
38 2013 724.26 180.28
39 2014 471.45 174.42
40 2015 230.1 144.04
41 2016 318.3 144.04

Solucion:

DESARROLLO
N° Q m Q T T/T-1
1 811.19 1 366.02 42 1.02439
2 724.26 2 538.8 21 1.05
3 711.05 3 289.98 14 1.076923
4 548.07 4 336.41 10.5 1.105263
5 538.8 5 318.96 8.4 1.135135
6 515.44 6 390.16 7 1.166667
7 477.12 7 515.44 6 1.2
8 471.65 8 471.65 5.25 1.235294
9 471.45 9 312.22 4.66667 1.272727
10 449.4 10 415.48 4.2 1.3125
11 431.27 11 235.32 3.81818 1.354839
 12 424.44 12 449.4 3.5 1.4
13 415.48 13 180.28 3.23077 1.448276
14 415.39 14 216.16 3 1.5
15 390.16 15 285.66 2.8 1.555556
16 386.26 16 811.19 2.625 1.615385
17 386.13 17 548.07 2.47059 1.68
18 377.61 18 415.39 2.33333 1.75
19 366.02 19 431.27 2.21053 1.826087
20 355.97 20 377.61 2.1 1.909091
21 352.13 21 352.13 2 2
22 345.22 22 424.44 1.90909 2.1
23 336.41 23 192.81 1.82609 2.210526
24 318.96 24 386.26 1.75 2.333333
25 318.3 25 221.14 1.68 2.470588
26 316.33 26 477.12 1.61538 2.625
27 314.4 27 316.33 1.55556 2.8
28 312.22 28 386.13 1.5 3
29 301.59 29 711.05 1.44828 3.230769
30 289.98 30 174.42 1.4 3.5
31 285.66 31 269.23 1.35484 3.818182
32 269.23 32 301.59 1.3125 4.2
33 235.32 33 314.4 1.27273 4.666667
34 230.1 34 345.22 1.23529 5.25
35 221.14 35 144.04 1.2 6
36 216.16 36 355.97 1.16667 7
37 192.81 37 144.04 1.13514 8.4
38 180.28 38 724.26 1.10526 10.5
39 174.42 39 471.45 1.07692 14
40 144.04 40 230.1 1.05 21
41 144.04 41 318.3 1.02439 42
Σ 15165.9
n 41

Cálculo de Qm y Xm:

Qm= 369.9

Xm= -0.5986

Cálculo de los parámetros a y b: De la ecuación (6.34), se tiene:

 b= -31.48704312312

a= 351.0532

Cálculo del caudal máximo:

Sustituyendo los valores de los parámetros a y b, en la ecuación (6.32), se tiene:

Qm= T: 10
393.23126883274

Qm= T: 50
415.8159272093

Qm= T: 100
425.36371172202

Cálculo de las desviaciones estándar y covarianza:

Sxx= 414.640
SQQ= 37087187.8616
SXQ= -13055.78876032

Calculo de los intervalos de confianza:

ΔQ=

Hallando X: T: 50
x: -2.0568 ΔQ= 429.54
T: 100
-2.3600 491.45

Cálculo del caudal de diseño:

 Cálculo del caudal de diseño:

T: 50

Qd: 822.771268833 m3/s

T: 50

Qd: 845.355927209 m3/s

T: 100
Qd: 916.813711722 m3/s
 X Q*X Q2 X2
-1.98024 -724.8085 133970.6404 3.92136143
-1.67388 -901.8884 290305.44 2.80188567
-1.49235 -432.7519 84088.4004 2.22711079
-1.36185 -458.1411 113171.6881 1.85464464
-1.25926 -401.6542 101735.4816 1.58574047
-1.17427 -458.1533 152224.8256 1.37891061
-1.10138 -567.6941 265678.3936 1.21303277
-1.0373 -489.2414 222453.7225 1.07598611
-0.97991 -305.9465 97481.3284 0.96021716
-0.92775 -385.4627 172623.6304 0.86072495
-0.8798 -207.0336 55375.5024 0.77404108
-0.83527 -375.3687 201960.36 0.69767005
-0.79358 -143.0658 32500.8784 0.62976199
-0.75426 -163.0413 46725.1456 0.56891147
-0.71696 -204.8062 81601.6356 0.51402846
-0.68136 -552.7131 658029.2161 0.46425266
-0.64722 -354.7224 300380.7249 0.41889492
-0.61433 -255.1848 172548.8521 0.3773961
-0.58249 -251.2116 185993.8129 0.33929772
-0.55156 -208.2752 142589.3121 0.30422036
-0.52139 -183.5971 123995.5369 0.27184777
-0.49185 -208.7602 180149.3136 0.2419149
-0.46282 -89.23559 37175.6961 0.21419884
-0.43418 -167.7062 149196.7876 0.18851191
-0.40583 -89.74483 48902.8996 0.16469646
-0.37765 -180.1853 227643.4944 0.14262101
-0.34954 -110.5697 100064.6689 0.12217749
-0.32137 -124.0911 149096.3769 0.10327947
-0.29302 -208.3528 505592.1025 0.08586146
-0.26435 -46.10737 30422.3364 0.06987922
-0.23518 -63.3186 72484.7929 0.05531153
-0.20534 -61.92795 90956.5281 0.04216378
-0.17457 -54.88464 98847.36 0.0304745
-0.14257 -49.21851 119176.8484 0.02032661
-0.10894 -15.69114 20747.5216 0.01186705
-0.07309 -26.01888 126714.6409 0.00534257
-0.0342 -4.925704 20747.5216 0.00116942
0.009106 6.595296 524552.5476 8.29239E-05
0.059233 27.92546 222265.1025 0.00350856
0.121303 27.91193 52946.01 0.01471454
0.210385 66.96562 101314.89 0.04426194
-24.5409 -9396.102 6514431.9676 24.8023014
N° AÑO    ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN
1 1976 166.12 216.11 356.27 366.02 105.68 64.39
2 1977 116.7 139.54 295.32 538.8 135.05 95.92
3 1978 136.98 195.25 289.98 239.88 80.68 58.29
4 1979 132.2 137.19 336.41 252.82 83.56 61.95
5 1980 194.27 243.15 318.96 314.97 117.8 68.13
6 1981 233.18 197.44 390.16 313.06 114.72 82.06
7 1982 253.58 241.34 515.44 370.23 106.29 72.56
8 1983 153.96 291.65 471.65 290.62 100.77 53.49
9 1984 196.47 252.72 312.22 277.68 118.79 61.56
10 1985 115.43 126.65 415.48 223.6 97.23 50.33
11 1986 235.32 208.38 176.72 124.52 89.98 57.39
12 1987 185.49 168.32 449.4 173.27 96.04 60.46
13 1988 136.71 143.39 180.28 109.03 63.14 46.61
14 1989 111.05 137.76 212.72 216.16 100 68.58
15 1990 254.79 171.61 184.54 224.46 77.51 59.45
16 1991 344.96 294.38 811.19 483.22 126.06 89.69
17 1992 172.49 262.41 511.84 548.07 96.54 51.74
18 1993 220.6 295.85 403.18 415.39 158.92 84.48
19 1994 298.89 224.81 412.72 253.96 99.98 76.4
20 1995 228.83 235.39 377.61 324.59 97.71 71.66
21 1996 232.62 304.99 352.13 166.25 73.89 63.33
22 1997 159.71 424.44 297.8 186.69 93.76 68.68
23 1998 111.81 192.81 152.44 124.34 85.03 57.77
24 1999 128.86 226.86 386.26 195.24 96.44 61.64
25 2000 117.39 128.93 118.26 117.67 53.66 48.26
26 2001 159.38 477.12 394.02 177.74 86.75 66.86
27 2002 175.78 316.33 190.04 192.78 97.74 65.56
28 2003 338.18 202.61 386.13 330.83 153.5 89.48
29 2004 137.39 711.05 599.96 346.45 171.98 93.5
30 2005 142.56 158.51 172.45 174.42 83.5 46.65
31 2006 169.67 165.61 198.15 269.23 105.86 52.48
32 2007 301.59 292.71 215.41 159.07 113.71 55.17
33 2008 254.42 314.4 191.03 243.25 124.02 62.16
34 2009 203.24 339.42 345.22 312.69 106.01 61.29
35 2010 133.24 131.26 116.6 88.7 52.02 47.96
36 2011 120.5 134.77 355.97 134.75 89.98 49.21
37 2012 133.24 131.26 116.6 88.7 52.02 47.96
38 2013 104.79 324.14 724.26 616.7 169.7 60.1
39 2014 369.2 471.45 390.88 262.42 46.03 41.42
40 2015 141.88 151.9 227.95 230.1 77.82 46.7
41 2016 219.99 309.73 257.57 318.3 103.22 54.47

METODO GUMBEL

ΣQ= 15165.9 ^
〖𝛴𝑄〗 ^2= 6514432.0

Cálculo de caudal promedio:

𝑄_𝑚=(∑▒𝑄)/𝑁 𝑄_(𝑚 )= 369.9000 𝑚^3/𝑠

Calculo de la desviacion estandar de los caudales:

𝜎_𝑄=√(((∑▒ 〖𝑄 ^2)−𝑁∗ 〖 (𝑄_𝑚) 〗 ^2 〗 )/(𝑁−1))𝜎_𝑄=

22614.138940
𝜎_𝑄= 150.3800

Calculo de los coeficientes:

𝑌_𝑁= 0.5442
𝜎_𝑁= 1.1436

Calculo del caudal máximo para :

𝑄_𝑚á𝑥=𝑄_𝑚−𝜎_𝑄/𝜎_𝑁 (𝑌_𝑁−𝐿𝑁(𝑇))

T= 10 años 𝑄_𝑚á𝑥= 601.1224

T= 50 años 𝑄_𝑚á𝑥= 812.7587
T= 100 años 𝑄_𝑚á𝑥= 903.9054

Calculo de φ: ∅=1−1/𝑇

T= 10 años ∅= 0.9
T= 50 años ∅= 0.98
T= 100 años ∅= 0.99
Calculo de intervalo de confianza:

∆𝑄=±(1.14∗𝜎_𝑄)/𝜎_𝑁
 ∆𝑄=±(1.14∗𝜎_𝑄)/𝜎_𝑁
∆𝑄=± 149.9065926062

Calculo del caudal de diseño:

𝑄_𝑑=𝑄_𝑚á𝑥+∆𝑄

T= 10 años 𝑄_𝑑= 751.0290

T= 50 años 𝑄_𝑑= 962.6653
T= 100 años 𝑄_𝑑= 1053.8120

Se obtiene como resultados : a los 10 años un caudal de 751.029 con una

probabilidad de 90% , a los 50 años un caudal de 962.6653 con una probabilidad
de 98% y a los 100 años un caudal de 1053.8066 con una probabilidad de 99% los
cuales a mayor periodo de retorno va aumentando.
JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC Q(𝑚^3/𝑠)𝑸^𝟐(𝑚^3/𝑠)
45.17 45.89 46.05 71.51 66.87 74.62 366.02 133970.64
59.84 53.48 62.97 86.95 66.9 119.73 538.8 290305.44
47.86 48.42 76.01 95.97 108.91 124.39 289.98 84088.4004
48.56 50.61 50.68 91.6 95.14 191.83 336.41 113171.688
49.56 48.96 48.34 61.19 97.18 102.39 318.96 101735.482
42.04 39.97 55.8 61.09 166.9 288 390.16 152224.826
56.26 53.9 67.71 59.68 81.4 87.4 515.44 265678.394
42.3 42.02 48.79 63.55 130.15 237.5 471.65 222453.723
65.41 47.68 44.35 73.94 103.64 144.05 312.22 97481.3284
42.13 44.83 34.17 95.04 99.02 139.99 415.48 172623.63
53.54 52.04 57.34 115.66 125.78 124.4 235.32 55375.5024
49.75 47.53 49.31 116.63 102.37 110.08 449.4 201960.36
33.23 37.39 50.32 82.44 94.76 100 180.28 32500.8784
51.74 49.53 53.21 85.85 106.32 150.51 216.16 46725.1456
48.1 52.77 66.25 104.42 164.89 285.66 285.66 81601.6356
59.74 53.35 60.95 84.59 66.87 64.8 811.19 658029.216
67.83 60.17 60.55 70.78 93.52 134.58 548.07 300380.725
68.97 61.3 72.04 131.7 164.83 233 415.39 172548.852
57.87 52.44 68.24 98.04 229.84 431.27 431.27 185993.813
52.5 51.89 66.77 95.04 160.97 276.75 377.61 142589.312
48.43 43.71 46.24 68.22 75.53 85.92 352.13 123995.537
52.04 53.24 53.86 66.73 113.72 127 424.44 180149.314
53.43 45.4 63.55 64.78 93.34 108.76 192.81 37175.6961
50.42 49.55 57.59 68.66 93.77 104.39 386.26 149196.788
37 39.29 67.51 102.68 128.33 221.14 221.14 48902.8996
54.73 47.59 44.09 89.26 171.02 195.03 477.12 227643.494
48.87 43.04 48.69 107.13 181.83 257.07 316.33 100064.669
63.78 53.36 53.96 70.46 94.29 176.88 386.13 149096.377
58.63 45.04 45.14 106.68 78.79 144.01 711.05 505592.103
35.26 34.4 52.22 53.21 63 89.88 174.42 30422.3364
40.77 38.22 39.74 57.01 82.96 132.62 269.23 72484.7929
46.3 41.37 48.88 62.4 114.26 173.58 301.59 90956.5281
46.13 41.38 31.38 48.48 61.81 85.66 314.4 98847.36
39.88 33.78 37.45 100.53 90.54 67.33 345.22 119176.848
38.8 38.36 37.77 84.72 144.04 109.44 144.04 20747.5216
38.8 38.48 39.34 54.2 61.61 85.25 355.97 126714.641
38.8 38.36 37.77 84.72 144.04 109.44 144.04 20747.5216
45.38 38.81 57.65 95.52 193.34 277.41 724.26 524552.548
47.85 40.63 37.61 41.35 70.27 92.57 471.45 222265.103
38.65 41.12 43 47.31 94.78 114.1 230.1 52946.01
42.65 41.82 41.21 63.55 73.22 69.69 318.3 101314.89
ΣQ= 15165.9 〖𝛴𝑄〗 ^2=

150.379982
51.029 con una
con una probabilidad
robabilidad de 99% los
6514431.97
 Qd
PERIDO (T) GUMBEL NASH
10 751.029 822.771269
50 962.665 845.359
100 1053.81 916.813712

1053.81
962.665
916.813712
822.771269 845.359
751.029

PERIDO (T); 50 PERIDO (T); 100

PERIDO (T); 10
1 2 3

DEL GRAFICO PODEMOS CONCLUIR QUE A MAYOR PERIODO DE RETORNO LOS CAUDALES YA SE CALCULADO POR
AUDALES YA SE CALCULADO POR NASH O GUMBEL TIENDE A AUMENTAR