BULAN

TAHUN
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun
2000 96 76 57 44 28 99
2001 76 87 57 119 199 47
2002 36 82 111 149 52 88
2003 96 32 48 166 169 45
2004 106 82 136 72 46 85
2005 56 79 74 65 74 58
2006 50 22 64 69 99 74
2007 149 98 32 58 42 67
2008 199 82 30 72 109 58
2009 99 11 34 73 139 72
2010 61 6 80 74 99 39
2011 21 199 43 43 134 37
2012 37 11 34 73 109 109
2013 53 45 139 89 50 64
2014 88 45 54 66 99 100
2015 66 87 95 89 115 77

X 9
XX 99
XXX 99

NO TAHUN Xi (Max) Xi-x̄ (Xi-x̄)^2 Log Xi (LogXi-Logx̄)^2

1 2000 99 -51.75 2678.06 1.9956 0.0286

2 2001 199 48.25 2328.06 2.2989 0.0180
3 2002 149 -1.75 3.06 2.1732 0.0001
4 2003 169 18.25 333.06 2.2279 0.0040
5 2004 199 48.25 2328.06 2.2989 0.0180
6 2005 98 -52.75 2782.56 1.9912 0.0301
7 2006 199 48.25 2328.06 2.2989 0.0180
8 2007 149 -1.75 3.06 2.1732 0.0001
9 2008 199 48.25 2328.06 2.2989 0.0180
10 2009 139 -11.75 138.06 2.1430 0.0005
11 2010 120 -30.75 945.56 2.0792 0.0073
12 2011 199 48.25 2328.06 2.2989 0.0180
13 2012 109 -41.75 1743.06 2.0374 0.0162
14 2013 139 -11.75 138.06 2.1430 0.0005
15 2014 127 -23.75 564.06 2.1038 0.0037
16 2015 119 -31.75 1008.06 2.0755 0.0080
Σ 2412 21977.0 34.64 0.1889

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS GUMBEL

 1. Hitung paramater statistik data
x̄ = Σ Xi/n
= 2412
= 150.75
16
S = √((Σ(Xi-x̄)^2)/(n-1))
= 21977.0
= 38.28
16-1

2. Hitung K
n Yn Sn YG INI GA USH DI PAKE GILA
15 0.5128 1.0210
16 0.5150 1.0294
20 0.5236 1.0630
(Interpolasi)
Y = ((X - X1) * Y2) + ((X2 - X) *INI
Y1)JUGA GA USH DI PAKE PAOK
(X2 -X1) xt=x + (yt-yn)/sn.S
Yn = ((16 - 15) * 0,5236 ) + ((20 - 16) * 0,5128 )
(20 -15)
= 0.5236 + 2.0512
= 0.5150
5
Sn = ((16 - 15) * 1,063 ) + ((20 - 16) * 1,021 )
(20 -15)
= 1.063 + 4.084
= 1.0294
5
Yt = -LN(-LN((T-1)/T))
Yt 29 = 3.3498 INI DI PAKAI
Yt 59 = 4.0690
K = (Yt-Yn)/Sn
K 22 = 3.3498 - 0.5150 INI JG GA DI PAKE
= 2.7539
1.0294
K 57 = 4.0690 - 0.5150
= 3.4525
1.0294

3. Hitung nilai hujan rencana

X = x̄ + S x K INI G USH DI PAKE YA
X 22 = 150.75 + 38.28 x 2.7539 =
X 52 = 150.75 + 38.28 x 3.4525 =

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS NORMAL

1. Hitung paramater statistik data
x̄ = 150.75
S = 38.28

2. Hitung KT
T KT
 20 1.64
29 1.76
50 2.05
59 2.10
100 2.33
(Interpolasi)
Y = ((X - X1) * Y2) + ((X2 - X) * Y1)
(X2 -X1)
KT 22 = ((29- 20) * 2,05) + ((50 - 29) * 1,64)
(50 -20)
= 18.45 + 34.44
= 1.76
30
KT 52 = ((59 - 50) * 2,33) + ((100 - 59) * 2,05)
(100-50)
= 20.97 + 84.05
= 2.10
50
3. Hitung nilai hujan rencana
XT = x̄ + KT x S
XT 22 = 150.75 + 38.28 x 1.76 =
XT 52 = 150.75 + 38.28 x 2.10 =

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG NORMAL

1. Hitung paramater statistik data
Log x̄ = Σ LogXi/n
= 34.64
= 2.1648
16
S Log X = √Σ(LogXi-Logx̄)^2/(n-1)
= 0.1889
= 0.1122
15

2. Hitung KT
KT (Interpolasi)
KT 22 = 1.76
KT 52 = 2.10

3. Hitung nilai hujan rencana

LOG XT = Log x̄ + KT x S Log X
LOG XT 22 = 2.1648 + 1.76 x 0.1122 =
LOG XT 52 = 2.1648 + 2.10 x 0.1122 =

XT = 10^Log XT (Inverse Log), Maka

XT 22 = 230.51
XT 52 = 251.51

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG PEARSON TYPE III

 1. Hitung paramater statistik data
Log x̄ = 2.1648
S Log X = 0.1122
Cs = n . Σ(LogXi-Logx̄)^3
(n-1).(n-2).(SLogX)^3
= 16 x 0.0026
(15) (14) 0.0014
= 0.0416
= 0.1402 = 0.1
0.2968

2. Hitung KT
CS 10 29 25 50 59
0 1.282 1.751 2.051
0.1402 1.301 1.956 1.818 2.159 2.215
0.4 1.317 1.88 2.261
(Interpolasi)
Y = ((X - X1) * Y2) + ((X2 - X) * Y1)
(X2 -X1)
(29;0,37) = ((22- 10) * 1,874) + ((25 - 22) * 1,315)
(25-10)
= 34.5420 + -5.2040
= 1.956
15

(59;0,37) = ((59- 50) * 2,598) + ((100 - 59) * 2,249)

= 22.2480 + 88.5190
= 2.215
50

3. Hitung nilai hujan rencana

Log XT = Log x̄ + KT x S Log X
Log XT 29 = 2.1648 + 1.956 x 0.1122 =
Log XT 59 = 2.1648 + 2.215 x 0.1122 =

XT = 10^Log XT (Inverse Log), Maka

XT 29 = 242.2854
XT 59 = 259.0871
=
=
ULAN
Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des
43 54 60 74 73 36
142 67 38 56 48 83
86 147 126 75 40 42
38 100 167 53 54 119
44 199 93 83 74 42
51 98 76 76 67 91
38 14 143 78 98 199
64 71 50 65 148 130
51 98 76 76 47 96
46 134 37 24 53 24
82 39 120 63 89 71
24 53 24 30 58 96
48 90 40 76 109 76
54 93 29 112 139 72
99 104 111 118 127 119
89 93 110 112 119 119

(LogXi-
Logx̄)^3
-0.0048
0.0024
0.0000
0.0003
0.0024
-0.0052
0.0024
0.0000
0.0024
0.0000
-0.0006
0.0024
-0.0021
0.0000
-0.0002
-0.0007
0.0026
 150.75+X 29 (3.3498-0.5353) X 38.28
1.108
247.98
150.75+ X59 (4.0690-0.5518) X 38.28
1.1734
265.4922
xt=x + (yt-yn)/sn.S
X29 247.98
X59 265.4922

H DI PAKE YA
256.16
282.90
218.23
231.15

2.36
2.40

6.319904
 T=27 TAHUN
Log X27=

LOG
100
2.326 YANG SAMPENG JANGAN DI PAKE
2.472 YANG MERAH YG DI PAKE YA PAOK
2.615

CS 10 25 29 50 59 100
0 1.282 1.751 2.051 2.326
0.1402 1.301 1.818 1.956 2.159 2.215 2.472
0.4 1.317 1.88 2.261 2.615

2.384327
2.413446

2.3843
2.4134
 Metode Chi-Kuadrat (χ2) χ2
1. Data hujan diurut dari besar ke kecil.

NO TAHUN Xi (Max) Xi (berurut)

1 2000 99 189
2 2001 199 169
3 2002 149 166
4 2003 169 149
5 2004 199 143
6 2005 98 142
7 2006 199 139
8 2007 149 139
9 2008 199 134
10 2009 139 129
11 2010 120 129
12 2011 199 127
13 2012 109 120
14 2013 139 119
15 2014 127 109
16 2015 119 109
Σ 2412

2. Menghitung jumlah kelas

n = 16
K = 1 + 3,3 log n = 1 + 33 log 16
= 5.0 ~ 5

3. Menghitung derajat kebebasan (Dk) dan χ²cr

P = 2
Dk = K-(P + 1) = 5-(2+1)
= 2
α = 5%
χ²cr = 5.9910 ( ganti dengan lampiran 3.7)

4. Menghitung kelas distribusi

Kelas Distribusi 100
5
= 20.00 %
interval Distribusi 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00
PX = 20.00
T = 1/Px
= 5 tahun
PX = 40.00
T = 1/Px
= 2.5 tahun
 PX = 60.00
T = 1/Px
= 1.67 tahun
PX = 80.00
T = 1/Px
= 1.25 tahun

5. Menghitung Interval kelas

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS GUMBEL
n = 16
Yn = 0.5150
Sn = 1.0294
T = 5 Yt = 1.500 K = 0.9568
T = 2.5 Yt = 0.672 K = 0.1523
T = 1.67 Yt = 0.087 K = - 0.4153
T = 1.25 Yt = -0.476 K = - 0.9625
x̄ = 150.75
S = 38.28 77
XT = x̄+SK
X 5 = 187.3754 mm
X 2.5 = 156.5792 mm
X 1.67 = 134.8525 mm
X 1.25 = 113.9066 mm

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS NORMAL

T = 5 KT = 0.84
T = 2.5 KT = 0.25
T = 1.67 KT = -0.25
T = 1.25 KT = -0.84
x̄ = 150.75
S = 38.28
XT = x̄+KTS
X 5 = 182.9027 mm
X 2.5 = 160.3193 mm
X 1.67 = 141.1807 mm
X 1.25 = 118.5973 mm

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG NORMAL

T = 5 KT = 0.84
T = 2.5 KT = 0.25
T = 1.67 KT = -0.25
T = 1.25 KT = -0.84
Log x̄ = 2.1648
S Log X = 0.1122
LOG XT = Log x̄ + KT x S Log X
LOG XT 5 = 2.2591 mm maka X 5 =
LOG XT 2.5 = 2.1929 mm (inv.log) X 2.5 =
LOG XT 1.67 = 2.1368 mm X 1.67 =
LOG XT 1.25 = 2.0706 mm X 1.25 =

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG PEARSON TYPE III

CS = 0.1402
T = 5 KT = 0.8160
T = 2.5 KT = 0.0736
T = 1.67 KT = -0.7203
T = 1.25 KT = -1.5531
Log x̄ = 2.1648
S Log X = 0.1122
LOG XT = Log x̄ + KT x S Log X
LOG XT 5 = 2.2564 mm maka X 5 =
LOG XT 2.5 = 2.1731 mm (inv.log) X 2.5 =
LOG XT 1.67 = 2.0840 mm X 1.67 =
LOG XT 1.25 = 1.9905 mm X 1.25 =

6. Perhitungan nilai χ²
DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS NORMAL
KELAS Interval Ef Of Of-Ef (Of-Ef)^2/Ef
1 > 182.9027 3.6 3 -1 0.10
2 160.3193 - 182.9027 3.6 5 1 0.54
3 141.1807 - 160.3193 3.6 4 0 0.04
4 118.5973 - 141.1807 3.6 2 -2 0.71
5 < 118.5973 3.6 4 0 0.04
Σ 18 18 χ² 1.44

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG NORMAL

KELAS Interval Ef Of Of-Ef (Of-Ef)^2/Ef
1 > 181.5944 3.2 3 0 0.01
2 155.9162 - 181.5944 3.2 5 2 1.01
3 137.0189 - 155.9162 3.2 4 1 0.20
4 117.6439 - 137.0189 3.2 2 -1 0.45
5 < 117.6439 3.2 4 1 0.20
Σ 16 18 χ² 1.88

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS GUMBEL

KELAS Interval Ef Of Of-Ef (Of-Ef)^2/Ef
1 > 187.3754 3.2 3 0 0.01
2 156.5792 - 187.3754 3.2 5 2 1.01
3 134.8525 - 156.5792 3.2 4 1 0.20
4 113.9066 - 134.8525 3.2 2 -1 0.45
5 < 113.9066 3.2 4 1 0.20
 Σ 16 18 χ² 1.88

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG PEARSON TYPE III

KELAS Interval Ef Of Of-Ef (Of-Ef)^2/Ef
1 > 180.4717 3.2 3 0 0.01
2 148.9688 - 180.4717 3.2 6 3 2.45
3 121.3395 - 148.9688 3.2 5 2 1.01
4 97.8462 - 121.3395 3.2 3 0 0.01
5 < 97.8462 3.2 1 -2 1.51
Σ 16 18 χ² 5.00

7. Rekapitulasi

Distribusi probabilitas χ² terhitung χ²cr KETERANGAN

Normal 1.44 5.9910 Diterima

Log normal 1.88 5.9910 Diterima
Gumbel 1.88 5.9910 Diterima
Log Pearson III 5.00 5.9910 Diterima
 181.5944
155.9162
137.0189
117.6439

180.4717
148.9688
121.3395
97.8462

(Of-Ef)^2/Ef

(Of-Ef)^2/Ef

(Of-Ef)^2/Ef
(Of-Ef)^2/Ef
 DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS NORMAL
i Xi Pi(xi) F(t) P'(Xi) ∆P
1 189 0.06 1.00 0.0113 -0.05
2 169 0.12 0.48 0.0375 -0.08
3 166 0.18 0.40 0.0918 -0.08
4 149 0.24 -0.05 0.7357 0.50
5 143 0.29 -0.20 0.351 0.06
6 142 0.35 -0.23 0.3669 0.01
7 139 0.41 -0.31 0.4168 0.01
8 139 0.47 -0.31 0.4168 -0.05
9 134 0.53 -0.44 0.496 -0.03
10 129 0.59 -0.57 0.5793 -0.01
11 129 0.65 -0.57 0.5793 -0.07
12 127 0.71 -0.62 0.6103 -0.10
13 120 0.76 -0.80 0.7157 -0.05
14 119 0.82 -0.83 0.7291 -0.09
15 109 0.88 -1.09 0.8461 -0.04
16 109 0.94 -1.09 0.8461 -0.10

x̄ = 150.75
S = 38.28
∆P Maks = 0.50
a = 5 %
∆Pc = 0.31 interpolasi
∆Pmax < ∆Pc Okey

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG NORMAL

i Log Xi Pi(xi) F(t) P'(Xi) ∆P
1 2.28 0.06 2.02 0.0217 -0.04
2 2.23 0.12 1.39 0.0823 -0.04
3 2.22 0.18 1.29 0.0985 -0.08
4 2.17 0.24 0.69 0.2451 0.01
5 2.16 0.29 0.46 0.3228 0.03
6 2.15 0.35 0.42 0.3372 -0.02
7 2.14 0.41 0.30 0.3821 -0.03
8 2.14 0.47 0.30 0.3821 -0.09
9 2.13 0.53 0.09 0.4641 -0.07
10 2.11 0.59 -0.12 0.5478 -0.04
11 2.11 0.65 -0.12 0.5478 -0.10
12 2.10 0.71 -0.21 0.5832 -0.12
13 2.08 0.76 -0.53 0.7019 -0.06
14 2.08 0.82 -0.57 0.7157 -0.11
15 2.04 0.88 -1.07 0.8577 -0.02
16 2.04 0.94 -1.07 0.8577 -0.08
Log x̄ = 2.1200
 S Log X = 0.0775
∆Pmax = 0.03
a = 5 %
∆Pc = 0.31 interpolasi dengan n 18
∆Pmax < ∆Pc gak

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG PEARSON III

i Log Xi Pi(xi) F(t) P'(Xi) ∆P
1 2.28 0.06 2.02 0.3419 0.28
2 2.23 0.12 1.39 0.1194 0.00
3 2.22 0.18 1.29 0.0973 -0.08
4 2.17 0.24 0.69 0.0457 -0.19
5 2.16 0.29 0.46 0.0379 -0.26
6 2.15 0.35 0.42 0.0365 -0.32
7 2.14 0.41 0.30 0.0324 -0.38
8 2.14 0.47 0.30 0.0324 -0.44
9 2.13 0.53 0.09 0.0253 -0.50
10 2.11 0.59 -0.12 0.0182 -0.57
11 2.11 0.65 -0.12 0.0182 -0.63
12 2.10 0.71 -0.21 0.0151 -0.69
13 2.08 0.76 -0.53 0.0042 -0.76
14 2.08 0.82 -0.57 0.0029 -0.82
15 2.04 0.88 -1.07 -0.0141 -0.90
16 2.04 0.94 -1.07 -0.0141 -0.96
Log x̄ = 2.1200
S Log X = 0.0775
Cs = 0.1
∆Pmax = 0.28
a = 5 %
∆Pc = 0.31 interpolasi dengan n 18
∆Pmax < ∆Pc gak

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS GUMBEL TABEL GAMBEL

i Xi Pi(xi) F(t) P'(Xi) ∆P YT T
1 189 0.06 1.00 0.0535 -0.01 1.5436 18.693
2 169 0.12 0.48 0.1222 0.00 1.0058 8.1812
3 166 0.18 0.40 0.1379 -0.04 0.9251 7.251
4 149 0.24 -0.05 0.2659 0.03 0.4679 3.7605
5 143 0.29 -0.20 0.3300 0.04 0.3065 3.03
6 142 0.35 -0.23 0.3418 -0.01 0.2796 2.926
7 139 0.41 -0.31 0.3788 -0.03 0.1990 2.6402
8 139 0.47 -0.31 0.3788 -0.09 0.1990 2.6402
9 134 0.53 -0.44 0.4460 -0.08 0.0645 2.242
10 129 0.59 -0.57 0.5195 -0.07 -0.0700 1.9248
11 129 0.65 -0.57 0.5195 -0.13 -0.0700 1.9248
 12 127 0.71 -0.62 0.5503 -0.16 -0.1238 1.8173
13 120 0.76 -0.80 0.6035 -0.16 -0.3120 1.657
14 119 0.82 -0.83 0.6711 -0.15 -0.3389 1.49
15 109 0.88 -1.09 0.7692 -0.11 -0.6078 1.3
16 109 0.94 -1.09 0.8241 -0.12 -0.6078 1.21339
YT HARUS SAMA DENGAN -LN(5) DENGA
x̄ = 150.75 Yn = 0.5150
S = 38.28 Sn = 1.0294
∆Pmax = 0.04
a = 5 %
∆Pc = 0.31 interpolasi dengan n 16
∆Pmax < ∆Pc gak
 T-1 (T-1)/T LN(T-1)/T LN(5)
17.693 0.95 -0.05 0.05 -2.90 2.9008
7.1812 0.88 -0.13 0.13 -2.04 2.0374
6.251 0.86 -0.15 0.15 -1.91 1.9079
2.7605 0.73 -0.31 0.31 -1.17 1.1740
2.03 0.67 -0.40 0.40 -0.91 0.9150
1.926 0.66 -0.42 0.42 -0.87 0.8718
1.6402 0.62 -0.48 0.48 -0.74 0.7423
1.6402 0.62 -0.48 0.48 -0.74 0.7423
1.242 0.55 -0.59 0.59 -0.53 0.5265
0.9248 0.48 -0.73 0.73 -0.31 0.3106
0.9248 0.48 -0.73 0.73 -0.31 0.3106
 0.8173 0.45 -0.80 0.80 -0.22 0.2243
0.657 0.40 -0.93 0.93 -0.08 0.0779
0.49 0.33 -1.11 1.11 0.11 -0.1063
0.3 0.23 -1.47 1.47 0.38 -0.3828
0.21339 0.18 -1.74 1.74 0.55 -0.5528
S SAMA DENGAN -LN(5) DENGAN GANTI ANGKA YT