Station

Surface
X
Y

Années Pjmax
1990/91 66.2 31.3
1991/92 33.2 33.2
1992/93 31.3 34.6
1993/94 66.3 38.9
1994/95 68 39.7
1995/96 69.2 39.9
1996/97 59.8 40.2
1997/98 44.6 41.4
1998/99 41.4 44.1
1999/00 39.7 44.4
2000/01 34.6 44.6
2001/02 45.2 45.2
2002/03 48.5 48.5
2003/04 44.1 48.7
2004/05 40.2 48.9
2005/06 48.9 49.5
2006/07 38.9 50.2
2007/08 39.9 54.4
2008/09 48.7 54.4
2009/10 44.4 55.2
2010/11 55.2 58.2
2011/12 50.2 58.8
2012/13 54.4 59.8
2013/14 58.8 60.1
2014/15 54.4 66.2
2015/16 49.5 66.3
2016/17 58.2 68
2017/18 60.1 69.2

n 28
M 49.78
S 10.75
Cv 0.22
min 31.30
Max 69.20
 Rang Fexp T u Pjmax
1 0.01786 1.02 -1.393 31.3
2 0.05357 1.06 -1.074 33.2
3 0.08929 1.10 -0.882 34.6
4 0.12500 1.14 -0.732 38.9
5 0.16071 1.19 -0.603 39.7
6 0.19643 1.24 -0.487 39.9
7 0.23214 1.30 -0.379 40.2
8 0.26786 1.37 -0.276 41.4
9 0.30357 1.44 -0.176 44.1
10 0.33929 1.51 -0.078 44.4
11 0.37500 1.60 0.019 44.6
12 0.41071 1.70 0.117 45.2
13 0.44643 1.81 0.215 48.5
14 0.48214 1.93 0.315 48.7
15 0.51786 2.07 0.418 48.9
16 0.55357 2.24 0.525 49.5
17 0.58929 2.43 0.637 50.2
18 0.62500 2.67 0.755 54.4
19 0.66071 2.95 0.881 54.4
20 0.69643 3.29 1.017 55.2
21 0.73214 3.73 1.165 58.2
22 0.76786 4.31 1.331 58.8
23 0.80357 5.09 1.520 59.8
24 0.83929 6.22 1.742 60.1
25 0.87500 8.00 2.013 66.2
26 0.91071 11.20 2.370 66.3
27 0.94643 18.67 2.899 68
28 0.98214 56.00 4.016 69.2
Taille de l’échantillon

N 28
Moyenne M 49.8
Ecart type S 10.8
Coefficient de variation Cv 0.22
Minimal min 31.30
Maximal max 69.2

Métode des momontes

G 8.39
x0 44.94
 T F u Pjmax
2 0.5 0.37 48
5 0.8 1.50 58
10 0.9 2.25 64
20 0.95 2.97 70
25 0.96 3.20 72
50 0.98 3.90 78
100 0.99 4.60 83

Ajustement statistique à la loi de Gumbel

Pjmax en mm

80
f(x) = 8.33162692983347 x + 45.05742915234
70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0
-2.000 -1.000 0.000 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000
u Gumbel

Pjmax(T) a(T) en a(T) en

T (ans) P(24h,T)mm
mm mm/min mm/h
2 48 55.33 2.81 168.33
5 58 66.19 3.36 201.37
10 64 73.38 3.72 223.25
20 70 80.27 4.07 244.23
25 72 82.46 4.18 250.89
50 78 89.20 4.52 271.39
100 83 95.89 4.86 291.74

P(24h,T) = 1.15 x Pjmax(T)

1 . 15
a( T )= Pj max ( T )
( 60 x 24 )α
(α = 1 – b)