Lic.

Miguel Angel Andres Gutierrez Alberto

ECONOMETRIA - COMERCIO INTERNACIONAL
PRACTICA: SERIES DE TIEMPO (DATOS DINAMICOS)

CALCULAR LAS TENDENCIAS Y PRONOSTICOS PARA LOS PERIODOS INDICADOS (COLOR AMARILLO)

EJERCICIO 1 EJERCICIO 2
ESQUEMA ADITIVO ESQUEMA MULTIPLICATIVO

PERIODO IPC PERIODO PIB

2007.1 3.345 2010.1 197.7265

2007.2 3.987 2010.2 319.0199
2007.3 2.654 2010.3 323.3611
2007.4 4.003 2010.4 323.2316
2007.5 3.454 2010.5 201.02
2007.6 4.243 2010.6 219.3881
2008.1 2.878 2010.7 453.8295
2008.2 4.112 2011.1 306.6701
2008.3 3.566 2011.2 471.1509
2008.4 4.501 2011.3 155.8331
2008.5 2.899 2011.4 76.30028
2008.6 4.238 2011.5 103.3782
2009.1 3.767 2011.6 236.5898
2009.2 4.622 2011.7 215.89
2009.3 2.923 2012.1 233.7541
2009.4 4.407 2012.2 129.0667
2009.5 3.801 2012.3 139.41
2009.6 4.699 2012.4 280.2991
2010.1 3.031 2012.5 494.072
2010.2 4.567 2012.6 550.9999
2010.3 3.895 2012.7 533.7062
2010.4 5 2013.1 490.9
2010.5 3.257 2013.2 354.7108
2010.6 4.669 2013.3 403.251
2011.1 3.944 2013.4 171.33
2011.2 4.981 2013.5 316.366
2011.3 3.541 2013.6 242.1169
2011.4 4.798 2013.7 396.3001
2011.5 3.988 2014.1 301.7352
2011.6 5.002 2014.2 201.8945
2012.1 3.599 2014.3 467.174
2012.2 4.243 2014.4 713.96
2012.3 2.878 2014.5 304.5654
2012.4 4.112 2014.6 238.58
 2012.5 3.566 2014.7 277.4736
2012.6 4.501 2015.1 780.5141
2013.1 2.899 2015.2 474.63
2013.2 4.238 2015.3 878.2626
2015.4 678.5881
2015.3 2015.5 607.1

2016.1 2016.2

2018.2 2016.7

2019.6 2017.5

2020.5 2018.4

2020.1
ADOS (COLOR AMARILLO)

EJERCICIO 3
ESQUEMA ADITIVO Y MULTIPLICATIVO

INDICE DE
PERIODO
VENTAS
Jan.2013 97.0
Feb.2013 92.5
Mar.2013 97.5
Apr.2013 101.4
May.2013 100.2
Jun.2013 102.5
Jul.2013 103.6
Aug.2013 105.9
Sep.2013 109.9
Oct.2013 106.6
Nov.2013 107.4
Dec.2013 111.8
Jan.2014 105.3
Feb.2014 94.1
Mar.2014 111.2
Apr.2014 103.9
May.2014 106.3
Jun.2014 103.3
Jul.2014 97.8
Aug.2014 105.3
Sep.2014 104.9
Oct.2014 109.6
Nov.2014 110.6
Dec.2014 110.3
Jan.2015 113.7
Feb.2015 119.4
Mar.2015 110.7
Apr.2015 116.2
May.2015 112.1
Jun.2015 119.7
Jul.2015 120.1
Aug.2015 120.4
Sep.2015 119.2
Oct.2015 119.3
Nov.2015 113.9
Dec.2015 129.0
Jan.2016 125.7
Feb.2016 129.7
Mar.2016 126.6
Apr.2016 127.2
May.2016 124.8
Jun.2016 132.8
Jul.2016 131.6
Aug.2016 130.1
Sep.2016 124.3
Oct.2016 127.3
Nov.2016 128.0
Dec.2016 140.9
Jan.2017 134.6
Feb.2017 136.9
Mar.2017 137.9
Apr.2017 137.2
May.2017 138.9
Jun.2017 141.7
Jul.2017 140.0
Aug.2017 144.1
Sep.2017 154.3
Oct.2017 139.2
Nov.2017 137.3
Dec.2017 155.0
Jan.2018 149.6
Feb.2018 155.1
Mar.2018 148.6
Apr.2018 151.5
May.2018 155.7
Jun.2018 151.7
Jul.2018 158.9
Aug.2018 157.8
Sep.2018 149.7
Oct.2018 147.7
Nov.2018 145.4
Dec.2018 162.8
Jan.2019 152.1
Feb.2019 162.9
Mar.2019 152.2
Apr.2019 153.7
May.2019 158.6
Jun.2019 150.4
Jul.2019 157.6
Aug.2019 158.4
Sep.2019 154.2
Oct.2019 150.6
Nov.2019 149.7
Dec.2019 163.3
Jan.2020 156.2
Feb.2020 167.5
Mar.2020 158.1
Apr.2020 157.7
May.2020 161.3
Jun.2020 154.5
Jul.2020 160.0
Aug.2020 166.8
Sep.2020 168.4
Oct.2020 155.7
Nov.2020 160.7
Dec.2020 165.7
Jan.2021 168.6
Feb.2021 168.3
Mar.2021 159.6
Apr.2021 164.9
May.2021 161.6
Jun.2021 165.9
Jul.2021 168.2
Aug.2021 175.1

Jan.2022
Feb.2022
Mar.2022
Apr.2022
May.2022
Jun.2022
Jul.2022
Aug.2022
Sep.2022
Oct.2022
Nov.2022
Dec.2022