Tarea Pronostico Presupuesto

Fecha Último
1/1/2009 45.88
2/1/2009 46.35
3/1/2009 49.23
4/1/2009 50.80
5/1/2009 65.52
6/1/2009 69.30
7/1/2009 71.70
8/1/2009 69.65
9/1/2009 69.07
10/1/2009 75.20
11/1/2009 78.47
12/1/2009 77.93
1/1/2010 71.46
2/1/2010 77.59
3/1/2010 82.70
4/1/2010 87.44
5/1/2010 74.65
6/1/2010 75.01
7/1/2010 78.18
8/1/2010 74.64
9/1/2010 82.31
10/1/2010 83.15
11/1/2010 85.92
12/1/2010 94.75
1/1/2011 101.01
2/1/2011 111.80
3/1/2011 117.36
4/1/2011 125.89
5/1/2011 116.73
6/1/2011 112.48
7/1/2011 116.74
8/1/2011 114.85
9/1/2011 102.76
10/1/2011 109.56
11/1/2011 110.52
12/1/2011 107.38
1/1/2012 110.98
2/1/2012 122.66
3/1/2012 122.88
4/1/2012 119.47
5/1/2012 101.87
6/1/2012 97.80
7/1/2012 104.92
8/1/2012 114.57
9/1/2012 112.39
10/1/2012 108.70
11/1/2012 111.23
12/1/2012 111.11
1/1/2013 115.55
2/1/2013 111.38
3/1/2013 110.02
4/1/2013 102.37
5/1/2013 100.39
6/1/2013 102.16
7/1/2013 107.70
8/1/2013 114.01
9/1/2013 108.37
10/1/2013 108.84
11/1/2013 109.69
12/1/2013 110.80
1/1/2014 106.40
2/1/2014 109.07
3/1/2014 107.76
4/1/2014 108.07
5/1/2014 109.41
6/1/2014 112.36
7/1/2014 106.02
8/1/2014 103.19
9/1/2014 94.67
10/1/2014 85.86
11/1/2014 70.15
12/1/2014 57.33
1/1/2015 52.99
2/1/2015 62.58
3/1/2015 55.11
4/1/2015 66.78
5/1/2015 65.56
6/1/2015 63.59
7/1/2015 52.21
8/1/2015 54.15
9/1/2015 48.37
10/1/2015 49.56
11/1/2015 44.61
12/1/2015 37.28
1/1/2016 34.74
2/1/2016 35.97
3/1/2016 39.60
4/1/2016 48.13
5/1/2016 49.69
6/1/2016 49.68
7/1/2016 42.46
8/1/2016 47.04
9/1/2016 49.06
10/1/2016 48.30
11/1/2016 50.47
12/1/2016 56.82
1/1/2017 55.70
2/1/2017 55.59
3/1/2017 52.83
4/1/2017 51.73
5/1/2017 50.31
6/1/2017 47.92
7/1/2017 52.65
8/1/2017 52.38
9/1/2017 57.54
10/1/2017 61.37
11/1/2017 63.57
12/1/2017 66.87
1/1/2018 69.05
2/1/2018 65.78
3/1/2018 70.27
4/1/2018 75.17
5/1/2018 77.59
6/1/2018 79.44
7/1/2018 74.25
8/1/2018 77.42
9/1/2018 82.72
10/1/2018 75.47
11/1/2018 58.71
12/1/2018 53.80
1/1/2019 61.89
2/1/2019 66.03
3/1/2019 68.39
4/1/2019 72.80
5/1/2019 64.49
6/1/2019 66.55
7/1/2019 65.17
8/1/2019 60.43
9/1/2019 60.78
Fecha X Y
1/1/2009 1 45.88 Resumen
2/1/2009 2 46.35
3/1/2009 3 49.23 Estadísticas de la regresión
4/1/2009 4 50.80 Coeficiente d 0.43663501
5/1/2009 5 65.52 Coeficiente d 0.19065013
6/1/2009 6 69.30 R^2 ajustado 0.1842773
7/1/2009 7 71.70 Error típico 22.8700575
8/1/2009 8 69.65 Observacione 129
9/1/2009 9 69.07
10/1/2009 10 75.20 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
11/1/2009 11 78.47 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
12/1/2009 12 77.93 Regresión 1 15647.2867
1/1/2010 13 71.46 Residuos 127 66426.0201
2/1/2010 14 77.59 Total 128 82073.3068
3/1/2010 15 82.70
4/1/2010 16 87.44 Coeficientes Error típico
5/1/2010 17 74.65 A0 Intercepción 98.3990928 4.05072067
6/1/2010 18 75.01 A1 Variable X 1 -0.29575945 0.05407373
7/1/2010 19 78.18
8/1/2010 20 74.64
9/1/2010 21 82.31
10/1/2010 22 83.15
11/1/2010 23 85.92
12/1/2010 24 94.75
1/1/2011 25 101.01
2/1/2011 26 111.80
3/1/2011 27 117.36
4/1/2011 28 125.89
5/1/2011 29 116.73
6/1/2011 30 112.48
7/1/2011 31 116.74
8/1/2011 32 114.85
9/1/2011 33 102.76
10/1/2011 34 109.56
11/1/2011 35 110.52
12/1/2011 36 107.38
1/1/2012 37 110.98
2/1/2012 38 122.66
3/1/2012 39 122.88
4/1/2012 40 119.47
5/1/2012 41 101.87
6/1/2012 42 97.80
7/1/2012 43 104.92
8/1/2012 44 114.57
9/1/2012 45 112.39
10/1/2012 46 108.70
11/1/2012 47 111.23
12/1/2012 48 111.11
1/1/2013 49 115.55
2/1/2013 50 111.38
3/1/2013 51 110.02
4/1/2013 52 102.37
5/1/2013 53 100.39
6/1/2013 54 102.16
7/1/2013 55 107.70
8/1/2013 56 114.01
9/1/2013 57 108.37
10/1/2013 58 108.84
11/1/2013 59 109.69
12/1/2013 60 110.80
1/1/2014 61 106.40
2/1/2014 62 109.07
3/1/2014 63 107.76
4/1/2014 64 108.07
5/1/2014 65 109.41
6/1/2014 66 112.36
7/1/2014 67 106.02
8/1/2014 68 103.19
9/1/2014 69 94.67
10/1/2014 70 85.86
11/1/2014 71 70.15
12/1/2014 72 57.33
1/1/2015 73 52.99
2/1/2015 74 62.58
3/1/2015 75 55.11
4/1/2015 76 66.78
5/1/2015 77 65.56
6/1/2015 78 63.59
7/1/2015 79 52.21
8/1/2015 80 54.15
9/1/2015 81 48.37
10/1/2015 82 49.56
11/1/2015 83 44.61
12/1/2015 84 37.28
1/1/2016 85 34.74
2/1/2016 86 35.97
3/1/2016 87 39.60
4/1/2016 88 48.13
5/1/2016 89 49.69
6/1/2016 90 49.68
7/1/2016 91 42.46
8/1/2016 92 47.04
9/1/2016 93 49.06
10/1/2016 94 48.30
11/1/2016 95 50.47
12/1/2016 96 56.82
1/1/2017 97 55.70
2/1/2017 98 55.59
3/1/2017 99 52.83
4/1/2017 100 51.73
5/1/2017 101 50.31
6/1/2017 102 47.92
7/1/2017 103 52.65
8/1/2017 104 52.38
9/1/2017 105 57.54
10/1/2017 106 61.37
11/1/2017 107 63.57
12/1/2017 108 66.87
1/1/2018 109 69.05
2/1/2018 110 65.78
3/1/2018 111 70.27
4/1/2018 112 75.17
5/1/2018 113 77.59
6/1/2018 114 79.44
7/1/2018 115 74.25
8/1/2018 116 77.42
9/1/2018 117 82.72
10/1/2018 118 75.47
11/1/2018 119 58.71
12/1/2018 120 53.80
1/1/2019 121 61.89
2/1/2019 122 66.03
3/1/2019 123 68.39
4/1/2019 124 72.80
5/1/2019 125 64.49
6/1/2019 126 66.55
7/1/2019 127 65.17
8/1/2019 128 60.43
9/1/2019 129 60.78
10/1/2019 130 60
11/1/2019 131 60
12/1/2019 132 59
1/1/2020 133 59
2/1/2020 134 59
3/1/2020 135 58
4/1/2020 136 58
5/1/2020 137 58
6/1/2020 138 58
7/1/2020 139 57
8/1/2020 140 57
9/1/2020 141 57
10/1/2020 142 56
11/1/2020 143 56
12/1/2020 144 56
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
15647.2867 29.9160691 2.30374E-07
523.039529
Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
24.2917498 1.42375E-49 90.3834476 106.414738 90.3834476 106.414738
-5.4695584 2.30374E-07 -0.40276161 -0.18875729 -0.40276161 -0.18875729
Fecha X Y Lny
1/1/2009 1 45.88 3.83 Resumen
2/1/2009 2 46.35 3.84
3/1/2009 3 49.23 3.90 Estadísticas de la regresión
4/1/2009 4 50.80 3.93 Coeficiente d 0.42532865
5/1/2009 5 65.52 4.18 Coeficiente d 0.18090446
6/1/2009 6 69.30 4.24 R^2 ajustado 0.17445489
7/1/2009 7 71.70 4.27 Error típico 0.30309503
8/1/2009 8 69.65 4.24 Observacione 129
9/1/2009 9 69.07 4.24
10/1/2009 10 75.20 4.32 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
11/1/2009 11 78.47 4.36 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
12/1/2009 12 77.93 4.36 Regresión 1 2.57677248
1/1/2010 13 71.46 4.27 Residuos 127 11.6670578
2/1/2010 14 77.59 4.35 Total 128 14.2438303
3/1/2010 15 82.70 4.42
4/1/2010 16 87.44 4.47 Coeficientes Error típico
5/1/2010 17 74.65 4.31 A0 Intercepción 4.56487844 0.05368387
6/1/2010 18 75.01 4.32 A1 Variable X 1 -0.0037954 0.00071663
7/1/2010 19 78.18 4.36
8/1/2010 20 74.64 4.31
9/1/2010 21 82.31 4.41
10/1/2010 22 83.15 4.42
11/1/2010 23 85.92 4.45
12/1/2010 24 94.75 4.55
1/1/2011 25 101.01 4.62
2/1/2011 26 111.80 4.72
3/1/2011 27 117.36 4.77
4/1/2011 28 125.89 4.84
5/1/2011 29 116.73 4.76
6/1/2011 30 112.48 4.72
7/1/2011 31 116.74 4.76
8/1/2011 32 114.85 4.74
9/1/2011 33 102.76 4.63
10/1/2011 34 109.56 4.70
11/1/2011 35 110.52 4.71
12/1/2011 36 107.38 4.68
1/1/2012 37 110.98 4.71
2/1/2012 38 122.66 4.81
3/1/2012 39 122.88 4.81
4/1/2012 40 119.47 4.78
5/1/2012 41 101.87 4.62
6/1/2012 42 97.80 4.58
7/1/2012 43 104.92 4.65
8/1/2012 44 114.57 4.74
9/1/2012 45 112.39 4.72
10/1/2012 46 108.70 4.69
11/1/2012 47 111.23 4.71
12/1/2012 48 111.11 4.71
1/1/2013 49 115.55 4.75
2/1/2013 50 111.38 4.71
3/1/2013 51 110.02 4.70
4/1/2013 52 102.37 4.63
5/1/2013 53 100.39 4.61
6/1/2013 54 102.16 4.63
7/1/2013 55 107.70 4.68
8/1/2013 56 114.01 4.74
9/1/2013 57 108.37 4.69
10/1/2013 58 108.84 4.69
11/1/2013 59 109.69 4.70
12/1/2013 60 110.80 4.71
1/1/2014 61 106.40 4.67
2/1/2014 62 109.07 4.69
3/1/2014 63 107.76 4.68
4/1/2014 64 108.07 4.68
5/1/2014 65 109.41 4.70
6/1/2014 66 112.36 4.72
7/1/2014 67 106.02 4.66
8/1/2014 68 103.19 4.64
9/1/2014 69 94.67 4.55
10/1/2014 70 85.86 4.45
11/1/2014 71 70.15 4.25
12/1/2014 72 57.33 4.05
1/1/2015 73 52.99 3.97
2/1/2015 74 62.58 4.14
3/1/2015 75 55.11 4.01
4/1/2015 76 66.78 4.20
5/1/2015 77 65.56 4.18
6/1/2015 78 63.59 4.15
7/1/2015 79 52.21 3.96
8/1/2015 80 54.15 3.99
9/1/2015 81 48.37 3.88
10/1/2015 82 49.56 3.90
11/1/2015 83 44.61 3.80
12/1/2015 84 37.28 3.62
1/1/2016 85 34.74 3.55
2/1/2016 86 35.97 3.58
3/1/2016 87 39.60 3.68
4/1/2016 88 48.13 3.87
5/1/2016 89 49.69 3.91
6/1/2016 90 49.68 3.91
7/1/2016 91 42.46 3.75
8/1/2016 92 47.04 3.85
9/1/2016 93 49.06 3.89
10/1/2016 94 48.30 3.88
11/1/2016 95 50.47 3.92
12/1/2016 96 56.82 4.04
1/1/2017 97 55.70 4.02
2/1/2017 98 55.59 4.02
3/1/2017 99 52.83 3.97
4/1/2017 100 51.73 3.95
5/1/2017 101 50.31 3.92
6/1/2017 102 47.92 3.87
7/1/2017 103 52.65 3.96
8/1/2017 104 52.38 3.96
9/1/2017 105 57.54 4.05
10/1/2017 106 61.37 4.12
11/1/2017 107 63.57 4.15
12/1/2017 108 66.87 4.20
1/1/2018 109 69.05 4.23
2/1/2018 110 65.78 4.19
3/1/2018 111 70.27 4.25
4/1/2018 112 75.17 4.32
5/1/2018 113 77.59 4.35
6/1/2018 114 79.44 4.38
7/1/2018 115 74.25 4.31
8/1/2018 116 77.42 4.35
9/1/2018 117 82.72 4.42
10/1/2018 118 75.47 4.32
11/1/2018 119 58.71 4.07
12/1/2018 120 53.80 3.99
1/1/2019 121 61.89 4.13
2/1/2019 122 66.03 4.19
3/1/2019 123 68.39 4.23
4/1/2019 124 72.80 4.29
5/1/2019 125 64.49 4.17
6/1/2019 126 66.55 4.20
7/1/2019 127 65.17 4.18
8/1/2019 128 60.43 4.10
9/1/2019 129 60.78 4.11
10/1/2019 130 58.64
11/1/2019 131 58.42
12/1/2019 132 58.20
1/1/2020 133 57.98
2/1/2020 134 57.76
3/1/2020 135 57.54
4/1/2020 136 57.32
5/1/2020 137 57.11
6/1/2020 138 56.89
7/1/2020 139 56.67
8/1/2020 140 56.46
9/1/2020 141 56.25
10/1/2020 142 56.03
11/1/2020 143 55.82
12/1/2020 144 55.61
2.57677248 28.0490685 5.0477E-07
0.0918666
Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
85.0325812 8.0709E-114 4.45864774 4.67110914 4.45864774 4.67110914
-5.29613713 5.0477E-07 -0.00521349 -0.00237731 -0.00521349 -0.00237731
Fecha Y T T1 T2
1/1/2009 45.88 1
2/1/2009 46.35 2 45.88 Resumen
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 45.88
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 46.35 Estadísticas de la regresión
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 Coeficiente d
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 Coeficiente d
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 R^2 ajustado
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30 Error típico
9/1/2009 69.07 9 69.65 71.70 Observacione
10/1/2009 75.20 10 69.07 69.65
11/1/2009 78.47 11 75.20 69.07 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 75.20 Grados de libertad
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Regresión
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93 Residuos
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46 Total
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 A0 Intercepción
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T A1 Variable X 1
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T1 A2 Variable X 2
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T2 A3 Variable X 3
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T3 A4 Variable X 4
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75 Resumen
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36 Coeficiente d 0.97437856
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 125.89 Coeficiente d 0.94941358
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73 R^2 ajustado 0.94816965
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48 Error típico 5.72036007
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 116.74 Observacione 126
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 110.52 Regresión 3
2/1/2012 122.66 38 110.98 107.38 Residuos 122
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 110.98 Total 125
4/1/2012 119.47 40 122.88 122.66
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 122.88 Coeficientes
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47 A0 Intercepción 7.27521278
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87 T Variable X 1 -0.03539293
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 T1 Variable X 2 1.13066293
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92 T2 Variable X 3 -0.19142162
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 114.01
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 108.84
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 109.69
2/1/2014 109.07 62 106.40 110.80
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 107.76
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 106.02
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 103.19
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 48.37
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 39.60
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 42.46
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06
12/1/2016 56.82 96 50.47 48.30
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 50.47
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27
6/1/2018 79.44 114 77.59 75.17
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 58.71
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 53.80
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17
10/1/2019 59.83 130
11/1/2019 58.65 131
12/1/2019 57.46 132
1/1/2020 56.31 133
2/1/2020 55.20 134
3/1/2020 54.13 135
4/1/2020 53.10 136
5/1/2020 52.11 137
6/1/2020 51.14 138
7/1/2020 50.20 139
8/1/2020 49.29 140
9/1/2020 48.41 141
10/1/2020 47.55 142
11/1/2020 46.71 143
12/1/2020 45.89 144
tadísticas de la regresión
0.97440151
0.9494583
0.9477875
5.74141
126
NÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
4 74928.7591 18732.1898 568.265679 2.17542E-77
121 3988.61844 32.9637887
125 78917.3776
Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
7.23693673 2.61143974 2.77124401 1% 2.06690296 12.4069705 2.06690296 12.4069705
-0.0355883 0.01616383 -2.20172451 3% -0.06758887 -0.00358774 -0.06758887 -0.00358774
1.13654216 0.09089998 12.5032167 0% 0.95658167 1.31650264 0.95658167 1.31650264
-0.22570875 0.13622766 -1.6568497 10% -0.49540733 0.04398983 -0.49540733 0.04398983
0.02909853 0.0889341 0.327192 74% -0.14696998 0.20516704 -0.14696998 0.20516704
Suma de cuadrados
74925.2302 24975.0767 763.238199 7.63411E-79
3992.14736 32.7225194
78917.3776
Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
2.5992534 2.7989625 1% 2.12973107 12.4206945 2.12973107 12.4206945
0.01609358 -2.1991962 3% -0.06725177 -0.00353409 -0.06725177 -0.00353409
0.0887796 12.7356168 0% 0.95491485 1.30641101 0.95491485 1.30641101
0.08672451 -2.20723792 3% -0.36310145 -0.0197418 -0.36310145 -0.0197418
perior 95.0%
Fecha Y T T1 T2
1/1/2009 45.88 1
2/1/2009 46.35 2 45.88 Resumen
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 45.88
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 Coeficiente d
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 Coeficiente d
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 R^2 ajustado
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30 Error típico
9/1/2009 69.07 9 69.65 71.70 Observacione
10/1/2009 75.20 10 69.07 69.65
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Regresión
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93 Residuos
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46 Total
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 A0 Intercepción
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T Variable X 1
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T1 Variable X 2
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T2 Variable X 3
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T3 Variable X 4
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T4 Variable X 5
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75 Resumen
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36 Coeficiente d
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 125.89 Coeficiente d
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73 R^2 ajustado
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48 Error típico
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 116.74 Observacione
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 110.52 Regresión
2/1/2012 122.66 38 110.98 107.38 Residuos
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 110.98 Total
4/1/2012 119.47 40 122.88 122.66
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 122.88
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47 A0 Intercepción
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87 T Variable X 1
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 T1 Variable X 2
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92 T2 Variable X 3
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 114.01
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 108.84
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 109.69
2/1/2014 109.07 62 106.40 110.80
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 107.76
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 106.02
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 103.19
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 48.37
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 39.60
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 42.46
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06
12/1/2016 56.82 96 50.47 48.30
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 50.47
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27
6/1/2018 79.44 114 77.59 75.17
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 58.71
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 53.80
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17
9/1/2019 59.77 130 60.78 60.43
10/1/2019 58.53 131 60.78
11/1/2019 57.28 132
12/1/2019 56.07 133
1/1/2020 54.91 134
2/1/2020 53.79 135
3/1/2020 52.72 136
4/1/2020 51.68 137
5/1/2020 50.69 138
6/1/2020 49.72 139
7/1/2020 48.78 140
8/1/2020 47.88 141
9/1/2020 46.99 142
10/1/2020 46.14 143
11/1/2020 45.30 144
12/1/2020 44.48 145
0.97447314
0.9495979
0.94748017
5.75002293
125
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
5 74127.1438 14825.4288 448.402587 2.0618E-75
119 3934.46888 33.0627637
124 78061.6127
Superior 95.0%
7.53063166 2.71328115 2.77547046 1% 2.158064 12.9031993 2.158064 12.9031993
-0.03860049 0.0166668 -2.31601053 2% -0.07160243 -0.00559856 -0.07160243 -0.00559856
1.13216303 0.09110408 12.4271392 0% 0.95176786 1.3125582 0.95176786 1.3125582
-0.20300837 0.13808095 -1.47021275 14% -0.47642245 0.0704057 -0.47642245 0.0704057
-0.0922184 0.13809988 -0.66776597 51% -0.36566994 0.18123315 -0.36566994 0.18123315
0.10233993 0.08910778 1.14849606 25% -0.07410237 0.27878223 -0.07410237 0.27878223
0.97416341
0.94899435
0.94772975
5.7363445
125
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
3 74080.0293 24693.3431 750.428708 5.56851E-78
121 3981.58343 32.9056482
124 78061.6127
Superior 95.0%
7.67975051 2.7025331 2.84168601 1% 2.32937341 13.0301276 2.32937341 13.0301276
-0.03759976 0.01660188 -2.2647887 3% -0.07046757 -0.00473195 -0.07046757 -0.00473195
1.12942908 0.0890543 12.6824763 0% 0.9531226 1.30573556 0.9531226 1.30573556
-0.19308249 0.08701623 -2.218925 3% -0.36535406 -0.02081091 -0.36535406 -0.02081091
perior 95.0%
perior 95.0%
Fecha Y T T1 T2
1/1/2009 45.88 1 Resumen
2/1/2009 46.35 2 45.88
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 46.35 Coeficiente d 0.97539929
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 Coeficiente d 0.95140377
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 R^2 ajustado 0.94891166
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 Error típico 5.68622996
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30 Observacione 124
9/1/2009 69.07 9 69.65 71.70
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 75.20 Regresión 6
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Residuos 117
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93 Total 123
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59 Coeficientes
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70 A0 Intercepción 6.13928989
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 T Variable X 1 -0.0296765
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T1 Variable X 2 1.15141491
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T2 Variable X 3 -0.21826161
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T3 Variable X 4 -0.10496582
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T4 Variable X 5 0.21537231
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T5 Variable X 6 -0.09563599
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75 Resumen
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36 Coeficiente d 0.97506945
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 125.89 Coeficiente d 0.95076043
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73 R^2 ajustado 0.94910532
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48 Error típico 5.67544233
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 116.74 Observacione 124
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 110.52 Regresión 4
2/1/2012 122.66 38 110.98 107.38 Residuos 119
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 110.98 Total 123
4/1/2012 119.47 40 122.88 122.66
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 122.88 Coeficientes
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47 A0 Intercepción 6.10857361
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87 T Variable X 1 -0.03077497
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 T1 Variable X 2 1.1494918
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92 T2 Variable X 3 -0.26068426
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57 T4 Variable X 4 0.06055692
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23 Resumen
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38 Coeficiente d 0.97482789
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02 Coeficiente d 0.95028941
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37 R^2 ajustado 0.94904664
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39 Error típico 5.67871284
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16 Observacione 124
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 108.84 Regresión 3
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 109.69 Residuos 120
2/1/2014 109.07 62 106.40 110.80 Total 123
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07 Coeficientes
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 107.76 A0 Intercepción 6.29664321
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07 T Variable X 1 -0.02997113
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41 T1 Variable X 2 1.13670337
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36 T2 Variable X 3 -0.19056619
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 106.02
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 103.19
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 48.37
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 39.60
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 42.46
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06
12/1/2016 56.82 96 50.47 48.30
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 50.47
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27
6/1/2018 79.44 114 77.59 75.17
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 58.71
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 53.80
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17
9/1/2019 59.97 130 60.78 60.43
10/1/2019 58.96 131 60.78
11/1/2019 57.93 132
12/1/2019 56.93 133
1/1/2020 55.95 134
2/1/2020 55.00 135
3/1/2020 54.08 136
4/1/2020 53.18 137
5/1/2020 52.30 138
6/1/2020 51.45 139
7/1/2020 50.62 140
8/1/2020 49.80 141
9/1/2020 49.01 142
10/1/2020 48.22 143
11/1/2020 47.46 144
12/1/2020 46.71 145
Suma de cuadrados
74062.2666 12343.7111 381.765704 2.39314E-74
3782.9857 32.3332111
77845.2523

Superior 95.0%
2.78596734 2.20364748 3% 0.62182757 11.6567522 0.62182757 11.6567522
0.01701987 -1.7436378 8% -0.06338346 0.00403047 -0.06338346 0.00403047
0.09073251 12.6902128 0% 0.97172392 1.3311059 0.97172392 1.3311059
0.13685144 -1.59487994 11% -0.48928871 0.05276549 -0.48928871 0.05276549
0.13787664 -0.76130244 45% -0.37802328 0.16809164 -0.37802328 0.16809164
0.13690576 1.57314278 12% -0.05576238 0.48650701 -0.05576238 0.48650701
0.08871288 -1.07803945 28% -0.2713272 0.08005523 -0.2713272 0.08005523
Suma de cuadrados
74012.1854 18503.0464 574.438853 8.97215E-77
3833.06684 32.2106457
77845.2523

Superior 95.0%
2.7805393 2.19690246 3% 0.6028281 11.6143191 0.6028281 11.6143191
0.01694486 -1.81618386 7% -0.06432748 0.00277753 -0.06432748 0.00277753
0.08900602 12.9147645 0% 0.97325099 1.32573261 0.97325099 1.32573261
0.10831789 -2.40665938 2% -0.47516449 -0.04620402 -0.47516449 -0.04620402
0.05675806 1.06693072 29% -0.05182971 0.17294354 -0.05182971 0.17294354
Suma de cuadrados
73975.5187 24658.5062 764.657493 5.25146E-78
3869.73354 32.2477795
77845.2523

Superior 95.0%
2.7765454 2.26779768 0.02513028 0.79927655 11.7940099 0.79927655 11.7940099
0.01693785 -1.76947608 0.07935461 -0.0635069 0.00356464 -0.0635069 0.00356464
0.08824608 12.8810638 2.25485E-24 0.96198228 1.31142447 0.96198228 1.31142447
0.08615259 -2.21196116 0.02886272 -0.36114233 -0.01999005 -0.36114233 -0.01999005
Fecha Y T T1 T2
1/1/2009 45.88 1
2/1/2009 46.35 2 45.88 Resumen
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 45.88
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 Coeficiente d 0.97552447
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 Coeficiente d 0.95164799
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 R^2 ajustado 0.94870482
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30 Error típico 5.71655798
9/1/2009 69.07 9 69.65 71.70 Observacione 123
10/1/2009 75.20 10 69.07 69.65
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Regresión 7
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93 Residuos 115
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46 Total 122
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70 Coeficientes
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 A0 Intercepción 6.2355321
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T Variable X 1 -0.0311065
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T1 Variable X 2 1.16374977
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T2 Variable X 3 -0.24226976
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T3 Variable X 4 -0.09385428
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T4 Variable X 5 0.23163012
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15 T5 Variable X 6 -0.18617272
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92 T6 Variable X 7 0.07520049
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01
4/1/2011 125.89 28 117.36 111.80 Resumen
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73 Coeficiente d 0.97525627
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48 Coeficiente d 0.95112479
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 116.74 R^2 ajustado 0.94903611
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85 Error típico 5.69806787
11/1/2011 110.52 35 109.56 102.76 Observacione 123
12/1/2011 107.38 36 110.52 109.56
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 110.98 Regresión 5
4/1/2012 119.47 40 122.88 122.66 Residuos 117
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 122.88 Total 122
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87 Coeficientes
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 A0 Intercepción 6.31628562
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92 T Variable X 1 -0.03067382
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57 T1 Variable X 2 1.16528702
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39 T2 Variable X 3 -0.285597
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70 T4 Variable X 4 0.15422594
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23 T5 Variable X 5 -0.08719675
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38 Resumen
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39 Coeficiente d 0.9748071
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16 Coeficiente d 0.95024887
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70 R^2 ajustado 0.94899464
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 114.01 Error típico 5.7003855
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37 Observacione 123
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 108.84
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40 Regresión 3
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07 Residuos 119
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 107.76 Total 122
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41 Coeficientes
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36 A0 Intercepción 6.48979947
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 106.02 T Variable X 1 -0.03105223
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 103.19 T1 Variable X 2 1.1411859
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67 T2 Variable X 3 -0.19636994
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 48.37
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 39.60
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 42.46
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06
12/1/2016 56.82 96 50.47 48.30
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 50.47
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27
6/1/2018 79.44 114 77.59 75.17
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 58.71
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 53.80
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17
10/1/2019 59.95 130 60.78 60.43
11/1/2019 58.90 131 60.78
12/1/2019 57.83 132
1/1/2020 56.79 133
2/1/2020 55.78 134
3/1/2020 54.80 135
4/1/2020 53.85 136
5/1/2020 52.93 137
6/1/2020 52.03 138
7/1/2020 51.16 139
8/1/2020 50.31 140
9/1/2020 49.47 141
10/1/2020 48.66 142
11/1/2020 47.87 143
12/1/2020 47.09 144
Suma de cuadrados
73965.4369 10566.491 323.341584 1.62573E-72
3758.08904 32.6790352
77723.526

Superior 95.0%
2.87719145 2.16722878 3% 0.53636959 11.9346946 0.53636959 11.9346946
0.01749152 -1.77837655 8% -0.06575383 0.00354083 -0.06575383 0.00354083
0.09307402 12.5034871 0% 0.97938805 1.34811148 0.97938805 1.34811148
0.1410834 -1.71720947 9% -0.52172883 0.03718931 -0.52172883 0.03718931
0.13922125 -0.67413765 50% -0.36962478 0.18191621 -0.36962478 0.18191621
0.13916019 1.66448552 10% -0.04401943 0.50727967 -0.04401943 0.50727967
0.14040021 -1.32601451 19% -0.46427852 0.09193308 -0.46427852 0.09193308
0.0904828 0.83110255 41% -0.10402853 0.2544295 -0.10402853 0.2544295
Suma de cuadrados
73924.7726 14784.9545 455.370359 6.61398E-75
3798.75336 32.4679774
77723.526

Superior 95.0%
2.86637183 2.20358209 3% 0.63958641 11.9929848 0.63958641 11.9929848
0.01742559 -1.76027483 8% -0.06518429 0.00383664 -0.06518429 0.00383664
0.09133909 12.7578128 0% 0.98439473 1.3461793 0.98439473 1.3461793
0.11206548 -2.54848328 1% -0.50753681 -0.06365719 -0.50753681 -0.06365719
0.11075434 1.39250478 17% -0.06511722 0.3735691 -0.06511722 0.3735691
0.08811507 -0.98957814 32% -0.26170402 0.08731053 -0.26170402 0.08731053
Suma de cuadrados
73856.693 24618.8977 757.63521 2.46216E-77
3866.83299 32.4943948
77723.526

Superior 95.0%
2.86114146 2.26825537 3% 0.82445362 12.1551453 0.82445362 12.1551453
0.01738328 -1.78632704 8% -0.06547286 0.00336841 -0.06547286 0.00336841
0.08984444 12.7017977 0% 0.96328494 1.31908686 0.96328494 1.31908686
0.08863623 -2.21545902 3% -0.37187854 -0.02086135 -0.37187854 -0.02086135
Fecha Y T T1 T2 Resumen
1/1/2009 45.88 1
2/1/2009 46.35 2 45.88 Estadísticas de la regresión
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 45.88 Coeficiente d 0.97561543
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 46.35 Coeficiente d 0.95182546
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 R^2 ajustado 0.94841487
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 Error típico 5.75351967
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 Observacione 122
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30
11/1/2009 78.47 11 75.20 69.07 Regresión 8
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 75.20 Residuos 113
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Total 121
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46 Coeficientes
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59 A0 Intercepción 6.32196687
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70 T Variable X 1 -0.0306964
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 T1 Variable X 2 1.169177
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T2 Variable X 3 -0.25463345
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T3 Variable X 4 -0.07858113
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T4 Variable X 5 0.2251441
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T5 Variable X 6 -0.20397047
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T6 Variable X 7 0.15578535
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15 T7 Variable X 8 -0.06613148
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75 Resumen
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36 Coeficiente d 0.97540222
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 125.89 Coeficiente d 0.95140949
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73 R^2 ajustado 0.94887434
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48 Error típico 5.72783938
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 116.74 Observacione 122
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 110.52 Regresión 6
2/1/2012 122.66 38 110.98 107.38 Residuos 115
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 110.98 Total 121
4/1/2012 119.47 40 122.88 122.66
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 122.88 Coeficientes
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47 A0 Intercepción 6.22604454
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87 T Variable X 1 -0.03113472
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 T1 Variable X 2 1.17303689
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92 T2 Variable X 3 -0.29889233
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57 T4 Variable X 4 0.17822092
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39 T5 Variable X 5 -0.18409062
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70 T6 Variable X 6 0.08016291
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55 Resumen
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37 Coeficiente d 0.97502194
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39 Coeficiente d 0.95066778
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16 R^2 ajustado 0.94898121
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70 Error típico 5.72184955
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 114.01 Observacione 122
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37
2/1/2014 109.07 62 106.40 110.80 Regresión 4
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40 Residuos 117
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07 Total 121
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 107.76
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07 Coeficientes
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41 A0 Intercepción 6.27339407
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36 T Variable X 1 -0.03168775
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 106.02 T1 Variable X 2 1.15361386
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 103.19 T2 Variable X 3 -0.2658614
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67 T4 Variable X 4 0.0604744
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33 Resumen
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11 Coeficiente d 0.97478653
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78 Coeficiente d 0.95020878
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56 R^2 ajustado 0.9489429
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59 Error típico 5.72399745
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21 Observacione 122
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61 Regresión 3
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28 Residuos 118
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74 Total 121
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 39.60 Coeficientes
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13 A0 Intercepción 6.57901608
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69 T Variable X 1 -0.03159322
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68 T1 Variable X 2 1.14140147
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 42.46 T2 Variable X 3 -0.19715198
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06
12/1/2016 56.82 96 50.47 48.30
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 50.47
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27
6/1/2018 79.44 114 77.59 75.17
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 58.71
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 53.80
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17
10/1/2019 59.93 130 60.78 60.43
11/1/2019 58.86 131 60.78
12/1/2019 57.78 132
1/1/2020 56.72 133
2/1/2020 55.70 134
3/1/2020 54.70 135
4/1/2020 53.74 136
5/1/2020 52.81 137
6/1/2020 51.90 138
7/1/2020 51.01 139
8/1/2020 50.15 140
9/1/2020 49.31 141
10/1/2020 48.49 142
11/1/2020 47.68 143
12/1/2020 46.89 144
Suma de cuadrados
73906.9681 9238.37102 279.079667 1.09446E-70
3740.63771 33.1029886
77647.6058

Superior 95.0%
2.97477825 2.12518929 4% 0.42839463 12.2155391 0.42839463 12.2155391
0.0180354 -1.702009 9% -0.06642778 0.00503497 -0.06642778 0.00503497
0.09404108 12.4326193 0% 0.98286465 1.35548935 0.98286465 1.35548935
0.14461184 -1.76080638 8% -0.54113559 0.03186869 -0.54113559 0.03186869
0.14416361 -0.54508296 59% -0.36419523 0.20703298 -0.36419523 0.20703298
0.14053444 1.60205647 11% -0.05327996 0.50356817 -0.05327996 0.50356817
0.14343239 -1.422067 16% -0.4881359 0.08019497 -0.4881359 0.08019497
0.14467341 1.07680703 28% -0.13083878 0.44240947 -0.13083878 0.44240947
0.09197384 -0.71902481 47% -0.24834825 0.1160853 -0.24834825 0.1160853
Suma de cuadrados
73874.6693 12312.4449 375.286236 4.72981E-73
3772.93656 32.808144
77647.6058

Superior 95.0%
2.95916876 2.10398427 4% 0.36450074 12.0875883 0.36450074 12.0875883
0.01791413 -1.73799825 8% -0.06661916 0.00434972 -0.06661916 0.00434972
0.09223105 12.7184596 0% 0.99034493 1.35572886 0.99034493 1.35572886
0.11373255 -2.62802793 1% -0.52417463 -0.07361003 -0.52417463 -0.07361003
0.11477845 1.5527385 12% -0.0491331 0.40557495 -0.0491331 0.40557495
0.14064632 -1.30889037 19% -0.46268392 0.09450268 -0.46268392 0.09450268
0.09036774 0.88707451 38% -0.09883818 0.25916401 -0.09883818 0.25916401
Suma de cuadrados
73817.077 18454.2693 563.668783 2.00018E-75
3830.52879 32.7395623
77647.6058

Superior 95.0%
2.95404109 2.12366513 4% 0.42307048 12.1237177 0.42307048 12.1237177
0.0178579 -1.77443905 8% -0.06705439 0.00367888 -0.06705439 0.00367888
0.09095175 12.6838001 0% 0.97348867 1.33373904 0.97348867 1.33373904
0.11082665 -2.39889413 2% -0.48534778 -0.04637503 -0.48534778 -0.04637503
0.057961 1.04336359 30% -0.05431433 0.17526312 -0.05431433 0.17526312
Suma de cuadrados
73781.4365 24593.8122 750.63185 1.15276E-76
3866.16933 32.7641468
77647.6058
Superior 95.0%
2.94058582 2.23731477 0.02714347 0.75585558 12.4021766 0.75585558 12.4021766
0.01786437 -1.76850406 0.07956073 -0.06696954 0.00378311 -0.06696954 0.00378311
0.0902293 12.6500085 1.05366E-23 0.96272288 1.32008006 0.96272288 1.32008006
0.08917284 -2.21089727 0.0289707 -0.37373848 -0.02056549 -0.37373848 -0.02056549
1/1/2009 45.88 1
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 45.88 Coeficiente d 0.97585619
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 46.35 Coeficiente d 0.9522953
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 R^2 ajustado 0.94842735
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 Error típico 5.77236888
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 Observacione 121
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30
11/1/2009 78.47 11 75.20 69.07 Regresión 9
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 75.20 Residuos 111
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Total 120
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46 Coeficientes
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59 A0 Intercepción 6.65480257
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70 T Variable X 1 -0.03381535
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 T1 Variable X 2 1.17464195
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T2 Variable X 3 -0.26982057
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T3 Variable X 4 -0.04757654
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T4 Variable X 5 0.1882352
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T5 Variable X 6 -0.19133169
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T6 Variable X 7 0.17906453
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15 T7 Variable X 8 -0.17764504
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92 T8 Variable X 9 0.09024014
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01
4/1/2011 125.89 28 117.36 111.80 Resumen
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73 Coeficiente d 0.97559837
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48 Coeficiente d 0.95179217
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 116.74 R^2 ajustado 0.94880585
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85 Error típico 5.75114764
11/1/2011 110.52 35 109.56 102.76 Observacione 121
12/1/2011 107.38 36 110.52 109.56
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 110.98 Regresión 7
4/1/2012 119.47 40 122.88 122.66 Residuos 113
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 122.88 Total 120
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87 Coeficientes
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 A0 Intercepción 6.70198809
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92 T Variable X 1 -0.03276594
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57 T1 Variable X 2 1.17561632
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39 T2 Variable X 3 -0.29654632
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70 T4 Variable X 4 0.17306372
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23 T5 Variable X 5 -0.20018074
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11 T6 Variable X 6 0.16678696
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55 T7 Variable X 7 -0.07459305
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37 Resumen
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70 Coeficiente d 0.97529443
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 114.01 Coeficiente d 0.95119923
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37 R^2 ajustado 0.94907746
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 108.84 Error típico 5.7358711
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 109.69 Observacione 121
2/1/2014 109.07 62 106.40 110.80
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 107.76 Regresión 5
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07 Residuos 115
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41 Total 120
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 106.02 Coeficientes
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 103.19 A0 Intercepción 6.78800701
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67 T Variable X 1 -0.03334619
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86 T1 Variable X 2 1.16364027
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15 T2 Variable X 3 -0.27935161
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33 T4 Variable X 4 0.1463306
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99 T5 Variable X 5 -0.08707897
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78 Resumen
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21 Coeficiente d 0.97491266
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15 Coeficiente d 0.9504547
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 48.37 R^2 ajustado 0.9491843
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56 Error típico 5.72985038
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61 Observacione 121
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 39.60 Regresión 3
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13 Residuos 117
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69 Total 120
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 42.46 Coeficientes
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04 A0 Intercepción 7.12266447
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06 T Variable X 1 -0.03496565
12/1/2016 56.82 96 50.47 48.30 T1 Variable X 2 1.14132531
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 50.47 T2 Variable X 3 -0.20043199
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27
6/1/2018 79.44 114 77.59 75.17
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 58.71
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 53.80
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17
10/1/2019 59.83 130 60.78 60.43
11/1/2019 58.65 131 60.78
12/1/2019 57.45 132
1/1/2020 56.29 133
2/1/2020 55.17 134
3/1/2020 54.08 135
4/1/2020 53.04 136
5/1/2020 52.03 137
6/1/2020 51.04 138
7/1/2020 50.09 139
8/1/2020 49.17 140
9/1/2020 48.27 141
10/1/2020 47.39 142
11/1/2020 46.54 143
12/1/2020 45.71 144
Suma de cuadrados
73831.4799 8203.49777 246.201623 4.86149E-69
3698.54692 33.3202425
77530.0269

Superior 95.0%
3.06558991 2.17080652 3% 0.58013152 12.7294736 0.58013152 12.7294736
0.01853104 -1.82479489 7% -0.07053585 0.00290515 -0.07053585 0.00290515
0.09455932 12.4222764 0% 0.98726635 1.36201754 0.98726635 1.36201754
0.14585958 -1.84986524 7% -0.55885106 0.01920993 -0.55885106 0.01920993
0.14734381 -0.32289476 75% -0.33954814 0.24439505 -0.33954814 0.24439505
0.14502161 1.29798035 20% -0.0991348 0.47560519 -0.0991348 0.47560519
0.14434826 -1.32548662 19% -0.47736742 0.09470403 -0.47736742 0.09470403
0.14733574 1.21535029 23% -0.11289107 0.47102013 -0.11289107 0.47102013
0.14609315 -1.21597105 23% -0.46713837 0.11184829 -0.46713837 0.11184829
0.09251949 0.97536359 33% -0.0930934 0.27357369 -0.0930934 0.27357369
Suma de cuadrados
73792.4729 10541.7818 318.716826 2.72299E-71
3737.554 33.0756991
77530.0269

Superior 95.0%
3.05369624 2.19471341 3% 0.65206507 12.7519111 0.65206507 12.7519111
0.01843608 -1.77727298 8% -0.06929113 0.00375925 -0.06929113 0.00375925
0.09281037 12.6668643 0% 0.99174224 1.3594904 0.99174224 1.3594904
0.11474818 -2.5843228 1% -0.52388316 -0.06920949 -0.52388316 -0.06920949
0.1160773 1.490935 14% -0.05690636 0.40303379 -0.05690636 0.40303379
0.14353534 -1.39464428 17% -0.48455013 0.08418865 -0.48455013 0.08418865
0.14224745 1.17251284 24% -0.11503089 0.44860482 -0.11503089 0.44860482
0.09059575 -0.8233615 41% -0.25407958 0.10489347 -0.25407958 0.10489347
Suma de cuadrados
73746.5019 14749.3004 448.304041 1.20887E-73
3783.52499 32.9002173
77530.0269

Superior 95.0%
3.04189225 2.23150804 3% 0.7626039 12.8134101 0.7626039 12.8134101
0.01835791 -1.81644843 7% -0.06970967 0.00301729 -0.06970967 0.00301729
0.09197696 12.6514326 0% 0.98145162 1.34582892 0.98145162 1.34582892
0.11327254 -2.46619006 2% -0.5037227 -0.05498051 -0.5037227 -0.05498051
0.11230607 1.30296247 20% -0.07612612 0.36878732 -0.07612612 0.36878732
0.08872464 -0.98145186 33% -0.26282541 0.08866748 -0.26282541 0.08866748
Suma de cuadrados
73688.7782 24562.9261 748.158367 3.85126E-76
3841.24869 32.8311854
77530.0269

Superior 95.0%
3.0090046 2.36711651 2% 1.16348854 13.0818404 1.16348854 13.0818404
0.01829678 -1.91102691 6% -0.07120147 0.00127018 -0.07120147 0.00127018
0.09032161 12.6362377 0% 0.9624481 1.32020253 0.9624481 1.32020253
0.08934338 -2.24338951 3% -0.37737186 -0.02349212 -0.37737186 -0.02349212
1/1/2009 45.88 1
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 45.88 Coeficiente d 0.97592128
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 46.35 Coeficiente d 0.95242234
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 R^2 ajustado 0.94805742
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 Error típico 5.81234663
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 Observacione 120
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30
11/1/2009 78.47 11 75.20 69.07 Regresión 10
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 75.20 Residuos 109
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Total 119
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46 Coeficientes
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59 A0 Intercepción 7.1672956
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70 T Variable X 1 -0.0366844
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 T1 Variable X 2 1.17084843
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T2 Variable X 3 -0.26586833
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T3 Variable X 4 -0.04982054
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T4 Variable X 5 0.20142594
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T5 Variable X 6 -0.20766417
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T6 Variable X 7 0.18318129
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15 T7 Variable X 8 -0.17779266
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92 T8 Variable X 9 0.08498238
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75 T9 Variable X 10 0.00303087
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01
4/1/2011 125.89 28 117.36 111.80
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36 Resumen
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 125.89
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48 Coeficiente d 0.97589642
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 116.74 Coeficiente d 0.95237382
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85 R^2 ajustado 0.9489413
11/1/2011 110.52 35 109.56 102.76 Error típico 5.76268135
12/1/2011 107.38 36 110.52 109.56 Observacione 120
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 110.52
4/1/2012 119.47 40 122.88 122.66 Regresión 8
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 122.88 Residuos 111
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47 Total 119
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 Coeficientes
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92 A0 Intercepción 7.15315148
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57 T Variable X 1 -0.0365949
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39 T1 Variable X 2 1.17643567
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70 T2 Variable X 3 -0.2963531
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23 T4 Variable X 4 0.17209763
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11 T5 Variable X 5 -0.20644098
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55 T6 Variable X 6 0.19285354
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38 T7 Variable X 7 -0.18934883
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02 T8 Variable X 8 0.09317268
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16 Resumen
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37 Coeficiente d 0.97550725
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 108.84 Coeficiente d 0.9516144
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 109.69 R^2 ajustado 0.94904526
2/1/2014 109.07 62 106.40 110.80 Error típico 5.75681213
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40 Observacione 120
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41 Regresión 6
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36 Residuos 113
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 106.02 Total 119
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 103.19
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67 Coeficientes
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86 A0 Intercepción 7.15800232
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15 T Variable X 1 -0.03635714
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33 T1 Variable X 2 1.16786112
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99 T2 Variable X 3 -0.2901207
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58 T4 Variable X 4 0.1807388
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11 T5 Variable X 5 -0.19394522
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78 T6 Variable X 6 0.07756616
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21 Resumen
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56 Coeficiente d 0.97508381
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61 Coeficiente d 0.95078844
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28 R^2 ajustado 0.94907673
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74 Error típico 5.75503377
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97 Observacione 120
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 39.60
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68 Regresión 4
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 42.46 Residuos 115
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04 Total 119
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06
12/1/2016 56.82 96 50.47 48.30 Coeficientes
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 50.47 A0 Intercepción 7.05637101
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82 T Variable X 1 -0.03622533
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70 T1 Variable X 2 1.14870056
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59 T2 Variable X 3 -0.2561017
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83 T4 Variable X 4 0.05045272
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92 Resumen
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54 Coeficiente d 0.97492672
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37 Coeficiente d 0.9504821
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57 R^2 ajustado 0.94920147
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87 Error típico 5.74798111
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05 Observacione 120
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59 Regresión 3
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44 Residuos 116
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25 Total 119
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72 Coeficientes
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47 A0 Intercepción 7.46417561
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 58.71 T Variable X 1 -0.03709621
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 53.80 T1 Variable X 2 1.13803352
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89 T2 Variable X 3 -0.19924288
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17
10/1/2019 59.77 130 60.78 60.43
11/1/2019 58.52 131 60.78
12/1/2019 57.25 132
1/1/2020 56.03 133
2/1/2020 54.85 134
3/1/2020 53.71 135
4/1/2020 52.61 136
5/1/2020 51.56 137
6/1/2020 50.54 138
7/1/2020 49.55 139
8/1/2020 48.59 140
9/1/2020 47.66 141
10/1/2020 46.75 142
11/1/2020 45.87 143
12/1/2020 45.01 144
Suma de cuadrados
73715.0259 7371.50259 218.199128 3.00818E-67
3682.38769 33.7833733
77397.4136

Superior 95.0%
3.17458175 2.25771335 3% 0.87537777 13.4592134 0.87537777 13.4592134
0.01915641 -1.91499371 6% -0.07465177 0.00128298 -0.07465177 0.00128298
0.09579017 12.2230537 0% 0.98099542 1.36070144 0.98099542 1.36070144
0.1479866 -1.79657031 8% -0.55917295 0.0274363 -0.55917295 0.0274363
0.14946908 -0.33331672 74% -0.3460634 0.24642231 -0.3460634 0.24642231
0.14856265 1.35583163 18% -0.0930204 0.49587227 -0.0930204 0.49587227
0.14863805 -1.39711312 17% -0.50225996 0.08693161 -0.50225996 0.08693161
0.14858025 1.23287776 22% -0.11129994 0.47766251 -0.11129994 0.47766251
0.14963514 -1.1881745 24% -0.47436464 0.11877933 -0.47436464 0.11877933
0.14815102 0.57361995 57% -0.20864812 0.37861288 -0.20864812 0.37861288
0.09373306 0.03233507 97% -0.18274501 0.18880674 -0.18274501 0.18880674
Suma de cuadrados
73711.2705 9213.90881 277.456369 1.14482E-69
3686.14309 33.2084963
77397.4136
Superior 95.0%
3.14715658 2.27289342 2% 0.91685062 13.3894523 0.91685062 13.3894523
0.01893765 -1.93238821 6% -0.07412112 0.00093133 -0.07412112 0.00093133
0.09320316 12.6222719 0% 0.99174738 1.36112396 0.99174738 1.36112396
0.11504796 -2.57590924 1% -0.52432832 -0.06837789 -0.52432832 -0.06837789
0.11810184 1.45719683 15% -0.06192905 0.40612431 -0.06192905 0.40612431
0.1458355 -1.41557426 16% -0.49542375 0.0825418 -0.49542375 0.0825418
0.14421746 1.33724124 18% -0.09292299 0.47863006 -0.09292299 0.47863006
0.1423279 -1.33037044 19% -0.47138107 0.09268341 -0.47138107 0.09268341
0.09142174 1.01915237 31% -0.08798559 0.27433095 -0.08798559 0.27433095
Suma de cuadrados
73652.4935 12275.4156 370.400948 7.41215E-72
3744.92011 33.1408859
77397.4136

Superior 95.0%
3.14218324 2.27803466 2% 0.9327706 13.383234 0.9327706 13.383234
0.01887961 -1.9257359 6% -0.07376104 0.00104677 -0.07376104 0.00104677
0.09287575 12.5744466 0% 0.98385751 1.35186472 0.98385751 1.35186472
0.11481422 -2.52687085 1% -0.51758838 -0.06265303 -0.51758838 -0.06265303
0.11723898 1.54162729 13% -0.05153275 0.41301036 -0.05153275 0.41301036
0.14307159 -1.35558162 18% -0.47739584 0.08950541 -0.47739584 0.08950541
0.09100235 0.85235337 40% -0.10272591 0.25785822 -0.10272591 0.25785822
Suma de cuadrados
73588.566 18397.1415 555.462311 3.46326E-74
3808.84757 33.1204137
77397.4136

Superior 95.0%
3.13219195 2.25285395 3% 0.85210158 13.2606404 0.85210158 13.2606404
0.01887005 -1.91972595 6% -0.07360327 0.00115261 -0.07360327 0.00115261
0.09181559 12.5109533 0% 0.96683154 1.33056957 0.96683154 1.33056957
0.11213414 -2.28388696 2% -0.47821785 -0.03398555 -0.47821785 -0.03398555
0.05963063 0.84608731 40% -0.06766408 0.16856951 -0.06766408 0.16856951
Suma de cuadrados
73564.8563 24521.6188 742.195765 1.66852E-75
3832.55727 33.0392868
77397.4136

Superior 95.0%
3.0910923 2.41473722 0.017309 1.34187783 13.5864734 1.34187783 13.5864734
0.01881887 -1.9712242 0.0510794 -0.07436935 0.00017693 -0.07436935 0.00017693
0.09083443 12.5286579 2.69399E-23 0.95812448 1.31794256 0.95812448 1.31794256
0.08965606 -2.2223024 0.02820225 -0.37681801 -0.02166775 -0.37681801 -0.02166775
1/1/2009 45.88 1
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 45.88 Coeficiente d 0.9762517
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 46.35 Coeficiente d 0.95306738
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 R^2 ajustado 0.94824253
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 Error típico 5.82539259
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 Observacione 119
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30
11/1/2009 78.47 11 75.20 69.07 Regresión 11
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 75.20 Residuos 107
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Total 118
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46 Coeficientes
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59 A0 Intercepción 6.4326146
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70 T Variable X 1 -0.03112041
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 T1 Variable X 2 1.17775707
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T2 Variable X 3 -0.26275817
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T3 Variable X 4 -0.06638009
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T4 Variable X 5 0.22121567
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T5 Variable X 6 -0.2468359
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T6 Variable X 7 0.22772601
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15 T7 Variable X 8 -0.19077116
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92 T8 Variable X 9 0.06335881
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75 T9 Variable X 10 0.10764275
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01 T10 Variable X 11 -0.08488268
4/1/2011 125.89 28 117.36 111.80
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 125.89 Resumen
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 116.74 Coeficiente d 0.97614796
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85 Coeficiente d 0.95286484
11/1/2011 110.52 35 109.56 102.76 R^2 ajustado 0.94897294
12/1/2011 107.38 36 110.52 109.56 Error típico 5.78414189
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 110.52 Observacione 119
2/1/2012 122.66 38 110.98 107.38
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 122.88 Regresión 9
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47 Residuos 109
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87 Total 118
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92 Coeficientes
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57 A0 Intercepción 6.45407964
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39 T Variable X 1 -0.03126933
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70 T1 Variable X 2 1.18107131
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23 T2 Variable X 3 -0.30018846
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11 T4 Variable X 4 0.19033766
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55 T5 Variable X 5 -0.2568404
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38 T6 Variable X 6 0.23792575
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02 T7 Variable X 7 -0.16165601
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37 T9 Variable X 8 0.14363574
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39 T10 Variable X 9 -0.08834538
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 114.01 Resumen
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 109.69 Coeficiente d 0.97579805
2/1/2014 109.07 62 106.40 110.80 Coeficiente d 0.95218183
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40 R^2 ajustado 0.94916627
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07 Error típico 5.77317411
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 107.76 Observacione 119
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 106.02 Regresión 7
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 103.19 Residuos 111
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67 Total 118
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15 Coeficientes
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33 A0 Intercepción 6.5956153
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99 T Variable X 1 -0.03209901
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58 T1 Variable X 2 1.17767355
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11 T2 Variable X 3 -0.29788812
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78 T4 Variable X 4 0.18626641
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56 T5 Variable X 5 -0.23229856
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59 T6 Variable X 6 0.19079507
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21 T7 Variable X 7 -0.07972509
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 48.37
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56 Resumen
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74 Coeficiente d 0.97540697
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97 Coeficiente d 0.95141877
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 39.60 R^2 ajustado 0.94926915
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13 Error típico 5.76732903
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69 Observacione 119
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06 Regresión 5
12/1/2016 56.82 96 50.47 48.30 Residuos 113
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 50.47 Total 118
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70 Coeficientes
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59 A0 Intercepción 6.8575898
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83 T Variable X 1 -0.03359039
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73 T1 Variable X 2 1.16277999
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31 T2 Variable X 3 -0.27733656
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92 T4 Variable X 4 0.15414735
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65 T5 Variable X 5 -0.09667236
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37 Resumen
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05 Coeficiente d 0.9749976
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78 Coeficiente d 0.95062031
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27 R^2 ajustado 0.94933215
6/1/2018 79.44 114 77.59 75.17 Error típico 5.76374709
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59 Observacione 119
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72 Regresión 3
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47 Residuos 115
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 58.71 Total 118
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 53.80
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89 Coeficientes
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03 A0 Intercepción 7.03194718
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39 T Variable X 1 -0.03443632
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80 T1 Variable X 2 1.14092118
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49 T2 Variable X 3 -0.19943691
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17
10/1/2019 59.85 130 60.78 60.43
11/1/2019 58.68 131 60.78
12/1/2019 57.50 132
1/1/2020 56.35 133
2/1/2020 55.24 134
3/1/2020 54.17 135
4/1/2020 53.14 136
5/1/2020 52.14 137
6/1/2020 51.17 138
7/1/2020 50.22 139
8/1/2020 49.31 140
9/1/2020 48.42 141
10/1/2020 47.55 142
11/1/2020 46.70 143
12/1/2020 45.87 144
Suma de cuadrados
73736.5745 6703.32495 197.533098 9.72581E-66
3631.06628 33.9351989
77367.6407

Superior 95.0%
3.28207974 1.95992027 5% -0.0737257 12.9389549 -0.0737257 12.9389549
0.01981358 -1.5706606 12% -0.07039853 0.0081577 -0.07039853 0.0081577
0.09624726 12.2367857 0% 0.9869581 1.36855603 0.9869581 1.36855603
0.14849296 -1.76949914 8% -0.55712814 0.03161181 -0.55712814 0.03161181
0.15068173 -0.44053182 66% -0.36508904 0.23232885 -0.36508904 0.23232885
0.15017338 1.47306849 14% -0.07648554 0.51891687 -0.07648554 0.51891687
0.1523516 -1.6201726 11% -0.54885518 0.05518339 -0.54885518 0.05518339
0.15325638 1.4859154 14% -0.07608688 0.53153891 -0.07608688 0.53153891
0.1503419 -1.26891545 21% -0.48880645 0.10726412 -0.48880645 0.10726412
0.15093935 0.41976337 68% -0.23586085 0.36257848 -0.23586085 0.36257848
0.14928297 0.72106512 47% -0.18829334 0.40357883 -0.18829334 0.40357883
0.09518509 -0.89176443 37% -0.27357602 0.10381066 -0.27357602 0.10381066
Suma de cuadrados
73720.9043 8191.21159 244.833177 4.99211E-68
3646.73642 33.4562974
77367.6407
Superior 95.0%
3.25822487 1.98085764 5% -0.00361613 12.9117754 -0.00361613 12.9117754
0.01967109 -1.58960873 11% -0.07025679 0.00771812 -0.07025679 0.00771812
0.09381993 12.5887042 0% 0.99512326 1.36701935 0.99512326 1.36701935
0.11565294 -2.59559734 1% -0.52940882 -0.07096809 -0.52940882 -0.07096809
0.11816358 1.61079806 11% -0.04385871 0.42453402 -0.04385871 0.42453402
0.14898991 -1.72387778 9% -0.55213357 0.03845276 -0.55213357 0.03845276
0.15003975 1.58575147 12% -0.05944815 0.53529965 -0.05944815 0.53529965
0.11811757 -1.36860255 17% -0.3957612 0.07244918 -0.3957612 0.07244918
0.11618695 1.23624676 22% -0.08664302 0.37391449 -0.08664302 0.37391449
0.09273953 -0.95261843 34% -0.27215211 0.09546135 -0.27215211 0.09546135
Suma de cuadrados
73668.0619 10524.0088 315.756204 3.45114E-70
3699.57887 33.3295393
77367.6407

Superior 95.0%
3.25005687 2.02938458 4% 0.15541065 13.0358199 0.15541065 13.0358199
0.01947573 -1.64815398 10% -0.07069147 0.00649346 -0.07069147 0.00649346
0.09352996 12.5914046 0% 0.99233769 1.36300941 0.99233769 1.36300941
0.11533321 -2.58284772 1% -0.52642858 -0.06934766 -0.52642858 -0.06934766
0.11768072 1.58281158 12% -0.0469258 0.41945861 -0.0469258 0.41945861
0.14722254 -1.57787367 12% -0.52402984 0.05943272 -0.52402984 0.05943272
0.14499522 1.31587147 19% -0.09652264 0.47811279 -0.09652264 0.47811279
0.09108344 -0.87529732 38% -0.260213 0.10076282 -0.260213 0.10076282
Suma de cuadrados
73609.0252 14721.805 442.600198 1.87193E-72
3758.61551 33.2620842
77367.6407

Superior 95.0%
3.23139936 2.12217341 4% 0.45560486 13.2595747 0.45560486 13.2595747
0.01942212 -1.72949179 9% -0.0720691 0.00488832 -0.0720691 0.00488832
0.09272626 12.5399214 0% 0.97907255 1.34648744 0.97907255 1.34648744
0.11396145 -2.43359969 2% -0.50311475 -0.05155836 -0.50311475 -0.05155836
0.11410774 1.35089301 18% -0.07192067 0.38021538 -0.07192067 0.38021538
0.09149877 -1.05654276 29% -0.27794792 0.0846032 -0.27794792 0.0846032
Suma de cuadrados
73547.251 24515.7503 737.964308 6.35813E-75
3820.38976 33.2207806
77367.6407

Superior 95.0%
3.18078842 2.21075603 3% 0.73141749 13.3324769 0.73141749 13.3324769
0.01937555 -1.77730808 8% -0.07281556 0.00394291 -0.07281556 0.00394291
0.09120847 12.5089388 0% 0.96025475 1.32158761 0.96025475 1.32158761
0.08990255 -2.21836774 3% -0.37751656 -0.02135727 -0.37751656 -0.02135727
1/1/2009 45.88 1
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 45.88 Coeficiente d 0.97642714
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 46.35 Coeficiente d 0.95340996
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 R^2 ajustado 0.94808538
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 Error típico 5.85892254
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 Observacione 118
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30
11/1/2009 78.47 11 75.20 69.07 Regresión 12
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 75.20 Residuos 105
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Total 117
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46 Coeficientes
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59 A0 Intercepción 6.67419927
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70 T Variable X 1 -0.03124455
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 T1 Variable X 2 1.17236857
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T2 Variable X 3 -0.25658708
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T3 Variable X 4 -0.06198992
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T4 Variable X 5 0.20727171
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T5 Variable X 6 -0.22783047
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T6 Variable X 7 0.20899422
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15 T7 Variable X 8 -0.17416485
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92 T8 Variable X 9 0.05820045
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75 T9 Variable X 10 0.08307137
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01 T10 Variable X 11 0.0144524
4/1/2011 125.89 28 117.36 111.80 T11 Variable X 12 -0.08055102
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 125.89
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73 Resumen
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85 Coeficiente d 0.97639285
11/1/2011 110.52 35 109.56 102.76 Coeficiente d 0.95334301
12/1/2011 107.38 36 110.52 109.56 R^2 ajustado 0.94898254
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 110.52 Error típico 5.80807677
2/1/2012 122.66 38 110.98 107.38 Observacione 118
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 110.98
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47 Regresión 10
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87 Residuos 107
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 Total 117
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57 Coeficientes
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39 A0 Intercepción 6.6786367
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70 T Variable X 1 -0.03122075
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23 T1 Variable X 2 1.16844765
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11 T2 Variable X 3 -0.24728946
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55 T3 Variable X 4 -0.07422665
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38 T4 Variable X 5 0.22167604
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02 T5 Variable X 6 -0.23954707
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37 T6 Variable X 7 0.20799429
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39 T7 Variable X 8 -0.14065399
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16 T9 Variable X 9 0.12420299
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70 T11 Variable X 10 -0.07745173
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 114.01
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 108.84 Resumen
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 109.69
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40 Coeficiente d 0.97597325
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07 Coeficiente d 0.95252379
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 107.76 R^2 ajustado 0.9490393
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07 Error típico 5.80484518
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41 Observacione 118
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67 Regresión 8
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86 Residuos 109
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15 Total 117
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99 Coeficientes
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58 A0 Intercepción 6.52747303
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11 T Variable X 1 -0.03033322
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78 T1 Variable X 2 1.1702286
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56 T2 Variable X 3 -0.28686711
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59 T4 Variable X 4 0.17603038
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21 T5 Variable X 5 -0.20643602
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15 T6 Variable X 6 0.08842282
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 48.37 T9 Variable X 7 0.07560323
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56 T11 Variable X 8 -0.07284299
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74 Resumen
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13 Coeficiente d 0.97542672
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69 Coeficiente d 0.95145729
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68 R^2 ajustado 0.94883336
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 42.46 Error típico 5.81656231
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04 Observacione 118
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82 Regresión 6
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70 Residuos 111
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59 Total 117
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73 Coeficientes
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31 A0 Intercepción 7.0151689
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92 T Variable X 1 -0.03357462
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65 T1 Variable X 2 1.16307202
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38 T2 Variable X 3 -0.27739653
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54 T4 Variable X 4 0.15254313
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37 T5 Variable X 5 -0.08731043
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57 T11 Variable X 6 -0.00993508
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78 Resumen
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59 Coeficiente d 0.97515995
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44 Coeficiente d 0.95093692
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25 R^2 ajustado 0.94920017
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42 Error típico 5.79567519
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72 Observacione 118
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89 Regresión 4
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03 Residuos 113
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39 Total 117
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49 Coeficientes
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55 A0 Intercepción 6.6354438
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17 T Variable X 1 -0.03367096
10/1/2019 59.84 130 60.78 60.43 T1 Variable X 2 1.15218245
11/1/2019 58.67 131 60.78 T2 Variable X 3 -0.25798062
12/1/2019 57.49 132 T4 Variable X 4 0.05151395
1/1/2020 56.33 133
2/1/2020 55.22 134
3/1/2020 54.14 135 Resumen
4/1/2020 53.11 136
5/1/2020 52.10 137 Estadísticas de la regresión
6/1/2020 51.13 138 Coeficiente d 0.97499628
7/1/2020 50.18 139 Coeficiente d 0.95061775
8/1/2020 49.26 140 R^2 ajustado 0.94931822
9/1/2020 48.37 141 Error típico 5.78893736
10/1/2020 47.50 142 Observacione 118
11/1/2020 46.65 143
12/1/2020 45.82 144 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresión 3
Residuos 114
Total 117
Coeficientes
A0 Intercepción 7.05734565
T Variable X 1 -0.03459367
T1 Variable X 2 1.1411027
T2 Variable X 3 -0.19977334
Suma de cuadrados
73758.3861 6146.53217 179.058378 4.22037E-64
3604.3322 34.3269733
77362.7183

Superior 95.0%
3.38654463 1.97079915 5% -0.04069314 13.3890917 -0.04069314 13.3890917
0.02040812 -1.53098635 13% -0.07171008 0.00922098 -0.07171008 0.00922098
0.0975679 12.0159254 0% 0.97890945 1.36582768 0.97890945 1.36582768
0.15077966 -1.70173537 9% -0.55555529 0.04238113 -0.55555529 0.04238113
0.1516804 -0.40868772 68% -0.36274413 0.2387643 -0.36274413 0.2387643
0.15212651 1.36249568 18% -0.09436706 0.50891049 -0.09436706 0.50891049
0.15526026 -1.46741005 15% -0.53568289 0.08002195 -0.53568289 0.08002195
0.15873913 1.31658918 19% -0.10575615 0.5237446 -0.10575615 0.5237446
0.15641021 -1.11351328 27% -0.4842974 0.13596771 -0.4842974 0.13596771
0.15234801 0.38202301 70% -0.24387752 0.36027842 -0.24387752 0.36027842
0.15282717 0.54356413 59% -0.21995668 0.38609941 -0.21995668 0.38609941
0.15346217 0.09417562 93% -0.28983473 0.31873952 -0.28983473 0.31873952
0.09681488 -0.83201073 41% -0.27251703 0.111415 -0.27251703 0.111415
Suma de cuadrados
73753.2064 7375.32064 218.633249 2.07873E-66
3609.51187 33.7337558
77362.7183

Superior 95.0%
3.35672194 1.9896306 5% 0.02432695 13.3329465 0.02432695 13.3329465
0.02023032 -1.54326476 13% -0.071325 0.00888351 -0.071325 0.00888351
0.09558324 12.2243985 0% 0.97896502 1.35793029 0.97896502 1.35793029
0.14705346 -1.68162962 10% -0.5388058 0.04422688 -0.5388058 0.04422688
0.14699649 -0.50495522 61% -0.36563005 0.21717676 -0.36563005 0.21717676
0.14520592 1.52663228 13% -0.06617775 0.50952983 -0.06617775 0.50952983
0.14838715 -1.61433843 11% -0.53370729 0.05461314 -0.53370729 0.05461314
0.15166769 1.3713817 17% -0.09266921 0.5086578 -0.09266921 0.5086578
0.1192475 -1.17951317 24% -0.37704825 0.09574026 -0.37704825 0.09574026
0.08326873 1.49159227 14% -0.04086755 0.28927352 -0.04086755 0.28927352
0.05893462 -1.31419738 19% -0.19428274 0.03937929 -0.19428274 0.03937929
Suma de cuadrados
73689.8294 9211.22868 273.360828 1.92133E-68
3672.88881 33.6962276
77362.7183

Superior 95.0%
3.35266937 1.94694803 5% -0.11740866 13.1723547 -0.11740866 13.1723547
0.02020559 -1.50122886 14% -0.07038005 0.00971361 -0.07038005 0.00971361
0.0941935 12.4236665 0% 0.98354015 1.35691705 0.98354015 1.35691705
0.1166704 -2.45878237 2% -0.51810404 -0.05563018 -0.51810404 -0.05563018
0.11863367 1.4838147 14% -0.05909769 0.41115846 -0.05909769 0.41115846
0.14603443 -1.41361197 16% -0.49587151 0.08299947 -0.49587151 0.08299947
0.10646526 0.83053216 41% -0.12258786 0.29943349 -0.12258786 0.29943349
0.07398705 1.02184408 31% -0.0710367 0.22224317 -0.0710367 0.22224317
0.05879851 -1.23885766 22% -0.18937972 0.04369375 -0.18937972 0.04369375
Suma de cuadrados
73607.3222 12267.887 362.60768 1.77065E-70
3755.39608 33.8323971
77362.7183

Superior 95.0%
3.34445063 2.09755493 4% 0.38791671 13.6424211 0.38791671 13.6424211
0.0201385 -1.66718613 10% -0.0734804 0.00633115 -0.0734804 0.00633115
0.09371153 12.4111938 0% 0.97737635 1.34876768 0.97737635 1.34876768
0.11561495 -2.39931374 2% -0.50649526 -0.0482978 -0.50649526 -0.0482978
0.11562081 1.31933971 19% -0.07656723 0.38165349 -0.07656723 0.38165349
0.0989029 -0.88278934 38% -0.28329312 0.10867227 -0.28329312 0.10867227
0.03480329 -0.28546381 78% -0.07890011 0.05902996 -0.07890011 0.05902996
Suma de cuadrados
73567.0651 18391.7663 547.539384 5.83251E-73
3795.65315 33.5898509
77362.7183

Superior 95.0%
3.30953257 2.00494893 5% 0.07866287 13.1922247 0.07866287 13.1922247
0.01998008 -1.68522663 9% -0.0732551 0.00591318 -0.0732551 0.00591318
0.09275224 12.4221521 0% 0.96842353 1.33594137 0.96842353 1.33594137
0.11342724 -2.27441508 2% -0.48270043 -0.0332608 -0.48270043 -0.0332608
0.0600834 0.85737399 39% -0.06752211 0.17055 -0.06752211 0.17055
Suma de cuadrados
73542.3735 24514.1245 731.507337 2.85738E-74
3820.34472 33.5117958
77362.7183

Superior 95.0%
3.26893981 2.15890963 3% 0.58160106 13.5330902 0.58160106 13.5330902
0.01992788 -1.73594349 9% -0.07407065 0.0048833 -0.07407065 0.0048833
0.0917408 12.4383342 0% 0.95936489 1.32284051 0.95936489 1.32284051
0.09076053 -2.20110368 3% -0.37956924 -0.01997743 -0.37956924 -0.01997743
1/1/2009 45.88 1
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 45.88 Coeficiente d 0.97660904
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 46.35 Coeficiente d 0.95376521
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 R^2 ajustado 0.94792976
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 Error típico 5.89264101
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 Observacione 117
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30
11/1/2009 78.47 11 75.20 69.07 Regresión 13
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 75.20 Residuos 103
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Total 116
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46 Coeficientes
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59 A0 Intercepción 7.07259571
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70 T Variable X 1 -0.03250993
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 T1 Variable X 2 1.16311991
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T2 Variable X 3 -0.24943977
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T3 Variable X 4 -0.06016801
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T4 Variable X 5 0.20937787
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T5 Variable X 6 -0.23458888
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T6 Variable X 7 0.21964206
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15 T7 Variable X 8 -0.18714731
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92 T8 Variable X 9 0.07152761
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75 T9 Variable X 10 0.07573411
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01 T10 Variable X 11 -0.00424011
4/1/2011 125.89 28 117.36 111.80 T11 Variable X 12 0.01763985
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36 T12 Variable X 13 -0.08207969
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 125.89
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73 Resumen
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85 Coeficiente d 0.97660548
11/1/2011 110.52 35 109.56 102.76 Coeficiente d 0.95375827
12/1/2011 107.38 36 110.52 109.56 R^2 ajustado 0.9489139
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 110.52 Error típico 5.83668907
2/1/2012 122.66 38 110.98 107.38 Observacione 117
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 110.98
6/1/2012 97.80 42 101.87 119.47 Regresión 11
7/1/2012 104.92 43 97.80 101.87 Residuos 105
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 Total 116
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57 Coeficientes
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39 A0 Intercepción 7.05890752
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70 T Variable X 1 -0.03242661
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23 T1 Variable X 2 1.16382052
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11 T2 Variable X 3 -0.24894278
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55 T3 Variable X 4 -0.06173638
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38 T4 Variable X 5 0.2092662
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02 T5 Variable X 6 -0.23327448
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37 T6 Variable X 7 0.21751065
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39 T7 Variable X 8 -0.18316153
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16 T8 Variable X 9 0.06687502
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70 T9 Variable X 10 0.08034599
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 114.01 T12 Variable X 11 -0.07120163
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 108.84 Resumen
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 109.69
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40 Coeficiente d 0.97650358
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07 Coeficiente d 0.95355925
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 107.76 R^2 ajustado 0.94965302
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07 Error típico 5.79431222
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41 Observacione 117
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67 Regresión 9
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 85.86 Residuos 107
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 70.15 Total 116
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99 Coeficientes
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58 A0 Intercepción 7.10540555
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11 T Variable X 1 -0.03272865
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78 T1 Variable X 2 1.16601881
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56 T2 Variable X 3 -0.28282846
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59 T4 Variable X 4 0.18072778
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21 T5 Variable X 5 -0.2427466
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15 T6 Variable X 6 0.22537386
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 48.37 T7 Variable X 7 -0.15003087
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56 T9 Variable X 8 0.11497117
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61 T12 Variable X 9 -0.07228023
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74 Resumen
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13 Coeficiente d 0.97566703
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69 Coeficiente d 0.95192615
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68 R^2 ajustado 0.94883884
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 42.46 Error típico 5.84097524
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04 Observacione 117
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82 Regresión 7
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70 Residuos 109
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 55.59 Total 116
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 52.83
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73 Coeficientes
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31 A0 Intercepción 6.88892153
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92 T Variable X 1 -0.03510451
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65 T1 Variable X 2 1.17303638
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38 T2 Variable X 3 -0.29381126
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54 T4 Variable X 4 0.17876275
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37 T5 Variable X 5 -0.20477576
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57 T6 Variable X 6 0.08928938
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87 T9 Variable X 7 0.00174428
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78 Resumen
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59 Coeficiente d 0.97545949
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44 Coeficiente d 0.95152121
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25 R^2 ajustado 0.94933748
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42 Error típico 5.812441
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 82.72 Observacione 117
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89 Regresión 5
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03 Residuos 111
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39 Total 116
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 72.80
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 64.49 Coeficientes
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55 A0 Intercepción 7.281385
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17 T Variable X 1 -0.03623553
10/1/2019 59.77 130 60.78 60.43 T1 Variable X 2 1.16365365
11/1/2019 58.51 131 60.78 T2 Variable X 3 -0.27884233
12/1/2019 57.24 132 T4 Variable X 4 0.151782
1/1/2020 56.01 133 T5 Variable X 5 -0.09622771
2/1/2020 54.83 134
3/1/2020 53.69 135 Resumen
4/1/2020 52.59 136
6/1/2020 50.50 138 Coeficiente d 0.97506703
7/1/2020 49.50 139 Coeficiente d 0.95075572
8/1/2020 48.54 140 R^2 ajustado 0.94944834
9/1/2020 47.60 141 Error típico 5.80607797
10/1/2020 46.69 142 Observacione 117
11/1/2020 45.81 143
12/1/2020 44.94 144 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresión 3
Residuos 113
Total 116
Coeficientes
T Variable X 1 -0.03705558
T1 Variable X 2 1.14197995
T2 Variable X 3 -0.20288077
Suma de cuadrados
73778.4992 5675.26917 163.443065 1.72169E-62
3576.49146 34.723218
77354.9907

Superior 95.0%
3.4991607 2.02122632 5% 0.13283576 14.0123557 0.13283576 14.0123557
0.02099231 -1.54865884 12% -0.07414323 0.00912337 -0.07414323 0.00912337
0.0986795 11.786844 0% 0.96741239 1.35882743 0.96741239 1.35882743
0.15213748 -1.6395682 10% -0.55116857 0.05228903 -0.55116857 0.05228903
0.15381226 -0.39117822 70% -0.36521834 0.24488233 -0.36521834 0.24488233
0.15308083 1.3677602 17% -0.09422185 0.51297759 -0.09422185 0.51297759
0.15655282 -1.4984647 14% -0.54507448 0.07589672 -0.54507448 0.07589672
0.16055757 1.36799566 17% -0.09878601 0.53807013 -0.09878601 0.53807013
0.16123137 -1.16073756 25% -0.50691171 0.13261709 -0.50691171 0.13261709
0.15828835 0.45188168 65% -0.2424 0.38545521 -0.2424 0.38545521
0.15447509 0.49026745 62% -0.2306308 0.38209901 -0.2306308 0.38209901
0.15588459 -0.02720032 98% -0.31340044 0.30492021 -0.31340044 0.30492021
0.1550309 0.11378279 91% -0.28982738 0.32510708 -0.28982738 0.32510708
0.10007521 -0.82018001 41% -0.28055527 0.11639589 -0.28055527 0.11639589
Suma de cuadrados
73777.962 6707.08746 196.879661 8.80358E-65
3577.02863 34.0669393
77354.9907

Superior 95.0%
3.46397374 2.0378063 4% 0.19048748 13.9273276 0.19048748 13.9273276
0.02078022 -1.56045539 12% -0.07362995 0.00877673 -0.07362995 0.00877673
0.09724655 11.9677303 0% 0.97099857 1.35664247 0.97099857 1.35664247
0.15056369 -1.65340518 10% -0.54748276 0.0495972 -0.54748276 0.0495972
0.15114665 -0.40845348 68% -0.36143227 0.23795952 -0.36143227 0.23795952
0.14931831 1.40147714 16% -0.08680443 0.50533682 -0.08680443 0.50533682
0.15093437 -1.54553586 13% -0.53254945 0.06600049 -0.53254945 0.06600049
0.15321065 1.41968364 16% -0.08627776 0.52129906 -0.08627776 0.52129906
0.15456715 -1.1849965 24% -0.48963964 0.12331657 -0.48963964 0.12331657
0.15166351 0.44094342 66% -0.23384569 0.36759574 -0.23384569 0.36759574
0.10752532 0.74722849 46% -0.13285687 0.29354884 -0.13285687 0.29354884
0.04789017 -1.48676918 14% -0.16615899 0.02375573 -0.16615899 0.02375573
Suma de cuadrados
73762.5669 8195.84076 244.112336 4.50991E-67
3592.42378 33.5740541
77354.9907

Superior 95.0%
3.434388 2.06890006 4% 0.2971319 13.9136792 0.2971319 13.9136792
0.02060271 -1.58856031 12% -0.07357112 0.00811382 -0.07357112 0.00811382
0.09448501 12.3407811 0% 0.9787133 1.35332432 0.9787133 1.35332432
0.11692012 -2.41898879 2% -0.51460897 -0.05104796 -0.51460897 -0.05104796
0.11860485 1.52378066 13% -0.05439251 0.41584806 -0.05439251 0.41584806
0.14836102 -1.63618856 10% -0.53685502 0.05136182 -0.53685502 0.05136182
0.14901162 1.51245831 13% -0.0700243 0.52077202 -0.0700243 0.52077202
0.11763196 -1.27542612 20% -0.38322251 0.08316077 -0.38322251 0.08316077
0.075354 1.52574739 13% -0.03440935 0.2643517 -0.03440935 0.2643517
0.047426 -1.52406344 13% -0.16629673 0.02173628 -0.16629673 0.02173628
Suma de cuadrados
73636.2386 10519.4627 308.335 9.22966E-69
3718.7521 34.1169917
77354.9907

Superior 95.0%
3.46012729 1.99094454 5% 0.03106173 13.7467813 0.03106173 13.7467813
0.02065276 -1.69974911 9% -0.0760376 0.00582859 -0.0760376 0.00582859
0.09475848 12.3792234 0% 0.98522815 1.3608446 0.98522815 1.3608446
0.11726681 -2.50549369 1% -0.52623026 -0.06139225 -0.52623026 -0.06139225
0.11950881 1.49581227 14% -0.05809983 0.41562533 -0.05809983 0.41562533
0.14714245 -1.39168375 17% -0.49640731 0.0868558 -0.49640731 0.0868558
0.10714697 0.83333563 41% -0.12307242 0.30165119 -0.12307242 0.30165119
0.04803543 0.03631233 97% -0.09346039 0.09694895 -0.09346039 0.09694895
Suma de cuadrados
73604.9144 14720.9829 435.732238 3.33918E-71
3750.07621 33.7844704
77354.9907

Superior 95.0%
3.40410552 2.13900097 3% 0.53592266 14.0268473 0.53592266 14.0268473
0.02051487 -1.76630609 8% -0.07688711 0.00441604 -0.07688711 0.00441604
0.0936358 12.4274438 0% 0.97810806 1.34919925 0.97810806 1.34919925
0.11544321 -2.41540687 2% -0.50760075 -0.0500839 -0.50760075 -0.0500839
0.11540844 1.31517243 19% -0.07690753 0.38047154 -0.07690753 0.38047154
0.0924175 -1.04122828 30% -0.27935915 0.08690373 -0.27935915 0.08690373
Suma de cuadrados
73545.6995 24515.2332 727.227511 1.09315E-73
3809.29118 33.7105414
77354.9907

Superior 95.0%
3.34623409 2.22357187 3% 0.81109875 14.0700853 0.81109875 14.0700853
0.02044407 -1.81253426 7% -0.07755897 0.00344781 -0.07755897 0.00344781
0.09202519 12.4094281 0% 0.95966145 1.32429844 0.95966145 1.32429844
0.09119088 -2.2247924 3% -0.38354634 -0.0222152 -0.38354634 -0.0222152
Fecha Y T T1 T2
1/1/2009 45.88 1 Resumen
2/1/2009 46.35 2 45.88
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 46.35 Coeficiente d 0.97783509
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 49.23 Coeficiente d 0.95616146
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 50.80 R^2 ajustado 0.95008483
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 65.52 Error típico 5.79119947
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70 69.30 Observacione 116
9/1/2009 69.07 9 69.65 71.70
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 75.20 Regresión 14
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 78.47 Residuos 101
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 77.93 Total 115
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 71.46
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 77.59 Coeficientes
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 82.70 A0 Intercepción 8.66638794
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 87.44 T Variable X 1 -0.03930483
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 74.65 T1 Variable X 2 1.14207274
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 75.01 T2 Variable X 3 -0.24675359
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 78.18 T3 Variable X 4 -0.04226591
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 74.64 T4 Variable X 5 0.19935463
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 82.31 T5 Variable X 6 -0.21878372
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 83.15 T6 Variable X 7 0.19868959
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 85.92 T7 Variable X 8 -0.1621018
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 94.75 T8 Variable X 9 0.05530381
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 101.01 T9 Variable X 10 0.08564666
4/1/2011 125.89 28 117.36 111.80 T10 Variable X 11 -0.00973951
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 117.36 T11 Variable X 12 -0.02340755
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 125.89 T12 Variable X 13 0.13149395
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 116.73 T13 Variable X 14 -0.18362277
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 112.48
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 116.74 Resumen
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 114.85
12/1/2011 107.38 36 110.52 109.56 Coeficiente d 0.97782231
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 110.52 Coeficiente d 0.95613647
2/1/2012 122.66 38 110.98 107.38 R^2 ajustado 0.95102615
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 110.98 Error típico 5.7363329
4/1/2012 119.47 40 122.88 122.66 Observacione 116
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 122.88
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 97.80 Regresión 12
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 104.92 Residuos 103
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 114.57 Total 115
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 112.39
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 108.70 Coeficientes
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 111.23 A0 Intercepción 8.69021015
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 111.11 T Variable X 1 -0.0395151
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 115.55 T1 Variable X 2 1.1404719
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 111.38 T2 Variable X 3 -0.24705618
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 110.02 T3 Variable X 4 -0.03811326
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 102.37 T4 Variable X 5 0.19611162
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 100.39 T5 Variable X 6 -0.21745074
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 102.16 T6 Variable X 7 0.19877575
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 107.70 T7 Variable X 8 -0.16701864
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 114.01 T8 Variable X 9 0.06613354
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.37 T9 Variable X 10 0.06543451
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 108.84 T12 Variable X 11 0.10681811
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 109.69 T13 Variable X 12 -0.17836229
2/1/2014 109.07 62 106.40 110.80
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 106.40 Resumen
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 109.07
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 108.07 Coeficiente d 0.97775396
7/1/2014 106.02 67 112.36 109.41 Coeficiente d 0.95600281
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 112.36 R^2 ajustado 0.9518126
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 106.02 Error típico 5.69008798
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 103.19 Observacione 116
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 94.67
2/1/2015 62.58 74 52.99 57.33 Regresión 10
3/1/2015 55.11 75 62.58 52.99 Residuos 105
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 62.58 Total 115
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 55.11
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 66.78 Coeficientes
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 65.56 A0 Intercepción 8.72019291
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 63.59 T Variable X 1 -0.03964891
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 52.21 T1 Variable X 2 1.13984496
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 54.15 T2 Variable X 3 -0.26685169
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 48.37 T4 Variable X 4 0.18172749
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 49.56 T5 Variable X 5 -0.22628458
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 44.61 T6 Variable X 6 0.20118094
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 37.28 T7 Variable X 7 -0.13137017
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 34.74 T9 Variable X 8 0.09976509
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 35.97 T12 Variable X 9 0.11253139
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 39.60 T13 Variable X 10 -0.18509393
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 48.13
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 49.69 Resumen
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 49.68
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 47.04 Coeficiente d 0.97720778
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.06 Coeficiente d 0.95493505
12/1/2016 56.82 96 50.47 48.30 R^2 ajustado 0.95156571
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 50.47 Error típico 5.70464617
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 56.82 Observacione 116
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 55.70
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 51.73 Regresión 8
7/1/2017 52.65 103 47.92 50.31 Residuos 107
8/1/2017 52.38 104 52.65 47.92 Total 115
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 52.65
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 52.38 Coeficientes
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 57.54 A0 Intercepción 8.50282006
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 61.37 T Variable X 1 -0.03820193
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 63.57 T1 Variable X 2 1.13951282
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 66.87 T2 Variable X 3 -0.25851402
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 69.05 T4 Variable X 4 0.17049652
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 65.78 T5 Variable X 5 -0.20480911
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 70.27 T6 Variable X 6 0.0965947
6/1/2018 79.44 114 77.59 75.17 T9 Variable X 7 0.07785885
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 77.59 T13 Variable X 8 -0.09401566
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 79.44
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 74.25 Resumen
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 77.42
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 75.47 Coeficiente d 0.97637602
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 58.71 Coeficiente d 0.95331014
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 53.80 R^2 ajustado 0.95074005
3/1/2019 68.39 123 66.03 61.89 Error típico 5.75306404
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 66.03 Observacione 116
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 68.39
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 66.55 Regresión 6
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 65.17 Residuos 109
10/1/2019 59.57 130 60.78 60.43 Total 115
11/1/2019 58.08 131 60.78
12/1/2019 56.59 132 Coeficientes
1/1/2020 55.15 133 A0 Intercepción 9.1639026
2/1/2020 53.78 134 T Variable X 1 -0.04204563
3/1/2020 52.47 135 T1 Variable X 2 1.14186795
4/1/2020 51.22 136 T2 Variable X 3 -0.25227056
5/1/2020 50.01 137 T4 Variable X 4 0.13167693
6/1/2020 48.86 138 T5 Variable X 5 -0.05208364
7/1/2020 47.74 139 T13 Variable X 6 -0.04642309
8/1/2020 46.67 140
9/1/2020 45.63 141 Resumen
10/1/2020 44.63 142
12/1/2020 42.70 144 Coeficiente d 0.97597422
Coeficiente d 0.95252568
R^2 ajustado 0.95081489
Error típico 5.74869235
Observacione 116
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresión 4
Residuos 111
Total 115
Coeficientes
T Variable X 1 -0.04424044
T1 Variable X 2 1.12210409
T2 Variable X 3 -0.16416292
T13 Variable X 4 -0.03799606
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
R^2 ajustado 0.95041243
Observacione 116
Grados de libertad
Regresión 3
Residuos 112
Total 115
Coeficientes
T Variable X 1 -0.04384085
T1 Variable X 2 1.13623509
T2 Variable X 3 -0.20310502
Suma de cuadrados
73881.1348 5277.22391 157.350626 6.83864E-62
3387.33712 33.5379913
77268.4719

Superior 95.0%
3.53967261 2.44835862 2% 1.64462965 15.6881462 1.64462965 15.6881462
0.02111552 -1.861419 7% -0.08119234 0.00258268 -0.08119234 0.00258268
0.09741418 11.723886 0% 0.94882921 1.33531626 0.94882921 1.33531626
0.14952575 -1.65024143 10% -0.54337245 0.04986528 -0.54337245 0.04986528
0.15153185 -0.27892428 78% -0.34286435 0.25833252 -0.34286435 0.25833252
0.15166544 1.31443681 19% -0.1015088 0.50021806 -0.1015088 0.50021806
0.15402302 -1.42046122 16% -0.52432396 0.08675651 -0.52432396 0.08675651
0.15840772 1.2542923 21% -0.11554872 0.51292789 -0.11554872 0.51292789
0.15953533 -1.01608717 31% -0.47857698 0.15437338 -0.47857698 0.15437338
0.15951554 0.34669858 73% -0.26113211 0.37173973 -0.26113211 0.37173973
0.1566915 0.54659418 59% -0.22518713 0.39648046 -0.22518713 0.39648046
0.15384227 -0.06330838 95% -0.31492119 0.29544218 -0.31492119 0.29544218
0.1537468 -0.15224739 88% -0.32839983 0.28158474 -0.32839983 0.28158474
0.15304385 0.85919135 39% -0.17210387 0.43509177 -0.17210387 0.43509177
0.09885099 -1.85757133 7% -0.37971656 0.01247101 -0.37971656 0.01247101
Suma de cuadrados
73879.2039 6156.60032 187.099345 3.75754E-64
3389.26806 32.9055151
77268.4719

Superior 95.0%
3.50466193 2.47961439 1% 1.73953981 15.6408805 1.73953981 15.6408805
0.02089659 -1.890983 6% -0.08095857 0.00192836 -0.08095857 0.00192836
0.09615405 11.8608829 0% 0.94977302 1.33117077 0.94977302 1.33117077
0.14797959 -1.66952873 10% -0.5405388 0.04642644 -0.5405388 0.04642644
0.14892816 -0.2559171 80% -0.33347715 0.25725062 -0.33347715 0.25725062
0.14764697 1.32824684 19% -0.09671132 0.48893457 -0.09671132 0.48893457
0.14848709 -1.46444207 15% -0.51193985 0.07703838 -0.51193985 0.07703838
0.15133052 1.3135206 19% -0.10135264 0.49890414 -0.10135264 0.49890414
0.15266603 -1.0940131 28% -0.46979571 0.13575843 -0.46979571 0.13575843
0.15151993 0.43646761 66% -0.23437051 0.36663759 -0.23437051 0.36663759
0.10786345 0.60664207 55% -0.14848721 0.27935622 -0.14848721 0.27935622
0.10714457 0.99695315 32% -0.10567786 0.31931409 -0.10567786 0.31931409
0.09547133 -1.86822881 6% -0.36770716 0.01098258 -0.36770716 0.01098258
Suma de cuadrados
73868.8763 7386.88763 228.151606 1.92319E-66
3399.59562 32.3771012
77268.4719

Superior 95.0%
3.47553205 2.50902388 1% 1.82885487 15.6115309 1.82885487 15.6115309
0.02072404 -1.91318427 6% -0.08074085 0.00144304 -0.08074085 0.00144304
0.09341377 12.2021087 0% 0.95462271 1.32506721 0.95462271 1.32506721
0.1151056 -2.31832069 2% -0.49508484 -0.03861855 -0.49508484 -0.03861855
0.11691801 1.55431564 12% -0.05009932 0.4135543 -0.05009932 0.4135543
0.14589261 -1.55103529 12% -0.51556267 0.06299351 -0.51556267 0.06299351
0.14701415 1.36844609 17% -0.09032097 0.49268285 -0.09032097 0.49268285
0.11583324 -1.13413186 26% -0.36104608 0.09830575 -0.36104608 0.09830575
0.07459557 1.33741318 18% -0.04814414 0.24767432 -0.04814414 0.24767432
0.10579827 1.06364111 29% -0.09724704 0.32230982 -0.09724704 0.32230982
0.09391956 -1.97077087 5% -0.37131907 0.00113121 -0.37131907 0.00113121
Suma de cuadrados
73786.3722 9223.29653 283.41886 2.37693E-68
3482.0997 32.5429879
77268.4719

Superior 95.0%
3.48042099 2.44304355 2% 1.60329136 15.4023488 1.60329136 15.4023488
0.02074891 -1.84115341 7% -0.07933423 0.00293037 -0.07933423 0.00293037
0.09341258 12.1987084 0% 0.95433328 1.32469237 0.95433328 1.32469237
0.11527533 -2.24257896 3% -0.48703391 -0.02999413 -0.48703391 -0.02999413
0.11698296 1.45744748 15% -0.06140855 0.4024016 -0.06140855 0.4024016
0.14370941 -1.42516149 16% -0.48969625 0.08007803 -0.48969625 0.08007803
0.1050641 0.91938824 36% -0.11168263 0.30487202 -0.11168263 0.30487202
0.0616762 1.26238075 21% -0.04440703 0.20012474 -0.04440703 0.20012474
0.04145901 -2.26767717 3% -0.17620332 -0.011828 -0.17620332 -0.011828
Suma de cuadrados
73660.8176 12276.8029 370.925651 4.23816E-70
3607.6543 33.0977459
77268.4719

Superior 95.0%
3.4933463 2.62324483 1% 2.24020381 16.0876014 2.24020381 16.0876014
0.02083085 -2.01843087 5% -0.08333169 -0.00075956 -0.08333169 -0.00075956
0.09330413 12.2381286 0% 0.9569422 1.32679371 0.9569422 1.32679371
0.11498281 -2.193985 3% -0.48016276 -0.02437837 -0.48016276 -0.02437837
0.11467214 1.14829048 25% -0.09559953 0.35895339 -0.09559953 0.35895339
0.09568028 -0.5443508 59% -0.24171885 0.13755157 -0.24171885 0.13755157
0.03085799 -1.50441031 14% -0.10758263 0.01473646 -0.10758263 0.01473646
Suma de cuadrados
73600.2034 18400.0509 556.776489 1.88266E-72
3668.26848 33.0474638
77268.4719

Superior 95.0%
3.47099991 2.75507356 1% 2.68484203 16.4408781 2.68484203 16.4408781
0.02072213 -2.13493703 3% -0.08530272 -0.00317816 -0.08530272 -0.00317816
0.09176216 12.2283963 0% 0.94027124 1.30393694 0.94027124 1.30393694
0.09457026 -1.73588316 9% -0.35156019 0.02323436 -0.35156019 0.02323436
0.02744677 -1.38435438 17% -0.09238368 0.01639155 -0.09238368 0.01639155
Suma de cuadrados
73536.8701 24512.29 735.709913 1.64775E-73
3731.60186 33.3178738
77268.4719

Superior 95.0%
3.39594633 2.49784361 1% 1.75391049 15.2111752 1.75391049 15.2111752
0.02080472 -2.10725526 4% -0.08506273 -0.00261897 -0.08506273 -0.00261897
0.09156497 12.4090582 0% 0.95481083 1.31765935 0.95481083 1.31765935
0.09065833 -2.24033476 3% -0.38273288 -0.02347715 -0.38273288 -0.02347715
1/1/2009 45.88 1
3/1/2009 49.23 3 46.35 Coeficiente d 0.97789885
4/1/2009 50.80 4 49.23 Coeficiente d 0.95628616
5/1/2009 65.52 5 50.80 R^2 ajustado 0.94966285
6/1/2009 69.30 6 65.52 Error típico 5.84068538
7/1/2009 71.70 7 69.30 Observacione 115
8/1/2009 69.65 8 71.70
9/1/2009 69.07 9 69.65 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
10/1/2009 75.20 10 69.07 Grados de libertad
11/1/2009 78.47 11 75.20 Regresión 15
12/1/2009 77.93 12 78.47 Residuos 99
1/1/2010 71.46 13 77.93 Total 114
2/1/2010 77.59 14 71.46 45.88
3/1/2010 82.70 15 77.59 46.35 Coeficientes
4/1/2010 87.44 16 82.70 49.23 A0 Intercepción 8.1288121
5/1/2010 74.65 17 87.44 50.80 T Variable X 1 -0.03657679
6/1/2010 75.01 18 74.65 65.52 T1 Variable X 2 1.15191184
7/1/2010 78.18 19 75.01 69.30 T2 Variable X 3 -0.25499285
8/1/2010 74.64 20 78.18 71.70 T3 Variable X 4 -0.04065846
9/1/2010 82.31 21 74.64 69.65 T4 Variable X 5 0.19400134
10/1/2010 83.15 22 82.31 69.07 T5 Variable X 6 -0.21243931
11/1/2010 85.92 23 83.15 75.20 T6 Variable X 7 0.19686813
12/1/2010 94.75 24 85.92 78.47 T7 Variable X 8 -0.16384347
1/1/2011 101.01 25 94.75 77.93 T8 Variable X 9 0.05757797
2/1/2011 111.80 26 101.01 71.46 T9 Variable X 10 0.07622487
3/1/2011 117.36 27 111.80 77.59 T10 Variable X 11 0.00078938
4/1/2011 125.89 28 117.36 82.70 T11 Variable X 12 -0.02681811
5/1/2011 116.73 29 125.89 87.44 T12 Variable X 13 0.13514861
6/1/2011 112.48 30 116.73 74.65 T13 Variable X 14 -0.19790514
7/1/2011 116.74 31 112.48 75.01 T14 Variable X 15 0.01396429
8/1/2011 114.85 32 116.74 78.18
9/1/2011 102.76 33 114.85 74.64 Resumen
10/1/2011 109.56 34 102.76 82.31
12/1/2011 107.38 36 110.52 85.92 Coeficiente d 0.97789441
1/1/2012 110.98 37 107.38 94.75 Coeficiente d 0.95627748
2/1/2012 122.66 38 110.98 101.01 R^2 ajustado 0.95064983
3/1/2012 122.88 39 122.66 111.80 Error típico 5.78314151
4/1/2012 119.47 40 122.88 117.36 Observacione 115
5/1/2012 101.87 41 119.47 125.89
8/1/2012 114.57 44 104.92 116.74 Regresión 13
9/1/2012 112.39 45 114.57 114.85 Residuos 101
10/1/2012 108.70 46 112.39 102.76 Total 114
11/1/2012 111.23 47 108.70 109.56
12/1/2012 111.11 48 111.23 110.52 Coeficientes
1/1/2013 115.55 49 111.11 107.38 A0 Intercepción 8.1789185
2/1/2013 111.38 50 115.55 110.98 T Variable X 1 -0.03666242
3/1/2013 110.02 51 111.38 122.66 T1 Variable X 2 1.14962648
4/1/2013 102.37 52 110.02 122.88 T2 Variable X 3 -0.25355327
5/1/2013 100.39 53 102.37 119.47 T3 Variable X 4 -0.04152765
6/1/2013 102.16 54 100.39 101.87 T4 Variable X 5 0.19500921
7/1/2013 107.70 55 102.16 97.80 T5 Variable X 6 -0.21215021
8/1/2013 114.01 56 107.70 104.92 T6 Variable X 7 0.19829887
9/1/2013 108.37 57 114.01 114.57 T7 Variable X 8 -0.16610677
10/1/2013 108.84 58 108.37 112.39 T8 Variable X 9 0.05926602
11/1/2013 109.69 59 108.84 108.70 T9 Variable X 10 0.07566046
12/1/2013 110.80 60 109.69 111.23 T11 Variable X 11 -0.02586394
1/1/2014 106.40 61 110.80 111.11 T12 Variable X 12 0.1322882
2/1/2014 109.07 62 106.40 115.55 T13 Variable X 13 -0.18170381
3/1/2014 107.76 63 109.07 111.38
4/1/2014 108.07 64 107.76 110.02
5/1/2014 109.41 65 108.07 102.37 Resumen
6/1/2014 112.36 66 109.41 100.39
8/1/2014 103.19 68 106.02 107.70 Coeficiente d 0.97787044
9/1/2014 94.67 69 103.19 114.01 Coeficiente d 0.95623061
10/1/2014 85.86 70 94.67 108.37 R^2 ajustado 0.9515562
11/1/2014 70.15 71 85.86 108.84 Error típico 5.72978835
12/1/2014 57.33 72 70.15 109.69 Observacione 115
1/1/2015 52.99 73 57.33 110.80
4/1/2015 66.78 76 55.11 107.76 Regresión 11
5/1/2015 65.56 77 66.78 108.07 Residuos 103
6/1/2015 63.59 78 65.56 109.41 Total 114
7/1/2015 52.21 79 63.59 112.36
8/1/2015 54.15 80 52.21 106.02 Coeficientes
9/1/2015 48.37 81 54.15 103.19 A0 Intercepción 8.18241992
10/1/2015 49.56 82 48.37 94.67 T Variable X 1 -0.03673349
11/1/2015 44.61 83 49.56 85.86 T1 Variable X 2 1.15300818
12/1/2015 37.28 84 44.61 70.15 T2 Variable X 3 -0.27791487
1/1/2016 34.74 85 37.28 57.33 T4 Variable X 4 0.17100589
2/1/2016 35.97 86 34.74 52.99 T5 Variable X 5 -0.21175715
3/1/2016 39.60 87 35.97 62.58 T6 Variable X 6 0.20814632
4/1/2016 48.13 88 39.60 55.11 T7 Variable X 7 -0.18193489
5/1/2016 49.69 89 48.13 66.78 T8 Variable X 8 0.07634112
6/1/2016 49.68 90 49.69 65.56 T9 Variable X 9 0.05933133
7/1/2016 42.46 91 49.68 63.59 T12 Variable X 10 0.11125665
8/1/2016 47.04 92 42.46 52.21 T13 Variable X 11 -0.17825779
9/1/2016 49.06 93 47.04 54.15
10/1/2016 48.30 94 49.06 48.37 Resumen
11/1/2016 50.47 95 48.30 49.56
1/1/2017 55.70 97 56.82 37.28 Coeficiente d 0.97743959
2/1/2017 55.59 98 55.70 34.74 Coeficiente d 0.95538816
3/1/2017 52.83 99 55.59 35.97 R^2 ajustado 0.95156428
4/1/2017 51.73 100 52.83 39.60 Error típico 5.72931051
5/1/2017 50.31 101 51.73 48.13 Observacione 115
6/1/2017 47.92 102 50.31 49.69
9/1/2017 57.54 105 52.38 47.04 Regresión 9
10/1/2017 61.37 106 57.54 49.06 Residuos 105
11/1/2017 63.57 107 61.37 48.30 Total 114
12/1/2017 66.87 108 63.57 50.47
1/1/2018 69.05 109 66.87 56.82 Coeficientes
2/1/2018 65.78 110 69.05 55.70 A0 Intercepción 8.49357948
3/1/2018 70.27 111 65.78 55.59 T Variable X 1 -0.03850731
4/1/2018 75.17 112 70.27 52.83 T1 Variable X 2 1.15507208
5/1/2018 77.59 113 75.17 51.73 T2 Variable X 3 -0.28409632
6/1/2018 79.44 114 77.59 50.31 T4 Variable X 4 0.18112558
7/1/2018 74.25 115 79.44 47.92 T5 Variable X 5 -0.20991891
8/1/2018 77.42 116 74.25 52.65 T6 Variable X 6 0.17390828
9/1/2018 82.72 117 77.42 52.38 T7 Variable X 7 -0.05791004
10/1/2018 75.47 118 82.72 57.54 T12 Variable X 8 0.15462755
11/1/2018 58.71 119 75.47 61.37 T13 Variable X 9 -0.18571031
12/1/2018 53.80 120 58.71 63.57
1/1/2019 61.89 121 53.80 66.87 Resumen
2/1/2019 66.03 122 61.89 69.05
4/1/2019 72.80 124 68.39 70.27 Coeficiente d 0.97709341
5/1/2019 64.49 125 72.80 75.17 Coeficiente d 0.95471154
6/1/2019 66.55 126 64.49 77.59 R^2 ajustado 0.95174874
7/1/2019 65.17 127 66.55 79.44 Error típico 5.71839064
8/1/2019 60.43 128 65.17 74.25 Observacione 115
9/1/2019 60.78 129 60.43 77.42
11/1/2019 56.92 131 75.47 Grados de libertad
12/1/2019 56.04 132 58.71 Regresión 7
1/1/2020 55.40 133 53.80 Residuos 107
2/1/2020 54.32 134 61.89 Total 114
3/1/2020 53.01 135 66.03
4/1/2020 51.58 136 68.39 Coeficientes
5/1/2020 49.91 137 72.80 A0 Intercepción 8.66925805
6/1/2020 48.68 138 64.49 T Variable X 1 -0.03951857
7/1/2020 47.33 139 66.55 T1 Variable X 2 1.14030419
8/1/2020 46.04 140 65.17 T2 Variable X 3 -0.2640995
9/1/2020 44.99 141 60.43 T4 Variable X 4 0.14947864
10/1/2020 43.91 142 60.78 T5 Variable X 5 -0.0745528
11/1/2020 42.93 143 T12 Variable X 6 0.17301176
12/1/2020 42.01 144 T13 Variable X 7 -0.19843864
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.95175069
Observacione 115
Grados de libertad
Regresión 5
Residuos 109
Total 114
Coeficientes
T Variable X 1 -0.0413502
T1 Variable X 2 1.11908649
T2 Variable X 3 -0.17537752
T12 Variable X 4 0.16638997
T13 Variable X 5 -0.18670504
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.94995188
Observacione 115
Grados de libertad
Regresión 3
Residuos 111
Total 114
Coeficientes
T Variable X 1 -0.041839
T1 Variable X 2 0.97323531
T13 Variable X 3 -0.05104505
Suma de cuadrados
73880.8212 4925.38808 144.381925 3.42178E-60
3377.24697 34.1136057
77258.0682

Superior 95.0%
3.70548294 2.19372541 3% 0.77633003 15.4812942 0.77633003 15.4812942
0.02189194 -1.67078795 10% -0.08001515 0.00686157 -0.08001515 0.00686157
0.10077898 11.4300806 0% 0.95194448 1.3518792 0.95194448 1.3518792
0.15175299 -1.68031518 10% -0.5561037 0.046118 -0.5561037 0.046118
0.1528886 -0.26593517 79% -0.3440226 0.26270569 -0.3440226 0.26270569
0.15328182 1.26565133 21% -0.11014305 0.49814572 -0.11014305 0.49814572
0.15633559 -1.35886725 18% -0.52264303 0.09776441 -0.52264303 0.09776441
0.15980131 1.23195572 22% -0.12021233 0.51394859 -0.12021233 0.51394859
0.16137243 -1.01531264 31% -0.48404137 0.15635444 -0.48404137 0.15635444
0.16172838 0.35601646 72% -0.26332623 0.37848216 -0.26332623 0.37848216
0.16172235 0.47133167 64% -0.24466736 0.39711709 -0.24466736 0.39711709
0.159746 0.00494145 100% -0.31618135 0.3177601 -0.31618135 0.3177601
0.15578631 -0.17214677 86% -0.33593194 0.28229572 -0.33593194 0.28229572
0.15560664 0.86852726 39% -0.17360873 0.44390594 -0.17360873 0.44390594
0.15570445 -1.27103068 21% -0.50685656 0.11104628 -0.50685656 0.11104628
0.10171984 0.13728186 89% -0.18786995 0.21579853 -0.18786995 0.21579853
Suma de cuadrados
73880.1509 5683.08853 169.924806 2.03142E-62
3377.9173 33.4447257
77258.0682

Superior 95.0%
3.65168006 2.23976865 3% 0.93496756 15.4228694 0.93496756 15.4228694
0.02166527 -1.69222075 9% -0.07964049 0.00631565 -0.07964049 0.00631565
0.09821077 11.705707 0% 0.95480273 1.34445022 0.95480273 1.34445022
0.1498128 -1.69246734 9% -0.55074157 0.04363502 -0.55074157 0.04363502
0.15086035 -0.27527214 78% -0.34079399 0.25773869 -0.34079399 0.25773869
0.14907697 1.30811086 19% -0.1007194 0.49073782 -0.1007194 0.49073782
0.1499752 -1.4145686 16% -0.50966067 0.08536025 -0.50966067 0.08536025
0.15304205 1.29571496 20% -0.10529538 0.50189313 -0.10529538 0.50189313
0.15702949 -1.05780621 29% -0.47761103 0.1453975 -0.47761103 0.1453975
0.15916132 0.37236448 71% -0.25646723 0.37499928 -0.25646723 0.37499928
0.12511747 0.60471539 55% -0.17253894 0.32385986 -0.17253894 0.32385986
0.12541552 -0.206226 84% -0.2746546 0.22292672 -0.2746546 0.22292672
0.15273372 0.86613617 39% -0.17069441 0.43527081 -0.17069441 0.43527081
0.09852585 -1.84422473 7% -0.37715259 0.01374497 -0.37715259 0.01374497
Suma de cuadrados
73876.5293 6716.04812 204.5675 1.04696E-64
3381.53888 32.8304746
77258.0682

Superior 95.0%
3.61764388 2.26180912 3% 1.00767651 15.3571633 1.00767651 15.3571633
0.02145764 -1.71190701 9% -0.07928966 0.00582268 -0.07928966 0.00582268
0.09576756 12.0396526 0% 0.9630758 1.34294055 0.9630758 1.34294055
0.11692418 -2.376881 2% -0.50980641 -0.04602333 -0.50980641 -0.04602333
0.11892375 1.43794564 15% -0.06485132 0.4068631 -0.06485132 0.4068631
0.14849061 -1.42606424 16% -0.50625325 0.08273895 -0.50625325 0.08273895
0.14842093 1.40240547 16% -0.08621158 0.50250422 -0.08621158 0.50250422
0.14810084 -1.22845282 22% -0.47565798 0.11178819 -0.47565798 0.11178819
0.14829747 0.5147837 61% -0.21777193 0.37045417 -0.21777193 0.37045417
0.10693401 0.55484059 58% -0.15274706 0.27140971 -0.15274706 0.27140971
0.10708314 1.03897456 30% -0.10111749 0.3236308 -0.10111749 0.3236308
0.09531864 -1.87012519 6% -0.36729982 0.01078425 -0.36729982 0.01078425
Suma de cuadrados
73811.4433 8201.27148 249.848339 1.11315E-66
3446.62489 32.8249989
77258.0682

Superior 95.0%
3.61052399 2.35245064 2% 1.33457736 15.6525816 1.33457736 15.6525816
0.02141877 -1.79783016 8% -0.08097677 0.00396215 -0.08097677 0.00396215
0.09504122 12.1533802 0% 0.9666229 1.34352126 0.9666229 1.34352126
0.11640623 -2.44055931 2% -0.51490838 -0.05328426 -0.51490838 -0.05328426
0.11780162 1.53754747 13% -0.05245327 0.41470442 -0.05245327 0.41470442
0.14680835 -1.42988401 16% -0.50101275 0.08117493 -0.50101275 0.08117493
0.14639743 1.18791896 24% -0.11637077 0.46418733 -0.11637077 0.46418733
0.10091397 -0.57385555 57% -0.25800381 0.14218373 -0.25800381 0.14218373
0.1025165 1.50831864 13% -0.04864374 0.35789884 -0.04864374 0.35789884
0.09457189 -1.96369458 5% -0.3732289 0.00180828 -0.3732289 0.00180828
Suma de cuadrados
73759.1691 10537.0242 322.233238 7.58818E-69
3498.89909 32.6999915
77258.0682

Superior 95.0%
3.59703941 2.41010928 2% 1.53854695 15.7999691 1.53854695 15.7999691
0.02133562 -1.85223484 7% -0.08181394 0.0027768 -0.08181394 0.0027768
0.09399598 12.1314146 0% 0.95396812 1.32664025 0.95396812 1.32664025
0.11503612 -2.29579621 2% -0.49214519 -0.0360538 -0.49214519 -0.0360538
0.11461833 1.30414258 19% -0.07773883 0.37669612 -0.07773883 0.37669612
0.09625899 -0.77450225 44% -0.26537502 0.11626942 -0.26537502 0.11626942
0.09925264 1.74314517 8% -0.02374502 0.36976853 -0.02374502 0.36976853
0.0938397 -2.11465547 4% -0.3844649 -0.01241237 -0.3844649 -0.01241237
Suma de cuadrados
73693.9132 14738.7826 450.745635 4.51039E-71
3564.155 32.6986697
77258.0682

Superior 95.0%
3.57634425 2.51602029 1% 1.90995666 16.0863527 1.90995666 16.0863527
0.02123716 -1.94706829 5% -0.08344156 0.00074116 -0.08344156 0.00074116
0.09271581 12.0700713 0% 0.93532676 1.30284623 0.93532676 1.30284623
0.09504251 -1.8452535 7% -0.36374868 0.01299364 -0.36374868 0.01299364
0.09807929 1.69648425 9% -0.02799999 0.36077993 -0.02799999 0.36077993
0.09346934 -1.99750042 5% -0.37195823 -0.00145185 -0.37195823 -0.00145185
Suma de cuadrados
73493.2002 24497.7334 722.269265 1.23054E-72
3764.86795 33.9177293
77258.0682

Superior 95.0%
3.64166377 2.51702073 0.01326342 1.94994333 16.3823431 1.94994333 16.3823431
0.02162804 -1.93447923 0.05559948 -0.08469641 0.00101841 -0.08469641 0.00101841
0.03193305 30.4773638 9.45038E-56 0.90995783 1.03651279 0.90995783 1.03651279
0.026816 -1.90352972 0.05956126 -0.10418274 0.00209264 -0.10418274 0.00209264
R^2
CORRIDA LINEAL EXPONENCIAL AR-3 AR-4 AR-5 AR-6 AR-7
1 0.1842773 0.174454892183 0.9477875 0.94748017 0.94891166 0.94870482 0.94841487
2 0.94816965 0.94772975 0.94910532 0.94903611 0.94887434
3 0.94904664 0.94899464 0.94898121
4 0.9489429
5
6
7
8
9
AR-8 AR-9 AR-10 AR-11 AR-12 AR-13 AR-14
0.94842735 0.94805742 0.94824253 0.94808538 0.94792976 0.95008483 0.94966285
0.94880585 0.9489413 0.94897294 0.94898254 0.9489139 0.95102615 0.95064983
0.94907746 0.94904526 0.94916627 0.9490393 0.94965302 0.9518126 0.9515562
0.9491843 0.94907673 0.94926915 0.94883336 0.94883884 0.95156571 0.95156428
0.94920147 0.94933215 0.94920017 0.94933748 0.95074005 0.95174874
0.94931822 0.94944834 0.95081489 0.95175069
0.95041243 0.94995188
0.9518126

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