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ADII 18.4 Ejercicios Resueltos Series de Tiempo
ADII 18.4 Ejercicios Resueltos Series de Tiempo
2015 Q1 28,766
2015 Q2 30,057 35,000
2015 Q3 31,336
2015 Q4 33,240 31,585
33,000
2016 Q1 34,610 33,089
2016 Q2 35,102 34,205
2016 Q3 35,308 34,900 31,000
27,000
25,000
2015 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
16 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2017 Q1
AÑO BOLETOS 9.00
2004 8.61
2005 8.14 8.50
7,000
6,000
5,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
ALQUILADAS
11,000
10,000
f(x) = 33.4772727272729 x³ − 688.686480186483 x² + 3964.669580419
R² = 0.803335145484914
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
LQUILADAS
8842.12727272727
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
QUILADAS
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
AÑO PERIODO VENTAS ESTIMADO 120,000
1993 1 9,239
1994 2 12,477 100,000
1995 3 15,470
f(x) = 3493.49209486166 x + 14416.8774703557
1996 4 19,535 R² = 0.812515797574644
80,000
1997 5 24,156
1998 6 30,219
60,000
1999 7 38,434
2000 8 45,738
2001 9 53,553 40,000
2002 10 58,247
2003 11 64,816 20,000
2004 12 73,094
2005 13 81,511 0
2006 14 90,837 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1
2007 15 77,349
2008 16 71,288
2009 17 66,176
2010 18 67,997
2011 19 70,395
2012 20 74,754
2013 21 78,812
2014 22 83,176 120,000
2015 23 88,519
24 98,261
100,000
25 101,755
f(x) = 4.668820443 x⁴ − 222.9089098 x³ + 3257.
R² = 0.968875210856711
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1
86166 x + 14416.8774703557
74644
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
AÑO CÓDIGO DESECHO ESTIMADO 8
2013 1 2
2014 2 4 7
2015 3 3
6
2016 4 5 f(x) = 0.9 x + 1.3
2017 5 6 5 R² = 0.81
6 6.7
4
7 7.6
3
0
0 1 2 3 4 5
3 4 5 6 7 8
AÑO CÓDIGO VENTAS ESTIMADO 33.0
2011 1 17.5
31.0
2012 2 19.0
2013 3 21.0 29.0
2014 4 22.7
27.0 f(x) = 1.725 x + 15.7714285714286
2015 5 24.5 R² = 0.991706342458765
2016 6 26.7 25.0
2017 7 27.3
23.0
8 29.571
9 31.296 21.0
19.0
17.0
15.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
5.7714285714286
458765
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
AÑO VENTAS ESTIMADO
2013 1.10 VENTAS
2014 1.50 5.0
2015 2.00
4.5
2016 2.40
2017 3.10 4.0
2018 3.5 3.5
2019 4.0
3.0
2020 4.5 f(x) = 0.49 x − 985.33
2.5 R² = 0.988879736408557
2.0
1.5
1.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
AS
2016 163
140
2017 180
2018 188
120
2019 200
2020 213 100
80
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 202
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