Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Proyección Winters
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 900
2339 61
2351 611
2228 68
2214 534
2108 248
2058 282
2115 585
2232 168
2265 615
2387 1033
2769 111
2660 100
2538 102
2646 666
2385 75
2433 453
2461 901
2340 0
2309 689
2253 267
2372 392
2306 34
2206 226
2040 240
1933 107
1934 46
1887 207
1855 125
2061 801
1762 202
1927 547
1803 183
1826 446
1642 758
1674 306
1738 358
1647 393
1641 99
1721 19
1726 406
1597 217
1677 123
1741 301
1702 398
1918 182
1808 292
1761 639
2004 96
1855 665
2025 165
1915 295
1810 370
1929 309
1827 747
1816 16
1930 250
1766 154
1781 221
1770 150
1734 294
1596 204
1535 335
1410 150
1518 102
1428 168
1618 298
1633 47
1612 248
1630 130
1695 345
1633 227
1674 714
1364 1244
1115 25
1266 66
1125 285
1221 681
1171 331
1102 82
1040 20
1158 282
1127 493
1094
1098
857
1084
1229
1057
1121
1268
1296
1223
1434
1370
85 89 93
AÑO PERIODO (X)DDA - 41000117 It DDA DSTZDAX*Y
(Y) X^2 ERROR
1 1,260 0.9921 1,270 1,270 1 10
2 1,840 1.1495 1,601 3,201 4 239
3 1,200 1.0248 1,171 3,513 9 29
4 980 0.9386 1,044 4,176 16 64
5 1,080 1.0277 1,051 5,254 25 29
6 1,300 0.9832 1,322 7,934 36 22
2015
7 1,100 0.8762 1,255 8,788 49 155
8 1,220 1.0010 1,219 9,750 64 1
9 1,060 0.9178 1,155 10,394 81 95
10 1,020 1.0396 981 9,811 100 39
11 1,220 0.9921 1,230 13,527 121 10
12 1,300 1.0574 1,229 14,753 144 71
13 940 0.9921 948 12,318 169 8
14 1,040 1.1495 905 12,666 196 135
15 1,240 1.0248 1,210 18,151 225 30
16 980 0.9386 1,044 16,705 256 64
17 1,060 1.0277 1,031 17,534 289 29
18 980 0.9832 997 17,942 324 17
2016
19 760 0.8762 867 16,480 361 107
20 1,140 1.0010 1,139 22,777 400 1
21 920 0.9178 1,002 21,050 441 82
22 940 1.0396 904 19,892 484 36
23 880 0.9921 887 20,402 529 7
24 1,240 1.0574 1,173 28,144 576 67
25 920 0.9921 927 23,184 625 7
26 1,120 1.1495 974 25,333 676 146
27 1,080 1.0248 1,054 28,456 729 26
28 820 0.9386 874 24,462 784 54
29 1,040 1.0277 1,012 29,346 841 28
30 1,040 0.9832 1,058 31,734 900 18
2017
31 720 0.8762 822 25,473 961 102
32 800 1.0010 799 25,575 1,024 1
33 860 0.9178 937 30,921 1,089 77
34 820 1.0396 789 26,818 1,156 31
35 900 0.9921 907 31,751 1,225 7
36 800 1.0574 757 27,236 1,296 43
37 960 0.9921 968 35,804 1,369 8
38 960 1.1495 835 31,735 1,444 125
39 840 1.0248 820 31,969 1,521 20
40 980 0.9386 1,044 41,764 1,600 64
41 1,280 1.0277 1,245 51,064 1,681 35
42 1,040 0.9832 1,058 44,428 1,764 18
2018
43 780 0.8762 890 38,277 1,849 110
44 960 1.0010 959 42,198 1,936 1
2018
a -4.44 MAD 48
b 1150.49
Proyección Winters
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 320
2096 896
1918 938
1732 652
1604 304
1546 446
1459 239
1415 355
1347 327
1285 65
1276 24
1250 310
1118 78
1073 167
1115 135
1127 67
1106 126
1122 362
1043 97
1066 146
1083 143
1077 197
974 266
1003 83
1002 118
988 92
1056 236
992 48
988 52
1070 350
968 168
977 117
972 152
953 53
883 83
916 44
899 61
895 55
913 67
913 367
981 59
989 209
993 33
995 135
1003 357
1012 8
1097 83
1096 136
1029 169
1055 295
1035 155
956 116
890 90
936 64
927 147
1002 82
899 261
1039 159
966 186
878 122
930 110
1000 20
955 75
906 46
998 78
928 148
1010 70
1007 187
988 52
958 38
948 52
984 344
947 67
893 93
845 45
920 160
827 287
897 137
823 63
859 119
801 141
787 73
770 50
840
851
803
789
861
775
937
879
922
868
940
901
85 89 93
AÑO PERIODO (X)DDA - 11001048 It DDA DSTZDAX*Y
(Y) X^2 ERROR
1 2,834 1.1682 2,426 2,426 1 408
2 2,341 0.9015 2,597 5,193 4 256
3 2,275 1.1060 2,057 6,171 9 218
4 2,583 1.0259 2,518 10,071 16 65
5 2,354 1.0307 2,284 11,420 25 70
6 3,084 1.0796 2,857 17,139 36 227
2015
7 2,651 1.0638 2,492 17,444 49 159
8 2,377 1.1306 2,102 16,819 64 275
9 1,382 0.8678 1,593 14,333 81 211
10 1,261 0.9233 1,366 13,658 100 105
11 1,241 0.9170 1,353 14,886 121 112
12 1,107 0.7856 1,409 16,909 144 302
13 878 1.1682 752 9,771 169 126
14 692 0.9015 768 10,746 196 76
15 997 1.1060 901 13,522 225 96
16 774 1.0259 754 12,071 256 20
17 932 1.0307 904 15,373 289 28
18 684 1.0796 634 11,404 324 50
2016
19 594 1.0638 558 10,609 361 36
20 972 1.1306 860 17,194 400 112
21 822 0.8678 947 19,893 441 125
22 824 0.9233 892 19,634 484 68
23 873 0.9170 952 21,895 529 79
24 701 0.7856 892 21,415 576 191
25 692 1.1682 592 14,810 625 100
26 699 0.9015 775 20,159 676 76
27 677 1.1060 612 16,528 729 65
28 538 1.0259 524 14,683 784 14
29 905 1.0307 878 25,464 841 27
30 677 1.0796 627 18,812 900 50
2017
31 884 1.0638 831 25,760 961 53
32 803 1.1306 710 22,728 1,024 93
33 810 0.8678 933 30,804 1,089 123
34 946 0.9233 1,025 34,837 1,156 79
35 920 0.9170 1,003 35,113 1,225 83
36 838 0.7856 1,067 38,400 1,296 229
37 783 1.1682 670 24,800 1,369 113
38 520 0.9015 577 21,918 1,444 57
39 785 1.1060 710 27,682 1,521 75
40 842 1.0259 821 32,828 1,600 21
41 628 1.0307 609 24,982 1,681 19
42 864 1.0796 800 33,611 1,764 64
2018
43 786 1.0638 739 31,770 1,849 47
44 828 1.1306 732 32,224 1,936 96
2018
a -12.96 MAD 95
b 1489.93
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81
Proyección Winters
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 181
2196 79
2212 371
2285 69
2299 785
2455 196
2493 116
2468 1086
2250 989
2053 812
1891 784
1762 884
1577 885
1435 438
1326 552
1280 348
1175 491
1055 461
891 81
885 63
870 46
850 23
855 154
811 119
854 155
798 121
845 307
748 157
757 80
767 117
760 43
780 30
798 148
795 125
809 29
871 88
828 308
801 16
848 6
791 163
826 38
805 19
806 22
850 254
767 178
781 30
808 181
704 200
814 226
818 127
717 38
815 29
778 191
751 74
734 128
792 55
735 62
727 40
723 94
699 51
768 158
682 483
883 150
796 196
786 134
798 95
784 12
746 233
711 125
678 26
701 214
680 159
764 287
714 33
651 55
673 102
680 130
677 22
618 177
677 168
728 107
717 136
848 72
807
817
869
790
828
863
925
859
898
918
892
960
85 89 93
AÑO PERIODO (X)DDA - 11001003 It DDA DSTZDAX*Y
(Y) X^2 ERROR
1 17,778 0.8752 20,312 20,312 1 2,534
2 9,982 0.7124 14,011 28,022 4 4,029
3 15,580 1.7710 8,797 26,392 9 6,783
4 12,270 1.1575 10,600 42,400 16 1,670
5 19,851 1.0782 18,411 92,054 25 1,440
6 11,157 1.0255 10,880 65,277 36 277
2015
7 15,577 1.1126 14,000 98,003 49 1,577
8 15,394 0.7488 20,557 164,455 64 5,163
9 10,261 0.8412 12,198 109,783 81 1,937
10 9,202 0.9099 10,113 101,132 100 911
11 9,226 0.9927 9,294 102,231 121 68
12 4,824 0.7748 6,226 74,714 144 1,402
13 6,158 0.8752 7,036 91,467 169 878
14 9,337 0.7124 13,106 183,477 196 3,769
15 8,669 1.7710 4,895 73,425 225 3,774
16 5,995 1.1575 5,179 82,865 256 816
17 2,431 1.0782 2,255 38,329 289 176
18 6,140 1.0255 5,987 107,771 324 153
2016
19 5,548 1.1126 4,986 94,743 361 562
20 4,700 0.7488 6,276 125,526 400 1,576
21 3,608 0.8412 4,289 90,072 441 681
22 6,794 0.9099 7,467 164,269 484 673
23 5,471 0.9927 5,511 126,757 529 40
24 5,466 0.7748 7,055 169,314 576 1,589
25 3,196 0.8752 3,652 91,291 625 456
26 3,881 0.7124 5,447 141,633 676 1,566
27 7,562 1.7710 4,270 115,288 729 3,292
28 4,973 1.1575 4,296 120,293 784 677
29 8,020 1.0782 7,438 215,707 841 582
30 8,735 1.0255 8,518 255,533 900 217
2017
31 13,410 1.1126 12,053 373,634 961 1,357
32 4,134 0.7488 5,520 176,655 1,024 1,386
33 9,978 0.8412 11,862 391,436 1,089 1,884
34 11,849 0.9099 13,022 442,760 1,156 1,173
35 15,540 0.9927 15,654 547,895 1,225 114
36 7,358 0.7748 9,497 341,881 1,296 2,139
37 5,992 0.8752 6,846 253,311 1,369 854
38 3,617 0.7124 5,077 192,921 1,444 1,460
39 3,850 1.7710 2,174 84,783 1,521 1,676
40 4,741 1.1575 4,096 163,830 1,600 645
41 5,628 1.0782 5,220 214,008 1,681 408
42 5,142 1.0255 5,014 210,593 1,764 128
2018
43 3,332 1.1126 2,995 128,774 1,849 337
44 5,328 0.7488 7,115 313,056 1,936 1,787
2018
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81
Proyección Winters
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 7822
3719 11861
6077 6193
7295 12556
9776 1381
10020 5557
11095 4299
11914 1653
11544 2342
11038 1812
10639 5815
12967 6809
11787 2450
10175 1506
10778 4783
8063 5632
7223 1083
6759 1211
5813 1113
5455 1847
5022 1772
4811 660
6635 1169
6984 3788
5571 1690
5456 2106
4479 494
5132 2888
5465 3270
5424 7986
6892 2758
7082 2896
6767 5082
9849 5691
11508 4150
9887 3895
10643 7026
6982 3132
7873 3132
7188 1560
6680 1538
4907 1575
5785 457
5240 993
6044 333
5666 908
4930 4083
6066 5670
5429 728
6781 2227
7574 1856
7794 3134
5482 3134
7753 1360
7271 957
9121 5579
9833 2712
10805 603
12006 2206
8196 2595
9679 6579
8467 45934
14567 12733
16022 1279
19658 6759
16511 5511
19716 17215
13598 10098
11436 7536
10769 2269
7032 2632
7385 4685
11146 3946
7058 1442
6516 916
7209 391
6053 3547
7173 2427
6836 1636
6445 1645
7323 2723
4583 2017
5222 978
9781
9705
6848
5403
6549
6340
6596
5179
5199
6078
4767
4990
85 89 93
AÑO PERIODO (X)DDA - 11000074 It DDA DSTZDAX*Y
(Y) X^2 ERROR
1 8,080 0.9333 8,657 8,657 1 577
2 9,548 1.3696 6,971 13,943 4 2,577
3 9,168 1.2643 7,252 21,755 9 1,916
4 7,281 0.6434 11,317 45,266 16 4,036
5 10,217 0.6495 15,730 78,652 25 5,513
6 6,843 0.8752 7,818 46,910 36 975
2015
7 12,358 1.6311 7,576 53,035 49 4,782
8 11,539 1.6006 7,209 57,673 64 4,330
9 6,873 0.8919 7,706 69,352 81 833
10 10,232 0.9594 10,665 106,652 100 433
11 6,722 0.6359 10,570 116,271 121 3,848
12 9,587 0.5457 17,568 210,815 144 7,981
13 8,147 0.9333 8,729 113,480 169 582
14 10,093 1.3696 7,369 103,171 196 2,724
15 14,252 1.2643 11,273 169,091 225 2,979
16 5,143 0.6434 7,994 127,897 256 2,851
17 3,144 0.6495 4,841 82,290 289 1,697
18 4,225 0.8752 4,827 86,890 324 602
2016
19 12,295 1.6311 7,538 143,220 361 4,757
20 13,650 1.6006 8,528 170,559 400 5,122
21 11,195 0.8919 12,552 263,582 441 1,357
22 8,665 0.9594 9,032 198,701 484 367
23 5,245 0.6359 8,248 189,694 529 3,003
24 3,583 0.5457 6,566 157,578 576 2,983
25 6,327 0.9333 6,779 169,480 625 452
26 11,894 1.3696 8,684 225,793 676 3,210
27 12,975 1.2643 10,263 277,093 729 2,712
28 5,245 0.6434 8,152 228,258 784 2,907
29 8,061 0.6495 12,411 359,919 841 4,350
30 8,124 0.8752 9,282 278,460 900 1,158
2017
31 17,707 1.6311 10,856 336,532 961 6,851
32 19,194 1.6006 11,992 383,731 1,024 7,202
33 10,006 0.8919 11,218 370,209 1,089 1,212
34 9,997 0.9594 10,420 354,288 1,156 423
35 8,172 0.6359 12,850 449,755 1,225 4,678
36 6,044 0.5457 11,075 398,718 1,296 5,031
37 11,704 0.9333 12,540 463,997 1,369 836
38 16,144 1.3696 11,787 447,923 1,444 4,357
39 17,344 1.2643 13,718 535,017 1,521 3,626
40 7,826 0.6434 12,164 486,545 1,600 4,338
41 7,187 0.6495 11,065 453,679 1,681 3,878
42 7,577 0.8752 8,657 363,595 1,764 1,080
2018
43 17,606 1.6311 10,794 464,140 1,849 6,812
44 28,299 1.6006 17,680 777,921 1,936 10,619
2018
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81
Proyección Winters
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 7388
3633 5535
4730 2551
5228 4989
6209 634
6319 6039
7505 4034
8287 1414
7979 2253
8404 1682
8042 1545
11329 3182
9978 115
9346 4906
11082 5939
8638 5494
8324 4099
7151 5144
7161 6489
8973 2222
8453 212
8865 3620
10109 6526
8381 2054
8050 3844
7952 5023
7289 2044
7642 419
8822 698
8154 9553
10802 8392
11233 1227
10298 301
11541 3369
11118 5074
11272 432
11034 5110
8954 8390
11993 4167
12301 5114
11940 4363
11391 6215
10345 17954
12658 2852
12687 746
11963 2724
13799 10611
11678 1927
10076 8019
11335 2385
12412 5462
11769 4739
12422 4852
11020 15230
10998 3967
12574 3979
10742 2007
10458 6173
11152 5922
9017 628
8578 12297
10598 2622
11187 4131
11540 4986
12670 9915
11372 5939
12164 5682
12223 1698
10577 1833
13028 5738
12060 5795
12087 963
11170 5723
11287 3615
12824 3684
16540 9630
10525 1280
10291 9494
10555 4960
10230 200
10673 123
10403 3278
11811 4452
10458
10335
9364
9176
11791
9006
10379
8789
7875
8297
7666
9006
85 89 93
AÑO PERIODO (X)DDA - 10001029 It DDA DSTZDAX*Y
(Y) X^2 ERROR
1 824 0.7170 1,149 1,149 1 325
2 575 0.7062 814 1,629 4 239
3 851 0.8181 1,040 3,121 9 189
4 563 0.7702 731 2,924 16 168
5 314 0.7435 422 2,112 25 108
6 536 0.7397 725 4,348 36 189
2015
7 1,901 1.6964 1,121 7,844 49 780
8 2,113 1.7356 1,217 9,739 64 896
9 1,148 1.5444 743 6,690 81 405
10 733 1.1722 625 6,253 100 108
11 861 0.7962 1,081 11,896 121 220
12 313 0.5606 558 6,699 144 245
13 593 0.7170 827 10,752 169 234
14 531 0.7062 752 10,527 196 221
15 573 0.8181 700 10,506 225 127
16 466 0.7702 605 9,680 256 139
17 602 0.7435 810 13,765 289 208
18 525 0.7397 710 12,775 324 185
2016
19 1,575 1.6964 928 17,641 361 647
20 1,224 1.7356 705 14,104 400 519
21 1,065 1.5444 690 14,482 441 375
22 894 1.1722 763 16,779 484 131
23 457 0.7962 574 13,202 529 117
24 362 0.5606 646 15,496 576 284
25 829 0.7170 1,156 28,906 625 327
26 586 0.7062 830 21,576 676 244
27 622 0.8181 760 20,528 729 138
28 645 0.7702 837 23,447 784 192
29 650 0.7435 874 25,354 841 224
30 712 0.7397 963 28,876 900 251
2017
31 2,024 1.6964 1,193 36,987 961 831
32 1,333 1.7356 768 24,577 1,024 565
33 1,799 1.5444 1,165 38,441 1,089 634
34 1,060 1.1722 904 30,746 1,156 156
35 956 0.7962 1,201 42,026 1,225 245
36 697 0.5606 1,243 44,755 1,296 546
37 849 0.7170 1,184 43,814 1,369 335
38 1,000 0.7062 1,416 53,813 1,444 416
39 945 0.8181 1,155 45,050 1,521 210
40 1,148 0.7702 1,490 59,618 1,600 342
41 1,101 0.7435 1,481 60,717 1,681 380
42 723 0.7397 977 41,051 1,764 254
2018
43 2,350 1.6964 1,385 59,568 1,849 965
44 1,904 1.7356 1,097 48,268 1,936 807
2018
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81
Proyección Winters
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 1585
1844 993
1647 1084
1433 1119
1213 677
1082 819
1250 863
1426 278
1374 641
1249 388
1176 863
854 261
830 299
740 167
673 207
675 73
837 312
805 770
930 294
957 108
977 83
845 388
720 358
671 158
688 102
635 13
703 58
832 182
993 281
844 1180
1067 266
1097 702
959 101
875 81
1027 330
889 40
867 133
999 54
1135 13
1392 291
1490 767
1162 1188
1503 401
1184 96
1051 863
1252 474
1103 305
1049 386
1045 225
1163 201
1414 421
1370 35
1537 997
1331 298
1049 1168
1244 470
1124 388
1108 548
975 532
944 303
1096 248
1134 255
1186 544
1056 523
1122 306
939 345
950 843
988 818
880 327
851 92
944 230
1104 334
1129 398
1102 438
989 107
1233 408
1145 336
1272 195
1251 678
1052 1270
1089 42
1088 97
1276 561
1212
1222
1200
1260
1421
1546
1537
1515
1318
1031
1107
1191
85 89 93
AÑO PERIODO (X)DDA - 10000743 It DDA DSTZDAX*Y
(Y) X^2 ERROR
1 864 0.4360 1,981 1,981 1 1,117
2 937 0.4127 2,271 4,541 4 1,334
3 1,592 0.6653 2,393 7,179 9 801
4 1,189 0.7834 1,518 6,071 16 329
5 1,180 0.6732 1,753 8,765 25 573
6 1,016 0.9914 1,025 6,149 36 9
2015
7 867 1.2187 711 4,980 49 156
8 1,981 1.8109 1,094 8,751 64 887
9 2,883 1.7602 1,638 14,741 81 1,245
10 1,600 1.5395 1,039 10,393 100 561
11 1,290 0.9674 1,333 14,668 121 43
12 1,460 0.7414 1,969 23,632 144 509
13 732 0.4360 1,679 21,823 169 947
14 828 0.4127 2,006 28,090 196 1,178
15 1,333 0.6653 2,004 30,056 225 671
16 1,284 0.7834 1,639 26,226 256 355
17 1,567 0.6732 2,328 39,573 289 761
18 878 0.9914 886 15,941 324 8
2016
19 850 1.2187 697 13,252 361 153
20 2,125 1.8109 1,173 23,469 400 952
21 2,565 1.7602 1,457 30,602 441 1,108
22 3,055 1.5395 1,984 43,656 484 1,071
23 1,359 0.9674 1,405 32,309 529 46
24 942 0.7414 1,271 30,495 576 329
25 1,135 0.4360 2,603 65,073 625 1,468
26 853 0.4127 2,067 53,743 676 1,214
27 1,206 0.6653 1,813 48,947 729 607
28 892 0.7834 1,139 31,883 784 247
29 1,269 0.6732 1,885 54,669 841 616
30 1,053 0.9914 1,062 31,864 900 9
2017
31 1,500 1.2187 1,231 38,156 961 269
32 5,772 1.8109 3,187 101,996 1,024 2,585
33 3,823 1.7602 2,172 71,673 1,089 1,651
34 4,768 1.5395 3,097 105,300 1,156 1,671
35 1,839 0.9674 1,901 66,532 1,225 62
36 1,279 0.7414 1,725 62,107 1,296 446
37 1,250 0.4360 2,867 106,066 1,369 1,617
38 1,033 0.4127 2,503 95,122 1,444 1,470
39 1,820 0.6653 2,736 106,697 1,521 916
40 1,489 0.7834 1,901 76,032 1,600 412
41 1,110 0.6732 1,649 67,606 1,681 539
42 1,529 0.9914 1,542 64,774 1,764 13
2018
43 6,501 1.2187 5,334 229,382 1,849 1,167
44 5,167 1.8109 2,853 125,545 1,936 2,314
2018
Proyección Winters
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 1223
1916 324
1853 664
1722 542
1615 599
1498 631
1375 606
1499 1384
1778 178
1744 454
1655 195
1435 703
1399 571
1234 99
1250 34
1260 307
1297 419
1418 568
1415 710
1429 1136
1642 1413
1911 552
1447 505
1461 326
1470 617
1337 131
1396 504
1169 100
1338 285
1591 91
1494 4278
2647 1176
2528 2240
2229 390
2320 1041
2091 841
2014 981
1827 7
1802 313
1877 767
2175 646
2495 4006
3391 1776
3707 689
2566 2137
2723 528
2534 1090
2308 1068
2304 1085
2011 1039
1859 487
2269 851
3058 1611
2355 665
2148 4423
2375 4069
2293 1049
2173 301
2013 301
2059 1007
1755 946
1702 812
2376 33
3370 2277
2582 6115
5475 4024
3924 960
2663 832
2278 1209
2193 1905
2271 2008
2369 1424
2688 1536
2779 1204
3119 1279
4739 1233
4176 2385
3509 3805
3418 1978
3128 2403
3415 1114
3347 14
2339 1183
2656
2654
3125
4110
4433
3561
4381
3461
3225
3125
2855
1821
85 89 93
AÑO PERIODO (X)DDA - 10000531 It DDA DSTZDAX*Y
(Y) X^2 ERROR
1 270 0.6409 421 421 1 151
2 264 0.9414 280 561 4 16
3 299 0.9295 322 965 9 23
4 238 0.6475 368 1,470 16 130
5 259 0.6748 384 1,919 25 125
6 292 0.6666 438 2,628 36 146
2015
7 575 1.4517 396 2,773 49 179
8 505 1.5952 317 2,533 64 188
9 622 1.5203 409 3,682 81 213
10 470 1.2637 372 3,719 100 98
11 278 0.9871 282 3,098 121 4
12 267 0.6814 392 4,702 144 125
13 210 0.6409 328 4,259 169 118
14 340 0.9414 361 5,056 196 21
15 302 0.9295 325 4,874 225 23
16 203 0.6475 314 5,016 256 111
17 290 0.6748 430 7,306 289 140
18 214 0.6666 321 5,778 324 107
2016
19 620 1.4517 427 8,115 361 193
20 755 1.5952 473 9,466 400 282
21 554 1.5203 364 7,653 441 190
22 511 1.2637 404 8,896 484 107
23 432 0.9871 438 10,066 529 6
24 337 0.6814 495 11,870 576 158
25 333 0.6409 520 12,989 625 187
26 441 0.9414 468 12,180 676 27
27 491 0.9295 528 14,263 729 37
28 357 0.6475 551 15,437 784 194
29 348 0.6748 516 14,956 841 168
30 258 0.6666 387 11,611 900 129
2017
31 604 1.4517 416 12,898 961 188
32 705 1.5952 442 14,143 1,024 263
33 671 1.5203 441 14,565 1,089 230
34 568 1.2637 449 15,282 1,156 119
35 456 0.9871 462 16,169 1,225 6
36 280 0.6814 411 14,794 1,296 131
37 291 0.6409 454 16,799 1,369 163
38 406 0.9414 431 16,389 1,444 25
39 309 0.9295 332 12,966 1,521 23
40 319 0.6475 493 19,706 1,600 174
41 365 0.6748 541 22,178 1,681 176
42 370 0.6666 555 23,311 1,764 185
2018
43 691 1.4517 476 20,468 1,849 215
44 661 1.5952 414 18,233 1,936 247
2018
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81
Proyección Winters
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 1896
1782 1483
1488 1250
1242 983
1050 758
903 328
843 338
781 159
755 285
704 426
625 358
454 244
409 69
388 86
372 169
352 62
381 167
358 262
449 306
518 36
503 8
511 79
406 69
423 90
400 41
389 102
454 97
458 110
537 279
525 79
521 184
546 125
548 20
442 14
467 187
450 159
412 6
426 117
422 103
460 95
540 170
503 188
543 118
548 244
475 332
500 23
508 248
476 154
437 55
476 1
547 247
586 245
593 319
518 200
580 212
540 218
489 175
477 72
480 135
470 157
457 104
514 89
631 277
608 266
637 342
598 191
586 135
538 229
485 143
498 12
497 126
530 223
518 17
551 63
573 277
572 363
607 182
533 104
527 426
525 164
514 128
461 132
508 193
529
540
554
533
562
726
710
724
603
537
581
553
85 89 93
AÑO PERIODO (X)DDA - 10000529 It DDA DSTZDAX*Y
(Y) X^2 ERROR
1 552 0.8234 670 670 1 118
2 392 0.5086 771 1,541 4 379
3 299 0.4223 708 2,124 9 409
4 472 0.6051 780 3,120 16 308
5 509 1.1287 451 2,255 25 58
6 468 0.8642 542 3,249 36 74
2015
7 649 0.7302 889 6,221 49 240
8 486 0.6814 713 5,706 64 227
9 641 1.0797 594 5,343 81 47
10 1,194 2.0697 577 5,769 100 617
11 1,048 1.7145 611 6,724 121 437
12 881 1.3722 642 7,704 144 239
13 622 0.8234 755 9,820 169 133
14 315 0.5086 619 8,671 196 304
15 221 0.4223 523 7,849 225 302
16 313 0.6051 517 8,277 256 204
17 744 1.1287 659 11,206 289 85
18 413 0.8642 478 8,603 324 65
2016
19 374 0.7302 512 9,731 361 138
20 418 0.6814 613 12,268 400 195
21 840 1.0797 778 16,338 441 62
22 1,164 2.0697 562 12,373 484 602
23 1,236 1.7145 721 16,580 529 515
24 887 1.3722 646 15,514 576 241
25 511 0.8234 621 15,515 625 110
26 272 0.5086 535 13,905 676 263
27 393 0.4223 931 25,124 729 538
28 313 0.6051 517 14,484 784 204
29 937 1.1287 830 24,075 841 107
30 510 0.8642 590 17,705 900 80
2017
31 549 0.7302 752 23,307 961 203
32 483 0.6814 709 22,682 1,024 226
33 793 1.0797 734 24,237 1,089 59
34 1,443 2.0697 697 23,705 1,156 746
35 1,501 1.7145 875 30,641 1,225 626
36 1,195 1.3722 871 31,351 1,296 324
37 786 0.8234 955 35,320 1,369 169
38 357 0.5086 702 26,673 1,444 345
39 348 0.4223 824 32,135 1,521 476
40 725 0.6051 1,198 47,928 1,600 473
41 938 1.1287 831 34,074 1,681 107
42 985 0.8642 1,140 47,873 1,764 155
2018
43 524 0.7302 718 30,857 1,849 194
44 649 0.6814 952 41,906 1,936 303
2018
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81
Proyección Winters
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 1768
1808 1509
1508 1036
1304 795
1149 681
1018 369
949 463
862 221
823 371
903 145
937 56
769 147
719 404
660 439
583 270
541 203
632 219
584 210
580 162
633 207
678 486
783 453
721 166
652 141
608 336
571 178
632 319
552 385
647 137
676 127
814 331
791 2
815 628
790 711
724 471
686 100
736 379
732 384
766 41
704 234
832 153
1037 513
1032 383
1078 244
917 1021
913 609
822 247
766 90
786 514
848 528
708 112
765 384
927 154
1003 345
1063 465
1038 88
859 1064
851 409
762 331
718 118
828 36
851 480
912 508
808 373
977 196
1045 427
1077 572
974 194
738 1074
796 484
696 491
881 121
779 395
824 465
869 380
787 67
847 47
925 300
925 334
869 203
770 1085
820 718
933 266
783
790
915
1082
1115
1171
1198
1252
1377
1341
1135
1104
85 89 93
AÑO PERIODO (X)DDA - 10000275 It DDA DSTZDAX*Y
(Y) X^2 ERROR
1 371 0.7044 527 527 1 156
2 227 0.4767 476 952 4 249
3 232 0.5322 436 1,308 9 204
4 324 0.5902 549 2,196 16 225
5 385 0.7409 520 2,598 25 135
6 291 0.6245 466 2,796 36 175
2015
7 446 0.9305 479 3,355 49 33
8 680 1.2112 561 4,491 64 119
9 861 1.5486 556 5,004 81 305
10 896 1.9780 453 4,530 100 443
11 791 1.3777 574 6,316 121 217
12 637 1.2852 496 5,948 144 141
13 366 0.7044 520 6,755 169 154
14 315 0.4767 661 9,250 196 346
15 327 0.5322 614 9,217 225 287
16 273 0.5902 463 7,401 256 190
17 323 0.7409 436 7,412 289 113
18 304 0.6245 487 8,762 324 183
2016
19 382 0.9305 411 7,800 361 29
20 687 1.2112 567 11,344 400 120
21 681 1.5486 440 9,235 441 241
22 675 1.9780 341 7,508 484 334
23 750 1.3777 544 12,521 529 206
24 622 1.2852 484 11,615 576 138
25 420 0.7044 596 14,907 625 176
26 200 0.4767 420 10,908 676 220
27 235 0.5322 442 11,923 729 207
28 227 0.5902 385 10,770 784 158
29 460 0.7409 621 18,006 841 161
30 300 0.6245 480 14,411 900 180
2017
31 413 0.9305 444 13,759 961 31
32 689 1.2112 569 18,203 1,024 120
33 810 1.5486 523 17,261 1,089 287
34 1,225 1.9780 619 21,057 1,156 606
35 635 1.3777 461 16,132 1,225 174
36 635 1.2852 494 17,787 1,296 141
37 408 0.7044 579 21,432 1,369 171
38 294 0.4767 617 23,434 1,444 323
39 251 0.5322 472 18,394 1,521 221
40 465 0.5902 788 31,516 1,600 323
41 491 0.7409 663 27,172 1,681 172
42 488 0.6245 781 32,819 1,764 293
2018
43 562 0.9305 604 25,970 1,849 42
44 788 1.2112 651 28,626 1,936 137
2018
Proyección Winters
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93
2160 0
2160 1933
1775 1543
1469 1145
1243 858
1076 785
924 478
834 154
809 52
825 71
845 54
840 203
649 283
588 273
542 215
506 233
464 141
470 166
482 100
502 185
575 106
605 70
608 142
492 130
490 70
481 281
426 191
406 179
398 62
470 170
521 108
525 164
582 228
643 582
594 41
535 100
494 86
474 180
449 198
487 22
515 24
634 146
695 133
700 88
818 328
654 724
698 297
620 218
591 53
572 272
649 229
635 101
739 209
812 441
784 183
886 81
741 171
669 595
648 43
545 282
513 190
595 286
573 262
601 335
583 182
637 287
700 27
657 79
640 244
538 657
571 180
446 369
569 139
568 280
560 178
613 309
621 207
770 342
638 4
707 23
658 327
584 803
595 378
615 222
613
621
696
739
838
1037
972
1031
1041
987
791
767
85 89 93