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3.

Add
1. Remove
2. Apply back
Seasonal
AVERAGE seasonal Forcastin
effect
Week Day True Value effects g Error
1 2 96,800 96,775
1 3 93,100 93,506 96,775 96,355 3,255
1 4 93,000 92,314 95,141 95,848 2,848
1 5 92,000 91,858 94,198 94,344 2,344
1 6 92,900 93,357 93,613 93,155 255
2 2 91,000 90,977 93,562 93,586 2,586
2 3 92,000 92,401 93,131 92,726 726
2 4 90,900 90,229 93,027 93,719 2,819
2 5 86,800 86,666 92,677 92,820 6,020
2 6 87,000 87,428 92,009 91,559 4,559
3 2 85,000 84,978 91,551 91,575 6,575
3 3 83,000 83,362 90,954 90,558 7,558
3 4 85,400 84,770 90,321 90,993 5,593
3 5 89,000 88,863 89,894 90,033 1,033
3 6 87,000 87,428 89,820 89,380 2,380
4 2 88,500 88,477 89,661 89,684 1,184
4 3 88,300 88,685 89,587 89,198 898
4 4 92,600 91,916 89,534 90,200 2,400
4 5 92,500 92,357 89,666 89,805 2,695
4 6 91,500 91,950 89,808 89,368 2,132
5 2 91,400 91,376 89,915 89,938 1,462
5 3 92,600 93,004 89,984 89,594 3,006
5 4 92,400 91,718 90,122 90,792 1,608
5 5 93,000 92,856 90,191 90,331 2,669
5 6 91,000 91,448 90,302 89,860 1,140
6 2 90,700 90,677 90,348 90,371 329
6 3 91,900 92,301 90,361 89,968 1,932
6 4 93,000 92,314 90,433 91,105 1,895
6 5 90,800 90,660 90,500 90,640 160
6 6 91,200 91,649 90,505 90,062 1,138
90,543
Mean Absolute Deviation
MAD 2,524

Mean Square Error


MSE 9,846,042

Seasonal factor
Mon 1.000
Tue 0.996
Wed 1.007
Thu 1.002
Fri 0.995
1. 3. Add
2. Apply
Remove back
Moving
Seasonal seasonal Forcastin
Average
Week Day True Valueffect effects g Error
1 2 96,800 96,775
1 3 93,100 93,506
1 4 93,000 92,314
1 5 92,000 91,858
1 6 92,900 93,357
2 2 91,000 90,977 93,562 93,586 2,586
2 3 92,000 92,401 92,402 92,001 1
2 4 90,900 90,229 92,181 92,867 1,967
2 5 86,800 86,666 91,764 91,906 5,106
2 6 87,000 87,428 90,726 90,282 3,282
3 2 85,000 84,978 89,540 89,563 4,563
3 3 83,000 83,362 88,341 87,957 4,957
3 4 85,400 84,770 86,533 87,176 1,776
3 5 89,000 88,863 85,441 85,573 3,427
3 6 87,000 87,428 85,880 85,460 1,540
4 2 88,500 88,477 85,880 85,902 2,598
4 3 88,300 88,685 86,580 86,204 2,096
4 4 92,600 91,916 87,645 88,296 4,304
4 5 92,500 92,357 89,074 89,212 3,288
4 6 91,500 91,950 89,773 89,333 2,167
5 2 91,400 91,376 90,677 90,701 699
5 3 92,600 93,004 91,257 90,861 1,739
5 4 92,400 91,718 92,121 92,806 406
5 5 93,000 92,856 92,081 92,224 776
5 6 91,000 91,448 92,181 91,730 730
6 2 90,700 90,677 92,081 92,104 1,404
6 3 91,900 92,301 91,941 91,541 359
6 4 93,000 92,314 91,800 92,483 517
6 5 90,800 90,660 91,919 92,061 1,261
6 6 91,200 91,649 91,480 91,032 168
91,520
91,731
91,541
91,154
91,649
Mean Absolute Deviation
MAD 2,069

Mean Square Error


MSE 6,561,593

Seasonal factor
Mon 1.000
Tue 0.996
Wed 1.007
Thu 1.002
Fri 0.995

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