Pressure Cooker Sales

Month Units 3 months moving average Forecast error 4 months

Sold (actual- moving
forecast) average
1 188
2 144
3 160
4 156 164.00 8.00
5 170 153.33 16.67 162.00 8.00
6 191 162.00 29.00 157.50 33.50
7 154 172.33 18.33 169.25 15.25
8 160 171.67 11.67 167.75 7.75
9 148 168.33 20.33 168.75 20.75
10 135 154.00 19.00 163.25 28.25
11 149 147.67 1.33 149.25 0.25
12 144 144.00 0.00 148.00 4.00
13 161 142.67 18.33 144.00 17.00
14 168 151.33 16.67 147.25 20.75
15 182 157.67 24.33 155.50 26.50
16 171 170.33 0.67 163.75 7.25
17 150 173.67 23.67 170.50 20.50
18 166 167.67 1.67 167.75 1.75
19 157 162.33 5.33 167.25 10.25
20 174 157.67 16.33 161.00 13.00
21 160 165.67 5.67 161.75 1.75
22 140 163.67 23.67 164.25 24.25
23 147 158.00 11.00 157.75 10.75
24 155 149.00 6.00 155.25 0.25
25 150.50
MAD 13.22 13.59
n 21 20
Pressure Cooker Sales
Exponential smoothing forecast

Month Units 0.1 FE 0.3 FE 0.6 FE

Sold
1 188 188.00 0.00 188.00 0.00 188.00 0.00
2 144 188.00 44.00 188.00 44.00 188.00 44.00
3 160 148.40 11.60 157.20 2.80 170.40 10.40
4 156 158.84 2.84 159.16 3.16 166.24 10.24
5 170 156.28 13.72 156.95 13.05 162.14 7.86
6 191 168.63 22.37 166.08 24.92 165.29 25.71
7 154 188.76 34.76 183.53 29.53 175.57 21.57
8 160 157.48 2.52 162.86 2.86 166.94 6.94
9 148 159.75 11.75 160.86 12.86 164.17 16.17
10 135 149.17 14.17 151.86 16.86 157.70 22.70
11 149 136.42 12.58 140.06 8.94 148.62 0.38
12 144 147.74 3.74 146.32 2.32 148.77 4.77
13 161 144.37 16.63 144.70 16.30 146.86 14.14
14 168 159.34 8.66 156.11 11.89 152.52 15.48
15 182 167.13 14.87 164.43 17.57 158.71 23.29
16 171 180.51 9.51 176.73 5.73 168.03 2.97
17 150 171.95 21.95 172.72 22.72 169.22 19.22
18 166 152.20 13.80 156.82 9.18 161.53 4.47
19 157 164.62 7.62 163.24 6.24 163.32 6.32
20 174 157.76 16.24 158.87 15.13 160.79 13.21
21 160 172.38 12.38 169.46 9.46 166.07 6.07
22 140 161.24 21.24 162.84 22.84 163.64 23.64
23 147 142.12 4.88 146.85 0.15 154.19 7.19
24 155 146.51 8.49 146.96 8.04 151.31 3.69
25 154.15
MAD 13.76 12.77 12.93
0.9 FE

188.00 0.00
188.00 44.00
183.60 23.60
181.24 25.24
178.72 8.72
177.84 13.16
179.16 25.16
176.64 16.64
174.98 26.98
172.28 37.28
168.55 19.55
166.60 22.60
164.34 3.34
164.00 4.00
164.40 17.60
166.16 4.84
166.65 16.65
164.98 1.02
165.08 8.08
164.28 9.72
165.25 5.25
164.72 24.72
162.25 15.25
160.73 5.73

15.80