FFUNDS HOUSING SQTRX1 SQ 1/X1 LN

FFUNDS 1
HOUSING 0.26827328 1
SQTRX1 0.29680279 0.99460481 1
SQ 0.21041693 0.9825625 0.95834453 1
1/X1 -0.3605208 -0.9096464 -0.9470133 -0.8222886 1
LN 0.3227943 0.97754433 0.9940822 0.92265714 -0.9760293 1
 FFUNDS HOUSING SQTRX1 SQ 1/X1 LN
FFUNDS 1
HOUSING 0.26827328 1
SQTRX1 0.29680279 0.99460481 1
SQ 0.21041693 0.9825625 0.95834453 1
1/X1 -0.3605208 -0.9096464 -0.9470133 -0.8222886 1
LN 0.3227943 0.97754433 0.9940822 0.92265714 -0.9760293 1
Term Project Data Set
ECON 222
Summer 2019

Year Quarter MORTRATE FFUNDS EMPLOY URATE UDUR

1971 2 7.413 4.563 71179.000 5.900 11.233
1971 3 7.658 5.473 71434.000 6.033 11.633
1971 4 7.553 4.750 71866.000 5.933 12.033
1972 1 7.349 3.540 72677.667 5.767 12.267
1972 2 7.347 4.300 73463.000 5.700 12.367
1972 3 7.406 4.740 74038.000 5.567 11.900
1972 4 7.431 5.143 74971.667 5.367 11.500
1973 1 7.446 6.537 75971.667 4.933 10.700
1973 2 7.650 7.817 76663.333 4.933 9.900
1973 3 8.457 10.560 77119.000 4.800 9.600
1973 4 8.626 9.997 77852.667 4.767 9.867
1974 1 8.462 9.323 78216.667 5.133 9.600
1974 2 8.887 11.250 78511.667 5.200 9.700
1974 3 9.606 12.090 78621.667 5.633 9.767
1974 4 9.793 9.347 78182.333 6.600 9.867
1975 1 9.168 6.303 76953.000 8.267 11.400
1975 2 8.875 5.420 76535.000 8.867 13.867
1975 3 8.984 6.160 77050.333 8.467 15.567
1975 4 9.161 5.413 77747.333 8.300 16.167
1976 1 8.873 4.827 78789.000 7.733 16.467
1976 2 8.777 5.197 79326.667 7.567 15.933
1976 3 8.968 5.283 79714.333 7.733 15.500
1976 4 8.847 4.873 80199.667 7.767 15.200
1977 1 8.693 4.660 81023.000 7.500 14.800
1977 2 8.808 5.157 82101.333 7.133 14.567
1977 3 8.925 5.820 83147.000 6.900 14.067
1977 4 8.937 6.513 84127.667 6.667 13.633
1978 1 9.127 6.757 85000.667 6.333 12.600
1978 2 9.558 7.283 86540.333 6.000 12.167
1978 3 9.760 8.100 87436.000 6.033 11.600
1978 4 10.122 9.583 88339.333 5.900 11.133
1979 1 10.409 10.073 89114.000 5.867 11.333
1979 2 10.764 10.180 89771.333 5.700 10.833
1979 3 11.157 10.947 90281.333 5.867 10.467
1979 4 12.485 13.577 90575.333 5.967 10.633
1980 1 13.680 15.047 90892.333 6.300 10.667
1980 2 14.419 12.687 90456.667 7.333 11.200
1980 3 12.643 9.837 90050.667 7.667 12.367
1980 4 14.226 15.853 90726.667 7.400 13.467
1981 1 15.127 16.570 91116.000 7.433 14.133
1981 2 16.239 17.780 91356.333 7.400 13.733
1981 3 17.380 17.577 91547.667 7.400 13.933
1981 4 17.736 13.587 91148.667 8.233 13.233
1982 1 17.414 14.227 90520.667 8.833 13.867
1982 2 16.766 14.513 90040.667 9.433 15.033
1982 3 16.222 11.007 89355.667 9.900 16.067
1982 4 14.033 9.287 88821.333 10.667 17.467
1983 1 13.030 8.653 88999.000 10.367 19.333
1983 2 12.763 8.803 89676.333 10.133 20.267
1983 3 13.641 9.460 90604.333 9.367 20.467
1983 4 13.460 9.430 91875.000 8.533 19.700
1984 1 13.333 9.687 93086.333 7.867 19.500
1984 2 14.035 10.557 94123.000 7.433 18.600
1984 3 14.494 11.390 95055.000 7.433 17.433
1984 4 13.648 9.267 95906.000 7.300 16.833
1985 1 13.064 8.477 96572.333 7.233 15.967
1985 2 12.785 7.923 97269.667 7.300 15.733
1985 3 12.141 7.900 97844.333 7.200 15.367
1985 4 11.731 8.103 98428.333 7.033 15.367
1986 1 10.584 7.827 98837.667 7.033 14.867
1986 2 10.246 6.920 99174.667 7.167 14.867
1986 3 10.235 6.207 99665.000 6.967 15.367
1986 4 9.684 6.267 100312.667 6.833 15.067
1987 1 9.115 6.220 100920.333 6.600 14.833
1987 2 10.343 6.650 101709.000 6.267 14.867
1987 3 10.482 6.843 102438.000 6.000 14.267
1987 4 10.864 6.917 103390.333 5.833 14.067
1988 1 10.068 6.663 104152.000 5.700 14.100
1988 2 10.359 7.157 105006.667 5.467 13.400
1988 3 10.496 7.983 105745.667 5.467 13.533
1988 4 10.410 8.470 106597.000 5.333 12.967
1989 1 10.820 9.443 107403.000 5.200 12.433
1989 2 10.636 9.727 107910.333 5.233 11.867
1989 3 10.008 9.083 108186.000 5.233 11.567
1989 4 9.814 8.613 108688.000 5.367 11.733
1990 1 10.132 8.250 109425.333 5.300 11.700
1990 2 10.324 8.243 109794.667 5.333 11.700
1990 3 10.103 8.160 109653.667 5.700 12.167
1990 4 9.959 7.743 109249.000 6.133 12.367
1991 1 9.501 6.427 108789.000 6.600 12.600
1991 2 9.522 5.863 108318.333 6.833 13.367
1991 3 9.273 5.643 108314.333 6.867 13.900
1991 4 8.690 4.817 108328.000 7.100 14.867
1992 1 8.688 4.023 108351.000 7.367 16.633
1992 2 8.678 3.770 108631.333 7.600 17.800
1992 3 8.018 3.257 108895.333 7.633 18.067
1992 4 8.192 3.037 109306.667 7.367 18.600
1993 1 7.723 3.040 109948.333 7.133 18.033
1993 2 7.453 3.000 110542.333 7.067 17.633
1993 3 7.088 3.060 111240.000 6.800 17.933
1993 4 7.046 2.990 112015.333 6.633 18.333
1994 1 7.296 3.213 112878.000 6.567 18.867
1994 2 8.428 3.940 113920.667 6.200 19.100
1994 3 8.594 4.487 114922.000 6.000 18.833
1994 4 9.105 5.167 115837.000 5.633 18.367
1995 1 8.785 5.810 116707.667 5.467 17.133
1995 2 7.918 6.020 117141.667 5.667 16.833
1995 3 7.696 5.797 117636.333 5.667 16.300
1995 4 7.339 5.720 118182.667 5.567 16.233
1996 1 7.272 5.363 118689.333 5.533 16.600
1996 2 8.102 5.243 119480.667 5.500 17.400
1996 3 8.147 5.307 120215.000 5.267 16.933
1996 4 7.703 5.280 120931.667 5.333 15.933
1997 1 7.793 5.277 121684.333 5.233 15.767
1997 2 7.927 5.523 122559.333 5.000 15.500
1997 3 7.470 5.533 123270.667 4.867 16.100
1997 4 7.205 5.507 124248.333 4.667 15.800
1998 1 7.050 5.520 125007.000 4.633 15.167
1998 2 7.098 5.500 125798.333 4.400 14.500
1998 3 6.872 5.533 126509.333 4.533 14.067
1998 4 6.764 4.860 127272.667 4.433 14.200
1999 1 6.878 4.733 128027.667 4.300 13.533
1999 2 7.182 4.747 128843.667 4.267 13.667
1999 3 7.786 5.093 129592.333 4.233 13.267
1999 4 7.841 5.307 130485.000 4.067 13.033
2000 1 8.257 5.677 131255.000 4.033 12.800
2000 2 8.316 6.273 132032.333 3.933 12.433
2000 3 8.020 6.520 132283.667 4.000 12.833
2000 4 7.621 6.473 132552.333 3.900 12.533
2001 1 7.007 5.593 132759.000 4.233 12.767
2001 2 7.130 4.327 132404.333 4.400 12.400
2001 3 6.964 3.497 132007.000 4.833 13.133
2001 4 6.771 2.133 131207.667 5.500 14.033
2002 1 6.972 1.733 130784.000 5.700 15.033
2002 2 6.813 1.750 130659.333 5.833 16.667
2002 3 6.289 1.740 130577.000 5.733 17.000
2002 4 6.075 1.443 130587.667 5.867 17.967
2003 1 5.841 1.250 130434.333 5.867 18.367
2003 2 5.507 1.247 130204.333 6.133 19.433
2003 3 6.034 1.017 130217.667 6.133 19.467
2003 4 5.919 0.997 130522.667 5.833 19.667
2004 1 5.598 1.003 130929.000 5.700 19.933
2004 2 6.106 1.010 131647.667 5.600 19.967
2004 3 5.894 1.433 131977.000 5.433 19.000
2004 4 5.736 1.950 132543.667 5.433 19.533
2005 1 5.768 2.470 133004.333 5.300 19.367
2005 2 5.708 2.943 133733.000 5.100 18.700
2005 3 5.764 3.460 134471.333 4.967 17.967
2005 4 6.226 3.980 134951.000 4.967 17.633
2006 1 6.247 4.457 135754.000 4.733 17.267
2006 2 6.602 4.907 136274.667 4.633 16.800
2006 3 6.560 5.247 136703.667 4.633 17.100
2006 4 6.244 5.247 137073.333 4.433 16.200
2007 1 6.215 5.257 137625.333 4.500 16.933
2007 2 6.358 5.250 137986.667 4.500 16.667
2007 3 6.552 5.073 138067.000 4.667 16.833
2007 4 6.225 4.497 138299.333 4.800 16.967
2008 1 5.872 3.177 138351.333 5.000 16.967
2008 2 6.087 2.087 137878.000 5.333 16.867
2008 3 6.322 1.940 137168.667 6.000 17.767
2008 4 5.841 0.507 135568.667 6.867 19.567
2009 1 5.060 0.183 133311.667 8.267 20.300
2009 2 5.012 0.180 131450.667 9.300 22.667
2009 3 5.162 0.157 130481.667 9.633 25.667
2009 4 4.922 0.120 129979.333 9.933 28.700
2010 1 4.996 0.133 129805.667 9.833 30.567
2010 2 4.922 0.193 130442.667 9.633 33.933
2010 3 4.447 0.187 130417.333 9.467 33.667
2010 4 4.436 0.187 130748.667 9.500 34.200
2011 1 4.847 0.157 131078.333 9.033 37.900
2011 2 4.651 0.093 131766.667 9.067 39.400
2011 3 4.292 0.083 132176.000 9.000 40.533
2011 4 4.002 0.073 132734.000 8.633 39.767
2012 1 3.922 0.103 133523.000 8.267 39.733
2012 2 3.795 0.153 133942.000 8.200 39.700
2012 3 3.554 0.143 134352.333 8.033 39.567
2012 4 3.359 0.160 134877.333 7.800 38.733
2013 1 3.497 0.143 135514.333 7.733 36.333
2013 2 3.672 0.117 136099.667 7.533 36.567
2013 3 4.440 0.083 136624.333 7.233 37.433
 2013 4 4.293 0.087 137256.333 6.933 36.067
2014 1 4.365 0.073 137762.333 6.667 35.633
2014 2 4.228 0.093 138567.333 6.200 34.400
2014 3 4.135 0.090 139313.000 6.067 32.200
2014 4 3.964 0.100 140121.333 5.700 32.567
2015 1 3.717 0.110 140800.000 5.533 31.200
2015 2 3.819 0.123 141503.333 5.433 30.000
2015 3 3.955 0.137 142141.667 5.100 27.467
2015 4 3.898 0.160 142860.000 5.033 27.733
2016 1 3.738 0.360 143447.667 4.933 28.867
2016 2 3.589 0.373 143996.000 4.900 27.733
2016 3 3.446 0.397 144705.000 4.900 27.333
2016 4 3.842 0.450 145243.000 4.767 26.100
2017 1 4.173 0.700 145831.333 4.600 25.233
2017 2 3.980 0.950 146337.667 4.367 24.833
2017 3 3.884 1.153 146867.667 4.300 25.200
2017 4 3.922 1.203 147406.667 4.133 24.800
2018 1 4.282 1.447 148047.667 4.067 23.667
2018 2 4.545 1.737 148742.333 3.900 21.833
2018 3 4.567 1.923 149409.000 3.800 23.267
2018 4 4.785 2.220 150058.333 3.800 21.967
2019 1 4.374 2.403 150675.333 3.867 21.467

MORTRATE 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate

FFUNDS Federal Funds Rate
EMPLOY Non-Farm Employment (Thousands)
URATE Unemployment Rate
UDUR Average Unemployment Duration (Weeks)
RGDP Real GDP (Billions of dollars)
HOUSING Housing Starts (Thousands)
CPI Consumer Price Index
TREND Linear trend
RGDP CPI TREND FFUNDS HOUSING SQTRX1 SQ 1/X1 LN
5097.179 40.300 1 4.563 2020.333 44.948 4081746.778 0.00049 7.611018
5139.128 40.700 2 5.473 2094.000 45.760 4384836.000 0.00048 7.646831
5151.245 41.000 3 4.750 2201.667 46.922 4847336.111 0.00045 7.69697
5245.974 41.333 4 3.540 2406.000 49.051 5788836.000 0.00042 7.785721
5365.045 41.600 5 4.300 2241.333 47.343 5023575.111 0.00045 7.714826
5415.712 41.933 6 4.740 2371.667 48.700 5624802.778 0.00042 7.771348
5506.396 42.367 7 5.143 2424.000 49.234 5875776.000 0.00041 7.793174
5642.669 43.033 8 6.537 2378.333 48.768 5656469.444 0.00042 7.774155
5704.098 43.933 9 7.817 2139.000 46.249 4575321.000 0.00047 7.668094
5674.100 44.800 10 10.560 2016.000 44.900 4064256.000 0.00050 7.608871
5727.960 45.933 11 9.997 1642.333 40.526 2697258.778 0.00061 7.403873
5678.713 47.300 12 9.323 1586.000 39.825 2515396.000 0.00063 7.36897
5692.210 48.567 13 11.250 1515.333 38.927 2296235.111 0.00066 7.323391
5638.411 49.933 14 12.090 1202.667 34.679 1446407.111 0.00083 7.092297
5616.526 51.467 15 9.347 1023.667 31.995 1047893.444 0.00098 6.931146
5548.156 52.567 16 6.303 976.333 31.246 953226.778 0.00102 6.883804
5587.800 53.200 17 5.420 1071.000 32.726 1147041.000 0.00093 6.976348
5683.444 54.267 18 6.160 1250.000 35.355 1562500.000 0.00080 7.130899
5759.972 55.267 19 5.413 1341.667 36.629 1800069.444 0.00075 7.201668
5889.500 55.900 20 4.827 1442.000 37.974 2079364.000 0.00069 7.273786
5932.711 56.400 21 5.197 1449.667 38.074 2101533.444 0.00069 7.279089
5965.265 57.300 22 5.283 1557.000 39.459 2424249.000 0.00064 7.350516
6008.504 58.133 23 4.873 1691.333 41.126 2860608.444 0.00059 7.433272
6079.494 59.200 24 4.660 1844.333 42.946 3401565.444 0.00054 7.519873
6197.686 60.233 25 5.157 1918.667 43.803 3681281.778 0.00052 7.559386
6309.514 61.067 26 5.820 2009.000 44.822 4036081.000 0.00050 7.605392
6309.652 61.967 27 6.513 2075.333 45.556 4307008.444 0.00048 7.637877
6329.791 63.033 28 6.757 1829.333 42.771 3346460.444 0.00055 7.511707
6574.390 64.467 29 7.283 2114.000 45.978 4468996.000 0.00047 7.656337
6640.497 65.967 30 8.100 2019.333 44.937 4077707.111 0.00050 7.610523
6729.755 67.500 31 9.583 2039.667 45.163 4160240.111 0.00049 7.620542
6741.854 69.200 32 10.073 1665.667 40.813 2774445.444 0.00060 7.417981
6749.063 71.400 33 10.180 1845.667 42.961 3406485.444 0.00054 7.520596
6799.200 73.700 34 10.947 1790.000 42.308 3204100.000 0.00056 7.489971
6816.203 76.033 35 13.577 1567.667 39.594 2457578.778 0.00064 7.357344
6837.641 79.033 36 15.047 1246.000 35.299 1552516.000 0.00080 7.127694
6696.753 81.700 37 12.687 1058.000 32.527 1119364.000 0.00095 6.964136
6688.794 83.233 38 9.837 1392.000 37.310 1937664.000 0.00072 7.238497
6813.535 85.567 39 15.853 1505.000 38.794 2265025.000 0.00066 7.316548
6947.042 87.933 40 16.570 1366.333 36.964 1866866.778 0.00073 7.219886
6895.559 89.767 41 17.780 1181.667 34.375 1396336.111 0.00085 7.074681
6978.135 92.267 42 17.577 964.000 31.048 929296.000 0.00104 6.871091
6902.105 93.767 43 13.587 873.333 29.552 762711.111 0.00115 6.772317
6794.878 94.600 44 14.227 880.000 29.665 774400.000 0.00114 6.779922
6825.876 95.967 45 14.513 948.000 30.790 898704.000 0.00105 6.854355
6799.781 97.633 46 11.007 1118.667 33.446 1251415.111 0.00089 7.019893
6802.497 97.933 47 9.287 1282.667 35.814 1645233.778 0.00078 7.156697
6892.144 98.000 48 8.653 1630.333 40.377 2657986.778 0.00061 7.39654
7048.982 99.133 49 8.803 1660.333 40.747 2756706.778 0.00060 7.414774
7189.896 100.100 50 9.460 1801.667 42.446 3246002.778 0.00056 7.496467
7339.893 101.100 51 9.430 1729.333 41.585 2990593.778 0.00058 7.455491
7483.371 102.533 52 9.687 1940.000 44.045 3763600.000 0.00052 7.570443
7612.668 103.500 53 10.557 1822.667 42.693 3322113.778 0.00055 7.508056
7686.059 104.400 54 11.390 1672.000 40.890 2795584.000 0.00060 7.421776
7749.151 105.300 55 9.267 1630.333 40.377 2657986.778 0.00061 7.39654
7824.247 106.267 56 8.477 1714.333 41.405 2938938.778 0.00058 7.44678
7893.136 107.233 57 7.923 1725.667 41.541 2977925.444 0.00058 7.453369
8013.674 107.900 58 7.900 1701.000 41.243 2893401.000 0.00059 7.438972
8073.239 109.000 59 8.103 1824.667 42.716 3329408.444 0.00055 7.509153
8148.603 109.567 60 7.827 1898.667 43.574 3604935.111 0.00053 7.548907
8185.303 109.033 61 6.920 1878.000 43.336 3526884.000 0.00053 7.537963
8263.639 109.700 62 6.207 1758.667 41.936 3092908.444 0.00057 7.472311
8308.021 110.467 63 6.267 1712.333 41.380 2932085.444 0.00058 7.445612
8369.930 111.800 64 6.220 1761.333 41.968 3102295.111 0.00057 7.473826
8460.233 113.067 65 6.650 1612.000 40.150 2598544.000 0.00062 7.385231
8533.635 114.267 66 6.843 1625.000 40.311 2640625.000 0.00062 7.393263
8680.162 115.333 67 6.917 1523.667 39.034 2321560.111 0.00066 7.328875
8725.006 116.233 68 6.663 1425.333 37.754 2031575.111 0.00070 7.262161
8839.641 117.567 69 7.157 1490.667 38.609 2222087.111 0.00067 7.306979
8891.435 119.000 70 7.983 1484.000 38.523 2202256.000 0.00067 7.302496
9009.913 120.300 71 8.470 1551.333 39.387 2406635.111 0.00064 7.34687
9101.508 121.667 72 9.443 1489.333 38.592 2218113.778 0.00067 7.306084
9170.977 123.633 73 9.727 1355.667 36.819 1837832.111 0.00074 7.212049
9238.923 124.600 74 9.083 1346.000 36.688 1811716.000 0.00074 7.204893
9257.128 125.867 75 8.613 1337.333 36.570 1788460.444 0.00075 7.198433
9358.289 128.033 76 8.250 1425.667 37.758 2032525.444 0.00070 7.262395
9392.251 129.300 77 8.243 1212.333 34.819 1469752.111 0.00082 7.100302
9398.499 131.533 78 8.160 1132.000 33.645 1281424.000 0.00088 7.031741
9312.937 133.767 79 7.743 1042.667 32.290 1087153.778 0.00096 6.949537
9269.367 134.767 80 6.427 894.667 29.911 800428.444 0.00112 6.796451
 9341.642 135.567 81 5.863 1011.000 31.796 1022121.000 0.00099 6.918695
9388.845 136.600 82 5.643 1042.333 32.285 1086458.778 0.00096 6.949217
9421.565 137.733 83 4.817 1087.000 32.970 1181569.000 0.00092 6.991177
9534.346 138.667 84 4.023 1241.000 35.228 1540081.000 0.00081 7.123673
9637.732 139.733 85 3.770 1152.667 33.951 1328640.444 0.00087 7.049833
9732.979 140.800 86 3.257 1183.667 34.404 1401066.778 0.00084 7.076372
9834.510 142.033 87 3.037 1228.333 35.048 1508802.778 0.00081 7.113414
9850.973 143.067 88 3.040 1167.667 34.171 1363445.444 0.00086 7.062763
9908.347 144.100 89 3.000 1266.000 35.581 1602756.000 0.00079 7.143618
9955.641 144.767 90 3.060 1299.000 36.042 1687401.000 0.00077 7.16935
10091.049 145.967 91 2.990 1433.667 37.864 2055400.111 0.00070 7.267991
10188.954 146.700 92 3.213 1391.000 37.296 1934881.000 0.00072 7.237778
10327.019 147.533 93 3.940 1466.667 38.297 2151111.111 0.00068 7.290748
10387.382 148.900 94 4.487 1454.333 38.136 2115085.444 0.00069 7.282303
10506.372 149.767 95 5.167 1472.000 38.367 2166784.000 0.00068 7.294377
10543.644 150.867 96 5.810 1324.000 36.387 1752976.000 0.00076 7.188413
10575.100 152.100 97 6.020 1287.333 35.879 1657227.111 0.00078 7.160328
10665.060 152.867 98 5.797 1415.333 37.621 2003168.444 0.00071 7.25512
10737.478 153.700 99 5.720 1417.333 37.647 2008833.778 0.00071 7.256532
10817.896 155.067 100 5.363 1460.667 38.219 2133547.111 0.00068 7.286648
10998.322 156.400 101 5.243 1495.667 38.674 2237018.778 0.00067 7.310327
11096.976 157.300 102 5.307 1501.333 38.747 2254001.778 0.00067 7.314109
11212.205 158.667 103 5.280 1417.000 37.643 2007889.000 0.00071 7.256297
11284.587 159.633 104 5.277 1432.667 37.851 2052533.778 0.00070 7.267293
11472.137 160.000 105 5.523 1476.000 38.419 2178576.000 0.00068 7.297091
11615.636 160.800 106 5.533 1457.667 38.179 2124792.111 0.00069 7.284592
11715.393 161.667 107 5.507 1532.000 39.141 2347024.000 0.00065 7.334329
11832.486 162.000 108 5.520 1558.667 39.480 2429441.778 0.00064 7.351586
11942.032 162.533 109 5.500 1572.333 39.653 2472232.111 0.00064 7.360316
12091.614 163.367 110 5.533 1631.333 40.390 2661248.444 0.00061 7.397153
12287.000 164.133 111 4.860 1722.333 41.501 2966432.111 0.00058 7.451435
12403.293 164.733 112 4.733 1709.333 41.344 2921820.444 0.00059 7.443859
12498.694 165.967 113 4.747 1574.333 39.678 2478525.444 0.00064 7.361587
12662.385 167.200 114 5.093 1650.667 40.628 2724700.444 0.00061 7.408935
12877.593 168.433 115 5.307 1654.667 40.678 2737921.778 0.00060 7.411355
12924.179 170.100 116 5.677 1659.000 40.731 2752281.000 0.00060 7.41397
13160.842 171.433 117 6.273 1586.667 39.833 2517511.111 0.00063 7.369391
13178.419 173.000 118 6.520 1503.667 38.777 2261013.444 0.00067 7.315662
13260.506 174.233 119 6.473 1544.000 39.294 2383936.000 0.00065 7.342132
13222.690 175.900 120 5.593 1605.000 40.062 2576025.000 0.00062 7.380879
13299.984 177.133 121 4.327 1630.000 40.373 2656900.000 0.00061 7.396335
13244.784 177.633 122 3.497 1599.667 39.996 2558933.444 0.00063 7.377551
13280.859 177.500 123 2.133 1570.000 39.623 2464900.000 0.00064 7.358831
13397.002 178.067 124 1.733 1723.000 41.509 2968729.000 0.00058 7.451822
13478.152 179.467 125 1.750 1691.000 41.122 2859481.000 0.00059 7.433075
13538.072 180.433 126 1.740 1697.333 41.199 2880940.444 0.00059 7.436814
13559.032 181.500 127 1.443 1729.667 41.589 2991746.778 0.00058 7.455684
13634.253 183.367 128 1.250 1736.000 41.665 3013696.000 0.00058 7.459339
13751.543 183.067 129 1.247 1753.667 41.877 3075346.778 0.00057 7.469464
13985.073 184.433 130 1.017 1889.667 43.470 3570840.111 0.00053 7.544156
14145.645 185.133 131 0.997 2035.667 45.118 4143938.778 0.00049 7.618579
14221.147 186.700 132 1.003 1918.333 43.799 3680002.778 0.00052 7.559212
14329.523 188.167 133 1.010 1937.333 44.015 3753260.444 0.00052 7.569068
14464.984 189.367 134 1.433 1977.000 44.463 3908529.000 0.00051 7.589336
14609.876 191.400 135 1.950 1965.333 44.332 3862535.111 0.00051 7.583417
14771.602 192.367 136 2.470 2071.667 45.516 4291802.778 0.00048 7.636109
14839.782 193.667 137 2.943 2051.333 45.292 4207968.444 0.00049 7.626245
14972.054 196.600 138 3.460 2100.000 45.826 4410000.000 0.00048 7.649693
15066.597 198.433 139 3.980 2068.667 45.483 4279381.778 0.00048 7.63466
15267.026 199.467 140 4.457 2120.333 46.047 4495813.444 0.00047 7.659329
15302.705 201.267 141 4.907 1855.000 43.070 3441025.000 0.00054 7.52564
15326.368 203.167 142 5.247 1702.333 41.259 2897938.778 0.00059 7.439755
15456.928 202.333 143 5.247 1570.000 39.623 2464900.000 0.00064 7.358831
15493.328 204.317 144 5.257 1461.333 38.227 2135495.111 0.00068 7.287105
15582.085 206.631 145 5.250 1451.000 38.092 2105401.000 0.00069 7.280008
15666.738 207.939 146 5.073 1289.000 35.903 1661521.000 0.00078 7.161622
15761.967 210.490 147 4.497 1166.000 34.147 1359556.000 0.00086 7.061334
15671.383 212.770 148 3.177 1064.000 32.619 1132096.000 0.00094 6.969791
15752.308 215.538 149 2.087 1010.667 31.791 1021447.111 0.00099 6.918365
15667.032 218.861 150 1.940 862.333 29.366 743618.778 0.00116 6.759642
15328.027 213.849 151 0.507 663.000 25.749 439569.000 0.00151 6.496775
15155.940 212.378 152 0.183 525.667 22.927 276325.444 0.00190 6.264667
15134.117 213.507 153 0.180 534.333 23.116 285512.111 0.00187 6.28102
15189.222 215.344 154 0.157 588.333 24.256 346136.111 0.00170 6.377294
15356.058 217.030 155 0.120 567.667 23.826 322245.444 0.00176 6.341534
15415.145 217.374 156 0.133 618.000 24.860 381924.000 0.00162 6.426488
15557.277 217.297 157 0.193 602.000 24.536 362404.000 0.00166 6.400257
15671.967 217.934 158 0.187 579.667 24.076 336013.444 0.00173 6.362453
15750.625 219.699 159 0.187 542.333 23.288 294125.444 0.00184 6.295881
15712.754 222.044 160 0.157 582.333 24.132 339112.111 0.00172 6.367043
15825.096 224.568 161 0.093 574.333 23.965 329858.778 0.00174 6.35321
15820.700 226.033 162 0.083 619.333 24.886 383573.778 0.00161 6.428644
16004.107 227.047 163 0.073 671.667 25.917 451136.111 0.00149 6.509762
16129.418 228.326 164 0.103 707.333 26.596 500320.444 0.00141 6.561502
16198.807 228.808 165 0.153 739.333 27.191 546613.778 0.00135 6.605749
16220.667 229.841 166 0.143 780.333 27.934 608920.111 0.00128 6.659721
16239.138 231.369 167 0.160 908.000 30.133 824464.000 0.00110 6.811244
16382.964 232.299 168 0.143 953.333 30.876 908844.444 0.00105 6.859965
16403.180 232.045 169 0.117 868.000 29.462 753424.000 0.00115 6.766192
16531.685 233.300 170 0.083 882.333 29.704 778512.111 0.00113 6.78257
16663.649 234.163 171 0.087 1009.000 31.765 1018081.000 0.00099 6.916715
16621.696 235.621 172 0.073 934.000 30.561 872356.000 0.00107 6.839476
16830.111 236.872 173 0.093 987.000 31.417 974169.000 0.00101 6.89467
17033.572 237.478 174 0.090 1030.667 32.104 1062273.778 0.00097 6.937961
17113.945 236.888 175 0.100 1049.333 32.393 1101100.444 0.00095 6.95591
17254.744 235.320 176 0.110 980.667 31.316 961707.111 0.00102 6.888233
17397.029 236.938 177 0.123 1157.000 34.015 1338649.000 0.00086 7.053586
17438.802 237.862 178 0.137 1161.667 34.083 1349469.444 0.00086 7.057611
17456.225 237.871 179 0.160 1129.333 33.606 1275393.778 0.00089 7.029383
17523.374 237.780 180 0.360 1145.667 33.848 1312552.111 0.00087 7.043742
17622.486 239.486 181 0.373 1160.667 34.069 1347147.111 0.00086 7.05675
17706.705 240.601 182 0.397 1151.333 33.931 1325568.444 0.00087 7.048676
17784.185 242.164 183 0.450 1254.000 35.412 1572516.000 0.00080 7.134094
17863.023 243.830 184 0.700 1230.667 35.081 1514540.444 0.00081 7.115311
17995.150 244.065 185 0.950 1169.333 34.196 1367340.444 0.00086 7.064189
18120.843 245.368 186 1.153 1175.333 34.283 1381408.444 0.00085 7.069307
18223.758 247.273 187 1.203 1259.667 35.492 1586760.111 0.00079 7.138602
18323.963 249.250 188 1.447 1320.667 36.341 1744160.444 0.00076 7.185892
18511.576 250.579 189 1.737 1259.667 35.492 1586760.111 0.00079 7.138602
18664.973 251.829 190 1.923 1233.000 35.114 1520289.000 0.00081 7.117206
18765.256 252.759 191 2.220 1185.000 34.424 1404225.000 0.00084 7.077498
18910.332 253.311 192 2.403 1213.000 34.828 1471369.000 0.00082 7.100852
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8662092659
R Square 0.7503184923
Adjusted R Square 0.7436066238
FFUNDS Standard Error 1.6129977706
4.563 Observations 192
5.473
4.750 ANOVA
3.540 df SS MS
4.300 Regression 5 1454.2522706262 290.8504541252
4.740 Residual 186 483.9276962884 2.601761808
5.143 Total 191 1938.1799669147
6.537
7.817 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
10.560 Intercept 14.3297121826 1.5046729291 9.5234731118
9.997 URATE 0.4436419765 0.1380181616 3.2143739023
9.323 UDUR -0.1898005959 0.0336818504 -5.6351000198
11.250 RGDP -0.0017774377 0.0002268971 -7.8336732875
12.090 HOUSING -4.145870288E-07 0.0004072949 -0.0010179039
9.347 CPI 0.0967502393 0.0141028674 6.8603239906
6.303
5.420
6.160
5.413
4.827
5.197
5.283
4.873 SUMMARY OUTPUT
4.660
5.157 Regression Statistics
5.820 Multiple R 0.8662092651
6.513 R Square 0.7503184909
6.757 Adjusted R Square 0.74497771
7.283 Standard Error 1.6086791655
8.100 Observations 192
9.583
10.073 ANOVA
10.180 df SS
10.947 Regression 4 1454.2522679305
13.577 Residual 187 483.9276989842
15.047 Total 191 1938.1799669147
12.687
9.837 Coefficients Standard Error
15.853 Intercept 14.3286384987 1.0701787021
16.570 URATE 0.4436916115 0.1287716582
17.780 UDUR -0.1898001617 0.0335889773
17.577 RGDP -0.0017774845 0.0002215966
13.587 CPI 0.0967548537 0.013318697
14.227
14.513
11.007 SUMMARY OUTPUT
9.287
8.653 Regression Statistics
8.803 Multiple R 0.2682732803
9.460 R Square 0.0719705529
9.430 Adjusted R Square 0.0670861874
9.687 Standard Error 3.8099546901
10.557 Observations 192
11.390
9.267 ANOVA
8.477 df SS
7.923 Regression 1 213.8879435263
7.900 Residual 190 2757.9934006866
8.103 Total 191 2971.881344213
7.827
6.920 Coefficients Standard Error
6.207 Intercept 1.6191789499 0.9648127281
6.267 HOUSING 0.0024796728 0.0006459829
6.220
6.650
6.843
6.917
6.663 SUMMARY OUTPUT
7.157
7.983 Regression Statistics
8.470 Multiple R 0.3605208467
9.443 R Square 0.1299752809
9.727 Adjusted R Square 0.1253962034
9.083 Standard Error 3.6889666445
8.613 Observations 192
8.250
8.243 ANOVA
8.160 df SS
7.743 Regression 1 386.2711124576
6.427 Residual 190 2585.6102317553
5.863 Total 191 2971.881344213
5.643
4.817 Coefficients Standard Error
4.023 Intercept 8.7139567737 0.7166412512
3.770 1/X1 -4525.6655548169 849.456355022
3.257
3.037
3.040
3.000
3.060
2.990
3.213
3.940
4.487
5.167
5.810
6.020
5.797
5.720
5.363
5.243
5.307
5.280
5.277
5.523
5.533
5.507
5.520
5.500
5.533
4.860
4.733
4.747
5.093
5.307
5.677
6.273
6.520
6.473
5.593
4.327
3.497
2.133
1.733
1.750
1.740
1.443
1.250
1.247
1.017
0.997
1.003
1.010
1.433
1.950
2.470
2.943
3.460
3.980
4.457
4.907
5.247
5.247
5.257
5.250
5.073
4.497
3.177
2.087
1.940
0.507
0.183
0.180
0.157
0.120
0.133
0.193
0.187
0.187
0.157
0.093
0.083
0.073
0.103
0.153
0.143
0.160
0.143
0.117
0.083
0.087
0.073
0.093
0.090
0.100
0.110
0.123
0.137
0.160
0.360
0.373
0.397
0.450
0.700
0.950
1.153
1.203
1.447
1.737
1.923
2.220
2.403
 F Significance F
111.7898084408 4.0727497206E-54

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

9.1737572213E-18 11.3612932565 17.2981311087 11.3612932565 17.2981311087
0.0015413178 0.1713597317 0.7159242214 0.1713597317 0.7159242214
0.000000064 -0.2562481542 -0.1233530375 -0.2562481542 -0.1233530375
3.5202536874E-13 -0.0022250603 -0.0013298151 -0.0022250603 -0.0013298151
0.9991889212 -0.0008039259 0.0008030967 -0.0008039259 0.0008030967
9.880927625E-11 0.068928101 0.1245723777 0.068928101 0.1245723777

MS F Significance F
363.5630669826 140.4885351024 3.2198130253E-55
2.5878486577
 t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
13.389014817 4.1731296488E-29 12.2174637618 16.4398132355 12.2174637618 16.43981
3.4455688293 0.0007035892 0.1896597652 0.6977234577 0.1896597652 0.697723
-5.6506680707 5.8826553847E-08 -0.2560621796 -0.1235381437 -0.2560621796 -0.123538
-8.0212632336 1.115597723E-13 -0.0022146349 -0.001340334 -0.0022146349 -0.00134
7.2645885475 9.8171726904E-12 0.0704806468 0.1230290605 0.0704806468 0.123029

MS F Significance F
213.8879435263 14.7348827085 0.0001684045
14.5157547405

t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
1.6782313321 0.094945968 -0.2839413467 3.5222992465 -0.2839413467 3.522299
3.8386042657 0.0001684045 0.0012054533 0.0037538924 0.0012054533 0.003754

MS F Significance F
386.2711124576 28.3845996839 2.7960619075E-07
13.608474904
 t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
12.159440668 1.5529473365E-25 7.3003617094 10.127551838 7.3003617094 10.12755
-5.3277199329 2.7960619075E-07 -6201.2421544779 -2850.0889551559 -6201.2421544779 -2850.089
Upper 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
Upper 95.0%