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Precipitación Máxima - diferentes períodos de duración (mm) Intensidades máximas (mm/hora)

Estación Autisha Estación Autisha


P.Max Duración en minutos Duración en minutos
Año 24 horas 15 30 60 120 180 240 15 30 60 120 180 240
1964 18.3 5.8 7.0 8.3 9.8 10.9 11.7 23.4 13.9 8.3 4.9 3.6 2.9
1965 20.5 6.5 7.8 9.3 11.0 12.2 13.1 26.2 15.6 9.3 5.5 4.1 3.3
1966 21.1 6.7 8.0 9.5 11.3 12.5 13.5 27.0 16.0 9.5 5.7 4.2 3.4
1967 14.7 4.7 5.6 6.6 7.9 8.7 9.4 18.8 11.2 6.6 3.9 2.9 2.3
1968 15.5 5.0 5.9 7.0 8.3 9.2 9.9 19.8 11.8 7.0 4.2 3.1 2.5
1969 21.4 6.8 8.1 9.7 11.5 12.7 13.7 27.3 16.3 9.7 5.7 4.2 3.4
1970 12.5 4.0 4.7 5.6 6.7 7.4 8.0 16.0 9.5 5.6 3.4 2.5 2.0
1971 15.1 4.8 5.7 6.8 8.1 9.0 9.6 19.3 11.5 6.8 4.1 3.0 2.4
1972 15.4 4.9 5.9 7.0 8.3 9.2 9.8 19.7 11.7 7.0 4.1 3.1 2.5
1973 27.4 8.8 10.4 12.4 14.7 16.3 17.5 35.0 20.8 12.4 7.4 5.4 4.4
1974 11.2 3.6 4.3 5.1 6.0 6.7 7.2 14.3 8.5 5.1 3.0 2.2 1.8
1975 14.6 4.7 5.5 6.6 7.8 8.7 9.3 18.7 11.1 6.6 3.9 2.9 2.3
1976 20.4 6.5 7.8 9.2 11.0 12.1 13.0 26.1 15.5 9.2 5.5 4.0 3.3
1977 18.6 5.9 7.1 8.4 10.0 11.1 11.9 23.8 14.1 8.4 5.0 3.7 3.0
1978 9.3 3.0 3.5 4.2 5.0 5.5 5.9 11.9 7.1 4.2 2.5 1.8 1.5
1979 10.3 3.3 3.9 4.7 5.5 6.1 6.6 13.2 7.8 4.7 2.8 2.0 1.6
1980 16.5 5.3 6.3 7.5 8.9 9.8 10.5 21.1 12.5 7.5 4.4 3.3 2.6
1981 13.7 4.4 5.2 6.2 7.4 8.1 8.8 17.5 10.4 6.2 3.7 2.7 2.2
1982 11.2 3.6 4.3 5.1 6.0 6.7 7.2 14.3 8.5 5.1 3.0 2.2 1.8
1983 20.5 6.5 7.8 9.3 11.0 12.2 13.1 26.2 15.6 9.3 5.5 4.1 3.3
1984 14 4.5 5.3 6.3 7.5 8.3 8.9 17.9 10.6 6.3 3.8 2.8 2.2
1985 6.4 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.1 8.2 4.9 2.9 1.7 1.3 1.0
1986 12.8 4.1 4.9 5.8 6.9 7.6 8.2 16.4 9.7 5.8 3.4 2.5 2.0
1987 11.6 3.7 4.4 5.2 6.2 6.9 7.4 14.8 8.8 5.2 3.1 2.3 1.9
1988 9.8 3.1 3.7 4.4 5.3 5.8 6.3 12.5 7.4 4.4 2.6 1.9 1.6
1989 20.3 6.5 7.7 9.2 10.9 12.1 13.0 25.9 15.4 9.2 5.5 4.0 3.2
1990 14.7 4.7 5.6 6.6 7.9 8.7 9.4 18.8 11.2 6.6 3.9 2.9 2.3
1991 29.7 9.5 11.3 13.4 16.0 17.7 19.0 38.0 22.6 13.4 8.0 5.9 4.7
1992 6.3 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.4 3.7 4.0 8.1 4.8 2.8 1.7 1.2 1.0
1993 23.3 7.4 8.9 10.5 12.5 13.9 14.9 29.8 17.7 10.5 6.3 4.6 3.7
1994 11.2 3.6 4.3 5.1 6.0 6.7 7.2 14.3 8.5 5.1 3.0 2.2 1.8
1995 9.3 3.0 3.5 4.2 5.0 5.5 5.9 11.9 7.1 4.2 2.5 1.8 1.5
1996 18.4 5.9 7.0 8.3 9.9 10.9 11.8 23.5 14.0 8.3 4.9 3.6 2.9
1997 10.2 3.3 3.9 4.6 5.5 6.1 6.5 13.0 7.8 4.6 2.7 2.0 1.6
1998 22.2 7.1 8.4 10.0 11.9 13.2 14.2 28.4 16.9 10.0 6.0 4.4 3.5
1999 22.1 7.1 8.4 10.0 11.9 13.1 14.1 28.2 16.8 10.0 5.9 4.4 3.5
2000 9.5 3.0 3.6 4.3 5.1 5.6 6.1 12.1 7.2 4.3 2.6 1.9 1.5
2001 14.1 4.5 5.4 6.4 7.6 8.4 9.0 18.0 10.7 6.4 3.8 2.8 2.3
2002 16.4 5.2 6.2 7.4 8.8 9.8 10.5 21.0 12.5 7.4 4.4 3.3 2.6
2003 25.5 8.1 9.7 11.5 13.7 15.2 16.3 32.6 19.4 11.5 6.9 5.1 4.1
2004 14.4 4.6 5.5 6.5 7.7 8.6 9.2 18.4 10.9 6.5 3.9 2.9 2.3
2005 11.7 3.7 4.4 5.3 6.3 7.0 7.5 15.0 8.9 5.3 3.1 2.3 1.9
2006 30.8 9.8 11.7 13.9 16.5 18.3 19.7 39.4 23.4 13.9 8.3 6.1 4.9
2007 27.8 8.9 10.6 12.6 14.9 16.5 17.8 35.5 21.1 12.6 7.5 5.5 4.4
2008 16.9 5.4 6.4 7.6 9.1 10.0 10.8 21.6 12.8 7.6 4.5 3.3 2.7
2009 19.3 6.2 7.3 8.7 10.4 11.5 12.3 24.7 14.7 8.7 5.2 3.8 3.1

y x1 x2
T D I log(I) log(D) log(T)
47.00 15 39.4 1.595 1.176 1.672
23.50 15 38.0 1.579 1.176 1.371
15.67 15 35.5 1.551 1.176 1.195 Dick y Pescke
11.75 15 35.0 1.544 1.176 1.070
9.40 15 32.6 1.513 1.176 0.973 aT b
7.83 15 29.8 1.474 1.176 0.894 I
6.71 15 28.4 1.453 1.176 0.827 Dc
5.88 15 28.2 1.451 1.176 0.769
5.22 15 27.3 1.437 1.176 0.718 log I  log a  c log D  b log T
4.70 15 27.0 1.431 1.176 0.672
4.27 15 26.2 1.418 1.176 0.631 Y  A0  B0 X1  C0 X 2
3.92 15 26.2 1.418 1.176 0.593
3.62 15 26.1 1.416 1.176 0.558
3.36 15 25.9 1.414 1.176 0.526
3.13 15 24.7 1.392 1.176 0.496 Coeficientes
2.94 15 23.8 1.376 1.176 0.468 Intercepción 2.01579253
2.76 15 23.5 1.371 1.176 0.442 Variable X 1 -0.75
2.61 15 23.4 1.369 1.176 0.417 Variable X 2 0.38363188
2.47 15 21.6 1.334 1.176 0.393 a= 103.703289
2.35 15 21.1 1.324 1.176 0.371 b= 0.383631877
2.24 15 21.0 1.321 1.176 0.350 c= 0.75
2.14 15 19.8 1.297 1.176 0.330
1.294 1.176 0.310 0.383
2.04 15 19.7
103.7T
1.96 15 19.3 1.285 1.176 0.292
I
1.88 15 18.8 1.274
1.274
1.176
1.176
0.274
0.257
D0.75
1.81 15 18.8
1.74 15 18.7 1.271 1.176 0.241
1.68 15 18.4 1.265 1.176 0.225 Duración (t) Período de Retorno (T) en años
1.62 15 18.0 1.256 1.176 0.210 (minutos) 10 20 50 100
1.57 15 17.9 1.253 1.176 0.195 10 44.61 58.20 82.71 107.91
1.52 15 17.5 1.243 1.176 0.181 20 26.52 34.60 49.18 64.16
1.47 15 16.4 1.214 1.176 0.167 30 19.57 25.53 36.29 47.34
1.42 15 16.0 1.203 1.176 0.154 40 15.77 20.58 29.24 38.15
1.38 15 15.0 1.175 1.176 0.141 50 13.34 17.41 24.74 32.27
1.34 15 14.8 1.171 1.176 0.128 60 11.64 15.18 21.58 28.15
1.31 15 14.3 1.156 1.176 0.116 70 10.37 13.52 19.22 25.07
1.27 15 14.3 1.156 1.176 0.104 80 9.38 12.23 17.39 22.69
1.24 15 14.3 1.156 1.176 0.092 90 8.59 11.20 15.92 20.77
1.21 15 13.2 1.119 1.176 0.081 100 7.93 10.35 14.71 19.19
1.18 15 13.0 1.115 1.176 0.070 110 7.39 9.64 13.69 17.87
1.15 15 12.5 1.098 1.176 0.059 120 6.92 9.03 12.83 16.74
1.12 15 12.1 1.084 1.176 0.049
1.09 15 11.9 1.075 1.176 0.039
1.07 15 11.9 1.075 1.176 0.029
1.04 15 8.2 0.913 1.176 0.019
CURVA I-D-F
1.02 15 8.1 0.906 1.176 0.009 120.00
47.00 30 23.40 1.369 1.477 1.672
23.50 30 22.57 1.353 1.477 1.371
100.00
15.67 30 21.12 1.325 1.477 1.195
11.75 30 20.82 1.318 1.477 1.070
9.40 30 19.38 1.287 1.477 0.973 80.00
7.83 30 17.70 1.248 1.477 0.894
INTENSIDAD

6.71 30 16.87 1.227 1.477 0.827


60.00
5.88 30 16.79 1.225 1.477 0.769
5.22 30 16.26 1.211 1.477 0.718
4.70 30 16.03 1.205 1.477 0.672 40.00
4.27 30 15.58 1.192 1.477 0.631
3.92 30 15.58 1.192 1.477 0.593
20.00
3.62 30 15.50 1.190 1.477 0.558

0.00
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

DURACION

10 AÑOS 20 AÑOS 50 AÑOS 100 AÑOS


80.00

INTENSIDAD
60.00

40.00

20.00

3.36 30 15.42 1.188 1.477 0.526


3.13 30 14.66 1.166 1.477 0.496 0.00
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
2.94 30 14.13 1.150 1.477 0.468
DURACION
2.76 30 13.98 1.146 1.477 0.442
2.61 30 13.90 1.143 1.477 0.417
2.47 12.84 1.109 1.477 0.393 10 AÑOS 20 AÑOS 50 AÑOS 100 AÑOS
30
2.35 30 12.54 1.098 1.477 0.371
2.24 30 12.46 1.096 1.477 0.350
2.14 30 11.78 1.071 1.477 0.330
2.04 30 11.70 1.068 1.477 0.310
1.96 30 11.47 1.060 1.477 0.292
1.88 30 11.17 1.048 1.477 0.274
1.81 30 11.17 1.048 1.477 0.257
1.74 30 11.09 1.045 1.477 0.241
1.68 30 10.94 1.039 1.477 0.225
1.62 30 10.71 1.030 1.477 0.210
1.57 30 10.64 1.027 1.477 0.195
1.52 30 10.41 1.017 1.477 0.181
1.47 30 9.73 0.988 1.477 0.167
1.42 30 9.50 0.978 1.477 0.154
1.38 30 8.89 0.949 1.477 0.141
1.34 30 8.81 0.945 1.477 0.128
1.31 30 8.51 0.930 1.477 0.116
1.27 30 8.51 0.930 1.477 0.104
1.24 30 8.51 0.930 1.477 0.092
1.21 30 7.83 0.894 1.477 0.081
1.18 30 7.75 0.889 1.477 0.070
1.15 30 7.45 0.872 1.477 0.059
1.12 30 7.22 0.858 1.477 0.049
1.09 30 7.07 0.849 1.477 0.039
1.07 30 7.07 0.849 1.477 0.029
1.04 30 4.86 0.687 1.477 0.019
1.02 30 4.79 0.680 1.477 0.009
47.00 60 13.92 1.143 1.778 1.672
23.50 60 13.42 1.128 1.778 1.371
15.67 60 12.56 1.099 1.778 1.195
11.75 60 12.38 1.093 1.778 1.070
9.40 60 11.52 1.061 1.778 0.973
7.83 60 10.53 1.022 1.778 0.894
6.71 60 10.03 1.001 1.778 0.827
5.88 60 9.98 0.999 1.778 0.769
5.22 60 9.67 0.985 1.778 0.718
4.70 60 9.53 0.979 1.778 0.672
4.27 60 9.26 0.967 1.778 0.631
3.92 60 9.26 0.967 1.778 0.593
3.62 60 9.22 0.965 1.778 0.558
3.36 60 9.17 0.962 1.778 0.526
3.13 60 8.72 0.941 1.778 0.496
2.94 60 8.40 0.924 1.778 0.468
2.76 60 8.31 0.920 1.778 0.442
2.61 60 8.27 0.917 1.778 0.417
2.47 60 7.64 0.883 1.778 0.393
2.35 60 7.45 0.872 1.778 0.371
2.24 60 7.41 0.870 1.778 0.350
2.14 60 7.00 0.845 1.778 0.330
2.04 60 6.96 0.842 1.778 0.310
1.96 60 6.82 0.834 1.778 0.292
1.88 60 6.64 0.822 1.778 0.274
1.81 60 6.64 0.822 1.778 0.257
1.74 60 6.60 0.819 1.778 0.241
1.68 60 6.51 0.813 1.778 0.225
1.62 60 6.37 0.804 1.778 0.210
1.57 60 6.33 0.801 1.778 0.195
1.52 60 6.19 0.792 1.778 0.181
1.47 60 5.78 0.762 1.778 0.167
1.42 60 5.65 0.752 1.778 0.154
1.38 60 5.29 0.723 1.778 0.141
1.34 60 5.24 0.719 1.778 0.128
1.31 60 5.06 0.704 1.778 0.116
1.27 60 5.06 0.704 1.778 0.104
1.24 60 5.06 0.704 1.778 0.092
1.21 60 4.65 0.668 1.778 0.081
1.18 60 4.61 0.664 1.778 0.070
1.15 60 4.43 0.646 1.778 0.059
1.12 60 4.29 0.633 1.778 0.049
1.09 60 4.20 0.623 1.778 0.039
1.07 60 4.20 0.623 1.778 0.029
1.04 60 2.89 0.461 1.778 0.019
1.02 60 2.85 0.454 1.778 0.009
47.00 120 8.3 0.918 2.079 1.672
23.50 120 8.0 0.902 2.079 1.371
15.67 120 7.5 0.873 2.079 1.195
11.75 120 7.4 0.867 2.079 1.070
9.40 120 6.9 0.836 2.079 0.973
7.83 120 6.3 0.797 2.079 0.894
6.71 120 6.0 0.776 2.079 0.827
5.88 120 5.9 0.774 2.079 0.769
5.22 120 5.7 0.760 2.079 0.718
4.70 120 5.7 0.753 2.079 0.672
4.27 120 5.5 0.741 2.079 0.631
3.92 120 5.5 0.741 2.079 0.593
3.62 120 5.5 0.739 2.079 0.558
3.36 120 5.5 0.737 2.079 0.526
3.13 120 5.2 0.715 2.079 0.496
2.94 120 5.0 0.699 2.079 0.468
2.76 120 4.9 0.694 2.079 0.442
2.61 120 4.9 0.692 2.079 0.417
2.47 120 4.5 0.657 2.079 0.393
2.35 120 4.4 0.647 2.079 0.371
2.24 120 4.4 0.644 2.079 0.350
2.14 120 4.2 0.620 2.079 0.330
2.04 120 4.1 0.617 2.079 0.310
1.96 120 4.1 0.608 2.079 0.292
1.88 120 3.9 0.596 2.079 0.274
1.81 120 3.9 0.596 2.079 0.257
1.74 120 3.9 0.594 2.079 0.241
1.68 120 3.9 0.588 2.079 0.225
1.62 120 3.8 0.578 2.079 0.210
1.57 120 3.8 0.575 2.079 0.195
1.52 120 3.7 0.566 2.079 0.181
1.47 120 3.4 0.536 2.079 0.167
1.42 120 3.4 0.526 2.079 0.154
1.38 120 3.1 0.497 2.079 0.141
1.34 120 3.1 0.494 2.079 0.128
1.31 120 3.0 0.478 2.079 0.116
1.27 120 3.0 0.478 2.079 0.104
1.24 120 3.0 0.478 2.079 0.092
1.21 120 2.8 0.442 2.079 0.081
1.18 120 2.7 0.438 2.079 0.070
1.15 120 2.6 0.420 2.079 0.059
1.12 120 2.6 0.407 2.079 0.049
1.09 120 2.5 0.398 2.079 0.039
1.07 120 2.5 0.398 2.079 0.029
1.04 120 1.7 0.235 2.079 0.019
1.02 120 1.7 0.229 2.079 0.009
47.00 180 6.1 0.786 2.255 1.672
23.50 180 5.9 0.770 2.255 1.371
15.67 180 5.5 0.741 2.255 1.195
11.75 180 5.4 0.735 2.255 1.070
9.40 180 5.1 0.704 2.255 0.973
7.83 180 4.6 0.664 2.255 0.894
6.71 180 4.4 0.643 2.255 0.827
5.88 180 4.4 0.641 2.255 0.769
5.22 180 4.2 0.628 2.255 0.718
4.70 180 4.2 0.621 2.255 0.672
4.27 180 4.1 0.609 2.255 0.631
3.92 180 4.1 0.609 2.255 0.593
3.62 180 4.0 0.607 2.255 0.558
3.36 180 4.0 0.605 2.255 0.526
3.13 180 3.8 0.583 2.255 0.496
2.94 180 3.7 0.567 2.255 0.468
2.76 180 3.6 0.562 2.255 0.442
2.61 180 3.6 0.560 2.255 0.417
2.47 180 3.3 0.525 2.255 0.393
2.35 180 3.3 0.515 2.255 0.371
2.24 180 3.3 0.512 2.255 0.350
2.14 180 3.1 0.487 2.255 0.330
2.04 180 3.1 0.485 2.255 0.310
1.96 180 3.0 0.476 2.255 0.292
1.88 180 2.9 0.464 2.255 0.274
1.81 180 2.9 0.464 2.255 0.257
1.74 180 2.9 0.461 2.255 0.241
1.68 180 2.9 0.455 2.255 0.225
1.62 180 2.8 0.446 2.255 0.210
1.57 180 2.8 0.443 2.255 0.195
1.52 180 2.7 0.434 2.255 0.181
1.47 180 2.5 0.404 2.255 0.167
1.42 180 2.5 0.394 2.255 0.154
1.38 180 2.3 0.365 2.255 0.141
1.34 180 2.3 0.362 2.255 0.128
1.31 180 2.2 0.346 2.255 0.116
1.27 180 2.2 0.346 2.255 0.104
1.24 180 2.2 0.346 2.255 0.092
1.21 180 2.0 0.310 2.255 0.081
1.18 180 2.0 0.306 2.255 0.070
1.15 180 1.9 0.288 2.255 0.059
1.12 180 1.9 0.275 2.255 0.049
1.09 180 1.8 0.266 2.255 0.039
1.07 180 1.8 0.266 2.255 0.029
1.04 180 1.3 0.103 2.255 0.019
1.02 180 1.2 0.096 2.255 0.009
47.00 240 4.9 0.692 2.380 1.672
23.50 240 4.7 0.676 2.380 1.371
15.67 240 4.4 0.647 2.380 1.195
11.75 240 4.4 0.641 2.380 1.070
9.40 240 4.1 0.610 2.380 0.973
7.83 240 3.7 0.571 2.380 0.894
6.71 240 3.5 0.550 2.380 0.827
5.88 240 3.5 0.548 2.380 0.769
5.22 240 3.4 0.534 2.380 0.718
4.70 240 3.4 0.528 2.380 0.672
4.27 240 3.3 0.515 2.380 0.631
3.92 240 3.3 0.515 2.380 0.593
3.62 240 3.3 0.513 2.380 0.558
3.36 240 3.2 0.511 2.380 0.526
3.13 240 3.1 0.489 2.380 0.496
2.94 240 3.0 0.473 2.380 0.468
2.76 240 2.9 0.468 2.380 0.442
2.61 240 2.9 0.466 2.380 0.417
2.47 240 2.7 0.431 2.380 0.393
2.35 240 2.6 0.421 2.380 0.371
2.24 240 2.6 0.418 2.380 0.350
2.14 240 2.5 0.394 2.380 0.330
2.04 240 2.5 0.391 2.380 0.310
1.96 240 2.4 0.382 2.380 0.292
1.88 240 2.3 0.371 2.380 0.274
1.81 240 2.3 0.371 2.380 0.257
1.74 240 2.3 0.368 2.380 0.241
1.68 240 2.3 0.362 2.380 0.225
1.62 240 2.3 0.353 2.380 0.210
1.57 240 2.2 0.350 2.380 0.195
1.52 240 2.2 0.340 2.380 0.181
1.47 240 2.0 0.311 2.380 0.167
1.42 240 2.0 0.300 2.380 0.154
1.38 240 1.9 0.272 2.380 0.141
1.34 240 1.9 0.268 2.380 0.128
1.31 240 1.8 0.253 2.380 0.116
1.27 240 1.8 0.253 2.380 0.104
1.24 240 1.8 0.253 2.380 0.092
1.21 240 1.6 0.216 2.380 0.081
1.18 240 1.6 0.212 2.380 0.070
1.15 240 1.6 0.195 2.380 0.059
1.12 240 1.5 0.181 2.380 0.049
1.09 240 1.5 0.172 2.380 0.039
1.07 240 1.5 0.172 2.380 0.029
1.04 240 1.0 0.010 2.380 0.019
1.02 240 1.0 0.003 2.380 0.009
Intensidades máximas ordenadas Estación Autisha (mm/h)
N° orden T (años) Duracion en minutos
15 30 60 120 180 240
1 47.00 39.4 23.4 13.9 8.3 6.1 4.9
2 23.50 38.0 22.6 13.4 8.0 5.9 4.7
3 15.67 35.5 21.1 12.6 7.5 5.5 4.4
4 11.75 35.0 20.8 12.4 7.4 5.4 4.4
5 9.40 32.6 19.4 11.5 6.9 5.1 4.1
6 7.83 29.8 17.7 10.5 6.3 4.6 3.7
7 6.71 28.4 16.9 10.0 6.0 4.4 3.5
8 5.88 28.2 16.8 10.0 5.9 4.4 3.5
9 5.22 27.3 16.3 9.7 5.7 4.2 3.4
10 4.70 27.0 16.0 9.5 5.7 4.2 3.4
11 4.27 26.2 15.6 9.3 5.5 4.1 3.3
12 3.92 26.2 15.6 9.3 5.5 4.1 3.3
13 3.62 26.1 15.5 9.2 5.5 4.0 3.3
14 3.36 25.9 15.4 9.2 5.5 4.0 3.2
15 3.13 24.7 14.7 8.7 5.2 3.8 3.1
16 2.94 23.8 14.1 8.4 5.0 3.7 3.0
17 2.76 23.5 14.0 8.3 4.9 3.6 2.9
18 2.61 23.4 13.9 8.3 4.9 3.6 2.9
19 2.47 21.6 12.8 7.6 4.5 3.3 2.7
20 2.35 21.1 12.5 7.5 4.4 3.3 2.6
21 2.24 21.0 12.5 7.4 4.4 3.3 2.6
22 2.14 19.8 11.8 7.0 4.2 3.1 2.5
23 2.04 19.7 11.7 7.0 4.1 3.1 2.5
24 1.96 19.3 11.5 6.8 4.1 3.0 2.4
25 1.88 18.8 11.2 6.6 3.9 2.9 2.3
26 1.81 18.8 11.2 6.6 3.9 2.9 2.3
27 1.74 18.7 11.1 6.6 3.9 2.9 2.3
28 1.68 18.4 10.9 6.5 3.9 2.9 2.3
29 1.62 18.0 10.7 6.4 3.8 2.8 2.3
30 1.57 17.9 10.6 6.3 3.8 2.8 2.2
31 1.52 17.5 10.4 6.2 3.7 2.7 2.2
32 1.47 16.4 9.7 5.8 3.4 2.5 2.0
33 1.42 16.0 9.5 5.6 3.4 2.5 2.0
34 1.38 15.0 8.9 5.3 3.1 2.3 1.9
35 1.34 14.8 8.8 5.2 3.1 2.3 1.9
36 1.31 14.3 8.5 5.1 3.0 2.2 1.8
37 1.27 14.3 8.5 5.1 3.0 2.2 1.8
38 1.24 14.3 8.5 5.1 3.0 2.2 1.8
39 1.21 13.2 7.8 4.7 2.8 2.0 1.6
40 1.18 13.0 7.8 4.6 2.7 2.0 1.6
41 1.15 12.5 7.4 4.4 2.6 1.9 1.6
42 1.12 12.1 7.2 4.3 2.6 1.9 1.5
43 1.09 11.9 7.1 4.2 2.5 1.8 1.5
44 1.07 11.9 7.1 4.2 2.5 1.8 1.5
45 1.04 8.2 4.9 2.9 1.7 1.3 1.0
46 1.02 8.1 4.8 2.8 1.7 1.2 1.0
METODO BELL

Precipitación Máxima - diferentes períodos de duració


Estación autisha
Taños P.Max Du
24 horas P1060 5
200 41.5953 12.0567259 6.1
100 38.5104 11.2697159 5.2
50 35.3577 10.4572768 4.3
25 32.1146 9.61209422 3.5
10 27.5833 8.41303519 2.6
5 23.8091 7.39560086 2.0
3 20.6677 6.53344947 1.5
2 17.7297 5.71227398 1.2

Intensidades máximas (mm/hora)


Estación Autisha
Taños P.Max Duración en minutos
24 horas 5 10 15 20
200 41.5953 72.6 54.4 44.3 37.9
100 38.5104 61.8 46.3 37.7 32.3
50 35.3577 51.8 38.7 31.6 27.0
25 32.1146 42.4 31.7 25.9 22.1
10 27.5833 31.2 23.3 19.0 16.3
5 23.8091 23.4 17.5 14.3 12.2
3 20.6677 18.1 13.5 11.0 9.4
2 17.7297 14.0 10.5 8.6 7.3

Intensidades máximas ordenadas Estación Autisha


N° orden T (años) Duración en minu
5 10
1 200 72.6 54.4
2 100 61.8 46.3
3 50 51.8 38.7
4 25 42.4 31.7
5 10 31.2 23.3
6 5 23.4 17.5
7 3 18.1 13.5
8 2 14.0 10.5
y x1 x2
T D I log(I) log(D) log(T)
200 5 72.6 1.861 0.699 2.301
100 5 61.8 1.791 0.699 2.000
50 5 51.8 1.714 0.699 1.699
25 5 42.4 1.628 0.699 1.398
10 5 31.2 1.493 0.699 1.000
5 5 23.4 1.369 0.699 0.699
3 5 18.1 1.258 0.699 0.477
2 5 14.0 1.147 0.699 0.301
200 10 54.4 1.735 1.000 2.301
100 10 46.3 1.665 1.000 2.000
50 10 38.7 1.588 1.000 1.699
25 10 31.7 1.502 1.000 1.398
10 10 23.3 1.368 1.000 1.000
5 10 17.5 1.244 1.000 0.699
3 10 13.5 1.132 1.000 0.477
2 10 10.5 1.021 1.000 0.301
200 15 44.3 1.646 1.176 2.301
100 15 37.7 1.577 1.176 2.000
50 15 31.6 1.499 1.176 1.699
25 15 25.9 1.413 1.176 1.398
10 15 19.0 1.279 1.176 1.000
5 15 14.3 1.155 1.176 0.699
3 15 11.0 1.043 1.176 0.477
2 15 8.6 0.932 1.176 0.301
200 20 37.9 1.579 1.301 2.301
100 20 32.3 1.509 1.301 2.000
50 20 27.0 1.432 1.301 1.699
25 20 22.1 1.345 1.301 1.398
10 20 16.3 1.211 1.301 1.000
5 20 12.2 1.087 1.301 0.699
3 20 9.4 0.975 1.301 0.477
2 20 7.3 0.865 1.301 0.301
200 30 30.1 1.478 1.477 2.301
100 30 25.6 1.408 1.477 2.000
50 30 21.4 1.331 1.477 1.699
25 30 17.6 1.245 1.477 1.398
10 30 12.9 1.110 1.477 1.000
5 30 9.7 0.986 1.477 0.699
3 30 7.5 0.875 1.477 0.477
2 30 5.8 0.764 1.477 0.301
200 60 19.7 1.295 1.778 2.301
100 60 16.8 1.226 1.778 2.000
50 60 14.1 1.148 1.778 1.699
25 60 11.5 1.062 1.778 1.398
10 60 8.5 0.928 1.778 1.000
5 60 6.4 0.804 1.778 0.699
3 60 4.9 0.692 1.778 0.477
2 60 3.8 0.581 1.778 0.301
METODO BELL

ima - diferentes períodos de duración (mm)


Estación autisha Distribución
Duración en minutos Probabilística
10 15 20 30 60 Normal
9.1 11.1 12.6 15.0 19.7 Log Normal 2 par
7.7 9.4 10.8 12.8 16.8 Log Normal 3 par
6.5 7.9 9.0 10.7 14.1 Gumbel
5.3 6.5 7.4 8.8 11.5 Pearson
3.9 4.8 5.4 6.4 8.5 Log Pearson
2.9 3.6 4.1 4.8 6.4
2.3 2.8 3.1 3.7 4.9
1.7 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.8

Tr(años)
mas (mm/hora) 200
Autisha 100
minutos 50
30 60 25
30.1 19.7 10
25.6 16.8 5
21.4 14.1 3
17.6 11.5 2
12.9 8.5
9.7 6.4
7.5 4.9
5.8 3.8
Periodo de Retor
áximas ordenadas Estación Autisha(mm/h) 200
Duración en minutos 100
15 20 30 60 50
44.3 37.9 30.1 19.7 25
37.7 32.3 25.6 16.8 10
31.6 27.0 21.4 14.1 5
25.9 22.1 17.6 11.5 3
19.0 16.3 12.9 8.5 2
14.3 12.2 9.7 6.4
11.0 9.4 7.5 4.9
8.6 7.3 5.8 3.8
BELL

aT b
I c
D
log I  log a  c log D  b log T
Y  A0  B0 X 1  C0 X 2

Coeficientes
Intercepción 1.49139412
Variable X 1 -0.52682157
Variable X 2 0.34985899
a=
b=
c=

31.002315T 0.34985899
I
D 0.52682157

Duración (t) Período de Retorno (T) en años


(minutos) 10 20 50
10 20.63 26.29 36.22
20 14.32 18.25 25.14
30 11.56 14.74 20.31
40 9.94 12.66 17.45
50 8.83 11.26 15.51
60 8.03 10.23 14.09
70 7.40 9.43 12.99
80 6.90 8.79 12.11
90 6.48 8.26 11.38
100 6.13 7.81 10.77
110 5.83 7.43 10.24
120 5.57 7.10 9.78

CURVA I-D-F
50.00

45.00

40.00

35.00

30.00
INTENSIDAD

25.00

20.00

15.00

10.00

5.00

0.00
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
DURACION

10 AÑOS 20 AÑOS 50 AÑOS 100 AÑOS


Chi cuadrado Chi cuadrado Los datos se ajustan orden de
calculado X2c calculado X2 t a la distribución ajuste
2.26 7.815 SI 2
2.521 7.815 SI 3
1.738 7.815 SI 1
6.434 7.815 SI 4
229.99 7.815 NO -
100.603 7.815 NO -

P(Pp>Po) P(Pp<Po) Ppmáx(mm)


0.005 0.995 36.81
0.01 0.99 34.08
0.02 0.98 31.29
0.04 0.96 28.42
0.1 0.9 24.41
0.2002 0.7998 21.07
0.3335 0.6665 18.29
0.4997 0.5003 15.69

Ppmáx. Sin correción Pmax. Correcion


36.81 41.5953
34.08 38.5104
31.29 35.3577
28.42 32.1146
24.41 27.5833
21.07 23.8091
18.29 20.6677
15.69 17.7297
 b log T

31.002315
0.3498589908727
0.5268215682373

rno (T) en años


100
46.16
32.04
25.88
22.24
19.77
17.96
16.56
15.44
14.51
13.72
13.05
12.47

100 120 140

100 AÑOS

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