Annee/Mois Janvier Février Mars Avril Mai Juin Juillet

2008 698946 638041 718236 821271 784120 716939 888476

2009 782471 642497 760498 999909 853569 804394 1009367
2010 870694 767514 975288 1112996 924080 937958 1188662
2011 968713 913851 1089179 1102760 1060233 1028911 1241591
2012 925859 887970 1066484 1161178 1088904 1064090 1323625
2013 1043362 995117 1216390 1251333 1255466 1262765 1587234
2014 1206197 1107231 1250160 1407424 1222021 1279706 1687813
2015 1081964 1035573 1167371 1315917 1212113 1245333 1512292
2016 1099282 1004268 1269531 1391086 1382546 1402087 1413756

Ventes
698946
638041
718236
821271
784120 RAPPORT DÉTAILLÉ
716939
888476 Statistiques de la régression
972707 Coefficient d 0.87958068
813992 Coefficient d 0.77366217
730863 Coefficient d 0.74132819
696184 Erreur-type 16563.4829
712995 Observations 9
782471
642497 ANALYSE DE VARIANCE
760498 Degré de liberté
Somme des carrés
Moyenne des carrés
999909 Régression 1 6564408119 6564408119
853569 Résidus 7 1920442762 274348966
804394 Total 8 8484850881
1009367
1111095 Coefficients Erreur-type Statistique t
907950 Constante -6879.2784 31821.2006 -0.21618538
821701 moy 0.13731923 0.02807277 4.89154579
821917
880184
870694
767514
975288
1112996
924080
937958
1188662
1295654
1007962
1038065
962669
1045039
 968713
913851
1089179
1102760
1060233
1028911
1241591
1359673
927334
1121050
1029702
1023464
925859
887970
1066484
1161178
1088904
1064090
1323625
1361028
1014323
1178399
1112587
1165564
1043362
995117
1216390
1251333
1255466
1262765
1587234
1511463
1313590
1398385
1273727
1253009
1206197
1107231
1250160
1407424
1222021
1279706
1687813
1408773
1383552
1377514
1169888
1169639
1081964
1035573
1167371
1315917
1212113
1245333
1512292 2000000
1498327 1800000
1369894 1600000
1321584 1400000
1186176
1200000
1158118
1000000
1099282
1004268 800000
1269531 600000
1391086 400000
1382546 200000
1402087
0
1413756
1804211
1569708
1558858
1264159
1336699
 Août Septembre Octobre Novembre Décembre σ moy
972707 813992 730863 696184 712995 94335.5199591847 766064.16666667
1111095 907950 821701 821917 880184 126647.008039884 866296
1295654 1007962 1038065 962669 1045039 141538.776741704 1010548.4166667
1359673 927334 1121050 1029702 1023464 127176.007627553 1072205.0833333
1361028 1014323 1178399 1112587 1165564 140056.168158258 1112500.9166667
1511463 1313590 1398385 1273727 1253009 167006.147878921 1280153.4166667
1408773 1383552 1377514 1169888 1169639 158174.527732962 1305826.5
1498327 1369894 1321584 1186176 1158118 150275.515660605 1258721.8333333
1804211 1569708 1558858 1264159 1336699 212523.006822345 1374682.5833333

F Valeur critique de F
23.9272202 0.00177012

Limite
Probabilité
inférieure
Limite
pour
supérieure
seuil
Limite
de confiance
pour
inférieure
seuil
Limite
=de95%
pour
confiance
supérieure
seuil de= confiance
95%
pour seuil=de95,0%
confiance = 95,0%
0.83500809 -82124.4611 68365.9043 -82124.4611 68365.9043
0.00177012 0.07093768 0.20370078 0.07093768 0.20370078
Column A
Column A
 T1 T2 T3 T4
2014 112.8 123.6 130.3 115.2
2015 122.1 132.4 138.8 123.4
2016 134.1 145.4 152.5 135.6
2017 138.2 150.3 157.1 140.5

112.8
123.6
130.3
115.2
122.1
132.4
138.8
123.4
134.1
145.4
152.5
135.6
138.2
150.3
157.1
140.5
 Ventes vente estimee st cs Yt v Cs
1 698946 782158.13472647 0.893612134 0.895865262667498 780190.983
2 638041 788404.397871077 0.809281381 0.816805585184516 781141.818
3 718236 794650.661015684 0.903838674 0.965977631098018 743532.745
4 821271 800896.924160292 1.025439074 1.07148227500501 766481.181
5 784120 807143.187304899 0.971475709 0.982565851060414 798033.027
6 716939 813389.450449506 0.881421562 0.967372081966632 741120.209
7 888476 819635.713594114 1.083988881 1.17655039960584 755153.371
8 972707 825881.976738721 1.177779668 1.22003747316252 797276.331
9 813992 832128.239883329 0.978204994 1.00585389118664 809254.711
10 730863 838374.503027936 0.87176196 1.02080082291494 715970.23
11 696184 844620.766172543 0.824256315 0.923437716076495 753904.663
12 712995 850867.029317151 0.837962896 0.942482091042193 756507.744
13 782471 857113.292461758 0.912914322 0.896146903734695 873150.369
14 642497 863359.555606365 0.744182416 0.817746110691025 785692.517
15 760498 869605.818750973 0.874531867 0.973745000695259 781003.24
16 999909 875852.08189558 1.141641403 1.0772376751744 928215.772
17 853569 882098.345040187 0.96765741 0.983952118841436 867490.383
18 804394 888344.608184794 0.905497701 0.978115896951631 822391.296
19 1009367 894590.871329402 1.128300134 1.18812058943257 849549.287
20 1111095 900837.134474009 1.233402751 1.22531969886392 906779.676
21 907950 907083.397618617 1.000955372 1.0093100033203 899574.954
22 821701 913329.660763224 0.899676245 1.03943068077538 790529.869
23 821917 919575.923907831 0.893800043 0.935835391255138 878270.909
24 880184 925822.187052439 0.950705235 0.955546990422102 921131.047
25 870694 932068.450197046 0.934152422 0.893751558312377 974201.378
26 767514 938314.713341653 0.817970761 0.828255209927277 926663.655
27 975288 944560.976486261 1.032530482 0.987918305546052 987215.233
28 1112996 950807.239630868 1.170580065 1.06803714256194 1042094.84
29 924080 957053.502775475 0.965546855 0.986279934378369 936934.807
30 937958 963299.765920083 0.973692752 0.988489925010184 948879.676
31 1188662 969546.02906469 1.225998523 1.19666636877946 993311.111
32 1295654 975792.292209298 1.32779692 1.22416497710849 1058398.19
33 1007962 982038.555353905 1.026397583 1.01050352203283 997484.895
34 1038065 988284.818498512 1.050370278 1.05939560011596 979865.312
35 962669 994531.08164312 0.967962709 0.941840441057229 1022114.74
36 1045039 1000777.34478773 1.044227275 0.956238669754215 1092864.19
37 968713 1007023.60793233 0.961956594 0.887018081070688 1092100.62
38 913851 1013269.87107694 0.901883127 0.829969284771504 1101066.05
39 1089179 1019516.13422155 1.068329341 0.980482942861912 1110859.71
40 1102760 1025762.39736616 1.07506378 1.05094665555372 1049301.59
41 1060233 1032008.66051076 1.027348937 0.989735447550907 1071228.68
42 1028911 1038254.92365537 0.991000357 0.990956120525667 1038301.27
43 1241591 1044501.18679998 1.188692761 1.19177767634299 1041797.5
44 1359673 1050747.44994459 1.29400552 1.20689298665309 1126589.53
45 927334 1056993.71308919 0.877331614 1.00785451180852 920107.009
46 1121050 1063239.9762338 1.054371567 1.06089982039264 1056697.32
47 1029702 1069486.23937841 0.962800607 0.937486729728737 1098364.35
48 1023464 1075732.50252302 0.951411245 0.941573902151536 1086971.5
49 925859 1081978.76566762 0.85570903 0.872030378477712 1061727.92
50 887970 1088225.02881223 0.81598013 0.815586516290623 1088750.22
51 1066484 1094471.29195684 0.974428482 0.96291366319737 1107559.32
52 1161178 1100717.55510144 1.05492821 1.04612323072185 1109982.04
53 1088904 1106963.81824605 0.983685268 0.98221274972902 1108623.36
54 1064090 1113210.08139066 0.955875282 0.990947273230701 1073810.92
55 1323625 1119456.34453527 1.182381972 1.19239465933596 1110056.13
56 1361028 1125702.60767987 1.209047568 1.18947048005113 1144230.16
57 1014323 1131948.87082448 0.896085527 1.03395909142554 981008.831
58 1178399 1138195.13396909 1.035322472 1.06220547104083 1109388.94
59 1112587 1144441.3971137 0.972165987 0.93242395435895 1193220.1
60 1165564 1150687.6602583 1.012928217 0.939606433491186 1240481.08
61 1043362 1156933.92340291 0.901833699 0.876110715608701 1190902
62 995117 1163180.18654752 0.855514057 0.815488112973426 1220271.62
63 1216390 1169426.44969213 1.040159473 0.96003495840856 1267026.78
64 1251333 1175672.71283673 1.064354889 1.04392198592928 1198684.4
65 1255466 1181918.97598134 1.06222679 0.981844620210434 1278680.94
66 1262765 1188165.23912595 1.062785679 0.999715271144946 1263124.65
67 1587234 1194411.50227055 1.32888372 1.19489783121897 1328342.86
68 1511463 1200657.76541516 1.25886247 1.18457620808759 1275952.52
69 1313590 1206904.02855977 1.0883964 1.06842748263128 1229461.07
70 1398385 1213150.29170438 1.152689003 1.06892622073937 1308214.7
71 1273727 1219396.55484898 1.04455519 0.922488446283598 1380751.17
72 1253009 1225642.81799359 1.022328024 0.921275987620358 1360079.95
73 1206197 1231889.0811382 0.97914416 0.867536387708176 1390370.5
74 1107231 1238135.34428281 0.894272993 0.802146131750243 1380335.77
75 1250160 1244381.60742741 1.004643586 0.933326786770911 1339466.54
76 1407424 1250627.87057202 1.125373929 1.0371110181743 1357062.05
77 1222021 1256874.13371663 0.972269989 0.955050563584791 1279535.39
78 1279706 1263120.39686124 1.013130659 0.978691801980188 1307567.92
79 1687813 1269366.66000584 1.329649701 1.1502358683891 1467362.52
80 1408773 1275612.92315045 1.104389094 1.15981412083765 1214654.12
81 1383552 1281859.18629506 1.079332281 1.06177117679473 1303060.42
82 1377514 1288105.44943967 1.069410894 1.04100529338342 1323253.6
83 1169888 1294351.71258427 0.903840887 0.881799531721202 1326705.17
84 1169639 1300597.97572888 0.899308643 0.887591975561579 1317766.53
85 1081964 1306844.23887349 0.827921161 0.811732501385395 1332907.08
86 1035573 1313090.50201809 0.78865318 0.756082701153984 1369655.72
87 1167371 1319336.7651627 0.884816546 0.897668387332487 1300447.93
88 1315917 1325583.02830731 0.992708093 0.992979562930377 1325220.63
89 1212113 1331829.29145192 0.910111384 0.946440850942051 1280706.55
 90 1245333 1338075.55459652 0.930689598 0.961472373497344 1295235.34
91 1512292 1344321.81774113 1.124947896 1.0605289520585 1425978.99
92 1498327 1350568.08088574 1.109405013 1.18752663444965 1261720.75
93 1369894 1356814.34403035 1.009639975 1.05299062448328 1300955.55
94 1321584 1363060.60717495 0.969570974 1.02680249317276 1287086.86
95 1186176 1369306.87031956 0.866260168 0.870778854078766 1362201.2
96 1158118 1375553.13346417 0.841928946 0.881733642088904 1313455.61
97 1099282 1381799.39660878 0.795543841 0.795543841383827 1381799.4
98 1004268 1388045.65975338 0.723512222 0.723512222341757 1388045.66
99 1269531 1394291.92289799 0.910520228 0.910520228333046 1394291.92
100 1391086 1400538.1860426 0.993251033 0.993251032969472 1400538.19
101 1382546 1406784.44918721 0.982770318 0.982770317655125 1406784.45
102 1402087 1413030.71233181 0.992255149 0.992255148995486 1413030.71
103 1413756 1419276.97547642 0.996110008 0.996110008425546 1419276.98
104 1804211 1425523.23862103 1.265648255 1.26564825540501 1425523.24
105 1569708 1431769.50176563 1.096341274 1.09634127425138 1431769.5
106 1558858 1438015.76491024 1.084034013 1.08403401272677 1438015.76
107 1264159 1444262.02805485 0.87529754 0.875297539811793 1444262.03
108 1336699 1450508.29119946 0.921538338 0.921538338050212 1450508.29
ord a orig 775911.872 775911.872
pente 6246.26314 6246.26314