Weekly demand of a single spare part

Absolute
Week Demand Forecast (LT) Error error
1 294 281.80
2 285 286.21
3 267 290.63
4 289 295.04
5 332 299.46
6 368 303.88
7 356 308.29
8 369 312.71
9 320 317.12
10 391 321.54
11 370 325.95
12 390 330.37
13 394 334.79
14 356 339.20
15 331 343.62
16 292 348.03
17 333 352.45
18 297 356.87
19 389 361.28
20 333 365.70
21 315 370.11
22 310 374.53
23 289 378.95
24 349 383.36
25 450 387.78
26 405 392.19
27 357 396.61
28 422 401.03
29 335 405.44
30 377 409.86
31 388 414.27
32 393 418.69
33 398 423.10
34 366 427.52
35 382 431.94
36 439 436.35
37 464 440.77
38 453 445.18
39 412 449.60
40 435 454.02
41 477 458.43
 42 428 462.85
43 462 467.26
44 472 471.68
45 436 476.10
46 442 480.51
47 471 484.93
48 498 489.34
49 512 493.76
50 554 498.18
51 541 502.59
52 528 507.01
53 547 511.42
54 598 515.84
55 529 520.25
56 522 524.67
57 523 529.09
58 510 533.50
59 588 537.92
60 591 542.33
61 546.75

y = 4.4159x + 277.38 MAD

b1 b0 Mean absolute deviation
4.4159 277.38 Mean square
Squared Absolute
error % error

Demand
700

600

500 f(x) = 4.41589330369547 x + 277.381920903955

400

300

200

100

0
0 10 20 30 40 50
 MSE MAPE

Mean squared error

Mean absolute percent error
nd

903955

40 50 60 70