date confirm deaths recovery

26/02/2020 2 0 0
27/02/2020 2 0 0
28/02/2020 2 0 0
29/02/2020 4 0 0
01/03/2020 4 0 0
02/03/2020 4 0 0
03/03/2020 5 0 0
04/03/2020 5 0 0
05/03/2020 6 0 0
06/03/2020 6 0 1
07/03/2020 6 0 1
08/03/2020 7 0 1
09/03/2020 16 0 1
10/03/2020 19 0 1
11/03/2020 20 0 2
12/03/2020 21 0 2
13/03/2020 28 0 3
14/03/2020 31 0 3
15/03/2020 53 0 3
16/03/2020 187 0 4
17/03/2020 241 0 4
18/03/2020 302 2 5
19/03/2020 461 2 5
20/03/2020 495 3 5
21/03/2020 646 3 5
22/03/2020 784 5 6
23/03/2020 887 6 6
24/03/2020 991 7 18
25/03/2020 1,057 8 21
26/03/2020 1,197 9 23
27/03/2020 1,408 11 26
28/03/2020 1,526 13 28
29/03/2020 1,625 18 32
30/03/2020 1,865 25 58
31/03/2020 2,039 26 82
01/04/2020 2,291 31 107
02/04/2020 2,450 35 126
03/04/2020 2,708 40 130
04/04/2020 2,880 45 170
05/04/2020 3,287 50 257
06/04/2020 3,864 54 429
07/04/2020 4,074 58 467
08/04/2020 4,317 63 572
09/04/2020 4,598 66 727
10/04/2020 4,784 71 762
11/04/2020 5,038 86 1,026
12/04/2020 5,374 93 1,095
13/04/2020 5,716 96 1,378
14/04/2020 5,985 107 1,446
15/04/2020 6,528 124 1,645
16/04/2020 7,016 135 1,765
17/04/2020 7,479 143 1,832
18/04/2020 7,993 159 1,868
19/04/2020 8,420 176 1,970
20/04/2020 9,216 192 2,066
21/04/2020 9,771 209 2,156
22/04/2020 10,513 224 2,337
23/04/2020 11,155 237 2,527
24/04/2020 11,940 253 2,755
25/04/2020 12,723 269 2,866
26/04/2020 13,328 281 3,029
27/04/2020 14,079 301 3,233
28/04/2020 14,885 327 3,425
29/04/2020 15,827 361 4,052
30/04/2020 16,817 385 4,315
01/05/2020 18,114 417 4,715
02/05/2020 19,103 440 4,817
03/05/2020 20,186 462 5,590
04/05/2020 21,501 486 5,782
05/05/2020 22,550 526 6,217
06/05/2020 24,073 564 6,464
07/05/2020 25,837 594 7,530
08/05/2020 27,474 618 7,756
09/05/2020 29,465 639 8,023
10/05/2020 30,941 668 8,212
11/05/2020 32,081 706 8,555
12/05/2020 34,336 737 8,812
13/05/2020 35,788 770 9,695
14/05/2020 37,218 803 10,155
15/05/2020 38,799 834 10,880
16/05/2020 40,151 873 11,341
17/05/2020 42,125 903 11,922
18/05/2020 43,966 939 12,489
19/05/2020 45,898 985 13,101
20/05/2020 48,091 1,017 14,155
21/05/2020 50,694 1,067 15,201
22/05/2020 52,437 1,101 16,653
23/05/2020 54,601 1,133 17,198
24/05/2020 56,349 1,167 17,482
25/05/2020 57,705 1,197 18,314
26/05/2020 59,151 1,225 19,142
27/05/2020 61,392 1,260 20,231
28/05/2020 64,028 1,317 22,305
29/05/2020 66,457 1,395 24,131
30/05/2020 69,496 1,483 25,271
31/05/2020 76,332 1,621 27,110
01/06/2020 80,576 1,688 28,923
02/06/2020 84,353 1,770 30,128
03/06/2020 89,249 1,838 31,198
04/06/2020 93,983 1,935 32,581
05/06/2020 98,943 2,002 33,465
06/06/2020 103,671 2,067 34,355
07/06/2020 108,317 2,172 35,018
08/06/2020 113,702 2,255 36,308
09/06/2020 119,536 2,356 38,391
10/06/2020 125,933 2,463 40,247
11/06/2020 132,405 2,551 50,056
12/06/2020 139,230 2,632 51,735
13/06/2020 144,478 2,728 53,721
14/06/2020 148,921 2,839 56,390
15/06/2020 154,760 2,975 58,437
16/06/2020 160,118 3,093 59,215
17/06/2020 165,062 3,229 61,383
18/06/2020 171,666 3,382 63,504
19/06/2020 176,617 3,501 67,892
20/06/2020 181,088 3,590 71,458
21/06/2020 185,034 3,695 73,471
22/06/2020 188,926 3,755 77,754
23/06/2020 192,970 3,903 81,307
24/06/2020 195,745 3,961 84,168
25/06/2020 198,883 4,035 86,906
26/06/2020 202,955 4,118 92,624
27/06/2020 206,491 4,186 95,407
28/06/2020 209,337 4,304 98,503
29/06/2020 213,470 4,395 100,802
30/06/2020 217,809 4,473 104,694
01/07/2020 221,896 4,551 113,623
02/07/2020 225,283 4,619 125,094
03/07/2020 228,474 4,712 129,830
04/07/2020 231,818 4,762 131,649
05/07/2020 234,509 4,839 134,957
06/07/2020 237,489 4,922 140,965
07/07/2020 240,848 4,983 145,311
08/07/2020 243,599 5,058 149,092
09/07/2020 246,351 5,123 153,134
10/07/2020 248,856 5,197 156,700
11/07/2020 251,625 5,270 161,917
12/07/2020 253,604 5,319 170,656
13/07/2020 255,769 5,386 172,810
14/07/2020 257,914 5,426 178,737
15/07/2020 259,999 5,475 183,737
16/07/2020 261,917 5,522 198,509
17/07/2020 263,496 5,568 204,276
18/07/2020 265,083 5,599 205,929
19/07/2020 266,096 5,639 208,030
20/07/2020 267,428 5,677 210,468
21/07/2020 269,191 5,709 213,175
22/07/2020 270,400 5,763 219,783
23/07/2020 271,887 5,787 236,596
24/07/2020 273,113 5,822 237,434
25/07/2020 274,289 5,842 241,026
26/07/2020 275,225 5,865 242,436
27/07/2020 276,288 5,892 244,883
28/07/2020 277,402 5,924 246,131
29/07/2020 278,305 5,951 247,177
30/07/2020 279,146 5,970 248,027
31/07/2020 279,699 5,976 248,577
01/08/2020 280,029 5,984 248,873
02/08/2020 280,461 5,999 249,397
03/08/2020 281,136 6,014 254,286
04/08/2020 281,863 6,035 256,058
05/08/2020 282,645 6,052 258,099
06/08/2020 283,487 6,068 259,604
07/08/2020 284,121 6,082 260,248
08/08/2020 284,660 6,097 260,764
09/08/2020 285,191 6,112 261,246
10/08/2020 285,921 6,129 263,193
11/08/2020 286,674 6,139 264,060
12/08/2020 287,300 6,153 265,215
13/08/2020 288,047 6,162 265,624
14/08/2020 288,717 6,168 266,301
15/08/2020 289,215 6,175 269,087
16/08/2020 289,832 6,190 270,009
17/08/2020 290,445 6,201 272,128
18/08/2020 290,958 6,209 272,804
19/08/2020 291,588 6,219 273,579
20/08/2020 292,174 6,231 275,317
21/08/2020 292,765 6,235 275,836
22/08/2020 293,261 6,244 276,829
23/08/2020 293,711 6,255 278,425
24/08/2020 294,193 6,267 278,939
25/08/2020 294,638 6,274 279,561
26/08/2020 295,053 6,283 279,937
27/08/2020 295,372 6,284 280,340
28/08/2020 295,636 6,288 280,547
29/08/2020 295,849 6,294 280,682
30/08/2020 296,149 6,298 280,970
31/08/2020 296,590 6,318 281,459
01/09/2020 297,014 6,328 281,925
02/09/2020 297,512 6,335 282,268
03/09/2020 298,025 6,340 282,553
04/09/2020 298,509 6,342 285,898
05/09/2020 298,903 6,345 286,016
06/09/2020 299,233 6,350 286,157
07/09/2020 299,414 6,359 286,506
08/09/2020 299,823 6,365 287,950
09/09/2020 300,371 6,370 288,206
10/09/2020 300,955 6,373 288,536
11/09/2020 301,481 6,379 289,429
12/09/2020 302,020 6,383 289,806
13/09/2020 302,424 6,389 290,261
14/09/2020 303,089 6,393 290,760
15/09/2020 303,634 6,399 291,169
16/09/2020 304,386 6,408 291,683
17/09/2020 305,031 6,415 292,044
18/09/2020 305,671 6,416 292,303
19/09/2020 306,304 6,420 292,869
20/09/2020 306,886 6,424 293,159
21/09/2020 307,418 6,432 293,916
22/09/2020 308,217 6,437 294,392
23/09/2020 309,015 6,444 294,740
24/09/2020 309,581 6,451 295,333
25/09/2020 310,275 6,457 295,613
26/09/2020 310,844 6,466 296,022
27/09/2020 311,516 6,474 296,340
28/09/2020 312,263 6,479 296,881
29/09/2020 312,806 6,484 297,497
30/09/2020 313,431 6,499 298,055
01/10/2020 313,984 6,507 298,593
02/10/2020 314,616 6,513 298,986
03/10/2020 315,260 6,517 299,836
04/10/2020 315,727 6,523 300,616
05/10/2020 316,351 6,535 301,288
06/10/2020 316,934 6,544 302,374
07/10/2020 317,595 6,552 302,708
08/10/2020 318,266 6,558 303,062
09/10/2020 318,932 6,570 303,458
10/10/2020 319,317 6,580 304,185
11/10/2020 319,848 6,588 304,609
12/10/2020 320,463 6,601 305,080
13/10/2020 321,218 6,614 305,395
14/10/2020 321,877 6,621 305,835
15/10/2020 322,452 6,638 306,640
16/10/2020 323,019 6,654 307,069
17/10/2020 323,452 6,659 307,409
18/10/2020 324,084 6,673 308,020
19/10/2020 324,744 6,692 308,674
20/10/2020 325,480 6,702 309,136
21/10/2020 326,216 6,715 309,646
22/10/2020 327,063 6,727 310,101
23/10/2020 327,895 6,736 310,491
24/10/2020 328,602 6,739 311,075
25/10/2020 329,375 6,745 311,440
26/10/2020 330,200 6,759 311,814
27/10/2020 331,108 6,775 312,638
28/10/2020 332,186 6,795 313,527
29/10/2020 332,993 6,806 314,066
30/10/2020 333,970 6,823 314,555
31/10/2020 335,093 6,835 315,016
01/11/2020 336,260 6,849 315,446
02/11/2020 337,573 6,867 316,060
03/11/2020 338,875 6,893 316,665
04/11/2020 340,251 6,923 317,086
05/11/2020 341,753 6,943 317,898
06/11/2020 343,189 6,968 318,417
07/11/2020 344,839 6,977 318,881
08/11/2020 346,476 7,000 319,431
09/11/2020 348,184 7,021 320,065
10/11/2020 349,992 7,055 320,849
11/11/2020 352,296 7,092 321,563
12/11/2020 354,461 7,109 322,414
13/11/2020 356,904 7,141 323,225
14/11/2020 359,032 7,160 323,824
15/11/2020 361,082 7,193 324,834
16/11/2020 363,380 7,230 325,788
17/11/2020 365,927 7,248 326,674
18/11/2020 368,665 7,561 327,542
19/11/2020 371,508 7,603 328,931
20/11/2020 374,173 7,662 329,828
21/11/2020 376,929 7,696 330,885
22/11/2020 379,883 7,744 331,760
23/11/2020 382,892 7,803 332,974
24/11/2020 386,198 7,843 334,392
25/11/2020 389,311 7,897 335,881
26/11/2020 392,356 7,942 337,553
27/11/2020 395,185 7,985 339,810
28/11/2020 398,024 8,025 341,423
29/11/2020 400,482 8,091 343,286
30/11/2020 403,311 8,166 345,365
01/12/2020 406,810 8,205 346,951
02/12/2020 410,072 8,260 350,305
03/12/2020 413,191 8,303 352,529
04/12/2020 416,499 8,361 355,012
05/12/2020 420,294 8,398 356,542
06/12/2020 423,179 8,487 370,474
07/12/2020 426,142 8,547 372,271
08/12/2020 429,280 8,603 374,301
09/12/2020 432,327 8,653 379,092
10/12/2020 435,056 8,724 381,208
11/12/2020 438,425 8,796 383,000
12/12/2020 440,787 8,832 384,719
13/12/2020 443,246 8,905 386,333
14/12/2020 445,977 9,010 388,598
15/12/2020 448,522 9,080 396,591
16/12/2020 451,494 9,164 399,852
17/12/2020 454,673 9,250 404,501
18/12/2020 457,288 9,330 407,405
19/12/2020 458,968 9,392 409,085
20/12/2020 460,672 9,474 410,937
21/12/2020 462,814 9,557 415,352
22/12/2020 465,070 9,668 417,134
23/12/2020 467,222 9,753 418,958
24/12/2020 469,482 9,816 420,489
25/12/2020 471,335 9,874 422,132
26/12/2020 473,309 9,929 423,892
27/12/2020 475,085 9,992 425,494
28/12/2020 477,240 10,047 430,113
29/12/2020 479,715 10,105 435,073
30/12/2020 482,178 10,176 437,229
31/12/2020 484,362 10,258 438,974
01/01/2021 486,634 10,311 440,660
02/01/2021 488,529 10,350 442,457
03/01/2021 490,476 10,409 444,360
04/01/2021 492,594 10,461 448,393
05/01/2021 495,075 10,511 450,515
06/01/2021 497,510 10,558 453,828
07/01/2021 499,517 10,598 455,445
08/01/2021 502,416 10,644 456,969
09/01/2021 504,293 10,676 458,371
10/01/2021 506,701 10,717 461,977
11/01/2021 508,824 10,772 464,950
12/01/2021 511,921 10,818 467,234
13/01/2021 514,338 10,863 469,306
14/01/2021 516,770 10,908 472,099
15/01/2021 519,291 10,951 473,639
16/01/2021 521,211 10,997 475,228
17/01/2021 523,011 11,055 476,471
18/01/2021 524,783 11,103 478,517
19/01/2021 527,146 11,157 480,969
20/01/2021 528,891 11,204 482,771
21/01/2021 530,818 11,247 484,508
22/01/2021 532,412 11,295 486,489
23/01/2021 534,041 11,318 488,903
24/01/2021 535,914 11,376 490,126
25/01/2021 537,477 11,450 492,207
26/01/2021 539,387 11,514 494,578
27/01/2021 541,031 11,560 496,745
28/01/2021 543,214 11,623 498,152
29/01/2021 544,813 11,657 499,974
30/01/2021 546,428 11,683 501,252
31/01/2021 547,648 11,746 502,537
01/02/2021 549,032 11,802 504,046
02/02/2021 550,540 11,833 505,818
03/02/2021 551,842 11,886 507,502
04/02/2021 553,128 11,914 508,700
05/02/2021 554,474 11,967 510,242
06/02/2021 555,511 12,026 511,502
07/02/2021 556,519 12,066 512,943
08/02/2021 557,591 12,128 514,951
09/02/2021 559,093 12,185 516,683
10/02/2021 560,363 12,218 518,164
11/02/2021 561,625 12,276 523,700
12/02/2021 563,029 12,307 525,087
13/02/2021 563,866 12,333 525,997
14/02/2021 564,824 12,380 527,061
15/02/2021 565,989 12,436 528,545
16/02/2021 567,261 12,488 530,597
17/02/2021 568,506 12,527 531,840
18/02/2021 569,845 12,563 533,202
19/02/2021 571,174 12,601 534,107
20/02/2021 572,334 12,617 535,491
21/02/2021 573,384 12,658 536,243
22/02/2021 574,580 12,708 538,207
23/02/2021 575,941 12,772 539,888
24/02/2021 577,482 12,804 542,393
25/02/2021 578,797 12,837 544,406
26/02/2021 579,973 12,860 545,277
27/02/2021 581,365 12,896 546,371
28/02/2021 582,528 12,938 547,406
01/03/2021 583,916 13,013 554,255
02/03/2021 585,435 13,076 555,242
03/03/2021 587,014 13,128 556,769
04/03/2021 588,728 13,166 558,210
05/03/2021 590,508 13,205 559,248
06/03/2021 592,100 13,227 560,458
07/03/2021 593,453 13,281 563,823
08/03/2021 595,239 13,324 565,216
09/03/2021 597,497 13,377 566,492
10/03/2021 600,198 13,430 568,065
11/03/2021 602,536 13,476 569,296
12/03/2021 605,200 13,508 570,571
13/03/2021 607,453 13,537 571,818
14/03/2021 609,964 13,595 573,014
15/03/2021 612,315 13,656 575,867
16/03/2021 615,810 13,717 577,501
17/03/2021 619,259 13,757 578,314
18/03/2021 623,135 13,799 579,760
19/03/2021 626,802 13,843 581,852
20/03/2021 630,471 13,863 583,538
21/03/2021 633,741 13,935 585,271
22/03/2021 637,042 13,965 586,228
23/03/2021 640,988 14,028 588,975
24/03/2021 645,356 14,091 591,145
25/03/2021 649,824 14,158 593,282
26/03/2021 654,591 14,215 595,929
27/03/2021 659,116 14,256 598,197
28/03/2021 663,200 14,356 600,278
29/03/2021 667,957 14,434 603,126
30/03/2021 672,931 14,530 605,274
31/03/2021 678,165 14,613 607,205
01/04/2021 682,888 14,697 609,691
02/04/2021 687,908 14,778 613,058
03/04/2021 692,231 14,821 615,960
04/04/2021 696,184 14,924 618,158
05/04/2021 700,188 15,026 620,789
06/04/2021 705,517 15,124 623,399
07/04/2021 710,829 15,229 625,789
08/04/2021 715,968 15,329 627,561
09/04/2021 721,018 15,443 631,700
10/04/2021 725,602 15,501 634,835
11/04/2021 729,742 15,619 638,267
12/04/2021 734,423 15,754 641,912
13/04/2021 739,818 15,872 646,652
14/04/2021 745,182 15,982 650,775
15/04/2021 750,158 16,094 654,956
16/04/2021 756,285 16,243 659,483
17/04/2021 761,437 16,316 662,845
18/04/2021 766,882 16,453 667,131
19/04/2021 772,381 16,600 672,619
20/04/2021 778,238 16,698 676,605
21/04/2021 784,108 16,842 682,290
22/04/2021 790,016 16,999 686,488
23/04/2021 795,627 17,117 689,812
24/04/2021 800,452 17,187 694,046
25/04/2021 804,939 17,329 699,816
26/04/2021 810,231 17,530 704,494
27/04/2021 815,711 17,680 708,193
28/04/2021 820,823 17,811 711,465
29/04/2021 825,519 17,957 717,009
30/04/2021 829,933 18,070 722,202
01/05/2021 834,146 18,149 728,044
02/05/2021 837,523 18,310 733,062
03/05/2021 841,635 18,429 738,727
04/05/2021 845,833 18,537 743,124
05/05/2021 850,131 18,677 747,755
06/05/2021 854,240 18,797 752,712
07/05/2021 858,026 18,915 757,281
08/05/2021 861,473 18,993 762,105
09/05/2021 864,569 19,106 766,492
10/05/2021 867,438 19,210 771,692
11/05/2021 870,703 19,856 776,315
12/05/2021 873,220 19,384 780,438
13/05/2021 874,751 19,467 783,480
14/05/2021 877,130 19,543 788,768
15/05/2021 880,362 19,617 792,522
16/05/2021 882,928 19,752 795,511
17/05/2021 886,184 19,856 799,951
18/05/2021 890,391 19,987 804,122
19/05/2021 893,461 20,089 810,143
20/05/2021 897,468 20,177 813,855
21/05/2021 900,552 20,251 817,681
2
Forecast_Model_Chart
ARIMA Ti
95.0

20000.00

15000.00
Forecast: deaths

10000.00

5000.00

0.00
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 2 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20
/20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /2
2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9
6 /0 4/0 1/0 8/0 5/0 1/0 8/0 5/0 2/0 9/0 6/0 3/0 0/0 7/0 3/0 0/0 7/0 4/0 1/0 8/0 5/0 2/0 9/0 5/0 2/0 9/0 6/0 2/0 9/0 6/0 3
2 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 2

ARIMA Model: deaths - Model Automatically Selected

Model Periods: All observations are used in the ARIMA model estimation. No withhold periods available for out-

ARIMA Model Summary Parameter Estimates

AR Order (p) 3 Term Coefficient
I Order (d) 2 AR_1 -0.474626338724
MA Order (q) 1 AR_2 -0.206904919067
SAR Order (P) 0 AR_3 -0.093678454083
SI Order (D) 0 MA_1 0.782602382452
SMA Order (Q) 0
Seasonal Frequency 1
Include Constant 0
No. of Predictors 0
Model Selection Criterion AICc
Box-Cox Transformation N/A
Lambda
Threshold
 3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
451
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
-0.474626
-0.206905
-0.093678
0.7826024
 ARIMA Time Series Forecasting Chart
95.0% Prediction Intervals

0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 2 0 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 20 2 0 20 20 20 21 21 21 2 1 21 2 1 21 21 21 21 2 1 21 21 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 8/2 8/2 8/2 8/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 0/2 0/2 0/2 0/2 1/2 1/2 1/2 1/2 2/2 2/2 2/2 2/2 2/2 1/2 1/2 1/2 1/2 2/2 2/2 2/2 2/2 3/2 3/2 3/2 3/2 3/2 4/2 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 / 0 8 / 1 5 / 22 / 2 9 / 05 / 12 / 19 / 26 / 0 2 / 09 / 1 6 / 2 3 / 30 / 0 7 / 14 / 2 1 / 2 8 / 0 4 / 1 1 / 18 / 2 5 / 02 / 09 / 16 / 23 / 3 0 / 06 / 1 3 / 20 / 27 / 0 3 / 10 / 1 7 / 24 / 0 3 / 1 0 / 17 / 2 4 / 31 / 07 / 14 / 2

date

. No withhold periods available for out-of-sample forecast accuracy evaluation.

Parameter Estimates ARIMA Model Statistics

SE Coefficient T P No. of Observations 451
0.0561030400339527 8.4599041 0.0000 DF 445
0.0617875383005057 3.3486513 0.0009 StDev 42.269224056
0.0528855520488576 1.771343 0.0772 Variance 1786.6873023
0.0333514395514015 23.465325 0.0000 Log-Likelihood -2317.2188347
AICc 4644.5731096
AIC 4644.4376694
BIC 4664.9727838
 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 2 202 2 02 20 2 2 02 20 2 202 2 02 20 2 202 20 2 202 20 2 20 2 2 02 20 2
/ / / / / / / / / / / / / / /
02 /02 /02 /03 /03 /03 /03 /03 /04 /04 /04 /04 /05 /05 /05
1 7 24 0 3 1 0 17 2 4 31 07 14 21 28 05 1 2 19

Forecast Accuracy
In-Sample (Estimation) Out-of-Sample (Withhold) Period
Metric
One-Step-Ahead Forecast Multi-Step-Ahead Forecast 452
N 449 453
RMSE 42.0805212306339 454
MAE 16.7557465733439 455
MAPE 1.25003309883806 456
MASE 0.355748334890528 457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
 Forecast Table
Withhold Data Multi-Step-Ahead Forecast Lower 95.0% PI Upper 95.0% PI
20357.9845141938 20274.91493579 20441.0540926
20453.5218764053 20350.0440804 20556.99967241
20548.9791985685 20422.50731562 20675.45108152
20643.7530436028 20492.92294705 20794.58314015
20739.9401970655 20561.43296662 20918.44742751
20835.6054699313 20628.89387864 21042.31706123
20931.2900476889 20694.98582272 21167.59427266
21026.9410459504 20759.78559262 21294.09649928
21122.6528766156 20823.35430059 21421.95145264
21218.3409739303 20885.74843656 21550.9335113
 21314.03089487 20946.99889821 21681.06289153
21409.7191621306 21007.14241599 21812.29590827
21505.4100602575 21066.21281693 21944.60730359
21601.0998810259 21124.24030987 22077.95945218
21696.7898237119 21181.25258 22212.32706743
21792.4796849879 21237.2753999 22347.68397008
21888.1696606032 21292.3327401 22484.00658111
21983.8595873731 21346.44686396 22621.27231079
22079.5495212953 21399.63859104 22759.46045155
22175.2394512181 21451.92742988 22898.55147256
22270.929386135 21503.33171256 23038.52705971
22366.6193188391 21553.8687006 23179.36993708
22462.3092519348 21603.55468941 23321.06381446
22557.9991848346 21652.4050929 23463.59327677
$C$1
Sheet1 -0.474626 0.056103
$A$1 -0.206905 0.0617875
-0.093678 0.0528856
0.7826024 0.0333514
8.4599041 3.888E-16
3.3486513 0.0008811 $A$1
1.771343 0.077188
23.465325 7.753E-80

date
 1 0.0640708
2 0.2084697
3 0.8126502
4 2.873518
5 3.3156115 0.0686248
6 3.8479119 0.1460281
7 6.8395929 0.0771901
8 9.1458085 0.0575565
9 9.8330518 0.0801062
10 10.947339 0.0900177
11 11.420845 0.1212863
12 12.955263 0.1133982
13 13.99311 0.1225705
14 18.28259 0.0503798
15 19.518204 0.0524026
16 20.637403 0.055949
17 22.403858 0.0494116
18 22.887693 0.0621219
19 23.962703 0.0657296
20 24.152545 0.0862253
21 24.193816 0.1142638
22 24.498628 0.139361
23 24.884031 0.164395
24 27.303314 0.1269441
25 27.371902 0.1588797
26 27.39897 0.1964635
27 27.460102 0.2368885
 1 0.9917794 0 -0.09254 0.09254 1
2 0.9835407 0 -0.159407 0.1594068 2
3 0.9752741 0 -0.204887 0.2048869 3
4 0.966996 0 -0.241391 0.2413907 4
5 0.9587347 0 -0.272552 0.2725525 5
6 0.9504625 0 -0.300046 0.3000463 6
7 0.942212 0 -0.324808 0.324808 7
8 0.933923 0 -0.347427 0.3474266 8
9 0.9255991 0 -0.368299 0.3682986 9
10 0.9172471 0 -0.387708 0.3877079 10
11 0.9083439 0 -0.405866 0.4058662 11
12 0.899948 0 -0.422917 0.4229171 12
13 0.891547 0 -0.439011 0.4390107 13
14 0.8831526 0 -0.454251 0.4542512 14
15 0.8747285 0 -0.468725 0.4687246 15
16 0.8663153 0 -0.482501 0.4825015 16
17 0.8579204 0 -0.495643 0.4956427 17
18 0.8495651 0 -0.508201 0.5082006 18
19 0.8412146 0 -0.520221 0.5202208 19
20 0.8328813 0 -0.531742 0.5317421 20
21 0.8246085 0 -0.542799 0.542799 21
22 0.8163207 0 -0.553423 0.553423 22
23 0.808048 0 -0.56364 0.5636402 23
24 0.7998262 0 -0.573475 0.5734748 24
25 0.7916449 0 -0.582949 0.5829495 25
26 0.7835188 0 -0.592084 0.5920843 26
27 0.7755007 0 -0.600898 0.6008979 27
0.9917794 0 -0.09254 0.09254 1 -0.011906 0 -0.092747 0.092747 1
-0.005238 0 -0.09254 0.09254 2 -0.017854 0 -0.09276 0.0927601 2
-0.005852 0 -0.09254 0.09254 3 -0.036479 0 -0.09279 0.0927897 3
-0.004889 0 -0.09254 0.09254 4 -0.067297 0 -0.092913 0.092913 4
-0.003176 0 -0.09254 0.09254 5 0.0311342 0 -0.093331 0.0933313 5
-0.004882 0 -0.09254 0.09254 6 0.0341247 0 -0.093421 0.0934206 6
-0.002913 0 -0.09254 0.09254 7 0.0808086 0 -0.093528 0.0935278 7
-0.006604 0 -0.09254 0.09254 8 0.0708692 0 -0.094126 0.0941264 8
-0.006419 0 -0.09254 0.09254 9 0.0386429 0 -0.094584 0.0945843 9
-0.006025 0 -0.09254 0.09254 10 -0.04915 0 -0.09472 0.09472 10
-0.038018 0 -0.09254 0.09254 11 0.0320028 0 -0.094939 0.0949391 11
0.0264354 0 -0.09254 0.09254 12 0.0575441 0 -0.095032 0.0950319 12
-0.004718 0 -0.09254 0.09254 13 0.0472714 0 -0.095331 0.0953312 13
-0.004096 0 -0.09254 0.09254 14 0.0959921 0 -0.095533 0.0955326 14
-0.006382 0 -0.09254 0.09254 15 0.0514606 0 -0.096359 0.0963587 15
-0.00372 0 -0.09254 0.09254 16 -0.04892 0 -0.096595 0.0965948 16
-0.003491 0 -0.09254 0.09254 17 -0.061388 0 -0.096808 0.0968077 17
-0.001859 0 -0.09254 0.09254 18 0.0320904 0 -0.097142 0.097142 18
-0.004242 0 -0.09254 0.09254 19 0.0477781 0 -0.097233 0.0972331 19
-0.003503 0 -0.09254 0.09254 20 0.0200546 0 -0.097435 0.0974349 20
0.0001728 0 -0.09254 0.09254 21 0.0093397 0 -0.09747 0.0974704 21
-0.007534 0 -0.09254 0.09254 22 0.0253524 0 -0.097478 0.0974781 22
-0.00267 0 -0.09254 0.09254 23 -0.028474 0 -0.097535 0.0975348 23
-0.001503 0 -0.09254 0.09254 24 -0.071257 0 -0.097606 0.0976062 24
-0.001958 0 -0.09254 0.09254 25 0.0119839 0 -0.098053 0.0980527 25
-0.001401 0 -0.09254 0.09254 26 -0.00752 0 -0.098065 0.0980653 26
0.0020108 0 -0.09254 0.09254 27 0.0112869 0 -0.09807 0.0980703 27
 deaths Forecast
-0.011906 0 -0.092747 0.092747 1 0
-0.017998 0 -0.092747 0.092747 2 0
-0.036927 0 -0.092747 0.092747 3 0 0
-0.068658 0 -0.092747 0.092747 4 0 0
0.0280752 0 -0.092747 0.092747 5 0 0
0.0312727 0 -0.092747 0.092747 6 0 0
0.0784449 0 -0.092747 0.092747 7 0 0
0.0731081 0 -0.092747 0.092747 8 0 0
0.0516318 0 -0.092747 0.092747 9 0 0
-0.036061 0 -0.092747 0.092747 10 0 0
0.0461251 0 -0.092747 0.092747 11 0 0
0.0650063 0 -0.092747 0.092747 12 0 0
0.04599 0 -0.092747 0.092747 13 0 0
0.0869758 0 -0.092747 0.092747 14 0 0
0.0588242 0 -0.092747 0.092747 15 0 0
-0.043215 0 -0.092747 0.092747 16 0 0
-0.057101 0 -0.092747 0.092747 17 0 0
0.0347056 0 -0.092747 0.092747 18 0 0
0.0327398 0 -0.092747 0.092747 19 0 0
-0.01618 0 -0.092747 0.092747 20 0 0
-0.017726 0 -0.092747 0.092747 21 0 0
0.0162108 0 -0.092747 0.092747 22 2 0
-0.034598 0 -0.092747 0.092747 23 2 1.4856069
-0.071107 0 -0.092747 0.092747 24 3 2.1328877
0.004099 0 -0.092747 0.092747 25 3 3.0732329
-0.037409 0 -0.092747 0.092747 26 5 3.51239
-0.027258 0 -0.092747 0.092747 27 6 4.9997734
28 7 6.371718
29 8 7.5278541
30 9 8.7241764
31 11 9.78414
32 13 11.573839
33 18 13.676979
34 25 18.099236
35 26 25.029479
36 31 28.393381
37 35 33.115621
38 40 37.734358
39 45 42.584468
40 50 47.996372
41 54 53.338278
42 58 57.956761
43 63 62.173066
44 66 66.971892
45 71 70.502952
46 86 74.981888
47 93 87.404483
48 96 97.16154
49 107 102.52598
50 124 112.27866
51 135 127.69857
52 143 141.14278
53 159 151.64978
54 176 166.63347
55 192 183.8209
56 209 201.11731
57 224 219.46959
58 237 236.29052
59 253 250.71414
60 269 266.38837
61 281 282.52277
62 301 295.8092
63 327 313.96827
64 361 338.67306
65 385 371.73901
66 417 401.15087
67 440 434.11905
68 462 461.95073
69 486 485.54879
70 526 509.74764
71 564 545.36671
72 594 584.86896
73 618 619.56599
74 639 647.9159
75 668 670.39234
76 706 696.25803
77 737 730.73007
78 770 763.80395
79 803 797.80693
80 834 832.17783
81 873 864.33586
82 903 901.83622
83 939 934.89298
84 985 970.0508
85 1017 1014.1561
86 1067 1050.788
87 1101 1097.7291
88 1133 1137.6214
89 1167 1171.1902
 90 1197 1205.2427
91 1225 1235.1228
92 1260 1262.5117
93 1317 1294.4318
94 1395 1344.6353
95 1483 1418.4096
96 1621 1509.2992
97 1688 1643.8151
98 1770 1742.8372
99 1838 1833.6293
100 1935 1912.7718
101 2002 2002.3315
102 2067 2078.8095
103 2172 2145.6819
104 2255 2240.6425
105 2356 2329.1167
106 2463 2428.2226
107 2551 2538.272
108 2632 2635.1293
109 2728 2722.1405
110 2839 2815.5232
111 2975 2922.0597
112 3093 3053.1944
113 3229 3181.8135
114 3382 3320.9108
115 3501 3477.0847
116 3590 3612.2176
117 3695 3716.0685
118 3755 3818.2865
119 3903 3885.3862
120 3961 4003.2602
121 4035 4080.7972
122 4118 4147.6247
123 4186 4225.0333
124 4304 4288.3059
125 4395 4388.2469
126 4473 4484.5899
127 4551 4567.1429
128 4619 4646.8526
129 4712 4714.7616
130 4762 4797.3646
131 4839 4855.8495
132 4922 4922.9265
133 4983 5001.3191
134 5058 5065.0076
135 5123 5135.8292
136 5197 5201.9507
137 5270 5271.3603
138 5319 5343.6139
139 5386 5398.0177
140 5426 5458.9212
141 5475 5503.1031
142 5522 5545.6222
143 5568 5589.1032
144 5599 5630.5607
145 5639 5662.2132
146 5677 5696.0923
147 5709 5730.434
148 5763 5760.1927
149 5787 5805.79
150 5822 5835.9541
151 5842 5866.8458
152 5865 5889.0982
153 5892 5907.5085
154 5924 5930.023
155 5951 5957.2318
156 5970 5983.8409
157 5976 6004.1951
158 5984 6012.3593
159 5999 6016.684
160 6014 6025.3212
161 6035 6036.2243
162 6052 6053.4546
163 6068 6070.7955
164 6082 6086.9279
165 6097 6101.3875
166 6112 6115.4665
167 6129 6129.6933
168 6139 6145.4997
169 6153 6156.9952
170 6162 6169.4892
171 6168 6179.0623
172 6175 6184.7411
173 6190 6190.2379
174 6201 6201.4633
175 6209 6212.5121
176 6219 6221.2507
177 6231 6230.8076
178 6235 6241.7674
179 6244 6247.492
180 6255 6254.8276
181 6267 6264.6307
182 6274 6275.789
183 6283 6284.3789
184 6284 6293.0707
185 6288 6295.9504
186 6294 6298.266
187 6298 6302.518
188 6318 6305.7902
189 6328 6321.077
190 6335 6334.2052
191 6340 6343.3721
192 6342 6350.1457
193 6345 6352.4936
194 6350 6354.198
195 6359 6357.4102
196 6365 6364.3498
197 6370 6370.9001
198 6373 6376.425
199 6379 6380.1176
200 6383 6384.9583
201 6389 6389.0484
202 6393 6394.2214
203 6399 6398.6787
204 6408 6404.0257
205 6415 6412.2394
206 6416 6419.9807
207 6420 6423.0959
208 6424 6426.4277
209 6432 6429.8413
210 6437 6436.1311
211 6444 6441.9162
212 6451 6448.666
213 6457 6456.0406
214 6466 6462.5365
215 6474 6471.0724
216 6479 6479.6565
217 6484 6485.8635
218 6499 6491.1728
219 6507 6503.4092
220 6513 6513.4431
221 6517 6520.8076
222 6523 6525.9987
223 6535 6530.9987
224 6544 6540.7943
225 6552 6550.4863
226 6558 6559.3487
227 6570 6566.4927
228 6580 6576.9149
229 6588 6587.4808
230 6601 6596.3946
231 6614 6608.6239
232 6621 6621.9455
233 6638 6631.1193
234 6654 6646.1103
235 6659 6662.7931
236 6673 6671.4595
237 6692 6683.8924
238 6702 6701.4502
239 6715 6713.9637
240 6727 6727.1589
241 6736 6739.8214
242 6739 6749.3403
243 6745 6753.6545
244 6759 6757.8716
245 6775 6768.2613
246 6795 6782.8407
247 6806 6802.4224
248 6823 6817.4568
249 6835 6834.3016
250 6849 6848.4282
251 6867 6862.0757
252 6893 6879.3023
253 6923 6903.4682
254 6943 6933.7859
255 6968 6958.9582
256 6977 6985.2451
257 7000 6999.9489
258 7021 7019.1573
259 7055 7040.1094
260 7092 7070.2787
261 7109 7108.0746
262 7141 7132.9298
263 7160 7163.4219
264 7193 7186.6181
265 7230 7215.6453
266 7248 7252.1887
267 7561 7276.1568
268 7603 7514.6228
269 7662 7645.2024
270 7696 7728.2216
271 7744 7788.9519
272 7803 7824.1148
273 7843 7872.7489
274 7897 7911.712
275 7942 7958.7696
276 7985 8003.2788
277 8025 8043.8049
278 8091 8082.3976
279 8166 8138.7355
280 8205 8210.2926
281 8260 8260.9308
282 8303 8314.7399
283 8361 8360.9451
284 8398 8412.8217
285 8487 8454.5872
286 8547 8528.8929
287 8603 8597.8017
288 8653 8657.9593
289 8724 8713.2732
290 8796 8778.2542
291 8832 8849.8545
292 8905 8896.8854
293 9010 8961.4432
294 9080 9057.5282
295 9164 9138.9384
296 9250 9225.9859
297 9330 9316.6394
298 9392 9400.6664
299 9474 9470.3797
300 9557 9547.9606
301 9668 9629.9992
302 9753 9733.8905
303 9816 9829.4981
304 9874 9902.762
305 9929 9963.8699
306 9992 10015.809
307 10047 10070.925
308 10105 10123.146
309 10176 10176.683
310 10258 10241.493
311 10311 10318.89
312 10350 10380.445
313 10409 10424.441
314 10461 10476.205
315 10511 10525.395
316 10558 10572.79
317 10598 10619.068
318 10644 10658.618
319 10676 10700.322
320 10717 10733.093
321 10772 10768.658
322 10818 10817.189
323 10863 10863.897
324 10908 10909.727
325 10951 10955.402
326 10997 10998.488
327 11055 11043.154
328 11103 11097.601
329 11157 11148.757
330 11204 11202.646
331 11247 11252.958
332 11295 11297.448
333 11318 11344.026
334 11376 11372.574
335 11450 11419.411
336 11514 11487.567
337 11560 11555.471
338 11623 11611.569
339 11657 11673.646
340 11683 11715.96
341 11746 11743
342 11802 11793.463
343 11833 11847.735
344 11886 11885.38
345 11914 11933.901
346 11967 11967.23
347 12026 12011.426
348 12066 12067.916
349 12128 12112.934
350 12185 12171.137
351 12218 12230.752
352 12276 12271.344
353 12307 12323.925
354 12333 12361.136
355 12380 12386.637
356 12436 12425.791
357 12488 12475.862
358 12527 12528.57
359 12563 12573.383
360 12601 12611.614
361 12617 12648.196
362 12658 12667.723
363 12708 12699.108
364 12772 12743.658
365 12804 12802.971
366 12837 12846.643
367 12860 12882.381
368 12896 12908.053
369 12938 12937.238
370 13013 12974.803
371 13076 13039.985
372 13128 13109.12
373 13166 13169.837
374 13205 13217.048
375 13227 13256.881
376 13281 13281.558
377 13324 13323.672
378 13377 13366.936
379 13430 13416.656
380 13476 13471.518
381 13508 13520.878
382 13537 13558.172
383 13595 13587.545
384 13656 13635.334
385 13717 13693.684
386 13757 13756.415
387 13799 13806.228
388 13843 13850.053
389 13863 13893.124
390 13935 13917.365
391 13965 13973.296
392 14028 14012.916
393 14091 14067.352
394 14158 14132.599
395 14215 14200.131
396 14256 14264.282
397 14356 14312.77
398 14434 14398.413
399 14530 14483.882
400 14613 14580.39
401 14697 14674.986
402 14778 14764.301
403 14821 14850.714
404 14924 14905.817
405 15026 14992.436
406 15124 15093.353
407 15229 15194.5
408 15329 15304.599
409 15443 15411.203
410 15501 15525.85
411 15619 15602.598
412 15754 15705.962
413 15872 15836.168
414 15982 15960.888
415 16094 16081.2
416 16243 16198.281
417 16316 16339.777
418 16453 16435.837
419 16600 16558.451
420 16698 16703.615
421 16842 16815.586
422 16999 16952.697
423 17117 17108.666
424 17187 17239.989
425 17329 17328.103
426 17530 17449.71
427 17680 17629.761
428 17811 17795.937
429 17957 17944.254
430 18070 18094.615
431 18149 18216.602
432 18310 18302.466
433 18429 18436.311
434 18537 18559.874
435 18677 18669.131
436 18797 18801.864
437 18915 18924.709
438 18993 19042.688
439 19106 19131.158
440 19210 19230.54
441 19856 19330.852
442 19384 19832.354
443 19467 19682.216
444 19543 19635.557
445 19617 19684.658
446 19752 19694.355
447 19856 19814
448 19987 19929.414
449 20089 20060.818
450 20177 20180.026
451 20251 20277.484
452 20357.985
453 20453.522
454 20548.979
455 20643.753
456 20739.94
457 20835.605
458 20931.29
459 21026.941
460 21122.653
461 21218.341
462 21314.031
463 21409.719
464 21505.41
465 21601.1
466 21696.79
467 21792.48
468 21888.17
469 21983.86
470 22079.55
471 22175.239
472 22270.929
473 22366.619
474 22462.309
475 22558
Forecast LoForecast Upper
20274.915 20441.054
20350.044 20557
20422.507 20675.451
20492.923 20794.583
20561.433 20918.447
20628.894 21042.317
20694.986 21167.594
20759.786 21294.096
20823.354 21421.951
20885.748 21550.934
20947 21681.063
21007.142 21812.296
21066.213 21944.607
21124.24 22077.959
21181.253 22212.327
21237.275 22347.684
21292.333 22484.007
21346.447 22621.272
21399.639 22759.46
21451.927 22898.551
21503.332 23038.527
21553.869 23179.37
21603.555 23321.064
21652.405 23463.593
date
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RIMA model estimation. No withhold periods available for out-of-sample forecast accuracy evaluation.
Forecast_Model_Chart
Autocorrelation Function (ACF) Plot Partial Autocorrelation Func
Significance Limit Alpha = 0.05 Significance Limit Al
1 1

Partial Autocorrelation - deaths

0.8 0.8
0.6 0.6
Autocorrelation - deaths

0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
0 0
-0.2 -0.2
-0.4 -0.4
-0.6 -0.6
-0.8 -0.8
-1 -1
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 1 3 5 7 9 11 13
Lag Lag

Autocorrelation Function (ACF) Plot - Residuals Partial Autocorrelation Function (

Significance Limit Alpha = 0.05 Significance Limit Al

Partial Autocorrelation Function - Resid-

1 1
0.8 0.8
Autocorrelation - Residuals

0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
0 0

uals
-0.2 -0.2
-0.4 -0.4
-0.6 -0.6
-0.8 -0.8
-1 -1
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 1 3 5 7 9 11 13
Lag Lag

Ljung-Box (LB) P-Value - Residuals

Alpha = 0.05
1
0.9
Ljung-Box P-Value - Residuals

0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27
Lag
 Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF) Plot ARIMA Model: deaths - Model Automatically Selected
Significance Limit Alpha = 0.05
Model Periods: All observations are used in the ARIMA mod

ARIMA Model Summary

AR Order (p)
I Order (d)
MA Order (q)
SAR Order (P)
SI Order (D)
SMA Order (Q)
3 5 7 9 Seasonal Frequency
11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27
Include Constant
Lag
No. of Predictors
Model Selection Criterion
al Autocorrelation Function (PACF) Plot - Residuals Box-Cox Transformation
Significance Limit Alpha = 0.05 Lambda
Threshold

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27
Lag
Automatically Selected
s are used in the ARIMA model estimation. No withhold periods available for out-of-sample forecast accuracy evaluation.

ummary
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
AICc
N/A
 1
racy evaluation. 2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
0.991779 0 -0.09254 0.09254 1 0.991779 0 -0.09254 0.09254 1
0.983541 0 -0.159407 0.159407 2 -0.005238 0 -0.09254 0.09254 2
0.975274 0 -0.204887 0.204887 3 -0.005852 0 -0.09254 0.09254 3
0.966996 0 -0.241391 0.241391 4 -0.004889 0 -0.09254 0.09254 4
0.958735 0 -0.272552 0.272552 5 -0.003176 0 -0.09254 0.09254 5
0.950462 0 -0.300046 0.300046 6 -0.004882 0 -0.09254 0.09254 6
0.942212 0 -0.324808 0.324808 7 -0.002913 0 -0.09254 0.09254 7
0.933923 0 -0.347427 0.347427 8 -0.006604 0 -0.09254 0.09254 8
0.925599 0 -0.368299 0.368299 9 -0.006419 0 -0.09254 0.09254 9
0.917247 0 -0.387708 0.387708 10 -0.006025 0 -0.09254 0.09254 10
0.908344 0 -0.405866 0.405866 11 -0.038018 0 -0.09254 0.09254 11
0.899948 0 -0.422917 0.422917 12 0.026435 0 -0.09254 0.09254 12
0.891547 0 -0.439011 0.439011 13 -0.004718 0 -0.09254 0.09254 13
0.883153 0 -0.454251 0.454251 14 -0.004096 0 -0.09254 0.09254 14
0.874729 0 -0.468725 0.468725 15 -0.006382 0 -0.09254 0.09254 15
0.866315 0 -0.482501 0.482501 16 -0.00372 0 -0.09254 0.09254 16
0.85792 0 -0.495643 0.495643 17 -0.003491 0 -0.09254 0.09254 17
0.849565 0 -0.508201 0.508201 18 -0.001859 0 -0.09254 0.09254 18
0.841215 0 -0.520221 0.520221 19 -0.004242 0 -0.09254 0.09254 19
0.832881 0 -0.531742 0.531742 20 -0.003503 0 -0.09254 0.09254 20
0.824608 0 -0.542799 0.542799 21 0.000173 0 -0.09254 0.09254 21
0.816321 0 -0.553423 0.553423 22 -0.007534 0 -0.09254 0.09254 22
0.808048 0 -0.56364 0.56364 23 -0.00267 0 -0.09254 0.09254 23
0.799826 0 -0.573475 0.573475 24 -0.001503 0 -0.09254 0.09254 24
0.791645 0 -0.582949 0.582949 25 -0.001958 0 -0.09254 0.09254 25
0.783519 0 -0.592084 0.592084 26 -0.001401 0 -0.09254 0.09254 26
0.775501 0 -0.600898 0.600898 27 0.002011 0 -0.09254 0.09254 27
-0.011906 0 -0.092747 0.092747 1 -0.011906 0 -0.092747 0.092747 1
-0.017854 0 -0.09276 0.09276 2 -0.017998 0 -0.092747 0.092747 2
-0.036479 0 -0.09279 0.09279 3 -0.036927 0 -0.092747 0.092747 3
-0.067297 0 -0.092913 0.092913 4 -0.068658 0 -0.092747 0.092747 4
0.031134 0 -0.093331 0.093331 5 0.028075 0 -0.092747 0.092747 5
0.034125 0 -0.093421 0.093421 6 0.031273 0 -0.092747 0.092747 6
0.080809 0 -0.093528 0.093528 7 0.078445 0 -0.092747 0.092747 7
0.070869 0 -0.094126 0.094126 8 0.073108 0 -0.092747 0.092747 8
0.038643 0 -0.094584 0.094584 9 0.051632 0 -0.092747 0.092747 9
-0.04915 0 -0.09472 0.09472 10 -0.036061 0 -0.092747 0.092747 10
0.032003 0 -0.094939 0.094939 11 0.046125 0 -0.092747 0.092747 11
0.057544 0 -0.095032 0.095032 12 0.065006 0 -0.092747 0.092747 12
0.047271 0 -0.095331 0.095331 13 0.04599 0 -0.092747 0.092747 13
0.095992 0 -0.095533 0.095533 14 0.086976 0 -0.092747 0.092747 14
0.051461 0 -0.096359 0.096359 15 0.058824 0 -0.092747 0.092747 15
-0.04892 0 -0.096595 0.096595 16 -0.043215 0 -0.092747 0.092747 16
-0.061388 0 -0.096808 0.096808 17 -0.057101 0 -0.092747 0.092747 17
0.03209 0 -0.097142 0.097142 18 0.034706 0 -0.092747 0.092747 18
0.047778 0 -0.097233 0.097233 19 0.03274 0 -0.092747 0.092747 19
0.020055 0 -0.097435 0.097435 20 -0.01618 0 -0.092747 0.092747 20
0.00934 0 -0.09747 0.09747 21 -0.017726 0 -0.092747 0.092747 21
0.025352 0 -0.097478 0.097478 22 0.016211 0 -0.092747 0.092747 22
-0.028474 0 -0.097535 0.097535 23 -0.034598 0 -0.092747 0.092747 23
-0.071257 0 -0.097606 0.097606 24 -0.071107 0 -0.092747 0.092747 24
0.011984 0 -0.098053 0.098053 25 0.004099 0 -0.092747 0.092747 25
-0.00752 0 -0.098065 0.098065 26 -0.037409 0 -0.092747 0.092747 26
0.011287 0 -0.09807 0.09807 27 -0.027258 0 -0.092747 0.092747 27
0.064071 1
0.20847 2
0.81265 3
2.873518 4
3.315611 5 0.068625 0.068625
3.847912 6 0.146028 0.146028
6.839593 7 0.07719 0.07719
9.145808 8 0.057557 0.057557
9.833052 9 0.080106 0.080106
10.94734 10 0.090018 0.090018
11.42084 11 0.121286 0.121286
12.95526 12 0.113398 0.113398
13.99311 13 0.122571 0.122571
18.28259 14 0.05038 0.05038
19.5182 15 0.052403 0.052403
20.6374 16 0.055949 0.055949
22.40386 17 0.049412
22.88769 18 0.062122 0.062122
23.9627 19 0.06573 0.06573
24.15255 20 0.086225 0.086225
24.19382 21 0.114264 0.114264
24.49863 22 0.139361 0.139361
24.88403 23 0.164395 0.164395
27.30331 24 0.126944 0.126944
27.3719 25 0.15888 0.15888
27.39897 26 0.196464 0.196464
27.4601 27 0.236889 0.236889
Frct.Model.Chart deaths Forecast Residuals Histogram of Residuals: deaths
1 0
350
2 0
300
3 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 250
5 0 0 0 200

Frequency
6 0 0 0 150
7 0 0 0
100
8 0 0 0
9 0 0 0 50
10 0 0 0 0
11 0 0 0 48 00 5 1 0 2 53 0 5 5 6 0 7 5 9 1 0 3 9 8 8 13 6 1 8 5 23 4 28 3 3
-4 -4 -3 -3 -2 -2 -1 -1 - -
12 0 0 0
Residuals
13 0 0 0
14 0 0 0
15 0 0 0 Residuals vs Data Order for: deaths
16 0 0 0 600
17 0 0 0
400
18 0 0 0
200
19 0 0 0
20 0 0 0 0
Residuals

21 0 0 0 -200
22 2 0 2
-400
23 2 1.485607 0.5143931
24 3 2.132888 0.8671123 -600
25 3 3.073233 -0.073233 00 .0
0
.0
0
.0
0
.0
0
.0
0
.0
0
.0
0. 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
26 5 3.51239 1.48761 1 1 5 2 0 2 3 0 35
27 6 4.999773 1.0002266 Observation Order
28 7 6.371718 0.628282
29 8 7.527854 0.4721459
30 9 8.724176 0.2758236
31 11 9.78414 1.21586
32 13 11.57384 1.4261608
33 18 13.67698 4.3230214
34 25 18.09924 6.9007637
35 26 25.02948 0.9705209
36 31 28.39338 2.6066191
37 35 33.11562 1.884379
38 40 37.73436 2.2656421
39 45 42.58447 2.4155321
40 50 47.99637 2.0036276
41 54 53.33828 0.6617222
42 58 57.95676 0.043239
43 63 62.17307 0.826934
44 66 66.97189 -0.971892
45 71 70.50295 0.4970476
46 86 74.98189 11.018112
47 93 87.40448 5.595517
48 96 97.16154 -1.16154
49 107 102.526 4.4740161
50 124 112.2787 11.721339
51 135 127.6986 7.3014314
52 143 141.1428 1.8572167
53 159 151.6498 7.3502244
54 176 166.6335 9.3665284
55 192 183.8209 8.1790978
56 209 201.1173 7.8826876
57 224 219.4696 4.53041
58 237 236.2905 0.7094834
59 253 250.7141 2.2858594
60 269 266.3884 2.6116313
61 281 282.5228 -1.522773
62 301 295.8092 5.190804
63 327 313.9683 13.031727
64 361 338.6731 22.326944
65 385 371.739 13.260987
66 417 401.1509 15.849127
67 440 434.119 5.8809537
68 462 461.9507 0.0492661
69 486 485.5488 0.4512128
70 526 509.7476 16.252362
71 564 545.3667 18.63329
72 594 584.869 9.13104
73 618 619.566 -1.565992
74 639 647.9159 -8.915903
75 668 670.3923 -2.392343
76 706 696.258 9.7419718
77 737 730.7301 6.2699314
78 770 763.8039 6.1960508
79 803 797.8069 5.1930684
80 834 832.1778 1.8221684
81 873 864.3359 8.6641375
82 903 901.8362 1.1637756
83 939 934.893 4.1070189
84 985 970.0508 14.949204
85 1017 1014.156 2.8438696
86 1067 1050.788 16.21197
87 1101 1097.729 3.2709164
88 1133 1137.621 -4.621404
89 1167 1171.19 -4.190241
 90 1197 1205.243 -8.242705
91 1225 1235.123 -10.12281
92 1260 1262.512 -2.511653
93 1317 1294.432 22.568235
94 1395 1344.635 50.364711
95 1483 1418.41 64.590354
96 1621 1509.299 111.70076
97 1688 1643.815 44.184892
98 1770 1742.837 27.162763
99 1838 1833.629 4.3707112
100 1935 1912.772 22.228164
101 2002 2002.332 -0.331514
102 2067 2078.809 -11.80949
103 2172 2145.682 26.31814
104 2255 2240.642 14.357529
105 2356 2329.117 26.883297
106 2463 2428.223 34.777436
107 2551 2538.272 12.728025
108 2632 2635.129 -3.129276
109 2728 2722.14 5.8595141
110 2839 2815.523 23.47684
111 2975 2922.06 52.94025
112 3093 3053.194 39.805575
113 3229 3181.814 47.186464
114 3382 3320.911 61.089186
115 3501 3477.085 23.915266
116 3590 3612.218 -22.21756
117 3695 3716.069 -21.06854
118 3755 3818.286 -63.28648
119 3903 3885.386 17.61379
120 3961 4003.26 -42.26015
121 4035 4080.797 -45.79717
122 4118 4147.625 -29.62469
123 4186 4225.033 -39.0333
124 4304 4288.306 15.694054
125 4395 4388.247 6.753053
126 4473 4484.59 -11.58989
127 4551 4567.143 -16.14293
128 4619 4646.853 -27.85257
129 4712 4714.762 -2.761574
130 4762 4797.365 -35.36461
131 4839 4855.85 -16.84952
132 4922 4922.927 -0.926512
133 4983 5001.319 -18.31907
134 5058 5065.008 -7.007582
135 5123 5135.829 -12.82922
136 5197 5201.951 -4.950698
137 5270 5271.36 -1.360342
138 5319 5343.614 -24.61387
139 5386 5398.018 -12.01771
140 5426 5458.921 -32.92121
141 5475 5503.103 -28.10312
142 5522 5545.622 -23.62215
143 5568 5589.103 -21.10318
144 5599 5630.561 -31.56073
145 5639 5662.213 -23.21316
146 5677 5696.092 -19.09229
147 5709 5730.434 -21.43396
148 5763 5760.193 2.8072734
149 5787 5805.79 -18.79003
150 5822 5835.954 -13.95407
151 5842 5866.846 -24.84582
152 5865 5889.098 -24.09819
153 5892 5907.509 -15.50854
154 5924 5930.023 -6.022974
155 5951 5957.232 -6.231807
156 5970 5983.841 -13.84092
157 5976 6004.195 -28.19508
158 5984 6012.359 -28.35931
159 5999 6016.684 -17.684
160 6014 6025.321 -11.32117
161 6035 6036.224 -1.224282
162 6052 6053.455 -1.454619
163 6068 6070.795 -2.795464
164 6082 6086.928 -4.927912
165 6097 6101.387 -4.387467
166 6112 6115.467 -3.466504
167 6129 6129.693 -0.693347
168 6139 6145.5 -6.499683
169 6153 6157 -3.995242
170 6162 6169.489 -7.489158
171 6168 6179.062 -11.06229
172 6175 6184.741 -9.741068
173 6190 6190.238 -0.237863
174 6201 6201.463 -0.463272
175 6209 6212.512 -3.512146
176 6219 6221.251 -2.250685
177 6231 6230.808 0.192433
178 6235 6241.767 -6.767374
179 6244 6247.492 -3.492007
180 6255 6254.828 0.1723961
181 6267 6264.631 2.3692672
182 6274 6275.789 -1.788977
183 6283 6284.379 -1.378928
184 6284 6293.071 -9.070746
185 6288 6295.95 -7.95038
186 6294 6298.266 -4.26599
187 6298 6302.518 -4.518034
188 6318 6305.79 12.209768
189 6328 6321.077 6.9229622
190 6335 6334.205 0.7947851
191 6340 6343.372 -3.372072
192 6342 6350.146 -8.145744
193 6345 6352.494 -7.493603
194 6350 6354.198 -4.197957
195 6359 6357.41 1.5897914
196 6365 6364.35 0.6501682
197 6370 6370.9 -0.900079
198 6373 6376.425 -3.425031
199 6379 6380.118 -1.117631
200 6383 6384.958 -1.95827
201 6389 6389.048 -0.048441
202 6393 6394.221 -1.221432
203 6399 6398.679 0.3213045
204 6408 6404.026 3.9742534
205 6415 6412.239 2.7605922
206 6416 6419.981 -3.980735
207 6420 6423.096 -3.095865
208 6424 6426.428 -2.427739
209 6432 6429.841 2.1586898
210 6437 6436.131 0.8689365
211 6444 6441.916 2.0837724
212 6451 6448.666 2.334017
213 6457 6456.041 0.9593817
214 6466 6462.536 3.463545
215 6474 6471.072 2.9275527
216 6479 6479.656 -0.65648
217 6484 6485.864 -1.863512
218 6499 6491.173 7.8272181
219 6507 6503.409 3.5908276
220 6513 6513.443 -0.443145
221 6517 6520.808 -3.807609
222 6523 6526 -2.998655
223 6535 6531 4.001331
224 6544 6540.794 3.2056621
225 6552 6550.486 1.5136662
226 6558 6559.349 -1.348672
227 6570 6566.493 3.5073335
228 6580 6576.915 3.0851173
229 6588 6587.481 0.51924
230 6601 6596.395 4.6053667
231 6614 6608.624 5.3761359
232 6621 6621.945 -0.945456
233 6638 6631.119 6.8807185
234 6654 6646.11 7.8897005
235 6659 6662.793 -3.793149
236 6673 6671.46 1.5404621
237 6692 6683.892 8.1075738
238 6702 6701.45 0.5498195
239 6715 6713.964 1.0362837
240 6727 6727.159 -0.158875
241 6736 6739.821 -3.821354
242 6739 6749.34 -10.34035
243 6745 6753.655 -8.654533
244 6759 6757.872 1.128356
245 6775 6768.261 6.7387089
246 6795 6782.841 12.159257
247 6806 6802.422 3.5776063
248 6823 6817.457 5.5431828
249 6835 6834.302 0.6984356
250 6849 6848.428 0.5717891
251 6867 6862.076 4.9242823
252 6893 6879.302 13.697678
253 6923 6903.468 19.531823
254 6943 6933.786 9.2141095
255 6968 6958.958 9.041768
256 6977 6985.245 -8.245095
257 7000 6999.949 0.051088
258 7021 7019.157 1.8426639
259 7055 7040.109 14.890634
260 7092 7070.279 21.721277
261 7109 7108.075 0.9254089
262 7141 7132.93 8.0702351
263 7160 7163.422 -3.421883
264 7193 7186.618 6.3818887
265 7230 7215.645 14.354663
266 7248 7252.189 -4.188652
267 7561 7276.157 284.84317
268 7603 7514.623 88.377232
269 7662 7645.202 16.797555
270 7696 7728.222 -32.22163
271 7744 7788.952 -44.95186
272 7803 7824.115 -21.11476
273 7843 7872.749 -29.74886
274 7897 7911.712 -14.71198
275 7942 7958.77 -16.76959
276 7985 8003.279 -18.27878
277 8025 8043.805 -18.80492
278 8091 8082.398 8.6024333
279 8166 8138.736 27.264498
280 8205 8210.293 -5.292609
281 8260 8260.931 -0.930773
282 8303 8314.74 -11.73987
283 8361 8360.945 0.0548845
284 8398 8412.822 -14.82166
285 8487 8454.587 32.412816
286 8547 8528.893 18.10709
287 8603 8597.802 5.1982963
288 8653 8657.959 -4.959269
289 8724 8713.273 10.726811
290 8796 8778.254 17.745838
291 8832 8849.855 -17.85451
292 8905 8896.885 8.1146252
293 9010 8961.443 48.556801
294 9080 9057.528 22.471769
295 9164 9138.938 25.061598
296 9250 9225.986 24.014073
297 9330 9316.639 13.360647
298 9392 9400.666 -8.666376
299 9474 9470.38 3.6203269
300 9557 9547.961 9.0394439
301 9668 9630 38.000803
302 9753 9733.89 19.10953
303 9816 9829.498 -13.4981
304 9874 9902.762 -28.76196
305 9929 9963.87 -34.86986
306 9992 10015.81 -23.80856
307 10047 10070.92 -23.92473
308 10105 10123.15 -18.14636
309 10176 10176.68 -0.683318
310 10258 10241.49 16.506663
311 10311 10318.89 -7.890157
312 10350 10380.45 -30.44525
313 10409 10424.44 -15.44107
314 10461 10476.21 -15.20504
315 10511 10525.4 -14.39528
316 10558 10572.79 -14.7898
317 10598 10619.07 -21.06797
318 10644 10658.62 -14.6183
319 10676 10700.32 -24.32193
320 10717 10733.09 -16.09349
321 10772 10768.66 3.3422374
322 10818 10817.19 0.8110576
323 10863 10863.9 -0.897126
324 10908 10909.73 -1.727366
325 10951 10955.4 -4.401851
326 10997 10998.49 -1.487831
327 11055 11043.15 11.845689
328 11103 11097.6 5.3993387
329 11157 11148.76 8.2431663
330 11204 11202.65 1.3539719
331 11247 11253 -5.958118
332 11295 11297.45 -2.447606
333 11318 11344 -26.02574
334 11376 11372.57 3.4263465
335 11450 11419.41 30.589158
336 11514 11487.57 26.43288
337 11560 11555.47 4.5293962
338 11623 11611.57 11.431248
339 11657 11673.65 -16.6463
340 11683 11716 -32.96043
341 11746 11743 3.0003702
342 11802 11793.46 8.5373568
343 11833 11847.73 -14.73497
344 11886 11885.38 0.620484
345 11914 11933.9 -19.901
346 11967 11967.23 -0.230282
347 12026 12011.43 14.573742
348 12066 12067.92 -1.916135
349 12128 12112.93 15.065919
350 12185 12171.14 13.863281
351 12218 12230.75 -12.75168
352 12276 12271.34 4.6558759
353 12307 12323.92 -16.92475
354 12333 12361.14 -28.13592
355 12380 12386.64 -6.636843
356 12436 12425.79 10.209301
357 12488 12475.86 12.138071
358 12527 12528.57 -1.56983
359 12563 12573.38 -10.38321
360 12601 12611.61 -10.61428
361 12617 12648.2 -31.19604
362 12658 12667.72 -9.723103
363 12708 12699.11 8.8917838
364 12772 12743.66 28.342065
365 12804 12803 1.0294421
366 12837 12846.64 -9.642624
367 12860 12882.38 -22.38117
368 12896 12908.05 -12.05263
369 12938 12937.24 0.7623559
370 13013 12974.8 38.197359
371 13076 13040 36.015263
372 13128 13109.12 18.880047
373 13166 13169.84 -3.83679
374 13205 13217 -12.04755
375 13227 13256.88 -29.88094
376 13281 13281.56 -0.558138
377 13324 13323.67 0.3275373
378 13377 13366.94 10.063865
379 13430 13416.66 13.344025
380 13476 13471.52 4.4816518
381 13508 13520.88 -12.87825
382 13537 13558.17 -21.17165
383 13595 13587.55 7.4547184
384 13656 13635.33 20.666031
385 13717 13693.68 23.316371
386 13757 13756.42 0.5848378
387 13799 13806.23 -7.228422
388 13843 13850.05 -7.052731
389 13863 13893.12 -30.12367
390 13935 13917.36 17.635279
391 13965 13973.3 -8.29638
392 14028 14012.92 15.0837
393 14091 14067.35 23.648482
394 14158 14132.6 25.400725
395 14215 14200.13 14.868563
396 14256 14264.28 -8.282471
397 14356 14312.77 43.229761
398 14434 14398.41 35.587405
399 14530 14483.88 46.117544
400 14613 14580.39 32.610094
401 14697 14675 22.013957
402 14778 14764.3 13.69925
403 14821 14850.71 -29.71373
404 14924 14905.82 18.183128
405 15026 14992.44 33.564318
406 15124 15093.35 30.647402
407 15229 15194.5 34.500027
408 15329 15304.6 24.40089
409 15443 15411.2 31.796683
410 15501 15525.85 -24.84985
411 15619 15602.6 16.401653
412 15754 15706 48.038376
413 15872 15836.17 35.831897
414 15982 15960.89 21.111571
415 16094 16081.2 12.800105
416 16243 16198.28 44.718872
417 16316 16339.78 -23.77735
418 16453 16435.84 17.163029
419 16600 16558.45 41.549242
420 16698 16703.61 -5.614849
421 16842 16815.59 26.413586
422 16999 16952.7 46.30259
423 17117 17108.67 8.3340418
424 17187 17240 -52.98921
425 17329 17328.1 0.8969791
426 17530 17449.71 80.290179
427 17680 17629.76 50.238827
428 17811 17795.94 15.063322
429 17957 17944.25 12.745569
430 18070 18094.61 -24.61469
431 18149 18216.6 -67.6025
432 18310 18302.47 7.5341424
433 18429 18436.31 -7.310559
434 18537 18559.87 -22.87443
435 18677 18669.13 7.8691528
436 18797 18801.86 -4.863989
437 18915 18924.71 -9.708601
438 18993 19042.69 -49.68762
439 19106 19131.16 -25.15808
440 19210 19230.54 -20.5404
441 19856 19330.85 525.14793
442 19384 19832.35 -448.3539
443 19467 19682.22 -215.2157
444 19543 19635.56 -92.55669
445 19617 19684.66 -67.65776
446 19752 19694.36 57.644834
447 19856 19814 41.995632
448 19987 19929.41 57.586309
449 20089 20060.82 28.182427
450 20177 20180 -3.026129
451 20251 20277.48 -26.48395
am of Residuals: deaths Normal Probability Plot of Residuals: deaths
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00

NSCORE
-1.00
-2.00
-3.00
-4.00
56 107 -59 -10 39 88 136 185 234 283 331 380 429 477 526 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20
0
40
0
60
0
- -6 -4 -2
Residuals Residuals

s vs Data Order for: deaths Residuals vs Forecast Value: deaths

600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
Residuals

-200.00
-400.00
-600.00
00 0 0 0 0
0. .0 .0 .0 .0
00 00 00 00 00 00 00 0 0 0 0
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 00 00 00 00
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 5 10 15 20
Observation Order Fitted Value
aths
ARIMA Model: deaths - Model Automatically Selected
Model Periods: All observations are used in the ARIMA model estimation. No withhold periods availab

ARIMA Model Summary

AR Order (p)
I Order (d)
MA Order (q)
SAR Order (P)
SI Order (D)
SMA Order (Q)
Seasonal Frequency
0 0 Include Constant
40 60
No. of Predictors
Model Selection Criterion
Box-Cox Transformation
Lambda
Threshold

0 0
.0 .0
00 00
0
20
Automatically Selected
s are used in the ARIMA model estimation. No withhold periods available for out-of-sample forecast accuracy evaluation.

ARIMA Model Summary

3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
AICc
N/A
ccuracy evaluation.
-448 1 -448.35 1 0.001114 -3.058138 -126.9811
-400 0 -215.22 2 0.003341 -2.712315 -112.4249
-351 0 -92.56 3 0.005568 -2.538406 -105.1049
-302 0 -67.66 4 0.007795 -2.41837 -100.0524
-253 1 -67.60 5 0.010022 -2.325513 -96.14388
-205 0 -63.29 6 0.012249 -2.249214 -92.93235
-156 0 -52.99 7 0.014477 -2.184123 -90.19257
-107 4 -49.69 8 0.016704 -2.127151 -87.79453
-59 91 -45.80 9 0.018931 -2.076347 -85.65611
-10 329 -44.95 10 0.021158 -2.030396 -83.72201
39 19 -42.26 11 0.023385 -1.988372 -81.95312
88 2 -39.03 12 0.025612 -1.949591 -80.32077
136 0 -35.36 13 0.02784 -1.913537 -78.80325
185 0 -34.87 14 0.030067 -1.879813 -77.38372
234 0 -32.96 15 0.032294 -1.848099 -76.04886
283 1 -32.92 16 0.034521 -1.818143 -74.78795
331 0 -32.22 17 0.036748 -1.789734 -73.59219
380 0 -31.56 18 0.038976 -1.762701 -72.45431
429 0 -31.20 19 0.041203 -1.736897 -71.3682
477 1 -30.45 20 0.04343 -1.712201 -70.3287
-30.12 21 0.045657 -1.688507 -69.33138
-29.88 22 0.047884 -1.665724 -68.37243
-29.75 23 0.050111 -1.643775 -67.44856
-29.71 24 0.052339 -1.62259 -66.55686
-29.62 25 0.054566 -1.602109 -65.6948
-28.76 26 0.056793 -1.58228 -64.86013
-28.36 27 0.05902 -1.563053 -64.05087
-28.20 28 0.061247 -1.544388 -63.26521
-28.14 29 0.063474 -1.526245 -62.50157
-28.10 30 0.065702 -1.508592 -61.75851
-27.85 31 0.067929 -1.491396 -61.03473
-26.48 32 0.070156 -1.474631 -60.32905
-26.03 33 0.072383 -1.45827 -59.64039
-25.16 34 0.07461 -1.44229 -58.96779
-24.85 35 0.076837 -1.426671 -58.31033
-24.85 36 0.079065 -1.411392 -57.66721
-24.61 37 0.081292 -1.396435 -57.03767
-24.61 38 0.083519 -1.381785 -56.42101
-24.32 39 0.085746 -1.367425 -55.81659
-24.10 40 0.087973 -1.353342 -55.2238
-23.92 41 0.0902 -1.339522 -54.64211
-23.81 42 0.092428 -1.325953 -54.07099
-23.78 43 0.094655 -1.312624 -53.50996
-23.62 44 0.096882 -1.299525 -52.95858
-23.21 45 0.099109 -1.286644 -52.41643
-22.87 46 0.101336 -1.273974 -51.88312
-22.38 47 0.103563 -1.261505 -51.35828
-22.22 48 0.105791 -1.249229 -50.84156
-21.43 49 0.108018 -1.237139 -50.33266
-21.17 50 0.110245 -1.225226 -49.83125
-21.11 51 0.112472 -1.213485 -49.33706
-21.10 52 0.114699 -1.201909 -48.84981
-21.07 53 0.116927 -1.190492 -48.36924
-21.07 54 0.119154 -1.179228 -47.89512
-20.54 55 0.121381 -1.168112 -47.42722
-19.90 56 0.123608 -1.157138 -46.96531
-19.09 57 0.125835 -1.146302 -46.5092
-18.80 58 0.128062 -1.135598 -46.05868
-18.79 59 0.13029 -1.125024 -45.61358
-18.32 60 0.132517 -1.114573 -45.1737
-18.28 61 0.134744 -1.104243 -44.73889
-18.15 62 0.136971 -1.094029 -44.30899
-17.85 63 0.139198 -1.083929 -43.88383
-17.68 64 0.141425 -1.073937 -43.46328
-16.92 65 0.143653 -1.064052 -43.0472
-16.85 66 0.14588 -1.05427 -42.63545
-16.77 67 0.148107 -1.044587 -42.2279
-16.65 68 0.150334 -1.035002 -41.82443
-16.14 69 0.152561 -1.02551 -41.42492
-16.09 70 0.154788 -1.01611 -41.02927
-15.51 71 0.157016 -1.006799 -40.63735
-15.44 72 0.159243 -0.997575 -40.24908
-15.21 73 0.16147 -0.988435 -39.86435
-14.82 74 0.163697 -0.979376 -39.48307
-14.79 75 0.165924 -0.970397 -39.10513
-14.73 76 0.168151 -0.961496 -38.73047
-14.71 77 0.170379 -0.95267 -38.35898
-14.62 78 0.172606 -0.943918 -37.99058
-14.40 79 0.174833 -0.935237 -37.62521
-13.95 80 0.17706 -0.926627 -37.26278
-13.84 81 0.179287 -0.918085 -36.90322
-13.50 82 0.181514 -0.909609 -36.54646
-12.88 83 0.183742 -0.901198 -36.19242
-12.83 84 0.185969 -0.89285 -35.84105
-12.75 85 0.188196 -0.884564 -35.49228
-12.05 86 0.190423 -0.876338 -35.14605
-12.05 87 0.19265 -0.868171 -34.80229
-12.02 88 0.194878 -0.860062 -34.46096
-11.81 89 0.197105 -0.852009 -34.12199
-11.74 90 0.199332 -0.84401 -33.78533
-11.59 91 0.201559 -0.836066 -33.45092
-11.32 92 0.203786 -0.828173 -33.11873
-11.06 93 0.206013 -0.820332 -32.78869
-10.61 94 0.208241 -0.812541 -32.46076
-10.38 95 0.210468 -0.804799 -32.13489
-10.34 96 0.212695 -0.797106 -31.81104
-10.12 97 0.214922 -0.789458 -31.48917
-9.74 98 0.217149 -0.781857 -31.16922
-9.72 99 0.219376 -0.774301 -30.85117
-9.71 100 0.221604 -0.766789 -30.53497
-9.64 101 0.223831 -0.759319 -30.22057
-9.07 102 0.226058 -0.751892 -29.90795
-8.92 103 0.228285 -0.744506 -29.59707
-8.67 104 0.230512 -0.737161 -29.28789
-8.65 105 0.232739 -0.729855 -28.98037
-8.30 106 0.234967 -0.722588 -28.67448
-8.28 107 0.237194 -0.715359 -28.37019
-8.25 108 0.239421 -0.708166 -28.06747
-8.24 109 0.241648 -0.701011 -27.76628
-8.15 110 0.243875 -0.693891 -27.4666
-7.95 111 0.246102 -0.686806 -27.16838
-7.89 112 0.24833 -0.679756 -26.87162
-7.49 113 0.250557 -0.672739 -26.57626
-7.49 114 0.252784 -0.665755 -26.2823
-7.31 115 0.255011 -0.658803 -25.98969
-7.23 116 0.257238 -0.651883 -25.69842
-7.05 117 0.259465 -0.644994 -25.40846
-7.01 118 0.261693 -0.638136 -25.11978
-6.77 119 0.26392 -0.631307 -24.83236
-6.64 120 0.266147 -0.624508 -24.54617
-6.50 121 0.268374 -0.617738 -24.26119
-6.23 122 0.270601 -0.610995 -23.9774
-6.02 123 0.272829 -0.604281 -23.69477
-5.96 124 0.275056 -0.597593 -23.41329
-5.61 125 0.277283 -0.590932 -23.13292
-5.29 126 0.27951 -0.584298 -22.85366
-4.96 127 0.281737 -0.577689 -22.57547
-4.95 128 0.283964 -0.571105 -22.29834
-4.93 129 0.286192 -0.564545 -22.02225
-4.86 130 0.288419 -0.55801 -21.74718
-4.62 131 0.290646 -0.551499 -21.47311
-4.52 132 0.292873 -0.545011 -21.20002
-4.40 133 0.2951 -0.538546 -20.92789
-4.39 134 0.297327 -0.532103 -20.6567
-4.27 135 0.299555 -0.525682 -20.38644
-4.20 136 0.301782 -0.519283 -20.11709
-4.19 137 0.304009 -0.512905 -19.84864
-4.19 138 0.306236 -0.506548 -19.58105
-4.00 139 0.308463 -0.500211 -19.31433
-3.98 140 0.31069 -0.493894 -19.04845
-3.84 141 0.312918 -0.487597 -18.7834
-3.82 142 0.315145 -0.481319 -18.51915
-3.81 143 0.317372 -0.47506 -18.25571
-3.79 144 0.319599 -0.46882 -17.99304
-3.51 145 0.321826 -0.462598 -17.73114
-3.49 146 0.324053 -0.456394 -17.47
-3.47 147 0.326281 -0.450207 -17.20959
-3.43 148 0.328508 -0.444037 -16.9499
-3.42 149 0.330735 -0.437885 -16.69092
-3.37 150 0.332962 -0.431748 -16.43264
-3.13 151 0.335189 -0.425628 -16.17504
-3.10 152 0.337416 -0.419524 -15.91811
-3.03 153 0.339644 -0.413436 -15.66184
-3.00 154 0.341871 -0.407363 -15.40621
-2.80 155 0.344098 -0.401304 -15.15121
-2.76 156 0.346325 -0.395261 -14.89683
-2.51 157 0.348552 -0.389232 -14.64306
-2.45 158 0.35078 -0.383217 -14.38988
-2.43 159 0.353007 -0.377216 -14.13728
-2.39 160 0.355234 -0.371228 -13.88525
-2.25 161 0.357461 -0.365254 -13.63378
-1.96 162 0.359688 -0.359292 -13.38286
-1.92 163 0.361915 -0.353344 -13.13248
-1.86 164 0.364143 -0.347408 -12.88262
-1.79 165 0.36637 -0.341484 -12.63328
-1.73 166 0.368597 -0.335572 -12.38443
-1.57 167 0.370824 -0.329672 -12.13608
-1.57 168 0.373051 -0.323783 -11.88822
-1.52 169 0.375278 -0.317905 -11.64082
-1.49 170 0.377506 -0.312039 -11.39389
-1.45 171 0.379733 -0.306183 -11.14741
-1.38 172 0.38196 -0.300337 -10.90137
-1.36 173 0.384187 -0.294502 -10.65576
-1.35 174 0.386414 -0.288677 -10.41057
-1.22 175 0.388641 -0.282862 -10.16579
-1.22 176 0.390869 -0.277056 -9.921414
-1.16 177 0.393096 -0.271259 -9.677431
-1.12 178 0.395323 -0.265472 -9.433832
-0.97 179 0.39755 -0.259693 -9.190606
-0.95 180 0.399777 -0.253924 -8.947744
-0.93 181 0.402004 -0.248162 -8.705238
-0.93 182 0.404232 -0.242409 -8.463078
-0.90 183 0.406459 -0.236664 -8.221255
-0.90 184 0.408686 -0.230926 -7.979761
-0.69 185 0.410913 -0.225197 -7.738586
-0.68 186 0.41314 -0.219474 -7.497722
-0.66 187 0.415367 -0.213759 -7.25716
-0.56 188 0.417595 -0.208051 -7.016892
-0.46 189 0.419822 -0.202349 -6.776908
-0.44 190 0.422049 -0.196654 -6.537201
-0.33 191 0.424276 -0.190966 -6.297763
-0.24 192 0.426503 -0.185283 -6.058584
-0.23 193 0.428731 -0.179607 -5.819657
-0.16 194 0.430958 -0.173936 -5.580973
-0.07 195 0.433185 -0.168271 -5.342524
-0.05 196 0.435412 -0.162612 -5.104302
0.00 197 0.437639 -0.156957 -4.8663
0.00 198 0.439866 -0.151308 -4.628508
0.00 199 0.442094 -0.145663 -4.390919
0.00 200 0.444321 -0.140023 -4.153526
0.00 201 0.446548 -0.134388 -3.91632
0.00 202 0.448775 -0.128757 -3.679294
0.00 203 0.451002 -0.12313 -3.442439
0.00 204 0.453229 -0.117506 -3.205748
0.00 205 0.455457 -0.111887 -2.969214
0.00 206 0.457684 -0.106271 -2.732828
0.00 207 0.459911 -0.100658 -2.496583
0.00 208 0.462138 -0.095049 -2.260472
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