DEMANDA NACIONAL DE OXIDOS DE COBRE EN EL PERU DESDE EL AÑO 2008 al 2018

AÑO Toneladas
2008 764.2
2009 576.9
2010 1,138.7
2011 1,125.2
2012 1,101.4
2013 887.0
2014 1,068.4
2015 1,409.4
2016 1,206.3
2017 1,342.5
2018 1,342.5

REGRESION LINEAL

AÑO Toneladas AÑO Toneladas LI

1 764.2 1 764.2 1600000.0
2 826.6 2 576.9
1400000.0
3 1,138.7 3 1,138.7
f(x) = 48458.6585787879
4 1,125.2 4 1,125.2 1200000.0 R² = 0.7550333542
5 1,101.4 5 1,101.4 1000000.0
6 1,018.9 6 887.0
800000.0
7 1,068.4 7 1,068.4
8 1,228.0 8 1,409.4 600000.0
9 1,206.3 9 1,206.3 400000.0
10 1,342.5 10 1,342.5
200000.0
11 1,342.5 11 1,342.5
0.0
0 2 4

REGRESION EXPONENCIAL �=𝐴 𝐵^� ln 〖� =ln 〖𝐴 +� ln𝐵 〗 〗

X Y X ln Y = Y´ 14.2
1 764.2 1 13.5466344 14.1 f(x) = 0.046131919
2 826.6 2 13.6250766 14 R² = 0.7273342794
3 1,138.7 3 13.945374 13.9
4 1,125.2 4 13.9334565 13.8
5 1,101.4 5 13.9120744 13.7
6 1,018.9 6 13.8342824 13.6
7 1,068.4 7 13.8817069
13.5
8 1,228.0 8 14.0209326
13.4
9 1,206.3 9 14.0031017
13.3
13.2
0 2
 13.6
13.5
13.4
13.3
10 1,342.5 10 14.1100247
13.2
11 1,342.5 11 14.1100247 0 2

REGRESIÓN CUADRATICA
CUADRATICA
X Y 1,600.0
1 764.2 1,400.0
2 826.6
1,200.0 f(x) = - 1826.4435777001x^2 + 70375.981511188
3 1,138.7 R² = 0.7633995974
4 1,125.2 1,000.0
5 1,101.4 800.0
6 1,018.9
600.0
7 1,068.4
8 1,228.0 400.0
9 1,206.3 200.0
10 1,342.5
0.0
11 1,342.5 0 2 4 6 8

REGRESIÓN POTENCIAL �=𝐴 �^𝐵 ln 〖� =ln 〖𝐴 +𝐵 ln� 〗 〗

X Y lnX = X´ ln Y = Y´
1 764.2 0 13.5466344 14.2
2 826.6 0.69314718 13.6250766 14.1
3 1,138.7 1.09861229 13.945374 14 f(x) = 0.216300781x
R² = 0.8070409347
4 1,125.2 1.38629436 13.9334565 13.9
5 1,101.4 1.60943791 13.9120744 13.8
6 1,018.9 1.79175947 13.8342824 13.7
7 1,068.4 1.94591015 13.8817069 13.6
8 1,228.0 2.07944154 14.0209326 13.5
9 1,206.3 2.19722458 14.0031017
13.4
10 1,342.5 2.30258509 14.1100247
13.3
11 1,342.5 2.39789527 14.1100247
13.2
0 0.5

REGRESIÓN INVERSA �=𝐴+ 𝐵/�

1,600.0
X Y 1/X Y
1 764.2 1 764.2 1,400.0

1,200.0
f(x) = - 5681
1,000.0 R² = 0.68773

800.0
 1,600.0

1,400.0

2 826.6 0.5 826.6 1,200.0

f(x) = - 5681
3 1,138.7 0.33333333 1,138.7 R² = 0.68773
1,000.0
4 1,125.2 0.25 1,125.2
800.0
5 1,101.4 0.2 1,101.4
6 1,018.9 0.16666667 1,018.9 600.0
7 1,068.4 0.14285714 1,068.4 400.0
8 1,228.0 0.125 1,228.0
200.0
9 1,206.3 0.11111111 1,206.3
10 1,342.5 0.1 1,342.5 0.0
0 0.2
11 1,342.5 0.09090909 1,342.5

REGRESIÓN HIPERBOLICA �=1/(𝐴+𝐵�)

〖 1/� 〗〖 =𝐴+𝐵�
〗
X Y X 1/Y = Y´ 0.0000
1 764.2 1 0.0000
0.0000
2 826.6 2 0.0000
f(x) = - 0.
3 1,138.7 3 0.0000 0.0000 R² = 0.692
4 1,125.2 4 0.0000
0.0000
5 1,101.4 5 0.0000
6 1,018.9 6 0.0000 0.0000
7 1,068.4 7 0.0000
8 1,228.0 8 0.0000 0.0000

9 1,206.3 9 0.0000 0.0000

10 1,342.5 10 0.0000
11 1,342.5 11 0.0000 0.0000
0 2

REGRESIÓN SEMILOGARITMICO 〖 �〗〖 =𝐴+𝐵𝑙𝑛� 〗

X Y X ln Y = Y´ 14.2
1 764.2 1 13.5466344
14.1 f(x) = 0.046
2 826.6 2 13.6250766 R² = 0.7273
14
3 1,138.7 3 13.945374
13.9
4 1,125.2 4 13.9334565
13.8
5 1,101.4 5 13.9120744
13.7
6 1,018.9 6 13.8342824
7 1,068.4 7 13.8817069 13.6

8 1,228.0 8 14.0209326 13.5

9 1,206.3 9 14.0031017 13.4

10 1,342.5 10 14.1100247 13.3
11 1,342.5 11 14.1100247 13.2
0 2
 REGRESION POLINOMICA

LINEAL AÑO Toneladas

00.0 1 764237.907
2 826600.327
00.0
3 1138672.92
f(x) = 48458.6585787879x + 814956.334072727
00.0 R² = 0.7550333542 4 1125183.26
00.0 5 1101379.93
6 1018949.15
00.0
7 1068436.46
00.0 8 1228043.18
00.0 9 1206340.22
10 1342473.89
00.0
11 1342473.89
0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12

EXPONENCIAL
14.2
14.1 f(x) = 0.0461319198x + 13.625271102
14 R² = 0.7273342794

13.9
13.8
13.7
13.6
13.5
13.4
13.3
13.2
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
 13.6
13.5
13.4
13.3
13.2
0 2 4 6 8 10 12

CUADRATICA

6.4435777001x^2 + 70375.9815111888x + 767468.801052525

995974

A -1826.4
B 70376
C 767469
R2 0.7634

4 6 8 10 12

POTENCIAL
14.2
14.1
14 f(x) = 0.216300781x + 13.5579023611
R² = 0.8070409347
13.9
13.8
13.7
13.6
13.5
13.4
13.3
13.2
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3

INVERSA
1,600.0

1,400.0

1,200.0
f(x) = - 568119.802101081x + 1261676.6600492
1,000.0 R² = 0.6877356508

800.0
 INVERSA
1,600.0

1,400.0

1,200.0
f(x) = - 568119.802101081x + 1261676.6600492
1,000.0 R² = 0.6877356508

800.0

600.0

400.0

200.0

0.0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2

HIPERBOLICA
0.0000

0.0000
f(x) = - 0.000000045x + 0.000001201
0.0000 R² = 0.692456252

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12

SEMILOGARITMICA
14.2
14.1 f(x) = 0.0461319198x + 13.625271102
14 R² = 0.7273342794

13.9
13.8
13.7
13.6
13.5
13.4
13.3
13.2
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
 Chart Title
1600000

1400000
R² = 0.9563752574
1200000

1000000

800000

600000

400000

200000

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
 PROYECCION DE DEMANDA
AÑO t DEMAN PROYEC
2019 12 1349037
2020 13 1373763
2021 14 1394837
2022 15 1412259
2023 16 1426029
2024 17 1436147
2025 18 1442613
2026 19 1445427
2027 20 1444589
2028 21 1440099

A -1826.4
B 70376
C 767469
R2 0.7634