Calculos de Metodos de Pronostico

PERIODO Item 19 Item 46 Item 57 Item 28 PROMEDIO ITEM 19
1 1 2 4 1 2.35357142857143
2 1 4 2 1
3 4 5 2 6 DESVIACION E. ITEM 19
4 4 2 4 2 1.43683796171072
5 3 1 3 6
6 3 2 2 1 CRITERIO ELIMINACION I. 19
7 1 2 2 2 5.94566633284822
8 2 5 3 3 -1.23852347570536
9 2 2 4 1
10 1 2 2 1
11 4 2 7 2 ELIMINADOS ITEM 19
12 6 1 1 1 13, 17, 44, 74, 91, 157, 170, 174,
13 3 1 4 1 175, 212, 248
14 1 2 1 1
15 2 2 2 3 11
16 6 1 1 2
17 1 3 1 3
18 1 3 2 3 G
19 1 3 1 1 10
20 2 1 2 2
21 1 3 1 1 9
22 1 2 4 2 8
23 1 3 5 1
7
24 1 1 4 1
25 3 1 1 2 6
26 3 1 2 4 DEMANDA
5
27 1 2 6 1
28 1 4 2 3 4
29 3 2 1 3 3
30 2 4 1 1
2 f(x) = − 0.001130207564601 x +
31 1 1 1 1
32 1 1 2 2 1
33 3 6 2 2
0
34 1 1 2 1 0 50
35 1 2 1 5
36 5 3 3 3
37 3 1 2 2 30
38 4 3 1 3
39 4 4 3 3
40 5 6 5 2 25
41 1 1 3 2
42 3 5 3 1
43 6 2 1 7 20
44 1 3 3 3
45 1 1 1 5
DEMANDA
15
10
20
DEMANDA
46 2 4 1 1 15
47 3 6 2 1
48 1 2 1 2
49 2 1 2 4 10
50 4 2 3 2
51 1 8 1 3
52 3 1 1 2 5
53 5 2 1 1
54 4 2 2 4 f(x) = − 0.000311592895682 x +
55 3 4 4 4 0
0 50
56 1 5 4 5
57 2 3 1 1
58 2 4 1 1 ITEM 57
59 3 2 2 2 25
60 3 1 3 2
61 2 6 4 8
62 3 2 5 1 20
63 5 4 1 3
64 1 3 2 1 15
DEMANDA
65 1 2 1 1
66 5 2 1 1 10
67 1 2 1 2
68 2 1 1 2
5
69 5 1 1 1
70 5 1 3 1
f(x) = 0.000521508109615 x + 2.255
71 1 2 2 3 0
0 50 100
72 2 2 2 2
73 9 2 1 2
74 1 1 6 2
75 2 1 8 1
76 3 2 2 2
77 3 7 3 4 ITEM
78 4 1 1 3
10
79 3 1 1 2
80 1 2 0 2 9
81 1 3 1 2 8
82 2 2 1 2
7
83 1 1 1 2
84 3 2 1 1 6
DEMANDA
85 2 4 1 1 5
86 1 3 4 2 4
87 3 4 1 4
3
88 1 1 1 5
89 2 3 1 6 2
f(x) = − 0.000588199922375 x + 2.18
90 6 3 6 1 1
91 4 1 1 3
0
92 4 2 4 4 0 50 100
2 f(x) = − 0.000588199922375 x + 2.18
1
0
0 50 100
93 1 2 5 4
94 1 2 5 1
95 2 4 2 4
96 3 7 2 4
97 1 3 3 1
98 2 2 1 1
99 5 1 1 1
100 2 1 1 2
101 2 2 1 1
102 2 3 3 3
103 1 1 7 1
104 5 4 3 1
105 1 2 8 1
106 2 1 1 1
107 1 4 1 1
108 1 1 2 2
109 3 2 1 2
110 2 2 2 2
111 1 1 2 2
112 3 2 2 2
113 3 6 1 1
114 3 1 5 1
115 1 3 3 3
116 1 1 1 1
117 4 4 2 1
118 2 1 1 2
119 3 2 4 1
120 4 6 1 1
121 1 3 3 1
122 2 1 1 1
123 4 4 4 1
124 1 1 2 1
125 2 3 2 2
126 1 2 1 1
127 5 2 2 2
128 1 5 5 1
129 2 2 1 2
130 3 3 1 1
131 1 4 1 5
132 4 3 3 1
133 3 3 5 3
134 2 2 5 2
135 2 4 2 1
136 1 1 1 2
137 3 5 1 2
138 2 2 1 1
139 3 2 1 1
140 2 3 2 1
141 1 2 1 1
142 4 3 2 1
143 1 2 1 1
144 1 4 5 1
145 3 2 2 3
146 4 1 1 1
147 1 5 3 1
148 1 1 1 2
149 1 1 2 2
150 3 2 1 2
151 2 2 1 1
152 1 1 1 1
153 2 2 1 4
154 1 4 1 2
155 3 2 4 1
156 6 2 1 1
157 2 1 3 2
158 5 1 4 1
159 3 5 1 2
160 3 5 1 2
161 1 1 1 3
162 3 3 1 2
163 2 1 1 1
164 1 3 1 2
165 3 4 2 1
166 1 2 1 1
167 1 1 14 2
168 2 4 1 3
169 6 5 3 1
170 2 2 1 3
171 4 4 1 3
172 1 2 2 2
173 6 1 2 1
174 6 4 1 3
175 2 5 1 3
176 1 4 3 1
177 2 1 2 2
178 1 2 2 5
179 1 4 2 3
180 3 2 1 1
181 3 2 1 1
182 3 2 1 1
183 2 2 4 1
184 2 4 1 1
185 3 4 2 1
186 1 2 3 2
187 3 1 1 4
188 2 2 1 1
189 2 1 2 1
190 1 2 1 5
191 3 4 1 1
192 1 3 1 3
193 3 1 1 4
194 2 4 2 4
195 1 3 1 2
196 4 3 4 1
197 1 2 2 1
198 1 2 8 2
199 1 2 2 3
200 4 3 1 1
201 5 1 2 1
202 3 1 1 3
203 1 5 2 2
204 1 1 4 2
205 1 4 2 4
206 2 2 1 4
207 1 3 3 3
208 3 2 2 2
209 3 8 20 5
210 1 2 1 2
211 6 1 4 1
212 1 2 2 1
213 4 3 2 1
214 3 3 2 3
215 1 1 1 1
216 3 2 1 2
217 1 3 2 1
218 2 3 1 3
219 2 2 1 1
220 2 5 1 7
221 3 1 1 3
222 1 1 1 2
223 2 2 3 2
224 1 1 6 3
225 1 1 15 1
226 4 3 4 1
227 1 2 8 1
228 2 2 4 2
229 2 6 1 2
230 1 1 4 2
231 1 2 1 2
232 1 2 1 2
233 3 2 1 6
234 3 2 1 5
235 3 1 5 4
236 3 1 1 1
237 2 1 2 1
238 3 2 3 3
239 2 4 1 1
240 1 1 1 1
241 2 3 1 1
242 3 1 1 2
243 1 1 4 1
244 3 1 1 2
245 4 4 5 4
246 2 1 4 3
247 6 1 2 3
248 2 3 2 3
249 1 3 3 2
250 4 1 4 3
251 2 1 3 2
252 3 1 1 9
253 2 1 1 4
254 1 4 2 1
255 1 1 2 1
256 1 1 2 3
257 4 2 1 2
258 2 4 1 2
259 3 3 4 5
260 5 2 2 1
261 1 1 1 1
262 2 2 2 2
263 1 1 1 1
264 2 1 1 2
265 3 1 1 3
266 1 24 1 1
267 1 5 4 4
268 1 1 2 1
269 1 6 1 1
270 4 2 1 1
271 3 1 2 1
272 2 2 3 1
273 1 1 5 1
274 5 2 1 1
275 5 1 12 1
276 1 1 1 1
277 1 1 1 3
278 3 1 1 1
279 1 5 1 1
280 1 2 2 1
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3
4
3
3
2
4
1
5
2
2
3
2
3
2
4
2
1
5
1
1
2
2
1
2
4
2
2
1
1
5
5
1
3
1
3
4
2
1
4
5
2
4
2
1
4
5
4
1
2
4
2
2
2
2
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4
2
1
2
1
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1
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3
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1
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1
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2
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1
1
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1
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1
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1
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2
1
2
1
1
1
24
5
1
6
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
2
Item 46
2
4
5
2
1
2
2
5
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
3
3
3
1
3
2
3
1
1
1
2
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2
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1
1
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1
2
3
1
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1
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2
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1
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2
1
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1
2
2
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3
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2
1
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2
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3
2
2
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1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
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1
1
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2
1
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3
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1
3
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1
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2
1
1
2
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1
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2
1
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1
2
2
1
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1
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1
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1
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3
1
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1
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2
2
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2
3
4
3
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1
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2
2
3
2
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2
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2
1
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1
1
2
2
1
2
4
2
2
1
1
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5
1
3
1
3
4
2
1
4
5
2
4
2
1
4
5
4
1
2
4
2
2
2
2
4
4
2
1
2
1
2
4
3
1
4
3
3
2
2
2
3
1
1
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1
4
2
3
2
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2
1
2
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3
1
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3
3
2
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1
1
2
1
1
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2
2
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1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
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1
3
1
1
1
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1
1
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3
1
1
1
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1
1
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3
2
1
2
1
1
1
24
5
1
6
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
2
Item 46
2
4
5
2
1
2
2
5
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
3
3
3
1
3
2
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1
1
1
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1
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1
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1
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2
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2
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1
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1
1
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1
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1
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2
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2
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1
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2
1
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1
3
1
4
1
2
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3
1
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1
3
2
2
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2
3
4
3
3
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1
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2
2
3
2
3
2
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2
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1
1
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2
1
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2
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5
1
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1
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2
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2
Item 46
2
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2
1
2
2
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2
2
2
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1
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1
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Item 46
2
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2
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2
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1
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1
1
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2
Item 46
2
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2
1
2
2
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2
2
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1
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1
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1
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2
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1
1
1
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2
Item 46
2
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2
1
2
2
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2
2
2
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1
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1
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1
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1
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2
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2
1
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1
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2
Item 46
2
4
5
2
1
2
2
5
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
3
3
3
1
3
2
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1
1
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1
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2
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1
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2
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1
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3
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1
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3
1
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1
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2
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1
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1
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3
1
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1
3
2
2
5
2
3
4
3
3
2
4
1
5
2
2
3
2
3
2
4
2
1
5
1
1
2
2
1
2
4
2
2
1
1
5
5
1
3
1
3
4
2
1
4
5
2
4
2
1
4
5
4
1
2
4
2
2
2
2
4
4
2
1
2
1
2
4
3
1
4
3
3
2
2
2
3
1
1
5
1
4
2
3
2
8
2
1
2
3
3
1
2
3
3
2
5
1
1
2
1
1
3
2
2
6
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
4
1
3
1
1
1
4
1
1
3
3
1
1
1
1
4
1
1
2
4
3
2
1
2
1
1
1
24
5
1
6
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
2
PROMEDIO ITEM 46 PROMEDIO ITEM 57 PROMEDIO ITEM 28
2.5 2.32857142857143 2.1
DESVIACION E. ITEM 46 DESVIACION E. ITEM 57 DESVIACION E. ITEM 28

1.95284921888112 2.20114944603236 1.37983428437249
CRITERIO ELIMINACION I. 46 CRITERIO ELIMINACION I. 57 CRITERIO ELIMINACION I. 28

7.38212304720279 7.83144504365233 5.54958571093123
-2.38212304720279 -3.17430218650947 -1.34958571093123
ELIMINADOS ITEM 46 ELIMINADOS ITEM 57 ELIMINADOS ITEM 28

76, 106, 168, 194, 210, 226,
52, 210, 267 4, 6, 44, 62, 90, 221, 234, 253
228, 276
3 8 8
GRÁFICO 1: ITEM 19 CON DATOS ATIPICOS)
ITEM 19
Linear (ITEM 19)
= − 0.001130207564601 x + 2.51236559139785
50 100 150 200 250 300
GRAFICO 2:PERIODO
ITEM 46 CON DATOS ATIPICOS
− 0.000311592895682 x + 2.54377880184332
50 100 150 200 250 300

PERIODO
ITEM 57 CON DATOS ATIPICOS(Grafico 3)
ITEM 57
Linear (ITEM 57)
00521508109615 x + 2.25529953917051
50 100 150 200 250 300
PERIODO
ITEM 28 CON DATOS ATIPICOS(Grafico 4)
ITEM 28
Linear (ITEM 28)
000588199922375 x + 2.1826420890937
50 100 150 200 250 300

PERIODO
000588199922375 x + 2.1826420890937
50 100 150 200 250 300

PERIODO
ITEM 19
Linear (ITEM 19)
300
ITEM 46
Linear (ITEM 46)
ITEM 46
Linear (ITEM 46)
300
28
r (ITEM 28)
PERIODO Item 19 NAIVE
1 1 PRONOSTICO ECM MAD
2 1 PROMEDIOS 2.9628293877551 1.34214285714286
3 4
4 4
5 3
6 3
7 1
8 2
9 2
10 1
11 4
12 2.35357143
13 3
14 1
15 2
16 2.35357143
17 1
18 1
19 1
20 2
21 1
22 1
23 1
24 1
25 3
26 3
27 1
28 1
29 3
30 2 3 1 1
31 1 2 1 1
32 1 1 0 0
33 3 1 4 2
34 1 3 4 2
35 1 1 0 0
36 5 1 16 4
37 3 5 4 2
38 4 3 1 1
39 4 4 0 0
40 5 4 1 1
41 1 5 16 4
42 3 1 4 2
43 2.35357143 3 0.417869897959184 0.646428571428571
44 1 2.35357142857143 1.8321556122449 1.35357142857143
45 1 1 0 0
46 2 1 1 1
47 3 2 1 1
48 1 3 4 2
49 2 1 1 1
50 4 2 4 2
51 1 4 9 3
52 3 1 4 2
53 5 3 4 2
54 4 5 1 1
55 3 4 1 1
56 1 3 4 2
57 2 1 1 1
58 2 2 0 0
59 3 2 1 1
60 3 3 0 0
61 2 3 1 1
62 3 2 1 1
63 5 3 4 2
64 1 5 16 4
65 1 1 0 0
66 5 1 16 4
67 1 5 16 4
68 2 1 1 1
69 5 2 9 3
70 5 5 0 0
71 1 5 16 4
72 2 1 1 1
73 2.35357143 2 0.125012755102041 0.353571428571429
74 1 2.35357142857143 1.8321556122449 1.35357142857143
75 2 1 1 1
76 3 2 1 1
77 3 3 0 0
78 4 3 1 1
79 3 4 1 1
80 1 3 4 2
81 1 1 0 0
82 2 1 1 1
83 1 2 1 1
84 3 1 4 2
85 2 3 1 1
86 1 2 1 1
87 3 1 4 2
88 1 3 4 2
89 2 1 1 1
90 2.35357143 2 0.125012755102041 0.353571428571429
91 4 2.35357142857143 2.71072704081633 1.64642857142857
92 4 4 0 0
93 1 4 9 3
94 1 1 0 0
95 2 1 1 1
96 3 2 1 1
97 1 3 4 2
98 2 1 1 1
99 5 2 9 3
100 2 5 9 3
101 2 2 0 0
102 2 2 0 0
103 1 2 1 1
104 5 1 16 4
105 1 5 16 4
106 2 1 1 1
107 1 2 1 1
108 1 1 0 0
109 3 1 4 2
110 2 3 1 1
111 1 2 1 1
112 3 1 4 2
113 3 3 0 0
114 3 3 0 0
115 1 3 4 2
116 1 1 0 0
117 4 1 9 3
118 2 4 4 2
119 3 2 1 1
120 4 3 1 1
121 1 4 9 3
122 2 1 1 1
123 4 2 4 2
124 1 4 9 3
125 2 1 1 1
126 1 2 1 1
127 5 1 16 4
128 1 5 16 4
129 2 1 1 1
130 3 2 1 1
131 1 3 4 2
132 4 1 9 3
133 3 4 1 1
134 2 3 1 1
135 2 2 0 0
136 1 2 1 1
137 3 1 4 2
138 2 3 1 1
139 3 2 1 1
140 2 3 1 1
141 1 2 1 1
142 4 1 9 3
143 1 4 9 3
144 1 1 0 0
145 3 1 4 2
146 4 3 1 1
147 1 4 9 3
148 1 1 0 0
149 1 1 0 0
150 3 1 4 2
151 2 3 1 1
152 1 2 1 1
153 2 1 1 1
154 1 2 1 1
155 3 1 4 2
156 2.35357143 3 0.417869897959184 0.646428571428571
157 2 2.35357142857143 0.125012755102041 0.353571428571429
158 5 2 9 3
159 3 5 4 2
160 3 3 0 0
161 1 3 4 2
162 3 1 4 2
163 2 3 1 1
164 1 2 1 1
165 3 1 4 2
166 1 3 4 2
167 1 1 0 0
168 2 1 1 1
169 2.35357143 2 0.125012755102041 0.353571428571429
170 2 2.35357142857143 0.125012755102041 0.353571428571429
171 4 2 4 2
172 1 4 9 3
173 2.35357143 1 1.8321556122449 1.35357142857143
174 2.35357143 2.35357142857143 0 0
175 2 2.35357142857143 0.125012755102041 0.353571428571429
176 1 2 1 1
177 2 1 1 1
178 1 2 1 1
179 1 1 0 0
180 3 1 4 2
181 3 3 0 0
182 3 3 0 0
183 2 3 1 1
184 2 2 0 0
185 3 2 1 1
186 1 3 4 2
187 3 1 4 2
188 2 3 1 1
189 2 2 0 0
190 1 2 1 1
191 3 1 4 2
192 1 3 4 2
193 3 1 4 2
194 2 3 1 1
195 1 2 1 1
196 4 1 9 3
197 1 4 9 3
198 1 1 0 0
199 1 1 0 0
200 4 1 9 3
201 5 4 1 1
202 3 5 4 2
203 1 3 4 2
204 1 1 0 0
205 1 1 0 0
206 2 1 1 1
207 1 2 1 1
208 3 1 4 2
209 3 3 0 0
210 1 3 4 2
211 2.35357143 1 1.8321556122449 1.35357142857143
212 1 2.35357142857143 1.8321556122449 1.35357142857143
213 4 1 9 3
214 3 4 1 1
215 1 3 4 2
216 3 1 4 2
217 1 3 4 2
218 2 1 1 1
219 2 2 0 0
220 2 2 0 0
221 3 2 1 1
222 1 3 4 2
223 2 1 1 1
224 1 2 1 1
225 1 1 0 0
226 4 1 9 3
227 1 4 9 3
228 2 1 1 1
229 2 2 0 0
230 1 2 1 1
231 1 1 0 0
232 1 1 0 0
233 3 1 4 2
234 3 3 0 0
235 3 3 0 0
236 3 3 0 0
237 2 3 1 1
238 3 2 1 1
239 2 3 1 1
240 1 2 1 1
241 2 1 1 1
242 3 2 1 1
243 1 3 4 2
244 3 1 4 2
245 4 3 1 1
246 2 4 4 2
247 2.35357143 2 0.125012755102041 0.353571428571429
248 2 2.35357142857143 0.125012755102041 0.353571428571429
249 1 2 1 1
250 4 1 9 3
251 2 4 4 2
252 3 2 1 1
253 2 3 1 1
254 1 2 1 1
255 1 1 0 0
256 1 1 0 0
257 4 1 9 3
258 2 4 4 2
259 3 2 1 1
260 5 3 4 2
261 1 5 16 4
262 2 1 1 1
263 1 2 1 1
264 2 1 1 1
265 3 2 1 1
266 1 3 4 2
267 1 1 0 0
268 1 1 0 0
269 1 1 0 0
270 4 1 9 3
271 3 4 1 1
272 2 3 1 1
273 1 2 1 1
274 5 1 16 4
275 5 5 0 0
276 1 5 16 4
277 1 1 0 0
278 3 1 4 2
279 1 3 4 2
280 1 1 0 0
NAIVE
MAD MAPE MAPE' PRONOSTICO
1.34214285714286 -0.375515653622233 0.35782650480526 PROMEDIOS
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.2

1 -1 -0.5 2
0 0 0 1.6
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.6
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2
0 0 0 1.6
4 0.8 4 1.4
2 -0.666666666666667 -0.4 2.2
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2.6
0 0 0 2.8
1 0.2 0.25 3.4
4 -4 -0.8 4.2
2 0.666666666666667 2 3.4
0.646428571428571 -0.274658573596358 -0.21547619047619 3.4
1.35357142857143 -1.35357142857143 -0.575113808801214 3.07071428571429
0 0 0 2.47071428571429
1 0.5 1 1.67071428571429
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.87071428571429
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 1.87071428571429
1 0.5 1 1.6
2 0.5 1 1.8
3 -3 -0.75 2.4
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.2
2 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.2
1 -0.25 -0.2 3
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 3.4
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 3.2
1 0.5 1 3.2
0 0 0 3
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.4
0 0 0 2.2
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.2
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.4
2 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.6
4 -4 -0.8 3.2
0 0 0 2.8
4 0.8 4 2.4
4 -4 -0.8 3
1 0.5 1 2.6
3 0.6 1.5 2
0 0 0 2.8
4 -4 -0.8 3.6
1 0.5 1 2.8
0.353571428571429 0.150227617602428 0.176785714285714 3
1.35357142857143 -1.35357142857143 -0.575113808801214 3.07071428571429
1 0.5 1 2.27071428571429
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.67071428571429
0 0 0 2.07071428571429
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2.27071428571429
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 2.6
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 3
0 0 0 2.8
1 0.5 1 2.4
1 -1 -0.5 2.2
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.6
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 1.6
1 -1 -0.5 1.8
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.8
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2
1 0.5 1 2
0.353571428571429 0.150227617602428 0.176785714285714 1.8
1.64642857142857 0.411607142857143 0.699544764795144 1.87071428571429
0 0 0 2.47071428571429
3 -3 -0.75 2.67071428571429
0 0 0 2.67071428571429
1 0.5 1 2.47071428571429
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.4
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.2
1 0.5 1 1.6
3 0.6 1.5 1.8
3 -1.5 -0.6 2.6
0 0 0 2.6
0 0 0 2.4
1 -1 -0.5 2.6
4 0.8 4 2.4
4 -4 -0.8 2.4
1 0.5 1 2.2
1 -1 -0.5 2.2
0 0 0 2
2 0.666666666666667 2 2
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 1.6
1 -1 -0.5 1.8
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.6
0 0 0 2
0 0 0 2.4
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.4
0 0 0 2.2
3 0.75 3 2.2
2 -1 -0.5 2.4
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.2
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2.2
3 -3 -0.75 2.8
1 0.5 1 2.8
2 0.5 1 2.4
3 -3 -0.75 2.8
1 0.5 1 2.4
1 -1 -0.5 2
4 0.8 4 2
4 -4 -0.8 2.6
1 0.5 1 2
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.2
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.4
3 0.75 3 2.4
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 2.2
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.6
0 0 0 2.6
1 -1 -0.5 2.4
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.4
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.2
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.2
1 -1 -0.5 2.2
3 0.75 3 2.2
3 -3 -0.75 2.4
0 0 0 2.2
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.8
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2
3 -3 -0.75 2.6
0 0 0 2
0 0 0 2
2 0.666666666666667 2 2
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2
1 -1 -0.5 1.6
1 0.5 1 1.6
1 -1 -0.5 1.8
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.8
0.646428571428571 -0.274658573596358 -0.21547619047619 1.8
0.353571428571429 -0.176785714285714 -0.150227617602428 1.87071428571429
3 0.6 1.5 2.07071428571429
2 -0.666666666666667 -0.4 2.67071428571429
0 0 0 3.07071428571429
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 3.07071428571429
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.8
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 3
1 -1 -0.5 2.4
2 0.666666666666667 2 2
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2
0 0 0 2
1 0.5 1 1.6
0.353571428571429 0.150227617602428 0.176785714285714 1.6
0.353571428571429 -0.176785714285714 -0.150227617602428 1.87071428571429
2 0.5 1 1.67071428571429
3 -3 -0.75 2.27071428571429
1.35357142857143 0.575113808801214 1.35357142857143 2.27071428571429
0 0 0 2.34142857142857
0.353571428571429 -0.176785714285714 -0.150227617602428 2.34142857142857
1 -1 -0.5 2.34142857142857
1 0.5 1 1.74142857142857
1 -1 -0.5 1.94142857142857
0 0 0 1.67071428571429
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.4
0 0 0 1.6
0 0 0 2
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.2
0 0 0 2.4
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.6
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.6
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.2
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.2
0 0 0 2.2
1 -1 -0.5 2.2
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.8
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.2
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.8
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2
1 -1 -0.5 2
3 0.75 3 2
3 -3 -0.75 2.2
0 0 0 2.2
0 0 0 1.8
3 0.75 3 1.6
1 0.2 0.25 2.2
2 -0.666666666666667 -0.4 2.4
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.8
0 0 0 2.8
0 0 0 2.8
1 0.5 1 2.2
1 -1 -0.5 1.6
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.2
0 0 0 1.6
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2
1.35357142857143 0.575113808801214 1.35357142857143 2
1.35357142857143 -1.35357142857143 -0.575113808801214 2.07071428571429
3 0.75 3 2.07071428571429
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 2.27071428571429
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.27071428571429
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.27071428571429
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.4
1 0.5 1 2.4
0 0 0 2
0 0 0 1.8
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2
1 0.5 1 2
1 -1 -0.5 2
0 0 0 1.8
3 0.75 3 1.6
3 -3 -0.75 1.8
1 0.5 1 1.8
0 0 0 1.8
1 -1 -0.5 2
0 0 0 2
0 0 0 1.4
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.4
0 0 0 1.6
0 0 0 1.8
0 0 0 2.2
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.6
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.8
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.8
1 -1 -0.5 2.6
1 0.5 1 2.2
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.2
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.8
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2
2 -1 -0.5 2.6
0.353571428571429 0.150227617602428 0.176785714285714 2.6
0.353571428571429 -0.176785714285714 -0.150227617602428 2.47071428571429
1 -1 -0.5 2.67071428571429
3 0.75 3 2.27071428571429
2 -1 -0.5 2.27071428571429
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.27071428571429
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.4
1 -1 -0.5 2.4
0 0 0 2.4
0 0 0 1.8
3 0.75 3 1.6
2 -1 -0.5 1.8
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.8
2 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.2
4 -4 -0.8 3
1 0.5 1 3
1 -1 -0.5 2.6
1 0.5 1 2.4
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.2
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 1.8
0 0 0 1.8
0 0 0 1.6
0 0 0 1.6
3 0.75 3 1.4
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 1.6
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2
1 -1 -0.5 2.2
4 0.8 4 2.2
0 0 0 3
4 -4 -0.8 3.2
0 0 0 2.8
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.6
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 3
0 0 0 2.2
MEDIA MOVIL N = 5
ECM MAD MAPE MAPE'
1.78347251020408 1.11492571428571 -0.363167739865597 0.056718017809698
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091

1 1 -1 -0.5
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375
1.96 1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875
1 1 -1 -0.5
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375
12.96 3.6 0.72 2.57142857142857
0.64 0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364
1.96 1.4 0.35 0.538461538461538
1.44 1.2 0.3 0.428571428571429
2.56 1.6 0.32 0.470588235294118
10.24 3.2 -3.2 -0.761904761904762
0.16 0.4 -0.133333333333333 -0.117647058823529
1.09501275510204 1.04642857142857 -0.444613050075872 -0.307773109243697
4.28785765306122 2.07071428571429 -2.07071428571429 -0.674342870434985
2.16300051020408 1.47071428571429 -1.47071428571429 -0.59525874530211
0.108429081632653 0.329285714285714 0.164642857142857 0.197092774690039
1.2752862244898 1.12928571428571 0.376428571428571 0.603665521191295
0.758143367346939 0.870714285714286 -0.870714285714286 -0.465444826269569
0.16 0.4 0.2 0.25
4.84 2.2 0.55 1.22222222222222
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333
0.64 0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364
7.84 2.8 0.56 1.27272727272727
1 1 0.25 0.333333333333333
0.16 0.4 -0.133333333333333 -0.117647058823529
4.84 2.2 -2.2 -0.6875
1.44 1.2 -0.6 -0.375
1 1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25
0.64 0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25
5.76 2.4 0.48 0.923076923076923
4.84 2.2 -2.2 -0.6875
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143
6.76 2.6 0.52 1.08333333333333
4 2 -2 -0.666666666666667
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231
9 3 0.6 1.5
4.84 2.2 0.44 0.785714285714286
6.76 2.6 -2.6 -0.722222222222222
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286
0.417869897959184 0.646428571428571 -0.274658573596358 -0.21547619047619
4.28785765306122 2.07071428571429 -2.07071428571429 -0.674342870434985
0.073286224489796 0.270714285714285 -0.135357142857143 -0.119219880465555
1.76700051020408 1.32928571428571 0.443095238095238 0.795639162035058
0.86357193877551 0.929285714285714 0.309761904761905 0.44877543980683
2.99042908163265 1.72928571428571 0.432321428571429 0.76156023906889
0.16 0.4 0.133333333333333 0.153846153846154
4 2 -2 -0.666666666666667
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546
1.96 1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875
0.16 0.4 0.2 0.25
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444
1.44 1.2 0.4 0.666666666666667
1 1 -1 -0.5
0 0 0 0
0.306441326530612 0.553571428571429 0.235204855842185 0.307539682539683
4.53385765306123 2.12928571428571 0.532321428571429 1.13822069492173
2.33871479591837 1.52928571428571 0.382321428571429 0.618965018791558
2.79128622448979 1.67071428571429 -1.67071428571429 -0.625568333779085
2.79128622448979 1.67071428571429 -1.67071428571429 -0.625568333779085
0.22157193877551 0.470714285714286 -0.235357142857143 -0.190517490604221
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546
0.16 0.4 0.2 0.25
10.24 3.2 0.64 1.77777777777778
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615
6.76 2.6 0.52 1.08333333333333
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546
1 1 -1 -0.5
1 1 0.333333333333333 0.5
0.16 0.4 0.2 0.25
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444
1.96 1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875
1 1 0.333333333333333 0.5
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546
3.24 1.8 0.45 0.818181818181818
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667
0.64 0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364
3.24 1.8 0.45 0.818181818181818
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286
2.56 1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667
1 1 -1 -0.5
9 3 0.6 1.5
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615
0 0 0 0
0.64 0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333
2.56 1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667
0.64 0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091
1 1 0.333333333333333 0.5
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546
3.24 1.8 0.45 0.818181818181818
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546
1.44 1.2 0.4 0.666666666666667
4 2 0.5 1
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615
1 1 -1 -0.5
1 1 -1 -0.5
1 1 0.333333333333333 0.5
0 0 0 0
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375
0.16 0.4 0.2 0.25
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444
1.44 1.2 0.4 0.666666666666667
0.306441326530612 0.553571428571429 0.235204855842185 0.307539682539683
0.016714795918367 0.129285714285714 0.064642857142857 0.069110347460863
8.58071479591837 2.92928571428571 0.585857142857143 1.41462573301138
0.108429081632653 0.329285714285715 0.109761904761905 0.123294998662744
0.005000510204082 0.070714285714286 -0.023571428571429 -0.023028611304955
4.28785765306122 2.07071428571429 -2.07071428571429 -0.674342870434985
0.04 0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572
1 1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333
1 1 0.333333333333333 0.5
1 1 -1 -0.5
1 1 -1 -0.5
0.16 0.4 0.2 0.25
0.567869897959184 0.753571428571429 0.320182094081942 0.470982142857143
0.016714795918367 0.129285714285714 0.064642857142857 0.069110347460863
5.42557193877551 2.32928571428571 0.582321428571429 1.39418554938008
1.61471479591837 1.27071428571429 -1.27071428571429 -0.559609940232778
0.006865306122449 0.082857142857143 0.035204855842185 0.036489462094999
0.000147448979592 0.012142857142858 0.0051593323217 0.005186089078707
0.116573469387755 0.341428571428572 -0.170714285714286 -0.14582062233069
1.7994306122449 1.34142857142857 -1.34142857142857 -0.572910311165345
0.066859183673469 0.258571428571428 0.129285714285714 0.148482362592289
0.886287755102041 0.941428571428571 -0.941428571428571 -0.484915378955114
0.449857653061224 0.670714285714286 -0.670714285714286 -0.401453612654981
2.56 1.6 0.533333333333333 1.14285714285714
1.96 1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875
1 1 0.333333333333333 0.5
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667
0.16 0.4 0.133333333333333 0.153846153846154
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615
0.64 0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091
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SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL SIMPLE
α= 0.013403175360194
PRONOSTICO ECM MAD MAPE
PROMEDIOS 1.45681913226239 0.994891053854895 -0.310215111688647
1.95541871921182
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SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL DOBLE
α= 0.013403175360194
PRONOSTICO ECM MAD MAPE
PROMEDIOS 1.54555794228015 0.993215913845158 -0.229131116920521
1.48467628430683 0.265558531955818 0.515323715693173 0.257661857846586

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METODO AUTO-REGRESIVO AR(D)
94 PRONOSTICO ECM MAD
MAPE' PROMEDIOS 1.41961132721066 0.993216918897704
0.110382056457609
D 3
a0 2.0709364083248
a1 0
a2 0
a3 0.070419058115404
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MAD MAPE MAPE'
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1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.71780641732899 0.429451604332247 0.752699696630695
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.647387359213586 0.215795786404529 0.275178050134586
1.8586445335598 0.464661133389949 0.867975711033915
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
1.28219358267101 -1.28219358267101 -0.561825075842326
1.35261264078641 -1.35261264078641 -0.574940649955138
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.141796904015821 0.060247546471062 0.064110017744377
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
2.71780641732899 0.543561283465798 1.19087462078837
0.763327308467875 0.254442436155958 0.341278056175933
0.788225475444393 0.262741825148131 0.356376957367643
1.42303169890182 -1.42303169890182 -0.587293884577232
0.717806417328989 0.23926880577633 0.314524772473021
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.717806417328989 0.23926880577633 0.314524772473021
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
0.212215962131225 0.090167631861522 0.099103565688705
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
1.78822547544439 0.447056368861098 0.808502609823524
1.23667269153212 -1.23667269153212 -0.552907314608022
0.141796904015821 0.060247546471062 0.064110017744377
0.000958787785014 0.000407375690143 0.000407541712729
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
1.23667269153212 -1.23667269153212 -0.552907314608022
0.236672691532125 -0.118336345766062 -0.105814629216045
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.788225475444393 0.262741825148131 0.356376957367643
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
0.717806417328989 0.23926880577633 0.314524772473021
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
0.788225475444393 0.262741825148131 0.356376957367643
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
1.28219358267101 -1.28219358267101 -0.561825075842326
0.788225475444393 0.262741825148131 0.356376957367643
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
1.71780641732899 0.429451604332247 0.752699696630695
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
1.35261264078641 -1.35261264078641 -0.574940649955138
1.8586445335598 0.464661133389949 0.867975711033915
2.8586445335598 0.571728906711959 1.33496963879239
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
1.35261264078641 -1.35261264078641 -0.574940649955138
1.42303169890182 -1.42303169890182 -0.587293884577232
1.28219358267101 -1.28219358267101 -0.561825075842326
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.788225475444393 0.262741825148131 0.356376957367643
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.071377845900418 0.030327461080602 0.031275982213954
1.28219358267101 -1.28219358267101 -0.561825075842326
1.8586445335598 0.464661133389949 0.867975711033915
0.763327308467875 0.254442436155958 0.341278056175933
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.647387359213586 0.215795786404529 0.275178050134586
1.28219358267101 -1.28219358267101 -0.561825075842326
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
0.788225475444393 0.262741825148131 0.356376957367643
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
0.211774524555608 -0.105887262277804 -0.095748695088238
1.28219358267101 -1.28219358267101 -0.561825075842326
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
1.78822547544439 0.447056368861098 0.808502609823524
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
0.352612640786414 -0.176306320393207 -0.149881299910276
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.717806417328989 0.23926880577633 0.314524772473021
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
0.717806417328989 0.23926880577633 0.314524772473021
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
0.788225475444393 0.262741825148131 0.356376957367643
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
0.788225475444393 0.262741825148131 0.356376957367643
1.71780641732899 0.429451604332247 0.752699696630695
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
0.071377845900418 0.030327461080602 0.031275982213954
0.352612640786414 -0.176306320393207 -0.149881299910276
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.76332730846788 0.440831827116969 0.78837074156791
0.211774524555608 -0.105887262277804 -0.095748695088238
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.352612640786414 -0.176306320393207 -0.149881299910276
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.28219358267101 -1.28219358267101 -0.561825075842326
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.8586445335598 0.464661133389949 0.867975711033915
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
2.64738735921359 0.529477471842717 1.12529675022431
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
0.282193582671011 -0.141096791335505 -0.123650151684652
1.42303169890182 -1.42303169890182 -0.587293884577232
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
0.788225475444393 0.262741825148131 0.356376957367643
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
1.21177452455561 -1.21177452455561 -0.547874347544119
1.28219358267101 -1.28219358267101 -0.561825075842326
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
1.8586445335598 0.464661133389949 0.867975711033915
0.858644533559796 0.286214844519932 0.400981783275436
0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043
1.35261264078641 -1.35261264078641 -0.574940649955138
2.71780641732899 0.543561283465798 1.19087462078837
2.78822547544439 0.557645095088879 1.26062826227941
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
1.42303169890182 -1.42303169890182 -0.587293884577232
0.576968301098182 0.192322767032727 0.238118346268305
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
1.1413554664402 -1.1413554664402 -0.533006072241521
DEMANDA
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
0
0 50
GR
50 100
GRAFICO ITEM 19 DATOS ATIPICOS CORREGIDOS
150 200
PERIODO
OS
200 250
ITEM 19
NAIVE
MEDIA MOVIL N = 5
300
NCIAL SIMPLE
NCIAL DOBLE
ESIVO AR(D)
PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION RESIDUOS(^2)
1 1 2.2913564892149 1.66760158223744
2 1 2.29069876952044 1.66590331364157
3 4 2.29004104982597 2.92395961128027
4 4 2.2893833301315 2.92620939123199
5 3 2.28872561043703 0.505911257248168
6 3 2.28806789074257 0.506847328191737
7 1 2.2874101710481 1.6574249485181
8 2 2.28675245135363 0.082226968357318
9 2 2.28609473165917 0.081850195483131
10 1 2.2854370119647 1.65234831172873
11 4 2.28477929227023 2.94198207622501
12 2.35357143 2.28412157257576 0.004823282497818
13 3 2.2834638528813 0.513424050127714
14 1 2.28280613318683 1.64559157534175
15 2 2.28214841349236 0.079607727236258
16 2.35357143 2.2814906937979 0.005195632325492
17 1 2.28083297410343 1.64053310755064
18 1 2.28017525440896 1.63884868200105
19 1 2.27951753471449 1.63716512164186
20 2 2.27885981502003 0.077762796433004
21 1 2.27820209532556 1.63380059649465
22 1 2.27754437563109 1.63211963170664
23 1 2.27688665593663 1.63043953210902
24 1 2.27622893624216 1.62876029770179
25 3 2.27557121654769 0.524797062294192
26 3 2.27491349685322 0.525750437045619
27 1 2.27425577715876 1.62372778562247
28 1 2.27359805746429 1.62205201197681
29 3 2.27294033776982 0.528615752442259
30 2 3
31 1 2
32 1 1
33 3 1
34 1 3
35 1 1
36 5 1
37 3 5
38 4 3
39 4 4
40 5 4
41 1 5
42 3 1
43 2.35357143 3
44 1 2.35357142857143
45 1 1
46 2 1
47 3 2
48 1 3
49 2 1
50 4 2
51 1 4
52 3 1
53 5 3
54 4 5
55 3 4
56 1 3
57 2 1
58 2 2
59 3 2
60 3 3
61 2 3
62 3 2
63 5 3
64 1 5
65 1 1
66 5 1
67 1 5
68 2 1
69 5 2
70 5 5
71 1 5
72 2 1
73 2.35357143 2
74 1 2.35357142857143
75 2 1
76 3 2
77 3 3
78 4 3
79 3 4
80 1 3
81 1 1
82 2 1
83 1 2
84 3 1
85 2 3
86 1 2
87 3 1
88 1 3
89 2 1
90 2.35357143 2
91 4 2.35357142857143
92 4 4
93 1 4
94 1 1
95 2 1
96 3 2
97 1 3
98 2 1
99 5 2
100 2 5
101 2 2
102 2 2
103 1 2
104 5 1
105 1 5
106 2 1
107 1 2
108 1 1
109 3 1
110 2 3
111 1 2
112 3 1
113 3 3
114 3 3
115 1 3
116 1 1
117 4 1
118 2 4
119 3 2
120 4 3
121 1 4
122 2 1
123 4 2
124 1 4
125 2 1
126 1 2
127 5 1
128 1 5
129 2 1
130 3 2
131 1 3
132 4 1
133 3 4
134 2 3
135 2 2
136 1 2
137 3 1
138 2 3
139 3 2
140 2 3
141 1 2
142 4 1
143 1 4
144 1 1
145 3 1
146 4 3
147 1 4
148 1 1
149 1 1
150 3 1
151 2 3
152 1 2
153 2 1
154 1 2
155 3 1
156 2.35357143 3
157 2 2.35357142857143
158 5 2
159 3 5
160 3 3
161 1 3
162 3 1
163 2 3
164 1 2
165 3 1
166 1 3
167 1 1
168 2 1
169 2.35357143 2
170 2 2.35357142857143
171 4 2
172 1 4
173 2.35357143 1
174 2.35357143 2.35357142857143
175 2 2.35357142857143
176 1 2
177 2 1
178 1 2
179 1 1
180 3 1
181 3 3
182 3 3
183 2 3
184 2 2
185 3 2
186 1 3
187 3 1
188 2 3
189 2 2
190 1 2
191 3 1
192 1 3
193 3 1
194 2 3
195 1 2
196 4 1
197 1 4
198 1 1
199 1 1
200 4 1
201 5 4
202 3 5
203 1 3
204 1 1
205 1 1
206 2 1
207 1 2
208 3 1
209 3 3
210 1 3
211 2.35357143 1
212 1 2.35357142857143
213 4 1
214 3 4
215 1 3
216 3 1
217 1 3
218 2 1
219 2 2
220 2 2
221 3 2
222 1 3
223 2 1
224 1 2
225 1 1
226 4 1
227 1 4
228 2 1
229 2 2
230 1 2
231 1 1
232 1 1
233 3 1
234 3 3
235 3 3
236 3 3
237 2 3
238 3 2
239 2 3
240 1 2
241 2 1
242 3 2
243 1 3
244 3 1
245 4 3
246 2 4
247 2.35357143 2
248 2 2.35357142857143
249 1 2
250 4 1
251 2 4
252 3 2
253 2 3
254 1 2
255 1 1
256 1 1
257 4 1
258 2 4
259 3 2
260 5 3
261 1 5
262 2 1
263 1 2
264 2 1
265 3 2
266 1 3
267 1 1
268 1 1
269 1 1
270 4 1
271 3 4
272 2 3
273 1 2
274 5 1
275 5 5
276 1 5
277 1 1
278 3 1
279 1 3
280 1 1
w 0.1
ECM ECMS ECMS(0) 1.303899261729 PRONOSTICO
ECMS PROMEDIO
1.46861186421728
a1(0) 2.292014208909
b1(0) 2.288725610437
b2(0) -0.000657719694
τ 1
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 1.6
4 1.57350933555642 1.6
4 1.57350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 1.6
16 2.77350933555642 1.4
4 1.57350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.6
0 1.17350933555642 2.8
1 1.27350933555642 3.4
16 2.77350933555642 4.2
4 1.57350933555642 3.4
0.417869897959184 1.21529632535234 3.4
1.8321556122449 1.35672489678091 3.07071428571429
0 1.17350933555642 2.47071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 1.67071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 1.87071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 1.87071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 1.6
4 1.57350933555642 1.8
9 2.07350933555642 2.4
4 1.57350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 3
1 1.27350933555642 3.4
4 1.57350933555642 3.2
1 1.27350933555642 3.2
0 1.17350933555642 3
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
0 1.17350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
4 1.57350933555642 2.6
16 2.77350933555642 3.2
0 1.17350933555642 2.8
16 2.77350933555642 2.4
16 2.77350933555642 3
1 1.27350933555642 2.6
9 2.07350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 2.8
16 2.77350933555642 3.6
1 1.27350933555642 2.8
0.125012755102041 1.18601061106662 3
1.8321556122449 1.35672489678091 3.07071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 2.27071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 1.67071428571429
0 1.17350933555642 2.07071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 2.27071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 2.6
4 1.57350933555642 3
0 1.17350933555642 2.8
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 1.6
1 1.27350933555642 1.6
1 1.27350933555642 1.8
4 1.57350933555642 1.8
4 1.57350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 2
0.125012755102041 1.18601061106662 1.8
2.71072704081633 1.44458203963805 1.87071428571429
0 1.17350933555642 2.47071428571429
9 2.07350933555642 2.67071428571429
0 1.17350933555642 2.67071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 2.47071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
4 1.57350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 1.6
9 2.07350933555642 1.8
9 2.07350933555642 2.6
0 1.17350933555642 2.6
0 1.17350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.6
16 2.77350933555642 2.4
16 2.77350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
0 1.17350933555642 2
4 1.57350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 1.6
1 1.27350933555642 1.8
4 1.57350933555642 1.6
0 1.17350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 2.4
4 1.57350933555642 2.4
0 1.17350933555642 2.2
9 2.07350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
9 2.07350933555642 2.8
1 1.27350933555642 2.8
4 1.57350933555642 2.4
9 2.07350933555642 2.8
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2
16 2.77350933555642 2
16 2.77350933555642 2.6
1 1.27350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 2.4
9 2.07350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.6
0 1.17350933555642 2.6
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
4 1.57350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
9 2.07350933555642 2.2
9 2.07350933555642 2.4
0 1.17350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 1.8
1 1.27350933555642 2
9 2.07350933555642 2.6
0 1.17350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 2
4 1.57350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 1.6
1 1.27350933555642 1.6
1 1.27350933555642 1.8
4 1.57350933555642 1.8
0.417869897959184 1.21529632535234 1.8
0.125012755102041 1.18601061106662 1.87071428571429
9 2.07350933555642 2.07071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 2.67071428571429
0 1.17350933555642 3.07071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 3.07071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 2.8
1 1.27350933555642 3
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
4 1.57350933555642 2
4 1.57350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 1.6
0.125012755102041 1.18601061106662 1.6
0.125012755102041 1.18601061106662 1.87071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 1.67071428571429
9 2.07350933555642 2.27071428571429
1.8321556122449 1.35672489678091 2.27071428571429
0 1.17350933555642 2.34142857142857
0.125012755102041 1.18601061106662 2.34142857142857
1 1.27350933555642 2.34142857142857
1 1.27350933555642 1.74142857142857
1 1.27350933555642 1.94142857142857
0 1.17350933555642 1.67071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 1.4
0 1.17350933555642 1.6
0 1.17350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
0 1.17350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.6
4 1.57350933555642 2.6
4 1.57350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
0 1.17350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 1.8
4 1.57350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 1.8
1 1.27350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 2
9 2.07350933555642 2
9 2.07350933555642 2.2
0 1.17350933555642 2.2
0 1.17350933555642 1.8
9 2.07350933555642 1.6
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 2.4
4 1.57350933555642 2.8
0 1.17350933555642 2.8
0 1.17350933555642 2.8
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 1.6
4 1.57350933555642 1.2
0 1.17350933555642 1.6
4 1.57350933555642 2
1.8321556122449 1.35672489678091 2
1.8321556122449 1.35672489678091 2.07071428571429
9 2.07350933555642 2.07071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 2.27071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 2.27071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 2.27071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
0 1.17350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 1.8
1 1.27350933555642 2
4 1.57350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 1.8
9 2.07350933555642 1.6
9 2.07350933555642 1.8
1 1.27350933555642 1.8
0 1.17350933555642 1.8
1 1.27350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 2
0 1.17350933555642 1.4
4 1.57350933555642 1.4
0 1.17350933555642 1.6
0 1.17350933555642 1.8
0 1.17350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2.6
1 1.27350933555642 2.8
1 1.27350933555642 2.8
1 1.27350933555642 2.6
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
1 1.27350933555642 2
4 1.57350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 1.8
1 1.27350933555642 2
4 1.57350933555642 2.6
0.125012755102041 1.18601061106662 2.6
0.125012755102041 1.18601061106662 2.47071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 2.67071428571429
9 2.07350933555642 2.27071428571429
4 1.57350933555642 2.27071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 2.27071428571429
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
0 1.17350933555642 2.4
0 1.17350933555642 1.8
9 2.07350933555642 1.6
4 1.57350933555642 1.8
1 1.27350933555642 1.8
4 1.57350933555642 2.2
16 2.77350933555642 3
1 1.27350933555642 3
1 1.27350933555642 2.6
1 1.27350933555642 2.4
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
4 1.57350933555642 1.8
0 1.17350933555642 1.8
0 1.17350933555642 1.6
0 1.17350933555642 1.6
9 2.07350933555642 1.4
1 1.27350933555642 1.6
1 1.27350933555642 2
1 1.27350933555642 2.2
16 2.77350933555642 2.2
0 1.17350933555642 3
16 2.77350933555642 3.2
0 1.17350933555642 2.8
4 1.57350933555642 2.6
4 1.57350933555642 3
0 1.17350933555642 2.2
MEDIA MOVIL N=5 w
DEM REGRESION RESIDUOS(^2) ECM ECMS ECMS(0)
2.2913564892149 1.66760158223744 ECMS PROMEDIO
2.29069876952044 1.66590331364157 1.35171974493929
2.29004104982597 2.92395961128027 a1(0)
2.2893833301315 2.92620939123199 b1(0)
2.28872561043703 0.505911257248168 b2(0)
2.28806789074257 0.506847328191737 τ
2.2874101710481 1.6574249485181
2.28675245135363 0.082226968357318
2.28609473165917 0.081850195483131
2.2854370119647 1.65234831172873
2.28477929227023 2.94198207622501
2.28412157257576 0.004823282497818
2.2834638528813 0.513424050127714
2.28280613318683 1.64559157534175
2.28214841349236 0.079607727236258
2.2814906937979 0.005195632325492
2.28083297410343 1.64053310755064
2.28017525440896 1.63884868200105
2.27951753471449 1.63716512164186
2.27885981502003 0.077762796433004
2.27820209532556 1.63380059649465
2.27754437563109 1.63211963170664
2.27688665593663 1.63043953210902
2.27622893624216 1.62876029770179
2.27557121654769 0.524797062294192
2.27491349685322 0.525750437045619
2.27425577715876 1.62372778562247
2.27359805746429 1.62205201197681
2.27294033776982 0.528615752442259
0.04 1.177509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
12.96 2.469509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
10.24 2.197509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
1.09501275510204 1.283010611067
4.28785765306122 1.602295100863
2.16300051020408 1.389809386577
0.10842908163265 1.18435224372
1.2752862244898 1.301037958005
0.75814336734694 1.249323672291
0.16 1.189509335556
4.84 1.657509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
7.84 1.957509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
4.84 1.657509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
5.76 1.749509335556
4.84 1.657509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
6.76 1.849509335556
4 1.573509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
9 2.073509335556
4.84 1.657509335556
6.76 1.849509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
0.41786989795918 1.215296325352
4.28785765306122 1.602295100863
0.0732862244898 1.180837958005
1.76700051020408 1.350209386577
0.86357193877551 1.259866529434
2.99042908163265 1.47255224372
0.16 1.189509335556
4 1.573509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1 1.273509335556
0 1.173509335556
0.30644132653061 1.204153468209
4.53385765306123 1.626895100863
2.33871479591837 1.407380815148
2.79128622448979 1.452637958005
2.79128622448979 1.452637958005
0.22157193877551 1.195666529434
0.36 1.209509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
10.24 2.197509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
6.76 1.849509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1 1.273509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
1 1.273509335556
9 2.073509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
0 1.173509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
4 1.573509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
1 1.273509335556
1 1.273509335556
1 1.273509335556
0 1.173509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
0.30644132653061 1.204153468209
0.01671479591837 1.175180815148
8.58071479591837 2.031580815148
0.10842908163265 1.18435224372
0.00500051020408 1.174009386577
4.28785765306122 1.602295100863
0.04 1.177509335556
1 1.273509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1 1.273509335556
1 1.273509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
0.56786989795918 1.230296325352
0.01671479591837 1.175180815148
5.42557193877551 1.716066529434
1.61471479591837 1.334980815148
0.00686530612245 1.174195866169
0.00014744897959 1.173524080454
0.11657346938776 1.185166682495
1.7994306122449 1.353452396781
0.06685918367347 1.180195253924
0.88628775510204 1.262138111067
0.44985765306123 1.218495100863
2.56 1.429509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
0 1.173509335556
1 1.273509335556
4 1.573509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
5.76 1.749509335556
7.84 1.957509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.12501275510204 1.186010611067
1.14642908163265 1.28815224372
3.72214336734694 1.545723672291
0.53185765306123 1.226695100863
1.61471479591837 1.334980815148
0.53185765306123 1.226695100863
1.96 1.369509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
0 1.173509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
1 1.273509335556
1 1.273509335556
0 1.173509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
5.76 1.749509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
1 1.273509335556
1 1.273509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
1 1.273509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
4 1.573509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
0.06072704081633 1.179582039638
0.22157193877551 1.195666529434
2.79128622448979 1.452637958005
2.99042908163265 1.47255224372
0.0732862244898 1.180837958005
0.53185765306123 1.226695100863
0.16 1.189509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
5.76 1.749509335556
0.04 1.177509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
7.84 1.957509335556
4 1.573509335556
1 1.273509335556
2.56 1.429509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
0.64 1.237509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
0.36 1.209509335556
6.76 1.849509335556
1.96 1.369509335556
0 1.173509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
7.84 1.957509335556
4 1.573509335556
4.84 1.657509335556
3.24 1.497509335556
0.16 1.189509335556
4 1.573509335556
1.44 1.317509335556
0.1 SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL SIMPLE
1.303899261729 PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION RESIDUOS(^2)
ECMS PROMEDIO 2.2913564892149 1.66760158223744
1.35171974493929 2.29069876952044 1.66590331364157
2.292014208909 2.29004104982597 2.92395961128027
2.288725610437 2.2893833301315 2.92620939123199
-0.000657719694 2.28872561043703 0.505911257248168
1 2.28806789074257 0.506847328191737
2.2874101710481 1.6574249485181
2.28675245135363 0.082226968357318
2.28609473165917 0.081850195483131
2.2854370119647 1.65234831172873
2.28477929227023 2.94198207622501
2.28412157257576 0.004823282497818
2.2834638528813 0.513424050127714
2.28280613318683 1.64559157534175
2.28214841349236 0.079607727236258
2.2814906937979 0.005195632325492
2.28083297410343 1.64053310755064
2.28017525440896 1.63884868200105
2.27951753471449 1.63716512164186
2.27885981502003 0.077762796433004
2.27820209532556 1.63380059649465
2.27754437563109 1.63211963170664
2.27688665593663 1.63043953210902
2.27622893624216 1.62876029770179
2.27557121654769 0.524797062294192
2.27491349685322 0.525750437045619
2.27425577715876 1.62372778562247
2.27359805746429 1.62205201197681
2.27294033776982 0.528615752442259
1.9694194252962
1.96982930210157
1.95683050989605
1.94400594278193
1.95815961631015
1.94531723494969
1.93264698227864
1.97375925266678
1.98751413736506
2.01448783829187
2.04110000597504
2.08075866146824
2.06627306360653
2.07878796947355
2.08247094036192
2.06796239252593
2.05364830530082
2.05292924765709
2.06562300302926
2.0513402710518
2.05065214839585
2.07677959948892
2.06234733369269
2.07491485680616
2.11412028592389
2.13939706243988
2.1509318745275
2.13550573278557
2.13368952568673
2.13189766153013
2.14353298940324
2.15501236693649
2.15293470899944
2.16428807363625
2.2022956178563
2.18618103885538
2.17028244638267
2.20820964697362
2.19201580120335
2.1894421797479
2.2271125790727
2.26427807542946
2.24733273468043
2.2440176906652
2.24548605862572
2.22879259057328
2.22572604336071
2.23610377297838
2.24634240806614
2.26984698829257
2.27963335714826
2.26248220686565
2.2455609364579
2.24226964016494
2.22561928233317
2.23599844288761
2.23283531437285
2.21631140646407
2.22681532211102
2.21037210121419
2.20755244705073
2.20950956506597
2.23350782234614
2.25718442677564
2.24033416344346
2.22370974714559
2.22071132617482
2.23115626892631
2.21465486555809
2.21177780875309
2.24914883972556
2.24580945413593
2.24251482691695
2.23926435816434
2.22265428065422
2.2598795323665
2.24299314606147
2.23973626631348
2.22311986373569
2.20672617371551
2.21735856191785
2.21444526699642
2.19816784411751
2.20891494111225
2.21951799288135
2.22997893008824
2.21349330679892
2.19722864320948
2.22139150383887
2.21842415468966
2.22889975280165
2.25263811999533
2.23584879161017
2.23268766889773
2.25637526598773
2.23953584797948
2.23632530700396
2.21975462211194
2.25701873845615
2.24017069587357
2.23695164592039
2.24717891681843
2.23046275909078
2.25418017703708
2.26417653091136
2.26063572654151
2.25714238019354
2.24029268041907
2.25047517084584
2.24711800820762
2.25720901756914
2.25376160000244
2.23695721341773
2.26058758505382
2.24369170859446
2.22702229053015
2.23738264631969
2.26100731580399
2.24410581361978
2.2274308452332
2.21097937437203
2.22155475618013
2.21858521893116
2.20225230755049
2.19954148440539
2.18346381953807
2.19440799715275
2.19654129253498
2.19390701512562
2.2315175714789
2.2418176762296
2.25197972687009
2.23519922304344
2.2454499819726
2.24216017282207
2.22551128220029
2.23589189029945
2.21932701456752
2.20298416076985
2.20026352846771
2.20231834113691
2.19960663293206
2.22373762094821
2.20733565101977
2.20929567479023
2.21122942801838
2.20839828295342
2.19220190886204
2.189625792973
2.17368102985677
2.15794997719667
2.16923612131435
2.18037099526329
2.19135662654408
2.18879184012218
2.18626142998244
2.19716811073374
2.18112225660995
2.19209781860316
2.18952309785412
2.18698288653877
2.17107354676094
2.18218379337441
2.16633877668383
2.17751248425093
2.17513325329589
2.15938273623037
2.18405285218768
2.16818278417407
2.15252542546503
2.13707792508044
2.16204699633296
2.2000845781051
2.21080598477808
2.19457733983693
2.17856621026978
2.16276968067993
2.16058805010646
2.14503248494994
2.15649176448142
2.16779745327984
2.15214525922835
2.15484500949818
2.13936641932204
2.16430481748493
2.17550578656385
2.15975027636961
2.17101229076178
2.15531700767976
2.15323526658941
2.15118142743994
2.14915511625676
2.1605591394379
2.14500396177613
2.14306044824853
2.12773980861335
2.11262451419783
2.13792133880457
2.12266957955447
2.12102541766834
2.11940329277229
2.10439973414048
2.08959727083605
2.07499320754304
2.08739123579171
2.09962309109365
2.11169100069399
2.12359716198573
2.12194056754961
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2.1634522640496
2.2014710107721
2.18536748412453
2.16947979586854
2.1806114038047
2.16478746212726
ENCIAL SIMPLE w 0.1 SUA
ECMS PROMEDIO
1.31919124878266
a1(0) 2.292014208909
b1(0) 2.288725610437
b2(0) -0.000657719694
τ 1
0.00093517154921 1.17360285271134 1.48467628430683

0.94056887521482 1.2675662230779 1.49158325843553
0.91552462466794 1.26506179802321 1.48499448181858
1.11512344887988 1.2850216804444 1.47849401573004
0.91806985032761 1.26531632058918 1.4988870272488
0.89362467469292 1.26287180302571 1.49220035693766
9.40865453532432 2.11437478908885 1.48560330924127
1.05317007148704 1.27882634270512 1.5327073843728
4.05009934730548 1.57851927028696 1.55237376460477
3.94225854429088 1.5677351899855 1.58517972825398
8.75508917464088 2.0490182530205 1.61754598781954
1.16803928433862 1.29031326399028 1.66288161209259
0.87184599174673 1.26069393473109 1.65399689360267
0.0755059493938 1.1810599304958 1.67203760927308
1.17174333672802 1.29068366922922 1.68117232656704
1.14054367184972 1.28756370274139 1.67204245442355
0.00287814066165 1.17379714962258 1.66303495155741
0.89694300994336 1.26320363655075 1.66755135319194
1.13555238458509 1.28706457401493 1.68541039606357
0.00263582343167 1.17377291789958 1.67622372033143
3.79995704655371 1.55350504021179 1.68056335058529
1.15945430587552 1.28945476614397 1.71165116673426
0.87919252263321 1.26142858781974 1.70211278135124
8.55612309493332 2.02912164504975 1.71950859134054
3.5565422959638 1.5291635651528 1.76347759295841
0.74063741613711 1.24757307717013 1.79345409497699
1.32464417980338 1.30597375353675 1.80962564132214
0.01836180361775 1.17534551591819 1.79877408687539
0.01787288927834 1.17529662448425 1.80147115307602
0.75360167005686 1.2488695025621 1.80413207002539
0.73353574024055 1.24686290958047 1.82016049759848
0.02402883390325 1.17591221894674 1.83597409334605
0.71751960721787 1.2452612962782 1.83817256133655
8.04126212932159 1.97763554848858 1.85374473823524
1.44551475271646 1.31806081082806 1.8959145492366
1.40702545694003 1.31421188125042 1.88390644942544
8.00730143325007 1.97423947888142 1.87205929628178
1.45977055104011 1.31948639066043 1.91398363405001
0.03687006791177 1.17719634234759 1.90173335112649
7.89923526098026 1.96343286165444 1.9030504362534
7.68890464913686 1.9423998004701 1.94455939433797
1.59839905201163 1.33334924075758 1.98551200057832
0.0611734816445 1.17962668372087 1.97230301041499
0.01200202148923 1.17470953770534 1.97267423802334
1.55123552223103 1.32863288777952 1.97777946986247
0.05234604950123 1.17874394050654 1.9646741201643
0.59950015992986 1.2334593515494 1.96514759912649
0.58353744565786 1.2318630801222 1.97901790732732
3.07531494974725 1.48104083053114 1.99270230935503
0.53312342050543 1.22682167760696 2.01960647230286
1.63746152872652 1.33725548842907 2.03274685867658
1.59386132265235 1.33289546782165 2.01890477142705
0.06030017351408 1.17953935290782 2.00524821210027
1.54323385887554 1.32783272144397 2.00517786939317
0.5996654958942 1.23347588514584 1.9917052941415
0.05569526504538 1.17907886206095 2.00521964489888
1.51988291236481 1.3254976267929 2.00514968508298
0.61416781163832 1.23492611672025 1.99167748759057
1.50507583456637 1.32401691901305 2.00519221104403
0.04425642096928 1.17793497765334 1.9917194435687
0.02132154296434 1.17564148985285 1.99183042931863
3.20585599759026 1.49409493531544 1.99667890736659
3.12049461371229 1.48555879692765 2.02352977127393
1.5805126829272 1.33156060384914 2.05002074834375
1.538428837005 1.32735221925692 2.03594713612186
0.05004605096794 1.17851394065321 2.02206215499252
0.60729083715222 1.23423841927164 2.02176645206033
1.51574575851655 1.32508391140807 2.03487788784659
0.04607671130776 1.17811700668719 2.0210072380394
7.77418298776171 1.95092763433259 2.02072567434413
0.06207514433659 1.17971684999008 2.06065741057701
0.0604222877426 1.17955156433068 2.05984440866616
0.05881344127456 1.17939067968387 2.05904230356248
1.53577614941646 1.32708695049806 2.05825094921416
7.71364924476832 1.94487426003325 2.04406702616675
1.58729643607602 1.33223897916402 2.08368591416802
0.05904566903285 1.1794139024597 2.06916108182505
1.53694601001289 1.32720393655771 2.06823410371725
1.49602220106482 1.3231115556629 2.05391637469939
0.62928336346804 1.23643767190322 2.03979054871431
0.047244744439 1.17823381000032 2.05266040437241
1.47487730653002 1.32099706620942 2.05195458773807
0.64293480620716 1.23780281617713 2.03785505592765
0.62581557039544 1.23609089259596 2.05075085333498
0.60915216343596 1.23442455190001 2.06347380610824
1.51284816846101 1.32479415240252 2.07602623091439
1.47256600564578 1.320765936121 2.06160406264928
3.24998456486435 1.49850779204285 2.0473751972345
0.04901419797204 1.17841075535362 2.07354656987862
0.61086080197257 1.23459541575367 2.0725608123054
3.13679608562605 1.48718894411902 2.08499144237399
1.56910225966544 1.33041956152296 2.11065863788812
0.05562465250398 1.17907180080681 2.09577228539919
3.12339287566613 1.48584862312303 2.09448863266334
1.57847880898573 1.33135721645499 2.1200285356706
0.05737742246725 1.17924707780314 2.10501659679858
1.52850026473844 1.32635936203026 2.10360904093596
7.72976436126791 1.94648577168321 2.0888171754312
1.58009610882988 1.3315189464394 2.12783626933448
0.05768196315639 1.17927753187206 2.112719682039
0.5822427906636 1.23173361462278 2.11120888037409
1.5554552505564 1.32905486061206 2.12312150360902
3.13126204696462 1.48663554025288 2.10806810914534
0.55624720832445 1.22913405638886 2.13342600404801
0.06978923948436 1.18048825950485 2.14504084727834
0.06793098194982 1.1803024337514 2.14309683936788
1.58040696407868 1.33155003196428 2.14117888733634
0.57715521142484 1.2312248566989 2.12588346659202
0.06273781121025 1.17978311667744 2.13759940377453
0.56683129356527 1.23019246491294 2.13575513483629
0.06615647871888 1.18012498342831 2.14733876031822
1.57191814964068 1.33070115052048 2.14536395307632
3.10831986731977 1.48434132228839 2.130012439162
1.58908105959182 1.3324174415156 2.15507621036129
1.5467690660266 1.32818624215908 2.13959452135943
0.59749453933726 1.23325878949014 2.12432033615013
3.10681993549496 1.48419132910591 2.13605722424407
1.59013945051119 1.33252328060754 2.16103997612889
1.54779927548254 1.32828926310467 2.14547835372864
1.50658647982989 1.32416798353941 2.13012530648231
0.62255354766635 1.23576469032305 2.11497803882053
0.04908650998604 1.17841798655502 2.12684014336385
1.48494993579751 1.32200432913617 2.12514008267963
0.0409059959095 1.17759993514737 2.11005963284669
1.43889977280948 1.31739931283736 2.10858448428757
0.66673133400335 1.24018246895675 2.09372593204307
0.02533299790097 1.17604263534651 2.10587288230029
0.03862847967132 1.17737218352355 2.10919282935243
7.87415783976122 1.96092511953254 2.10772929871254
0.59056524294569 1.23256585985099 2.14649491011105
0.57484043607789 1.23099337916421 2.15793458850165
1.5674532364937 1.33025465920579 2.16922093887672
0.58492022843336 1.23200135839975 2.15354966559814
0.06024569365035 1.17953390492145 2.16489478786383
1.54296189494535 1.32780552505095 2.16268467410611
0.59983277399905 1.23349261295632 2.14710100753045
1.52742876450794 1.32625221200721 2.15853256229106
1.48675836845415 1.32218517240183 2.14300454719817
0.04120256952344 1.17762959250876 2.12768465681458
0.02350331223421 1.17585966677984 2.12597327696849
0.04093271116039 1.17760260667246 2.12902381490608
3.24141627618222 1.49765096317464 2.12729448608925
1.49753376492397 1.32326271204881 2.1523946864902
0.02138490263614 1.17564782582003 2.13694893842301
0.02081549312913 1.17559088486933 2.13985236764543
0.04461787126097 1.17797112268251 2.14271688169684
1.46022641024477 1.31953197658089 2.1408040223046
0.03694157377021 1.17720349293344 2.12551362594203
1.41520952730663 1.31503028828708 2.12383134480344
1.37752715984565 1.31126205154098 2.10876843621375
0.7090482409031 1.24441415964673 2.09390741842933
0.69016862212882 1.2425261977693 2.1060519361927
0.67179170540568 1.24068850609699 2.11803367885481
0.03661735852233 1.17717107140865 2.12985482811891
0.03564235889672 1.17707357144609 2.12811436108626
0.66217046033422 1.23972638158984 2.12639722183846
1.4332114853578 1.3168304840922 2.13810627306931
0.67056075861959 1.24056541141838 2.12285203511283
0.03690157191209 1.17719949274763 2.13460860310305
0.03591900462022 1.17710123601844 2.13280442039067
1.40892837293591 1.31440217285001 2.13102441945556
0.68711906487949 1.24222124204437 2.11586510082494
1.39755852131711 1.31326518768813 2.12771531592065
0.69499103526101 1.24300843908252 2.11260034978499
0.03151068206494 1.17666040376291 2.1244943229114
1.38093816300179 1.3116031518566 2.12282570367007
3.38787191168679 1.5122965267251 2.10777627386484
1.40198115677378 1.31370745123379 2.13313808028695
1.36465101724068 1.30997443728048 2.11795043188955
1.32831485634334 1.30634082119075 2.10296634620693
3.47047865722262 1.52055720127868 2.08818309485233
8.05397725102278 1.97890706065869 2.11380751208861
0.6398646821853 1.23749580377495 2.15249165612736
1.46605113277441 1.32011444883386 2.16385095907951
1.42701502085187 1.3162108376416 2.14825166058184
1.38901831198967 1.31241116675538 2.13286144221743
0.02649396894865 1.17615873245128 2.11767750164858
1.34696462204991 1.30820579776141 2.11610024945804
0.73096945179088 1.2466062807355 2.101140962095
0.71150614338767 1.24465994989518 2.11318852740413
1.36375089188689 1.30988442474511 2.12507461708277
0.04057250169623 1.17756658572604 2.1099950446967
1.33366699596286 1.3068760351527 2.11325974168338
3.4619573215465 1.51970506771107 2.09833852614415
0.6983864380789 1.24334797936431 2.12382682835397
1.38181385424509 1.31169072098093 2.13557033101944
0.70601959806095 1.24411129536251 2.12035008273895
1.37126978511516 1.31063631406793 2.13214018483558
0.02412337287459 1.17592167284388 2.11696591140591
0.02348104692673 1.17585744024909 2.11539819678417
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0.72393701619205 1.24590303717562 2.1123255229704
1.34689751613283 1.3081990871697 2.12422317964879
0.02102614893077 1.17561195044949 2.10915501922797
1.30658718835012 1.30416805439143 2.10769199536381
1.27179707593127 1.30068904314954 2.09284540530486
3.56218622440697 1.52972795799711 2.07819780669598
1.29486497330679 1.3029958328871 2.10395605850044
0.01504782574807 1.17501411813122 2.08915954185841
0.0146471517218 1.1749740507286 2.08796452088385
1.25306373186944 1.29881570874336 2.08678551698497
1.21969877276957 1.29547921283337 2.0722191401219
1.18722221261336 1.29223155681775 2.05784799896229
0.85563756609151 1.25907309216557 2.04366947672777
0.83285475650978 1.25679481120739 2.05648734243349
0.81067857809176 1.25457719336559 2.06913340803742
0.78909287824805 1.25241862338122 2.08160997620644
0.01527625845093 1.17503696140151 2.09391931874439
0.7709883669151 1.25060817224793 2.09266050164555
0.01787819083885 1.1752971546403 2.10482173205323
1.28123659792638 1.30163299534905 2.10341678799696
0.01362961384885 1.1748722969413 2.08862749929206
0.78290436030367 1.25179977158678 2.08743960937731
1.27022040775276 1.30053137633169 2.09967081631959
0.78866010019392 1.25237534557581 2.08493173552997
3.51998562677595 1.52550789823401 2.09719655594521
0.02219625048791 1.17572896060521 2.12270016418186
0.04267704279641 1.17777703983606 2.12105559236461
0.0224268853866 1.17575202409508 2.12417204289131
1.31732748975762 1.30524208453218 2.1225077432256
3.48805900014326 1.52231523557074 2.10746257509998
0.02477401512003 1.17598673706842 2.13282858608164
0.71353835332326 1.24486317088874 2.13104826124954
0.02775883501385 1.1762852190578 2.14269497378356
1.35577316455114 1.30908665201153 2.14078240802692
1.31967339162381 1.3054766747188 2.12549230136431
1.28453483672284 1.3019628192287 2.11040713068258
3.54123743573021 1.52763307912944 2.09552414918883
0.02056492025954 1.17556582758237 2.12105017298651
0.73705201639856 1.24721453719627 2.11942771629059
8.10546866014903 1.98405620157132 2.13123018102647
1.41883475615684 1.3153928111721 2.16968080597821
0.03068919936101 1.17657825549252 2.15400336902023
1.37554268271413 1.31106360382783 2.15193923485919
0.02468531188329 1.17597786674475 2.13649959129008
0.71400851847502 1.24491018740392 2.13467006333143
1.36033804346469 1.30954313990289 2.14626823221702
1.32411672285039 1.30592100784146 2.1309045980908
1.28885985667691 1.30239532122411 2.11574688544694
1.25454176469979 1.2989635120264 2.1007923342837
3.59083216213103 1.53259255176952 2.08603822159214
0.75611856469814 1.24912119202623 2.11169138694085
0.02019353498032 1.17552868905445 2.12359754305565
1.30005447583388 1.3035147831398 2.12194094351199
8.26610212618692 2.00011954817511 2.10690337230232
8.04600305832536 1.97810964138895 2.14568005373733
1.44353258972574 1.31786259452899 2.18393700451119
1.40509607241973 1.31401894279839 2.16806848922431
0.68976380947056 1.24248571650347 2.15241266243052
1.3938432867937 1.31289366423579 2.16377302414904
1.35672983192886 1.3091823187493 2.14817477022691
SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL DOBLE w
2.2913564892149 1.66760158223744 ECMS PROMEDIO
2.29069876952044 1.66590331364157 1.32806512978443
2.29004104982597 2.92395961128027 a1(0)
2.2893833301315 2.92620939123199 b1(0)
2.28872561043703 0.505911257248168 b2(0)
2.28806789074257 0.506847328191737 τ
2.2874101710481 1.6574249485181
2.28675245135363 0.082226968357318
2.28609473165917 0.081850195483131
2.2854370119647 1.65234831172873
2.28477929227023 2.94198207622501
2.28412157257576 0.004823282497818
2.2834638528813 0.513424050127714
2.28280613318683 1.64559157534175
2.28214841349236 0.079607727236258
2.2814906937979 0.005195632325492
2.28083297410343 1.64053310755064
2.28017525440896 1.63884868200105
2.27951753471449 1.63716512164186
2.27885981502003 0.077762796433004
2.27820209532556 1.63380059649465
2.27754437563109 1.63211963170664
2.27688665593663 1.63043953210902
2.27622893624216 1.62876029770179
2.27557121654769 0.524797062294192
2.27491349685322 0.525750437045619
2.27425577715876 1.62372778562247
2.27359805746429 1.62205201197681
2.27294033776982 0.528615752442259
0.265558531955818 1.200065188752
0.241654099974092 1.19767474555383
0.235219647394476 1.19703130029586
2.31498046016929 1.40500738157335
0.248888265957143 1.19839816215213
0.242261191369557 1.19773545469337
12.3509841000159 2.40860774555801
2.15294761987412 1.38880409754383
5.99087418819504 1.77259675437592
5.83135694483552 1.75664503003997
11.4409951445157 2.31760885000798
0.439412031650473 1.21745053872146
1.81172436243127 1.35468177179954
0.4644883468474 1.21995817024116
0.463995738480747 1.21990890940449
0.451641060547624 1.21867344161118
0.113545443871916 1.18486387994361
1.77541939638062 1.35105127519448
0.469787411032016 1.22048807665962
0.104831079276023 1.18399244348402
5.37978637064812 1.71148797262123
0.506447383114234 1.22415407386784
1.68451123233183 1.3419604587896
10.7616238822885 2.24967172378527
5.0020324771991 1.67371258327633
1.45575302092779 1.3190846376492
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9.78401304597722 2.15191064015414
0.835366083311254 1.25704594388754
0.00965633428083 1.1744749689845
9.59109660039028 2.13261899559544
9.33571729472836 2.10708106502925
0.971233903283873 1.2706327258848
0.000767123232072 1.17358604787962
0.145082669767423 1.18801760253316
0.956052691684525 1.26911460472487
0.001247917786166 1.17363412733503
1.07091949159366 1.28060128471578
1.04240443355829 1.27774977891225
4.02924401886863 1.57643373744328
0.961171469150449 1.26962648247146
1.06656607410635 1.28016594296705
1.03816693323681 1.2773260288801
2.754373024947E-05 1.17351208992944
1.01038254911779 1.2745475904682
1.01665821386227 1.27517515694264
2.724469287042E-05 1.1735120600257
1.01032588942242 1.27454192449866
1.01671428903166 1.27518076445958
1.01041138114358 1.27455047367078
6.856761481189E-05 1.1735161923179
0.130856550540411 1.18659499061046
4.01329540018992 1.57483887557541
3.90643456504048 1.56415279206047
1.10254357195236 1.28376369275165
1.07318646883907 1.28082798244032
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1.07097224275383 1.2806065598318
0.000441304050044 1.17355346596142
8.87607550751227 2.06111688630764
0.003679321457909 1.17387726770221
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1.11989507151267 1.28549884270768
8.73753974579468 2.04726331013588
1.17437516056617 1.29094685161303
0.004783255239211 1.17398766108034
1.14112410034459 1.28762174559088
1.1107397248595 1.28458330804237
0.922002190338364 1.26570955459025
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1.10660845466317 1.28417018102273
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1.30228925290221 1.30373826084664
0.764079713977184 1.24991730695414
0.018933595919107 1.17540269514833
0.746919186961847 1.2482012542526
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1.31185858500662 1.30469519405708
3.49685347768887 1.5231946833253
1.3342010517426 1.30692944073068
1.29867567311243 1.30337690286766
0.766814873680216 1.25019082292444
3.47428267129273 1.52093760268569
1.34801382616938 1.30831071817335
1.31212065886088 1.3047214014425
1.27718320835173 1.30122765639159
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8.36522980952583 2.010032316509
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0.709074157241882 1.2444167512806
1.36707760390776 1.31021709594719
0.716478168609014 1.24515715241732
0.027190291064657 1.17622836466288
1.35183565140122 1.30869290069654
0.727436691355569 1.24625300469197
1.34219769788868 1.30772910534528
1.3064593949157 1.30415527504799
0.016303371585856 1.175139672715
0.051800918613076 1.17868942741772
0.016647144812917 1.17517405003771
3.50702594183173 1.52421192973959
1.32801351345084 1.3063106869015
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1.21653476086507 1.29516281164292
3.65504387880842 1.53901372343726
8.33010707727616 2.00652004328403
0.718270392933748 1.24533637484979
1.3545490549503 1.30896424105145
1.31848187602895 1.30535752315931
1.28337504726295 1.30184684028271
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1.2456797668403 1.29807731224045
0.807947570023509 1.25430409255877
0.786434587927651 1.25215279434918
1.26579289400394 1.30008862495681
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1.2895199766916 1.30246133322558
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1.28174139811954 1.30168347536837
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0.012962162803622 1.17480555183678
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1.26387775765964 1.29989711132238
0.011914818222658 1.17470081737868
1.22698155659305 1.29620749121572
1.19431107989595 1.29294044354601
3.69332367018814 1.54284170257523
1.21871897909983 1.2953812334664
0.007949423904402 1.17430427794686
0.007737756934325 1.17428311124985
1.18110275992828 1.29161961154924
1.14965388444374 1.28847472400079
1.11904238890852 1.28541357444727
0.914568069742145 1.26496614253063
0.89021613498822 1.26253094905524
0.866512612032036 1.26016059675962
0.843440235803541 1.25785335913677
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0.823264965274096 1.25583583208383
0.010987595510639 1.17460809510748
1.21752860803353 1.29526219635977
0.007854833630763 1.17429481891949
0.83276646653344 1.25678598220976
1.209275904265 1.29443692598292
0.837349928640188 1.25724432842044
3.62066094670676 1.53557543022709
0.015055330290256 1.17501486858544
0.054063614086958 1.17891569696511
0.015418696235801 1.17505120518
1.26002363360144 1.29951169891656
3.58169790464722 1.53167912602114
0.017643433280448 1.17527367888446
0.755077124277445 1.24901704798416
0.020361855543091 1.17554552111073
1.3013845024637 1.30364778580279
1.26673292043033 1.30018262759945
1.23300399587071 1.29680973514349
3.62702826632293 1.53621216218871
0.014653144380063 1.17497464999442
0.775407546837214 1.25105009024014
8.22984027425342 1.99649336298176
1.36815318787382 1.3103246543438
0.02371703766958 1.17588103932337
1.32696400080797 1.30620573563721
0.018632138422359 1.17537254939865
0.748795899294838 1.2483889254859
1.31393086018993 1.30490242157541
1.27894520998291 1.30140385655471
1.24489111238454 1.29799844679487
1.21174376321776 1.29468371187819
3.66324968920618 1.53983430447703
0.789092192035072 1.25241855475992
0.015276352649394 1.17503697082136
1.25875148072857 1.29938448362927
8.37000809719571 2.01051014527599
8.14714235563291 1.98822357111971
1.40170683065093 1.31368001862151
1.36438399551875 1.30994773510829
0.718404294808127 1.24534976503723
1.354367651737 1.30894610073012
1.31830530298561 1.30533986585498
0.1 D METODO AUTOREGRESIVO AR(D)
ECMS PROMEDIO 2.2913564892149 1.66760158223744
1.32806512978443 2.29069876952044 1.66590331364157
2.29201420890937 2.29004104982597 2.92395961128027
2.28872561043703 2.2893833301315 2.92620939123199
-0.000657719694467 2.28872561043703 0.505911257248168
1 2.28806789074257 0.506847328191737
2.2874101710481 1.6574249485181
2.28675245135363 0.082226968357318
2.28609473165917 0.081850195483131
2.2854370119647 1.65234831172873
2.28477929227023 2.94198207622501
2.28412157257576 0.004823282497818
2.2834638528813 0.513424050127714
2.28280613318683 1.64559157534175
2.28214841349236 0.079607727236258
2.2814906937979 0.005195632325492
2.28083297410343 1.64053310755064
2.28017525440896 1.63884868200105
2.27951753471449 1.63716512164186
2.27885981502003 0.077762796433004
2.27820209532556 1.63380059649465
2.27754437563109 1.63211963170664
2.27688665593663 1.63043953210902
2.27622893624216 1.62876029770179
2.27557121654769 0.524797062294192
2.27491349685322 0.525750437045619
2.27425577715876 1.62372778562247
2.27359805746429 1.62205201197681
2.27294033776982 0.528615752442259
2.1413554664402
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2.42303169890182
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2.35261264078641
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2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.23667269153212
2.21177452455561
2.42303169890182
2.28219358267101
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.23667269153212
2.21177452455561
2.35261264078641
2.1413554664402
2.23667269153212
2.23667269153212
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.28219358267101
2.28219358267101
2.21177452455561
2.21177452455561
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.21177452455561
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.35261264078641
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.35261264078641
2.42303169890182
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.23667269153212
2.1413554664402
2.35261264078641
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.21177452455561
2.21177452455561
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.35261264078641
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.28219358267101
2.28219358267101
2.28219358267101
2.21177452455561
2.28219358267101
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.28219358267101
2.35261264078641
2.21177452455561
2.23667269153212
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.35261264078641
2.21177452455561
2.28219358267101
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.35261264078641
2.21177452455561
2.28219358267101
2.42303169890182
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.21177452455561
2.28219358267101
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
2.35261264078641
2.28219358267101
2.21177452455561
2.1413554664402
2.42303169890182
2.42303169890182
2.1413554664402
2.1413554664402
RESIVO AR(D) w 0.1
ECM ECMS ECMS(0) 1.303899261729
ECMS PROMEDIO
1.31547046827748
a1(0) 2.292014208909
b1(0) 2.288725610437
b2(0) -0.000657719694
τ 1
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
7.38647172207464 1.91215650776388
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
3.45455950213171 1.51896528576959
2.48682902266849 1.42219223782327
7.38647172207464 1.91215650776388
1.8295609560152 1.35646543115794
0.41911039286954 1.21542037484337
0.004824729154371 1.17399180847185
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
0.05601396291706 1.17911073184812
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
2.95085888741666 1.46859522429808
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
7.00865982972388 1.8743753185288
3.45455950213171 1.51896528576959
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
2.02501921607939 1.37601125716436
0.124335674442369 1.18594290300065
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
7.38647172207464 1.91215650776388
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
6.64076562486485 1.8375858980429
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
6.64076562486485 1.8375858980429
8.1718485692513 1.99069419248155
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.178955818275759 1.19140491738399
0.004824729154371 1.17399180847185
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
0.58266857985281 1.2317761935417
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
3.19775035102832 1.49328437065925
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
1.8295609560152 1.35646543115794
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.005094796885384 1.17401881524495
3.45455950213171 1.51896528576959
3.19775035102832 1.49328437065925
1.52935934598131 1.32644527015455
1.8295609560152 1.35646543115794
0.124335674442369 1.18594290300065
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
7.38647172207464 1.91215650776388
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
0.178955818275759 1.19140491738399
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
7.77420130191711 1.95092946574813
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
2.02501921607939 1.37601125716436
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
2.95085888741666 1.46859522429808
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
2.71388511129671 1.44489784668609
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
2.71388511129671 1.44489784668609
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
1.8295609560152 1.35646543115794
8.1718485692513 1.99069419248155
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.332892420472122 1.20679857760363
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
3.19775035102832 1.49328437065925
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.124335674442369 1.18594290300065
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
2.95085888741666 1.46859522429808
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.41911039286954 1.21542037484337
3.45455950213171 1.51896528576959
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
1.8295609560152 1.35646543115794
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.020106361988472 1.17551997175526
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
7.38647172207464 1.91215650776388
0.58266857985281 1.2317761935417
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
2.02501921607939 1.37601125716436
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
0.045035614583282 1.17801289701474
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
3.19775035102832 1.49328437065925
1.52935934598131 1.32644527015455
0.020106361988472 1.17551997175526
9.192740166927E-07 1.17350942748382
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
1.52935934598131 1.32644527015455
0.05601396291706 1.17911073184812
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
2.95085888741666 1.46859522429808
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
1.8295609560152 1.35646543115794
3.45455950213171 1.51896528576959
8.1718485692513 1.99069419248155
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
1.8295609560152 1.35646543115794
2.02501921607939 1.37601125716436
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.005094796885384 1.17401881524495
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
3.45455950213171 1.51896528576959
0.58266857985281 1.2317761935417
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.41911039286954 1.21542037484337
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
3.19775035102832 1.49328437065925
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.124335674442369 1.18594290300065
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
0.515246052758679 1.22503394083228
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
2.95085888741666 1.46859522429808
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.005094796885384 1.17401881524495
0.124335674442369 1.18594290300065
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
3.10932319678856 1.48444165523527
0.044848449250754 1.17799418048149
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.124335674442369 1.18594290300065
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
3.45455950213171 1.51896528576959
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
7.00865982972388 1.8743753185288
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
0.079633218100701 1.18147265736649
2.02501921607939 1.37601125716436
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
0.621299400139539 1.23563927557037
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
1.46839749836197 1.32034908539261
1.64402038344272 1.33791137390069
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
3.45455950213171 1.51896528576959
0.73727043501212 1.24723637905763
0.019981367892528 1.17550747234567
1.8295609560152 1.35646543115794
7.38647172207464 1.91215650776388
7.77420130191711 1.95092946574813
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
2.02501921607939 1.37601125716436
0.332892420472122 1.20679857760363
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
1.30269230077294 1.30377856563371
SUAVIZACION SUAVIZACION METODO
PERIODO NAIVE (ECMS) MEDIA MOVIL EXPONENCIAL EXPONENCIAL AUTO
SIMPLE DOBLE REGRESIVO
30 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1736028527 1.20006518875 1.17550747
31 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.2675662231 1.19767474555 1.30377857
32 1.173509335556 1.209509335556 1.265061798 1.1970313003 1.33791137
33 1.573509335556 1.369509335556 1.2850216804 1.40500738157 1.23563928
34 1.573509335556 1.273509335556 1.2653163206 1.19839816215 1.30377857
35 1.173509335556 1.209509335556 1.262871803 1.19773545469 1.30377857
36 2.773509335556 2.469509335556 2.1143747891 2.40860774556 1.91215651
37 1.573509335556 1.237509335556 1.2788263427 1.38880409754 1.24723638
38 1.273509335556 1.369509335556 1.5785192703 1.77259675438 1.51896529
39 1.173509335556 1.317509335556 1.56773519 1.75664503004 1.42219224
40 1.273509335556 1.429509335556 2.049018253 2.31760885001 1.91215651
41 2.773509335556 2.197509335556 1.290313264 1.21745053872 1.35646543
42 1.573509335556 1.189509335556 1.2606939347 1.3546817718 1.21542037
43 1.215296325352 1.283010611067 1.1810599305 1.21995817024 1.17399181
44 1.356724896781 1.602295100863 1.2906836692 1.2199089094 1.30377857
45 1.173509335556 1.389809386577 1.2875637027 1.21867344161 1.33791137
46 1.273509335556 1.18435224372 1.1737971496 1.18486387994 1.17911073
47 1.273509335556 1.301037958005 1.2632036366 1.35105127519 1.24723638
48 1.573509335556 1.249323672291 1.287064574 1.22048807666 1.30377857
49 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1737729179 1.18399244348 1.17799418
50 1.573509335556 1.657509335556 1.5535050402 1.71148797262 1.46859522
51 2.073509335556 1.369509335556 1.2894547661 1.22415407387 1.30377857
52 1.573509335556 1.237509335556 1.2614285878 1.34196045879 1.23563928
53 1.573509335556 1.957509335556 2.029121645 2.24967172379 1.87437532
54 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.5291635652 1.67371258328 1.51896529
55 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.2475730772 1.31908463765 1.22503394
56 1.573509335556 1.657509335556 1.3059737535 1.23905870347 1.37601126
57 1.273509335556 1.317509335556 1.1753455159 1.17755852237 1.1859429
58 1.173509335556 1.273509335556 1.1752966245 1.17745070586 1.18147266
59 1.273509335556 1.209509335556 1.2488695026 1.31651934615 1.24723638
60 1.173509335556 1.237509335556 1.2468629096 1.3127114607 1.23563928
61 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1759122189 1.17619978536 1.17799418
62 1.273509335556 1.209509335556 1.2452612963 1.30849363528 1.22503394
63 1.573509335556 1.749509335556 1.9776355485 2.16340155277 1.91215651
64 2.773509335556 1.657509335556 1.3180608108 1.25377562351 1.32034909
65 1.173509335556 1.497509335556 1.3142118813 1.25163839669 1.33791137
66 2.773509335556 1.849509335556 1.9742394789 2.15191064015 1.8375859
67 2.773509335556 1.573509335556 1.3194863907 1.25704594389 1.30377857
68 1.273509335556 1.209509335556 1.1771963423 1.17447496898 1.17550747
69 2.073509335556 2.073509335556 1.9634328617 2.1326189956 1.8375859
70 1.173509335556 1.657509335556 1.9423998005 2.10708106503 1.99069419
71 2.773509335556 1.849509335556 1.3333492408 1.27063272588 1.32034909
72 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.1796266837 1.17358604788 1.19140492
73 1.186010611067 1.215296325352 1.1747095377 1.18801760253 1.17399181
74 1.356724896781 1.602295100863 1.3286328878 1.26911460472 1.30377857
75 1.273509335556 1.180837958005 1.1787439405 1.17363412734 1.17799418
76 1.273509335556 1.350209386577 1.2334593515 1.28060128472 1.23177619
77 1.173509335556 1.259866529434 1.2318630801 1.27774977891 1.24723638
78 1.273509335556 1.47255224372 1.4810408305 1.57643373744 1.49328437
79 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.2268216776 1.26962648247 1.22503394
80 1.573509335556 1.573509335556 1.3372554884 1.28016594297 1.33791137
81 1.173509335556 1.497509335556 1.3328954678 1.27732602888 1.35646543
82 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1795393529 1.17351208993 1.18147266
83 1.273509335556 1.317509335556 1.3278327214 1.27454759047 1.30377857
84 1.573509335556 1.369509335556 1.2334758851 1.27517515694 1.24723638
85 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1790788621 1.17351206003 1.17799418
86 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.3254976268 1.2745419245 1.30377857
87 1.573509335556 1.317509335556 1.2349261167 1.27518076446 1.22503394
88 1.573509335556 1.273509335556 1.324016919 1.27455047367 1.32034909
89 1.273509335556 1.173509335556 1.1779349777 1.17351619232 1.17550747
90 1.186010611067 1.204153468209 1.1756414899 1.18659499061 1.17401882
91 1.444582039638 1.626895100863 1.4940949353 1.57483887558 1.51896529
92 1.173509335556 1.407380815148 1.4855587969 1.56415279206 1.49328437
93 2.073509335556 1.452637958005 1.3315606038 1.28376369275 1.32644527
94 1.173509335556 1.452637958005 1.3273522193 1.28082798244 1.35646543
95 1.273509335556 1.195666529434 1.1785139407 1.17355800942 1.1859429
96 1.273509335556 1.209509335556 1.2342384193 1.26920342299 1.24723638
97 1.573509335556 1.317509335556 1.3250839114 1.28060655983 1.30377857
98 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1781170067 1.17355346596 1.17799418
99 2.073509335556 2.197509335556 1.9509276343 2.06111688631 1.91215651
100 2.073509335556 1.209509335556 1.17971685 1.1738772677 1.17550747
101 1.173509335556 1.209509335556 1.1795515643 1.17386747088 1.17799418
102 1.173509335556 1.189509335556 1.1793906797 1.17385793492 1.19140492
103 1.273509335556 1.429509335556 1.3270869505 1.28549884271 1.32034909
104 2.773509335556 1.849509335556 1.94487426 2.04726331014 1.95092947
105 2.773509335556 1.369509335556 1.3322389792 1.29094685161 1.32034909
106 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1794139025 1.17398766108 1.17550747
107 1.273509335556 1.317509335556 1.3272039366 1.28762174559 1.37601126
108 1.173509335556 1.273509335556 1.3231115557 1.28458330804 1.30377857
109 1.573509335556 1.273509335556 1.2364376719 1.26570955459 1.23563928
110 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.17823381 1.17378664738 1.17550747
111 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.3209970662 1.28417018102 1.30377857
112 1.573509335556 1.369509335556 1.2378028162 1.2660816249 1.22503394
113 1.173509335556 1.273509335556 1.2360908926 1.2636167298 1.23563928
114 1.173509335556 1.209509335556 1.2344245519 1.26121746674 1.24723638
115 1.573509335556 1.369509335556 1.3247941524 1.28929258052 1.33791137
116 1.173509335556 1.317509335556 1.3207659361 1.28620965414 1.33791137
117 2.073509335556 1.497509335556 1.498507792 1.55478369759 1.46859522
118 1.573509335556 1.189509335556 1.1784107554 1.17405024535 1.17550747
119 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.2345954158 1.25952368024 1.24723638
120 1.273509335556 1.497509335556 1.4871889441 1.54023511313 1.44489785
121 2.073509335556 1.497509335556 1.3304195615 1.29686559655 1.32034909
122 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.1790718008 1.17442656862 1.18147266
123 1.573509335556 1.429509335556 1.4858486231 1.53660669266 1.44489785
124 2.073509335556 1.497509335556 1.3313572165 1.29895572763 1.30377857
125 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1792470778 1.17461218412 1.17799418
126 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.326359362 1.29530462708 1.35646543
127 2.773509335556 2.073509335556 1.9464857717 2.02100787936 1.99069419
128 2.773509335556 1.429509335556 1.3315189464 1.3007108006 1.32034909
129 1.273509335556 1.173509335556 1.1792775319 1.17477990823 1.17550747
130 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.2317336146 1.25250430099 1.20679858
131 1.573509335556 1.369509335556 1.3290548606 1.29964952674 1.30377857
132 2.073509335556 1.429509335556 1.4866355403 1.53144996352 1.49328437
133 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.2291340564 1.2486043846 1.22503394
134 1.273509335556 1.209509335556 1.1804882595 1.17561302029 1.17550747
135 1.173509335556 1.209509335556 1.1803024338 1.1755570061 1.1859429
136 1.273509335556 1.369509335556 1.331550032 1.30373826085 1.33791137
137 1.573509335556 1.209509335556 1.2312248567 1.24991730695 1.23563928
138 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1797831167 1.17540269515 1.17799418
139 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.2301924649 1.24820125425 1.24723638
140 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1801249834 1.17568020659 1.18147266
141 1.273509335556 1.317509335556 1.3307011505 1.30469519406 1.32034909
142 2.073509335556 1.497509335556 1.4843413223 1.52319468333 1.46859522
143 2.073509335556 1.369509335556 1.3324174415 1.30692944073 1.32034909
144 1.173509335556 1.317509335556 1.3281862422 1.30337690287 1.30377857
145 1.573509335556 1.317509335556 1.2332587895 1.25019082292 1.21542037
146 1.273509335556 1.573509335556 1.4841913291 1.52093760269 1.51896529
147 2.073509335556 1.429509335556 1.3325232806 1.30831071817 1.30377857
148 1.173509335556 1.273509335556 1.3282892631 1.30472140144 1.33791137
149 1.173509335556 1.273509335556 1.3241679835 1.30122765639 1.35646543
150 1.573509335556 1.273509335556 1.2357646903 1.25183572273 1.24723638
151 1.273509335556 1.173509335556 1.1784179866 1.17511817775 1.17550747
152 1.273509335556 1.209509335556 1.3220043291 1.30010335612 1.30377857
153 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1775999351 1.17472064783 1.18147266
154 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.3173993128 1.29640529144 1.32034909
155 1.573509335556 1.317509335556 1.240182469 1.25564260418 1.24723638
156 1.215296325352 1.204153468209 1.1760426353 1.17964479254 1.17551997
157 1.186010611067 1.175180815148 1.1773721835 1.17470164295 1.17550747
158 2.073509335556 2.031580815148 1.9609251195 2.01003231651 1.91215651
159 1.573509335556 1.18435224372 1.2325658599 1.2463564294 1.23177619
160 1.173509335556 1.174009386577 1.2309933792 1.24441675128 1.23563928
161 1.573509335556 1.602295100863 1.3302546592 1.31021709595 1.37601126
162 1.573509335556 1.177509335556 1.2320013584 1.24515715242 1.22503394
163 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.1795339049 1.17622836466 1.18147266
164 1.273509335556 1.369509335556 1.3278055251 1.3086929007 1.30377857
165 1.573509335556 1.273509335556 1.233492613 1.24625300469 1.22503394
166 1.573509335556 1.273509335556 1.326252212 1.30772910535 1.32034909
167 1.173509335556 1.273509335556 1.3221851724 1.30415527505 1.30377857
168 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1776295925 1.17513967272 1.18147266
169 1.186010611067 1.230296325352 1.1758596668 1.17868942742 1.1780129
170 1.186010611067 1.175180815148 1.1776026067 1.17517405004 1.17550747
171 1.573509335556 1.716066529434 1.4976509632 1.52421192974 1.49328437
172 2.073509335556 1.334980815148 1.323262712 1.3063106869 1.32644527
173 1.356724896781 1.174195866169 1.1756478258 1.17820186588 1.17551997
174 1.173509335556 1.173524080454 1.1755908849 1.17807691926 1.17350943
175 1.186010611067 1.185166682495 1.1779711227 1.17554614639 1.17550747
176 1.273509335556 1.353452396781 1.3195319766 1.30365271729 1.32644527
177 1.273509335556 1.180195253924 1.1772034929 1.17508470259 1.17911073
178 1.273509335556 1.262138111067 1.3150302883 1.29980902471 1.32034909
179 1.173509335556 1.218495100863 1.3112620515 1.29644608007 1.30377857
180 1.573509335556 1.429509335556 1.2444141596 1.25560971219 1.23563928
181 1.173509335556 1.369509335556 1.2425261978 1.25342364963 1.24723638
182 1.173509335556 1.273509335556 1.2406885061 1.25129579472 1.24723638
183 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1771710714 1.1751955632 1.18147266
184 1.173509335556 1.189509335556 1.1770735714 1.17515066451 1.18147266
185 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.2397263816 1.24982751696 1.22503394
186 1.573509335556 1.429509335556 1.3168304841 1.30303792444 1.32034909
187 1.573509335556 1.237509335556 1.2405654114 1.25044819079 1.23563928
188 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1771994927 1.17532128316 1.18147266
189 1.173509335556 1.177509335556 1.177101236 1.17527303696 1.17550747
190 1.273509335556 1.317509335556 1.3144021729 1.3014309593 1.33791137
191 1.573509335556 1.317509335556 1.242221242 1.25167878755 1.23563928
192 1.573509335556 1.317509335556 1.3132651877 1.30068351893 1.32034909
193 1.573509335556 1.317509335556 1.2430084391 1.25225714948 1.24723638
194 1.273509335556 1.173509335556 1.1766604038 1.1750592192 1.18147266
195 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.3116031519 1.29958309164 1.30377857
196 2.073509335556 1.573509335556 1.5122965267 1.53156039853 1.46859522
197 2.073509335556 1.317509335556 1.3137074512 1.30190952646 1.32034909
198 1.173509335556 1.317509335556 1.3099744373 1.29849065237 1.30377857
199 1.173509335556 1.237509335556 1.3063408212 1.29516281164 1.35646543
200 2.073509335556 1.749509335556 1.5205572013 1.53901372344 1.51896529
201 1.273509335556 1.957509335556 1.9789070607 2.00652004328 1.99069419
202 1.573509335556 1.209509335556 1.2374958038 1.24533637485 1.24723638
203 1.573509335556 1.497509335556 1.3201144488 1.30896424105 1.35646543
204 1.173509335556 1.497509335556 1.3162108376 1.30535752316 1.37601126
205 1.173509335556 1.497509335556 1.3124111668 1.30184684028 1.33791137
206 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1761587325 1.174894135 1.17550747
207 1.273509335556 1.209509335556 1.3082057978 1.29807731224 1.30377857
208 1.573509335556 1.497509335556 1.2466062807 1.25430409256 1.24723638
209 1.173509335556 1.369509335556 1.2446599499 1.25215279435 1.23563928
210 1.573509335556 1.273509335556 1.3098844247 1.30008862496 1.30377857
211 1.356724896781 1.186010611067 1.1775665857 1.17944228103 1.17401882
212 1.356724896781 1.28815224372 1.3068760352 1.2974440608 1.33791137
213 2.073509335556 1.545723672291 1.5197050677 1.53514097167 1.51896529
214 1.273509335556 1.226695100863 1.2433479794 1.25027727823 1.23177619
215 1.573509335556 1.334980815148 1.311690721 1.30246133323 1.30377857
216 1.573509335556 1.226695100863 1.2441112954 1.25088773325 1.21542037
217 1.573509335556 1.369509335556 1.3106363141 1.30168347537 1.33791137
218 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1759216728 1.174877438 1.17550747
219 1.173509335556 1.173509335556 1.1758574402 1.17484100994 1.18147266
220 1.173509335556 1.177509335556 1.175794918 1.17480555184 1.17550747
221 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.2459030372 1.25230593327 1.23563928
222 1.573509335556 1.273509335556 1.3081990872 1.29989711132 1.32034909
223 1.273509335556 1.173509335556 1.1756119504 1.17470081738 1.17799418
224 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.3041680544 1.29620749122 1.33791137
225 1.173509335556 1.237509335556 1.3006890431 1.29294044355 1.30377857
226 2.073509335556 1.749509335556 1.529727958 1.54284170258 1.49328437
227 2.073509335556 1.237509335556 1.3029958329 1.29538123347 1.30377857
228 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1750141181 1.17430427795 1.17550747
229 1.173509335556 1.177509335556 1.1749740507 1.17428311125 1.1859429
230 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.2988157087 1.29161961155 1.30377857
231 1.173509335556 1.273509335556 1.2954792128 1.288474724 1.32034909
232 1.173509335556 1.189509335556 1.2922315568 1.28541357445 1.32034909
233 1.573509335556 1.429509335556 1.2590730922 1.26496614253 1.24723638
234 1.173509335556 1.369509335556 1.2567948112 1.26253094906 1.24723638
235 1.173509335556 1.317509335556 1.2545771934 1.26016059676 1.24723638
236 1.173509335556 1.237509335556 1.2524186234 1.25785335914 1.22503394
237 1.273509335556 1.209509335556 1.1750369614 1.1743914194 1.18147266
238 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.2506081722 1.25583583208 1.22503394
239 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.1752971546 1.17460809511 1.18147266
240 1.273509335556 1.429509335556 1.3016329953 1.29526219636 1.32034909
241 1.273509335556 1.177509335556 1.1748722969 1.17429481892 1.18147266
242 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.2517997716 1.25678598221 1.23563928
243 1.573509335556 1.317509335556 1.3005313763 1.29443692598 1.30377857
244 1.573509335556 1.317509335556 1.2523753456 1.25724432842 1.23563928
245 1.273509335556 1.573509335556 1.5255078982 1.53557543023 1.46859522
246 1.573509335556 1.209509335556 1.1757289606 1.17501486859 1.17550747
247 1.186010611067 1.179582039638 1.1777770398 1.17891569697 1.17401882
248 1.186010611067 1.195666529434 1.1757520241 1.17505120518 1.1859429
249 1.273509335556 1.452637958005 1.3052420845 1.29951169892 1.32034909
250 2.073509335556 1.47255224372 1.5223152356 1.53167912602 1.48444166
251 1.573509335556 1.180837958005 1.1759867371 1.17527367888 1.17799418
252 1.273509335556 1.226695100863 1.2448631709 1.24901704798 1.24723638
253 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1762852191 1.17554552111 1.1859429
254 1.273509335556 1.369509335556 1.309086652 1.3036477858 1.32034909
255 1.173509335556 1.369509335556 1.3054766747 1.3001826276 1.33791137
256 1.173509335556 1.237509335556 1.3019628192 1.29680973514 1.32034909
257 2.073509335556 1.749509335556 1.5276330791 1.53621216219 1.51896529
258 1.573509335556 1.177509335556 1.1755658276 1.17497464999 1.17550747
259 1.273509335556 1.317509335556 1.2472145372 1.25105009024 1.24723638
260 1.573509335556 1.957509335556 1.9840562016 1.99649336298 1.87437532
261 2.773509335556 1.573509335556 1.3153928112 1.31032465434 1.32034909
262 1.273509335556 1.273509335556 1.1765782555 1.17588103932 1.18147266
263 1.273509335556 1.429509335556 1.3110636038 1.30620573564 1.37601126
264 1.273509335556 1.189509335556 1.1759778667 1.1753725494 1.17550747
265 1.273509335556 1.237509335556 1.2449101874 1.24838892549 1.23563928
266 1.573509335556 1.237509335556 1.3095431399 1.30490242158 1.30377857
267 1.173509335556 1.237509335556 1.3059210078 1.30140385655 1.32034909
268 1.173509335556 1.209509335556 1.3023953212 1.29799844679 1.33791137
269 1.173509335556 1.209509335556 1.298963512 1.29468371188 1.30377857
270 2.073509335556 1.849509335556 1.5325925518 1.53983430448 1.51896529
271 1.273509335556 1.369509335556 1.249121192 1.25241855476 1.24723638
272 1.273509335556 1.173509335556 1.1755286891 1.17503697082 1.17550747
273 1.273509335556 1.317509335556 1.3035147831 1.29938448363 1.35646543
274 2.773509335556 1.957509335556 2.0001195482 2.01051014528 1.91215651
275 1.173509335556 1.573509335556 1.9781096414 1.98822357112 1.95092947
276 2.773509335556 1.657509335556 1.3178625945 1.31368001862 1.30377857
277 1.173509335556 1.497509335556 1.3140189428 1.30994773511 1.37601126
278 1.573509335556 1.189509335556 1.2424857165 1.24534976504 1.20679858
279 1.573509335556 1.573509335556 1.3128936642 1.30894610073 1.30377857
280 1.173509335556 1.317509335556 1.3091823187 1.30533986585 1.30377857
Análisis de varianza de un factor
RESUMEN
Grupos Cuenta Suma Promedio
Columna 1 251 368.621578 1.46861186421728
Columna 2 251 339.281656 1.35171974493929
Columna 3 251 331.117003 1.31919124878266
Columna 4 251 333.344348 1.32806512978443
Columna 5 251 330.183088 1.31547046827748
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Origen de las variaciones Suma de cuadradosGrados de libertad
Promedio de los cuadrados
Entre grupos 4.13541721505762 4 1.0338543037644
Dentro de los grupos 81.7033504528007 1250 0.065362680362241
Total 85.8387676678583 1254

Varianza
0.16007041
0.04665158
0.03705124
0.0517316
0.03130857
F Probabilidad Valor crítico para F

15.8171957 1.2321116E-12 2.37904827783754
2 4 PROMEDIOS 4.286 1.572
3 5
4 2
5 1
6 2
7 2
8 5
9 2
10 2
11 2
12 1
13 1
14 2
15 2
16 1
17 3
18 3
19 3
20 1
21 3
22 2
23 3
24 1
25 1
26 1
27 2
28 4
29 2
30 4 2 4 2
31 1 4 9 3
32 1 1 0 0
33 6 1 25 5
34 1 6 25 5
35 2 1 1 1
36 3 2 1 1
37 1 3 4 2
38 3 1 4 2
39 4 3 1 1
40 6 4 4 2
41 1 6 25 5
42 5 1 16 4
43 2 5 9 3
44 3 2 1 1
45 1 3 4 2
46 4 1 9 3
47 6 4 4 2
48 2 6 16 4
49 1 2 1 1
50 2 1 1 1
51 2.5 2 0.25 0.5
52 1 2.5 2.25 1.5
53 2 1 1 1
54 2 2 0 0
55 4 2 4 2
56 5 4 1 1
57 3 5 4 2
58 4 3 1 1
59 2 4 4 2
60 1 2 1 1
61 6 1 25 5
62 2 6 16 4
63 4 2 4 2
64 3 4 1 1
65 2 3 1 1
66 2 2 0 0
67 2 2 0 0
68 1 2 1 1
69 1 1 0 0
70 1 1 0 0
71 2 1 1 1
72 2 2 0 0
73 2 2 0 0
74 1 2 1 1
75 1 1 0 0
76 2 1 1 1
77 7 2 25 5
78 1 7 36 6
79 1 1 0 0
80 2 1 1 1
81 3 2 1 1
82 2 3 1 1
83 1 2 1 1
84 2 1 1 1
85 4 2 4 2
86 3 4 1 1
87 4 3 1 1
88 1 4 9 3
89 3 1 4 2
90 3 3 0 0
91 1 3 4 2
92 2 1 1 1
93 2 2 0 0
94 2 2 0 0
95 4 2 4 2
96 7 4 9 3
97 3 7 16 4
98 2 3 1 1
99 1 2 1 1
100 1 1 0 0
101 2 1 1 1
102 3 2 1 1
103 1 3 4 2
104 4 1 9 3
105 2 4 4 2
106 1 2 1 1
107 4 1 9 3
108 1 4 9 3
109 2 1 1 1
110 2 2 0 0
111 1 2 1 1
112 2 1 1 1
113 6 2 16 4
114 1 6 25 5
115 3 1 4 2
116 1 3 4 2
117 4 1 9 3
118 1 4 9 3
119 2 1 1 1
120 6 2 16 4
121 3 6 9 3
122 1 3 4 2
123 4 1 9 3
124 1 4 9 3
125 3 1 4 2
126 2 3 1 1
127 2 2 0 0
128 5 2 9 3
129 2 5 9 3
130 3 2 1 1
131 4 3 1 1
132 3 4 1 1
133 3 3 0 0
134 2 3 1 1
135 4 2 4 2
136 1 4 9 3
137 5 1 16 4
138 2 5 9 3
139 2 2 0 0
140 3 2 1 1
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Item 46
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Item 46
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Item 46
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Item 46
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Item 46
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1
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1
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1
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5
1
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2
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1
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5
1
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2
1
2
1
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1
1
1
1
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2
Item 46
2
4
5
2
1
2
2
5
2
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2
1
1
2
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1
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3
3
1
3
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Item 46
2
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Item 46
2
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Item 46
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Item 46
2
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Item 46
2
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Item 46
2
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Item 46
2
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2
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1
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2
Item 46
2
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2
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1
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Item 46
2
4
5
2
1
2
2
5
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
3
3
3
1
3
2
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2
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2
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5
4
1
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2
2
2
2
4
4
2
1
2
1
2
4
3
1
4
3
3
2
2
2
3
1
1
5
1
4
2
3
2
8
2
1
2
3
3
1
2
3
3
2
5
1
1
2
1
1
3
2
2
6
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
4
1
3
1
1
1
4
1
1
3
3
1
1
1
1
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1
1
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3
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1
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5
1
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2
1
2
1
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1
1
1
5
2
NAIVE
MAD MAPE MAPE' PRONOSTICO ECM
1.572 -0.418023145513186 0.408419047619048 PROMEDIOS 2.43256
2 0.5 1 2.0 4
3 -3 -0.75 2.6 2.56
0 0 0 2.6 2.56
5 0.833333333333333 5 2.4 12.96
5 -5 -0.833333333333333 2.8 3.24
1 0.5 1 2.6 0.36
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.2 0.64
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.6 2.56
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.6 0.16
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2 4
2 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.6 11.56
5 -5 -0.833333333333333 3.4 5.76
4 0.8 4 3 4
3 -1.5 -0.6 3.8 3.24
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 3.6 0.36
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 3.4 5.76
3 0.75 3 2.4 2.56
2 0.333333333333333 0.5 3 9
4 -2 -0.666666666666667 3.2 1.44
1 -1 -0.5 3.2 4.84
1 0.5 1 2.8 0.64
0.5 0.2 0.25 3 0.25
1.5 -1.5 -0.6 2.7 2.89
1 0.5 1 1.7 0.09
0 0 0 1.7 0.09
2 0.5 1 1.9 4.41
1 0.2 0.25 2.3 7.29
2 -0.666666666666667 -0.4 2.8 0.04
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 3.2 0.64
2 -1 -0.5 3.6 2.56
1 -1 -0.5 3.6 6.76
5 0.833333333333333 5 3 9
4 -2 -0.666666666666667 3.2 1.44
2 0.5 1 3 1
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 3 0
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 3.2 1.44
0 0 0 3.4 1.96
0 0 0 2.6 0.36
1 -1 -0.5 2.6 2.56
0 0 0 2 1
0 0 0 1.6 0.36
1 0.5 1 1.4 0.36
0 0 0 1.4 0.36
0 0 0 1.4 0.36
1 -1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0 0 0 1.6 0.36
1 0.5 1 1.6 0.16
5 0.714285714285714 2.5 1.6 29.16
6 -6 -0.857142857142857 2.6 2.56
0 0 0 2.4 1.96
1 0.5 1 2.4 0.16
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.6 0.16
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.8 0.64
1 -1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
1 0.5 1 1.8 0.04
2 0.5 1 2 4
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 2.4 0.36
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2.4 2.56
3 -3 -0.75 2.8 3.24
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.8 0.04
0 0 0 3 0
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.8 3.24
1 0.5 1 2.4 0.16
0 0 0 2 0
0 0 0 2.2 0.04
2 0.5 1 2 4
3 0.428571428571429 0.75 2.2 23.04
4 -1.33333333333333 -0.571428571428571 3.4 0.16
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 3.6 2.56
1 -1 -0.5 3.6 6.76
0 0 0 3.4 5.76
1 0.5 1 2.8 0.64
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.8 1.44
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 1.8 0.64
3 0.75 3 1.6 5.76
2 -1 -0.5 2.2 0.04
1 -1 -0.5 2.4 1.96
3 0.75 3 2.2 3.24
3 -3 -0.75 2.4 1.96
1 0.5 1 2.4 0.16
0 0 0 2 0
1 -1 -0.5 2 1
1 0.5 1 2 0
4 0.666666666666667 2 1.6 19.36
5 -5 -0.833333333333333 2.6 2.56
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.4 0.36
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.6 2.56
3 0.75 3 2.6 1.96
3 -3 -0.75 3 4
1 0.5 1 2 0
4 0.666666666666667 2 2.2 14.44
3 -1 -0.5 2.8 0.04
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 3.2 4.84
3 0.75 3 2.6 1.96
3 -3 -0.75 3.2 4.84
2 0.666666666666667 2 3 0
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.4 0.16
0 0 0 2.2 0.04
3 0.6 1.5 2.4 6.76
3 -1.5 -0.6 2.6 0.36
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.8 0.04
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2.8 1.44
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 3.2 0.04
0 0 0 3.4 0.16
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 3 1
2 0.5 1 3 1
3 -3 -0.75 3.2 4.84
4 0.8 4 2.6 5.76
3 -1.5 -0.6 3 1
0 0 0 2.8 0.64
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.8 0.04
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.6 0.36
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.8 0.04
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.4 0.16
2 0.5 1 2.4 2.56
2 -1 -0.5 2.8 0.64
1 -1 -0.5 2.6 2.56
4 0.8 4 2.4 6.76
4 -4 -0.8 2.8 3.24
0 0 0 2.6 2.56
1 0.5 1 2 0
0 0 0 2 0
1 -1 -0.5 2.2 1.44
1 0.5 1 1.4 0.36
2 0.5 1 1.6 5.76
2 -1 -0.5 2.2 0.04
0 0 0 2.2 0.04
1 -1 -0.5 2.2 1.44
0 0 0 2.2 1.44
4 0.8 4 2 9
0 0 0 2.2 7.84
4 -4 -0.8 2.8 3.24
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.6 0.16
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 3 4
2 0.666666666666667 2 3 0
1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2.6 1.96
2 -1 -0.5 2.4 0.16
1 -1 -0.5 2.6 2.56
3 0.75 3 2.2 3.24
1 0.2 0.25 2.8 4.84
3 -1.5 -0.6 3.2 1.44
2 0.5 1 2.8 1.44
2 -1 -0.5 3.2 1.44
1 -1 -0.5 3.4 5.76
3 0.75 3 2.8 1.44
1 0.2 0.25 2.6 5.76
1 -0.25 -0.2 3.2 0.64
3 -3 -0.75 3.2 4.84
1 0.5 1 3 1
2 0.5 1 3.2 0.64
2 -1 -0.5 3.2 1.44
0 0 0 2.6 0.36
0 0 0 2.2 0.04
0 0 0 2.4 0.16
2 0.5 1 2.4 2.56
0 0 0 2.4 2.56
2 -1 -0.5 2.8 0.64
1 -1 -0.5 2.8 3.24
1 0.5 1 2.6 0.36
1 -1 -0.5 2.6 2.56
1 0.5 1 2 0
2 0.5 1 1.6 5.76
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 2 1
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.4 1.96
3 0.75 3 2.2 3.24
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 2.8 0.04
0 0 0 3 0
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.8 0.64
0 0 0 2.6 0.36
0 0 0 2.8 0.64
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.4 0.36
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.4 1.96
0 0 0 2 1
4 0.8 4 1.8 10.24
4 -4 -0.8 2.4 1.96
3 0.75 3 2.2 3.24
2 -1 -0.5 2.4 0.16
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.6 0.16
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 3 1
0.5 0.2 0.25 2.4 0.01
0.5 -0.25 -0.2 2.7 0.49
1 -1 -0.5 2.3 1.69
1 0.5 1 2.1 0.01
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.9 1.21
0 0 0 2.1 0.81
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.2 1.44
1 0.5 1 2 0
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.2 0.64
0 0 0 2.4 0.36
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.4 0.16
3 0.6 1.5 2.2 7.84
4 -4 -0.8 3 4
0 0 0 2.8 3.24
1 0.5 1 2.4 0.16
1 -1 -0.5 2.2 1.44
0 0 0 2 1
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.2 3.24
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 1.6 0.16
0 0 0 1.8 0.04
4 0.666666666666667 2 1.8 17.64
5 -5 -0.833333333333333 2.8 3.24
1 0.5 1 2.8 0.64
0 0 0 2.6 0.36
0 0 0 2.6 0.36
0 0 0 2.6 0.36
1 -1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
0 0 0 1.8 0.64
0 0 0 1.6 0.36
1 0.5 1 1.4 0.36
2 0.5 1 1.4 6.76
3 -3 -0.75 1.8 0.64
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.8 1.44
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.2 1.44
0 0 0 2.2 1.44
0 0 0 2 1
3 0.75 3 1.4 6.76
3 -3 -0.75 2 1
0 0 0 1.6 0.36
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.6 1.96
0 0 0 2 1
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.4 1.96
0 0 0 1.8 0.64
0 0 0 1.8 0.64
0 0 0 1.8 0.64
3 0.75 3 1.4 6.76
3 -3 -0.75 1.6 0.36
0 0 0 1.6 0.36
1 0.5 1 1.6 0.16
2 0.5 1 1.8 4.84
1 -0.333333333333333 -0.25 2.4 0.36
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.2 0.04
1 -1 -0.5 2.4 1.96
1 0.5 1 2.4 0.16
1 -1 -0.5 2.4 1.96
0 0 0 1.8 0.64
0 0 0 1.4 0.16
1.5 0.6 1.5 1.2 1.69
2.5 0.5 1 1.5 12.25
4 -4 -0.8 2.1 1.21
5 0.833333333333333 5 2.1 15.21
4 -2 -0.666666666666667 3.1 1.21
1 -1 -0.5 3.3 5.29
1 0.5 1 3 1
1 -1 -0.5 2.4 1.96
1 0.5 1 2.4 0.16
1 -1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0 0 0 1.4 0.16
0 0 0 1.4 0.16
0 0 0 1.2 0.04
4 0.8 4 1.2 14.44
3 -1.5 -0.6 1.8 0.04
MEDIA MOVIL N = 5
ECM MAD MAPE MAPE'
2.43256 1.232 -0.386298095238095 0.074044120955026 PRONOSTICO
PROMEDIOS
2.24137931034483
4 2 0.5 1 2.23743927474413
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.26620956162569
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.24554121708689
12.96 3.6 0.6 1.5 2.22521024203172
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.28682615273378
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.26582128348284
0.64 0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364 2.26148228144141
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.27353710958185
0.16 0.4 0.133333333333333 0.153846153846154 2.25274915744383
4 2 0.5 1 2.26494653640773
11.56 3.4 0.566666666666667 1.30769230769231 2.29326782212975
5.76 2.4 -2.4 -0.705882352941176 2.35377282863666
4 2 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.3316751884849
3.24 1.8 -0.9 -0.473684210526316 2.37523026674147
0.36 0.6 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.36910538135959
5.76 2.4 -2.4 -0.705882352941176 2.37940347714161
2.56 1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.35688746779559
9 3 0.5 1 2.38370800126876
1.44 1.2 -0.6 -0.375 2.44273675231271
4.84 2.2 -2.2 -0.6875 2.4355099582542
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.41207812255713
0.25 0.5 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.40535176945411
2.89 1.7 -1.7 -0.62962962962963 2.40689671295967
0.09 0.3 0.15 0.176470588235294 2.38393193139806
0.09 0.3 0.15 0.176470588235294 2.37766500870369
4.41 2.1 0.525 1.10526315789474 2.37150038101748
7.29 2.7 0.54 1.17391304347826 2.39808238784045
0.04 0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.44055350107437
0.64 0.8 0.2 0.25 2.44968534886738
2.56 1.6 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.47499114209802
6.76 2.6 -2.6 -0.722222222222222 2.46723785948566
9 3 0.5 1 2.44328812910984
1.44 1.2 -0.6 -0.375 2.50134435345111
1 1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2.49316090724777
0 0 0 0 2.51775704873761
1.44 1.2 -0.6 -0.375 2.52562870266455
1.96 1.4 -0.7 -0.411764705882353 2.51704886291654
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.50860907193247
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.50030704369572
1 1 -1 -0.5 2.47581752487288
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.45172774857921
0.36 0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.42803118981555
0.36 0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.42104443472178
0.36 0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.41417172446377
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.40741119748714
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.3844380179922
0.16 0.4 0.2 0.25 2.36183982981256
29.16 5.4 0.771428571428571 3.375 2.35593351659469
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.43173863531207
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.40836835893685
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.38537955569114
0.16 0.4 0.133333333333333 0.153846153846154 2.37908900341872
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.38922413649164
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.38287082910901
0.04 0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.36029822216077
4 2 0.5 1 2.35441707261174
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25 2.38127793035693
2.56 1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.39137733356529
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.41763488879976
0.04 0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.39449482794418
0 0 0 0 2.40437849167201
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.41410082431104
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.39101845000648
0 0 0 0 2.38463585403604
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.37835744120919
4 2 0.5 1 2.37218151094399
23.04 4.8 0.685714285714286 2.18181818181818 2.39875239968001
0.16 0.4 -0.133333333333333 -0.117647058823529 2.47385858557047
2.56 1.6 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.482446794315
6.76 2.6 -2.6 -0.722222222222222 2.47457181305697
5.76 2.4 -2.4 -0.705882352941176 2.45050237052304
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.42682581361106
1.44 1.2 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.41985873387867
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.42932838245246
5.76 2.4 0.6 1.5 2.40599744864583
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.43201635967412
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.4249645546343
3.24 1.8 0.45 0.818181818181818 2.40170485160936
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.42779383071896
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.40448794540738
0 0 0 0 2.39788548680113
1 1 -1 -0.5 2.39139080015729
0 0 0 0 2.36867912168217
19.36 4.4 0.733333333333333 2.75 2.36266117067143
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.42203346922871
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25 2.39882161032441
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.40863464796341
1.96 1.4 0.35 0.538461538461538 2.38564149808069
4 2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.41199267938434
0 0 0 0 2.38894471633917
14.44 3.8 0.633333333333333 1.72727272727273 2.38259596993299
0.04 0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.4416428726696
4.84 2.2 -2.2 -0.6875 2.45075693864501
1.96 1.4 0.35 0.538461538461538 2.4270762264164
4.84 2.2 -2.2 -0.6875 2.45275106845752
0 0 0 0 2.42903780603875
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.43835762457516
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.43120231103899
6.76 2.6 0.52 1.08333333333333 2.42416379371881
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.46620918004379
0.04 0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.45859924543871
1.44 1.2 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.46743653246288
0.04 0.2 -0.066666666666667 -0.0625 2.49245257304148
0.16 0.4 -0.133333333333333 -0.117647058823529 2.5007372720424
1 1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.50888673986317
1 1 0.25 0.333333333333333 2.5005801792515
4.84 2.2 -2.2 -0.6875 2.52505521593006
5.76 2.4 0.48 0.923076923076923 2.50016173257722
1 1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.54096660419423
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.53213640380851
0.04 0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.52345033882458
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.53122906115106
0.04 0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.52255780672554
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.5303510978576
2.56 1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.52169417443098
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.54582456726844
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.53691507032896
6.76 2.6 0.52 1.08333333333333 2.51182799851784
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.55244244162187
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.52710191645722
0 0 0 0 2.5021750248022
0 0 0 0 2.49397801954655
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.48591481404566
0.36 0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.46166021965406
5.76 2.4 0.6 1.5 2.45412453775049
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.47935787008043
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.47153330934699
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.46383646895463
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.4399422594922
9 3 0.6 1.5 2.4164380753215
7.84 2.8 0.56 1.27272727272727 2.45860956858366
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.50009269636598
0.16 0.4 0.133333333333333 0.153846153846154 2.4756066763356
4 2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.48416635098647
0 0 0 0 2.45994029676548
1.96 1.4 0.35 0.538461538461538 2.46875569380264
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.49375020170458
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.48569071487537
3.24 1.8 0.45 0.818181818181818 2.46143977845556
4.84 2.2 0.44 0.785714285714286 2.4865537040776
1.44 1.2 -0.6 -0.375 2.52758069960683
1.44 1.2 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.51896899740369
1.44 1.2 -0.6 -0.375 2.54314387331838
5.76 2.4 -2.4 -0.705882352941176 2.53427813335867
1.44 1.2 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.50923410428192
5.76 2.4 0.48 0.923076923076923 2.53356788290213
0.64 0.8 0.2 0.25 2.57382746577267
4.84 2.2 -2.2 -0.6875 2.59710688665411
1 1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.57103730354634
0.64 0.8 0.2 0.25 2.56171625899582
1.44 1.2 -0.6 -0.375 2.58519337116157
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.57564125705381
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.56624506214886
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.55700224137687
2.56 1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.54791029121115
2.56 1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.57161275825299
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.59492832981553
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.58521731193257
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.55934180240804
2.56 1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.55021166357677
0 0 0 0 2.52490755141249
5.76 2.4 0.6 1.5 2.5163394830197
1 1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.54055728050986
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.54805676614799
3.24 1.8 0.45 0.818181818181818 2.52278782838441
0.04 0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.54690036950332
0 0 0 0 2.55429631687043
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.5615715401544
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.55240500530357
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.54338809584357
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25 2.53451836943844
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.54211642824995
1 1 -1 -0.5 2.5169444546494
10.24 3.2 0.64 1.77777777777778 2.49218336329051
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.53311846586634
3.24 1.8 0.45 0.818181818181818 2.50809336604744
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.53244576494314
0.16 0.4 0.133333333333333 0.153846153846154 2.52375465025598
1 1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.53152840530555
0.01 0.1 0.04 0.041666666666667 2.522852264684
0.49 0.7 -0.35 -0.259259259259259 2.52247924706173
1.69 1.3 -1.3 -0.565217391304348 2.5139508158921
0.01 0.1 -0.05 -0.047619047619048 2.48923858971251
1.21 1.1 0.366666666666667 0.578947368421053 2.48125274594675
0.81 0.9 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.48972025977722
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.49804955834021
0 0 0 0 2.47359688846128
0.64 0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364 2.46586636425749
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25 2.47458503006753
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.48316138105517
7.84 2.8 0.56 1.27272727272727 2.47527473559447
4 2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.51648583777849
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.49173223242491
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.46738268028616
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.45975359063119
1 1 -1 -0.5 2.43592602601054
3.24 1.8 0.6 1.5 2.41248739883756
0.16 0.4 0.2 0.25 2.42207736974736
0.04 0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.41518779888615
17.64 4.2 0.7 2.33333333333333 2.40841068652201
3.24 1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.46703621552017
0.64 0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.44308977657973
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.43585722010447
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.42874272068206
0.36 0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.42174435126667
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.41486021626765
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.39176544640467
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.36904765257711
0.36 0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.34670068140342
6.76 2.6 0.65 1.85714285714286 2.34104148457515
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.36812067210581
1.44 1.2 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.34578883203865
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.35646752396323
1.44 1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.33432589828717
1 1 -1 -0.5 2.31254569046956
6.76 2.6 0.65 1.85714285714286 2.29112100108504
1 1 -1 -0.5 2.31901504089892
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.29748475227737
1.96 1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875 2.27630590265672
1 1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.2881187647594
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.29973880545928
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.27852316291809
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.25765382340837
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.23712513422412
6.76 2.6 0.65 1.85714285714286 2.21693153492849
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.24603656974205
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.22569750904319
0.16 0.4 0.2 0.25 2.20569044292633
4.84 2.2 0.55 1.22222222222222 2.2023329568738
0.36 0.6 0.2 0.25 2.23167628434455
0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.24421763591364
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.24023127031154
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.21998696954218
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.21639612121949
0.64 0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.19654088169914
0.16 0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.17700973934545
1.69 1.3 0.52 1.08333333333333 2.15779740391886
12.25 3.5 0.7 2.33333333333333 2.16338317847958
1.21 1.1 -1.1 -0.523809523809524 2.20968528799491
15.21 3.9 0.65 1.85714285714286 2.18993958943637
1.21 1.1 -0.55 -0.354838709677419 2.2521312231641
5.29 2.3 -2.3 -0.696969696969697 2.24801568404066
1 1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.22764431824994
1.96 1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.22392847898882
0.16 0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.20395028875773
0.36 0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.20062120724975
0.16 0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.1810234617232
0.16 0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.16174561028764
0.04 0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.14278243131035
14.44 3.8 0.76 3.16666666666667 2.12412878839134
0.04 0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.17107164749787
α= 0.016323004631448
PRONOSTICO ECM MAD MAPE MAPE'
PROMEDIOS 2.00408941772277 1.15509380129526 -0.38901275534675 -0.004804287234073
2.24137931034483
2.23743927474413 3.10662031021449 1.76256072525587 0.440640181313967 0.787758016564462
2.26620956162569 1.60328665395233 1.26620956162569 -1.26620956162569 -0.558734542059456
2.24554121708689 1.5513729234623 1.24554121708689 -1.24554121708689 -0.55467305948751
2.22521024203172 14.2490377168622 3.77478975796827 0.629131626328046 1.69637443090398
2.28682615273378 1.65592154735963 1.28682615273378 -1.28682615273378 -0.562712714823315
2.26582128348284 0.070660954752465 0.265821283482841 -0.132910641741421 -0.117317850891683
2.26148228144141 0.545408420624979 0.738517718558586 0.246172572852862 0.32656356612614
2.27353710958185 1.6218967694821 1.27353710958185 -1.27353710958185 -0.560156728568235
2.25274915744383 0.55838382170091 0.747250842556173 0.249083614185391 0.331706191116312
2.26494653640773 3.01041052152355 1.73505346359227 0.433763365898069 0.76604610117823
2.29326782212975 13.7398634384587 3.70673217787025 0.617788696311708 1.61635380835188
2.35377282863666 1.83270087155492 1.35377282863666 -1.35377282863666 -0.575150164096672
2.3316751884849 7.11995729974709 2.6683248115151 0.53366496230302 1.14438101185481
2.37523026674147 0.140797753078874 0.375230266741469 -0.187615133370734 -0.157976374752179
2.36910538135959 0.398028019829431 0.630894618640412 0.210298206213471 0.26630078324264
2.37940347714161 1.90275395275037 1.37940347714161 -1.37940347714161 -0.579726595507331
2.35688746779559 2.69981879348717 1.64311253220441 0.410778133051101 0.697153578461349
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SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL DO
48 α=
MAPE' S S^[2] PRONOSTICO ECM
-0.004804287234073 PROMEDIOS 2.05608924570363
a1(0) 2.64778325123153
b1(0) 1.86206896551724
b2(0) -0.027093596059113
τ 1
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0.016323004631448 PRONOSTICO
ECM MAD MAPE MAPE' PROMEDIOS
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PRONOSTICO ECM MAD MAPE MAPE'
PROMEDIOS 1.98676586571346 1.15105511930366 -0.381255592757942 -3.3701418881614E-05
D 3
a0 2.30185535769878
a1 0
a2 0
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MAPE'
-3.3701418881614E-05
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8
5
DEMANDA
2
2
0
0 50
GR
50 100
150 200
PERIODO
OS
200 250
ITEM 46
NAIVE
MEDIA
MOVIL N =
5
250 300
TEM 46
AIVE
MEDIA
MOVIL N =
PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION
1 2 2.62435180477885
2 4 2.6226283407405
3 5 2.62090487670214
4 2 2.61918141266379
5 1 2.61745794862544
6 2 2.61573448458708
7 2 2.61401102054873
8 5 2.61228755651038
9 2 2.61056409247203
10 2 2.60884062843367
11 2 2.60711716439532
12 1 2.60539370035697
13 1 2.60367023631861
14 2 2.60194677228026
15 2 2.60022330824191
16 1 2.59849984420355
17 3 2.5967763801652
18 3 2.59505291612685
19 3 2.59332945208849
20 1 2.59160598805014
21 3 2.58988252401179
22 2 2.58815905997343
23 3 2.58643559593508
24 1 2.58471213189673
25 1 2.58298866785837
26 1 2.58126520382002
27 2 2.57954173978167
28 4 2.57781827574331
29 2 2.57609481170496
30 4 2
31 1 4
32 1 1
33 6 1
34 1 6
35 2 1
36 3 2
37 1 3
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40 6 4
41 1 6
42 5 1
43 2 5
44 3 2
45 1 3
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47 6 4
48 2 6
49 1 2
50 2 1
51 2.5 2
52 1 2.5
53 2 1
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55 4 2
56 5 4
57 3 5
58 4 3
59 2 4
60 1 2
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63 4 2
64 3 4
65 2 3
66 2 2
67 2 2
68 1 2
69 1 1
70 1 1
71 2 1
72 2 2
73 2 2
74 1 2
75 1 1
76 2 1
77 7 2
78 1 7
79 1 1
80 2 1
81 3 2
82 2 3
83 1 2
84 2 1
85 4 2
86 3 4
87 4 3
88 1 4
89 3 1
90 3 3
91 1 3
92 2 1
93 2 2
94 2 2
95 4 2
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97 3 7
98 2 3
99 1 2
100 1 1
101 2 1
102 3 2
103 1 3
104 4 1
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106 1 2
107 4 1
108 1 4
109 2 1
110 2 2
111 1 2
112 2 1
113 6 2
114 1 6
115 3 1
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209 2.5 2
210 2 2.5
211 1 2
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214 3 3
215 1 3
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218 3 3
219 2 3
220 5 2
221 1 5
222 1 1
223 2 1
224 1 2
225 1 1
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228 2 2
229 6 2
230 1 6
231 2 1
232 2 2
233 2 2
234 2 2
235 1 2
236 1 1
237 1 1
238 2 1
239 4 2
240 1 4
241 3 1
242 1 3
243 1 1
244 1 1
245 4 1
246 1 4
247 1 1
248 3 1
249 3 3
250 1 3
251 1 1
252 1 1
253 1 1
254 4 1
255 1 4
256 1 1
257 2 1
258 4 2
259 3 4
260 2 3
261 1 2
262 2 1
263 1 2
264 1 1
265 1 1
266 2.5 1
267 5 2.5
268 1 5
269 6 1
270 2 6
271 1 2
272 2 1
273 1 2
274 2 1
275 1 2
276 1 1
277 1 1
278 1 1
279 5 1
280 2 5
NAIVE w 0.1
RESIDUOS(^2) ECM ECMS ECMS(0) 1.51337388813982
0.389815176130609 ECMS PROMEDIO
1.89715268773127 1.79251458697524
5.66009360569964 a1(0) 2.6260752688172
0.383385621788329 b1(0) 2.61745794862544
2.61617021557161 b2(0) -0.00172346403835
0.379128955509723 τ 1
0.377009533355295
5.70117071279518
0.372788511016188
0.370686910831509
0.368591251303413
2.57728893314583
2.57175822685419
0.362339916658622
0.360268019756858
2.55520175191878
0.16258928759268
0.163982140737371
0.165380934538646
2.53320962119706
0.168196344110943
0.345931079828832
0.171035516309573
2.51131254098067
2.50585312256803
2.50039964481197
0.335868628149161
2.02260085680972
0.331885232073373
4 1.76203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
25 3.86203649932584
25 3.86203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
25 3.86203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0.25 1.38703649932584
2.25 1.58703649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
25 3.86203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
25 3.86203649932584
36 4.96203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
25 3.86203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0.25 1.38703649932584
0.25 1.38703649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
25 3.86203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
4 1.76203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
2.25 1.58703649932584
6.25 1.98703649932584
16 2.96203649932584
25 3.86203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
1 1.46203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
0 1.36203649932584
16 2.96203649932584
9 2.26203649932584
MEDIA MOVIL N=5
PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION RESIDUOS(^2) ECM ECMS
2.62435180477885 0.3898151761306
2.6226283407405 1.8971526877313
2.62090487670214 5.6600936056996
2.61918141266379 0.3833856217883
2.61745794862544 2.6161702155716
2.61573448458708 0.3791289555097
2.61401102054873 0.3770095333553
2.61228755651038 5.7011707127952
2.61056409247203 0.3727885110162
2.60884062843367 0.3706869108315
2.60711716439532 0.3685912513034
2.60539370035697 2.5772889331458
2.60367023631861 2.5717582268542
2.60194677228026 0.3623399166586
2.60022330824191 0.3602680197569
2.59849984420355 2.5552017519188
2.5967763801652 0.1625892875927
2.59505291612685 0.1639821407374
2.59332945208849 0.1653809345386
2.59160598805014 2.5332096211971
2.58988252401179 0.1681963441109
2.58815905997343 0.3459310798288
2.58643559593508 0.1710355163096
2.58471213189673 2.5113125409807
2.58298866785837 2.505853122568
2.58126520382002 2.500399644812
2.57954173978167 0.3358686281492
2.57781827574331 2.0226008568097
2.57609481170496 0.3318852320734
2 4 1.76203649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2.4 12.96 2.65803649933
2.8 3.24 1.68603649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
2.2 0.64 1.42603649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2.6 0.16 1.37803649933
2 4 1.76203649933
2.6 11.56 2.51803649933
3.4 5.76 1.93803649933
3 4 1.76203649933
3.8 3.24 1.68603649933
3.6 0.36 1.39803649933
3.4 5.76 1.93803649933
2.4 2.56 1.61803649933
3 9 2.26203649933
3.2 1.44 1.50603649933
3.2 4.84 1.84603649933
2.8 0.64 1.42603649933
3 0.25 1.38703649933
2.7 2.89 1.65103649933
1.7 0.09 1.37103649933
1.7 0.09 1.37103649933
1.9 4.41 1.80303649933
2.3 7.29 2.09103649933
2.8 0.04 1.36603649933
3.2 0.64 1.42603649933
3.6 2.56 1.61803649933
3.6 6.76 2.03803649933
3 9 2.26203649933
3.2 1.44 1.50603649933
3 1 1.46203649933
3 0 1.36203649933
3.2 1.44 1.50603649933
3.4 1.96 1.55803649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2 1 1.46203649933
1.6 0.36 1.39803649933
1.4 0.36 1.39803649933
1.4 0.36 1.39803649933
1.4 0.36 1.39803649933
1.6 0.36 1.39803649933
1.6 0.36 1.39803649933
1.6 0.16 1.37803649933
1.6 29.16 4.27803649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2.6 0.16 1.37803649933
2.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.8 0.04 1.36603649933
2 4 1.76203649933
2.4 0.36 1.39803649933
2.4 2.56 1.61803649933
2.8 3.24 1.68603649933
2.8 0.04 1.36603649933
3 0 1.36203649933
2.8 3.24 1.68603649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2 0 1.36203649933
2.2 0.04 1.36603649933
2 4 1.76203649933
2.2 23.04 3.66603649933
3.4 0.16 1.37803649933
3.6 2.56 1.61803649933
3.6 6.76 2.03803649933
3.4 5.76 1.93803649933
2.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.8 1.44 1.50603649933
1.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.6 5.76 1.93803649933
2.2 0.04 1.36603649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
2.2 3.24 1.68603649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2 0 1.36203649933
2 1 1.46203649933
2 0 1.36203649933
1.6 19.36 3.29803649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2.4 0.36 1.39803649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2.6 1.96 1.55803649933
3 4 1.76203649933
2 0 1.36203649933
2.2 14.44 2.80603649933
2.8 0.04 1.36603649933
3.2 4.84 1.84603649933
2.6 1.96 1.55803649933
3.2 4.84 1.84603649933
3 0 1.36203649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2.2 0.04 1.36603649933
2.4 6.76 2.03803649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
2.8 0.04 1.36603649933
2.8 1.44 1.50603649933
3.2 0.04 1.36603649933
3.4 0.16 1.37803649933
3 1 1.46203649933
3 1 1.46203649933
3.2 4.84 1.84603649933
2.6 5.76 1.93803649933
3 1 1.46203649933
2.8 0.64 1.42603649933
2.8 0.04 1.36603649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
2.8 0.04 1.36603649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2.4 2.56 1.61803649933
2.8 0.64 1.42603649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2.4 6.76 2.03803649933
2.8 3.24 1.68603649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2 0 1.36203649933
2 0 1.36203649933
2.2 1.44 1.50603649933
1.4 0.36 1.39803649933
1.6 5.76 1.93803649933
2.2 0.04 1.36603649933
2.2 0.04 1.36603649933
2.2 1.44 1.50603649933
2.2 1.44 1.50603649933
2 9 2.26203649933
2.2 7.84 2.14603649933
2.8 3.24 1.68603649933
2.6 0.16 1.37803649933
3 4 1.76203649933
3 0 1.36203649933
2.6 1.96 1.55803649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2.2 3.24 1.68603649933
2.8 4.84 1.84603649933
3.2 1.44 1.50603649933
2.8 1.44 1.50603649933
3.2 1.44 1.50603649933
3.4 5.76 1.93803649933
2.8 1.44 1.50603649933
2.6 5.76 1.93803649933
3.2 0.64 1.42603649933
3.2 4.84 1.84603649933
3 1 1.46203649933
3.2 0.64 1.42603649933
3.2 1.44 1.50603649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
2.2 0.04 1.36603649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2.4 2.56 1.61803649933
2.4 2.56 1.61803649933
2.8 0.64 1.42603649933
2.8 3.24 1.68603649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
2.6 2.56 1.61803649933
2 0 1.36203649933
1.6 5.76 1.93803649933
2 1 1.46203649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
2.2 3.24 1.68603649933
2.8 0.04 1.36603649933
3 0 1.36203649933
2.8 0.64 1.42603649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
2.8 0.64 1.42603649933
2.4 0.36 1.39803649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
2 1 1.46203649933
1.8 10.24 2.38603649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
2.2 3.24 1.68603649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2.6 0.16 1.37803649933
3 1 1.46203649933
2.4 0.01 1.36303649933
2.7 0.49 1.41103649933
2.3 1.69 1.53103649933
2.1 0.01 1.36303649933
1.9 1.21 1.48303649933
2.1 0.81 1.44303649933
2.2 1.44 1.50603649933
2 0 1.36203649933
2.2 0.64 1.42603649933
2.4 0.36 1.39803649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2.2 7.84 2.14603649933
3 4 1.76203649933
2.8 3.24 1.68603649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2.2 1.44 1.50603649933
2 1 1.46203649933
1.2 3.24 1.68603649933
1.6 0.16 1.37803649933
1.8 0.04 1.36603649933
1.8 17.64 3.12603649933
2.8 3.24 1.68603649933
2.8 0.64 1.42603649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
2.6 0.36 1.39803649933
1.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.6 0.36 1.39803649933
1.4 0.36 1.39803649933
1.4 6.76 2.03803649933
1.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.8 1.44 1.50603649933
2.2 1.44 1.50603649933
2.2 1.44 1.50603649933
2 1 1.46203649933
1.4 6.76 2.03803649933
2 1 1.46203649933
1.6 0.36 1.39803649933
1.6 1.96 1.55803649933
2 1 1.46203649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
1.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.4 6.76 2.03803649933
1.6 0.36 1.39803649933
1.6 0.36 1.39803649933
1.6 0.16 1.37803649933
1.8 4.84 1.84603649933
2.4 0.36 1.39803649933
2.2 0.04 1.36603649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
1.8 0.64 1.42603649933
1.4 0.16 1.37803649933
1.2 1.69 1.53103649933
1.5 12.25 2.58703649933
2.1 1.21 1.48303649933
2.1 15.21 2.88303649933
3.1 1.21 1.48303649933
3.3 5.29 1.89103649933
3 1 1.46203649933
2.4 1.96 1.55803649933
2.4 0.16 1.37803649933
1.6 0.36 1.39803649933
1.4 0.16 1.37803649933
1.4 0.16 1.37803649933
1.2 0.04 1.36603649933
1.2 14.44 2.80603649933
1.8 0.04 1.36603649933
w 0.1 SUAVIZACION EXPON
ECMS(0) 1.51337388813982 PRONOSTICO
ECMS PROMEDIO
1.60433928817046
a1(0) 2.6260752688172
b1(0) 2.61745794862544
b2(0) -0.001723464038353
τ 1
2.23743927474413
2.26620956162569
2.24554121708689
2.22521024203172
2.28682615273378
2.26582128348284
2.26148228144141
2.27353710958185
2.25274915744383
2.26494653640773
2.29326782212975
2.35377282863666
2.3316751884849
2.37523026674147
2.36910538135959
2.37940347714161
2.35688746779559
2.38370800126876
2.44273675231271
2.4355099582542
2.41207812255713
2.40535176945411
2.40689671295967
2.38393193139806
2.37766500870369
2.37150038101748
2.39808238784045
2.44055350107437
2.44968534886738
2.47499114209802
2.46723785948566
2.44328812910984
2.50134435345111
2.49316090724777
2.51775704873761
2.52562870266455
2.51704886291654
2.50860907193247
2.50030704369572
2.47581752487288
2.45172774857921
2.42803118981555
2.42104443472178
2.41417172446377
2.40741119748714
2.3844380179922
2.36183982981256
2.35593351659469
2.43173863531207
2.40836835893685
2.38537955569114
2.37908900341872
2.38922413649164
2.38287082910901
2.36029822216077
2.35441707261174
2.38127793035693
2.39137733356529
2.41763488879976
2.39449482794418
2.40437849167201
2.41410082431104
2.39101845000648
2.38463585403604
2.37835744120919
2.37218151094399
2.39875239968001
2.47385858557047
2.482446794315
2.47457181305697
2.45050237052304
2.42682581361106
2.41985873387867
2.42932838245246
2.40599744864583
2.43201635967412
2.4249645546343
2.40170485160936
2.42779383071896
2.40448794540738
2.39788548680113
2.39139080015729
2.36867912168217
2.36266117067143
2.42203346922871
2.39882161032441
2.40863464796341
2.38564149808069
2.41199267938434
2.38894471633917
2.38259596993299
2.4416428726696
2.45075693864501
2.4270762264164
2.45275106845752
2.42903780603875
2.43835762457516
2.43120231103899
2.42416379371881
2.46620918004379
2.45859924543871
2.46743653246288
2.49245257304148
2.5007372720424
2.50888673986317
2.5005801792515
2.52505521593006
2.50016173257722
2.54096660419423
2.53213640380851
2.52345033882458
2.53122906115106
2.52255780672554
2.5303510978576
2.52169417443098
2.54582456726844
2.53691507032896
2.51182799851784
2.55244244162187
2.52710191645722
2.5021750248022
2.49397801954655
2.48591481404566
2.46166021965406
2.45412453775049
2.47935787008043
2.47153330934699
2.46383646895463
2.4399422594922
2.4164380753215
2.45860956858366
2.50009269636598
2.4756066763356
2.48416635098647
2.45994029676548
2.46875569380264
2.49375020170458
2.48569071487537
2.46143977845556
2.4865537040776
2.52758069960683
2.51896899740369
2.54314387331838
2.53427813335867
2.50923410428192
2.53356788290213
2.57382746577267
2.59710688665411
2.57103730354634
2.56171625899582
2.58519337116157
2.57564125705381
2.56624506214886
2.55700224137687
2.54791029121115
2.57161275825299
2.59492832981553
2.58521731193257
2.55934180240804
2.55021166357677
2.52490755141249
2.5163394830197
2.54055728050986
2.54805676614799
2.52278782838441
2.54690036950332
2.55429631687043
2.5615715401544
2.55240500530357
2.54338809584357
2.53451836943844
2.54211642824995
2.5169444546494
2.49218336329051
2.53311846586634
2.50809336604744
2.53244576494314
2.52375465025598
2.53152840530555
2.522852264684
2.52247924706173
2.5139508158921
2.48923858971251
2.48125274594675
2.48972025977722
2.49804955834021
2.47359688846128
2.46586636425749
2.47458503006753
2.48316138105517
2.47527473559447
2.51648583777849
2.49173223242491
2.46738268028616
2.45975359063119
2.43592602601054
2.41248739883756
2.42207736974736
2.41518779888615
2.40841068652201
2.46703621552017
2.44308977657973
2.43585722010447
2.42874272068206
2.42174435126667
2.41486021626765
2.39176544640467
2.36904765257711
2.34670068140342
2.34104148457515
2.36812067210581
2.34578883203865
2.35646752396323
2.33432589828717
2.31254569046956
2.29112100108504
2.31901504089892
2.29748475227737
2.27630590265672
2.2881187647594
2.29973880545928
2.27852316291809
2.25765382340837
2.23712513422412
2.21693153492849
2.24603656974205
2.22569750904319
2.20569044292633
2.2023329568738
2.23167628434455
2.24421763591364
2.24023127031154
2.21998696954218
2.21639612121949
2.19654088169914
2.17700973934545
2.15779740391886
2.16338317847958
2.20968528799491
2.18993958943637
2.2521312231641
2.24801568404066
2.22764431824994
2.22392847898882
2.20395028875773
2.20062120724975
2.1810234617232
2.16174561028764
2.14278243131035
2.12412878839134
2.17107164749787
SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL SIMPLE w
2.62435180477885 0.38981517613061 ECMS PROMEDIO
2.6226283407405 1.89715268773127 1.56244544109811
2.62090487670214 5.66009360569964 a1(0)
2.61918141266379 0.38338562178833 b1(0)
2.61745794862544 2.61617021557161 b2(0)
2.61573448458708 0.37912895550972 τ
2.61401102054873 0.3770095333553
2.61228755651038 5.70117071279518
2.61056409247203 0.37278851101619
2.60884062843367 0.37068691083151
2.60711716439532 0.36859125130341
2.60539370035697 2.57728893314583
2.60367023631861 2.57175822685419
2.60194677228026 0.36233991665862
2.60022330824191 0.36026801975686
2.59849984420355 2.55520175191878
2.5967763801652 0.16258928759268
2.59505291612685 0.16398214073737
2.59332945208849 0.16538093453865
2.59160598805014 2.53320962119706
2.58988252401179 0.16819634411094
2.58815905997343 0.34593107982883
2.58643559593508 0.17103551630957
2.58471213189673 2.51131254098067
2.58298866785837 2.50585312256803
2.58126520382002 2.50039964481197
2.57954173978167 0.33586862814916
2.57781827574331 2.02260085680972
2.57609481170496 0.33188523207337
3.10662031 1.67269853034729
1.60328665 1.52236516472107
1.55137292 1.51717379167207
14.2490377 2.78694027101206
1.65592155 1.5276286540618
0.07066095 1.36910259480108
0.54540842 1.41657734138833
1.62189677 1.52422617627405
0.55838382 1.41787488149593
3.01041052 1.66307755147819
13.7398634 2.73602284317171
1.83270087 1.54530658648133
7.1199573 2.07403222930055
0.14079775 1.37611627463372
0.39802802 1.40183930130878
1.90275395 1.55231189460087
2.69981879 1.63201837867455
13.0775678 2.6697932813346
0.19601583 1.38163808251068
2.06068884 1.56810538335053
0.16980838 1.37901733723486
0.00895829 1.36293232808038
1.97935836 1.55997233541951
0.14740373 1.37677687212054
0.14263086 1.37629958520575
2.65201101 1.62723760022846
6.76997526 2.03903402537244
0.31298039 1.39333453784185
2.40347552 1.60238405107748
0.22561659 1.38459815783299
2.15278694 1.57731519295664
12.6501993 2.62705643257893
0.25134616 1.38717111539957
2.27056405 1.58909290447047
0.23255826 1.38529232573006
0.27628553 1.38966505263232
0.26733953 1.38877045199017
0.25868319 1.38790481813104
2.25092123 1.58712862186213
2.17803737 1.57984023599803
2.10751346 1.57278784492532
0.1832107 1.38035756927133
0.17727842 1.37976434092686
0.17153822 1.37919032106037
1.98080628 1.56011712720705
1.91666863 1.55370336189205
0.13092806 1.37512930556972
21.5673535 3.51877184955469
2.04987552 1.56702405131036
1.98350143 1.56038664277128
0.1485174 1.37688823952031
0.38553047 1.40058954589339
0.15149543 1.3771860421686
1.91233173 1.5532696723259
0.12981481 1.37501798021506
2.70794317 1.63283081641701
0.382817 1.40031819927218
2.58766688 1.62080318762259
2.00968868 1.56300536712007
0.36663651 1.39870015066447
0.35476498 1.39751299744413
1.99968114 1.56200461345755
0.15289543 1.37732604215038
0.14794474 1.37683097334684
0.14315435 1.37635193465767
2.64979303 1.6270158026571
21.1714795 3.47918444727089
0.27682479 1.38971897812363
0.23275491 1.38531199026032
2.17436203 1.57947270251205
2.10395713 1.57243221201513
0.18218028 1.38025452684231
0.33656389 1.39569288819152
2.04297962 1.56633446181425
2.54084413 1.6161209126982
0.18663814 1.38070031282844
2.03052398 1.56508889752225
2.55454738 1.61749123746274
2.03859522 1.56589602162975
0.1636105 1.37839754912382
0.15831286 1.37786778538653
1.93596836 1.55563333520207
0.13592429 1.37562892880227
13.2302338 2.68505987525997
2.02217919 1.5642544180865
0.36141546 1.39817804494713
1.98425157 1.56046165647014
2.60615337 1.62265183659775
1.99372333 1.56140883198933
0.15127799 1.37716429856265
13.0856119 2.67059769100034
0.31176268 1.3932127674899
2.1046957 1.5725060688285
2.4740892 1.60944541907628
2.11048567 1.57308506601628
0.32599783 1.39463628201914
0.19215741 1.38125224002815
0.18593543 1.38063004263037
6.63493216 2.02552971548474
0.217351 1.38377159928155
0.29311478 1.39134797702979
2.34875078 1.59691157752878
0.25760439 1.38779693838706
0.24926327 1.3869628264786
0.25896571 1.38793307072669
2.2482598 1.58686247921118
2.32579341 1.59461584048938
6.24919136 1.98695563565297
0.29264487 1.39130098601118
0.28316915 1.39035341455166
0.22709958 1.38474645728248
0.28220432 1.39025693086698
0.22795105 1.38483160411771
0.28127229 1.39016372802571
2.18538811 1.58057531071697
0.29792446 1.39182894514921
2.36210793 1.59824729266626
6.19099991 1.98113649022181
2.41007753 1.60304425278072
2.33204026 1.59524052565057
0.25217976 1.38725447487935
0.24401428 1.38643792770535
2.20794283 1.58283078278587
0.21313016 1.38334951516694
2.38973094 1.60100959380435
0.22978397 1.38501489608664
0.22234366 1.38427086550821
2.14281721 1.57631822010999
2.07343371 1.56937987039299
6.67479222 2.02951572119069
6.45866532 2.00790303181529
2.2502781 1.58706430909489
0.27498836 1.38953533511622
2.20274976 1.58231147506589
0.29166448 1.39120294763161
2.34470913 1.59650741185202
0.24378926 1.38641542549417
2.2072769 1.58276418935253
2.36716756 1.59875325485772
6.31741228 1.99377772757444
0.27834139 1.3898706387856
2.19345283 1.58138178239098
0.29500527 1.39153702603817
2.35400939 1.59743743837609
2.22238296 1.58427479490945
6.08328739 1.97036523815102
2.0339681 1.56543330906428
2.55075041 1.61711154006564
0.3260836 1.39464485952998
2.06866012 1.56890251128953
0.34245128 1.39628162749098
0.33136286 1.39517278500809
0.32063347 1.39409984636663
0.3102515 1.39306164901572
2.10856452 1.57289295156288
2.04029011 1.5660655105644
0.35393972 1.39743047108755
2.51291393 1.61332789193091
0.31286325 1.39332282451794
2.4031562 1.60235211951478
0.27552794 1.38958929307882
2.20124853 1.58216135229046
0.21108761 1.38314526057509
2.39647975 1.60168447444749
2.1821558 1.58025207932276
0.20529928 1.38256642684146
0.19865177 1.38190167664136
0.31536259 1.39357275879698
0.30515129 1.39255162831428
0.29527062 1.39156356159629
0.21667315 1.38370381416486
2.37812308 1.59984880715368
2.30112048 1.59214854717499
6.28914428 1.99095092766153
2.35045223 1.59708172236387
2.2257854 1.584615039769
0.28349849 1.39038634858642
0.22680963 1.38471746264112
0.28252245 1.3902887438905
0.00052223 1.36208872192596
0.27298456 1.38933495568686
2.29204707 1.59124120661987
0.2393544 1.38597193909223
0.26909871 1.38894637068461
0.26038541 1.38807504065402
2.24415248 1.58645174725017
0.22429401 1.38446590060186
0.28529874 1.39056637340899
0.27606089 1.38964258838875
0.23344492 1.38538099134015
6.37423766 1.9994602653986
2.2997293 1.59200942894411
2.22526505 1.58456300465138
0.21844657 1.38388115630898
2.13088055 1.5751245538619
2.06188355 1.56822485454328
0.34517106 1.3965536049783
0.17814931 1.37985142993112
0.17238091 1.37927459016023
12.8995138 2.65198787899477
2.15219526 1.57725602509061
0.19632855 1.38166935433678
0.18997152 1.38103365095756
0.18382032 1.38041853137962
0.1778683 1.37982332910837
2.00182943 1.56221944248353
1.93701106 1.55573760510643
1.87429148 1.54946564682853
0.12020136 1.3740566355744
2.75214336 1.6372508349159
1.87175417 1.54921191667016
0.42799225 1.40483572455437
1.84000414 1.54603691368253
1.7804256 1.54007905960982
1.72277619 1.53431411828286
2.92026743 1.6540632426191
1.73980068 1.53601656713759
1.68346668 1.53038316756506
0.52373315 1.41440981397879
0.50677489 1.4127139886346
1.68932096 1.53096859556751
1.63462148 1.52549864713764
1.58169314 1.52020581327921
1.5304786 1.51508435909874
3.17933315 1.67996981443908
1.55260713 1.51729721263929
1.50233438 1.51226993769331
0.04230856 1.36626735515696
3.2316068 1.68519717912005
0.59032133 1.4210686325297
0.05964225 1.36800072469496
1.5381736 1.51585385971169
0.04839427 1.36687592600267
1.47961952 1.50999845169762
1.43171008 1.50520750748357
1.38535193 1.50057169197724
0.11710262 1.3737467610023
8.04639499 2.16667599853909
1.4633385 1.50837034892497
14.5165603 2.81369253254027
0.06357015 1.36839351469526
1.55754315 1.51779081408698
0.05182194 1.36721869288898
1.49800092 1.51183659149383
0.04159572 1.36619607135427
1.44149128 1.50618562765562
1.39481642 1.5015181410399
1.34965286 1.4970017856281
1.30595169 1.492631667857
8.27063523 2.18910002190178
0.02926551 1.3649630501836
0.1 SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL DOB
1.51337388813982 PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION
ECMS PROMEDIO 2.62435180477885
1.56244544109811 2.6226283407405
2.6260752688172 2.62090487670214
2.61745794862544 2.61918141266379
-0.001723464038353 2.61745794862544
1 2.61573448458708
2.61401102054873
2.61228755651038
2.61056409247203
2.60884062843367
2.60711716439532
2.60539370035697
2.60367023631861
2.60194677228026
2.60022330824191
2.59849984420355
2.5967763801652
2.59505291612685
2.59332945208849
2.59160598805014
2.58988252401179
2.58815905997343
2.58643559593508
2.58471213189673
2.58298866785837
2.58126520382002
2.57954173978167
2.57781827574331
2.57609481170496
1.83497536945813
1.87031507652966
1.85610891950465
1.84213464964655
1.91000350501731
1.89514951359028
1.89686098856555
1.91486753175833
1.89993414480028
1.9178905248496
1.95187680745566
2.01795434107623
2.00133826765224
2.0502854369975
2.0494646275765
2.06498022086292
2.04759654378538
2.07946563444362
2.14346053505035
2.14111882807229
2.12249234015664
2.12049289712094
2.1266875933189
2.10829666651496
2.10652893952587
2.10479006715261
2.13572558766404
2.18247915216234
2.1958235487479
2.22527312931763
2.22159599498444
2.20165587790055
2.26365626659741
2.25935260413664
2.28776519964103
2.29939101158597
2.29450405071724
2.2896968597334
2.28496813655026
2.26399359570608
2.24336142238925
2.22306602813303
2.2194249203227
2.21584324633201
2.21232003602247
2.19253133045968
2.17306563602944
2.17024068485099
2.24907686852094
2.22868818101104
2.20863229814179
2.20522679217295
2.21819987892527
2.21463820129099
2.19481165630578
2.19163174473764
2.22114974814365
2.23386292441191
2.2626915880765
2.24208066743624
2.25445218821194
2.26662176859673
2.24594669560163
2.24193210655023
2.23798304765452
2.23409844926545
2.26292326845677
2.34024659388527
2.3510157517889
2.34528612004673
2.32332700847859
2.30172633559027
2.296801255217
2.30827957158492
2.28692451807872
2.31488705710414
2.30974715421264
2.28836814534841
2.31630712003922
2.29482103282241
2.2900086677382
2.28527485491155
2.26429530750215
2.25998121397372
2.32102955793973
2.2994663863472
2.31090119976734
2.28950335341216
2.31742379809649
2.29591948333859
2.29108918824151
2.35162975659947
2.3622131070854
2.33997769622942
2.36707424798217
2.34475948870083
2.35545498260148
2.3496528892742
2.34394550354318
2.38730029339022
2.38097838890745
2.39108268153228
2.41734504637325
2.42685572587983
2.43621116252079
2.42909088569467
2.45473284244306
2.43098723151834
2.47292123883652
2.46520174326468
2.45760825305481
2.46646171605226
2.45884765930074
2.4676808914643
2.46004693410689
2.48518359513367
2.4772639410632
2.45315055491136
2.49472279019914
2.47032442317199
2.44632431080282
2.43903895701046
2.43187252208179
2.40850006027221
2.40183211189644
2.42791901373578
2.42093408969269
2.4140631805971
2.39098142075106
2.36827642457788
2.41123406068818
2.4534904991053
2.42976516695664
2.43907311277742
2.41558311569257
2.42512255520181
2.45082928702722
2.44347039848708
2.41990862448722
2.44570046332782
2.48739430649503
2.47943856697277
2.50425869828647
2.49602768121889
2.47160801444958
2.49655596390839
2.53741969250408
2.5612933976372
2.53580839827652
2.52706239530989
2.55110516265308
2.54210947053068
2.53326061513245
2.52455619964188
2.51599386636567
2.54021730535808
2.56404534504362
2.55483843026413
2.52945879536578
2.52081643699686
2.49599214325218
2.48789606120071
2.51257814079696
2.5205343300622
2.49571464115032
2.52026909802984
2.52809974776455
2.53580257776737
2.52705666980894
2.51845352134661
2.50999080211648
2.51798922452298
2.49321107938061
2.46883738801615
2.51015356705451
2.48550332338528
2.51022445965197
2.501896063434
2.51002661629751
2.50170144947752
2.50167367670982
2.49348485496141
2.46910669475688
2.46144946400572
2.47024022689902
2.4788874981289
2.45474761064755
2.44732476329282
2.45634608374127
2.46522014913427
2.45762635848531
2.49912553521062
2.47465530215626
2.45058449682937
2.44322960400077
2.41967176049042
2.3964984517688
2.40634941033566
2.39971656702877
2.39319199165389
2.45206593547887
2.42836385648888
2.42137167127547
2.41449361953368
2.40772783826232
2.40107249487
2.37820278204724
2.35570637165281
2.33357717026944
2.32813218857418
2.35542209460326
2.33329753347548
2.34418012092436
2.32223906258501
2.30065614824255
2.27942553191087
2.30751047692224
2.28616797735177
2.26517385150064
2.2771684221259
2.2889672053193
2.26792738765709
2.24723100303602
2.22687244559698
2.2068462009853
2.23611585875152
2.21593873386411
2.19609096027969
2.19289016662686
2.22238762880655
2.23508059914301
2.23124337743443
2.21114578608213
2.207699252438
2.18798597194706
2.16859447142487
2.14951949845552
2.15524039330547
2.2016754175409
2.18206046413488
2.24438070886139
2.24039168141881
2.2201447622582
2.21655133828427
2.19669356515507
2.19348293518006
2.17400170770157
2.15483847238943
2.13598803865604
2.11744530063979
2.16449725434785
SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL DOBLE w
RESIDUOS(^2) ECM ECMS ECMS(0)
0.38981517613061 ECMS PROMEDIO
1.89715268773127 1.5676454238962
5.66009360569964 a1(0)
0.38338562178833 b1(0)
2.61617021557161 b2(0)
0.37912895550972 τ
0.3770095333553
5.70117071279518
0.37278851101619
0.37068691083151
0.36859125130341
2.57728893314583
2.57175822685419
0.36233991665862
0.36026801975686
2.55520175191878
0.16258928759268
0.16398214073737
0.16538093453865
2.53320962119706
0.16819634411094
0.34593107982883
0.17103551630957
2.51131254098067
2.50585312256803
2.50039964481197
0.33586862814916
2.02260085680972
0.33188523207337
4.68733165 1.83076966441113
0.75744833 1.43778133256932
0.73292248 1.43532874753138
17.2878443 3.09082092649282
0.82810638 1.44484713724022
0.01099362 1.36313586177587
1.21691568 1.48372806718069
0.8369826 1.44573475939239
1.21014489 1.48305098790347
4.33517987 1.79555448597694
16.3873014 3.00076663752737
1.03623104 1.46565960337743
8.99197219 2.26123371783052
0.00252863 1.36228936184324
0.90351749 1.45238824874867
1.13418287 1.47545478640876
3.81187926 1.74322442490972
15.3705897 2.89909547047669
0.02058093 1.36409459183753
1.30215218 1.49225171730394
0.01500437 1.36353693666554
0.14402564 1.3764390634394
1.26942493 1.48897899261971
0.01172817 1.36320931612366
0.01134841 1.36317134082149
3.59182069 1.72121856828218
8.20406791 2.18244329024209
0.66834034 1.42887053299076
3.25505267 1.6875417660511
0.05074798 1.36711129760509
1.49229677 1.51126617682204
14.4274181 2.80477830631458
0.06951463 1.36898796201745
3.02985336 1.66502183499843
0.50727841 1.41276434041007
0.08963498 1.37099999710768
0.08673264 1.37070976291472
0.08392427 1.37042892637978
1.65114311 1.52715081052078
1.59767981 1.52180448032444
1.54594763 1.51663126199442
0.04975845 1.36701234461654
0.0481473 1.3668512288917
0.04658831 1.36669533002455
1.46971987 1.50900848629999
1.42213097 1.50424959673863
0.02995171 1.36503167076326
23.326575 3.6946940035527
1.56019302 1.51805580167324
1.50967465 1.51300396394146
0.04352744 1.36638924290863
0.63166445 1.42520294451381
0.04761119 1.36679761804214
1.47534596 1.50957109532938
0.03795158 1.3658316574691
3.27019575 1.6890560739899
0.60660771 1.42269727080751
3.11924017 1.67396051630252
1.59439005 1.52147550398575
0.57444171 1.41948067079323
0.55584154 1.41762065329203
1.6043307 1.52246956979415
0.06048978 1.36808547703357
0.05853114 1.36788961374382
0.05663593 1.36770009242293
3.11840829 1.67387732801451
22.439896 3.60602609537867
0.43527456 1.40556395501384
0.12321206 1.37435770512623
1.80979474 1.54301597380488
1.75119437 1.53715593646273
0.09103878 1.37114037748471
0.49448847 1.41148534679227
1.71159544 1.53319604306848
2.93462761 1.65549926000182
0.09915386 1.37195188519901
1.71543761 1.53358026012265
2.92968361 1.65500485991164
1.73266443 1.53530294275243
0.08691944 1.37072844346528
0.08410503 1.37044700206217
1.65193145 1.52722964459263
0.06985201 1.3690217002826
13.9877405 2.76081055130879
1.74511909 1.53654840862088
0.49074734 1.41111123371158
1.71846196 1.53388269488098
2.92579878 1.65461637712466
1.73560546 1.53559704570494
0.08756834 1.37079333338777
13.7560194 2.73763844028374
0.42038397 1.40407489657856
1.85562455 1.54759895423736
2.75567405 1.63760390422741
1.868892 1.54892569927544
0.42934013 1.4049705120906
0.12634824 1.37467132379146
0.12225714 1.37426221362362
7.05462549 2.06749904814069
0.15000152 1.37703665105185
0.38318775 1.4003552748258
2.58861494 1.62089799309237
0.33948679 1.39598517882442
0.32849436 1.39488593522151
0.19028018 1.38106451715661
2.46775545 1.60881204386659
2.11624764 1.57366126361408
6.5998266 2.02201915978802
0.2236545 1.3844019491401
0.21641266 1.38367776551949
0.29418881 1.39145538004126
0.21758653 1.38379515258008
0.29284586 1.39132108491026
0.21872542 1.38390904094992
2.37145545 1.5991820438412
0.23540312 1.38557681142452
2.18230875 1.5802673744824
6.4864421 2.01068070892067
2.23419622 1.58545612127991
2.16185391 1.57822189026344
0.19920539 1.3819570383672
0.19275521 1.38131201990312
2.05025892 1.56706239127512
0.1668723 1.37872372925008
2.5541406 1.61745055918238
0.18311468 1.3803479675575
0.17718551 1.37975505011238
1.99957468 1.56199396719788
1.93482931 1.5555194306133
6.92596898 2.0546333970691
6.70170909 2.03220740817994
2.11263463 1.57329996242478
0.32516776 1.39455327580743
2.07093142 1.56912964171773
0.34154309 1.3961908087922
2.48023897 1.61006039593924
0.20324705 1.38236120392998
2.08360679 1.57039717845668
2.49668875 1.61170537482282
6.52444612 2.01448111163021
0.23755321 1.38579182032621
2.31210707 1.59324720648682
0.25427683 1.38746418280559
2.23809882 1.58584638162315
2.33598206 1.59563470547531
6.26723204 1.9887597035101
2.13914116 1.57595061491332
2.43763707 1.60580020667639
0.28709064 1.3907455632922
2.16954519 1.57899101805686
0.3037169 1.39240818935612
0.29388268 1.39142476712974
0.28436688 1.39047318769098
0.27515921 1.38955241998411
2.2022742 1.58226391979227
2.13096552 1.57513305088344
0.31814715 1.39385121445237
2.41752254 1.60378875374846
0.28032662 1.39006916092485
2.31288264 1.59332476282982
0.24600821 1.38663731994263
2.28645832 1.59068233149907
0.23758007 1.38579450620873
2.31202465 1.59323896421561
2.26287444 1.58832394341079
0.23014174 1.38505067315635
0.22268985 1.38430548413182
0.2870844 1.39074493956005
0.27778873 1.38981537264485
0.26879405 1.38891590470551
0.24010901 1.38604740072688
2.30429129 1.59246562790262
2.22967933 1.58500443208434
6.40678417 2.00271491615633
2.2805638 1.59009287893458
2.29370018 1.59140651767354
0.260329 1.38806939924855
0.24810753 1.38684725248809
0.26012715 1.38804921425902
2.89493E-06 1.36203678881887
0.25167648 1.38720414711619
2.23049701 1.58508620052575
0.22006109 1.38404260843241
0.29003668 1.39104016730781
0.28064542 1.39010104104544
2.18710823 1.58074732253803
0.20679539 1.3827160382648
0.30544992 1.39258149105277
0.29555958 1.39159245739218
0.21642979 1.38367947804189
6.46366373 2.0084028726327
2.24737737 1.58677423635789
2.17460826 1.57949732534359
0.20302639 1.38233913820413
2.08291169 1.57032766831226
2.01546791 1.56358329007923
0.36421412 1.39845791119758
0.16511984 1.37854848365385
0.15977333 1.37801383272156
13.009064 2.6629429002328
2.10849548 1.57288604742365
0.18349559 1.38038605868044
0.17755409 1.37979190786118
0.17180496 1.37921699538925
0.16624199 1.37866069833524
1.96300414 1.55833691291396
1.89944291 1.55198079017011
1.83793977 1.54583047593984
0.11127373 1.37316387217833
2.79514198 1.64155069721401
1.83716905 1.5457534047797
0.44449218 1.40648571721282
1.8068202 1.54271851907466
1.74831614 1.53686811318841
1.69170642 1.53120714092195
2.9603765 1.65807414934986
1.70958365 1.53299486405198
1.65422807 1.52745930592235
0.53996947 1.41603344617768
0.52248549 1.41428504832303
1.66143646 1.5281801449647
1.60763986 1.52280048536293
1.55558517 1.51759501681926
1.505216 1.51255809910235
3.21540055 1.68357655401792
1.52798242 1.51483474095154
1.478507 1.50988719977694
0.03845166 1.36588166579618
3.26564595 1.68860109431323
0.604681 1.42250459930915
0.05526289 1.36756278813518
1.51596025 1.51363252477345
0.04458254 1.36649475362386
1.45853748 1.50789024775977
1.41131067 1.50316756628014
1.36561304 1.49859780319031
0.12283658 1.37432015752212
8.09265722 2.17130222131392
1.44402381 1.50643888023805
14.5766623 2.81970272927803
0.05972193 1.3680086924122
1.53857152 1.51589365165914
0.04846372 1.36688287096081
1.47999716 1.51003621519396
0.03868836 1.36590533518318
1.42440152 1.50447665098244
1.37828001 1.49986450029446
1.3336519 1.49540168905691
1.29046882 1.4910833817228
8.30912159 2.1929486588062
0.02705935 1.36474243399463
0.1 D METODO AUTOREGRESIVO AR(D)
ECMS PROMEDIO 2.624351804779 0.389815176131
1.5676454238962 2.622628340741 1.897152687731
2.6260752688172 2.620904876702 5.6600936057
2.61745794862544 2.619181412664 0.383385621788
-0.001723464038353 2.617457948625 2.616170215572
1 2.615734484587 0.37912895551
2.614011020549 0.377009533355
2.61228755651 5.701170712795
2.610564092472 0.372788511016
2.608840628434 0.370686910832
2.607117164395 0.368591251303
2.605393700357 2.577288933146
2.603670236319 2.571758226854
2.60194677228 0.362339916659
2.600223308242 0.360268019757
2.598499844204 2.555201751919
2.596776380165 0.162589287593
2.595052916127 0.163982140737
2.593329452089 0.165380934539
2.59160598805 2.533209621197
2.589882524012 0.168196344111
2.588159059973 0.345931079829
2.586435595935 0.17103551631
2.584712131897 2.511312540981
2.582988667858 2.505853122568
2.58126520382 2.500399644812
2.579541739782 0.335868628149
2.577818275743 2.02260085681
2.576094811705 0.331885232073
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.54817209587876
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.42501372678877
2.46606651648543
2.54817209587876
2.34290814739544
2.5071193061821
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.54817209587876
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.40448733194044
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.5071193061821
2.42501372678877
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.54817209587876
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.58922488557543
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.42501372678877
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.42501372678877
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.58922488557543
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.54817209587876
2.34290814739544
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.54817209587876
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.5071193061821
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.46606651648543
2.42501372678877
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.5071193061821
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.5071193061821
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.5071193061821
2.5071193061821
2.34290814739544
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.42501372678877
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.5071193061821
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.5071193061821
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.42501372678877
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.5071193061821
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.40448733194044
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.42501372678877
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.5071193061821
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.54817209587876
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.42501372678877
2.42501372678877
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.46606651648543
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.46606651648543
2.42501372678877
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.40448733194044
2.5071193061821
2.34290814739544
2.54817209587876
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.38396093709211
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
2.34290814739544
RESIVO AR(D) w 0.1
ECM ECMS ECMS(0) 1.51337389
ECMS PROMEDIO
1.56071308589718
a1(0) 2.62607527
b1(0) 2.61745795
b2(0) -0.00172346
τ 1
2.61158225 1.62319472
2.14935103 1.5769716
1.91534788 1.55357129
12.4886859 2.61090509
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.117586 1.3737951
0.20414845 1.38245134
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.37950413 1.39998691
2.48058176 1.61009468
13.3743208 2.69946858
2.03066412 1.56510291
6.4208189 2.00411839
0.30049265 1.39208576
0.4317697 1.40521347
2.2714086 1.58917736
2.61158225 1.62319472
12.7805269 2.64008918
0.117586 1.3737951
2.14935103 1.5769716
0.30049265 1.39208576
0.01346506 1.36338301
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.147426 1.3767791
0.16361 1.3783975
2.74595341 1.63663184
6.84366038 2.04640254
0.37950413 1.39998691
2.35295193 1.59733169
0.25716999 1.3877535
2.03066412 1.56510291
12.4886859 2.61090509
0.147426 1.3767791
2.74595341 1.63663184
0.20414845 1.38245134
0.147426 1.3767791
0.217218 1.3837583
0.18063667 1.38010017
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.117586 1.3737951
0.117586 1.3737951
0.117586 1.3737951
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.147426 1.3767791
21.6885045 3.53088695
1.80340229 1.54237673
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.34718597 1.3967551
0.4317697 1.40521347
0.117586 1.3737951
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.18063667 1.38010017
2.61158225 1.62319472
0.4317697 1.40521347
2.61158225 1.62319472
2.14935103 1.5769716
0.33060921 1.39509742
0.28508496 1.390545
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.18063667 1.38010017
0.18063667 1.38010017
0.117586 1.3737951
2.61158225 1.62319472
21.3078166 3.49281816
0.37950413 1.39998691
0.217218 1.3837583
2.52563574 1.61460007
2.03066412 1.56510291
0.147426 1.3767791
0.4317697 1.40521347
1.80340229 1.54237673
2.61158225 1.62319472
0.18063667 1.38010017
1.80340229 1.54237673
2.35295193 1.59733169
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.117586 1.3737951
0.217218 1.3837583
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.147426 1.3767791
13.0757385 2.66961035
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.37950413 1.39998691
2.39683684 1.60172018
2.74595341 1.63663184
2.03066412 1.56510291
0.117586 1.3737951
12.4886859 2.61090509
0.4317697 1.40521347
1.91534788 1.55357129
2.10780426 1.57281693
2.03066412 1.56510291
0.4317697 1.40521347
0.217218 1.3837583
0.117586 1.3737951
6.63055431 2.02509193
0.147426 1.3767791
0.37950413 1.39998691
2.22869277 1.58490578
0.37950413 1.39998691
0.33060921 1.39509742
0.217218 1.3837583
2.48058176 1.61009468
2.03066412 1.56510291
6.84366038 2.04640254
0.217218 1.3837583
0.117586 1.3737951
0.24293138 1.38632964
0.147426 1.3767791
0.37950413 1.39998691
0.18063667 1.38010017
2.61158225 1.62319472
0.18063667 1.38010017
1.91534788 1.55357129
6.4208189 2.00411839
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.25716999 1.3877535
0.117586 1.3737951
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.147426 1.3767791
2.61158225 1.62319472
0.117586 1.3737951
0.147426 1.3767791
2.14935103 1.5769716
1.91534788 1.55357129
6.84366038 2.04640254
7.06013711 2.06805021
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.24293138 1.38632964
2.2714086 1.58917736
0.4317697 1.40521347
2.48058176 1.61009468
0.117586 1.3737951
2.03066412 1.56510291
2.35295193 1.59733169
6.84366038 2.04640254
0.117586 1.3737951
2.35295193 1.59733169
0.25716999 1.3877535
1.91534788 1.55357129
2.35295193 1.59733169
6.84366038 2.04640254
2.74595341 1.63663184
2.14935103 1.5769716
0.25716999 1.3877535
2.35295193 1.59733169
0.117586 1.3737951
0.147426 1.3767791
0.217218 1.3837583
0.147426 1.3767791
2.61158225 1.62319472
2.61158225 1.62319472
0.147426 1.3767791
2.14935103 1.5769716
0.217218 1.3837583
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.117586 1.3737951
2.61158225 1.62319472
0.4317697 1.40521347
1.91534788 1.55357129
2.35295193 1.59733169
0.33060921 1.39509742
0.4317697 1.40521347
0.217218 1.3837583
0.18063667 1.38010017
0.18063667 1.38010017
0.37950413 1.39998691
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.91534788 1.55357129
6.63055431 2.02509193
1.80340229 1.54237673
2.74595341 1.63663184
0.25716999 1.3877535
0.4317697 1.40521347
0.217218 1.3837583
0.01346506 1.36338301
0.18063667 1.38010017
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.16361 1.3783975
0.37950413 1.39998691
0.4317697 1.40521347
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.18063667 1.38010017
0.33060921 1.39509742
0.4317697 1.40521347
0.147426 1.3767791
6.63055431 2.02509193
2.03066412 1.56510291
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.25716999 1.3877535
1.80340229 1.54237673
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.37950413 1.39998691
0.117586 1.3737951
0.117586 1.3737951
12.7805269 2.64008918
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.147426 1.3767791
0.30049265 1.39208576
0.117586 1.3737951
0.147426 1.3767791
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.117586 1.3737951
2.74595341 1.63663184
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.37950413 1.39998691
2.14935103 1.5769716
1.80340229 1.54237673
2.03066412 1.56510291
2.74595341 1.63663184
1.80340229 1.54237673
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.28508496 1.390545
0.4317697 1.40521347
1.80340229 1.54237673
2.03066412 1.56510291
2.03066412 1.56510291
1.80340229 1.54237673
2.74595341 1.63663184
1.80340229 1.54237673
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.217218 1.3837583
2.74595341 1.63663184
0.4317697 1.40521347
0.147426 1.3767791
2.14935103 1.5769716
0.18063667 1.38010017
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.80340229 1.54237673
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.02467785 1.36450428
7.06013711 2.06805021
1.80340229 1.54237673
12.9277113 2.65480763
0.25716999 1.3877535
1.80340229 1.54237673
0.30049265 1.39208576
1.91534788 1.55357129
0.117586 1.3737951
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.80340229 1.54237673
1.91534788 1.55357129
1.80340229 1.54237673
7.06013711 2.06805021
0.117586 1.3737951
SUAVIZACIO SUAVIZACIO
METODO
PERIODO NAIVE (ECMSMEDIA MOVI N N AUTO
EXPONENCI EXPONENCI
REGRESIVO
AL SIMPLE AL DOBLE
30 1.7620365 1.7620365 1.67269853 1.83076966 1.62319472
31 2.2620365 1.6180365 1.52236516 1.43778133 1.5769716
32 1.3620365 1.6180365 1.51717379 1.43532875 1.55357129
33 3.8620365 2.6580365 2.78694027 3.09082093 2.61090509
34 3.8620365 1.6860365 1.52762865 1.44484714 1.54237673
35 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.36910259 1.36313586 1.3737951
36 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.41657734 1.48372807 1.38245134
37 1.7620365 1.6180365 1.52422618 1.44573476 1.54237673
38 1.7620365 1.3780365 1.41787488 1.48305099 1.39998691
39 1.4620365 1.7620365 1.66307755 1.79555449 1.61009468
40 1.7620365 2.5180365 2.73602284 3.00076664 2.69946858
41 3.8620365 1.9380365 1.54530659 1.4656596 1.56510291
42 2.9620365 1.7620365 2.07403223 2.26123372 2.00411839
43 2.2620365 1.6860365 1.37611627 1.36228936 1.39208576
44 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.4018393 1.45238825 1.40521347 Origen de las variaciones
45 1.7620365 1.9380365 1.55231189 1.47545479 1.58917736
46 2.2620365 1.6180365 1.63201838 1.74322442 1.62319472
47 1.7620365 2.2620365 2.66979328 2.89909547 2.64008918
48 2.9620365 1.5060365 1.38163808 1.36409459 1.3737951
49 1.4620365 1.8460365 1.56810538 1.49225172 1.5769716
50 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.37901734 1.36353694 1.39208576
51 1.3870365 1.3870365 1.36293233 1.37643906 1.36338301
52 1.5870365 1.6510365 1.55997234 1.48897899 1.54237673
53 1.4620365 1.3710365 1.37677687 1.36320932 1.3767791
54 1.3620365 1.3710365 1.37629959 1.36317134 1.3783975
55 1.7620365 1.8030365 1.6272376 1.72121857 1.63663184
56 1.4620365 2.0910365 2.03903403 2.18244329 2.04640254
57 1.7620365 1.3660365 1.39333454 1.42887053 1.39998691
58 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.60238405 1.68754177 1.59733169
59 1.7620365 1.6180365 1.38459816 1.3671113 1.3877535
60 1.4620365 2.0380365 1.57731519 1.51126618 1.56510291
61 3.8620365 2.2620365 2.62705643 2.80477831 2.61090509
62 2.9620365 1.5060365 1.38717112 1.36898796 1.3767791
63 1.7620365 1.4620365 1.5890929 1.66502183 1.63663184
64 1.4620365 1.3620365 1.38529233 1.41276434 1.38245134
65 1.4620365 1.5060365 1.38966505 1.371 1.3767791
66 1.3620365 1.5580365 1.38877045 1.37070976 1.3837583
67 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.38790482 1.37042893 1.38010017
68 1.4620365 1.6180365 1.58712862 1.52715081 1.55357129
69 1.3620365 1.4620365 1.57984024 1.52180448 1.55357129
70 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.57278784 1.51663126 1.55357129
71 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.38035757 1.36701234 1.3737951
72 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.37976434 1.36685123 1.3737951
73 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.37919032 1.36669533 1.3737951
74 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.56011713 1.50900849 1.55357129
75 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.55370336 1.5042496 1.55357129
76 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.37512931 1.36503167 1.3767791
77 3.8620365 4.2780365 3.51877185 3.694694 3.53088695
78 4.9620365 1.6180365 1.56702405 1.5180558 1.54237673
79 1.3620365 1.5580365 1.56038664 1.51300396 1.55357129
80 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.37688824 1.36638924 1.3967551
81 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.40058955 1.42520294 1.40521347
82 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.37718604 1.36679762 1.3737951
83 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.55326967 1.5095711 1.55357129
84 1.4620365 1.3660365 1.37501798 1.36583166 1.38010017
85 1.7620365 1.7620365 1.63283082 1.68905607 1.62319472
86 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.4003182 1.42269727 1.40521347
87 1.4620365 1.6180365 1.62080319 1.67396052 1.62319472
88 2.2620365 1.6860365 1.56300537 1.5214755 1.5769716
89 1.7620365 1.3660365 1.39870015 1.41948067 1.39509742
90 1.3620365 1.3620365 1.397513 1.41762065 1.390545
91 1.7620365 1.6860365 1.56200461 1.52246957 1.54237673
92 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.37732604 1.36808548 1.38010017
93 1.3620365 1.3620365 1.37683097 1.36788961 1.38010017
94 1.3620365 1.3660365 1.37635193 1.36770009 1.3737951
95 1.7620365 1.7620365 1.6270158 1.67387733 1.62319472
96 2.2620365 3.6660365 3.47918445 3.6060261 3.49281816
97 2.9620365 1.3780365 1.38971898 1.40556396 1.39998691
98 1.4620365 1.6180365 1.38531199 1.37435771 1.3837583
99 1.4620365 2.0380365 1.5794727 1.54301597 1.61460007
100 1.3620365 1.9380365 1.57243221 1.53715594 1.56510291
101 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.38025453 1.37114038 1.3767791
102 1.4620365 1.5060365 1.39569289 1.41148535 1.40521347
103 1.7620365 1.4260365 1.56633446 1.53319604 1.54237673
104 2.2620365 1.9380365 1.61612091 1.65549926 1.62319472
105 1.7620365 1.3660365 1.38070031 1.37195189 1.38010017
106 1.4620365 1.5580365 1.5650889 1.53358026 1.54237673
107 2.2620365 1.6860365 1.61749124 1.65500486 1.59733169
108 2.2620365 1.5580365 1.56589602 1.53530294 1.55357129
109 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.37839755 1.37072844 1.3737951
110 1.3620365 1.3620365 1.37786779 1.370447 1.3837583
111 1.4620365 1.4620365 1.55563334 1.52722964 1.54237673
112 1.4620365 1.3620365 1.37562893 1.3690217 1.3767791
113 2.9620365 3.2980365 2.68505988 2.76081055 2.66961035
114 3.8620365 1.6180365 1.56425442 1.53654841 1.54237673
115 1.7620365 1.3980365 1.39817804 1.41111123 1.39998691
116 1.7620365 1.6180365 1.56046166 1.53388269 1.60172018
117 2.2620365 1.5580365 1.62265184 1.65461638 1.63663184
118 2.2620365 1.7620365 1.56140883 1.53559705 1.56510291
119 1.4620365 1.3620365 1.3771643 1.37079333 1.3737951
120 2.9620365 2.8060365 2.67059769 2.73763844 2.61090509
121 2.2620365 1.3660365 1.39321277 1.4040749 1.40521347
122 1.7620365 1.8460365 1.57250607 1.54759895 1.55357129
123 2.2620365 1.5580365 1.60944542 1.6376039 1.57281693
124 2.2620365 1.8460365 1.57308507 1.5489257 1.56510291
125 1.7620365 1.3620365 1.39463628 1.40497051 1.40521347
126 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.38125224 1.37467132 1.3837583
127 1.3620365 1.3660365 1.38063004 1.37426221 1.3737951
128 2.2620365 2.0380365 2.02552972 2.06749905 2.02509193
129 2.2620365 1.3980365 1.3837716 1.37703665 1.3767791
130 1.4620365 1.3660365 1.39134798 1.40035527 1.39998691
131 1.4620365 1.5060365 1.59691158 1.62089799 1.58490578
132 1.4620365 1.3660365 1.38779694 1.39598518 1.39998691
133 1.3620365 1.3780365 1.38696283 1.39488594 1.39509742
134 1.4620365 1.4620365 1.38793307 1.38106452 1.3837583
135 1.7620365 1.4620365 1.58686248 1.60881204 1.61009468
136 2.2620365 1.8460365 1.59461584 1.57366126 1.56510291
137 2.9620365 1.9380365 1.98695564 2.02201916 2.04640254
138 2.2620365 1.4620365 1.39130099 1.38440195 1.3837583
139 1.3620365 1.4260365 1.39035341 1.38367777 1.3737951
140 1.4620365 1.3660365 1.38474646 1.39145538 1.38632964
141 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.39025693 1.38379515 1.3767791
142 1.4620365 1.3660365 1.3848316 1.39132108 1.39998691
143 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.39016373 1.38390904 1.38010017
144 1.7620365 1.6180365 1.58057531 1.59918204 1.62319472
145 1.7620365 1.4260365 1.39182895 1.38557681 1.38010017
146 1.4620365 1.6180365 1.59824729 1.58026737 1.55357129
147 2.9620365 2.0380365 1.98113649 2.01068071 2.00411839
148 2.9620365 1.6860365 1.60304425 1.58545612 1.55357129
149 1.3620365 1.6180365 1.59524053 1.57822189 1.54237673
150 1.4620365 1.3620365 1.38725447 1.38195704 1.3877535
151 1.3620365 1.3620365 1.38643793 1.38131202 1.3737951
152 1.4620365 1.5060365 1.58283078 1.56706239 1.54237673
153 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.38334952 1.37872373 1.3767791
154 1.7620365 1.9380365 1.60100959 1.61745056 1.62319472
155 1.7620365 1.3660365 1.3850149 1.38034797 1.3737951
156 1.3620365 1.3660365 1.38427087 1.37975505 1.3767791
157 1.4620365 1.5060365 1.57631822 1.56199397 1.5769716
158 1.3620365 1.5060365 1.56937987 1.55551943 1.55357129
159 2.9620365 2.2620365 2.02951572 2.0546334 2.04640254
160 1.3620365 2.1460365 2.00790303 2.03220741 2.06805021
161 2.9620365 1.6860365 1.58706431 1.57329996 1.54237673
162 1.7620365 1.3780365 1.38953534 1.39455328 1.38632964
163 1.7620365 1.7620365 1.58231148 1.56912964 1.58917736
164 1.7620365 1.3620365 1.39120295 1.39619081 1.40521347
165 1.4620365 1.5580365 1.59650741 1.6100604 1.61009468
166 1.7620365 1.3780365 1.38641543 1.3823612 1.3737951
167 1.4620365 1.6180365 1.58276419 1.57039718 1.56510291
168 2.2620365 1.6860365 1.59875325 1.61170537 1.59733169
169 1.4620365 1.8460365 1.99377773 2.01448111 2.04640254
170 2.2620365 1.5060365 1.38987064 1.38579182 1.3737951
171 1.7620365 1.5060365 1.58138178 1.59324721 1.59733169
172 1.7620365 1.5060365 1.39153703 1.38746418 1.3877535
173 1.4620365 1.9380365 1.59743744 1.58584638 1.55357129
174 2.2620365 1.5060365 1.58427479 1.59563471 1.59733169
175 1.4620365 1.9380365 1.97036524 1.9887597 2.04640254
176 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.56543331 1.57595061 1.63663184
177 2.2620365 1.8460365 1.61711154 1.60580021 1.5769716
178 1.4620365 1.4620365 1.39464486 1.39074556 1.3877535
179 1.7620365 1.4260365 1.56890251 1.57899102 1.59733169
180 1.7620365 1.5060365 1.39628163 1.39240819 1.3737951
181 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.39517279 1.39142477 1.3767791
182 1.3620365 1.3660365 1.39409985 1.39047319 1.3837583
183 1.3620365 1.3780365 1.39306165 1.38955242 1.3767791
184 1.7620365 1.6180365 1.57289295 1.58226392 1.62319472
185 1.3620365 1.6180365 1.56606551 1.57513305 1.62319472
186 1.7620365 1.4260365 1.39743047 1.39385121 1.3767791
187 1.4620365 1.6860365 1.61332789 1.60378875 1.5769716
188 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.39332282 1.39006916 1.3837583
189 1.4620365 1.6180365 1.60235212 1.59332476 1.55357129
190 1.4620365 1.3620365 1.38958929 1.38663732 1.3737951
191 1.7620365 1.9380365 1.58216135 1.59068233 1.62319472
192 1.4620365 1.4620365 1.38314526 1.38579451 1.40521347
193 1.7620365 1.5580365 1.60168447 1.59323896 1.55357129
194 2.2620365 1.6860365 1.58025208 1.58832394 1.59733169
195 1.4620365 1.3660365 1.38256643 1.38505067 1.39509742
196 1.3620365 1.3620365 1.38190168 1.38430548 1.40521347
197 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.39357276 1.39074494 1.3837583
198 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.39255163 1.38981537 1.38010017
199 1.3620365 1.4260365 1.39156356 1.3889159 1.38010017
200 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.38370381 1.3860474 1.39998691
201 1.7620365 1.5580365 1.59984881 1.59246563 1.55357129
202 1.3620365 1.4620365 1.59214855 1.58500443 1.55357129
203 2.9620365 2.3860365 1.99095093 2.00271492 2.02509193
204 2.9620365 1.5580365 1.59708172 1.59009288 1.54237673
205 2.2620365 1.6860365 1.58461504 1.59140652 1.63663184
206 1.7620365 1.3780365 1.39038635 1.3880694 1.3877535
207 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.38471746 1.38684725 1.40521347
208 1.4620365 1.4620365 1.39028874 1.38804921 1.3837583
209 1.3870365 1.3630365 1.36208872 1.36203679 1.36338301
210 1.3870365 1.4110365 1.38933496 1.38720415 1.38010017
211 1.4620365 1.5310365 1.59124121 1.5850862 1.55357129
212 1.4620365 1.3630365 1.38597194 1.38404261 1.3783975
213 1.4620365 1.4830365 1.38894637 1.39104017 1.39998691
214 1.3620365 1.4430365 1.38807504 1.39010104 1.40521347
215 1.7620365 1.5060365 1.58645175 1.58074732 1.55357129
216 1.4620365 1.3620365 1.3844659 1.38271604 1.38010017
217 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.39056637 1.39258149 1.39509742
218 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.38964259 1.39159246 1.40521347
219 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.38538099 1.38367948 1.3767791
220 2.2620365 2.1460365 1.99946027 2.00840287 2.02509193
221 2.9620365 1.7620365 1.59200943 1.58677424 1.56510291
222 1.3620365 1.6860365 1.584563 1.57949733 1.55357129
223 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.38388116 1.38233914 1.3877535
224 1.4620365 1.5060365 1.57512455 1.57032767 1.54237673
225 1.3620365 1.4620365 1.56822485 1.56358329 1.54237673
226 1.7620365 1.6860365 1.3965536 1.39845791 1.39998691
227 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.37985143 1.37854848 1.3737951
228 1.3620365 1.3660365 1.37927459 1.37801383 1.3737951
229 2.9620365 3.1260365 2.65198788 2.6629429 2.64008918
230 3.8620365 1.6860365 1.57725603 1.57288605 1.55357129
231 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.38166935 1.38038606 1.3767791
232 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.38103365 1.37979191 1.39208576
233 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.38041853 1.379217 1.3737951
234 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.37982333 1.3786607 1.3767791
235 1.4620365 1.4260365 1.56221944 1.55833691 1.55357129
236 1.3620365 1.4260365 1.55573761 1.55198079 1.55357129
237 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.54946565 1.54583048 1.55357129
238 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.37405664 1.37316387 1.3737951
239 1.7620365 2.0380365 1.63725083 1.6415507 1.63663184
240 2.2620365 1.4260365 1.54921192 1.5457534 1.54237673
241 1.7620365 1.5060365 1.40483572 1.40648572 1.39998691
242 1.7620365 1.5060365 1.54603691 1.54271852 1.5769716
243 1.3620365 1.5060365 1.54007906 1.53686811 1.54237673
244 1.3620365 1.4620365 1.53431412 1.53120714 1.56510291
245 2.2620365 2.0380365 1.65406324 1.65807415 1.63663184
246 2.2620365 1.4620365 1.53601657 1.53299486 1.54237673
247 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.53038317 1.52745931 1.54237673
248 1.7620365 1.5580365 1.41440981 1.41603345 1.390545
249 1.3620365 1.4620365 1.41271399 1.41428505 1.40521347
250 1.7620365 1.5580365 1.5309686 1.52818014 1.54237673
251 1.3620365 1.4260365 1.52549865 1.52280049 1.56510291
252 1.3620365 1.4260365 1.52020581 1.51759502 1.56510291
253 1.3620365 1.4260365 1.51508436 1.5125581 1.54237673
254 2.2620365 2.0380365 1.67996981 1.68357655 1.63663184
255 2.2620365 1.3980365 1.51729721 1.51483474 1.54237673
256 1.3620365 1.3980365 1.51226994 1.5098872 1.54237673
257 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.36626736 1.36588167 1.3837583
258 1.7620365 1.8460365 1.68519718 1.68860109 1.63663184
259 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.42106863 1.4225046 1.40521347
260 1.4620365 1.3660365 1.36800072 1.36756279 1.3767791
261 1.4620365 1.5580365 1.51585386 1.51363252 1.5769716
262 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.36687593 1.36649475 1.38010017
263 1.4620365 1.5580365 1.50999845 1.50789025 1.55357129
264 1.3620365 1.4260365 1.50520751 1.50316757 1.54237673
265 1.3620365 1.3780365 1.50057169 1.4985978 1.55357129
266 1.5870365 1.5310365 1.37374676 1.37432016 1.36450428
267 1.9870365 2.5870365 2.166676 2.17130222 2.06805021
268 2.9620365 1.4830365 1.50837035 1.50643888 1.54237673
269 3.8620365 2.8830365 2.81369253 2.81970273 2.65480763
270 2.9620365 1.4830365 1.36839351 1.36800869 1.3877535
271 1.4620365 1.8910365 1.51779081 1.51589365 1.54237673
272 1.4620365 1.4620365 1.36721869 1.36688287 1.39208576
273 1.4620365 1.5580365 1.51183659 1.51003622 1.55357129
274 1.4620365 1.3780365 1.36619607 1.36590534 1.3737951
275 1.4620365 1.3980365 1.50618563 1.50447665 1.55357129
276 1.3620365 1.3780365 1.50151814 1.4998645 1.54237673
277 1.3620365 1.3780365 1.49700179 1.49540169 1.55357129
278 1.3620365 1.3660365 1.49263167 1.49108338 1.54237673
279 2.9620365 2.8060365 2.18910002 2.19294866 2.06805021
280 2.2620365 1.3660365 1.36496305 1.36474243 1.3737951
RESUMEN
Grupos Cuenta Suma Promedio Varianza
Columna 1 251 449.921161 1.79251459 0.38284237
Columna 2 251 402.689161 1.60433929 0.1433392
Columna 3 251 392.173806 1.56244544 0.09889111
Columna 4 251 393.479001 1.56764542 0.11909173
Columna 5 251 391.738985 1.56071309 0.09465042
Origen de las variaciones
Suma de cuadrados
Grados dePromedio
libertad de los cuadradosF Probabilidad
Valor crítico para F
Entre grupos 9.92568 4 2.48142 14.7912263 8.19117E-12 2.37904828
Dentro de los 209.703708 1250 0.16776297
Total 219.629388 1254

2 2 PROMEDIOS 2.98325224489796 1.22925714285714
3 2
4 4
5 3
6 2
7 2
8 3
9 4
10 2
11 7
12 1
13 4
14 1
15 2
16 1
17 1
18 2
19 1
20 2
21 1
22 4
23 5
24 4
25 1
26 2
27 6
28 2
29 1
30 1 1 0 0
31 1 1 0 0
32 2 1 1 1
33 2 2 0 0
34 2 2 0 0
35 1 2 1 1
36 3 1 4 2
37 2 3 1 1
38 1 2 1 1
39 3 1 4 2
40 5 3 4 2
41 3 5 4 2
42 3 3 0 0
43 1 3 4 2
44 3 1 4 2
45 1 3 4 2
46 1 1 0 0
47 2 1 1 1
48 1 2 1 1
49 2 1 1 1
50 3 2 1 1
51 1 3 4 2
52 1 1 0 0
53 1 1 0 0
54 2 1 1 1
55 4 2 4 2
56 4 4 0 0
57 1 4 9 3
58 1 1 0 0
59 2 1 1 1
60 3 2 1 1
61 4 3 1 1
62 5 4 1 1
63 1 5 16 4
64 2 1 1 1
65 1 2 1 1
66 1 1 0 0
67 1 1 0 0
68 1 1 0 0
69 1 1 0 0
70 3 1 4 2
71 2 3 1 1
72 2 2 0 0
73 1 2 1 1
74 6 1 25 5
75 2.32857143 6 13.479387755102 3.67142857142857
76 2 2.32857142857143 0.10795918367347 0.328571428571429
77 3 2 1 1
78 1 3 4 2
79 1 1 0 0
80 0 1 1 1
81 1 0 1 1
82 1 1 0 0
83 1 1 0 0
84 1 1 0 0
85 1 1 0 0
86 4 1 9 3
87 1 4 9 3
88 1 1 0 0
89 1 1 0 0
90 6 1 25 5
91 1 6 25 5
92 4 1 9 3
93 5 4 1 1
94 5 5 0 0
95 2 5 9 3
96 2 2 0 0
97 3 2 1 1
98 1 3 4 2
99 1 1 0 0
100 1 1 0 0
101 1 1 0 0
102 3 1 4 2
103 7 3 16 4
104 3 7 16 4
105 2.32857143 3 0.450816326530612 0.671428571428571
106 1 2.32857142857143 1.76510204081633 1.32857142857143
107 1 1 0 0
108 2 1 1 1
109 1 2 1 1
110 2 1 1 1
111 2 2 0 0
112 2 2 0 0
113 1 2 1 1
114 5 1 16 4
115 3 5 4 2
116 1 3 4 2
117 2 1 1 1
118 1 2 1 1
119 4 1 9 3
120 1 4 9 3
121 3 1 4 2
122 1 3 4 2
123 4 1 9 3
124 2 4 4 2
125 2 2 0 0
126 1 2 1 1
127 2 1 1 1
128 5 2 9 3
129 1 5 16 4
130 1 1 0 0
131 1 1 0 0
132 3 1 4 2
133 5 3 4 2
134 5 5 0 0
135 2 5 9 3
136 1 2 1 1
137 1 1 0 0
138 1 1 0 0
139 1 1 0 0
140 2 1 1 1
141 1 2 1 1
142 2 1 1 1
143 1 2 1 1
144 5 1 16 4
145 2 5 9 3
146 1 2 1 1
147 3 1 4 2
148 1 3 4 2
149 2 1 1 1
150 1 2 1 1
151 1 1 0 0
152 1 1 0 0
153 1 1 0 0
154 1 1 0 0
155 4 1 9 3
156 1 4 9 3
157 3 1 4 2
158 4 3 1 1
159 1 4 9 3
160 1 1 0 0
161 1 1 0 0
162 1 1 0 0
163 1 1 0 0
164 1 1 0 0
165 2 1 1 1
166 1 2 1 1
167 2.32857143 1 1.76510204081633 1.32857142857143
168 1 2.32857142857143 1.76510204081633 1.32857142857143
169 3 1 4 2
170 1 3 4 2
171 1 1 0 0
172 2 1 1 1
173 2 2 0 0
174 1 2 1 1
175 1 1 0 0
176 3 1 4 2
177 2 3 1 1
178 2 2 0 0
179 2 2 0 0
180 1 2 1 1
181 1 1 0 0
182 1 1 0 0
183 4 1 9 3
184 1 4 9 3
185 2 1 1 1
186 3 2 1 1
187 1 3 4 2
188 1 1 0 0
189 2 1 1 1
190 1 2 1 1
191 1 1 0 0
192 1 1 0 0
193 1 1 0 0
194 2 1 1 1
195 1 2 1 1
196 4 1 9 3
197 2 4 4 2
198 2.32857143 2 0.10795918367347 0.328571428571429
199 2 2.32857142857143 0.10795918367347 0.328571428571429
200 1 2 1 1
201 2 1 1 1
202 1 2 1 1
203 2 1 1 1
204 4 2 4 2
205 2 4 4 2
206 1 2 1 1
207 3 1 4 2
208 2 3 1 1
209 2.32857143 2 0.10795918367347 0.328571428571429
210 1 2.32857142857143 1.76510204081633 1.32857142857143
211 4 1 9 3
212 2 4 4 2
213 2 2 0 0
214 2 2 0 0
215 1 2 1 1
216 1 1 0 0
217 2 1 1 1
218 1 2 1 1
219 1 1 0 0
220 1 1 0 0
221 1 1 0 0
222 1 1 0 0
223 3 1 4 2
224 6 3 9 3
225 2.32857143 6 13.479387755102 3.67142857142857
226 4 2.32857142857143 2.79367346938775 1.67142857142857
227 2.32857143 4 2.79367346938775 1.67142857142857
228 4 2.32857142857143 2.79367346938775 1.67142857142857
229 1 4 9 3
230 4 1 9 3
231 1 4 9 3
232 1 1 0 0
233 1 1 0 0
234 1 1 0 0
235 5 1 16 4
236 1 5 16 4
237 2 1 1 1
238 3 2 1 1
239 1 3 4 2
240 1 1 0 0
241 1 1 0 0
242 1 1 0 0
243 4 1 9 3
244 1 4 9 3
245 5 1 16 4
246 4 5 1 1
247 2 4 4 2
248 2 2 0 0
249 3 2 1 1
250 4 3 1 1
251 3 4 1 1
252 1 3 4 2
253 1 1 0 0
254 2 1 1 1
255 2 2 0 0
256 2 2 0 0
257 1 2 1 1
258 1 1 0 0
259 4 1 9 3
260 2 4 4 2
261 1 2 1 1
262 2 1 1 1
263 1 2 1 1
264 1 1 0 0
265 1 1 0 0
266 1 1 0 0
267 4 1 9 3
268 2 4 4 2
269 1 2 1 1
270 1 1 0 0
271 2 1 1 1
272 3 2 1 1
273 5 3 4 2
274 1 5 16 4
275 2.32857143 1 1.76510204081633 1.32857142857143
276 1 2.32857142857143 1.76510204081633 1.32857142857143
277 1 1 0 0
278 1 1 0 0
279 1 1 0 0
280 2 1 1 1
VE MEDIA MO
MAPE MAPE' PRONOSTICO ECM
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! PROMEDIOS 2.07112212244898
0 0 2.4 1.96
0 0 2.4 1.96
0.5 1 2.2 0.04
0 0 1.4 0.36
0 0 1.4 0.36
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0.666666666666667 2 1.6 1.96
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2 0
-1 -0.5 2 1
0.666666666666667 2 1.8 1.44
0.4 0.666666666666667 2 9
-0.666666666666667 -0.4 2.8 0.04
0 0 2.8 0.04
-2 -0.666666666666667 3 4
0.666666666666667 2 3 0
-2 -0.666666666666667 3 4
0 0 2.2 1.44
0.5 1 1.8 0.04
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0.5 1 1.6 0.16
0.333333333333333 0.5 1.4 2.56
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.5 1 1.6 0.16
0.5 1 1.6 5.76
0 0 1.8 4.84
-3 -0.75 2.4 1.96
0 0 2.4 1.96
0.5 1 2.4 0.16
0.333333333333333 0.5 2.4 0.36
0.25 0.333333333333333 2.2 3.24
0.2 0.25 2.2 7.84
-4 -0.8 3 4
0.5 1 3 1
-1 -0.5 3 4
0 0 2.6 2.56
0 0 2 1
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 1.2 0.04
0.666666666666667 2 1 4
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 1.4 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.16
-1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
0.833333333333333 5 1.8 17.64
-1.57668711656442 -0.611904761904762 2.8 0.222244897959183
-0.164285714285714 -0.141104294478528 2.66571428571429 0.443175510204082
0.333333333333333 0.5 2.66571428571429 0.11174693877551
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.86571428571429 3.48088979591837
0 0 2.86571428571429 3.48088979591837
#DIV/0! -1 1.86571428571429 3.48088979591837
1 #DIV/0! 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 0.8 0.04
0 0 0.8 0.04
0 0 0.8 0.04
0.75 3 1 9
-3 -0.75 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.833333333333333 5 1.6 19.36
-5 -0.833333333333333 2.6 2.56
0.75 3 2 4
0.2 0.25 2.6 5.76
0 0 3.4 2.56
-1.5 -0.6 4.2 4.84
0 0 3.4 1.96
0.333333333333333 0.5 3.6 0.36
-2 -0.666666666666667 3.4 5.76
0 0 2.6 2.56
0 0 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.666666666666667 2 1.4 2.56
0.571428571428571 1.33333333333333 1.4 31.36
-1.33333333333333 -0.571428571428571 2.6 0.16
-0.288343558282208 -0.223809523809524 3 0.450816326530612
-1.32857142857143 -0.570552147239264 3.26571428571429 5.1334612244898
0 0 3.26571428571429 5.1334612244898
0.5 1 2.86571428571429 0.749461224489796
-1 -0.5 1.86571428571429 0.749461224489796
0.5 1 1.46571428571429 0.285461224489796
0 0 1.4 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.16
-1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
0.8 4 1.6 11.56
-0.666666666666667 -0.4 2.4 0.36
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.6 2.56
0.5 1 2.4 0.16
-1 -0.5 2.4 1.96
0.75 3 2.4 2.56
-3 -0.75 2.2 1.44
0.666666666666667 2 1.8 1.44
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.2 1.44
0.75 3 2 4
-1 -0.5 2.6 0.36
0 0 2.2 0.04
-1 -0.5 2.4 1.96
0.5 1 2 0
0.6 1.5 2.2 7.84
-4 -0.8 2.4 1.96
0 0 2.2 1.44
0 0 2 1
0.666666666666667 2 2 1
0.4 0.666666666666667 2.2 7.84
0 0 2.2 7.84
-1.5 -0.6 3 1
-1 -0.5 3.2 4.84
0 0 3.2 4.84
0 0 2.8 3.24
0 0 2 1
0.5 1 1.2 0.64
-1 -0.5 1.2 0.04
0.5 1 1.2 0.64
-1 -0.5 1.4 0.16
0.8 4 1.4 12.96
-1.5 -0.6 2.2 0.04
-1 -0.5 2.2 1.44
0.666666666666667 2 2.2 0.64
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.4 1.96
0.5 1 2.4 0.16
-1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 1.2 0.04
0.75 3 1 9
-3 -0.75 1.6 0.36
0.666666666666667 2 1.6 1.96
0.25 0.333333333333333 2 4
-3 -0.75 2.6 2.56
0 0 2.6 2.56
0 0 2 1
0 0 2 1
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1 0
0.5 1 1 1
-1 -0.5 1.2 0.04
0.570552147239264 1.32857142857143 1.2 1.27367346938776
-1.32857142857143 -0.570552147239264 1.46571428571429 0.216889795918367
0.666666666666667 2 1.46571428571429 2.35403265306122
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.86571428571429 0.749461224489796
0 0 1.66571428571429 0.443175510204082
0.5 1 1.66571428571429 0.11174693877551
0 0 1.6 0.16
-1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.4 0.16
0.666666666666667 2 1.4 2.56
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 1.8 0.04
0 0 1.8 0.04
0 0 1.8 0.04
-1 -0.5 2 1
0 0 2 1
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.75 3 1.4 6.76
-3 -0.75 1.8 0.64
0.5 1 1.6 0.16
0.333333333333333 0.5 1.8 1.44
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.2 1.44
0 0 2.2 1.44
0.5 1 1.6 0.16
-1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 1.2 0.04
0.5 1 1.2 0.64
-1 -0.5 1.2 0.04
0.75 3 1.2 7.84
-1 -0.5 1.8 0.04
0.141104294478528 0.164285714285714 2 0.10795918367347
-0.164285714285714 -0.141104294478528 2.26571428571429 0.070604081632653
-1 -0.5 2.26571428571429 1.60203265306123
0.5 1 2.26571428571429 0.070604081632653
-1 -0.5 1.86571428571429 0.749461224489796
0.5 1 1.66571428571429 0.11174693877551
0.5 1 1.6 5.76
-1 -0.5 2 0
-1 -0.5 2.2 1.44
0.666666666666667 2 2 1
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.4 0.16
0.141104294478528 0.164285714285714 2.4 0.005102040816327
-1.32857142857143 -0.570552147239264 2.06571428571429 1.13574693877551
0.75 3 1.86571428571429 4.55517551020408
-1 -0.5 2.46571428571429 0.216889795918367
0 0 2.26571428571429 0.070604081632653
0 0 2.26571428571429 0.070604081632653
-1 -0.5 2.2 1.44
0 0 2.2 1.44
0.5 1 1.6 0.16
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 1.2 0.04
0.666666666666667 2 1 4
0.5 1 1.4 21.16
-1.57668711656442 -0.611904761904762 2.4 0.005102040816327
0.417857142857143 0.717791411042945 2.66571428571429 1.78031836734694
-0.717791411042945 -0.417857142857143 3.26571428571429 0.878236734693878
0.417857142857143 0.717791411042945 3.53142857142857 0.219559183673469
-3 -0.75 3.73142857142857 7.46070204081633
0.75 3 2.73142857142857 1.60927346938775
-3 -0.75 3.06571428571429 4.26717551020408
0 0 2.46571428571429 2.14831836734694
0 0 2.2 1.44
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.8 4 1.6 11.56
-4 -0.8 1.8 0.64
0.5 1 1.8 0.04
0.333333333333333 0.5 2 1
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.4 1.96
0 0 2.4 1.96
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.75 3 1.4 6.76
-3 -0.75 1.6 0.36
0.8 4 1.6 11.56
-0.25 -0.2 2.4 2.56
-1 -0.5 3 1
0 0 3.2 1.44
0.333333333333333 0.5 2.8 0.04
0.25 0.333333333333333 3.2 0.64
-0.333333333333333 -0.25 3 0
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.8 3.24
0 0 2.6 2.56
0.5 1 2.4 0.16
0 0 2.2 0.04
0 0 1.8 0.04
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.75 3 1.6 5.76
-1 -0.5 2 0
-1 -0.5 2 1
0.5 1 1.8 0.04
-1 -0.5 2 1
0 0 2 1
0 0 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.2 0.04
0.75 3 1.2 7.84
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.16
-1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.8 0.64
0.5 1 1.8 0.04
0.333333333333333 0.5 2 1
0.4 0.666666666666667 1.8 10.24
-4 -0.8 2.4 1.96
0.570552147239264 1.32857142857143 2.4 0.005102040816327
-1.32857142857143 -0.570552147239264 2.66571428571429 2.77460408163265
0 0 2.46571428571429 2.14831836734694
0 0 2.06571428571429 1.13574693877551
0 0 1.26571428571429 0.070604081632653
0.5 1 1.26571428571429 0.539175510204082
MEDIA MOVIL N = 5
MAD MAPE MAPE' α=
1.10161142857143 #DIV/0! 0.093745901126107 PRONOSTICO
PROMEDIOS
2.62068965517241
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.57836501716198
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.53714569563024
0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.49700282501389
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.48402349575629
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.47138312430636
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.45907285871244
1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875 2.4209688760167
0 0 0 2.4360903908861
1 -1 -0.5 2.42470180216081
1.2 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.38749542655594
3 0.6 1.5 2.40349110732556
0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.47129946201122
0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.4851065834517
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.49855312912429
0 0 0 2.45941811118476
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.4735355165042
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.43505383857622
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.39757711744742
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.38719431064447
0.4 0.2 0.25 2.35096745076369
1.6 0.533333333333333 1.14285714285714 2.34180186482958
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.35899084220185
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.32350052160153
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.288937037899
0.4 0.2 0.25 2.2552761865613
2.4 0.6 1.5 2.24860959733836
2.2 0.55 1.22222222222222 2.29434751179412
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.33889097136672
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.30392556295699
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.26987328325706
0.6 0.2 0.25 2.26282548790273
1.8 0.45 0.818181818181818 2.28207694932562
2.8 0.56 1.27272727272727 2.32694085711791
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.39674833706442
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.36027197185208
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.35086339646858
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.31558532575677
1 -1 -0.5 2.281228548994
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.24776900640252
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.21518326653056
2 0.666666666666667 2 2.18344850984343
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.20477291709652
0.4 0.2 0.25 2.19942523096624
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.19421720074043
4.2 0.7 2.33333333333333 2.16302997710026
0.471428571428571 -0.202453987730061 -0.168367346938775 2.26323322499404
0.665714285714286 -0.332857142857143 -0.2497320471597 2.26493954539032
0.334285714285714 0.111428571428571 0.12540192926045 2.25802059559786
1.86571428571429 -1.86571428571429 -0.651046859421735 2.27739753775473
1.86571428571429 -1.86571428571429 -0.651046859421735 2.24403804279631
1.86571428571429 #DIV/0! -1 2.21154973779324
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.15379466926705
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.1236630882088
0.2 0.2 0.25 2.09431839948179
0.2 0.2 0.25 2.06574005323369
0.2 0.2 0.25 2.03790803627574
3 0.75 3 2.01080285806763
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.06275114359841
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.03499718261987
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.00796802194349
4.4 0.733333333333333 2.75 1.98164473326284
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.08658489347129
2 0.5 1 2.05820850929619
2.4 0.48 0.923076923076923 2.10891878666082
1.6 0.32 0.470588235294118 2.18441995705629
2.2 -1.1 -0.523809523809524 2.2579493991223
1.4 -0.7 -0.411764705882353 2.25121299841288
0.6 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.24465252016992
2.4 -2.4 -0.705882352941176 2.26437857231931
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.23135907027537
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.19920187920307
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.16788447967706
1.6 0.533333333333333 1.14285714285714 2.13738494037133
5.6 0.8 4 2.15991230705415
0.4 0.133333333333333 0.153846153846154 2.28631217570815
0.671428571428571 -0.288343558282208 -0.223809523809524 2.30495027753055
2.26571428571429 -2.26571428571429 -0.693788276465442 2.30556714866562
2.26571428571429 -2.26571428571429 -0.693788276465442 2.27147199862303
0.865714285714286 -0.432857142857143 -0.30209371884347 2.23826725031704
0.865714285714286 -0.865714285714286 -0.464012251148545 2.23204485290293
0.534285714285714 0.267142857142857 0.364522417153996 2.19986975247867
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.19465011348369
0.4 0.2 0.25 2.18956678641636
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.18461621146312
3.4 0.68 2.125 2.15367971959902
0.6 0.2 0.25 2.22801194918119
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.24817257320628
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.21557629410565
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.20994647560059
1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.17834847876735
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.22592127653975
1.2 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.19390609455025
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.21495739986444
2 0.5 1 2.18322854173096
0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.23067389567243
0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.22464980025007
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.21878302529759
0 0 0 2.18695426018247
2.8 0.56 1.27272727272727 2.18207191188002
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.25566267362054
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.22287078903326
1 -1 -0.5 2.19093527114174
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.15983375575657
2.8 0.56 1.27272727272727 2.18177486708698
2.8 0.56 1.27272727272727 2.25537338621233
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.32704986513081
2.2 -2.2 -0.6875 2.31850889178107
2.2 -2.2 -0.6875 2.28407576550049
1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.25054186727431
1 -1 -0.5 2.21788371358008
0.8 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.18607843417228
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.18121895824316
0.8 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.15037118633375
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.1464442124011
3.6 0.72 2.57142857142857 2.11650459000999
0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.19180765561733
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.18679855991185
0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364 2.15580507557679
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.17785139670461
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.14709156934562
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.14325024327367
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.11339403203208
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.08431752178328
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.05600035047823
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.02842268782688
3 0.75 3 2.00156522141122
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.05375474969092
1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875 2.02623573135813
2 0.5 1 2.05166578210611
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.1025469241141
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.07375368828162
1 -1 -0.5 2.04571239362422
1 -1 -0.5 2.01840340304609
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.99180759227815
0 0 0 1.96590633648547
1 0.5 1 1.94068149722445
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.94223061191725
1.12857142857143 0.484662576687117 0.940476190476191 1.91762406899
0.465714285714286 -0.465714285714286 -0.317738791423002 1.92835604236943
1.53428571428571 0.511428571428571 1.04678362573099 1.90411183663104
0.865714285714286 -0.865714285714286 -0.464012251148545 1.93273117758041
0.665714285714286 -0.665714285714286 -0.399656946826758 1.90837271430144
0.334285714285714 0.167142857142857 0.200686106346484 1.8846503772157
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.88766275593571
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.89059646577642
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.86733835901486
1.6 0.533333333333333 1.14285714285714 1.84468764241362
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.87485885820917
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.87812694442766
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.88130968391381
1 -1 -0.5 1.88440930551481
1 -1 -0.5 1.86131277769438
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.83881942036756
2.6 0.65 1.85714285714286 1.81691348161496
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.87392522741171
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.85110249341058
1.2 0.4 0.666666666666667 1.85499098189876
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 1.88489312390056
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 1.86178396106517
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.83927829868936
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.84347557841326
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.82144804315193
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.7999957614274
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.77910371037726
0.8 0.4 0.666666666666667 1.75875725946418
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.76505736240692
2.8 0.7 2.33333333333333 1.74507773471093
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.80396548556159
0.328571428571429 0.141104294478528 0.164285714285714 1.80908496653975
0.265714285714286 -0.132857142857143 -0.117276166456494 1.82265146052374
1.26571428571429 -1.26571428571429 -0.558638083228247 1.82728295348789
0.265714285714286 -0.132857142857143 -0.117276166456494 1.80567829190026
0.865714285714286 -0.865714285714286 -0.464012251148545 1.8107530425946
0.334285714285714 0.167142857142857 0.200686106346484 1.78958006297191
2.4 0.6 1.5 1.79507522216939
0 0 0 1.85265727852674
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 1.85650516348728
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.83413735797746
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.86458409658408
0.071428571428571 -0.030674846625767 -0.029761904761905 1.86812051027972
1.06571428571429 -1.06571428571429 -0.515905947441217 1.88014527910334
2.13428571428571 0.533571428571429 1.14395099540582 1.85716010719473
0.465714285714286 -0.232857142857143 -0.188876013904983 1.91312080422753
0.265714285714286 -0.132857142857143 -0.117276166456494 1.91538967199007
0.265714285714286 -0.132857142857143 -0.117276166456494 1.91759928781228
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 1.91975119907057
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 1.89573171055462
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.87233949583745
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.87567337571363
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.85280498846616
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.83053381377511
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.80884425531383
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.78772112405688
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.76714962764332
4.6 0.766666666666667 3.28571428571429 1.79934576437097
0.071428571428571 -0.030674846625767 -0.029761904761905 1.90904669900863
1.33428571428571 0.333571428571428 0.5005359056806 1.92000267213926
0.937142857142857 -0.402453987730061 -0.286964129483815 1.97432222288324
0.468571428571428 0.117142857142857 0.132686084142395 1.98357351251071
2.73142857142857 -2.73142857142857 -0.732006125574273 2.03623289790584
1.26857142857143 0.317142857142857 0.464435146443514 2.00917146627493
2.06571428571429 -2.06571428571429 -0.67381174277726 2.06116235593221
1.46571428571429 -1.46571428571429 -0.594438006952491 2.03344988646479
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.00646113374032
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.98017719774975
3.4 0.68 2.125 1.95457967206158
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.03411143963857
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.00710541031922
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.00691985109219
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.03285433995853
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.00588114005148
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.97961235071336
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.95402957611974
2.6 0.65 1.85714285714286 1.92911490085687
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.9831964839056
3.4 0.68 2.125 1.95752010894903
1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.03697508642222
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.08823987891811
1.2 -0.6 -0.375 2.08593547664012
0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.08369125429352
0.8 0.2 0.25 2.10762084244387
0 0 0 2.15704070673833
1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.17905475910855
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.14826350569708
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.11827637209374
0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.11518756072379
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.11217941428725
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.10924982620308
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.08028154272737
2.4 0.6 1.5 2.05206977183134
0 0 0 2.10294036356598
1 -1 -0.5 2.10025205515931
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.07151875029355
1 -1 -0.5 2.06965102367021
1 -1 -0.5 2.0417168709286
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.01451222423348
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.98801803238694
2.8 0.7 2.33333333333333 1.96221574171697
0.4 0.2 0.25 2.01543288961443
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.01502985658198
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.98852214666201
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.96270669094583
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.96368061325162
3.2 0.64 1.77777777777778 1.99074430355613
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.06933162447
0.071428571428571 -0.030674846625767 -0.029761904761905 2.04140581290308
1.66571428571429 -1.66571428571429 -0.62486602357985 2.04890520101444
1.46571428571429 -1.46571428571429 -0.594438006952491 2.02151282962581
1.06571428571429 -1.06571428571429 -0.515905947441217 1.99483581555409
0.265714285714286 -0.265714285714286 -0.209932279909707 1.96885547709832
0.734285714285714 0.367142857142857 0.580135440180587 1.94355362043394
α= 0.026115202176651
ECM MAD MAPE MAPE'
1.71591959772065 1.05054702468407 #DIV/0! -0.037870707005595
2.49123612740074 1.57836501716198 -1.57836501716198 -0.612157319330719

2.36281688959458 1.53714569563024 -1.53714569563024 -0.60585629681326
0.247011808071788 0.497002825013891 -0.248501412506945 -0.199039752792881
0.234278744444136 0.484023495756286 -0.242011747878143 -0.194854636674409
0.222202049880827 0.471383124306362 -0.235691562153181 -0.190736563534099
2.12889360703129 1.45907285871244 -1.45907285871244 -0.593342671219756
0.335277042541363 0.5790311239833 0.1930103746611 0.239173303597359
0.190174829023189 0.436090390886097 -0.218045195443049 -0.179012401394299
2.02977522508027 1.42470180216081 -1.42470180216081 -0.587578151214787
0.375161852489885 0.612504573444056 0.204168191148019 0.256546909632249
6.74185842973745 2.59650889267444 0.519301778534888 1.08030726003545
0.279524258869622 0.528700537988777 0.176233512662926 0.213936249376473
0.265115230404777 0.514893416548296 0.171631138849432 0.207191683438033
2.2456614808082 1.49855312912429 -1.49855312912429 -0.59976836660244
0.292228778515057 0.540581888815244 0.180193962938415 0.219800726991814
2.1713069183993 1.4735355165042 -1.4735355165042 -0.595720379461832
2.05937951961234 1.43505383857622 -1.43505383857622 -0.58933146193404
0.158067564317802 0.397577117447423 -0.198788558723711 -0.165824537844565
1.92430805548439 1.38719431064447 -1.38719431064447 -0.581098197352008
0.123178151495565 0.350967450763693 -0.175483725381846 -0.149286392990972
0.433224785141825 0.658198135170425 0.219399378390142 0.281064826642934
1.84685610918848 1.35899084220185 -1.35899084220185 -0.576089918574412
1.75165363067952 1.32350052160153 -1.32350052160153 -0.569614901867667
1.66135868766785 1.288937037899 -1.288937037899 -0.56311598639782
0.065165931425277 0.255276186561296 -0.127638093280648 -0.113190654023854
3.06736834253529 1.75139040266164 0.437847600665409 0.778877046835843
2.90925041052292 1.70565248820588 0.426413122051471 0.743415057848891
1.79262903320732 1.33889097136672 -1.33889097136672 -0.572446936500142
1.70022187373269 1.30392556295699 -1.30392556295699 -0.565958199310682
0.072831589015946 0.269873283257062 -0.134936641628531 -0.118893545841386
0.543426261285853 0.737174512097273 0.245724837365758 0.325776121949428
2.95125960803836 1.71792305067438 0.429480762668595 0.752789274341535
7.14524518134553 2.67305914288209 0.534611828576418 1.14874391186413
1.95090591709223 1.39674833706442 -1.39674833706442 -0.582768042628615
0.129795893702188 0.360271971852083 -0.180135985926041 -0.152640024602496
1.82483191591864 1.35086339646859 -1.35086339646859 -0.574624369283993
1.73076474934655 1.31558532575677 -1.31558532575677 -0.568143747985973
1.64154659475727 1.281228548994 -1.281228548994 -0.561639713635448
1.55692749333874 1.24776900640252 -1.24776900640252 -0.555114428061064
1.47667037125589 1.21518326653056 -1.21518326653056 -0.548570082164711
0.666756336076908 0.816551490156566 0.272183830052189 0.373973320861648
0.041931947576218 0.204772917096518 -0.102386458548259 -0.092877101087665
0.039770422745938 0.19942523096624 -0.09971261548312 -0.090671520976701
1.42615472254431 1.19421720074043 -1.19421720074043 -0.544256603374291
14.7223389566312 3.83697002289974 0.639495003816623 1.77388666062019
0.004269080846721 0.065338203577393 0.028059351229555 0.028869408090969
0.070192962711628 0.264939545390318 -0.132469772695159 -0.116974223850492
0.550533436556955 0.74197940440214 0.247326468134047 0.328597270480469
1.63174446946185 1.27739753775473 -1.27739753775473 -0.560902309139277
1.54763065192448 1.24403804279631 -1.24403804279631 -0.554374756163272
4.89095224273336 2.21154973779324 #DIV/0! -1
1.33124213882907 1.15379466926705 -1.15379466926705 -0.535703187370083
1.26261873580294 1.1236630882088 -1.1236630882088 -0.529115514813865
1.19753275944439 1.09431839948179 -1.09431839948179 -0.522517683916908
1.13580186106656 1.06574005323369 -1.06574005323369 -0.515911985908098
1.07725309176577 1.03790803627574 -1.03790803627574 -0.509300722996563
3.95690526947191 1.98919714193237 0.497299285483092 0.98925517931876
1.12943999321973 1.06275114359841 -1.06275114359841 -0.515210546311695
1.07121916803107 1.03499718261987 -1.03499718261987 -0.508598828273269
1.01599953326067 1.00796802194349 -1.00796802194349 -0.50198410080649
16.1471790497143 4.01835526673716 0.669725877789527 2.02778792751657
1.18066673072 1.08658489347129 -1.08658489347129 -0.520747992028074
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α=
S S^[2] PRONOSTICO ECM
PROMEDIOS 1.70281894828608
a1(0) 2.85714285714286
b1(0) 2.4
b2(0) -0.01576354679803
τ 1
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ONENCIAL DOBLE
0.026115202176651 PRONOSTICO
MAD MAPE MAPE' PROMEDIOS
1.03948194814171 #DIV/0! -0.025856709336163
1.38423645320197 -1.38423645320197 -0.580578512396694 1.89620562145101

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9.13234739633099 3.02197739838189 0.604395479676379 1.52777698086452
3.00312061679788 1.73295141789892 0.43323785447473 0.764408593437746
0.10741657510566 0.327744679751876 -0.163872339875938 -0.140799239110198
0.006554596779917 0.080960464301513 -0.040480232150757 -0.038905335151904
1.0017137653506 1.00085651586559 0.333618838621863 0.500642662124344
3.60209521409687 1.89791865318218 0.474479663295546 0.902875931064846
0.568625034253511 0.754072300415226 0.251357433471742 0.335750924018898
1.40161524863769 1.18389832698492 -1.18389832698492 -0.542103225391177
0.878182858037201 0.937114111534557 -0.937114111534557 -0.483768150752971
0.020938920190488 0.144702868632545 0.072351434316272 0.077994444224625
0.001744315721932 0.041765005949139 0.02088250297457 0.021327882545262
7.33619428004328E-07 0.000856515865588 0.000428257932794 0.000428441416229
0.998287701888252 0.999143484134412 -0.999143484134412 -0.499785779291885
0.803184515920384 0.896205621451006 -0.896205621451006 -0.472631032896746
4.59975039472067 2.14470286863254 0.536175717158136 1.15598888844925
0.026932328227786 0.164110719417673 -0.082055359708836 -0.075832866565086
1.16847552538294 1.08096046430151 -1.08096046430151 -0.519452667575952
0.010773273018372 0.103794378548994 0.051897189274497 0.054737934206507
0.918214303823654 0.958234994050861 -0.958234994050861 -0.489336058727369
0.803184515920384 0.896205621451006 -0.896205621451006 -0.472631032896746
0.731533182925398 0.855297131367455 -0.855297131367455 -0.461002777887688
0.731533182925398 0.855297131367455 -0.855297131367455 -0.461002777887688
4.59975039472067 2.14470286863254 0.536175717158136 1.15598888844925
0.026932328227786 0.164110719417673 -0.082055359708836 -0.075832866565086
1.16847552538294 1.08096046430151 -1.08096046430151 -0.519452667575952
0.803184515920384 0.896205621451006 -0.896205621451006 -0.472631032896746
0.020938920190488 0.144702868632545 0.072351434316272 0.077994444224625
1.08527432762021 1.04176500594914 0.347255001983046 0.531991823817893
8.39793252046123 2.89791865318218 0.579583730636436 1.37859491383106
1.81943830507305 1.34886556226818 -1.34886556226818 -0.574262564846687
0.095877138216825 0.309640336869771 0.132974377796834 0.153368452317404
0.984177953638064 0.992057434646837 -0.992057434646837 -0.498006441678081
0.827457632732165 0.909646982478458 -0.909646982478458 -0.476343005186153
0.731533182925398 0.855297131367455 -0.855297131367455 -0.461002777887688
0.731533182925398 0.855297131367455 -0.855297131367455 -0.461002777887688
0.020938920190488 0.144702868632545 0.072351434316272 0.077994444224625
8
5
DEMANDA
1
2
0
0 50
GRAFICO
100
150 200
PERIODO
200 250
ITEM 57
NAIVE
MEDIA MOVIL N = 5
SUAVIZACION
EXPONENCIAL
SIMPLE
300
PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION RESIDUOS(^2) ECM
1 4 2.3055519645581 2.87115414481303
2 2 2.3038129482076 0.092302307498617
3 2 2.3020739318572 0.091248660307675
4 4 2.3003349155068 2.88886139944533
5 3 2.2985958991564 0.49196771268028
6 2 2.2968568828059 0.088124008869253
7 2 2.2951178664555 0.087094555101248
8 3 2.2933788501051 0.499313449478827
9 4 2.2916398337547 2.91849445761385
10 2 2.2899008174042 0.084042483931635
11 7 2.2881618010538 22.2014192130486
12 1 2.2864227847034 1.65488358100396
13 4 2.2846837683529 2.94230977455188
14 1 2.2829447520025 1.64594723669079
15 2 2.2812057356521 0.07907666576363
16 1 2.2794667193017 1.63703508580055
17 1 2.2777277029512 1.63258808288903
18 2 2.2759886866008 0.076169755131636
19 1 2.2742496702504 1.62371222213319
20 2 2.2725106539 0.074262056488977
21 1 2.2707716375495 1.61486055480029
22 4 2.2690326211991 2.99624806647288
23 5 2.2672936048487 7.467684242101
24 4 2.2655545884982 3.00830088547951
25 1 2.2638155721478 1.5972298004033
26 2 2.2620765557974 0.06868412109862
27 6 2.260337539447 13.9850753188696
28 2 2.2585985230965 0.066873196147707
29 1 2.2568595067461 1.57969581969806
30 1 1 0
31 1 1 0
32 2 1 1
33 2 2 0
34 2 2 0
35 1 2 1
36 3 1 4
37 2 3 1
38 1 2 1
39 3 1 4
40 5 3 4
41 3 5 4
42 3 3 0
43 1 3 4
44 3 1 4
45 1 3 4
46 1 1 0
47 2 1 1
48 1 2 1
49 2 1 1
50 3 2 1
51 1 3 4
52 1 1 0
53 1 1 0
54 2 1 1
55 4 2 4
56 4 4 0
57 1 4 9
58 1 1 0
59 2 1 1
60 3 2 1
61 4 3 1
62 5 4 1
63 1 5 16
64 2 1 1
65 1 2 1
66 1 1 0
67 1 1 0
68 1 1 0
69 1 1 0
70 3 1 4
71 2 3 1
72 2 2 0
73 1 2 1
74 6 1 25
75 2.32857143 6 13.4793878
76 2 2.32857142857143 0.10795918
77 3 2 1
78 1 3 4
79 1 1 0
80 0 1 1
81 1 0 1
82 1 1 0
83 1 1 0
84 1 1 0
85 1 1 0
86 4 1 9
87 1 4 9
88 1 1 0
89 1 1 0
90 6 1 25
91 1 6 25
92 4 1 9
93 5 4 1
94 5 5 0
95 2 5 9
96 2 2 0
97 3 2 1
98 1 3 4
99 1 1 0
100 1 1 0
101 1 1 0
102 3 1 4
103 7 3 16
104 3 7 16
105 2.32857143 3 0.45081633
106 1 2.32857142857143 1.76510204
107 1 1 0
108 2 1 1
109 1 2 1
110 2 1 1
111 2 2 0
112 2 2 0
113 1 2 1
114 5 1 16
115 3 5 4
116 1 3 4
117 2 1 1
118 1 2 1
119 4 1 9
120 1 4 9
121 3 1 4
122 1 3 4
123 4 1 9
124 2 4 4
125 2 2 0
126 1 2 1
127 2 1 1
128 5 2 9
129 1 5 16
130 1 1 0
131 1 1 0
132 3 1 4
133 5 3 4
134 5 5 0
135 2 5 9
136 1 2 1
137 1 1 0
138 1 1 0
139 1 1 0
140 2 1 1
141 1 2 1
142 2 1 1
143 1 2 1
144 5 1 16
145 2 5 9
146 1 2 1
147 3 1 4
148 1 3 4
149 2 1 1
150 1 2 1
151 1 1 0
152 1 1 0
153 1 1 0
154 1 1 0
155 4 1 9
156 1 4 9
157 3 1 4
158 4 3 1
159 1 4 9
160 1 1 0
161 1 1 0
162 1 1 0
163 1 1 0
164 1 1 0
165 2 1 1
166 1 2 1
167 2.32857143 1 1.76510204
168 1 2.32857142857143 1.76510204
169 3 1 4
170 1 3 4
171 1 1 0
172 2 1 1
173 2 2 0
174 1 2 1
175 1 1 0
176 3 1 4
177 2 3 1
178 2 2 0
179 2 2 0
180 1 2 1
181 1 1 0
182 1 1 0
183 4 1 9
184 1 4 9
185 2 1 1
186 3 2 1
187 1 3 4
188 1 1 0
189 2 1 1
190 1 2 1
191 1 1 0
192 1 1 0
193 1 1 0
194 2 1 1
195 1 2 1
196 4 1 9
197 2 4 4
198 2.32857143 2 0.10795918
199 2 2.32857142857143 0.10795918
200 1 2 1
201 2 1 1
202 1 2 1
203 2 1 1
204 4 2 4
205 2 4 4
206 1 2 1
207 3 1 4
208 2 3 1
209 2.32857143 2 0.10795918
210 1 2.32857142857143 1.76510204
211 4 1 9
212 2 4 4
213 2 2 0
214 2 2 0
215 1 2 1
216 1 1 0
217 2 1 1
218 1 2 1
219 1 1 0
220 1 1 0
221 1 1 0
222 1 1 0
223 3 1 4
224 6 3 9
225 2.32857143 6 13.4793878
226 4 2.32857142857143 2.79367347
227 2.32857143 4 2.79367347
228 4 2.32857142857143 2.79367347
229 1 4 9
230 4 1 9
231 1 4 9
232 1 1 0
233 1 1 0
234 1 1 0
235 5 1 16
236 1 5 16
237 2 1 1
238 3 2 1
239 1 3 4
240 1 1 0
241 1 1 0
242 1 1 0
243 4 1 9
244 1 4 9
245 5 1 16
246 4 5 1
247 2 4 4
248 2 2 0
249 3 2 1
250 4 3 1
251 3 4 1
252 1 3 4
253 1 1 0
254 2 1 1
255 2 2 0
256 2 2 0
257 1 2 1
258 1 1 0
259 4 1 9
260 2 4 4
261 1 2 1
262 2 1 1
263 1 2 1
264 1 1 0
265 1 1 0
266 1 1 0
267 4 1 9
268 2 4 4
269 1 2 1
270 1 1 0
271 2 1 1
272 3 2 1
273 5 3 4
274 1 5 16
275 2.32857143 1 1.76510204
276 1 2.32857142857143 1.76510204
277 1 1 0
278 1 1 0
279 1 1 0
280 2 1 1
w 0.1 MEDIA MOVIL N=5
ECMS ECMS(0) 2.81720958734493 PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION
2.83302371276362 2.30381295
a1(0) 2.30729098090849 2.30207393
b1(0) 2.29859589915636 2.30033492
b2(0) -0.001739016350427 2.2985959
τ 1 2.29685688
2.29511787
2.29337885
2.29163983
2.28990082
2.2881618
2.28642278
2.28468377
2.28294475
2.28120574
2.27946672
2.2777277
2.27598869
2.27424967
2.27251065
2.27077164
2.26903262
2.2672936
2.26555459
2.26381557
2.26207656
2.26033754
2.25859852
2.25685951
2.53548863 2.4
2.53548863 2.4
2.63548863 2.2
2.53548863 1.4
2.53548863 1.4
2.63548863 1.6
2.93548863 1.6
2.63548863 2
2.63548863 2
2.93548863 1.8
2.93548863 2
2.93548863 2.8
2.53548863 2.8
2.93548863 3
2.93548863 3
2.93548863 3
2.53548863 2.2
2.63548863 1.8
2.63548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.4
2.93548863 1.8
2.53548863 1.8
2.53548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.6
2.93548863 1.6
2.53548863 1.8
3.43548863 2.4
2.53548863 2.4
2.63548863 2.4
2.63548863 2.4
2.63548863 2.2
2.63548863 2.2
4.13548863 3
2.63548863 3
2.63548863 3
2.53548863 2.6
2.53548863 2
2.53548863 1.2
2.53548863 1.2
2.93548863 1
2.63548863 1.4
2.53548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.8
5.03548863 1.8
3.8834274 2.8
2.54628455 2.6657142857143
2.63548863 2.6657142857143
2.93548863 2.8657142857143
2.53548863 2.8657142857143
2.63548863 1.8657142857143
2.63548863 1.4
2.53548863 1.2
2.53548863 0.8
2.53548863 0.8
2.53548863 0.8
3.43548863 1
3.43548863 1.6
2.53548863 1.6
2.53548863 1.6
5.03548863 1.6
5.03548863 2.6
3.43548863 2
2.63548863 2.6
2.53548863 3.4
3.43548863 4.2
2.53548863 3.4
2.63548863 3.6
2.93548863 3.4
2.53548863 2.6
2.53548863 1.8
2.53548863 1.6
2.93548863 1.4
4.13548863 1.4
4.13548863 2.6
2.58057026 3
2.71199883 3.2657142857143
2.53548863 3.2657142857143
2.63548863 2.8657142857143
2.63548863 1.8657142857143
2.63548863 1.4657142857143
2.53548863 1.4
2.53548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.8
4.13548863 1.6
2.93548863 2.4
2.93548863 2.6
2.63548863 2.4
2.63548863 2.4
3.43548863 2.4
3.43548863 2.2
2.93548863 1.8
2.93548863 2.2
3.43548863 2
2.93548863 2.6
2.53548863 2.2
2.63548863 2.4
2.63548863 2
3.43548863 2.2
4.13548863 2.4
2.53548863 2.2
2.53548863 2
2.93548863 2
2.93548863 2.2
2.53548863 2.2
3.43548863 3
2.63548863 3.2
2.53548863 3.2
2.53548863 2.8
2.53548863 2
2.63548863 1.2
2.63548863 1.2
2.63548863 1.2
2.63548863 1.4
4.13548863 1.4
3.43548863 2.2
2.63548863 2.2
2.93548863 2.2
2.93548863 2.4
2.63548863 2.4
2.63548863 1.8
2.53548863 1.6
2.53548863 1.6
2.53548863 1.2
2.53548863 1.2
3.43548863 1
3.43548863 1.6
2.93548863 1.6
2.63548863 2
3.43548863 2.6
2.53548863 2.6
2.53548863 2
2.53548863 2
2.53548863 1.6
2.53548863 1
2.63548863 1
2.63548863 1.2
2.71199883 1.2
2.71199883 1.4657142857143
2.93548863 1.4657142857143
2.93548863 1.8657142857143
2.53548863 1.6657142857143
2.63548863 1.6657142857143
2.53548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.8
2.53548863 1.4
2.93548863 1.4
2.63548863 1.8
2.53548863 1.8
2.53548863 1.8
2.63548863 2
2.53548863 2
2.53548863 1.6
3.43548863 1.4
3.43548863 1.8
2.63548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.8
2.93548863 2.2
2.53548863 2.2
2.63548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.8
2.53548863 1.6
2.53548863 1.2
2.53548863 1.2
2.63548863 1.2
2.63548863 1.2
3.43548863 1.2
2.93548863 1.8
2.54628455 2
2.54628455 2.2657142857143
2.63548863 2.2657142857143
2.63548863 2.2657142857143
2.63548863 1.8657142857143
2.63548863 1.6657142857143
2.93548863 1.6
2.93548863 2
2.63548863 2.2
2.93548863 2
2.63548863 2.4
2.54628455 2.4
2.71199883 2.0657142857143
3.43548863 1.8657142857143
2.93548863 2.4657142857143
2.53548863 2.2657142857143
2.53548863 2.2657142857143
2.63548863 2.2
2.53548863 2.2
2.63548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.6
2.53548863 1.4
2.53548863 1.2
2.53548863 1.2
2.53548863 1.2
2.93548863 1
3.43548863 1.4
3.8834274 2.4
2.81485598 2.6657142857143
2.81485598 3.2657142857143
2.81485598 3.5314285714286
3.43548863 3.7314285714286
3.43548863 2.7314285714286
3.43548863 3.0657142857143
2.53548863 2.4657142857143
2.53548863 2.2
2.53548863 1.6
4.13548863 1.6
4.13548863 1.8
2.63548863 1.8
2.63548863 2
2.93548863 2.4
2.53548863 2.4
2.53548863 1.6
2.53548863 1.6
3.43548863 1.4
3.43548863 1.6
4.13548863 1.6
2.63548863 2.4
2.93548863 3
2.53548863 3.2
2.63548863 2.8
2.63548863 3.2
2.63548863 3
2.93548863 2.8
2.53548863 2.6
2.63548863 2.4
2.53548863 2.2
2.53548863 1.8
2.63548863 1.6
2.53548863 1.6
3.43548863 1.6
2.93548863 2
2.63548863 2
2.63548863 1.8
2.63548863 2
2.53548863 2
2.53548863 1.4
2.53548863 1.2
3.43548863 1.2
2.93548863 1.6
2.63548863 1.8
2.53548863 1.8
2.63548863 1.8
2.63548863 2
2.93548863 1.8
4.13548863 2.4
2.71199883 2.4
2.71199883 2.6657142857143
2.53548863 2.4657142857143
2.53548863 2.0657142857143
2.53548863 1.2657142857143
2.63548863 1.2657142857143
MEDIA MOVIL N=5 w 0.1
0.09230231 2.74199050355962
0.09124866 a1(0) 2.30729098090849
2.8888614 b1(0) 2.29859589915636
0.49196771 b2(0) -0.001739016350427
0.08812401 τ 1
0.08709456
0.49931345
2.91849446
0.08404248
22.2014192
1.65488358
2.94230977
1.64594724
0.07907667
1.63703509
1.63258808
0.07616976
1.62371222
0.07426206
1.61486055
2.99624807
7.46768424
3.00830089
1.5972298
0.06868412
13.9850753
0.0668732
1.57969582
1.96 2.73148862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
0 2.53548862861043
1 2.63548862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
9 3.43548862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
4 2.93548862861043
0 2.53548862861043
4 2.93548862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
5.76 3.11148862861043
4.84 3.01948862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
3.24 2.85948862861043
7.84 3.31948862861043
4 2.93548862861043
1 2.63548862861043
4 2.93548862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
1 2.63548862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
4 2.93548862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
17.64 4.29948862861044
0.2222449 2.55771311840635
0.44317551 2.57980617963084
0.11174694 2.54666332248799
3.4808898 2.88357760820227
3.4808898 2.88357760820227
3.4808898 2.88357760820227
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
9 3.43548862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
19.36 4.47148862861044
2.56 2.79148862861043
4 2.93548862861043
5.76 3.11148862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
4.84 3.01948862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
5.76 3.11148862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
31.36 5.67148862861044
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.45081633 2.5805702612635
5.13346122 3.04883475105941
5.13346122 3.04883475105941
0.74946122 2.61043475105941
0.74946122 2.61043475105941
0.28546122 2.56403475105941
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
11.56 3.69148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
4 2.93548862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
0 2.53548862861043
7.84 3.31948862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
1 2.63548862861043
1 2.63548862861043
7.84 3.31948862861043
7.84 3.31948862861043
1 2.63548862861043
4.84 3.01948862861043
4.84 3.01948862861043
3.24 2.85948862861043
1 2.63548862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
12.96 3.83148862861044
0.04 2.53948862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
9 3.43548862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
4 2.93548862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
1 2.63548862861043
1 2.63548862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0 2.53548862861043
1 2.63548862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
1.27367347 2.66285597554921
0.2168898 2.55717760820227
2.35403265 2.77089189391656
0.74946122 2.61043475105941
0.44317551 2.57980617963084
0.11174694 2.54666332248799
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
1 2.63548862861043
1 2.63548862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
6.76 3.21148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
7.84 3.31948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.10795918 2.54628454697778
0.07060408 2.5425490367737
1.60203265 2.69569189391656
0.07060408 2.5425490367737
0.74946122 2.61043475105941
0.11174694 2.54666332248799
5.76 3.11148862861043
0 2.53548862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
1 2.63548862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.00510204 2.53599883269207
1.13574694 2.64906332248799
4.55517551 2.99100617963084
0.2168898 2.55717760820227
0.07060408 2.5425490367737
0.07060408 2.5425490367737
1.44 2.67948862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
4 2.93548862861043
21.16 4.65148862861043
0.00510204 2.53599883269207
1.78031837 2.71352046534513
0.87823673 2.62331230207982
0.21955918 2.55744454697778
7.46070204 3.28155883269207
1.60927347 2.69641597554921
4.26717551 2.96220617963084
2.14831837 2.75032046534513
1.44 2.67948862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
11.56 3.69148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
1 2.63548862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
6.76 3.21148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
11.56 3.69148862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
1 2.63548862861043
1.44 2.67948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0 2.53548862861043
3.24 2.85948862861043
2.56 2.79148862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
0.36 2.57148862861043
5.76 3.11148862861043
0 2.53548862861043
1 2.63548862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
1 2.63548862861043
1 2.63548862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
7.84 3.31948862861043
0.16 2.55148862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.64 2.59948862861043
0.04 2.53948862861043
1 2.63548862861043
10.24 3.55948862861043
1.96 2.73148862861043
0.00510204 2.53599883269207
2.77460408 2.8129490367737
2.14831837 2.75032046534513
1.13574694 2.64906332248799
0.07060408 2.5425490367737
0.53917551 2.58940617963084
PRONOSTICO
DEM REGRESIONRESIDUOS(^2) ECM ECMS
2.306 2.87115414481303
2.304 0.092302307498617
2.302 0.091248660307675
2.3 2.88886139944533
2.299 0.49196771268028
2.297 0.088124008869253
2.295 0.087094555101248
2.293 0.499313449478827
2.292 2.91849445761385
2.29 0.084042483931635
2.288 22.2014192130486
2.286 1.65488358100396
2.285 2.94230977455188
2.283 1.64594723669079
2.281 0.07907666576363
2.279 1.63703508580055
2.278 1.63258808288903
2.276 0.076169755131636
2.274 1.62371222213319
2.273 0.074262056488977
2.271 1.61486055480029
2.269 2.99624806647288
2.267 7.467684242101
2.266 3.00830088547951
2.264 1.5972298004033
2.262 0.06868412109862
2.26 13.9850753188696
2.259 0.066873196147707
2.257 1.57969581969806
2.57836502 2.49123612740074 2.78461224135051
2.5371457 2.36281688959458 2.77177031756989
2.49700283 0.247011808071788 2.56018980941761
2.4840235 0.234278744444136 2.55891650305485
2.47138312 0.222202049880827 2.55770883359852
2.45907286 2.12889360703129 2.74837798931356
2.42096888 0.335277042541363 2.56901633286457
2.43609039 0.190174829023189 2.55450611151275
2.4247018 2.02977522508027 2.73846615111846
2.38749543 0.375161852489885 2.57300481385942
2.40349111 6.74185842973745 3.20967447158418
2.47129946 0.279524258869622 2.5634410544974
2.48510658 0.265115230404777 2.56200015165091
2.49855313 2.2456614808082 2.76005477669125
2.45941811 0.292228778515057 2.56471150646194
2.47353552 2.1713069183993 2.75261932045036
2.43505384 2.05937951961234 2.74142658057167
2.39757712 0.158067564317802 2.55129538504221
2.38719431 1.92430805548439 2.72791943415887
2.35096745 0.123178151495565 2.54780644375999
2.34180186 0.433224785141825 2.57881110712462
2.35899084 1.84685610918848 2.72017423952928
2.32350052 1.75165363067952 2.71065399167839
2.28893704 1.66135868766785 2.70162449737722
2.25527619 0.065165931425277 2.54200522175296
2.2486096 3.06736834253529 2.84222546286396
2.29434751 2.90925041052292 2.82641366966273
2.33889097 1.79262903320732 2.71475153193117
2.30392556 1.70022187373269 2.7055108159837
2.26987328 0.072831589015946 2.54277178751203
2.26282549 0.543426261285853 2.58983125473902
2.28207695 2.95125960803836 2.83061458941427
2.32694086 7.14524518134553 3.25001314674499
2.39674834 1.95090591709223 2.73057922031966
2.36027197 0.129795893702188 2.54846821798065
2.3508634 1.82483191591864 2.7179718202023
2.31558533 1.73076474934655 2.70856510354509
2.28122855 1.64154659475727 2.69964328808616
2.24776901 1.55692749333874 2.69118137794431
2.21518327 1.47667037125589 2.68315566573602
2.18344851 0.666756336076908 2.60216426221813
2.20477292 0.041931947576218 2.53968182336806
2.19942523 0.039770422745938 2.53946567088503
2.1942172 1.42615472254431 2.67810410086487
2.16302998 14.7223389566312 4.00772252427356
2.26323322 0.004269080846721 2.53591553669511
2.26493955 0.070192962711628 2.5425079248816
2.2580206 0.550533436556955 2.59054197226613
2.27739754 1.63174446946185 2.69866307555662
2.24403804 1.54763065192448 2.69025169380288
2.21154974 4.89095224273336 3.02458385288377
2.15379467 1.33124213882907 2.66861284249334
2.12366309 1.26261873580294 2.66175050219073
2.0943184 1.19753275944439 2.65524190455487
2.06574005 1.13580186106656 2.64906881471709
2.03790804 1.07725309176577 2.64321393778701
2.01080286 3.95690526947191 2.93117915555763
2.06275114 1.12943999321973 2.64843262793241
2.03499718 1.07121916803107 2.64261054541354
2.00796802 1.01599953326067 2.6370885819365
1.98164473 16.1471790497143 4.15020653358187
2.08658489 1.18066673072 2.65355530168244
2.05820851 3.77055419336973 2.91254404794741
2.10891879 8.35835058212276 3.37132368682271
2.18441996 7.92749097822292 3.32823772643273
2.2579494 0.066537892507558 2.54214241786119
2.251213 0.063107970571589 2.54179942566759
2.24465252 0.570549815285647 2.592543610139
2.26437857 1.59865317414022 2.69535394602446
2.23135907 1.51624515994941 2.68711314460538
2.19920188 1.43808514708418 2.67929714331885
2.16788448 1.36395415787057 2.67188404439749
2.13738494 0.744104741098181 2.60989910272025
2.15991231 23.4264488754058 4.87813351615102
2.28631218 0.509350310542433 2.58642365966468
2.30495028 0.000557958776496 2.53554442448808
2.30556715 1.70450557967489 2.70593918657792
2.271472 1.61664104328244 2.69715273293868
2.23826725 0.056771282573642 2.5411657568678
2.23204485 1.51793451956461 2.6872820805669
2.19986975 0.039947917955885 2.53948342040602
2.19465011 0.037888666679215 2.53927749527836
2.18956679 0.035935566512225 2.53908218526166
2.18461621 1.40331556846123 2.67582018545656
2.15367972 8.10153913862191 3.34564254247263
2.22801195 0.595965550607022 2.59508518367114
2.24817257 1.5579347725044 2.69128210586087
2.21557629 0.046473138580327 2.54013594246847
2.20994648 1.46397047381829 2.68188567599226
2.17834848 3.31841426480921 2.86733005509136
2.22592128 1.50288297627285 2.68577692623772
2.19390609 0.649787384403223 2.60046736705076
2.2149574 1.47612148348536 2.68310077695897
2.18322854 3.300658531581 2.86555448176854
2.2306739 0.053210446144694 2.5408096732249
2.2246498 0.050467532752395 2.54053538188567
2.21878303 1.48543206275355 2.68403183488579
2.18695426 0.034951895400377 2.53898381815047
2.18207191 7.94071870981551 3.32956049959199
2.25566267 1.57668874992388 2.69315750360282
2.22287079 1.49541296667084 2.68502992527752
2.19093527 1.41832682004945 2.67732131061538
2.15983376 0.705879317966111 2.60607656040705
2.18177487 7.94239289978259 3.32972791858869
2.25537339 7.5329752491116 3.28878615352159
2.32704987 0.106961614282079 2.54618479003864
2.31850889 1.73846569770574 2.70933519838101
2.28407577 1.64885057154568 2.700373685765
2.25054187 1.56385496180592 2.69187412479103
2.21788371 1.4832407398036 2.68381270259079
2.18607843 0.034625183664009 2.53895114697684
2.18121896 1.39527822731305 2.67501645134174
2.15037119 0.022611493679418 2.53774977797838
2.14644421 1.31433433214797 2.66692206182523
2.11650459 8.31454577943344 3.36694320655378
2.19180766 0.036790176753414 2.53916764628578
2.18679856 1.40849082180884 2.67633771079132
2.15580508 0.712665070421903 2.60675513565263
2.1778514 1.387333912719 2.67422201988233
2.14709157 0.021635929772557 2.53765222158769
2.14325024 1.30702111874532 2.66619074048497
2.11339403 1.23964627056465 2.6594532556669
2.08431752 1.17574448804624 2.65306307741506
2.05600035 1.11513674021014 2.64700230263145
2.02842269 1.05765322483706 2.64125395109414
2.00156522 3.99374156427318 2.93486278503775
2.05375475 1.11039907249617 2.64652853586005
2.02623573 0.948216850883628 2.6303103136988
2.05166578 3.79600622461618 2.91508925107205
2.10254692 1.21560971987346 2.65704960059778
2.07375369 1.15294698309837 2.65078332692027
2.04571239 1.09351441017929 2.64484006962836
2.0184034 1.03714549133586 2.63920317774402
1.99180759 0.983682300100588 2.63385685862049
1.96590634 0.932975050862787 2.62878613369671
1.9406815 0.003518684771533 2.53584049708759
1.94223061 0.887798526033948 2.62426848121383
1.91762407 0.16887773234695 2.55237640184513
1.92835604 0.861844941403827 2.62167312275082
1.90411184 1.2009708666122 2.65558571527165
1.93273118 0.869987449630545 2.62248737357349
1.90837271 0.825140988087358 2.61800272741917
1.88465038 0.01330553547648 2.53681918215808
1.88766276 0.012619656403959 2.53675059425083
1.89059647 0.793162064853449 2.61480483509578
1.86733836 0.752275829018586 2.61071621151229
1.84468764 1.3347466435918 2.66896329296961
1.87485886 0.015660305368712 2.53705465914731
1.87812694 0.01485304167454 2.53697393277789
1.88130968 0.014087391132639 2.5368973677237
1.88440931 0.782179819681197 2.61370661057855
1.86131278 0.741859701019616 2.6096745987124
1.83881942 0.703618019985774 2.60585043060901
1.81691348 4.7658667467545 3.01207530328589
1.87392523 0.763745303106606 2.6118631589211
1.85110249 0.022170467468548 2.53770567535729
1.85499098 1.31104565153317 2.66659319376375
1.88489312 0.783035840726492 2.61379221268308
1.86178396 0.742671595549173 2.60975578816535
1.8392783 0.025831465272188 2.53807177513765
1.84347558 0.711451051379583 2.60663373374839
1.82144804 0.674776887598135 2.60296631737025
1.79999576 0.639993218301811 2.59948795044062
1.77910371 0.607002591523619 2.5961888877628
1.75875726 0.058198059861232 2.54130843459656
1.76505736 0.58531276777304 2.59401990538774
1.74507773 5.08467442249638 3.04395607086007
1.80396549 0.038429530851104 2.53933158169555
1.80908497 0.269866184234193 2.56247524703385
1.82265146 0.031452504454363 2.53863387905587
1.82728295 0.684397085131653 2.6039283371236
1.80567829 0.0377609262388 2.53926472123431
1.81075304 0.657320496076398 2.60122067821807
1.78958006 0.044276549898907 2.53991628360033
1.79507522 4.86169327589136 3.02165795619957
1.85265728 0.021709877571145 2.53765961636755
1.85650516 0.733601095080366 2.60884873811847
1.83413736 1.35923570006378 2.67141219861681
1.8645841 0.018337466897949 2.53732237530023
1.86812051 0.212015048155674 2.556690133426
1.88014528 0.77465571232789 2.61295419984322
1.85716011 4.59176280619771 2.99466490923021
1.9131208 0.007547994658071 2.53624342807624
1.91538967 0.007158907605948 2.53620451937103
1.91759929 0.006789877369043 2.53616761634734
1.9197512 0.845942268191745 2.62008285542961
1.89573171 0.802335297293109 2.61572215833975
1.8723395 0.016297204323036 2.53711834904274
1.87567338 0.766803860933702 2.6121690147038
1.85280499 0.727276348352763 2.60821626344571
1.83053381 0.689786415823825 2.60446727019282
1.80884426 0.654229029354177 2.60091153154585
1.78772112 0.620504569285439 2.59753908553898
1.76714963 1.51992004062001 2.68748063267244
1.79934576 17.6454960073081 4.30003822934124
1.9090467 0.176000998714742 2.55308872848191
1.92000267 4.3263888839078 2.96812751700121
1.97432222 0.125492499730712 2.54803787858351
1.98357351 4.06597577944842 2.94208620655528
2.0362329 1.07377861870234 2.64286649048067
2.00917147 3.9633982506939 2.93182845367982
2.06116236 1.1260655456476 2.64809518317519
2.03344989 1.06801866783408 2.64229049539384
2.00646113 1.01296401372986 2.63678502998342
1.9801772 0.960747338988561 2.63156336250929
1.95457967 9.27458497382058 3.46294712599249
2.03411144 1.06938646959135 2.64242727556957
2.00710541 5.048685580449E-05 2.53549367729601
2.00691985 0.986208182154765 2.63410944682591
2.03285434 1.06678808757118 2.64216743736755
2.00588114 1.01179686791127 2.63666831540156
1.97961235 0.959640357670154 2.63145266437745
1.95402958 0.910172432111204 2.62650587182156
1.9291149 4.28856509385307 2.96434513799574
1.98319648 0.966675325964336 2.63215616120687
1.95752011 9.2566838874495 3.46115701735538
2.03697509 3.85346681132704 2.92083530974314
2.08823988 0.007786276231483 2.53626725623358
2.08593548 0.007384906145365 2.53622711922497
2.08369125 0.839621717458191 2.61945080035625
2.10762084 3.58109887595283 2.89359851620572
2.15704071 0.710580370096212 2.60654666562006
2.17905476 1.39017012497651 2.67450564110809
2.14826351 1.31850907851576 2.66733953646201
2.11827637 0.013989300195656 2.53688755863
2.11518756 0.013268174145496 2.53681544602498
2.11217941 0.01258422098983 2.53674705070942
2.10924983 1.23043517693156 2.65853214630359
2.08028154 1.16700821155743 2.65218944976618
2.05206977 3.7944321738132 2.91493184599175
2.10294036 0.010596718451095 2.53654830045554
2.10025206 1.21055458488229 2.65654408709866
2.07151875 0.005114931643551 2.53600012177479
2.06965102 1.14415331243874 2.64990395985431
2.04171687 1.08517403917728 2.64400603252816
2.01451222 1.02923505311916 2.63841213392235
1.98801803 0.976179632321751 2.63310659184261
1.96221574 4.1525646833061 2.95074509694104
2.01543289 0.000238174081851 2.53551244601862
2.01502986 1.03028560975284 2.63851718958572
1.98852215 0.977176034441259 2.63320623205456
1.96270669 0.00139079090021 2.53562770770046
1.96368061 1.07395787135055 2.64288441574549
1.9907443 9.05561984657987 3.44105061326842
2.06933162 1.14347012309165 2.6498356409196
2.04140581 0.082464090822182 2.54373503769265
2.0489052 1.10020212071515 2.64550884068195
2.02151283 1.04348846109013 2.63983747471945
1.99483582 0.989698299909168 2.63445845860135
1.96885548 0.938680935503414 2.62935672216078
1.94355362 0.003186193766115 2.53580724798705
w 0.1 SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIA
ECMS(0) 2.81720958734493 PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION
2.7070805883825 2.3038129482076
a1(0) 2.30729098090849 2.3020739318572
b1(0) 2.29859589915636 2.3003349155068
b2(0) -0.00173901635043 2.2985958991564
τ 1 2.2968568828059
2.2951178664555
2.2933788501051
2.2916398337547
2.2899008174042
2.2881618010538
2.2864227847034
2.2846837683529
2.2829447520025
2.2812057356521
2.2794667193017
2.2777277029512
2.2759886866008
2.2742496702504
2.2725106539
2.2707716375495
2.2690326211991
2.2672936048487
2.2655545884982
2.2638155721478
2.2620765557974
2.260337539447
2.2585985230965
2.2568595067461
2.3842364532
2.34808683837
2.31288127803
2.3047103202
2.29675274858
2.28900299055
2.25534041685
2.27478735242
2.26761122515
2.23450730173
2.25449829831
2.32619763032
2.34379411543
2.36093106478
2.32539007487
2.34300764946
2.30793473317
2.27377775318
2.2666279918
2.23354974571
2.22745054689
2.24762583205
2.2150438312
2.1833127159
2.15241026508
2.1484300402
2.19678416404
2.24387551016
2.21139144973
2.17975571711
2.17506136021
2.19660479958
2.24370082984
2.31568213993
2.28132283484
2.27397603213
2.24070589049
2.20830460531
2.17674948626
2.14601843551
2.11608993237
2.13917342249
2.13553888043
2.13199925516
2.10243686575
2.204222515
2.20746991201
2.20205179332
2.22289037206
2.19095434275
2.15985232931
2.10344734906
2.07463059845
2.0465664031
2.01923510989
1.99261757893
1.96669517018
2.01979533689
1.99316317549
1.96722651837
1.94196720229
2.04794354924
2.02057629158
2.07226934192
2.14872761998
2.22318917464
2.21736054422
2.21168412967
2.232271158
2.20009014757
2.16874955074
2.13822741993
2.10850238073
2.1317840213
2.25891846582
2.27827195992
2.27958554071
2.24616890561
2.2136249527
2.20804609387
2.17649772589
2.17188845209
2.16739955041
2.16302787731
2.13265516916
2.20753645912
2.22823180471
2.19615628281
2.19103362183
2.15992953799
2.20798335013
2.17643662071
2.19794414487
2.16665959133
2.21453764676
2.20893495274
2.20347857421
2.17204948793
2.16755638077
2.24152621854
2.20910351033
2.17752752771
2.14677615825
2.16905827138
2.24298888697
2.31498878959
2.30676279367
2.27263641912
2.23940126173
2.20703404721
2.17551210903
2.17092857482
2.14034953835
2.13668428178
2.10699954195
2.18255083381
2.17778348188
2.14702542813
2.16930103153
2.13876449868
2.13514063574
2.10549620854
2.07662595155
2.04850964716
2.02112760574
1.99446065187
2.04683571742
2.01949739101
2.04510341488
2.09615593443
2.06752960059
2.03965084924
2.01250015712
1.98605851081
1.96030739344
1.93522877171
1.93692028543
1.91245242276
1.92331945472
1.89920678049
1.92795421797
1.90372050596
1.88011966223
1.88325036149
1.88629930191
1.86315341645
1.84061199047
1.87088964274
1.87426138582
1.87754507515
1.88074301027
1.85774222849
1.83534211678
1.81352698851
1.87062717326
1.84789056861
1.85186293717
1.88184676869
1.85881716203
1.83638897822
1.84066171313
1.81870766253
1.7973269464
1.77650459199
1.75622601758
1.76259222442
1.7426769743
1.80162742149
1.80680796149
1.82043391992
1.8251233244
1.80357506196
1.80870473893
1.78758525118
1.79313250529
1.85076529609
1.85466259055
1.83234290421
1.86283650534
1.86641855773
1.87848777339
1.85554588758
1.91154874028
1.91385866281
1.91610826125
1.91829911097
1.89431754403
1.87096226055
1.87433210721
1.85149874746
1.82926168552
1.80760534894
1.78651457197
1.76597458491
1.79820140812
1.90793222785
1.91891730562
1.97326520093
1.9825440949
2.03523036374
2.0081951135
2.0602115008
2.03252386311
2.00555929367
1.97929890942
1.95372432041
2.03327842567
2.00629415067
2.00612977766
2.03208489945
2.00513179364
1.97888257363
1.95331885732
1.92842274262
1.98252240152
1.95686363036
2.0363357519
2.08761724075
2.08532909879
2.08310071213
2.10704572241
2.15648060608
2.17850928559
2.14773227733
2.11775901686
2.11468371633
2.11168872789
2.10877195418
2.07981615043
2.05161653335
2.1024989615
2.09982218039
2.07110010179
2.06924330826
2.04131980309
2.0141255259
1.98764143276
1.96184897707
2.0150757031
2.01468199806
1.98818337254
1.96237676398
1.96335930239
1.99043138379
2.06902687667
2.04110902365
2.04861616248
2.02123133939
1.99456167649
1.96858849723
1.9432936128
SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL DOBLE w 0.1
0.092302307498617 2.70577052343904
0.091248660307675 a1(0) 2.30729098090849
2.88886139944533 b1(0) 2.29859589915636
0.49196771268028 b2(0) -0.0017390163504
0.088124008869253 τ 1
0.087094555101248
0.499313449478827
2.91849445761385
0.084042483931635
22.2014192130486
1.65488358100396
2.94230977455188
1.64594723669079
0.07907666576363
1.63703508580055
1.63258808288903
0.076169755131636
1.62371222213319
0.074262056488977
1.61486055480029
2.99624806647288
7.467684242101
3.00830088547951
1.5972298004033
0.06868412109862
13.9850753188696
0.066873196147707
1.57969581969806
1.91611055837318 2.72709968445
1.81733812377648 2.71722244099
0.09789469414212 2.54527809802
0.092848379234944 2.54477346653
0.088062193789998 2.54429484799
1.66152870965897 2.70164149958
0.554517894777039 2.59094041809
0.075508089048236 2.54303943752
1.60683821813351 2.69617245042
0.585979071109902 2.59408653572
7.53777959400052 3.28926658801
0.454009633382598 2.58088959195
0.430606162938999 2.5785492449
1.85213336308046 2.72070196492
0.455098551078782 2.58099848372
1.80366954650496 2.71585558326
1.71069326622839 2.70655795523
0.074954258135127 2.54298405442
1.60434646961679 2.69592327557
0.05454548372291 2.54094317698
0.596832657506691 2.59517189436
1.55657021678739 2.69114565029
1.47633151173932 2.68312177978
1.40022898360017 2.67551152697
0.023228888902294 2.5378115175
3.42831131605097 2.87831976022
3.2515873510574 2.86064736372
1.54722628478601 2.69021125709
1.46746924448764 2.68223555306
0.032312117833272 2.53871984039
0.680523759411939 2.60354100455
3.25223424891461 2.8607120535
7.59718511543102 3.29520714015
1.73101949332275 2.70859057794
0.079142537403847 2.54340288235
1.62301493045119 2.69779012166
1.53935110668752 2.68942373928
1.46000001922431 2.68148863053
1.38473935340321 2.67396256395
1.31335825453091 2.66682445406
0.781297007658748 2.61361832938
0.019369241528009 2.53742555276
0.018370788107014 2.53732570742
1.28142231368381 2.66363085998
15.1909983854794 4.05458846716
0.015462652307548 2.53703489384
0.043043764391034 2.53979300505
0.636721340550156 2.59916076267
1.49546086207725 2.68503471482
1.41837224652426 2.67732585326
4.66496208442444 3.00198483705
1.21759605214323 2.65724823382
1.15483092311664 2.65097172092
1.09530123610284 2.64501875222
1.03884020924096 2.63937264953
0.985289658008265 2.63401759441
4.1343285309865 2.94892148171
1.03998252914952 2.63948688153
0.986373093152606 2.63412593793
0.93552713783671 2.62904134239
16.4676301872785 4.18225164734
1.09818568240015 2.64530719685
3.91811821743594 2.92730045035
8.57160680624176 3.39264930923
8.1297541850773 3.34846404712
0.049813407677737 2.54046996938
0.04724560618508 2.54021318923
0.621441911420846 2.59763281975
1.51849220683519 2.68733784929
1.44021636229699 2.67951026484
1.36597551234789 2.67208617985
1.29556165947052 2.66504479456
0.79476800516185 2.61496542913
23.699526815285 4.90544131014
0.549201840299845 2.59040881264
0.002530036546989 2.53574163227
1.63733915599308 2.69922254421
1.55293694131333 2.69078232274
0.045635620414089 2.54005219065
1.45937536490425 2.6814261651
0.031151447242828 2.53860377333
0.029545639962064 2.53844319261
0.028022609478245 2.53829088956
1.35263384339791 2.67075201295
8.22166637896776 3.35765526651
0.627998463618245 2.59828847497
1.50855336610433 2.68634396522
0.038477287286408 2.53933635734
1.4185610883238 2.67734473744
3.38585930514551 2.87407455912
1.45922377418878 2.68141100603
0.678256639700464 2.60331429258
1.43507017422746 2.67899564603
3.36113705406215 2.87160233402
0.04602640187778 2.5400912688
0.043653814477054 2.53985401006
1.44836067857964 2.68032469647
0.02960102629631 2.53844873124
8.02273685613693 3.33776231422
1.541387351314 2.68962736374
1.46193129869713 2.68168175848
1.38657107850815 2.67414573646
0.727990924126323 2.60828772102
8.01423107083239 3.33691173569
7.60111027734402 3.29559965634
0.099217937570399 2.54541042237
1.70762899892325 2.7062515285
1.61960345526424 2.69744897414
1.53611548759003 2.68910017737
1.45693119111615 2.68118174772
0.030804500416082 2.53856907865
1.37107372732535 2.67259600134
0.019697992915684 2.5374584279
1.29205115645199 2.66469374426
8.36945165026026 3.37243379364
0.033324806925465 2.5388211093
1.38717393018821 2.67420602163
0.727565620256976 2.60824519064
1.36726490232738 2.67221511884
0.019255586094514 2.53741418722
1.28854426291762 2.6643430549
1.2221218671024 2.65770081532
1.15912343955339 2.65140097257
1.09937248018287 2.64542587663
1.04270158720034 2.63975878733
4.02218807691355 2.9377074363
1.09586501925744 2.64507513054
0.961385366236699 2.63162716523
3.82162065852065 2.91765069446
1.20155783259302 2.65564441187
1.13961944813221 2.64945057342
1.08087388832416 2.64357601744
1.02515656816471 2.63800428543
0.972311386743452 2.63271976728
0.922190289902217 2.6277076576
0.00419531201394 2.53590815981
0.877819621257626 2.62327059074
0.173155027000461 2.55280413131
0.852518815469679 2.62074051016
1.21174571212114 2.65666319982
0.861099030650782 2.62159853168
0.816710752889584 2.6171597039
0.014371295382879 2.53692575815
0.013630478091793 2.53685167642
0.785526452558179 2.61404127387
0.745033820324499 2.60999201064
1.34418055664836 2.66990668428
0.016669484352486 2.53715557705
0.015810199095813 2.53706964852
0.014995208619753 2.53698814947
0.7757082501413 2.61305945362
0.735721730538669 2.60906080166
0.697796452065858 2.60526827382
4.78066422995994 3.01355505161
0.757991674822208 2.61128779609
0.023137279117244 2.53780235652
1.3182187150543 2.66731050012
0.77765372344529 2.61325400095
0.737566917805489 2.60924532039
0.026768566449377 2.53816548526
0.706712115918807 2.6061598402
0.67028223668076 2.60251685228
0.63573025945034 2.59906165456
0.60295938138263 2.59578456675
0.059425754505025 2.54143120406
0.581546900739849 2.59364331868
5.09550724236849 3.04503935285
0.039351679904174 2.5394237966
0.272237115585635 2.56271234017
0.032243977116468 2.53871302632
0.680828500472511 2.60357147866
0.038582756282152 2.53934690424
0.654003354774433 2.60088896409
0.045120025518134 2.54000063116
4.87026413922326 3.02251504253
0.022270996851711 2.5377157283
0.730448143689752 2.60853344298
1.36342309335502 2.67183093795
0.018813824268184 2.53737001104
0.213585276025755 2.55684715621
0.771740767995418 2.61266270541
4.59868344028347 2.99535697264
0.007823625345615 2.53627099115
0.007420329972401 2.53623066161
0.007037823830633 2.53619241099
0.843273257203935 2.61981595433
0.79980386955282 2.61546901557
0.016650738201411 2.53715370243
0.764456633694363 2.61193429198
0.725050116923383 2.6079936403
0.687674943063924 2.60425612292
0.652226399637895 2.60071126857
0.618605171927961 2.5973491458
1.52281872508228 2.68777050112
17.6551114067376 4.30099976928
0.176937337182698 2.55318236233
4.33090518084265 2.96857914669
0.126242515399862 2.54811288015
4.07012832901987 2.94250146151
1.07170190601937 2.64265881921
3.9672867059001 2.9322172992
1.12404842643657 2.64789347125
1.06610552789214 2.6420991814
1.01114949309199 2.63660357792
0.959026353987372 2.63139126401
9.27979551607846 3.46346818022
1.06766430494598 2.64225505911
3.96163327142E-05 2.53549259024
0.98777801885978 2.6342664305
1.0651992396748 2.64200855258
1.0102899225827 2.63651762087
0.958211092963015 2.63130973791
0.908816843713706 2.62637031298
4.29143233330198 2.96463186194
0.965350269486986 2.63202365556
9.26067896422327 3.46155652503
3.85597727924784 2.92108635654
0.007676780876771 2.5362563067
0.007281055101058 2.53621673412
0.840704304100553 2.61955905902
3.58327589706064 2.89381621832
0.711524967924691 2.6066411254
1.38888413621939 2.67437704223
1.31728938042222 2.66721756665
0.013867186052218 2.53687534722
0.01315235479084 2.53680386409
0.012474371937661 2.5367360658
1.22937524637656 2.65842615325
1.16600291872725 2.65208892048
3.79619813312712 2.91510844192
0.010506037107799 2.53653923232
1.20960882848623 2.65644951146
0.005055224475185 2.53599415106
1.14328125226164 2.64981675384
1.08434693230752 2.64392332184
1.02845058228563 2.63833368684
0.975435599704985 2.63303218858
4.15405959228769 2.95089458784
0.000227276823847 2.53551135629
1.02957955719103 2.63844658433
0.976506377759729 2.63313926639
0.001415507888906 2.5356301794
1.07462393593834 2.6429510222
9.05750325565184 3.44123895418
1.14281846304445 2.64977047491
0.082634634240778 2.54375209203
1.09959585620764 2.64544821423
1.0429134485483 2.63977997347
0.989152928344182 2.63440392144
0.938163676970319 2.62930499631
0.003215614349175 2.53581019005
D METODO AUTOREGRESIVO AR(D) w 0.1
PRONOSTICODEM REGRESION
2.30555196 2.87115414 ECMS PROMEDIO
2.30381295 0.09230231 2.69977028192646
2.30207393 0.09124866 a1(0) 2.30729098
2.30033492 2.8888614 b1(0) 2.2985959
2.2985959 0.49196771 b2(0) -0.00173902
2.29685688 0.08812401 τ 1
2.29511787 0.08709456
2.29337885 0.49931345
2.29163983 2.91849446
2.28990082 0.08404248
2.2881618 22.2014192
2.28642278 1.65488358
2.28468377 2.94230977
2.28294475 1.64594724
2.28120574 0.07907667
2.27946672 1.63703509
2.2777277 1.63258808
2.27598869 0.07616976
2.27424967 1.62371222
2.27251065 0.07426206
2.27077164 1.61486055
2.26903262 2.99624807
2.2672936 7.46768424
2.26555459 3.00830089
2.26381557 1.5972298
2.26207656 0.06868412
2.26033754 13.9850753
2.25859852 0.0668732
2.25685951 1.57969582
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.00174432 2.53566306
1.99914348 7.33619E-07 2.5354887
1.99914348 0.9982877 2.6353174
1.89620562 1.21836203 2.65732483
2.06117286 0.00374212 2.53586284
2.04005197 1.08170811 2.64365944
1.89620562 1.21836203 2.65732483
2.06117286 8.63670498 3.39915913
2.34886556 0.42397606 2.57788623
2.22480682 0.60092447 2.59558108
2.14298984 1.30642577 2.66613121
1.93711411 1.12972641 2.64846127
2.06117286 1.12608783 2.64809741
1.93711411 0.87818286 2.62330691
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.01077327 2.53656596
1.95823499 1.08527433 2.64401606
2.10208135 1.2145833 2.65694696
1.93711411 0.87818286 2.62330691
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 4.16880434 2.95236906
2.20501921 3.22195604 2.85768423
2.28683619 1.65594738 2.70108337
1.9780226 0.95652821 2.63114145
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 1.08527433 2.64401606
2.10208135 3.60209521 2.89569815
2.2459277 7.58491424 3.29398005
2.38977405 1.93147192 2.72863582
2.01893109 0.00035839 2.53552447
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 1.31034466 2.66652309
2.06117286 0.00374212 2.53586284
2.04005197 0.00160416 2.53564904
1.99914348 0.9982877 2.6353174
1.89620562 16.8411283 4.21960146
2.36998644 0.0017152 2.53566015
2.19659989 0.03865151 2.53935378
2.01258485 0.97498869 2.6329875
2.10208135 1.2145833 2.65694696
1.93711411 0.87818286 2.62330691
1.85529713 3.44212745 2.87970137
1.75235927 0.56604447 2.59209308
1.81438864 0.66322886 2.60181151
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 4.59975039 2.99546367
2.16411072 1.35515377 2.67100401
1.9780226 0.95652821 2.63114145
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 17.1785619 4.25334482
2.36998644 1.87686286 2.72317491
2.05983958 3.76422245 2.91191087
2.16411072 8.04226801 3.33971543
2.38977405 6.8132795 3.21681658
2.43068254 0.18548745 2.55403737
2.12186895 0.01485204 2.53697383
1.99914348 1.00171377 2.63566001
2.10208135 1.2145833 2.65694696
1.93711411 0.87818286 2.62330691
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 1.31034466 2.66652309
2.06117286 24.3920136 4.97468998
2.55474129 0.19825532 2.55531416
2.3066238 0.0004817 2.5355368
2.07387441 1.15320626 2.65080925
1.90964698 0.82745763 2.61823439
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.01077327 2.53656596
1.95823499 0.00174432 2.53566306
1.99914348 7.33619E-07 2.5354887
1.99914348 0.9982877 2.6353174
1.89620562 9.63353954 3.49884258
2.26704858 0.53721778 2.58921041
2.22480682 1.50015174 2.6855038
1.93711411 0.00395463 2.53588409
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 4.42595079 2.97808371
2.16411072 1.35515377 2.67100401
1.9780226 1.0444378 2.63993241
2.06117286 1.12608783 2.64809741
1.93711411 4.25549819 2.96103845
2.16411072 0.02693233 2.53818186
2.08096046 0.0065546 2.53614409
1.99914348 0.9982877 2.6353174
1.89620562 0.01077327 2.53656596
1.95823499 9.25233435 3.46072206
2.30795707 1.7107517 2.7065638
2.01893109 1.03822057 2.63931069
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 1.31034466 2.66652309
2.06117286 8.63670498 3.39915913
2.34886556 7.02851381 3.23834001
2.43068254 0.18548745 2.55403737
2.12186895 1.25858995 2.66134762
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.01077327 2.53656596
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 9.63353954 3.49884258
2.26704858 0.07131495 2.54262012
2.12186895 1.25858995 2.66134762
1.89620562 1.21836203 2.65732483
2.06117286 1.12608783 2.64809741
1.93711411 0.00395463 2.53588409
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 4.59975039 2.99546367
2.16411072 1.35515377 2.67100401
1.9780226 1.0444378 2.63993241
2.06117286 3.75905069 2.9113937
2.2459277 1.55233583 2.69072221
1.9780226 0.95652821 2.63114145
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.18694019 2.55418265
1.99205743 0.98417795 2.63390642
1.90964698 1.1888697 2.6543756
2.06117286 1.12608783 2.64809741
1.93711411 0.87818286 2.62330691
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.00174432 2.53566306
1.99914348 0.9982877 2.6353174
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 1.31034466 2.66652309
2.06117286 0.00374212 2.53586284
2.04005197 0.00160416 2.53564904
1.99914348 7.33619E-07 2.5354887
1.99914348 0.9982877 2.6353174
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 4.59975039 2.99546367
2.16411072 1.35515377 2.67100401
1.9780226 0.00048301 2.53553693
1.95823499 1.08527433 2.64401606
2.10208135 1.2145833 2.65694696
1.93711411 0.87818286 2.62330691
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 4.42595079 2.97808371
2.16411072 0.02693233 2.53818186
2.08096046 0.06131119 2.54161975
2.03296592 0.00108675 2.5355973
2.01258485 1.02532807 2.63802144
1.89620562 0.01077327 2.53656596
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.01077327 2.53656596
1.95823499 4.16880434 2.95236906
2.20501921 0.04203288 2.53969192
2.08096046 1.16847553 2.65233618
1.89620562 1.21836203 2.65732483
2.06117286 0.00374212 2.53586284
2.04005197 0.08324348 2.54381298
2.03296592 1.0670186 2.64219049
1.90964698 4.36957574 2.9724462
2.16411072 0.02693233 2.53818186
2.08096046 0.0065546 2.53614409
1.99914348 7.33619E-07 2.5354887
1.99914348 0.9982877 2.6353174
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 1.31034466 2.66652309
2.06117286 15.5143593 4.08692456
2.45180342 0.01518612 2.53700724
2.19659989 3.25225197 2.86071383
2.21846057 0.0121244 2.53670107
2.1147829 3.5540435 2.89089298
2.21846057 1.48464616 2.68395324
1.9780226 4.0883926 2.94432789
2.16411072 1.35515377 2.67100401
1.9780226 0.95652821 2.63114145
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 9.88915613 3.52440424
2.26704858 1.60541211 2.69602984
2.01893109 0.00035839 2.53552447
1.95823499 1.08527433 2.64401606
2.10208135 1.2145833 2.65694696
1.93711411 0.87818286 2.62330691
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 4.59975039 2.99546367
2.16411072 1.35515377 2.67100401
1.9780226 9.1323474 3.44872337
2.26704858 3.00312062 2.83580069
2.32774468 0.10741658 2.54623029
2.08096046 0.0065546 2.53614409
1.99914348 1.00171377 2.63566001
2.10208135 3.60209521 2.89569815
2.2459277 0.56862503 2.59235113
2.18389833 1.40161525 2.67565015
1.93711411 0.87818286 2.62330691
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 0.00174432 2.53566306
1.99914348 7.33619E-07 2.5354887
1.99914348 0.9982877 2.6353174
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 4.59975039 2.99546367
2.16411072 0.02693233 2.53818186
2.08096046 1.16847553 2.65233618
1.89620562 0.01077327 2.53656596
1.95823499 0.9182143 2.62731006
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 4.59975039 2.99546367
2.16411072 0.02693233 2.53818186
2.08096046 1.16847553 2.65233618
1.89620562 0.80318452 2.61580708
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
1.95823499 1.08527433 2.64401606
2.10208135 8.39793252 3.37528188
2.34886556 1.81943831 2.71743246
2.01893109 0.09587714 2.54507634
1.99205743 0.98417795 2.63390642
1.90964698 0.82745763 2.61823439
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.73153318 2.60864195
1.85529713 0.02093892 2.53758252
METODO
EXPONENCI EXPONENCI
REGRESIVO
AL SIMPLE AL DOBLE
30 2.53548863 2.73148863 2.78461224 2.72709968 2.61580708
31 2.53548863 2.73148863 2.77177032 2.71722244 2.60864195
32 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.56018981 2.5452781 2.53758252
33 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.5589165 2.54477347 2.53566306
34 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.55770883 2.54429485 2.5354887
35 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.74837799 2.7016415 2.6353174
36 2.93548863 2.73148863 2.56901633 2.59094042 2.65732483
37 2.63548863 2.53548863 2.55450611 2.54303944 2.53586284
38 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.73846615 2.69617245 2.64365944
39 2.93548863 2.67948863 2.57300481 2.59408654 2.65732483
40 2.93548863 3.43548863 3.20967447 3.28926659 3.39915913
41 2.93548863 2.53948863 2.56344105 2.58088959 2.57788623
42 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.56200015 2.57854924 2.59558108
43 2.93548863 2.93548863 2.76005478 2.72070196 2.66613121
44 2.93548863 2.53548863 2.56471151 2.58099848 2.64846127
45 2.93548863 2.93548863 2.75261932 2.71585558 2.64809741
47 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.55129539 2.54298405 2.53758252
48 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.72791943 2.69592328 2.62731006
49 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.54780644 2.54094318 2.53656596
50 2.63548863 2.79148863 2.57881111 2.59517189 2.64401606
51 2.93548863 2.59948863 2.72017424 2.69114565 2.65694696
52 2.53548863 2.59948863 2.71065399 2.68312178 2.62330691
53 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.7016245 2.67551153 2.60864195
54 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.54200522 2.53781152 2.53758252
55 2.93548863 3.11148863 2.84222546 2.87831976 2.95236906
56 2.53548863 3.01948863 2.82641367 2.86064736 2.85768423
57 3.43548863 2.73148863 2.71475153 2.69021126 2.70108337
58 2.53548863 2.73148863 2.70551082 2.68223555 2.63114145
59 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.54277179 2.53871984 2.53758252
60 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.58983125 2.603541 2.64401606
61 2.63548863 2.85948863 2.83061459 2.86071205 2.89569815
62 2.63548863 3.31948863 3.25001315 3.29520714 3.29398005
63 4.13548863 2.93548863 2.73057922 2.70859058 2.72863582
64 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.54846822 2.54340288 2.53552447
65 2.63548863 2.93548863 2.71797182 2.69779012 2.62731006
66 2.53548863 2.79148863 2.7085651 2.68942374 2.61580708
67 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.69964329 2.68148863 2.60864195
68 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.69118138 2.67396256 2.60864195
69 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.68315567 2.66682445 2.60864195
70 2.93548863 2.93548863 2.60216426 2.61361833 2.66652309
71 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.53968182 2.53742555 2.53586284
72 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.53946567 2.53732571 2.53564904
73 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.6781041 2.66363086 2.6353174
74 5.03548863 4.29948863 4.00772252 4.05458847 4.21960146
75 3.8834274 2.55771312 2.53591554 2.53703489 2.53566015
76 2.54628455 2.57980618 2.54250792 2.53979301 2.53935378
77 2.63548863 2.54666332 2.59054197 2.59916076 2.6329875
78 2.93548863 2.88357761 2.69866308 2.68503471 2.65694696
79 2.53548863 2.88357761 2.69025169 2.67732585 2.62330691
80 2.63548863 2.88357761 3.02458385 3.00198484 2.87970137
81 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.66861284 2.65724823 2.59209308
82 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.6617505 2.65097172 2.60181151
83 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.6552419 2.64501875 2.60864195
84 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.64906881 2.63937265 2.60864195
85 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.64321394 2.63401759 2.60864195
86 3.43548863 3.43548863 2.93117916 2.94892148 2.99546367
87 3.43548863 2.57148863 2.64843263 2.63948688 2.67100401
88 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.64261055 2.63412594 2.63114145
89 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.63708858 2.62904134 2.60864195
90 5.03548863 4.47148863 4.15020653 4.18225165 4.25334482
91 5.03548863 2.79148863 2.6535553 2.6453072 2.72317491
92 3.43548863 2.93548863 2.91254405 2.92730045 2.91191087
93 2.63548863 3.11148863 3.37132369 3.39264931 3.33971543
94 2.53548863 2.79148863 3.32823773 3.34846405 3.21681658
95 3.43548863 3.01948863 2.54214242 2.54046997 2.55403737
96 2.53548863 2.73148863 2.54179943 2.54021319 2.53697383
97 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.59254361 2.59763282 2.63566001
98 2.93548863 3.11148863 2.69535395 2.68733785 2.65694696
99 2.53548863 2.79148863 2.68711314 2.67951026 2.62330691
100 2.53548863 2.59948863 2.67929714 2.67208618 2.60864195
101 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.67188404 2.66504479 2.60864195
102 2.93548863 2.79148863 2.6098991 2.61496543 2.66652309
103 4.13548863 5.67148863 4.87813352 4.90544131 4.97468998
104 4.13548863 2.55148863 2.58642366 2.59040881 2.55531416
105 2.58057026 2.58057026 2.53554442 2.53574163 2.5355368
106 2.71199883 3.04883475 2.70593919 2.69922254 2.65080925
107 2.53548863 3.04883475 2.69715273 2.69078232 2.61823439
108 2.63548863 2.61043475 2.54116576 2.54005219 2.53758252
109 2.63548863 2.61043475 2.68728208 2.68142617 2.62731006
110 2.63548863 2.56403475 2.53948342 2.53860377 2.53656596
111 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.5392775 2.53844319 2.53566306
112 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.53908219 2.53829089 2.5354887
113 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.67582019 2.67075201 2.6353174
114 4.13548863 3.69148863 3.34564254 3.35765527 3.49884258
115 2.93548863 2.57148863 2.59508518 2.59828847 2.58921041
116 2.93548863 2.79148863 2.69128211 2.68634397 2.6855038
117 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.54013594 2.53933636 2.53588409
118 2.63548863 2.73148863 2.68188568 2.67734474 2.62731006
119 3.43548863 2.79148863 2.86733006 2.87407456 2.97808371
120 3.43548863 2.67948863 2.68577693 2.68141101 2.67100401
121 2.93548863 2.67948863 2.60046737 2.60331429 2.63993241
122 2.93548863 2.67948863 2.68310078 2.67899565 2.64809741
123 3.43548863 2.93548863 2.86555448 2.87160233 2.96103845
124 2.93548863 2.57148863 2.54080967 2.54009127 2.53818186
125 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.54053538 2.53985401 2.53614409
126 2.63548863 2.73148863 2.68403183 2.6803247 2.6353174
127 2.63548863 2.53548863 2.53898382 2.53844873 2.53656596
128 3.43548863 3.31948863 3.3295605 3.33776231 3.46072206
129 4.13548863 2.73148863 2.6931575 2.68962736 2.7065638
130 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.68502993 2.68168176 2.63931069
131 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.67732131 2.67414574 2.60864195
132 2.93548863 2.63548863 2.60607656 2.60828772 2.66652309
133 2.93548863 3.31948863 3.32972792 3.33691174 3.39915913
134 2.53548863 3.31948863 3.28878615 3.29559966 3.23834001
135 3.43548863 2.63548863 2.54618479 2.54541042 2.55403737
136 2.63548863 3.01948863 2.7093352 2.70625153 2.66134762
137 2.53548863 3.01948863 2.70037369 2.69744897 2.61580708
138 2.53548863 2.85948863 2.69187412 2.68910018 2.60864195
139 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.6838127 2.68118175 2.60864195
140 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.53895115 2.53856908 2.53758252
141 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.67501645 2.672596 2.62731006
142 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.53774978 2.53745843 2.53656596
143 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.66692206 2.66469374 2.62731006
144 4.13548863 3.83148863 3.36694321 3.37243379 3.49884258
145 3.43548863 2.53948863 2.53916765 2.53882111 2.54262012
146 2.63548863 2.67948863 2.67633771 2.67420602 2.66134762
147 2.93548863 2.59948863 2.60675514 2.60824519 2.65732483
148 2.93548863 2.73148863 2.67422202 2.67221512 2.64809741
149 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53765222 2.53741419 2.53588409
150 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.66619074 2.66434305 2.62731006
151 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.65945326 2.65770082 2.61580708
152 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.65306308 2.65140097 2.60864195
153 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.6470023 2.64542588 2.60864195
154 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.64125395 2.63975879 2.60864195
155 3.43548863 3.43548863 2.93486279 2.93770744 2.99546367
156 3.43548863 2.57148863 2.64652854 2.64507513 2.67100401
157 2.93548863 2.73148863 2.63031031 2.63162717 2.63993241
158 2.63548863 2.93548863 2.91508925 2.91765069 2.9113937
159 3.43548863 2.79148863 2.6570496 2.65564441 2.69072221
160 2.53548863 2.79148863 2.65078333 2.64945057 2.63114145
161 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.64484007 2.64357602 2.60864195
162 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.63920318 2.63800429 2.60864195
163 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.63385686 2.63271977 2.60864195
164 2.53548863 2.53548863 2.62878613 2.62770766 2.60864195
165 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.5358405 2.53590816 2.53758252
166 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.62426848 2.62327059 2.62731006
167 2.71199883 2.66285598 2.5523764 2.55280413 2.55418265
168 2.71199883 2.55717761 2.62167312 2.62074051 2.63390642
169 2.93548863 2.77089189 2.65558572 2.6566632 2.6543756
170 2.93548863 2.61043475 2.62248737 2.62159853 2.64809741
171 2.53548863 2.57980618 2.61800273 2.6171597 2.62330691
172 2.63548863 2.54666332 2.53681918 2.53692576 2.53758252
173 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.53675059 2.53685168 2.53566306
174 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.61480484 2.61404127 2.6353174
175 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.61071621 2.60999201 2.61580708
176 2.93548863 2.79148863 2.66896329 2.66990668 2.66652309
177 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.53705466 2.53715558 2.53586284
178 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.53697393 2.53706965 2.53564904
179 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.53689737 2.53698815 2.5354887
180 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.61370661 2.61305945 2.6353174
181 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.6096746 2.6090608 2.61580708
182 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.60585043 2.60526827 2.60864195
183 3.43548863 3.21148863 3.0120753 3.01355505 2.99546367
184 3.43548863 2.59948863 2.61186316 2.6112878 2.67100401
185 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53770568 2.53780236 2.53553693
186 2.63548863 2.67948863 2.66659319 2.6673105 2.64401606
187 2.93548863 2.67948863 2.61379221 2.613254 2.65694696
188 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.60975579 2.60924532 2.62330691
189 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53807178 2.53816549 2.53758252
190 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.60663373 2.60615984 2.62731006
191 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.60296632 2.60251685 2.61580708
192 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.59948795 2.59906165 2.60864195
193 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.59618889 2.59578457 2.60864195
194 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.54130843 2.5414312 2.53758252
195 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.59401991 2.59364332 2.62731006
196 3.43548863 3.31948863 3.04395607 3.04503935 2.97808371
197 2.93548863 2.53948863 2.53933158 2.5394238 2.53818186
198 2.54628455 2.54628455 2.56247525 2.56271234 2.54161975
199 2.54628455 2.54254904 2.53863388 2.53871303 2.5355973
200 2.63548863 2.69569189 2.60392834 2.60357148 2.63802144
201 2.63548863 2.54254904 2.53926472 2.5393469 2.53656596
202 2.63548863 2.61043475 2.60122068 2.60088896 2.62731006
203 2.63548863 2.54666332 2.53991628 2.54000063 2.53656596
204 2.93548863 3.11148863 3.02165796 3.02251504 2.95236906
205 2.93548863 2.53548863 2.53765962 2.53771573 2.53969192
206 2.63548863 2.67948863 2.60884874 2.60853344 2.65233618
207 2.93548863 2.63548863 2.6714122 2.67183094 2.65732483
208 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53732238 2.53737001 2.53586284
209 2.54628455 2.53599883 2.55669013 2.55684716 2.54381298
210 2.71199883 2.64906332 2.6129542 2.61266271 2.64219049
211 3.43548863 2.99100618 2.99466491 2.99535697 2.9724462
212 2.93548863 2.55717761 2.53624343 2.53627099 2.53818186
213 2.53548863 2.54254904 2.53620452 2.53623066 2.53614409
214 2.53548863 2.54254904 2.53616762 2.53619241 2.5354887
215 2.63548863 2.67948863 2.62008286 2.61981595 2.6353174
216 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.61572216 2.61546902 2.61580708
217 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53711835 2.5371537 2.53758252
218 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.61216901 2.61193429 2.62731006
219 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.60821626 2.60799364 2.61580708
220 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.60446727 2.60425612 2.60864195
221 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.60091153 2.60071127 2.60864195
222 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.59753909 2.59734915 2.60864195
223 2.93548863 2.93548863 2.68748063 2.6877705 2.66652309
224 3.43548863 4.65148863 4.30003823 4.30099977 4.08692456
225 3.8834274 2.53599883 2.55308873 2.55318236 2.53700724
226 2.81485598 2.71352047 2.96812752 2.96857915 2.86071383
227 2.81485598 2.6233123 2.54803788 2.54811288 2.53670107
228 2.81485598 2.55744455 2.94208621 2.94250146 2.89089298
229 3.43548863 3.28155883 2.64286649 2.64265882 2.68395324
230 3.43548863 2.69641598 2.93182845 2.9322173 2.94432789
231 3.43548863 2.96220618 2.64809518 2.64789347 2.67100401
232 2.53548863 2.75032047 2.6422905 2.64209918 2.63114145
233 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.63678503 2.63660358 2.60864195
234 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.63156336 2.63139126 2.60864195
235 4.13548863 3.69148863 3.46294713 3.46346818 3.52440424
236 4.13548863 2.59948863 2.64242728 2.64225506 2.69602984
237 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.53549368 2.53549259 2.53552447
238 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.63410945 2.63426643 2.64401606
239 2.93548863 2.73148863 2.64216744 2.64200855 2.65694696
240 2.53548863 2.73148863 2.63666832 2.63651762 2.62330691
241 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.63145266 2.63130974 2.60864195
242 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.62650587 2.62637031 2.60864195
243 3.43548863 3.21148863 2.96434514 2.96463186 2.99546367
244 3.43548863 2.57148863 2.63215616 2.63202366 2.67100401
245 4.13548863 3.69148863 3.46115702 3.46155653 3.44872337
246 2.63548863 2.79148863 2.92083531 2.92108636 2.83580069
247 2.93548863 2.63548863 2.53626726 2.53625631 2.54623029
248 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.53622712 2.53621673 2.53614409
249 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.6194508 2.61955906 2.63566001
250 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.89359852 2.89381622 2.89569815
251 2.63548863 2.53548863 2.60654667 2.60664113 2.59235113
252 2.93548863 2.85948863 2.67450564 2.67437704 2.67565015
253 2.53548863 2.79148863 2.66733954 2.66721757 2.62330691
254 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53688756 2.53687535 2.53758252
255 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.53681545 2.53680386 2.53566306
256 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.53674705 2.53673607 2.5354887
257 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.65853215 2.65842615 2.6353174
258 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.65218945 2.65208892 2.61580708
259 3.43548863 3.11148863 2.91493185 2.91510844 2.99546367
260 2.93548863 2.53548863 2.5365483 2.53653923 2.53818186
261 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.65654409 2.65644951 2.65233618
262 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.53600012 2.53599415 2.53656596
263 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.64990396 2.64981675 2.62731006
264 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.64400603 2.64392332 2.61580708
265 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.63841213 2.63833369 2.60864195
266 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.63310659 2.63303219 2.60864195
267 3.43548863 3.31948863 2.9507451 2.95089459 2.99546367
268 2.93548863 2.55148863 2.53551245 2.53551136 2.53818186
269 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.63851719 2.63844658 2.65233618
270 2.53548863 2.59948863 2.63320623 2.63313927 2.61580708
271 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.53562771 2.53563018 2.53758252
272 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.64288442 2.64295102 2.64401606
273 2.93548863 3.55948863 3.44105061 3.44123895 3.37528188
274 4.13548863 2.73148863 2.64983564 2.64977047 2.71743246
275 2.71199883 2.53599883 2.54373504 2.54375209 2.54507634
276 2.71199883 2.81294904 2.64550884 2.64544821 2.63390642
277 2.53548863 2.75032047 2.63983747 2.63977997 2.61823439
278 2.53548863 2.64906332 2.63445846 2.63440392 2.60864195
279 2.53548863 2.54254904 2.62935672 2.629305 2.60864195
280 2.63548863 2.58940618 2.53580725 2.53581019 2.53758252
RESUMEN
Grupos Cuenta Suma Promedio Varianza
Columna 1 251 711.088952 2.83302371 0.21694856
Columna 2 251 688.239616 2.7419905 0.13127968
Columna 3 251 679.477228 2.70708059 0.07915863
Columna 4 251 679.148401 2.70577052 0.08164287
Columna 5 251 677.642341 2.69977028 0.08581487
Origen de las variaciones
Suma de cuadrados
Grados dePromedio
Entre grupos 3.13764371 4 0.78441093 6.59341032 2.99281E-05 2.37904828
Dentro de los 148.711154 1250 0.11896892
Total 151.848798 1254

DEMANDA
2
3
4
5
6
2
0
0 50
50 100
GRAFICO ITEM 28 DATO
100 150
PERIODO
EM 28 DATOS ATIPICOS CORREGIDOS
200
DO
250
ITEM 28
MEDIA MOVIL N = 5
SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL SIM
SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL DO
METODO AUTO-REGRESIVO AR(D
NAIVE
300
N =5
EXPONENCIAL SIMPLE
EXPONENCIAL DOBLE
O-REGRESIVO AR(D)
2 1 PROMEDIOS 2.13968 1.0248
3 2.1
4 2
5 2.1
6 1
7 2
8 3
9 1
10 1
11 2
12 1
13 1
14 1
15 3
16 2
17 3
18 3
19 1
20 2
21 1
22 2
23 1
24 1
25 2
26 4
27 1
28 3
29 3
30 1 3 4 2
31 1 1 0 0
32 2 1 1 1
33 2 2 0 0
34 1 2 1 1
35 5 1 16 4
36 3 5 4 2
37 2 3 1 1
38 3 2 1 1
39 3 3 0 0
40 2 3 1 1
41 2 2 0 0
42 1 2 1 1
43 2.1 1 1.21 1.1
44 3 2.1 0.81 0.9
45 5 3 4 2
46 1 5 16 4
47 1 1 0 0
48 2 1 1 1
49 4 2 4 2
50 2 4 4 2
51 3 2 1 1
52 2 3 1 1
53 1 2 1 1
54 4 1 9 3
55 4 4 0 0
56 5 4 1 1
57 1 5 16 4
58 1 1 0 0
59 2 1 1 1
60 2 2 0 0
61 2.1 2 0.01 0.1
62 1 2.1 1.21 1.1
63 3 1 4 2
64 1 3 4 2
65 1 1 0 0
66 1 1 0 0
67 2 1 1 1
68 2 2 0 0
69 1 2 1 1
70 1 1 0 0
71 3 1 4 2
72 2 3 1 1
73 2 2 0 0
74 2 2 0 0
75 1 2 1 1
76 2 1 1 1
77 4 2 4 2
78 3 4 1 1
79 2 3 1 1
80 2 2 0 0
81 2 2 0 0
82 2 2 0 0
83 2 2 0 0
84 1 2 1 1
85 1 1 0 0
86 2 1 1 1
87 4 2 4 2
88 5 4 1 1
89 2.1 5 8.41 2.9
90 1 2.1 1.21 1.1
91 3 1 4 2
92 4 3 1 1
93 4 4 0 0
94 1 4 9 3
95 4 1 9 3
96 4 4 0 0
97 1 4 9 3
98 1 1 0 0
99 1 1 0 0
100 2 1 1 1
101 1 2 1 1
102 3 1 4 2
103 1 3 4 2
104 1 1 0 0
105 1 1 0 0
106 1 1 0 0
107 1 1 0 0
108 2 1 1 1
109 2 2 0 0
110 2 2 0 0
111 2 2 0 0
112 2 2 0 0
113 1 2 1 1
114 1 1 0 0
115 3 1 4 2
116 1 3 4 2
117 1 1 0 0
118 2 1 1 1
119 1 2 1 1
120 1 1 0 0
121 1 1 0 0
122 1 1 0 0
123 1 1 0 0
124 1 1 0 0
125 2 1 1 1
126 1 2 1 1
127 2 1 1 1
128 1 2 1 1
129 2 1 1 1
130 1 2 1 1
131 5 1 16 4
132 1 5 16 4
133 3 1 4 2
134 2 3 1 1
135 1 2 1 1
136 2 1 1 1
137 2 2 0 0
138 1 2 1 1
139 1 1 0 0
140 1 1 0 0
141 1 1 0 0
142 1 1 0 0
143 1 1 0 0
144 1 1 0 0
145 3 1 4 2
146 1 3 4 2
147 1 1 0 0
148 2 1 1 1
149 2 2 0 0
150 2 2 0 0
151 1 2 1 1
152 1 1 0 0
153 4 1 9 3
154 2 4 4 2
155 1 2 1 1
156 1 1 0 0
157 2 1 1 1
158 1 2 1 1
159 2 1 1 1
160 2 2 0 0
161 3 2 1 1
162 2 3 1 1
163 1 2 1 1
164 2 1 1 1
165 1 2 1 1
166 1 1 0 0
167 2 1 1 1
168 3 2 1 1
169 1 3 4 2
170 3 1 4 2
171 3 3 0 0
172 2 3 1 1
173 1 2 1 1
174 3 1 4 2
175 3 3 0 0
176 1 3 4 2
177 2 1 1 1
178 5 2 9 3
179 3 5 4 2
180 1 3 4 2
181 1 1 0 0
182 1 1 0 0
183 1 1 0 0
184 1 1 0 0
185 1 1 0 0
186 2 1 1 1
187 4 2 4 2
188 1 4 9 3
189 1 1 0 0
190 5 1 16 4
191 1 5 16 4
192 3 1 4 2
193 4 3 1 1
194 4 4 0 0
195 2 4 4 2
196 1 2 1 1
197 1 1 0 0
198 2 1 1 1
199 3 2 1 1
200 1 3 4 2
201 1 1 0 0
202 3 1 4 2
203 2 3 1 1
204 2 2 0 0
205 4 2 4 2
206 4 4 0 0
207 3 4 1 1
208 2 3 1 1
209 5 2 9 3
210 2 5 9 3
211 1 2 1 1
212 1 1 0 0
213 1 1 0 0
214 3 1 4 2
215 1 3 4 2
216 2 1 1 1
217 1 2 1 1
218 3 1 4 2
219 1 3 4 2
220 2.1 1 1.21 1.1
221 3 2.1 0.81 0.9
222 2 3 1 1
223 2 2 0 0
224 3 2 1 1
225 1 3 4 2
226 1 1 0 0
227 1 1 0 0
228 2 1 1 1
229 2 2 0 0
230 2 2 0 0
231 2 2 0 0
232 2 2 0 0
233 2.1 2 0.01 0.1
234 5 2.1 8.41 2.9
235 4 5 1 1
236 1 4 9 3
237 1 1 0 0
238 3 1 4 2
239 1 3 4 2
240 1 1 0 0
241 1 1 0 0
242 2 1 1 1
243 1 2 1 1
244 2 1 1 1
245 4 2 4 2
246 3 4 1 1
247 3 3 0 0
248 3 3 0 0
249 2 3 1 1
250 3 2 1 1
251 2 3 1 1
252 2.1 2 0.01 0.1
253 4 2.1 3.61 1.9
254 1 4 9 3
255 1 1 0 0
256 3 1 4 2
257 2 3 1 1
258 2 2 0 0
259 5 2 9 3
260 1 5 16 4
261 1 1 0 0
262 2 1 1 1
263 1 2 1 1
264 2 1 1 1
265 3 2 1 1
266 1 3 4 2
267 4 1 9 3
268 1 4 9 3
269 1 1 0 0
270 1 1 0 0
271 1 1 0 0
272 1 1 0 0
273 1 1 0 0
274 1 1 0 0
275 1 1 0 0
276 1 1 0 0
277 3 1 4 2
278 1 3 4 2
279 1 1 0 0
280 1 1 0 0
E MEDIA MO
MAPE MAPE' PRONOSTICO ECM
-0.277941904761905 0.254727619047619 PROMEDIOS 1.424672
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.6 2.56

0 0 2.4 1.96
0.5 1 1.8 0.04
0 0 2 0
-1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
0.8 4 1.4 12.96
-0.666666666666667 -0.4 2.2 0.64
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.6 0.36
0.333333333333333 0.5 2.6 0.16
0 0 2.8 0.04
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 3.2 1.44
0 0 2.6 0.36
-1 -0.5 2.4 1.96
0.523809523809524 1.1 2.2 0.01
0.3 0.428571428571429 2.02 0.9604
0.4 0.666666666666667 2.02 8.8804
-4 -0.8 2.62 2.6244
0 0 2.42 2.0164
0.5 1 2.42 0.1764
0.5 1 2.4 2.56
-1 -0.5 2.6 0.36
0.333333333333333 0.5 2 1
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.4 0.16
-1 -0.5 2.6 2.56
0.75 3 2.4 2.56
0 0 2.4 2.56
0.2 0.25 2.8 4.84
-4 -0.8 3.2 4.84
0 0 3 4
0.5 1 3 1
0 0 2.6 0.36
0.047619047619048 0.05 2.2 0.01
-1.1 -0.523809523809524 1.62 0.3844
0.666666666666667 2 1.62 1.9044
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.02 1.0404
0 0 1.82 0.6724
0 0 1.62 0.3844
0.5 1 1.4 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.16
-1 -0.5 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.4 0.16
0.666666666666667 2 1.4 2.56
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 1.8 0.04
0 0 1.8 0.04
0 0 1.8 0.04
-1 -0.5 2 1
0.5 1 2 0
0.5 1 1.8 4.84
-0.333333333333333 -0.25 2.2 0.64
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.4 0.16
0 0 2.4 0.16
0 0 2.6 0.36
0 0 2.6 0.36
0 0 2.2 0.04
-1 -0.5 2 1
0 0 1.8 0.64
0.5 1 1.6 0.16
0.5 1 1.6 5.76
0.2 0.25 2 9
-1.38095238095238 -0.58 2.6 0.25
-1.1 -0.523809523809524 2.82 3.3124
0.666666666666667 2 2.82 0.0324
0.25 0.333333333333333 3.02 0.9604
0 0 3.02 0.9604
-3 -0.75 2.82 3.3124
0.75 3 2.6 1.96
0 0 3.2 0.64
-3 -0.75 3.4 5.76
0 0 2.8 3.24
0 0 2.2 1.44
0.5 1 2.2 0.04
-1 -0.5 1.8 0.64
0.666666666666667 2 1.2 3.24
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.4 0.16
0.5 1 1 1
0 0 1.2 0.64
0 0 1.4 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.16
0 0 1.8 0.04
-1 -0.5 2 1
0 0 1.8 0.64
0.666666666666667 2 1.6 1.96
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.5 1 1.4 0.36
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 1 0
0.5 1 1 1
-1 -0.5 1.2 0.04
0.5 1 1.2 0.64
-1 -0.5 1.4 0.16
0.5 1 1.4 0.36
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0.8 4 1.4 12.96
-4 -0.8 2.2 1.44
0.666666666666667 2 2 1
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.4 0.16
-1 -0.5 2.4 1.96
0.5 1 2.4 0.16
0 0 1.8 0.04
-1 -0.5 2 1
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.2 0.04
0 0 1 0
0 0 1 0
0.666666666666667 2 1 4
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.4 0.16
0.5 1 1.4 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.16
0 0 1.8 0.04
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.75 3 1.6 5.76
-1 -0.5 2 0
-1 -0.5 2 1
0 0 1.8 0.64
0.5 1 1.8 0.04
-1 -0.5 2 1
0.5 1 1.4 0.36
0 0 1.4 0.36
0.333333333333333 0.5 1.6 1.96
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2 0
-1 -0.5 2 1
0.5 1 2 0
-1 -0.5 2 1
0 0 1.8 0.64
0.5 1 1.4 0.36
0.333333333333333 0.5 1.4 2.56
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.8 0.64
0.666666666666667 2 1.6 1.96
0 0 2 1
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.4 0.16
-1 -0.5 2.4 1.96
0.666666666666667 2 2 1
0 0 2.4 0.36
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.4 1.96
0.5 1 2 0
0.6 1.5 2 9
-0.666666666666667 -0.4 2.8 0.04
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.8 3.24
0 0 2.4 1.96
0 0 2.4 1.96
0 0 2.2 1.44
0 0 1.4 0.16
0 0 1 0
0.5 1 1 1
0.5 1 1.2 7.84
-3 -0.75 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.8 0.64
0.8 4 1.8 10.24
-4 -0.8 2.6 2.56
0.666666666666667 2 2.4 0.36
0.25 0.333333333333333 2.2 3.24
0 0 2.8 1.44
-1 -0.5 3.4 1.96
-1 -0.5 2.8 3.24
0 0 2.8 3.24
0.5 1 2.4 0.16
0.333333333333333 0.5 2 1
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.8 0.64
0 0 1.6 0.36
0.666666666666667 2 1.6 1.96
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2 0
0 0 2 0
0.5 1 1.8 4.84
0 0 2.4 2.56
-0.333333333333333 -0.25 3 0
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 3 1
0.6 1.5 3 4
-1.5 -0.6 3.6 2.56
-1 -0.5 3.2 4.84
0 0 2.6 2.56
0 0 2.2 1.44
0.666666666666667 2 2 1
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.6 0.36
0.5 1 1.4 0.36
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0.666666666666667 2 1.6 1.96
-2 -0.666666666666667 2 1
0.523809523809524 1.1 1.6 0.25
0.3 0.428571428571429 1.82 1.3924
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.02 0.0004
0 0 2.22 0.0484
0.333333333333333 0.5 2.02 0.9604
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.42 2.0164
0 0 2.2 1.44
0 0 1.8 0.64
0.5 1 1.6 0.16
0 0 1.6 0.16
0 0 1.4 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.16
0 0 1.8 0.04
0.047619047619048 0.05 2 0.01
0.58 1.38095238095238 2.02 8.8804
-0.25 -0.2 2.62 1.9044
-3 -0.75 3.02 4.0804
0 0 2.82 3.3124
0.666666666666667 2 2.62 0.1444
-2 -0.666666666666667 2.8 3.24
0 0 2 1
0 0 1.4 0.16
0.5 1 1.4 0.36
-1 -0.5 1.6 0.36
0.5 1 1.2 0.64
0.5 1 1.4 6.76
-0.333333333333333 -0.25 2 1
0 0 2.4 0.36
0 0 2.6 0.16
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 3 1
0.333333333333333 0.5 3 0
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.8 0.64
0.047619047619048 0.05 2.6 0.25
0.475 0.904761904761905 2.42 2.4964
-3 -0.75 2.62 2.6244
0 0 2.42 2.0164
0.666666666666667 2 2.02 0.9604
-0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.22 0.0484
0 0 2.2 0.04
0.6 1.5 1.8 10.24
-4 -0.8 2.6 2.56
0 0 2.6 2.56
0.5 1 2.2 0.04
-1 -0.5 2.2 1.44
0.5 1 2 0
0.333333333333333 0.5 1.4 2.56
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.8 0.64
0.75 3 1.8 4.84
-3 -0.75 2.2 1.44
0 0 2.2 1.44
0 0 2 1
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1.6 0.36
0 0 1 0
0 0 1 0
0 0 1 0
0 0 1 0
0.666666666666667 2 1 4
-2 -0.666666666666667 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.4 0.16
0 0 1.4 0.16
MEDIA MOVIL N = 5
MAD MAPE MAPE' α=
0.93952 -0.304201523809524 0.058692598640503 PRONOSTICO
PROMEDIOS
1.83448275862069
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 1.89184070715151
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 1.84795104892737
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.80622130792115
0 0 0 1.81575763038128
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.82482464713453
3.6 0.72 2.57142857142857 1.78423301281318
0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364 1.9424887560915
0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 1.99453146583906
0.4 0.133333333333333 0.153846153846154 1.99480058575407
0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.04426890266828
1.2 -0.6 -0.375 2.09130276295265
0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.0868095311134
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.08253742218115
0.1 -0.047619047619048 -0.045454545454546 2.02926311311072
0.98 0.326666666666667 0.485148514851485 2.03274424798662
2.98 0.596 1.47524752475248 2.0803452646601
1.62 -1.62 -0.618320610687023 2.22402860120107
1.42 -1.42 -0.586776859504132 2.16379116582443
0.42 -0.21 -0.173553719008264 2.10651816168509
1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.10127614293271
0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.19471697881347
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.18513448097273
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.22523600228922
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.21415158880486
1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.15440022531849
1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.24522669542665
2.2 0.44 0.785714285714286 2.33158337322909
2.2 -2.2 -0.6875 2.46290266916331
2 -2 -0.666666666666667 2.39090965779938
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.32245959826301
0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.3065905742934
0.1 -0.047619047619048 -0.045454545454546 2.29150250373037
0.62 -0.62 -0.382716049382716 2.28207819805516
1.38 0.46 0.851851851851852 2.21898400031552
1.02 -1.02 -0.504950495049505 2.25741970415688
0.82 -0.82 -0.45054945054945 2.19553901109453
0.62 -0.62 -0.382716049382716 2.13670361799146
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.08076365820297
0.4 0.2 0.25 2.0767890814349
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.07301010329172
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.02020465684047
1.6 0.533333333333333 1.14285714285714 1.96999789530967
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.02068681316519
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.01966876459185
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 2.0187008166739
1 -1 -0.5 2.0177805038358
0 0 0 1.96769304079184
2.2 0.55 1.22222222222222 1.96928294511728
0.8 0.266666666666667 0.363636363636364 2.06921948846415
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.11502546951596
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.10936478537848
0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.10398267732541
0.6 -0.3 -0.230769230769231 2.0988654359476
0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.09400002650943
1 -1 -0.5 2.0893740557464
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.03576329924968
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.98479085894655
2.4 0.6 1.5 1.98553933790402
3 0.6 1.5 2.08467586447923
0.5 -0.238095238095238 -0.192307692307692 2.2281460816319
1.82 -1.82 -0.645390070921986 2.22183970014417
0.18 0.06 0.063829787234043 2.16170998593175
0.98 0.245 0.324503311258278 2.2029642838295
0.98 0.245 0.324503311258278 2.29140079807118
1.82 -1.82 -0.645390070921986 2.37548513556932
1.4 0.35 0.538461538461538 2.30779415442388
0.8 0.2 0.25 2.39107173483895
2.4 -2.4 -0.705882352941176 2.47025102223729
1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.39789638048091
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.32910248726646
0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.26369410946623
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.25071707864964
1.8 0.6 1.5 2.18916623814992
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.22906934685401
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.16858384407909
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.11107498054369
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.05639626856471
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.00440842947553
1 0.5 1 1.9549790388527
0.8 0.4 0.666666666666667 1.95719463024905
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 1.95930118698442
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.96130407492064
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.96320839585237
1 -1 -0.5 1.96501900050252
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.9175280598309
1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875 1.87237426427736
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.92786747931987
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.88220485569426
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 1.83878940124189
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.84672296832945
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.80505366416727
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.76543500817964
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.72776608296417
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.69195093751017
0 0 0 1.65789834279043
1 0.5 1 1.62552155938083
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.64395055756323
0.8 0.4 0.666666666666667 1.61226017871187
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.63134180180865
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 1.60027193060653
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.61994352465645
3.6 0.72 2.57142857142857 1.58943459049673
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 1.75727683964938
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.72000939782176
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.78300085987237
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 1.79367991726319
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.75462099112456
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.76669669113305
1 -1 -0.5 1.77817811646677
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.73988207178596
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.70347066894635
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.66885116012242
0.2 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.63593536183557
0 0 0 1.60463943033144
0 0 0 1.57488364801147
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.54659222037473
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.61811796504702
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.58769887113195
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 1.55877677508289
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.58049044702776
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.60113553617212
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.62076463008406
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.59021528732189
2.4 0.6 1.5 1.56116935228943
0 0 0 1.68119016176388
1 -1 -0.5 1.69687957213333
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.66258442727275
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.62997703020683
1 -1 -0.5 1.64818676379387
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 1.61628791089312
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 1.63517131945737
1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875 1.65312542939089
0 0 0 1.7194084147949
1 -1 -0.5 1.73321701164014
0 0 0 1.69713361268002
1 -1 -0.5 1.71203840691117
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.67699725878774
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 1.64368057110057
1.6 0.533333333333333 1.14285714285714 1.66121591998924
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.72710075260164
1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875 1.69131834967889
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.75572176824481
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 1.81695573737132
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 1.82596379235496
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 1.7853160979166
0.6 0.2 0.25 1.84509365783881
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 1.90192941811741
0 0 0 1.85754326979961
3 0.6 1.5 1.86455391323637
0.2 0.066666666666667 0.071428571428572 2.01885686893776
1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.06714131743398
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 2.01462468826078
1.4 -1.4 -0.583333333333333 1.96469253060475
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 1.91721765631374
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.87207913647498
0 0 0 1.82916199338275
1 0.5 1 1.78835690766486
2.8 0.7 2.33333333333333 1.79877238086944
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.90710016530728
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 1.86245955189823
3.2 0.64 1.77777777777778 1.82001581204488
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 1.97651059642551
0.6 0.2 0.25 1.928454126267
1.8 0.45 0.818181818181818 1.98118751440741
1.2 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.0805382048399
1.4 -0.7 -0.411764705882353 2.17499960527648
1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.16638744751854
1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.10898667401939
0.4 -0.2 -0.166666666666667 2.05441073270213
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.05173304772669
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.09839957921241
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.04434465467419
1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875 1.99294990492313
0 0 0 2.04250929835863
0 0 0 2.0404173120192
2.2 0.55 1.22222222222222 2.03842827743417
1.6 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.13496201019071
0 0 0 2.22674508231491
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.26479884436591
2 0.4 0.666666666666667 2.2517674468482
1.6 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.38701467935406
2.2 -2.2 -0.6875 2.36796874226197
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.30064766117904
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.23663961483015
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.17578156068874
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.21634336204333
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.15648413604567
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.1487831697257
1.4 0.466666666666667 0.875 2.09224874570961
1 -1 -0.5 2.13692140079686
0.5 0.238095238095238 0.3125 2.08097072338489
1.18 0.393333333333333 0.648351648351648 2.08190720053848
0.02 -0.01 -0.00990099009901 2.1270887883078
0.22 -0.11 -0.099099099099099 2.12083443880545
0.98 0.326666666666667 0.485148514851485 2.11488788110927
1.42 -1.42 -0.586776859504132 2.15844640908031
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.10143643346715
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.04723205791796
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.99569521200498
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.9959070611304
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 1.99610848464323
0.4 0.2 0.25 1.99629999561331
0.2 0.1 0.111111111111111 1.99648208186106
0.1 0.047619047619048 0.05 1.99665520720009
2.98 0.596 1.47524752475248 2.00174105672328
1.38 0.345 0.526717557251908 2.1492926982134
2.02 -2.02 -0.66887417218543 2.24037052219812
1.82 -1.82 -0.645390070921986 2.17932886099781
0.38 0.126666666666667 0.145038167938931 2.12129120895074
1.8 -1.8 -0.642857142857143 2.16453461352787
1 -1 -0.5 2.10722502251226
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.05273577636594
0.6 0.3 0.428571428571429 2.00092807903329
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.00088240599858
0.8 0.4 0.666666666666667 1.95162653959824
2.6 0.65 1.85714285714286 1.95400711566651
1 0.333333333333333 0.5 2.05469541986967
0.6 0.2 0.25 2.10121616579094
0.4 0.133333333333333 0.153846153846154 2.1454475122461
1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.18750212617139
0 0 0 2.17827468884096
0.8 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 2.21871379727333
0.5 -0.238095238095238 -0.192307692307692 2.20795035741882
1.58 0.395 0.652892561983471 2.20263785681832
1.62 -1.62 -0.618320610687023 2.29109043533004
1.42 -1.42 -0.586776859504132 2.22755272339482
0.98 0.326666666666667 0.485148514851485 2.16714185736247
0.22 -0.11 -0.099099099099099 2.20812883960767
0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.19788631135826
3.2 0.64 1.77777777777778 2.1881478429265
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.3265259514398
1.6 -1.6 -0.615384615384615 2.26124437125705
0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091 2.1991754569905
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.18937354655532
0 0 0 2.13084157101241
1.6 0.533333333333333 1.14285714285714 2.12440253791245
0.8 -0.8 -0.444444444444444 2.16749282639647
2.2 0.55 1.22222222222222 2.11003765450446
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.2030473150135
1.2 -1.2 -0.545454545454546 2.14384241994646
1 -1 -0.5 2.08755114228761
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 2.03403009581201
0.6 -0.6 -0.375 1.98314295068087
0 0 0 1.93476008617956
0 0 0 1.88875826054522
0 0 0 1.84502029704296
0 0 0 1.80343478549108
2 0.666666666666667 2 1.76389579847487
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.82472750362057
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.78414064996867
0.4 -0.4 -0.285714285714286 1.74555117445941
α= 0.049212441047157
ECM MAD MAPE MAPE'
1.2516846284007 0.889339631726737 -0.319089106429897 -0.000551593266043
0.795379846932513 0.891840707151514 -0.891840707151514 -0.471414270651957

0.719020981377019 0.847951048927365 -0.847951048927365 -0.458860124795813
0.037550181503789 0.193778692078848 0.096889346039424 0.107284025068819
0.033945250762722 0.184242369618723 0.092121184809361 0.101468591697469
0.680335698520597 0.824824647134527 -0.824824647134527 -0.452002140824724
10.3411573158806 3.21576698718682 0.643153397437365 1.80232456416472
1.1183300309929 1.0575112439085 0.352503747969499 0.544410484020677
2.99048658694158E-05 0.005468534160944 0.002734267080472 0.002741763794959
1.01042586240037 1.00519941424593 0.335066471415312 0.503909724823925
0.913421930406893 0.95573109733172 0.318577032443907 0.467517309530196
0.008336194522788 0.091302762952652 -0.045651381476326 -0.043658318905362
0.007535894692129 0.086809531113402 -0.043404765556701 -0.041599163612736
1.17188727042261 1.08253742218115 -1.08253742218115 -0.519816551986544
0.005003707166787 0.070736886889279 0.033684231852038 0.03485841063796
0.935583689802971 0.967255752013381 0.32241858400446 0.475837406978976
8.52438377359269 2.9196547353399 0.58393094706798 1.40344719933637
1.49824601655825 1.22402860120107 -1.22402860120107 -0.550365494643388
1.35440987765098 1.16379116582443 -1.16379116582443 -0.537848191732038
0.011346118768771 0.10651816168509 -0.053259080842545 -0.050565983062725
3.60515228539648 1.89872385706729 0.474680964266822 0.903605108473404
0.037914701838244 0.194716978813466 -0.097358489406733 -0.088720769326137
0.664005814099587 0.814865519027273 0.271621839675758 0.372913212492318
0.050731256727229 0.225236002289218 -0.112618001144609 -0.101218927815974
1.47416408059737 1.21415158880486 -1.21415158880486 -0.548359739660024
3.40623852830444 1.84559977468151 0.461399943670377 0.856665234709892
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α=
S S^[2] PRONOSTICO ECM
PROMEDIOS 1.24802807916203
a1(0) 1.4
b1(0) 2.24
b2(0) 0.028965517241379
τ 1
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ECM MAD MAPE MAPE'
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D 3
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0.524058509990831 0.723918855943697 0.241306285314566 0.318054941860979
0.129840307867487 0.360333606353178 -0.180166803176589 -0.152662151393891
7.7576555178771 2.78525681363085 0.557051362726171 1.25759809569479
0.287932053208949 0.536593005180788 -0.268296502590394 -0.211540836107661
0.970028608993107 0.98490030408824 -0.98490030408824 -0.496196359111674
1.4020317289273 1.18407420752557 -1.18407420752557 -0.542140099198853
0.704441081555019 0.839309884104208 -0.839309884104208 -0.456317824069637
1.62718484444443 1.27561155703625 0.425203852345415 0.739747220089121
1.03138096843465 1.01556928293182 -1.01556928293182 -0.503862254466681
0.075961730371944 0.275611557036245 0.137805778518123 0.159831480059414
1.20960787127789 1.09982174522869 -1.09982174522869 -0.52376909979514
1.62718484444443 1.27561155703625 0.425203852345415 0.739747220089121
1.27800927721345 1.13049072407227 -1.13049072407227 -0.530624569869717
0.141084041779193 0.375611557036245 0.178862646207736 0.217823054062385
0.784321390032498 0.885619212772904 0.295206404257635 0.418855117357715
0.000242402571011 0.015569282931818 -0.007784641465909 -0.007724508933362
1.30144299731967E-05 0.003607551797715 0.001803775898858 0.001807035385735
0.810320890363116 0.900178254771307 0.300059418257102 0.428692700614579
1.27800927721345 1.13049072407227 -1.13049072407227 -0.530624569869717
0.704441081555019 0.839309884104208 -0.839309884104208 -0.456317824069637
0.910557422078183 0.954231325244662 -0.954231325244662 -0.488289852341404
0.075961730371944 0.275611557036245 0.137805778518123 0.159831480059414
0.016905496080351 0.130021137052214 0.065010568526107 0.069530805737158
0.016905496080351 0.130021137052214 0.065010568526107 0.069530805737158
0.000228000816628 0.015099695911761 0.00754984795588 0.007607281776651
0.000228000816628 0.015099695911761 0.00754984795588 0.007607281776651
0.01324793999898 0.115099695911761 0.0548093790056 0.057987645865484
9.0032442157868 3.00054065391336 0.600108130782671 1.50067600013276
2.49112065175888 1.57832843595967 0.394582108989916 0.65175164931382
1.6578449724098 1.28757328817035 -1.28757328817035 -0.562855535526985
1.4020317289273 1.18407420752557 -1.18407420752557 -0.542140099198853
0.866476572328485 0.930847233614885 0.310282411204962 0.449868781434205
1.03138096843465 1.01556928293182 -1.01556928293182 -0.503862254466681
0.524738616299453 0.724388442963755 -0.724388442963755 -0.420084259970293
0.910557422078183 0.954231325244662 -0.954231325244662 -0.488289852341404
0.075961730371944 0.275611557036245 0.137805778518123 0.159831480059414
0.756863221975923 0.869978862947786 -0.869978862947786 -0.465234597131421
0.075961730371944 0.275611557036245 0.137805778518123 0.159831480059414
4.06062678446367 2.01509969591176 0.50377492397794 1.0152145635533
0.703653044012226 0.83884029708415 0.279613432361383 0.388143595289317
0.756046380924363 0.869509275927729 0.289836425309243 0.408126290390848
0.409173095161131 0.639666393646822 0.213222131215607 0.271006772909163
0.060227130834398 0.245412165212724 -0.122706082606362 -0.109294929908547
0.810320890363116 0.900178254771307 0.300059418257102 0.428692700614579
0.060227130834398 0.245412165212724 -0.122706082606362 -0.109294929908547
0.01324793999898 0.115099695911761 0.0548093790056 0.057987645865484
3.55555981557831 1.8856192127729 0.471404803193226 0.89180682314362
1.62838308621604 1.2760811440563 -1.2760811440563 -0.560648352713007
0.723864091220294 0.850802028218254 -0.850802028218254 -0.459693697784258
0.866476572328485 0.930847233614885 0.310282411204962 0.449868781434205
0.000242402571011 0.015569282931818 -0.007784641465909 -0.007724508933362
0.016905496080351 0.130021137052214 0.065010568526107 0.069530805737158
8.41103390944834 2.90017825477131 0.580035650954261 1.3811545010243
2.02115003600089 1.42167156404033 -1.42167156404033 -0.587062087671545
0.704441081555019 0.839309884104208 -0.839309884104208 -0.456317824069637
0.033883313876166 0.184074207525568 -0.092037103762784 -0.084280198397706
0.756863221975923 0.869978862947786 -0.869978862947786 -0.465234597131421
0.075961730371944 0.275611557036245 0.137805778518123 0.159831480059414
1.03042739264015 1.01509969591176 0.33836656530392 0.511410922664977
1.03138096843465 1.01556928293182 -1.01556928293182 -0.503862254466681
4.66858177692977 2.16069011589579 0.540172528973948 1.17472870372145
1.93488819202406 1.39100258519676 -1.39100258519676 -0.581765404106533
0.524738616299453 0.724388442963755 -0.724388442963755 -0.420084259970293
1.14308763786894 1.06915276638511 -1.06915276638511 -0.516710406188598
0.524738616299453 0.724388442963755 -0.724388442963755 -0.420084259970293
0.524738616299453 0.724388442963755 -0.724388442963755 -0.420084259970293
0.524738616299453 0.724388442963755 -0.724388442963755 -0.420084259970293
0.524738616299453 0.724388442963755 -0.724388442963755 -0.420084259970293
0.524738616299453 0.724388442963755 -0.724388442963755 -0.420084259970293
0.524738616299453 0.724388442963755 -0.724388442963755 -0.420084259970293
1.62718484444443 1.27561155703625 0.425203852345415 0.739747220089121
1.03138096843465 1.01556928293182 -1.01556928293182 -0.503862254466681
0.524738616299453 0.724388442963755 -0.724388442963755 -0.420084259970293
0.910557422078183 0.954231325244662 -0.954231325244662 -0.488289852341404
PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION RESIDUOS(^2)
1 1 1.99280122013218 0.985654262695948
2 1 1.99259168757619 0.985238258245349
3 2.1 1.9923821550202 0.011581600558097
4 2 1.99217262246421 6.12678390878211E-05
5 2.1 1.99196308990822 0.01167197394218
6 1 1.99175355735223 0.983575118520795
7 2 1.99154402479623 7.15035166466915E-05
8 3 1.99133449224024 1.01740610654425
9 1 1.99112495968425 0.982328685709111
10 1 1.99091542712826 0.981913383720785
11 2 1.99070589457227 8.63803957017481E-05
12 1 1.99049636201628 0.981083043167484
13 1 1.99028682946029 0.98066800460251
14 1 1.9900772969043 0.98025305384532
15 3 1.98986776434831 1.02036713350269
16 2 1.98965823179232 0.000106952169661
17 3 1.98944869923632 1.02121393147516
18 3 1.98923916668033 1.02163746217307
19 1 1.98902963412434 0.97817961717613
20 2 1.98882010156835 0.000124990128942
21 1 1.98861056901236 0.977350857162942
22 2 1.98840103645637 0.000134535955286
23 1 1.98819150390038 0.976522448380891
24 1 1.98798197134439 0.976108375701541
25 2 1.9877724387884 0.000149513253184
26 4 1.9875629062324 4.04990305637176
27 1 1.98735337367641 0.974866684510196
28 3 1.98714384112042 1.02587759858029
29 3 1.98693430856443 1.02630209516383
30 1 3
31 1 1
32 2 1
33 2 2
34 1 2
35 5 1
36 3 5
37 2 3
38 3 2
39 3 3
40 2 3
41 2 2
42 1 2
43 2.1 1
44 3 2.1
45 5 3
46 1 5
47 1 1
48 2 1
49 4 2
50 2 4
51 3 2
52 2 3
53 1 2
54 4 1
55 4 4
56 5 4
57 1 5
58 1 1
59 2 1
60 2 2
61 2.1 2
62 1 2.1
63 3 1
64 1 3
65 1 1
66 1 1
67 2 1
68 2 2
69 1 2
70 1 1
71 3 1
72 2 3
73 2 2
74 2 2
75 1 2
76 2 1
77 4 2
78 3 4
79 2 3
80 2 2
81 2 2
82 2 2
83 2 2
84 1 2
85 1 1
86 2 1
87 4 2
88 5 4
89 2.1 5
90 1 2.1
91 3 1
92 4 3
93 4 4
94 1 4
95 4 1
96 4 4
97 1 4
98 1 1
99 1 1
100 2 1
101 1 2
102 3 1
103 1 3
104 1 1
105 1 1
106 1 1
107 1 1
108 2 1
109 2 2
110 2 2
111 2 2
112 2 2
113 1 2
114 1 1
115 3 1
116 1 3
117 1 1
118 2 1
119 1 2
120 1 1
121 1 1
122 1 1
123 1 1
124 1 1
125 2 1
126 1 2
127 2 1
128 1 2
129 2 1
130 1 2
131 5 1
132 1 5
133 3 1
134 2 3
135 1 2
136 2 1
137 2 2
138 1 2
139 1 1
140 1 1
141 1 1
142 1 1
143 1 1
144 1 1
145 3 1
146 1 3
147 1 1
148 2 1
149 2 2
150 2 2
151 1 2
152 1 1
153 4 1
154 2 4
155 1 2
156 1 1
157 2 1
158 1 2
159 2 1
160 2 2
161 3 2
162 2 3
163 1 2
164 2 1
165 1 2
166 1 1
167 2 1
168 3 2
169 1 3
170 3 1
171 3 3
172 2 3
173 1 2
174 3 1
175 3 3
176 1 3
177 2 1
178 5 2
179 3 5
180 1 3
181 1 1
182 1 1
183 1 1
184 1 1
185 1 1
186 2 1
187 4 2
188 1 4
189 1 1
190 5 1
191 1 5
192 3 1
193 4 3
194 4 4
195 2 4
196 1 2
197 1 1
198 2 1
199 3 2
200 1 3
201 1 1
202 3 1
203 2 3
204 2 2
205 4 2
206 4 4
207 3 4
208 2 3
209 5 2
210 2 5
211 1 2
212 1 1
213 1 1
214 3 1
215 1 3
216 2 1
217 1 2
218 3 1
219 1 3
220 2.1 1
221 3 2.1
222 2 3
223 2 2
224 3 2
225 1 3
226 1 1
227 1 1
228 2 1
229 2 2
230 2 2
231 2 2
232 2 2
233 2.1 2
234 5 2.1
235 4 5
236 1 4
237 1 1
238 3 1
239 1 3
240 1 1
241 1 1
242 2 1
243 1 2
244 2 1
245 4 2
246 3 4
247 3 3
248 3 3
249 2 3
250 3 2
251 2 3
252 2.1 2
253 4 2.1
254 1 4
255 1 1
256 3 1
257 2 3
258 2 2
259 5 2
260 1 5
261 1 1
262 2 1
263 1 2
264 2 1
265 3 2
266 1 3
267 4 1
268 1 4
269 1 1
270 1 1
271 1 1
272 1 1
273 1 1
274 1 1
275 1 1
276 1 1
277 3 1
278 1 3
279 1 1
280 1 1
w 0.1
ECMS PROMEDIO
0.978130134348899
a1(0) 1.99301075268817
b1(0) 1.99196308990822
b2(0) -0.000209532555991
τ 1
4 1.1650146 2.6
0 0.7650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 1.8
0 0.7650146 2
1 0.8650146 1.8
16 2.3650146 1.4
4 1.1650146 2.2
1 0.8650146 2.6
1 0.8650146 2.6
0 0.7650146 2.8
1 0.8650146 3.2
0 0.7650146 2.6
1 0.8650146 2.4
1.21 0.8860146 2.2
0.81 0.8460146 2.02
4 1.1650146 2.02
16 2.3650146 2.62
0 0.7650146 2.42
1 0.8650146 2.42
4 1.1650146 2.4
4 1.1650146 2.6
1 0.8650146 2
1 0.8650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 2.6
9 1.6650146 2.4
0 0.7650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 2.8
16 2.3650146 3.2
0 0.7650146 3
1 0.8650146 3
0 0.7650146 2.6
0.01 0.7660146 2.2
1.21 0.8860146 1.62
4 1.1650146 1.62
4 1.1650146 2.02
0 0.7650146 1.82
0 0.7650146 1.62
1 0.8650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.6
1 0.8650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.4
4 1.1650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.8
0 0.7650146 1.8
0 0.7650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 2
1 0.8650146 2
4 1.1650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 2.2
1 0.8650146 2.4
0 0.7650146 2.4
0 0.7650146 2.6
0 0.7650146 2.6
0 0.7650146 2.2
1 0.8650146 2
0 0.7650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 1.6
4 1.1650146 1.6
1 0.8650146 2
8.41 1.6060146 2.6
1.21 0.8860146 2.82
4 1.1650146 2.82
1 0.8650146 3.02
0 0.7650146 3.02
9 1.6650146 2.82
9 1.6650146 2.6
0 0.7650146 3.2
9 1.6650146 3.4
0 0.7650146 2.8
0 0.7650146 2.2
1 0.8650146 2.2
1 0.8650146 1.8
4 1.1650146 1.2
4 1.1650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1
0 0.7650146 1.2
0 0.7650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 2
0 0.7650146 1.8
4 1.1650146 1.6
4 1.1650146 1.8
0 0.7650146 1.6
1 0.8650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.2
0 0.7650146 1.2
0 0.7650146 1.2
0 0.7650146 1
1 0.8650146 1
1 0.8650146 1.2
1 0.8650146 1.2
1 0.8650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.6
16 2.3650146 1.4
16 2.3650146 2.2
4 1.1650146 2
1 0.8650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 2.4
0 0.7650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 2
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.2
0 0.7650146 1
0 0.7650146 1
4 1.1650146 1
4 1.1650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.6
9 1.6650146 1.6
4 1.1650146 2
1 0.8650146 2
0 0.7650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 2
1 0.8650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.6
1 0.8650146 2
1 0.8650146 2
1 0.8650146 2
1 0.8650146 2
0 0.7650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.4
4 1.1650146 1.8
4 1.1650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 2
1 0.8650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 2.4
4 1.1650146 2
0 0.7650146 2.4
4 1.1650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 2
9 1.6650146 2
4 1.1650146 2.8
4 1.1650146 2.8
0 0.7650146 2.4
0 0.7650146 2.4
0 0.7650146 2.2
0 0.7650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1
1 0.8650146 1
4 1.1650146 1.2
9 1.6650146 1.8
0 0.7650146 1.8
16 2.3650146 1.8
16 2.3650146 2.6
4 1.1650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 2.2
0 0.7650146 2.8
4 1.1650146 3.4
1 0.8650146 2.8
0 0.7650146 2.8
1 0.8650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 2
4 1.1650146 1.8
0 0.7650146 1.6
4 1.1650146 1.6
1 0.8650146 2
0 0.7650146 2
4 1.1650146 1.8
0 0.7650146 2.4
1 0.8650146 3
1 0.8650146 3
9 1.6650146 3
9 1.6650146 3.6
1 0.8650146 3.2
0 0.7650146 2.6
0 0.7650146 2.2
4 1.1650146 2
4 1.1650146 1.6
1 0.8650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.6
4 1.1650146 1.6
4 1.1650146 2
1.21 0.8860146 1.6
0.81 0.8460146 1.82
1 0.8650146 2.02
0 0.7650146 2.22
1 0.8650146 2.02
4 1.1650146 2.42
0 0.7650146 2.2
0 0.7650146 1.8
1 0.8650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.8
0.01 0.7660146 2
8.41 1.6060146 2.02
1 0.8650146 2.62
9 1.6650146 3.02
0 0.7650146 2.82
4 1.1650146 2.62
4 1.1650146 2.8
0 0.7650146 2
0 0.7650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 1.6
1 0.8650146 1.2
4 1.1650146 1.4
1 0.8650146 2
0 0.7650146 2.4
0 0.7650146 2.6
1 0.8650146 3
1 0.8650146 3
1 0.8650146 2.8
0.01 0.7660146 2.6
3.61 1.1260146 2.42
9 1.6650146 2.62
0 0.7650146 2.42
4 1.1650146 2.02
1 0.8650146 2.22
0 0.7650146 2.2
9 1.6650146 1.8
16 2.3650146 2.6
0 0.7650146 2.6
1 0.8650146 2.2
1 0.8650146 2.2
1 0.8650146 2
1 0.8650146 1.4
4 1.1650146 1.8
9 1.6650146 1.8
9 1.6650146 2.2
0 0.7650146 2.2
0 0.7650146 2
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1.6
0 0.7650146 1
0 0.7650146 1
0 0.7650146 1
0 0.7650146 1
4 1.1650146 1
4 1.1650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.4
0 0.7650146 1.4
MEDIA MOVIL N=5 w
1.99280122013218 0.9856542627 ECMS PROMEDIO
1.99259168757619 0.98523825825 0.90697794311384
1.9923821550202 0.01158160056 a1(0)
1.99217262246421 6.12678391E-05 b1(0)
1.99196308990822 0.01167197394 b2(0)
1.99175355735223 0.98357511852 τ
1.99154402479623 7.15035166E-05
1.99133449224024 1.01740610654
1.99112495968425 0.98232868571
1.99091542712826 0.98191338372
1.99070589457227 8.63803957E-05
1.99049636201628 0.98108304317
1.99028682946029 0.9806680046
1.9900772969043 0.98025305385
1.98986776434831 1.0203671335
1.98965823179232 0.00010695217
1.98944869923632 1.02121393148
1.98923916668033 1.02163746217
1.98902963412434 0.97817961718
1.98882010156835 0.00012499013
1.98861056901236 0.97735085716
1.98840103645637 0.00013453596
1.98819150390038 0.97652244838
1.98798197134439 0.9761083757
1.9877724387884 0.00014951325
1.9875629062324 4.04990305637
1.98735337367641 0.97486668451
1.98714384112042 1.02587759858
1.98693430856443 1.02630209516
2.56 1.02101459650029
1.96 0.961014596500294
0.04 0.769014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
12.96 2.06101459650029
0.64 0.829014596500294
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
1.44 0.909014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
0.01 0.766014596500295
0.9604 0.861054596500295
8.8804 1.65305459650029
2.6244 1.02745459650029
2.0164 0.966654596500295
0.1764 0.782654596500295
2.56 1.02101459650029
0.36 0.801014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
2.56 1.02101459650029
2.56 1.02101459650029
2.56 1.02101459650029
4.84 1.24901459650029
4.84 1.24901459650029
4 1.16501459650029
1 0.865014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.01 0.766014596500295
0.3844 0.803454596500295
1.9044 0.955454596500295
1.0404 0.869054596500295
0.6724 0.832254596500295
0.3844 0.803454596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
2.56 1.02101459650029
0.04 0.769014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
4.84 1.24901459650029
0.64 0.829014596500294
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
5.76 1.34101459650029
9 1.66501459650029
0.25 0.790014596500295
3.3124 1.09625459650029
0.0324 0.768254596500295
0.9604 0.861054596500295
0.9604 0.861054596500295
3.3124 1.09625459650029
1.96 0.961014596500294
0.64 0.829014596500294
5.76 1.34101459650029
3.24 1.08901459650029
1.44 0.909014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
3.24 1.08901459650029
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
0.64 0.829014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
12.96 2.06101459650029
1.44 0.909014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
4 1.16501459650029
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
5.76 1.34101459650029
0 0.765014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
0 0.765014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
2.56 1.02101459650029
0.64 0.829014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
1 0.865014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
1 0.865014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
0 0.765014596500295
9 1.66501459650029
0.04 0.769014596500295
3.24 1.08901459650029
1.96 0.961014596500294
1.96 0.961014596500294
1.44 0.909014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
7.84 1.54901459650029
0.64 0.829014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
10.24 1.78901459650029
2.56 1.02101459650029
0.36 0.801014596500295
3.24 1.08901459650029
1.44 0.909014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
3.24 1.08901459650029
3.24 1.08901459650029
0.16 0.781014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
0 0.765014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
4.84 1.24901459650029
2.56 1.02101459650029
0 0.765014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
4 1.16501459650029
2.56 1.02101459650029
4.84 1.24901459650029
2.56 1.02101459650029
1.44 0.909014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
1.96 0.961014596500294
1 0.865014596500295
0.25 0.790014596500295
1.3924 0.904254596500295
0.0004 0.765054596500295
0.0484 0.769854596500295
0.9604 0.861054596500295
2.0164 0.966654596500295
1.44 0.909014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
0.01 0.766014596500295
8.8804 1.65305459650029
1.9044 0.955454596500294
4.0804 1.17305459650029
3.3124 1.09625459650029
0.1444 0.779454596500295
3.24 1.08901459650029
1 0.865014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500295
6.76 1.44101459650029
1 0.865014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
0.64 0.829014596500294
0.25 0.790014596500295
2.4964 1.01465459650029
2.6244 1.02745459650029
2.0164 0.966654596500295
0.9604 0.861054596500295
0.0484 0.769854596500295
0.04 0.769014596500295
10.24 1.78901459650029
2.56 1.02101459650029
2.56 1.02101459650029
0.04 0.769014596500295
1.44 0.909014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
2.56 1.02101459650029
0.64 0.829014596500295
4.84 1.24901459650029
1.44 0.909014596500295
1.44 0.909014596500295
1 0.865014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0.36 0.801014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
0 0.765014596500295
4 1.16501459650029
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.16 0.781014596500295
0.1 SUAVIZACION EXPONENCIAL SIMPLE
0.8500162183337 PRONOSTICO DEM REGRESION RESIDUOS(^2) ECM
ECMS PROMEDIO 1.9928012201 0.985654262696
0.90697794311384 1.9925916876 0.985238258245
1.9930107526882 1.992382155 0.011581600558
1.9919630899082 1.9921726225 6.12678391E-05
-0.000209532556 1.9919630899 0.011671973942
1 1.9917535574 0.983575118521
1.9915440248 7.15035166E-05
1.9913344922 1.017406106544
1.9911249597 0.982328685709
1.9909154271 0.981913383721
1.9907058946 8.63803957E-05
1.990496362 0.981083043167
1.9902868295 0.980668004603
1.9900772969 0.980253053845
1.9898677643 1.020367133503
1.9896582318 0.00010695217
1.9894486992 1.021213931475
1.9892391667 1.021637462173
1.9890296341 0.978179617176
1.9888201016 0.000124990129
1.988610569 0.977350857163
1.9884010365 0.000134535955
1.9881915039 0.976522448381
1.9879819713 0.976108375702
1.9877724388 0.000149513253
1.9875629062 4.049903056372
1.9873533737 0.97486668451
1.9871438411 1.02587759858
1.9869343086 1.026302095164
1.89184070715 0.795379846933
1.84795104893 0.719020981377
1.80622130792 0.037550181504
1.81575763038 0.033945250763
1.82482464713 0.680335698521
1.78423301281 10.34115731588
1.94248875609 1.118330030993
1.99453146584 2.990486587E-05
1.99480058575 1.0104258624
2.04426890267 0.913421930407
2.09130276295 0.008336194523
2.08680953111 0.007535894692
2.08253742218 1.171887270423
2.02926311311 0.005003707167
2.03274424799 0.935583689803
2.08034526466 8.524383773593
2.2240286012 1.498246016558
2.16379116582 1.354409877651
2.10651816169 0.011346118769
2.10127614293 3.605152285396
2.19471697881 0.037914701838
2.18513448097 0.6640058141
2.22523600229 0.050731256727
2.2141515888 1.474164080597
2.15440022532 3.406238528304
2.24522669543 3.079229350443
2.33158337323 7.120447294027
2.46290266916 2.140084219445
2.3909096578 1.93462967616
2.32245959826 0.103980192512
2.30659057429 0.093997780246
2.29150250373 0.036673208935
2.28207819806 1.643724505928
2.21898400032 0.609985991763
2.25741970416 1.581104312402
2.19553901109 1.429313527049
2.13670361799 1.292095115155
2.0807636582 0.006522768486
2.07678908143 0.005896563028
2.07301010329 1.151350681766
2.02020465684 1.040817541839
1.96999789531 1.060904335667
2.02068681317 0.000427944239
2.01966876459 0.000386860301
2.01870081667 0.000349720544
2.01778050384 1.035877153988
1.96769304079 0.001043739613
1.96928294512 4.123811756992
2.06921948846 0.866352360655
2.11502546952 0.013230858637
2.10936478538 0.011960656281
2.10398267733 0.010812397184
2.09886543595 0.009774374425
2.09400002651 0.008836004984
2.08937405575 1.186735833333
2.03576329925 1.072805612073
1.98479085895 0.000231317972
1.9855393379 4.058051759132
2.08467586448 8.49911481515
2.22814608163 0.016421418238
2.22183970014 1.492892252848
2.16170998593 0.702730147687
2.20296428383 3.229337365192
2.29140079807 2.919311232832
2.37548513557 1.891959358172
2.30779415442 2.863560623802
2.39107173484 2.588650162434
2.47025102224 2.16163806839
2.39789638048 1.954114290562
2.32910248727 1.766513421658
2.26369410947 0.069534583367
2.25071707865 1.564293210826
2.18916623815 0.657451389356
2.22906934685 1.510611459376
2.16858384408 1.365588200643
2.11107498054 1.23448761239
2.05639626856 1.115973076237
2.00440842948 1.008836293202
1.95497903885 0.002026886943
1.95719463025 0.00183229968
1.95930118698 0.001656393381
1.96130407492 0.001497374618
1.96320839585 0.001353622136
1.9650190005 0.931261671331
1.91752805983 0.841857740577
1.87237426428 1.271539799864
1.92786747932 0.860938059179
1.88220485569 0.778285407411
1.83878940124 0.025988857152
1.84672296833 0.716939785097
1.80505366417 0.648111402189
1.76543500818 0.585890751747
1.72776608296 0.529643471513
1.69195093751 0.478796099921
1.65789834279 0.432830229446
1.62552155938 0.140234102489
1.64395055756 0.414672320586
1.61226017871 0.150342169013
1.63134180181 0.398592470711
1.60027193061 0.159782529461
1.61994352466 0.384329973763
1.5894345905 11.6319564125
1.75727683965 0.573468211869
1.72000939782 1.638375941665
1.78300085987 0.047088626816
1.79367991726 0.629927811067
1.75462099112 0.060210857997
1.76669669113 0.054430433928
1.77817811647 0.605561180948
1.73988207179 0.54742548015
1.70347066895 0.494870982068
1.66885116012 0.447361874397
1.63593536184 0.404413784433
1.60463943033 0.365588840712
1.57488364801 0.330491208751
1.54659222037 2.112394173875
1.61811796505 0.382069818714
1.58769887113 0.34538996313
1.55877677508 0.194677934206
1.58049044703 0.175988265035
1.60113553617 0.159092860505
1.62076463008 0.385348725963
1.59021528732 0.348354085388
1.56116935229 5.947894928212
1.68119016176 0.101639712956
1.69687957213 0.485641138057
1.66258442727 0.439018123264
1.62997703021 0.136916998175
1.64818676379 0.420146080758
1.61628791089 0.147234967327
1.63517131946 0.133099966146
1.65312542939 1.814071108953
1.71940841479 0.078731637688
1.73321701164 0.537607186158
1.69713361268 0.091728048568
1.71203840691 0.506998692917
1.67699725879 0.458325288406
1.6436805711 0.126963535411
1.66121591999 1.79234281289
1.7271007526 0.528675504434
1.69131834968 1.712647661887
1.75572176824 1.54822831802
1.81695573737 0.033505202081
1.82596379235 0.682216186281
1.78531609792 1.475456981981
1.84509365784 1.333808659164
1.90192941812 0.813476675266
1.8575432698 0.020293919979
1.86455391324 9.831022163001
2.01885686894 0.962641843631
2.06714131743 1.138790591375
2.01462468826 1.029463258028
1.9646925306 0.930631678605
1.91721765631 0.841288229054
1.87207913647 0.760522020275
1.82916199338 0.68750961127
1.78835690766 0.044792798533
1.79877238087 4.845403031223
1.90710016531 0.8228307099
1.8624595519 0.74383647866
1.82001581204 10.11229943564
1.97651059643 0.953572944931
1.92845412627 1.148210559514
1.98118751441 4.075603851985
2.08053820484 3.684333583079
2.17499960528 0.030624861847
2.16638744752 1.360459677729
2.10898667402 1.229851443153
2.0544107327 0.002960527833
2.05173304773 0.899210212774
2.09839957921 1.206481635614
2.04434465467 1.090655757747
1.99294990492 1.014149893994
2.04250929836 0.001807040447
2.04041731202 0.001633559111
2.03842827743 3.84776362277
2.13496201019 3.478366703432
2.22674508231 0.597923167724
2.26479884437 0.070118427978
2.25176744685 7.552782166203
2.38701467935 0.149780362036
2.36796874226 1.871338479806
2.30064766118 1.691684338531
2.23663961483 1.529277536967
2.17578156069 0.679336035701
2.21634336204 1.479491174387
2.15648413605 0.024487284834
2.14878316973 1.319702771045
2.09224874571 0.824012339666
2.1369214008 1.29259027159
2.08097072338 0.000362113368
2.08190720054 0.842894388423
2.12708878831 0.016151560114
2.12083443881 0.014600961601
2.11488788111 0.783423463007
2.15844640908 1.341998082711
2.10143643347 1.213162216969
2.04723205792 1.096694983131
1.995695212 1.853119968E-05
1.99590706113 1.675214859E-05
1.99610848464 1.514389177E-05
1.99629999561 1.369003246E-05
1.99648208186 1.237574803E-05
1.9966552072 0.010680146199
2.00174105672 8.989556690939
2.14929269821 3.425117516886
2.2403705222 1.538519032338
2.179328861 1.390816562382
2.12129120895 0.772129139467
2.16453461353 1.356140866105
2.10722502251 1.225947250477
2.05273577637 1.108252614841
2.00092807903 8.61330692E-07
2.000882406 1.001765590638
1.9516265396 0.002339991671
1.95400711567 4.186086882743
2.05469541987 0.893600749215
2.10121616579 0.807812380636
2.14544751225 0.730259954326
2.18750212617 0.035157047319
2.17827468884 0.675232486999
2.21871379727 0.047835725118
2.20795035742 0.011653279667
2.20263785682 3.230510673743
2.29109043533 1.666914512201
2.22755272339 1.506885688714
2.16714185736 0.693652685758
2.20812883961 0.043317613876
2.19788631136 0.039158992223
2.18814784293 7.906512553239
2.32652595144 1.759671099843
2.26124437126 1.590737364028
2.19917545699 0.039670862667
2.18937354656 1.414609433246
2.13084157101 0.017119516705
2.12440253791 0.766670915614
2.1674928264 1.363039499687
2.1100376545 3.571957667391
2.20304731501 1.447322842161
2.14384241995 1.308375481669
2.08755114229 1.182767487091
2.03403009581 1.069218239045
1.98314295068 0.966570061473
1.93476008618 0.873776418714
1.88875826055 0.789891245687
1.84502029704 0.714059302415
1.80343478549 0.645507454537
1.76389579847 1.527953597028
1.82472750362 0.680175455228
1.78414064997 0.614876558933
1.74555117446 0.555846553738
SIMPLE w 0.1 SUAVIZACION EXPONE
ECMS ECMS(0) 0.850016218334 PRONOSTICODEM REGRESION
0.890183059340365 1.99259168758
a1(0) 1.993010752688 1.99238215502
b1(0) 1.991963089908 1.99217262246
b2(0) -0.000209532556 1.99196308991
τ 1 1.99175355735
1.9915440248
1.99133449224
1.99112495968
1.99091542713
1.99070589457
1.99049636202
1.99028682946
1.9900772969
1.98986776435
1.98965823179
1.98944869924
1.98923916668
1.98902963412
1.98882010157
1.98861056901
1.98840103646
1.9881915039
1.98798197134
1.98777243879
1.98756290623
1.98735337368
1.98714384112
1.98693430856
0.844552581193546 2.26896552
0.836916694637996 2.20651663
0.768769614650673 2.147141
0.768409121576567 2.13989983
0.833048166352354 2.13301502
1.79913032808836 2.07725658
0.876847599599584 2.22109192
0.765017586986881 2.25942389
0.866057182740332 2.24665701
0.856356789540984 2.28373085
0.765848215952573 2.31898021
0.765768185969507 2.30328241
0.882203323542556 2.28835714
0.765514967216973 2.22495394
0.858572965480592 2.21880466
1.61745297385956 2.25724919
0.914839198156119 2.39222665
0.900455584265393 2.32371178
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1.5907455978439 0.92408915628469
0.0396720989679 0.76898180639709
1.4146164524383 0.90647624174412
0.0171202508845 0.76672662158874
0.766666244299 0.8416812209302
1.363045421757 0.90131913867599
3.5719485524222 1.12220945174251
1.4473283587286 0.90974743237315
1.3083804686292 0.89585264336322
1.1827719952881 0.88329179602911
1.0692223144415 0.87193682794444
0.9665737456196 0.86167197106226
0.8737797491714 0.85239257141744
0.7898942564104 0.84400402214134
0.7140620240991 0.83642079891021
0.6455099149317 0.82956558799347
1.5279499979436 0.91780959629465
0.680177738363 0.83303237033659
0.6148786228802 0.82650245878832
0.5558484195396 0.82059943845426
METODO AUTOREGRESIVO AR(D) w 0.1
PRONOSTICODEM REGRESION
1.99280122 0.98565426 ECMS PROMEDIO
1.99259169 0.98523826 0.885211794800781
1.99238216 0.0115816 a1(0) 1.99301075
1.99217262 6.12678E-05 b1(0) 1.99196309
1.99196309 0.01167197 b2(0) -0.00020953
1.99175356 0.98357512 τ 1
1.99154402 7.15035E-05
1.99133449 1.01740611
1.99112496 0.98232869
1.99091543 0.98191338
1.99070589 8.63804E-05
1.99049636 0.98108304
1.99028683 0.980668
1.9900773 0.98025305
1.98986776 1.02036713
1.98965823 0.00010695
1.9894487 1.02121393
1.98923917 1.02163746
1.98902963 0.97817962
1.9888201 0.00012499
1.98861057 0.97735086
1.98840104 0.00013454
1.9881915 0.97652245
1.98798197 0.97610838
1.98777244 0.00014951
1.98756291 4.04990306
1.98735337 0.97486668
1.98714384 1.0258776
1.98693431 1.0263021
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.95423133 0.91055742 0.85607034
1.95423133 0.00209477 0.76522407
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.83930988 9.98996201 1.7640108
2.42167156 0.33446378 0.79846097
2.01556928 0.0002424 0.76503884
2.32966463 0.44934951 0.80994955
2.24541217 0.5694028 0.82195488
2.13049072 0.01702783 0.76671738
2.09982175 0.00996438 0.76601103
2.09982175 1.20960787 0.88597538
1.83930988 0.06795934 0.77181053
1.99945935 1.0010816 0.86512276
2.01556928 8.9068267 1.65569727
2.43316371 2.05395821 0.97041042
1.95423133 0.91055742 0.85607034
2.18407421 0.03388331 0.76840293
1.86997886 4.53699004 1.2187136
2.1611597 0.02597245 0.76761184
1.9849003 1.03042739 0.86805734
2.36033361 0.12984031 0.77799863
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
1.95423133 4.18516947 1.18353154
2.27608114 2.97189622 1.06220422
2.1611597 8.05901423 1.57091602
2.65151445 2.72749997 1.03776459
2.06915277 1.14308764 0.87932336
2.18407421 0.03388331 0.76840293
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
1.86997886 0.05290972 0.77030557
1.99945935 0.99891898 0.86490649
1.83930988 1.34720155 0.89973475
2.14198287 1.30412487 0.89542708
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.95423133 0.91055742 0.85607034
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.83930988 1.34720155 0.89973475
2.01556928 0.0002424 0.76503884
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
2.09982175 0.00996438 0.76601103
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
1.83930988 0.02582131 0.76759673
1.9849003 4.06062678 1.17107727
2.1611597 0.70365304 0.8353799
2.13049072 0.01702783 0.76671738
2.21474319 0.04611464 0.76962606
2.09982175 0.00996438 0.76601103
1.9849003 0.000228 0.7650374
1.9849003 0.000228 0.7650374
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.83930988 0.02582131 0.76759673
1.86997886 4.53699004 1.2187136
2.1611597 8.05901423 1.57091602
2.42167156 0.1034726 0.77536186
2.22930223 1.51118397 0.91613299
2.18407421 0.6657349 0.83158809
2.14198287 3.45222766 1.11023736
2.1611597 3.38133364 1.10314796
2.39100259 1.93488819 0.95850342
2.06915277 3.72817104 1.1378317
2.50592403 2.23226302 0.9882409
2.1611597 1.34829186 0.89984378
2.06915277 1.14308764 0.87932336
2.06915277 1.14308764 0.87932336
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.72438844 1.62718484 0.92773308
2.13049072 1.27800928 0.89281552
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.95423133 0.91055742 0.85607034
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
1.9849003 0.000228 0.7650374
1.9849003 0.000228 0.7650374
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.83930988 1.34720155 0.89973475
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.95423133 0.00209477 0.76522407
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
1.72438844 10.7296311 1.8379777
2.42167156 2.02115004 0.9671296
1.72438844 1.62718484 0.92773308
2.47525505 0.22586736 0.78760133
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.95423133 0.00209477 0.76522407
1.9849003 0.000228 0.7650374
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 1.62718484 0.92773308
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.95423133 0.00209477 0.76522407
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.83930988 4.66858178 1.23187277
2.1611597 0.02597245 0.76761184
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
2.06915277 1.14308764 0.87932336
1.83930988 0.02582131 0.76759673
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.9849003 0.000228 0.7650374
1.86997886 1.27694777 0.89270937
2.13049072 0.01702783 0.76671738
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
1.95423133 0.00209477 0.76522407
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.83930988 0.02582131 0.76759673
1.86997886 1.27694777 0.89270937
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.83930988 1.34720155 0.89973475
2.24541217 0.5694028 0.82195488
2.01556928 0.0002424 0.76503884
2.09982175 1.20960787 0.88597538
1.95423133 1.09363212 0.87437781
2.13049072 0.75604638 0.84061923
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.95423133 0.00209477 0.76522407
2.09982175 8.41103391 1.60611799
2.30675012 0.48059539 0.81307414
2.13049072 1.27800928 0.89281552
2.18407421 1.40203173 0.90521777
1.95423133 0.91055742 0.85607034
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.86997886 4.53699004 1.2187136
2.1611597 1.34829186 0.89984378
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
2.06915277 8.58986551 1.62400115
2.30675012 1.70759588 0.93577418
1.72438844 1.62718484 0.92773308
2.47525505 2.32484717 0.99749931
2.1611597 3.38133364 1.10314796
2.39100259 0.15288302 0.7803029
2.21474319 1.47560101 0.9125747
2.06915277 1.14308764 0.87932336
1.83930988 0.02582131 0.76759673
1.86997886 1.27694777 0.89270937
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.95423133 1.09363212 0.87437781
2.01556928 0.0002424 0.76503884
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
2.09982175 3.6106774 1.12608234
2.27608114 2.97189622 1.06220422
2.27608114 0.52405851 0.81742045
2.36033361 0.12984031 0.77799863
2.21474319 7.75765552 1.54078015
2.53659301 0.28793205 0.7938078
1.9849003 0.97002861 0.86201746
2.18407421 1.40203173 0.90521777
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.72438844 1.62718484 0.92773308
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
2.09982175 1.20960787 0.88597538
1.72438844 1.62718484 0.92773308
2.13049072 1.27800928 0.89281552
1.72438844 0.14108404 0.779123
2.11438079 0.78432139 0.84344674
2.01556928 0.0002424 0.76503884
1.99639245 1.30144E-05 0.7650159
2.09982175 0.81032089 0.84604669
2.13049072 1.27800928 0.89281552
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
1.95423133 0.91055742 0.85607034
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
1.9849003 0.000228 0.7650374
1.9849003 0.000228 0.7650374
1.9849003 0.01324794 0.76633939
1.99945935 9.00324422 1.66533902
2.42167156 2.49112065 1.01412666
2.28757329 1.65784497 0.93079909
2.18407421 1.40203173 0.90521777
2.06915277 0.86647657 0.85166225
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.95423133 0.91055742 0.85607034
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.9849003 4.06062678 1.17107727
2.1611597 0.70365304 0.8353799
2.13049072 0.75604638 0.84061923
2.36033361 0.4091731 0.80593191
2.24541217 0.06022713 0.77103731
2.09982175 0.81032089 0.84604669
2.24541217 0.06022713 0.77103731
1.9849003 0.01324794 0.76633939
2.11438079 3.55555982 1.12057058
2.27608114 1.62838309 0.92785291
1.85080203 0.72386409 0.83740101
2.06915277 0.86647657 0.85166225
2.01556928 0.0002424 0.76503884
1.86997886 0.0169055 0.76670515
2.09982175 8.41103391 1.60611799
2.42167156 2.02115004 0.9671296
1.83930988 0.70444108 0.8354587
2.18407421 0.03388331 0.76840293
1.86997886 0.75686322 0.84070092
1.72438844 0.07596173 0.77261077
1.9849003 1.03042739 0.86805734
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.83930988 4.66858178 1.23187277
2.39100259 1.93488819 0.95850342
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
2.06915277 1.14308764 0.87932336
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.72438844 1.62718484 0.92773308
2.01556928 1.03138097 0.86815269
1.72438844 0.52473862 0.81748846
1.95423133 0.91055742 0.85607034
METODO
EXPONENCI EXPONENCI
REGRESIVO
AL SIMPLE AL DOBLE
30 1.1650146 1.0210146 0.84455258 0.92604194 0.86815269
31 2.53548863 2.73148863 2.77177032 2.71722244 2.60864195
32 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.56018981 2.5452781 2.53758252
33 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.5589165 2.54477347 2.53566306
34 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.55770883 2.54429485 2.5354887 Análisis de varianza de un factor
35 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.74837799 2.7016415 2.6353174
36 2.93548863 2.73148863 2.56901633 2.59094042 2.65732483 RESUMEN
37 2.63548863 2.53548863 2.55450611 2.54303944 2.53586284 Grupos
38 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.73846615 2.69617245 2.64365944 Columna 1
39 2.93548863 2.67948863 2.57300481 2.59408654 2.65732483 Columna 2
40 2.93548863 3.43548863 3.20967447 3.28926659 3.39915913 Columna 3
41 2.93548863 2.53948863 2.56344105 2.58088959 2.57788623 Columna 4
42 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.56200015 2.57854924 2.59558108 Columna 5
43 2.93548863 2.93548863 2.76005478 2.72070196 2.66613121
44 2.93548863 2.53548863 2.56471151 2.58099848 2.64846127
45 2.93548863 2.93548863 2.75261932 2.71585558 2.64809741 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
47 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.55129539 2.54298405 2.53758252 Entre grupos
48 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.72791943 2.69592328 2.62731006 Dentro de los
49 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.54780644 2.54094318 2.53656596
50 2.63548863 2.79148863 2.57881111 2.59517189 2.64401606 Total
51 2.93548863 2.59948863 2.72017424 2.69114565 2.65694696
52 2.53548863 2.59948863 2.71065399 2.68312178 2.62330691
53 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.7016245 2.67551153 2.60864195
54 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.54200522 2.53781152 2.53758252
55 2.93548863 3.11148863 2.84222546 2.87831976 2.95236906
56 2.53548863 3.01948863 2.82641367 2.86064736 2.85768423
57 3.43548863 2.73148863 2.71475153 2.69021126 2.70108337
58 2.53548863 2.73148863 2.70551082 2.68223555 2.63114145
59 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.54277179 2.53871984 2.53758252
60 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.58983125 2.603541 2.64401606
61 2.63548863 2.85948863 2.83061459 2.86071205 2.89569815
62 2.63548863 3.31948863 3.25001315 3.29520714 3.29398005
63 4.13548863 2.93548863 2.73057922 2.70859058 2.72863582
64 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.54846822 2.54340288 2.53552447
65 2.63548863 2.93548863 2.71797182 2.69779012 2.62731006
66 2.53548863 2.79148863 2.7085651 2.68942374 2.61580708
67 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.69964329 2.68148863 2.60864195
68 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.69118138 2.67396256 2.60864195
69 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.68315567 2.66682445 2.60864195
70 2.93548863 2.93548863 2.60216426 2.61361833 2.66652309
71 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.53968182 2.53742555 2.53586284
72 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.53946567 2.53732571 2.53564904
73 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.6781041 2.66363086 2.6353174
74 5.03548863 4.29948863 4.00772252 4.05458847 4.21960146
75 3.8834274 2.55771312 2.53591554 2.53703489 2.53566015
76 2.54628455 2.57980618 2.54250792 2.53979301 2.53935378
77 2.63548863 2.54666332 2.59054197 2.59916076 2.6329875
78 2.93548863 2.88357761 2.69866308 2.68503471 2.65694696
79 2.53548863 2.88357761 2.69025169 2.67732585 2.62330691
80 2.63548863 2.88357761 3.02458385 3.00198484 2.87970137
81 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.66861284 2.65724823 2.59209308
82 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.6617505 2.65097172 2.60181151
83 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.6552419 2.64501875 2.60864195
84 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.64906881 2.63937265 2.60864195
85 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.64321394 2.63401759 2.60864195
86 3.43548863 3.43548863 2.93117916 2.94892148 2.99546367
87 3.43548863 2.57148863 2.64843263 2.63948688 2.67100401
88 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.64261055 2.63412594 2.63114145
89 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.63708858 2.62904134 2.60864195
90 5.03548863 4.47148863 4.15020653 4.18225165 4.25334482
91 5.03548863 2.79148863 2.6535553 2.6453072 2.72317491
92 3.43548863 2.93548863 2.91254405 2.92730045 2.91191087
93 2.63548863 3.11148863 3.37132369 3.39264931 3.33971543
94 2.53548863 2.79148863 3.32823773 3.34846405 3.21681658
95 3.43548863 3.01948863 2.54214242 2.54046997 2.55403737
96 2.53548863 2.73148863 2.54179943 2.54021319 2.53697383
97 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.59254361 2.59763282 2.63566001
98 2.93548863 3.11148863 2.69535395 2.68733785 2.65694696
99 2.53548863 2.79148863 2.68711314 2.67951026 2.62330691
100 2.53548863 2.59948863 2.67929714 2.67208618 2.60864195
101 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.67188404 2.66504479 2.60864195
102 2.93548863 2.79148863 2.6098991 2.61496543 2.66652309
103 4.13548863 5.67148863 4.87813352 4.90544131 4.97468998
104 4.13548863 2.55148863 2.58642366 2.59040881 2.55531416
105 2.58057026 2.58057026 2.53554442 2.53574163 2.5355368
106 2.71199883 3.04883475 2.70593919 2.69922254 2.65080925
107 2.53548863 3.04883475 2.69715273 2.69078232 2.61823439
108 2.63548863 2.61043475 2.54116576 2.54005219 2.53758252
109 2.63548863 2.61043475 2.68728208 2.68142617 2.62731006
110 2.63548863 2.56403475 2.53948342 2.53860377 2.53656596
111 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.5392775 2.53844319 2.53566306
112 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.53908219 2.53829089 2.5354887
113 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.67582019 2.67075201 2.6353174
114 4.13548863 3.69148863 3.34564254 3.35765527 3.49884258
115 2.93548863 2.57148863 2.59508518 2.59828847 2.58921041
116 2.93548863 2.79148863 2.69128211 2.68634397 2.6855038
117 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.54013594 2.53933636 2.53588409
118 2.63548863 2.73148863 2.68188568 2.67734474 2.62731006
119 3.43548863 2.79148863 2.86733006 2.87407456 2.97808371
120 3.43548863 2.67948863 2.68577693 2.68141101 2.67100401
121 2.93548863 2.67948863 2.60046737 2.60331429 2.63993241
122 2.93548863 2.67948863 2.68310078 2.67899565 2.64809741
123 3.43548863 2.93548863 2.86555448 2.87160233 2.96103845
124 2.93548863 2.57148863 2.54080967 2.54009127 2.53818186
125 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.54053538 2.53985401 2.53614409
126 2.63548863 2.73148863 2.68403183 2.6803247 2.6353174
127 2.63548863 2.53548863 2.53898382 2.53844873 2.53656596
128 3.43548863 3.31948863 3.3295605 3.33776231 3.46072206
129 4.13548863 2.73148863 2.6931575 2.68962736 2.7065638
130 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.68502993 2.68168176 2.63931069
131 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.67732131 2.67414574 2.60864195
132 2.93548863 2.63548863 2.60607656 2.60828772 2.66652309
133 2.93548863 3.31948863 3.32972792 3.33691174 3.39915913
134 2.53548863 3.31948863 3.28878615 3.29559966 3.23834001
135 3.43548863 2.63548863 2.54618479 2.54541042 2.55403737
136 2.63548863 3.01948863 2.7093352 2.70625153 2.66134762
137 2.53548863 3.01948863 2.70037369 2.69744897 2.61580708
138 2.53548863 2.85948863 2.69187412 2.68910018 2.60864195
139 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.6838127 2.68118175 2.60864195
140 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.53895115 2.53856908 2.53758252
141 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.67501645 2.672596 2.62731006
142 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.53774978 2.53745843 2.53656596
143 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.66692206 2.66469374 2.62731006
144 4.13548863 3.83148863 3.36694321 3.37243379 3.49884258
145 3.43548863 2.53948863 2.53916765 2.53882111 2.54262012
146 2.63548863 2.67948863 2.67633771 2.67420602 2.66134762
147 2.93548863 2.59948863 2.60675514 2.60824519 2.65732483
148 2.93548863 2.73148863 2.67422202 2.67221512 2.64809741
149 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53765222 2.53741419 2.53588409
150 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.66619074 2.66434305 2.62731006
151 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.65945326 2.65770082 2.61580708
152 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.65306308 2.65140097 2.60864195
153 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.6470023 2.64542588 2.60864195
154 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.64125395 2.63975879 2.60864195
155 3.43548863 3.43548863 2.93486279 2.93770744 2.99546367
156 3.43548863 2.57148863 2.64652854 2.64507513 2.67100401
157 2.93548863 2.73148863 2.63031031 2.63162717 2.63993241
158 2.63548863 2.93548863 2.91508925 2.91765069 2.9113937
159 3.43548863 2.79148863 2.6570496 2.65564441 2.69072221
160 2.53548863 2.79148863 2.65078333 2.64945057 2.63114145
161 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.64484007 2.64357602 2.60864195
162 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.63920318 2.63800429 2.60864195
163 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.63385686 2.63271977 2.60864195
164 2.53548863 2.53548863 2.62878613 2.62770766 2.60864195
165 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.5358405 2.53590816 2.53758252
166 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.62426848 2.62327059 2.62731006
167 2.71199883 2.66285598 2.5523764 2.55280413 2.55418265
168 2.71199883 2.55717761 2.62167312 2.62074051 2.63390642
169 2.93548863 2.77089189 2.65558572 2.6566632 2.6543756
170 2.93548863 2.61043475 2.62248737 2.62159853 2.64809741
171 2.53548863 2.57980618 2.61800273 2.6171597 2.62330691
172 2.63548863 2.54666332 2.53681918 2.53692576 2.53758252
173 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.53675059 2.53685168 2.53566306
174 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.61480484 2.61404127 2.6353174
175 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.61071621 2.60999201 2.61580708
176 2.93548863 2.79148863 2.66896329 2.66990668 2.66652309
177 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.53705466 2.53715558 2.53586284
178 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.53697393 2.53706965 2.53564904
179 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.53689737 2.53698815 2.5354887
180 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.61370661 2.61305945 2.6353174
181 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.6096746 2.6090608 2.61580708
182 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.60585043 2.60526827 2.60864195
183 3.43548863 3.21148863 3.0120753 3.01355505 2.99546367
184 3.43548863 2.59948863 2.61186316 2.6112878 2.67100401
185 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53770568 2.53780236 2.53553693
186 2.63548863 2.67948863 2.66659319 2.6673105 2.64401606
187 2.93548863 2.67948863 2.61379221 2.613254 2.65694696
188 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.60975579 2.60924532 2.62330691
189 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53807178 2.53816549 2.53758252
190 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.60663373 2.60615984 2.62731006
191 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.60296632 2.60251685 2.61580708
192 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.59948795 2.59906165 2.60864195
193 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.59618889 2.59578457 2.60864195
194 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.54130843 2.5414312 2.53758252
195 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.59401991 2.59364332 2.62731006
196 3.43548863 3.31948863 3.04395607 3.04503935 2.97808371
197 2.93548863 2.53948863 2.53933158 2.5394238 2.53818186
198 2.54628455 2.54628455 2.56247525 2.56271234 2.54161975
199 2.54628455 2.54254904 2.53863388 2.53871303 2.5355973
200 2.63548863 2.69569189 2.60392834 2.60357148 2.63802144
201 2.63548863 2.54254904 2.53926472 2.5393469 2.53656596
202 2.63548863 2.61043475 2.60122068 2.60088896 2.62731006
203 2.63548863 2.54666332 2.53991628 2.54000063 2.53656596
204 2.93548863 3.11148863 3.02165796 3.02251504 2.95236906
205 2.93548863 2.53548863 2.53765962 2.53771573 2.53969192
206 2.63548863 2.67948863 2.60884874 2.60853344 2.65233618
207 2.93548863 2.63548863 2.6714122 2.67183094 2.65732483
208 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53732238 2.53737001 2.53586284
209 2.54628455 2.53599883 2.55669013 2.55684716 2.54381298
210 2.71199883 2.64906332 2.6129542 2.61266271 2.64219049
211 3.43548863 2.99100618 2.99466491 2.99535697 2.9724462
212 2.93548863 2.55717761 2.53624343 2.53627099 2.53818186
213 2.53548863 2.54254904 2.53620452 2.53623066 2.53614409
214 2.53548863 2.54254904 2.53616762 2.53619241 2.5354887
215 2.63548863 2.67948863 2.62008286 2.61981595 2.6353174
216 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.61572216 2.61546902 2.61580708
217 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53711835 2.5371537 2.53758252
218 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.61216901 2.61193429 2.62731006
219 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.60821626 2.60799364 2.61580708
220 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.60446727 2.60425612 2.60864195
221 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.60091153 2.60071127 2.60864195
222 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.59753909 2.59734915 2.60864195
223 2.93548863 2.93548863 2.68748063 2.6877705 2.66652309
224 3.43548863 4.65148863 4.30003823 4.30099977 4.08692456
225 3.8834274 2.53599883 2.55308873 2.55318236 2.53700724
226 2.81485598 2.71352047 2.96812752 2.96857915 2.86071383
227 2.81485598 2.6233123 2.54803788 2.54811288 2.53670107
228 2.81485598 2.55744455 2.94208621 2.94250146 2.89089298
229 3.43548863 3.28155883 2.64286649 2.64265882 2.68395324
230 3.43548863 2.69641598 2.93182845 2.9322173 2.94432789
231 3.43548863 2.96220618 2.64809518 2.64789347 2.67100401
232 2.53548863 2.75032047 2.6422905 2.64209918 2.63114145
233 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.63678503 2.63660358 2.60864195
234 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.63156336 2.63139126 2.60864195
235 4.13548863 3.69148863 3.46294713 3.46346818 3.52440424
236 4.13548863 2.59948863 2.64242728 2.64225506 2.69602984
237 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.53549368 2.53549259 2.53552447
238 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.63410945 2.63426643 2.64401606
239 2.93548863 2.73148863 2.64216744 2.64200855 2.65694696
240 2.53548863 2.73148863 2.63666832 2.63651762 2.62330691
241 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.63145266 2.63130974 2.60864195
242 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.62650587 2.62637031 2.60864195
243 3.43548863 3.21148863 2.96434514 2.96463186 2.99546367
244 3.43548863 2.57148863 2.63215616 2.63202366 2.67100401
245 4.13548863 3.69148863 3.46115702 3.46155653 3.44872337
246 2.63548863 2.79148863 2.92083531 2.92108636 2.83580069
247 2.93548863 2.63548863 2.53626726 2.53625631 2.54623029
248 2.53548863 2.67948863 2.53622712 2.53621673 2.53614409
249 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.6194508 2.61955906 2.63566001
250 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.89359852 2.89381622 2.89569815
251 2.63548863 2.53548863 2.60654667 2.60664113 2.59235113
252 2.93548863 2.85948863 2.67450564 2.67437704 2.67565015
253 2.53548863 2.79148863 2.66733954 2.66721757 2.62330691
254 2.63548863 2.55148863 2.53688756 2.53687535 2.53758252
255 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.53681545 2.53680386 2.53566306
256 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.53674705 2.53673607 2.5354887
257 2.63548863 2.57148863 2.65853215 2.65842615 2.6353174
258 2.53548863 2.57148863 2.65218945 2.65208892 2.61580708
259 3.43548863 3.11148863 2.91493185 2.91510844 2.99546367
260 2.93548863 2.53548863 2.5365483 2.53653923 2.53818186
261 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.65654409 2.65644951 2.65233618
262 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.53600012 2.53599415 2.53656596
263 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.64990396 2.64981675 2.62731006
264 2.53548863 2.63548863 2.64400603 2.64392332 2.61580708
265 2.53548863 2.55148863 2.63841213 2.63833369 2.60864195
266 2.53548863 2.53948863 2.63310659 2.63303219 2.60864195
267 3.43548863 3.31948863 2.9507451 2.95089459 2.99546367
268 2.93548863 2.55148863 2.53551245 2.53551136 2.53818186
269 2.63548863 2.59948863 2.63851719 2.63844658 2.65233618
270 2.53548863 2.59948863 2.63320623 2.63313927 2.61580708
271 2.63548863 2.53948863 2.53562771 2.53563018 2.53758252
272 2.63548863 2.63548863 2.64288442 2.64295102 2.64401606
273 2.93548863 3.55948863 3.44105061 3.44123895 3.37528188
274 4.13548863 2.73148863 2.64983564 2.64977047 2.71743246
275 2.71199883 2.53599883 2.54373504 2.54375209 2.54507634
276 2.71199883 2.81294904 2.64550884 2.64544821 2.63390642
277 2.53548863 2.75032047 2.63983747 2.63977997 2.61823439
278 2.53548863 2.64906332 2.63445846 2.63440392 2.60864195
279 2.53548863 2.54254904 2.62935672 2.629305 2.60864195
280 2.63548863 2.58940618 2.53580725 2.53581019 2.53758252
nálisis de varianza de un factor
Cuenta Suma Promedio Varianza

251 709.718478 2.82756366 0.22769354
251 686.529142 2.73517587 0.14307965
251 677.537168 2.69935127 0.09295065
251 677.347344 2.69859499 0.09425909
251 675.894686 2.69280752 0.09915729
NÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Suma de cuadrados
Grados dePromedio
3.22583097 4 0.80645774 6.13611616 6.87115E-05 2.37904828
164.285054 1250 0.13142804
167.510885 1254

Calculos de Metodos de Pronostico

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Calculos de Metodos de Pronostico

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PERIODO Item 19 Item 46 Item 57 Item 28 PROMEDIO ITEM 19

DESVIACION E. ITEM 46 DESVIACION E. ITEM 57 DESVIACION E. ITEM 28

CRITERIO ELIMINACION I. 46 CRITERIO ELIMINACION I. 57 CRITERIO ELIMINACION I. 28

ELIMINADOS ITEM 46 ELIMINADOS ITEM 57 ELIMINADOS ITEM 28

GRÁFICO 1: ITEM 19 CON DATOS ATIPICOS)

50 100 150 200 250 300

50 100 150 200 250 300

ITEM 28 CON DATOS ATIPICOS(Grafico 4)

50 100 150 200 250 300

50 100 150 200 250 300

1 -0.5 -0.333333333333333 2.2

0.04 0.2 -0.1 -0.090909090909091

1.48467628430683 0.265558531955818 0.515323715693173 0.257661857846586

0.347095000533244 2.1413554664402 0.019981367892528 0.141355466440204

0.141355466440204 -0.070677733220102 -0.066012144483043

0.00093517154921 1.17360285271134 1.48467628430683

Total 85.8387676678583 1254

F Probabilidad Valor crítico para F

4.68733165085297 2.16502463054187 0.541256157635468 1.17986577181208 2.38396093709211

2.38396093709211 2.61158225284422 1.61603906290789 0.404009765726974 0.67787984180609

Total 219.629388 1254

2.49123612740074 1.57836501716198 -1.57836501716198 -0.612157319330719

1.38423645320197 -1.38423645320197 -0.580578512396694 1.89620562145101

0.803184515920384 0.896205621451006 -0.896205621451006 -0.472631032896746

Total 151.848798 1254

-2 -0.666666666666667 2.6 2.56

0.795379846932513 0.891840707151514 -0.891840707151514 -0.471414270651957

1.26896551724138 -1.26896551724138 -0.559270516717325 2.01556928293182

1.03138096843465 1.01556928293182 -1.01556928293182 -0.503862254466681

Cuenta Suma Promedio Varianza

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