0.5 K=2 K=3 0.

Período Importaciones Pron IngSimple Pron IngVar Pron PromMov Pron PromMov Pron SES
1 320.13
2 306.05 320.13
3 387.51 306.05 299.01 313.09 313.09
4 399.01 387.51 428.24 346.78 337.90 350.30
5 424.96 399.01 404.76 393.26 364.19 374.66
6 281.27 424.96 437.94 411.985 403.83 399.81
7 270.26 281.27 209.43 353.115 368.41 340.54
8 397.86 270.26 264.76 275.765 325.50 305.40
9 377.74 397.86 461.66 334.06 316.46 351.63
10 318.00 377.74 367.68 387.8 348.62 364.68
11 270.01 318.00 288.13 347.87 364.53 341.34
12 477.54 270.01 246.02 294.005 321.92 305.68
13 210.77 477.54 581.31 373.775 355.18 391.61
14 301.72 210.77 77.39 344.155 319.44 301.19
15 357.90 301.72 347.20 256.245 330.01 301.45
16 317.68 357.90 385.99 329.81 290.13 329.68
17 316.24 317.68 297.57 337.79 325.77 323.68
18 314.97 316.24 315.52 316.96 330.61 319.96
19 310.30 314.97 314.34 315.605 316.30 317.46
20 214.54 310.30 307.97 312.635 313.84 313.88
21 341.26 214.54 166.66 262.42 279.94 264.21
22 319.96 341.26 404.62 277.9 288.70 302.74
23 380.77 319.96 309.31 330.61 291.92 311.35
24 284.97 380.77 411.18 350.365 347.33 346.06
25 327.74 284.97 237.07 332.87 328.57 315.51
26 255.78 327.74 349.13 306.355 331.16 321.63
27 404.69 255.78 219.80 291.76 289.50 288.70
28 346.38 404.69 479.15 330.235 329.40 346.70
29 298.08 346.38 317.23 375.535 335.62 346.54
30 398.84 298.08 273.93 322.23 349.72 322.31
31 320.95 398.84 449.22 348.46 347.77 360.57
32 320.61 320.95 282.01 359.895 339.29 340.76
33 417.38 320.61 320.44 320.78 346.80 330.69
34 345.19 417.38 465.77 368.995 352.98 374.03
35 410.77 345.19 309.10 381.285 361.06 359.61
36 299.43 410.77 443.56 377.98 391.11 385.19
37 367.34 299.43 243.76 355.1 351.80 342.31
38 331.02 367.34 401.30 333.385 359.18 354.83
39 435.40 331.02 312.86 349.18 332.60 342.92
40 430.37 435.40 487.59 383.21 377.92 389.16
41 307.19 430.37 427.86 432.885 398.93 409.77
42 298.66 307.19 245.60 368.78 390.99 358.48
43 327.29 298.66 294.40 302.925 345.41 328.57
44 347.85 327.29 341.61 312.975 311.05 327.93
45 396.24 347.85 358.13 337.57 324.60 337.89
46 320.43 396.24 420.44 372.045 357.13 367.06
47 310.26 320.43 282.53 358.335 354.84 343.75
48 225.05 310.26 305.18 315.345 342.31 327.00
49 296.76 225.05 182.45 267.655 285.25 276.03
50 294.27 296.76 332.62 260.905 277.36 286.39
51 385.65 294.27 293.03 295.515 272.03 290.33
52 442.81 385.65 431.34 339.96 325.56 337.99
53 444.07 442.81 471.39 414.23 374.24 390.40
54 371.35 444.07 444.70 443.44 424.18 417.24
55 331.19 371.35 334.99 407.71 419.41 394.29
56 406.21 331.19 311.11 351.27 382.20 362.74
57 324.15 406.21 443.72 368.7 369.58 384.48
58 383.07 324.15 283.12 365.18 353.85 354.31
59 271.82 383.07 412.53 353.61 371.14 368.69
60 341.16 271.82 216.20 327.445 326.35 320.26
61 339.05 341.16 375.83 306.49 332.02 330.71
62 387.99 339.05 338.00 340.105 317.34 334.88
63 273.61 387.99 412.46 363.52 356.07 361.43
64 405.84 273.61 216.42 330.8 333.55 317.52
65 358.99 405.84 471.96 339.725 355.81 361.68
66 397.16 358.99 335.57 382.415 346.15 360.34
67 355.67 397.16 416.25 378.075 387.33 378.75
68 428.85 355.67 334.93 376.415 370.61 367.21
69 254.11 428.85 465.44 392.26 393.89 398.03
70 412.71 254.11 166.74 341.48 346.21 326.07
71 371.46 412.71 492.01 333.41 365.22 369.39
72 310.26 371.46 350.84 392.085 346.09 370.42
73 361.02 310.26 279.66 340.86 364.81 340.34
74 481.20 361.02 386.40 335.64 347.58 350.68
75 457.10 481.20 541.29 421.11 384.16 415.94
76 263.40 457.10 445.05 469.15 433.11 436.52
77 370.98 263.40 166.55 360.25 400.57 349.96
78 417.74 370.98 424.77 317.19 363.83 360.47
79 309.29 417.74 441.12 394.36 350.71 389.11
80 339.43 309.29 255.07 363.515 366.00 349.20
81 426.68 339.43 354.50 324.36 355.49 344.31
82 370.25 426.68 470.31 383.055 358.47 385.50
83 298.50 370.25 342.04 398.465 378.79 377.87
84 377.40 298.50 262.63 334.375 365.14 338.19
85 371.47 377.40 416.85 337.95 348.72 357.79
86 291.41 371.47 368.51 374.435 349.12 364.63
87 449.88 291.41 251.38 331.44 346.76 328.02
88 347.22 449.88 529.12 370.645 370.92 388.95
89 375.54 347.22 295.89 398.55 362.84 368.09
90 362.91 375.54 389.70 361.38 390.88 371.81
91 249.39 362.91 356.60 369.225 361.89 367.36
92 313.68 249.39 192.63 306.15 329.28 308.38
 93 215.05 313.68 345.83 281.535 308.66 311.03
94 398.32 215.05 165.74 264.365 259.37 263.04
95 399.51 398.32 489.96 306.685 309.02 330.68
96 337.36 399.51 400.11 398.915 337.63 365.09
97 303.82 337.36 306.29 368.435 378.40 351.23
98 400.41 303.82 287.05 320.59 346.90 327.52
99 288.72 400.41 448.71 352.115 347.20 363.97
100 305.71 288.72 232.88 344.565 330.98 326.34
101 453.12 305.71 314.21 297.215 331.61 316.03
102 333.56 453.12 526.83 379.415 349.18 384.57
103 363.17 333.56 273.78 393.34 364.13 359.07
104 391.76 363.17 377.98 348.365 383.28 361.12
105 230.27 391.76 406.06 377.465 362.83 376.44
106 403.20 230.27 149.53 311.015 328.40 303.35
107 300.15 403.20 489.67 316.735 341.74 353.28
108 176.63 300.15 248.63 351.675 311.21 326.71
109 302.69 176.63 114.87 238.39 293.33 251.67
110 327.12 302.69 365.72 239.66 259.82 277.18
111 327.38 327.12 339.34 314.905 268.81 302.15
112 394.32 327.38 327.51 327.25 319.06 314.77
113 297.52 394.32 427.79 360.85 349.61 354.54
114 385.26 297.52 249.12 345.92 339.74 326.03
115 335.10 385.26 429.13 341.39 359.03 355.65
116 378.68 335.10 310.02 360.18 339.29 345.37
117 331.29 378.68 400.47 356.89 366.35 362.03
118 362.99 331.29 307.60 354.985 348.36 346.66
119 363.94 362.99 378.84 347.14 357.65 354.82
120 466.46 363.94 364.42 363.465 352.74 359.38
121 359.06 466.46 517.72 415.2 397.80 412.92
122 478.44 359.06 305.36 412.76 396.49 385.99
123 350.33 478.44 538.13 418.75 434.65 432.22
124 300.49 350.33 286.28 414.385 395.94 391.27
125 319.29 300.49 275.57 325.41 376.42 345.88
126 443.49 319.29 328.69 309.89 323.37 332.59
127 306.43 443.49 505.59 381.39 354.42 388.04
128 330.38 306.43 237.90 374.96 356.40 347.23
129 278.93 330.38 342.36 318.405 360.10 338.81
130 379.63 278.93 253.21 304.655 305.25 308.87
131 356.73 379.63 429.98 329.28 329.65 344.25
132 281.22 356.73 345.28 368.18 338.43 350.49
133 394.80 281.22 243.47 318.975 339.19 315.85
134 389.60 394.80 451.59 338.01 344.25 355.33
135 361.33 389.60 387.00 392.2 355.21 372.46
136 415.87 361.33 347.20 375.465 381.91 366.90
137 229.71 415.87 443.14 388.6 388.93 391.38
138 401.64 229.71 136.63 322.79 335.64 310.55
139 272.04 401.64 487.61 315.675 349.07 356.09
140 335.43 272.04 207.24 336.84 301.13 314.07
141 360.26 335.43 367.13 303.735 336.37 324.75
142 324.34 360.26 372.68 347.845 322.58 342.50
143 368.92 324.34 306.38 342.3 340.01 333.42
144 201.02 368.92 391.21 346.63 351.17 351.17
145 338.37 201.02 117.07 284.97 298.09 276.10
146 326.83 338.37 407.05 269.695 302.77 307.23
147 382.60 326.83 321.06 332.6 288.74 317.03
148 387.14 382.60 410.49 354.715 349.27 349.82
149 329.70 387.14 389.41 384.87 365.52 368.48
150 360.55 329.70 300.98 358.42 366.48 349.09
151 412.89 360.55 375.98 345.125 359.13 354.82
152 341.04 412.89 439.06 386.72 367.71 383.85
153 423.00 341.04 305.12 376.965 371.49 362.45
154 339.34 423.00 463.98 382.02 392.31 392.72
155 334.60 339.34 297.51 381.17 367.79 366.03
156 437.92 334.60 332.23 336.97 365.65 350.32
157 299.26 437.92 489.58 386.26 370.62 394.12
158 266.42 299.26 229.93 368.59 357.26 346.69
159 360.72 266.42 250.00 282.84 334.53 306.55
160 359.32 360.72 407.87 313.57 308.80 333.64
161 199.77 359.32 358.62 360.02 328.82 346.48
162 400.41 199.77 120.00 279.545 306.60 273.12
163 312.54 400.41 500.73 300.09 319.83 336.77
164 340.63 312.54 268.61 356.475 304.24 324.65
165 316.34 340.63 354.68 326.585 351.19 332.64
166 272.29 316.34 304.20 328.485 323.17 324.49
167 378.44 272.29 250.27 294.315 309.75 298.39
168 413.57 378.44 431.52 325.365 322.36 338.42
169 269.61 413.57 431.14 396.005 354.77 375.99
170 457.28 269.61 197.63 341.59 353.87 322.80
171 361.03 457.28 551.12 363.445 380.15 390.04
172 325.67 361.03 312.91 409.155 362.64 375.54
173 251.34 325.67 307.99 343.35 381.33 350.60
174 340.42 251.34 214.18 288.505 312.68 300.97
175 437.28 340.42 384.96 295.88 305.81 320.70
176 279.54 437.28 485.71 388.85 343.01 378.99
177 322.53 279.54 200.67 358.41 352.41 329.26
178 330.49 322.53 344.03 301.035 346.45 325.90
179 369.80 330.49 334.47 326.51 310.85 328.19
180 337.14 369.80 389.46 350.145 340.94 349.00
181 383.58 337.14 320.81 353.47 345.81 343.07
182 327.54 383.58 406.80 360.36 363.51 363.32
183 310.94 327.54 299.52 355.56 349.42 345.43
184 306.81 310.94 302.64 319.24 340.69 328.19
185 439.16 306.81 304.75 308.875 315.10 317.50
186 299.27 439.16 505.34 372.985 352.30 378.33
187 250.05 299.27 229.33 369.215 348.41 338.80
188 321.36 250.05 225.44 274.66 329.49 294.42
189 352.83 321.36 357.02 285.705 290.23 307.89
190 339.18 352.83 368.57 337.095 308.08 330.36
191 314.07 339.18 332.36 346.005 337.79 334.77
192 235.67 314.07 301.52 326.625 335.36 324.42
193 269.01 235.67 196.47 274.87 296.31 280.05
194 218.95 269.01 285.68 252.34 272.92 274.53
195 331.43 218.95 193.92 243.98 241.21 246.74
196 285.01 331.43 387.67 275.19 273.13 289.08
197 447.26 285.01 261.80 308.22 278.46 287.05
198 429.25 447.26 528.39 366.135 354.57 367.15
199 321.41 429.25 420.25 438.255 387.17 398.20
200 337.73 321.41 267.49 375.33 399.31 359.81
201 368.54 337.73 345.89 329.57 362.80 348.77
202 345.14 368.54 383.95 353.135 342.56 358.65
203 308.95 345.14 333.44 356.84 350.47 351.90
204 376.54 308.95 290.86 327.045 340.88 330.42
205 407.19 376.54 410.34 342.745 343.54 353.48
206 319.71 407.19 422.52 391.865 364.23 380.34
207 393.23 319.71 275.97 363.45 367.81 350.02
208 382.24 393.23 429.99 356.47 373.38 371.63
209 216.48 382.24 376.75 387.735 365.06 376.93
210 442.79 216.48 133.60 299.36 330.65 296.71
211 240.49 442.79 555.95 329.635 347.17 369.75
212 354.29 240.49 139.34 341.64 299.92 305.12
213 299.15 354.29 411.19 297.39 345.86 329.70
214 206.60 299.15 271.58 326.72 297.98 314.43
215 339.29 206.60 160.33 252.875 286.68 260.51
216 442.07 339.29 405.64 272.945 281.68 299.90
217 310.81 442.07 493.46 390.68 329.32 370.99
218 386.31 310.81 245.18 376.44 364.06 340.90
219 334.44 386.31 424.06 348.56 379.73 363.60
220 420.02 334.44 308.51 360.375 343.85 349.02
221 272.88 420.02 462.81 377.23 380.26 384.52
222 369.27 272.88 199.31 346.45 342.45 328.70
223 338.75 369.27 417.47 321.075 354.06 348.99
224 403.82 338.75 323.49 354.01 326.97 343.87
225 339.21 403.82 436.36 371.285 370.61 373.84
226 348.34 339.21 306.91 371.515 360.59 356.53
227 332.99 348.34 352.91 343.775 363.79 352.43
228 440.72 332.99 325.32 340.665 340.18 342.71
229 402.13 440.72 494.59 386.855 374.02 391.72
230 233.75 402.13 382.84 421.425 391.95 396.92
231 189.42 233.75 149.56 317.94 358.87 315.34
232 321.32 189.42 167.26 211.585 275.10 252.38
233 322.45 321.32 387.27 255.37 248.16 286.85
234 398.30 322.45 323.02 321.885 277.73 304.65
235 251.41 398.30 436.23 360.375 347.36 351.47
236 319.66 251.41 177.97 324.855 324.05 301.44
237 347.74 319.66 353.79 285.535 323.12 310.55
238 367.99 347.74 361.78 333.7 306.27 329.15
239 386.12 367.99 378.12 357.865 345.13 348.57
240 294.27 386.12 395.19 377.055 367.28 367.34
241 320.76 294.27 248.35 340.195 349.46 330.81
242 318.96 320.76 334.01 307.515 333.72 325.78
243 397.58 318.96 318.06 319.86 311.33 322.37
244 455.16 397.58 436.89 358.27 345.77 359.98
245 467.45 455.16 483.95 426.37 390.57 407.57
246 321.94 467.45 473.60 461.305 440.06 437.51
247 377.46 321.94 249.19 394.695 414.85 379.72
248 293.25 377.46 405.22 349.7 388.95 378.59
249 359.83 293.25 251.15 335.355 330.88 335.92
250 299.14 359.83 393.12 326.54 343.51 347.88
251 299.14 268.80 329.485 317.41 323.51

ECM
error ^2
ingenuo
simple

198.25
6635.73
132.25
673.40
20646.82
121.22
16281.76
404.81
600.00
3568.87
2303.04 500.00
43068.70
71166.23 400.00
8271.90
3156.19 300.00
1617.65
2.07 200.00
1.61
21.81 100.00
9169.98
16057.96 0.00
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 5
453.69
3697.86
9177.64
1829.27
5178.24
22174.19
3400.06
2332.89
10152.58
6066.85
0.12
9364.43
5211.40
4300.74
12396.60
4611.77
1319.14
10895.18
25.30
15173.31
72.76
819.68
422.71
 2341.59
5747.16
103.43
7260.74
5142.32
6.20
8350.30
3267.27
1.59
5288.20
1612.83
5628.00
6733.84
3471.57
12376.56
4808.04
4.45
2395.12
13082.78
17484.77
2194.92
1456.95
1721.42
5355.31
30534.07
25153.96
1701.56
3745.44
2576.58
14443.23
580.81
37519.69
11573.46
2186.50
11761.40
908.42
7612.56
3184.34
5148.06
6225.21
35.16
6409.60
25112.74
10539.08
802.02
159.52
12886.79
4133.20
 9727.88
33587.89
1.42
3862.62
1124.93
9329.63
12474.66
288.66
21729.71
14294.59
876.75
817.39
26079.02
29904.78
10619.30
15257.19
15891.12
596.82
0.07
4480.96
9370.24
7698.31
2516.03
1899.22
2245.81
1004.89
0.90
10510.35
11534.76
14251.58
16412.17
2484.03
353.44
15425.64
18785.44
573.60
2647.10
10140.49
524.41
5701.76
12900.42
27.04
799.19
2974.61
34655.55
29559.92
16796.16
4018.29
 616.53
1290.25
1987.38
28190.41
18865.02
133.17
3110.29
20.61
3299.35
951.72
2739.48
5162.42
6717.44
6999.00
22.47
10675.02
19226.60
1078.47
8892.49
1.96
25456.20
40256.41
7721.14
789.05
590.00
1940.40
11267.82
1234.12
20724.48
35220.03
9264.06
1250.33
5524.95
7935.25
9381.86
24881.91
1848.14
63.36
1545.28
1066.68
2156.67
3140.48
275.56
17.06
17516.52
19569.21
2422.61
5085.12
 990.36
186.32
630.51
6146.56
1111.56
2506.00
12651.75
2154.82
26325.06
324.36
11629.47
266.34
949.26
547.56
1309.72
4568.41
939.42
7652.75
5405.19
120.78
27476.38
51216.22
40925.29
12950.44
3040.42
8565.50
17606.64
10563.73
17229.19
5700.25
2690.50
7323.94
21650.18
9291.03
931.47
4234.10
4174.45
83.36
235.62
11605.75
1489.19
28351.82
1965.15
17397.61
1.28
5753.22
21576.67
4658.06
 788.49
410.06
328.70
8436.42
701.72
3.24
6181.10
3315.46
151.04
21173.16
3082.47
7091.32
4432.90
3683.28

7964.30
 Importaciones
00.00

00.00

00.00

00.00

00.00

00.00

0.00
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97 105 113 121 129 137 145153 161 169 177 185 193 201 209 217 225 233 241 249