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Cuadro N° 1.01.

01
BOLIVIA: PRODUCTO INTERNO BRUTO A PRECIOS CONSTANTES POR ACTIVIDAD ECONÓMICA
(En miles de bolivianos de 1990)
PETRÓLEO CRUDO Y GAS
PERIODO
Periodo NATURAL
1 I Trimestre 1990 156,457
2 II Trimestre 1990 156,593
3 III Trimestre 1990 180,387
4 IV Trimestre 1990 170,404
5 I Trimestre 1991 163,474
6 II Trimestre 1991 166,356
7 III Trimestre 1991 172,098
8 IV Trimestre 1991 166,798
9 I Trimestre 1992 154,177
10 II Trimestre 1992 172,082
11 III Trimestre 1992 177,146
12 IV Trimestre 1992 171,560
13 I Trimestre 1993 153,929
14 II Trimestre 1993 174,227
15 III Trimestre 1993 181,550
16 IV Trimestre 1993 181,333
17 I Trimestre 1994 171,723
18 II Trimestre 1994 187,983
19 III Trimestre 1994 207,409
20 IV Trimestre 1994 183,186
21 I Trimestre 1995 172,388
22 II Trimestre 1995 194,900
23 III Trimestre 1995 209,322
24 IV Trimestre 1995 198,593
25 I Trimestre 1996 189,548
26 II Trimestre 1996 201,766
27 III Trimestre 1996 210,910
28 IV Trimestre 1996 190,379
29 I Trimestre 1997 177,223
30 II Trimestre 1997 230,090
31 III Trimestre 1997 249,798
32 IV Trimestre 1997 247,483
33 I Trimestre 1998 236,688
34 II Trimestre 1998 247,263
35 III Trimestre 1998 291,034
36 IV Trimestre 1998 246,129
37 I Trimestre 1999 235,189
38 II Trimestre 1999 227,139
39 III Trimestre 1999 272,567
40 IV Trimestre 1999 242,627
41 I Trimestre 2000 230,935
42 II Trimestre 2000 235,793
43 III Trimestre 2000 311,855
44 IV Trimestre 2000 312,790
45 I Trimestre 2001 228,013
46 II Trimestre 2001 233,922
47 III Trimestre 2001 291,926
48 IV Trimestre 2001 336,974
49 I Trimestre 2002 256,096
50 II Trimestre 2002 264,954
51 III Trimestre 2002 306,438
52 IV Trimestre 2002 314,810
53 I Trimestre 2003 258,231
54 II Trimestre 2003 286,149
55 III Trimestre 2003 323,901
56 IV Trimestre 2003 375,292
57 I Trimestre 2004 318,447
58 II Trimestre 2004 354,226
59 III Trimestre 2004 440,093
60 IV Trimestre 2004 431,702
61 I Trimestre 2005 391,301
62 II Trimestre 2005 420,212
63 III Trimestre 2005 478,088
64 IV Trimestre 2005 480,198
65 I Trimestre 2006 441,000
66 II Trimestre 2006 421,295
67 III Trimestre 2006 513,215
68 IV Trimestre 2006 475,743
69 I Trimestre 2007 433,071
70 II Trimestre 2007 461,187
71 III Trimestre 2007 525,755
72 IV Trimestre 2007 528,262
73 I Trimestre 2008 481,839
74 II Trimestre 2008 473,113
75 III Trimestre 2008 517,047
76 IV Trimestre 2008 516,036
77 I Trimestre 2009 388,155
78 II Trimestre 2009 443,738
79 III Trimestre 2009 464,662
80 IV Trimestre 2009 423,479
81 I Trimestre 2010 418,857
82 II Trimestre 2010 463,581
83 III Trimestre 2010 542,994
84 IV Trimestre 2010 534,525
85 I Trimestre 2011 480,469
86 II Trimestre 2011 477,374
87 III Trimestre 2011 574,664
88 IV Trimestre 2011 567,130
89 I Trimestre 2012 518,682
90 II Trimestre 2012 546,711
91 III Trimestre 2012 627,515
92 IV Trimestre 2012 715,154
93 I Trimestre 2013 640,838
94 II Trimestre 2013 640,830
95 III Trimestre 2013 728,794
96 IV Trimestre 2013 733,983
97 I Trimestre 2014 693,919
98 II Trimestre 2014 698,181
99 III Trimestre 2014 765,379
100 IV Trimestre 2014 744,343
101 I Trimestre 2015 687,768
102 II Trimestre 2015 686,247
103 III Trimestre 2015 744,965
104 IV Trimestre 2015 743,100
105 I Trimestre 2016 672,175
106 II Trimestre 2016 646,199
107 III Trimestre 2016 722,143
108 IV Trimestre 2016 696,474
109 I Trimestre 2017 577,571
110 II Trimestre 2017 646,936
111 III Trimestre 2017 731,409
112 IV Trimestre 2017 715,697
113 I Trimestre 2018 612,314
114 II Trimestre 2018 624,548
115 III Trimestre 2018 681,941
116 IV Trimestre 2018 543,805
117 I Trimestre 2019 491,234
118 II Trimestre 2019 496,833
119 III Trimestre 2019 586,944
120 IV Trimestre 2019 633,608
121 I Trimestre 2020 496,676
122 II Trimestre 2020 403,617
123 III Trimestre 2020 558,176
124 IV Trimestre 2020 605,545
R ACTIVIDAD ECONÓMICA SEGÚN TRIMESTRE, 1990 - 2021
PETRÓLEO Tendencia
Periodo Trimestre PERIODO CRUDO Y GAS diferencias
NATURAL
Lineal

1 Primer I Trimestre 1990 156457.21 171471.1715 136


2 Segundo II Trimestre 1990 156593.27 169123.6016 23,794
3 Tercer III Trimestre 1990 180387.48 167270.5841 -9,984
4 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1990 170403.90 165880.0112 -6,930
5 Primer I Trimestre 1991 163474.11 164921.3375 2,882
6 Segundo II Trimestre 1991 166355.90 164365.544 5,742
7 Tercer III Trimestre 1991 172098.39 164185.1021 -5,300
8 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1991 166798.45 164353.9376 -12,621
9 Primer I Trimestre 1992 154177.33 164847.3947 17,904
10 Segundo II Trimestre 1992 172081.52 165642.2 5,065
11 Tercer III Trimestre 1992 177146.24 166716.4265 -5,586
12 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1992 171560.11 168049.4576 -17,632
13 Primer I Trimestre 1993 153928.61 169621.9511 20,299
14 Segundo II Trimestre 1993 174227.13 171415.8032 7,323
15 Tercer III Trimestre 1993 181549.78 173414.1125 -217
16 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1993 181332.55 175601.144 -9,610
17 Primer I Trimestre 1994 171722.68 177962.2931 16,260
18 Segundo II Trimestre 1994 187983.15 180484.0496 19,425
19 Tercer III Trimestre 1994 207408.58 183153.9617 -24,222
20 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1994 183186.26 185960.6 -10,799
21 Primer I Trimestre 1995 172387.71 188893.5215 22,512
22 Segundo II Trimestre 1995 194899.55 191943.2336 14,422
23 Tercer III Trimestre 1995 209321.95 195101.1581 -10,729
24 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1995 198593.07 198359.5952 -9,045
25 Primer I Trimestre 1996 189548.27 201711.6875 12,218
26 Segundo II Trimestre 1996 201766.33 205151.384 9,144
27 Tercer III Trimestre 1996 210910.27 208673.4041 -20,531
28 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1996 190379.06 212273.2016 -13,156
29 Primer I Trimestre 1997 177222.65 215946.9287 52,868
30 Segundo II Trimestre 1997 230090.30 219691.4 19,707
31 Tercer III Trimestre 1997 249797.67 223504.0565 -2,315
32 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1997 247483.11 227382.9296 -10,795
33 Primer I Trimestre 1998 236688.36 231326.6051 10,575
34 Segundo II Trimestre 1998 247263.05 235334.1872 43,771
35 Tercer III Trimestre 1998 291034.36 239405.2625 -44,905
36 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1998 246129.49 243539.864 -10,941
37 Primer I Trimestre 1999 235188.92 247738.4351 -8,050
38 Segundo II Trimestre 1999 227138.81 252001.7936 45,428
39 Tercer III Trimestre 1999 272567.14 256331.0957 -29,940
40 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1999 242627.00 260727.8 -11,692
41 Primer I Trimestre 2000 230935.27 265193.6315 4,857
42 Segundo II Trimestre 2000 235792.67 269730.5456 76,062
43 Tercer III Trimestre 2000 311855.03 274340.6921 935
44 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2000 312790.09 279026.3792 -84,777
45 Primer I Trimestre 2001 228012.87 283790.0375 5,909
46 Segundo II Trimestre 2001 233922.19 288634.184 58,004
47 Tercer III Trimestre 2001 291926.01 293561.3861 45,048
48 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2001 336974.02 298574.2256 -80,878
49 Primer I Trimestre 2002 256096.29 303675.2627 8,857
50 Segundo II Trimestre 2002 264953.76 308867 41,484
51 Tercer III Trimestre 2002 306438.15 314151.8465 8,372
52 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2002 314809.95 319532.0816 -56,579
53 Primer I Trimestre 2003 258230.84 325009.8191 27,918
54 Segundo II Trimestre 2003 286148.76 330586.9712 37,752
55 Tercer III Trimestre 2003 323901.19 336265.2125 51,391
56 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2003 375291.84 342045.944 -56,845
57 Primer I Trimestre 2004 318446.73 347930.2571 35,780
58 Segundo II Trimestre 2004 354226.43 353918.8976 85,867
59 Tercer III Trimestre 2004 440093.03 360012.2297 -8,391
60 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2004 431702.38 366210.2 -40,401
61 Primer I Trimestre 2005 391301.05 372512.3015 28,911
62 Segundo II Trimestre 2005 420211.78 378917.5376 57,876
63 Tercer III Trimestre 2005 478088.27 385424.3861 2,110
64 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2005 480198.04 392030.7632 -39,198
65 Primer I Trimestre 2006 441000.23 398733.9875 -19,705
66 Segundo II Trimestre 2006 421295.41 405530.744 91,920
67 Tercer III Trimestre 2006 513215.38 412417.0481 -37,472
68 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2006 475743.28 419388.2096 -42,672
69 Primer I Trimestre 2007 433071.28 426438.7967 28,116
70 Segundo II Trimestre 2007 461186.95 433562.6 64,568
71 Tercer III Trimestre 2007 525755.12 440752.5965 2,507
72 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2007 528262.49 448000.9136 -46,424
73 Primer I Trimestre 2008 481838.59 455298.7931 -8,726
74 Segundo II Trimestre 2008 473112.57 462636.5552 43,935
75 Tercer III Trimestre 2008 517047.20 470003.5625 -1,011
76 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2008 516036.27 477388.184 -127,881
77 Primer I Trimestre 2009 388155.45 484777.7591 55,583
78 Segundo II Trimestre 2009 443738.03 492158.5616 20,924
79 Tercer III Trimestre 2009 464661.60 499515.7637 -41,182
80 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2009 423479.34 506833.4 -4,622
81 Primer I Trimestre 2010 418857.40 514094.3315 44,723
82 Segundo II Trimestre 2010 463580.78 521280.2096 79,414
83 Tercer III Trimestre 2010 542994.30 528371.4401 -8,469
84 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2010 534524.95 535347.1472 -54,056
85 Primer I Trimestre 2011 480469.37 542185.1375 -3,095
86 Segundo II Trimestre 2011 477373.91 548861.864 97,290
87 Tercer III Trimestre 2011 574664.11 555352.3901 -7,534
88 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2011 567130.35 561630.3536 -48,448
89 Primer I Trimestre 2012 518681.92 567667.9307 28,029
90 Segundo II Trimestre 2012 546711.17 573435.8 80,803
91 Tercer III Trimestre 2012 627514.60 578903.1065 87,640
92 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2012 715154.50 584037.4256 -74,317
93 Primer I Trimestre 2013 640837.56 588804.7271 -7
94 Segundo II Trimestre 2013 640830.46 593169.3392 87,964
95 Tercer III Trimestre 2013 728794.00 597093.9125 5,189
96 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2013 733983.39 600539.384 -40,064
97 Primer I Trimestre 2014 693919.20 603464.9411 4,262
98 Segundo II Trimestre 2014 698180.74 605827.9856 67,199
99 Tercer III Trimestre 2014 765379.41 607584.0977 -21,036
100 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2014 744343.28 608687 -56,575
101 Primer I Trimestre 2015 687768.43 609088.5215 -1,522
102 Segundo II Trimestre 2015 686246.57 608738.5616 58,719
103 Tercer III Trimestre 2015 744965.21 607585.0541 -1,865
104 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2015 743099.87 605573.9312 -70,925
105 Primer I Trimestre 2016 672174.80 602649.0875 -25,976
106 Segundo II Trimestre 2016 646199.03 598752.344 75,944
107 Tercer III Trimestre 2016 722143.20 593823.4121 -25,669
108 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2016 696474.38 587799.8576 -118,904
109 Primer I Trimestre 2017 577570.55 580617.0647 69,365
110 Segundo II Trimestre 2017 646935.76 572208.2 84,473
111 Tercer III Trimestre 2017 731408.61 562504.1765 -15,712
112 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2017 715696.83 551433.6176 -103,383
113 Primer I Trimestre 2018 612314.03 538922.8211 12,234
114 Segundo II Trimestre 2018 624548.04 524895.7232 57,393
115 Tercer III Trimestre 2018 681941.48 509273.8625 -138,136
116 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2018 543805.37 491976.344 -52,571
117 Primer I Trimestre 2019 491233.96 472919.8031 5,599
118 Segundo II Trimestre 2019 496833.42 452018.3696 90,110
119 Tercer III Trimestre 2019 586943.75 429183.6317 46,664
120 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2019 633607.54 404324.6 -136,931
121 Primer I Trimestre 2020 496676.26 377347.6715 -93,060
122 Segundo II Trimestre 2020 403616.58 348156.5936 154,559
123 Tercer III Trimestre 2020 558175.97 316652.4281 47,369
124 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2020 605544.62 282733.5152 -605,545
125 246295.4375
126 207230.984 3,651
127 165430.1141 74183.0527
128 120779.9216 20.31790526
129 73164.5987
130 22465.4
131 -31439.3935
132 -88674.5104
133 -149367.7249
134 -213649.8928
135 -281654.9875
136 -353520.136
137 -429385.6549
138 Datos reaes -509395.0864
2.5
900000.00139 -593695.2343
800000.00
2
700000.00
f(x) = − 7.16434327019779 x² + 5791.7495640472 x + 81871.853992838
600000.00 R² = 0.845509452471725
1.5
500000.00
900000.00
400000.00 1
300000.00 800000.00
200000.00 0.5
700000.00
100000.00
0.00 600000.000 0 20
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

500000.00

400000.00

300000.00

200000.00

100000.00

0.00
0 20
Media
Movil=4
debido a que
indice de
es la
Sin estacionalida
necesaria indice= sin
tendencia= d (Promedia indice
cocientes para que se centrar =2 tendencia/ce
original/tend los indices de normalizado
suavisen los ntrado*100
encia un mismo
picos (son
periodo)
cuatro
periodos en
este año)

1.000869631 0.912440298
1.151949117 0.925910195
0.944654821 1.078417203 0.986009936 0.99585799 108.2902596 107.5418144 107.7162813
0.959333156 1.027272045 1.005706045 1.01648094 101.0616141 104.3401962 104.509469
1.017628445 0.991224738 1.027255834 1.023478355 96.84862739 92.10534025 92.25476429
1.03451929 1.012109351 1.019700875 1.018151054 99.40660048 95.36477353 95.51948541
0.969204013 1.048197367 1.016601233 1.009607276 103.8222873 399.3521243 400
0.924333107 1.014873476 1.002613319 1.005959011 100.8861658
1.116127259 0.935273084 1.009304704 1.011100061 92.50054672
1.029432104 1.038874888 1.012895418 1.01364756 102.4887672
0.968466005 1.062560222 1.014399703 1.010925629 105.107655
0.897228426 1.020890617 1.007451555 1.004642273 101.6173264
1.131869699 0.907480491 1.001832991 0.999877302 90.75918509
1.042029351 1.016400635 0.997921612 0.999390129 101.7020886
0.998803425 1.046914705 1.000858646 1.008040907 103.8563711
0.947004192 1.032638753 1.015223167 1.018366831 101.401452
1.09469029 0.964938575 1.021510495 1.032199594 93.48371975
1.103336015 1.041549946 1.042888692 1.03694398 100.4441866
0.883214483 1.132427494 1.030999267 1.02445925 110.5390472
0.941051519 0.985081052 1.017919234 1.014650742 97.08572719
1.130588396 0.912618442 1.011382251 1.003939982 90.9036854
1.073999182 1.015402015 0.996497713 0.998509712 101.6917515
0.948744602 1.072889342 1.000521711 1.003906778 106.8714113
0.954455582 1.001177044 1.007291845 1.003304058 99.78799905
1.064458834 0.939698981 0.99931627 0.991545034 94.77118526
1.045319462 0.983499714 0.983773798 0.970734001 101.3150579
0.902654293 1.010719453 0.957694203 0.942816442 107.2021454
0.930893636 0.896858662 0.927938681 0.935917983 95.82662992
1.298312011 0.820676895 0.943897286 0.95726269 85.73162875
1.085650601 1.047334131 0.970628094 0.994570501 105.3051674
0.990734235 1.117642686 1.018512908 1.043825585 107.071785
0.956381899 1.08839792 1.069138261 1.069557624 101.7615036
1.04467767 1.023178308 1.069976986 1.082228605 94.54363928
1.177023244 1.050689031 1.094480223 1.084759643 96.85915569
0.845705961 1.215655634 1.075039062 1.065809737 114.0593478
0.955549556 1.010633274 1.056580412 1.037911542 97.37181187
0.965771707 0.949343709 1.019242671 1.000203231 94.91508123
1.200002489 0.901338067 0.981163791 0.971156615 92.81078388
0.890154991 1.063340115 0.961149438 0.95133367 111.7736235
0.951811937 0.930575862 0.941517902 0.93812297 99.19550969
1.02103361 0.870817564 0.934728039 0.943903475 92.25705668
1.322581491 0.874178615 0.953078911 0.97688261 89.48655705
1.002998399 1.136743605 1.00068631 0.992266142 114.560354
0.728964495 1.121005455 0.983845975 0.975879298 114.8713224
1.025916591 0.803456225 0.967912621 0.950123319 84.56336243
1.247962032 0.810445199 0.932334016 0.933284654 86.83794336
1.154313116 0.994429185 0.934235291 0.939218618 105.878351
0.759988213 1.128610554 0.944201945 0.950124389 118.7855578
1.034586493 0.84332284 0.956046833 0.953673931 88.42884478
1.15657221 0.857824751 0.951301029 0.933377427 91.90545289
1.027319702 0.975445971 0.915453824 0.909355021 107.267893
0.820275324 0.985221735 0.903256217 0.904225354 108.9575437
1.108112276 0.794532411 0.905194491 0.90366766 87.92307686
1.13193287 0.865577847 0.902140829 0.916137756 94.48118918
1.158661508 0.963231323 0.930134684 0.945225661 101.9049062
0.848530919 1.097197153 0.960316638 0.977228025 112.2764724
1.112356963 0.915260228 0.994139412 1.026540385 89.1596903
1.242405946 1.000868945 1.058941357 1.069146421 93.61383296
0.98093437 1.222439103 1.079351485 1.096248699 111.511111
0.906413946 1.178837663 1.113145913 1.126659731 104.6312059
1.073883582 1.05043794 1.140173549 1.142421212 91.94839251
1.137731727 1.108979491 1.144668874 1.150426525 96.39724637
1.00441292 1.240420402 1.156184175 1.163129572 106.6450748
0.91837159 1.224898866 1.170074969 1.161311801 105.4754515
0.955317876 1.106001115 1.152548634 1.153047177 95.91984936
1.218184137 1.038874152 1.153545721 1.142230172 90.95138419
0.926985622 1.244408749 1.130914623 1.119608633 111.1467625
0.91030457 1.134374477 1.108302643 1.111407722 102.0664563
1.064921559 1.015553195 1.1145128 1.108068916 91.65072499
1.14000434 1.063714779 1.101625032 1.107222591 96.07054511
1.004769092 1.192857679 1.11282015 1.118162369 106.6801845
0.912119634 1.179154948 1.123504589 1.118370762 105.4350657
0.981890159 1.05829095 1.113236935 1.101641235 96.06493627
1.092862941 1.022644162 1.090045535 1.077770835 94.88512105
0.998044798 1.100092081 1.065496135 1.033295692 106.4644021
0.752186374 1.080957348 1.00109525 0.985966729 109.6342622
1.143196712 0.800687408 0.970838208 0.949604709 84.31796935
1.047152972 0.901615994 0.92837121 0.897693984 100.4368983
0.911371516 0.930224092 0.867016758 0.86877435 107.0731533
0.989085793 0.835539537 0.870531942 0.868993951 96.15021333
1.106774703 0.814748146 0.867455959 0.879637366 92.62318511
1.171304609 0.889312062 0.891818773 0.912184352 97.49258031
0.984402498 1.027675345 0.932549932 0.941477932 109.1555426
0.898871739 0.998464174 0.950405933 0.947960971 105.3275614
0.99355742 0.88617215 0.945516009 0.946403319 93.63578214
1.203802945 0.869752369 0.947290628 0.948706721 91.67768602
0.986890148 1.03477382 0.950122814 0.953564617 108.5163818
0.914572668 1.009792916 0.95700642 0.967461824 104.3754793
1.054039386 0.913706573 0.977917229 0.984066967 92.85004002
1.147799118 0.953395606 0.990216706 1.017055235 93.74078939
1.139661926 1.083971728 1.043893764 1.065726725 101.7119776
0.896082676 1.224501149 1.087559687 1.103428978 110.9723573
0.999988925 1.088370264 1.11929827 1.136372862 95.77580565
1.137264921 1.080349939 1.153447455 1.153160676 93.68598508
1.007120514 1.220568468 1.152873897 1.160564051 105.1702805
0.945415404 1.222206919 1.168254205 1.177265532 103.8174384
1.006141257 1.149891495 1.186276859 1.191169477 96.5346676
1.096248239 1.152440555 1.196062095 1.196144611 96.34625642
0.97251542 1.259709412 1.196227128 1.193637751 105.5353193
0.923993617 1.222867048 1.191048375 1.187909006 102.9428216
0.997787237 1.129176483 1.184769637 1.180569525 95.64675859
1.085564935 1.127325603 1.176369413 1.176898552 95.78783158
0.997496076 1.226108515 1.177427692 1.175701484 104.2874005
0.904555122 1.227100167 1.173975276 1.167964899 105.0631032
0.961355639 1.115366818 1.161954522 1.160702311 96.09413263
1.117524432 1.079242588 1.1594501 1.154173023 93.50786814
0.964454668 1.216090825 1.148895946 1.133819214 107.2561489
0.829277515 1.184883553 1.118742483 1.12516154 105.3078612
1.120098247 0.994752964 1.131580597 1.142103284 87.09833676
1.130573789 1.130595047 1.15262597 1.166751017 96.90114086
0.978518464 1.300272318 1.180876064 1.198554606 108.4866982
0.855549456 1.297883927 1.216233148 1.223640222 106.0674456
1.019979949 1.136181302 1.231047296 1.235894092 91.93193086
1.091895959 1.189851638 1.240740887 1.216673973 97.79543773
0.797437007 1.339046683 1.192607059 1.18042511 113.4376651
0.903326791 1.105348614 1.168243162 1.156904747 95.54361469
1.011398771 1.038725713 1.145566332 1.149133229 90.39210479
1.181369294 1.099144318 1.152700126 1.2104161 90.80714624
1.079503004 1.367581861 1.268132074 1.30282009 104.9708913
0.783886289 1.567076405 1.337508105 1.345027076 116.5089115
0.812635123 1.316229836 1.352546047 1.401940841 93.88626094
1.382936181 1.159296087 1.451335634 1.523169883 76.11075429
1.084863295 1.762740208 1.595004132
0 2.141750397

1
0.149629024
0.146974253
multiplicativo
Sin tendencia
2.5

1.5 Chart Title


0000.00
1
0000.00
0.5
0000.00

0000.000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

0000.00

0000.00

0000.00

0000.00

0000.00

0.00
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Prediccion=te
ndencia*indic
e de su
trimesstre/10
0 (se
multiplicca
por que al
pprinnccippio
salio que era
multipliacctiv
o)

158190.3251 1733.12
161545.9939 4952.73
180177.6529 -209.82
173360.3189 2956.42
152147.7912 -11326.32
157001.1218 -9354.78
176854.0864 4755.69
171765.4275 4966.98
152079.5754 -2097.76
158220.5771 -13860.94
179580.7349 2434.49
175627.5958 4067.48
156484.3312 2555.72
163735.4931 -10491.64
186795.2332 5245.45
183519.8232 2187.28
164178.694 -7543.99
172397.4354 -15585.72
197286.6366
194346.4356
174263.273
183343.189
210155.7122
207304.5597
186088.6419
195959.5463
224775.2309
221845.5959
199221.3301
209848.0948
240750.2582
237636.6924
213409.8143
224790.0046
257878.446
254522.2187
228550.5094
240710.8165
276110.3241
272485.2394
244653.7597
257645.2291
295509.5916
291608.9873
261809.8302
275701.8873
316213.4084
312038.3378
280154.8978
295028.169
338392.6866
333941.2818
299837.0425
315774.9737
362212.3822
357470.3999
320982.2386
338061.5097
387791.786
382724.3355
343660.3457
361940.082
415164.8159
409709.269
367851.1003
387360.8798
444240.3076
438300.391
393410.1067
414136.7644
474762.3066
468203.376
420034.8284
441908.0568
506270.3594
498915.8563
447230.579
470107.3254
538059.8051
529688.8952
474276.5138
497924.1737
569142.0666
559488.461
500191.6206
524270.0281
598204.9426
586956.9004
523700.7114
547742.9253
623572.8985
610374.4124
543200.4131
566592.3004
643167.3583
627620.5215
556725.159
578683.7743
654466.9957
636135.5517
561913.1798
581463.9415
654468.0259
632882.1
555972.4952
571925.1578
639644.4969
614306.5101
535646.9045
546570.3281
605908.581
576300.3458
497181.9783
501377.6937
548570.8662
514161.8648
436291.0496
431765.6206
462300.6479
422557.4926
348121.2049
332557.3866
341086.2201
295483.2955
227219.2753
197945.9695
178195.167
126226.4547
67497.82808
21458.83447
-33865.34554
-92673.25997
-137798.8425
-204077.2782
-303388.2786
-369462.017
-396128.7238
-486571.5652
-639506.4285
0
0

140
PETRÓLEO Tendencia
Periodo Trimestre PERIODO CRUDO Y GAS diferencias
NATURAL
Lineal

1 Primer I Trimestre 1990 156457.21 105574.2 136


2 Segundo II Trimestre 1990 156593.27 110470.4 23,794
3 Tercer III Trimestre 1990 180387.48 115366.6 -9,984
4 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1990 170403.90 120262.8 -6,930
5 Primer I Trimestre 1991 163474.11 125159 2,882
6 Segundo II Trimestre 1991 166355.90 130055.2 5,742
7 Tercer III Trimestre 1991 172098.39 134951.4 -5,300
8 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1991 166798.45 139847.6 -12,621
9 Primer I Trimestre 1992 154177.33 144743.8 17,904
10 Segundo II Trimestre 1992 172081.52 149640 5,065
11 Tercer III Trimestre 1992 177146.24 154536.2 -5,586
12 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1992 171560.11 159432.4 -17,632
13 Primer I Trimestre 1993 153928.61 164328.6 20,299
14 Segundo II Trimestre 1993 174227.13 169224.8 7,323
15 Tercer III Trimestre 1993 181549.78 174121 -217
16 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1993 181332.55 179017.2 -9,610
17 Primer I Trimestre 1994 171722.68 183913.4 16,260
18 Segundo II Trimestre 1994 187983.15 188809.6 19,425
19 Tercer III Trimestre 1994 207408.58 193705.8 -24,222
20 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1994 183186.26 198602 -10,799
21 Primer I Trimestre 1995 172387.71 203498.2 22,512
22 Segundo II Trimestre 1995 194899.55 208394.4 14,422
23 Tercer III Trimestre 1995 209321.95 213290.6 -10,729
24 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1995 198593.07 218186.8 -9,045
25 Primer I Trimestre 1996 189548.27 223083 12,218
26 Segundo II Trimestre 1996 201766.33 227979.2 9,144
27 Tercer III Trimestre 1996 210910.27 232875.4 -20,531
28 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1996 190379.06 237771.6 -13,156
29 Primer I Trimestre 1997 177222.65 242667.8 52,868
30 Segundo II Trimestre 1997 230090.30 247564 19,707
31 Tercer III Trimestre 1997 249797.67 252460.2 -2,315
32 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1997 247483.11 257356.4 -10,795
33 Primer I Trimestre 1998 236688.36 262252.6 10,575
34 Segundo II Trimestre 1998 247263.05 267148.8 43,771
35 Tercer III Trimestre 1998 291034.36 272045 -44,905
36 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1998 246129.49 276941.2 -10,941
37 Primer I Trimestre 1999 235188.92 281837.4 -8,050
38 Segundo II Trimestre 1999 227138.81 286733.6 45,428
39 Tercer III Trimestre 1999 272567.14 291629.8 -29,940
40 Cuarto IV Trimestre 1999 242627.00 296526 -11,692
41 Primer I Trimestre 2000 230935.27 301422.2 4,857
42 Segundo II Trimestre 2000 235792.67 306318.4 76,062
43 Tercer III Trimestre 2000 311855.03 311214.6 935
44 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2000 312790.09 316110.8 -84,777
45 Primer I Trimestre 2001 228012.87 321007 5,909
46 Segundo II Trimestre 2001 233922.19 325903.2 58,004
47 Tercer III Trimestre 2001 291926.01 330799.4 45,048
48 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2001 336974.02 335695.6 -80,878
49 Primer I Trimestre 2002 256096.29 340591.8 8,857
50 Segundo II Trimestre 2002 264953.76 345488 41,484
51 Tercer III Trimestre 2002 306438.15 350384.2 8,372
52 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2002 314809.95 355280.4 -56,579
53 Primer I Trimestre 2003 258230.84 360176.6 27,918
54 Segundo II Trimestre 2003 286148.76 365072.8 37,752
55 Tercer III Trimestre 2003 323901.19 369969 51,391
56 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2003 375291.84 374865.2 -56,845
57 Primer I Trimestre 2004 318446.73 379761.4 35,780
58 Segundo II Trimestre 2004 354226.43 384657.6 85,867
59 Tercer III Trimestre 2004 440093.03 389553.8 -8,391
60 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2004 431702.38 394450 -40,401
61 Primer I Trimestre 2005 391301.05 399346.2 28,911
62 Segundo II Trimestre 2005 420211.78 404242.4 57,876
63 Tercer III Trimestre 2005 478088.27 409138.6 2,110
64 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2005 480198.04 414034.8 -39,198
65 Primer I Trimestre 2006 441000.23 418931 -19,705
66 Segundo II Trimestre 2006 421295.41 423827.2 91,920
67 Tercer III Trimestre 2006 513215.38 428723.4 -37,472
68 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2006 475743.28 433619.6 -42,672
69 Primer I Trimestre 2007 433071.28 438515.8 28,116
70 Segundo II Trimestre 2007 461186.95 443412 64,568
71 Tercer III Trimestre 2007 525755.12 448308.2 2,507
72 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2007 528262.49 453204.4 -46,424
73 Primer I Trimestre 2008 481838.59 458100.6 -8,726
74 Segundo II Trimestre 2008 473112.57 462996.8 43,935
75 Tercer III Trimestre 2008 517047.20 467893 -1,011
76 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2008 516036.27 472789.2 -127,881
77 Primer I Trimestre 2009 388155.45 477685.4 55,583
78 Segundo II Trimestre 2009 443738.03 482581.6 20,924
79 Tercer III Trimestre 2009 464661.60 487477.8 -41,182
80 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2009 423479.34 492374 -4,622
81 Primer I Trimestre 2010 418857.40 497270.2 44,723
82 Segundo II Trimestre 2010 463580.78 502166.4 79,414
83 Tercer III Trimestre 2010 542994.30 507062.6 -8,469
84 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2010 534524.95 511958.8 -54,056
85 Primer I Trimestre 2011 480469.37 516855 -3,095
86 Segundo II Trimestre 2011 477373.91 521751.2 97,290
87 Tercer III Trimestre 2011 574664.11 526647.4 -7,534
88 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2011 567130.35 531543.6 -48,448
89 Primer I Trimestre 2012 518681.92 536439.8 28,029
90 Segundo II Trimestre 2012 546711.17 541336 80,803
91 Tercer III Trimestre 2012 627514.60 546232.2 87,640
92 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2012 715154.50 551128.4 -74,317
93 Primer I Trimestre 2013 640837.56 556024.6 -7
94 Segundo II Trimestre 2013 640830.46 560920.8 87,964
95 Tercer III Trimestre 2013 728794.00 565817 5,189
96 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2013 733983.39 570713.2 -40,064
97 Primer I Trimestre 2014 693919.20 575609.4 4,262
98 Segundo II Trimestre 2014 698180.74 580505.6 67,199
99 Tercer III Trimestre 2014 765379.41 585401.8 -21,036
100 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2014 744343.28 590298 -56,575
101 Primer I Trimestre 2015 687768.43 595194.2 -1,522
102 Segundo II Trimestre 2015 686246.57 600090.4 58,719
103 Tercer III Trimestre 2015 744965.21 604986.6 -1,865
104 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2015 743099.87 609882.8 -70,925
105 Primer I Trimestre 2016 672174.80 614779 -25,976
106 Segundo II Trimestre 2016 646199.03 619675.2 75,944
107 Tercer III Trimestre 2016 722143.20 624571.4 -25,669
108 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2016 696474.38 629467.6 -118,904
109 Primer I Trimestre 2017 577570.55 634363.8 69,365
110 Segundo II Trimestre 2017 646935.76 639260 84,473
111 Tercer III Trimestre 2017 731408.61 644156.2 -15,712
112 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2017 715696.83 649052.4 -103,383
113 Primer I Trimestre 2018 612314.03 653948.6 12,234
114 Segundo II Trimestre 2018 624548.04 658844.8 57,393
115 Tercer III Trimestre 2018 681941.48 663741 -138,136
116 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2018 543805.37 668637.2 -52,571
117 Primer I Trimestre 2019 491233.96 673533.4 5,599
118 Segundo II Trimestre 2019 496833.42 678429.6 90,110
119 Tercer III Trimestre 2019 586943.75 683325.8 46,664
120 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2019 633607.54 688222 -136,931
121 Primer I Trimestre 2020 496676.26 693118.2 -93,060
122 Segundo II Trimestre 2020 403616.58 698014.4 154,559
123 Tercer III Trimestre 2020 558175.97 702910.6 47,369
124 Cuarto IV Trimestre 2020 605544.62 707806.8 -605,545
125 712703
126 717599.2 3,651
127 722495.4 74183.0527
128 727391.6 20.31790526
129 732287.8
130 737184
131 742080.2
132 746976.4
133 751872.6
134 756768.8
135 761665
136 766561.2
137 771457.4
138 776353.6
1.8
139 781249.8
140 786146 1.6
141 791042.2 1.4
142 795938.4 1.2
143 800834.6
1
144 805730.8
145 Datos reaes 810627 0.8
146 815523.2 0.6
900000.00
147 820419.4 0.4
800000.00
148 825315.6
0.2
700000.00
149 f(x) = 4896.20665527248 x + 100678.255077107 830211.8
150 R² = 0.843658313601905
600000.00 835108 0
0 20
151
500000.00 840004.2
152 844900.4
400000.00
153 849796.6
300000.00
154 854692.8
200000.00
155 859589
156
100000.00 864485.2
157
0.00 869381.4
0
158 20 40 60 80 100 120
874277.6 140
2500000.00
159 879173.8
160 884070
161 888966.2
162 893862.4
163 898758.6 2000000.00

164 903654.8
165 908551
166 913447.2
167 918343.4 1500000.00
168 923239.6
169 928135.8
170 933032
171 937928.2
172 942824.4 1000000.00
173 947720.6
174 952616.8
175 957513
176 962409.2 500000.00
500000.00
177 967305.4
178 972201.6
179 977097.8
180 981994
181 986890.2 0.00
0
182 991786.4
183 996682.6
184 1001578.8
185 1006475
186 1011371.2
187 1016267.4
188 1021163.6
189 1026059.8
190 1030956
191 1035852.2
192 1040748.4
193 1045644.6
194 1050540.8
195 1055437
196 1060333.2
197 1065229.4
198 1070125.6
199 1075021.8
200 1079918
201 1084814.2
202 1089710.4
203 1094606.6
204 1099502.8
205 1104399
206 1109295.2
207 1114191.4
208 1119087.6
209 1123983.8
210 1128880
211 1133776.2
212 1138672.4
213 1143568.6
214 1148464.8
215 1153361
216 1158257.2
217 1163153.4
218 1168049.6
219 1172945.8
220 1177842
221 1182738.2
222 1187634.4
223 1192530.6
224 1197426.8
225 1202323
226 1207219.2
227 1212115.4
228 1217011.6
229 1221907.8
230 1226804
231 1231700.2
232 1236596.4
233 1241492.6
234 1246388.8
235 1251285
236 1256181.2
237 1261077.4
238 1265973.6
239 1270869.8
240 1275766
241 1280662.2
242 1285558.4
243 1290454.6
244 1295350.8
245 1300247
246 1305143.2
247 1310039.4
248 1314935.6
249 1319831.8
250 1324728
251 1329624.2
252 1334520.4
253 1339416.6
254 1344312.8
255 1349209
256 1354105.2
257 1359001.4
258 1363897.6
259 1368793.8
260 1373690
261 1378586.2
262 1383482.4
263 1388378.6
264 1393274.8
265 1398171
266 1403067.2
267 1407963.4
268 1412859.6
269 1417755.8
270 1422652
271 1427548.2
272 1432444.4
273 1437340.6
274 1442236.8
275 1447133
276 1452029.2
277 1456925.4
278 1461821.6
279 1466717.8
280 1471614
281 1476510.2
282 1481406.4
283 1486302.6
284 1491198.8
285 1496095
286 1500991.2
287 1505887.4
288 1510783.6
289 1515679.8
290 1520576
291 1525472.2
292 1530368.4
293 1535264.6
294 1540160.8
295 1545057
296 1549953.2
297 1554849.4
298 1559745.6
299 1564641.8
300 1569538
301 1574434.2
302 1579330.4
303 1584226.6
304 1589122.8
305 1594019
306 1598915.2
307 1603811.4
308 1608707.6
309 1613603.8
310 1618500
311 1623396.2
312 1628292.4
313 1633188.6
314 1638084.8
315 1642981
316 1647877.2
317 1652773.4
318 1657669.6
319 1662565.8
320 1667462
321 1672358.2
322 1677254.4
323 1682150.6
324 1687046.8
325 1691943
326 1696839.2
327 1701735.4
328 1706631.6
329 1711527.8
330 1716424
331 1721320.2
332 1726216.4
333 1731112.6
334 1736008.8
335 1740905
336 1745801.2
337 1750697.4
338 1755593.6
339 1760489.8
340 1765386
341 1770282.2
342 1775178.4
343 1780074.6
344 1784970.8
345 1789867
346 1794763.2
347 1799659.4
348 1804555.6
349 1809451.8
350 1814348
351 1819244.2
352 1824140.4
353 1829036.6
354 1833932.8
355 1838829
356 1843725.2
357 1848621.4
358 1853517.6
359 1858413.8
360 1863310
361 1868206.2
362 1873102.4
363 1877998.6
364 1882894.8
365 1887791
366 1892687.2
367 1897583.4
368 1902479.6
369 1907375.8
370 1912272
371 1917168.2
372 1922064.4
373 1926960.6
374 1931856.8
375 1936753
376 1941649.2
377 1946545.4
378 1951441.6
379 1956337.8
380 1961234
381 1966130.2
382 1971026.4
383 1975922.6
384 1980818.8
385 1985715
386 1990611.2
387 1995507.4
388 2000403.6
389 2005299.8
390 2010196
391 2015092.2
392 2019988.4
393 2024884.6
394 2029780.8
395 2034677
396 2039573.2
397 2044469.4
398 2049365.6
399 2054261.8
400 2059158
Media
Movil=4
debido a que
indice de
es la
Sin estacionalida
necesaria indice= sin
tendencia= d (Promedia indice
cocientes para que se centrar =2 tendencia/ce
original/tend los indices de normalizado
suavisen los ntrado*100
encia un mismo
picos (son
periodo)
cuatro
periodos en
este año)

1.000869631 1.481964409
1.151949117 1.417513352
0.944654821 1.563602252 1.470002356 1.448023239 107.9818479 107.5571284 107.7124764
0.959333156 1.416929411 1.426044123 1.408744662 100.5809959 104.3094578 104.4601151
1.017628445 1.306131477 1.391445202 1.35540267 96.36482992 92.10553081 92.23856157
1.03451929 1.279117667 1.319360138 1.291333445 99.05401829 95.45098426 95.58884696
0.969204013 1.275261996 1.263306752 1.233187067 103.4118853 399.4231013 400
0.924333107 1.19271587 1.203067381 1.186923932 100.4879789
1.116127259 1.065173992 1.170780483 1.154661364 92.24990332
1.029432104 1.149970075 1.138542244 1.123961269 102.3140304
0.968466005 1.146309041 1.109380294 1.093322575 104.8463708
0.897228426 1.076068067 1.077264857 1.062213631 101.3042985
1.131869699 0.936712243 1.047162406 1.034206837 90.5730081
1.042029351 1.029560272 1.021251269 1.013359467 101.5987224
0.998803425 1.042664494 1.005467666 1.005092998 103.7381115
0.947004192 1.012933654 1.00471833 1.000476152 101.2451573
1.09469029 0.933714898 0.996233974 0.999743434 93.39545193
1.103336015 0.99562285 1.003252894 0.99193353 100.3719322
0.883214483 1.070740174 0.980614167 0.969789999 110.4094882
0.941051519 0.922378744 0.958965831 0.951418435 96.94774779
1.130588396 0.847121554 0.943871039 0.932702672 90.82439445
1.073999182 0.935243683 0.921534305 0.920011646 101.6556352
0.948744602 0.98139324 0.918488986 0.91880829 106.8115352
0.954455582 0.910197469 0.919127594 0.91284973 99.70945262
1.064458834 0.849675983 0.906571866 0.897107537 94.71283512
1.045319462 0.885020772 0.887643209 0.873953575 101.2663369
0.902654293 0.905678611 0.860263941 0.84534316 107.1373916
0.930893636 0.800680399 0.830422378 0.835971962 95.77837958
1.298312011 0.730309728 0.841521547 0.851993431 85.71776513
1.085650601 0.92941745 0.862465314 0.88258473 105.3063143
0.990734235 0.989453681 0.902704145 0.9242305 107.0570254
0.956381899 0.961635722 0.945756854 0.94527505 101.7307843
1.04467767 0.902520564 0.944793246 0.954836818 94.52092197
1.177023244 0.925563016 0.964880391 0.955768772 96.83963769
0.845705961 1.069802262 0.946657154 0.938152638 114.0328576
0.955549556 0.888742773 0.929648123 0.912972711 97.34603915
0.965771707 0.83448444 0.8962973 0.879401271 94.8923395
1.200002489 0.792159724 0.862505243 0.853691369 92.79228452
0.890154991 0.934634035 0.844877495 0.836335961 111.7534195
0.951811937 0.818231781 0.827794427 0.824994879 99.18022548
1.02103361 0.766152168 0.822195331 0.830623306 92.23822196
1.322581491 0.76976334 0.83905128 0.860459197 89.45959811
1.002998399 1.002057832 0.881867114 0.874886216 114.5357891
0.728964495 0.989495117 0.867905319 0.861405633 114.869822
1.025916591 0.710304985 0.854905947 0.839959533 84.56419119
1.247962032 0.717765854 0.825013118 0.826802263 86.81227494
1.154313116 0.882486516 0.828591408 0.833792734 105.8400343
0.759988213 1.003808278 0.83899406 0.84513547 118.7748371
1.034586493 0.751915592 0.85127688 0.850288259 88.43066859
1.15657221 0.766897135 0.849299637 0.834584691 91.88967196
1.027319702 0.874577543 0.819869746 0.815499818 107.2443579
0.820275324 0.886088712 0.81112989 0.813244356 108.9572531
1.108112276 0.716956169 0.815358823 0.815471875 87.91917792
1.13193287 0.783812869 0.815584928 0.829966102 94.43914241
1.158661508 0.875481961 0.844347276 0.859545782 101.8540232
0.848530919 1.001138105 0.874744288 0.891878636 112.2504862
1.112356963 0.838544218 0.909012984 0.940794763 89.13147177
1.242405946 0.920887651 0.972576542 0.984239443 93.56337597
0.98093437 1.129736193 0.995902344 1.013566093 111.461522
0.906413946 1.094441315 1.031229842 1.046056943 104.6254051
1.073883582 0.979854208 1.060884044 1.06573252 91.94185128
1.137731727 1.039504461 1.070580995 1.078750974 96.36185602
1.00441292 1.168523997 1.086920954 1.096024163 106.6148025
0.91837159 1.15980115 1.105127372 1.099442609 105.4899219
0.955317876 1.05267988 1.093757846 1.097327106 95.93127468
1.218184137 0.994026357 1.100896366 1.093064262 90.93942524
0.926985622 1.197078076 1.085232158 1.0770952 111.1394867
0.91030457 1.097144319 1.068958242 1.074715791 102.0869264
1.064921559 0.987584216 1.08047334 1.077432798 91.66086438
1.14000434 1.040086748 1.074392256 1.08295127 96.041879
1.004769092 1.172753742 1.091510283 1.099539543 106.6586235
0.912119634 1.165616428 1.107568803 1.105289019 105.4580665
0.981890159 1.051818296 1.103009234 1.094546811 96.09623685
1.092862941 1.021848471 1.086084387 1.076816358 94.8953332
0.998044798 1.105054355 1.067548329 1.037642978 106.4965868
0.752186374 1.091472194 1.007737627 0.994945169 109.7017432
1.143196712 0.812575488 0.982152711 0.963170342 84.36467083
1.047152972 0.919508806 0.944187973 0.915263521 100.463832
0.911371516 0.953195402 0.886339068 0.89005632 107.09383
0.989085793 0.860076577 0.893773572 0.894230181 96.18066974
1.106774703 0.842313501 0.894686791 0.909395172 92.62348503
1.171304609 0.923161681 0.924103554 0.947103739 97.47207655
0.984402498 1.070862458 0.970103923 0.981014968 109.1586258
0.898871739 1.044078053 0.991926013 0.990898989 105.3667493
0.99355742 0.929601859 0.989871964 0.992410946 93.67106062
1.203802945 0.914945488 0.994949928 0.9978089 91.69546277
0.986890148 1.091174312 1.000667872 1.005329738 108.538947
0.914572668 1.066949828 1.009991604 1.0218646 104.412055
1.054039386 0.966896788 1.033737596 1.040941505 92.88675526
1.147799118 1.009929456 1.048145414 1.076979018 93.7742926
1.139661926 1.148805583 1.105812623 1.129017342 101.7526959
0.896082676 1.297618665 1.152222061 1.168788575 111.0225315
0.999988925 1.15253454 1.18535509 1.202759187 95.82421417
1.137264921 1.142461573 1.220163285 1.218721074 93.74266166
1.007120514 1.288038362 1.217278863 1.223904339 105.2401173
0.945415404 1.286080977 1.230529814 1.238061051 103.8786396
1.006141257 1.205538345 1.245592287 1.24801785 96.59624221
1.096248239 1.202711463 1.250443413 1.247303525 96.42492295
0.97251542 1.307442865 1.244163638 1.237913368 105.6166691
0.923993617 1.260961879 1.231663098 1.224270662 102.9969857
0.997787237 1.155536184 1.216878227 1.207369709 95.70690529
1.085564935 1.143571979 1.197861192 1.192544783 95.89342009
0.997496076 1.231374726 1.187228375 1.179456357 104.4018897
0.904555122 1.21843061 1.17168434 1.159088192 105.1197501
0.961355639 1.093360045 1.146492044 1.137097955 96.15354952
1.117524432 1.042802793 1.127703866 1.113706282 93.63355588
0.964454668 1.156222016 1.099708697 1.076847705 107.3709877
0.829277515 1.106449932 1.053986713 1.05013727 105.3624097
1.120098247 0.910472108 1.046287827 1.043691607 87.23574107
1.130573789 1.012007253 1.041095387 1.040624093 97.25003099
0.978518464 1.135452254 1.040152799 1.043385483 108.8238501
0.855549456 1.102679582 1.046618167 1.038610272 106.1687537
1.019979949 0.936333578 1.030602376 1.017098476 92.05928432
1.091895959 0.947944092 1.003594576 0.96742264 97.98655247
0.797437007 1.027421052 0.931250703 0.905376341 113.4799978
0.903326791 0.81330409 0.879501978 0.852550046 95.3966391
1.011398771 0.729338678 0.825598114 0.804539425 90.65294443
1.181369294 0.732328635 0.783480736 0.796898241 91.89738381
1.079503004 0.858951542 0.810315745 0.808721203 106.2110823
0.783886289 0.920644125 0.807126661 0.787864996 116.8530306
0.812635123 0.716582343 0.768603331 0.760495939 94.22566335
1.382936181 0.578235315 0.752388546 0.744248339 77.69386709
1.084863295 0.794092402 0.736108131
0 0.855522465

1
0.149629024
0.146974253
multiplicativo
Sin tendencia
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Chart Title

2500000.00

2000000.00

1500000.00

1000000.00

500000.00
500000.00

0.00
0 50 100 150 200 2
Prediccion=te
ndencia*indic
e de su
trimesstre/10
0 (se
multiplicca
por que al
pprinnccippio
salio que era
multipliacctiv
o)

97380.12347 -59077.08
105597.3816 -50995.89
124264.2218 -56123.25
125626.6593 -44777.24
115444.8613 -48029.25
124318.2661 -42037.64
145359.4948 -26738.90
146084.9639 -20713.49
133509.5991 -20667.73
143039.1506 -29042.37
166454.7679 -10691.48
166543.2685 -5016.85
151574.3369 -2354.27
161760.0351 -12467.10
187550.041 6000.26
187001.5732 5669.03
169639.0747 -2083.61
180480.9196 -7502.23
208645.314
207459.8778
187703.8125
199201.8041
229740.5871
227918.1824
205768.5503
217922.6886
250835.8602
248376.487
223833.2881
236643.5731
271931.1332
268834.7917
241898.0259
255364.4576
293026.4063
289293.0963
259962.7637
274085.3421
314121.6794
309751.4009
278027.5015
292806.2266
335216.9525
330209.7055
296092.2394
311527.1111
356312.2255
350668.0101
314156.9772
330247.9956
377407.4986
371126.3148
332221.715
348968.8801
398502.7717
391584.6194
350286.4528
367689.7646
419598.0447
412042.924
368351.1906
386410.6491
440693.3178
432501.2286
386415.9284
405131.5336
461788.5909
452959.5333
404480.6662
423852.4181
482883.864
473417.8379
422545.404
442573.3026
503979.137
493876.1425
440610.1418
461294.1871
525074.4101
514334.4471
458674.8796
480015.0716
546169.6832
534792.7517
476739.6174
498735.9561
567264.9562
555251.0564
494804.3552
517456.8406
588360.2293
575709.361
512869.093
536177.7251
609455.5024
596167.6656
530933.8308
554898.6096
630550.7754
616625.9702
548998.5687
573619.4941
651646.0485
637084.2749
567063.3065
592340.3786
672741.3216
657542.5795
585128.0443
611061.2631
693836.5947
678000.8841
603192.7821
629782.1476
714931.8677
698459.1887
621257.5199
648503.0321
736027.1408
718917.4933
639322.2577
667223.9166
757122.4139
739375.798
657386.9955
685944.8011
778217.6869
759834.1026
675451.7333
704665.6856
799312.96
780292.4072
693516.4711
723386.5701
820408.2331
800750.7118
711581.2089
742107.4546
841503.5062
821209.0164
729645.9467
760828.3391
862598.7792
841667.3211
747710.6845
779549.2236
883694.0523
862125.6257
765775.4223
798270.1081
904789.3254
882583.9303
783840.1601
816990.9926
925884.5984
Chart 903042.2349
Title
801904.898
835711.8771
946979.8715
923500.5396
819969.6358
854432.7616
968075.1446
943958.8442
838034.3736
873153.6461
989170.4176
964417.1488
856099.1114
891874.5306
1010265.691
984875.4534
874163.8492
910595.4151
1031360.964
1005333.758
892228.587
929316.2996
1052456.237
1025792.063
910293.3248
200 250 300 350 400 450
948037.1841
1073551.51
1046250.367
928358.0626
966758.0686
1094646.783
1066708.672
946422.8004
985478.9531
1115742.056
1087166.977
964487.5382
1004199.838
1136837.329
1107625.281
982552.276
1022920.722
1157932.602
1128083.586
1000617.014
1041641.607
1179027.875
1148541.89
1018681.752
1060362.491
1200123.148
1169000.195
1036746.489
1079083.376
1221218.421
1189458.5
1054811.227
1097804.26
1242313.694
1209916.804
1072875.965
1116525.145
1263408.968
1230375.109
1090940.703
1135246.029
1284504.241
1250833.414
1109005.441
1153966.914
1305599.514
1271291.718
1127070.178
1172687.798
1326694.787
1291750.023
1145134.916
1191408.683
1347790.06
1312208.327
1163199.654
1210129.567
1368885.333
1332666.632
1181264.392
1228850.452
1389980.606
1353124.937
1199329.13
1247571.336
1411075.879
1373583.241
1217393.868
1266292.221
1432171.152
1394041.546
1235458.605
1285013.105
1453266.425
1414499.85
1253523.343
1303733.99
1474361.698
1434958.155
1271588.081
1322454.874
1495456.971
1455416.46
1289652.819
1341175.759
1516552.244
1475874.764
1307717.557
1359896.643
1537647.517
1496333.069
1325782.294
1378617.528
1558742.791
1516791.374
1343847.032
1397338.412
1579838.064
1537249.678
1361911.77
1416059.297
1600933.337
1557707.983
1379976.508
1434780.181
1622028.61
1578166.287
1398041.246
1453501.066
1643123.883
1598624.592
1416105.983
1472221.95
1664219.156
1619082.897
1434170.721
1490942.835
1685314.429
1639541.201
1452235.459
1509663.719
1706409.702
1659999.506
1470300.197
1528384.604
1727504.975
1680457.811
1488364.935
1547105.488
1748600.248
1700916.115
1506429.672
1565826.373
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1721374.42
1524494.41
1584547.257
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1741832.724
1542559.148
1603268.142
1811886.067
1762291.029
1560623.886
1621989.026
1832981.34
1782749.334
1578688.624
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1854076.614
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1875171.887
1823665.943
1614818.099
1678151.68
1896267.16
1844124.248
1632882.837
1696872.564
1917362.433
1864582.552
1650947.575
1715593.449
1938457.706
1885040.857
1669012.313
1734314.333
1959552.979
1905499.161
1687077.051
1753035.218
1980648.252
1925957.466
1705141.788
1771756.102
2001743.525
1946415.771
1723206.526
1790476.987
2022838.798
1966874.075
1741271.264
1809197.871
2043934.071
1987332.38
1759336.002
1827918.756
2065029.344
2007790.685
1777400.74
1846639.64
2086124.617
2028248.989
1795465.477
1865360.525
2107219.89
2048707.294
1813530.215
1884081.409
2128315.163
2069165.598
1831594.953
1902802.294
2149410.437
2089623.903
1849659.691
1921523.178
2170505.71
2110082.208
1867724.429
1940244.063
2191600.983
2130540.512
1885789.166
1958964.947
2212696.256
2150998.817
450
PETRÓLEO Tendencia
Periodo Trimestre PERIODO CRUDO Y GAS
NATURAL
Lineal

1a Primer I Trimestre 1990 156457.21 105574.2


2b Segundo II Trimestre 1990 156593.27 110470.4
3c Tercer III Trimestre 1990 180387.48 115366.6
4d Cuarto IV Trimestre 1990 170403.90 120262.8
5e Primer I Trimestre 1991 163474.11 125159
6f Segundo II Trimestre 1991 166355.90 130055.2
7g Tercer III Trimestre 1991 172098.39 134951.4
8h Cuarto IV Trimestre 1991 166798.45 139847.6
9i Primer I Trimestre 1992 154177.33 144743.8
10 j Segundo II Trimestre 1992 172081.52 149640
11 k Tercer III Trimestre 1992 177146.24 154536.2
12 l Cuarto IV Trimestre 1992 171560.11 159432.4
13 m Primer I Trimestre 1993 153928.61 164328.6
14 n Segundo II Trimestre 1993 174227.13 169224.8
15 o Tercer III Trimestre 1993 181549.78 174121
16 p Cuarto IV Trimestre 1993 181332.55 179017.2
17 q Primer I Trimestre 1994 171722.68 183913.4
18 r Segundo II Trimestre 1994 187983.15 188809.6
19 s Tercer III Trimestre 1994 207408.58 193705.8
20 t Cuarto IV Trimestre 1994 183186.26 198602
21 u Primer I Trimestre 1995 172387.71 203498.2
22 a Segundo II Trimestre 1995 194899.55 208394.4
23 b Tercer III Trimestre 1995 209321.95 213290.6
24 c Cuarto IV Trimestre 1995 198593.07 218186.8
25 d Primer I Trimestre 1996 189548.27 223083
26 e Segundo II Trimestre 1996 201766.33 227979.2
27 f Tercer III Trimestre 1996 210910.27 232875.4
28 g Cuarto IV Trimestre 1996 190379.06 237771.6
29 h Primer I Trimestre 1997 177222.65 242667.8
30 i Segundo II Trimestre 1997 230090.30 247564
31 j Tercer III Trimestre 1997 249797.67 252460.2
32 k Cuarto IV Trimestre 1997 247483.11 257356.4
33 l Primer I Trimestre 1998 236688.36 262252.6
34 m Segundo II Trimestre 1998 247263.05 267148.8
35 n Tercer III Trimestre 1998 291034.36 272045
36 o Cuarto IV Trimestre 1998 246129.49 276941.2
37 p Primer I Trimestre 1999 235188.92 281837.4
38 q Segundo II Trimestre 1999 227138.81 286733.6
39 r Tercer III Trimestre 1999 272567.14 291629.8
40 s Cuarto IV Trimestre 1999 242627.00 296526
41 t Primer I Trimestre 2000 230935.27 301422.2
42 u Segundo II Trimestre 2000 235792.67 306318.4
43 a Tercer III Trimestre 2000 311855.03 311214.6
44 b Cuarto IV Trimestre 2000 312790.09 316110.8
45 c Primer I Trimestre 2001 228012.87 321007
46 d Segundo II Trimestre 2001 233922.19 325903.2
47 e Tercer III Trimestre 2001 291926.01 330799.4
48 f Cuarto IV Trimestre 2001 336974.02 335695.6
49 g Primer I Trimestre 2002 256096.29 340591.8
50 h Segundo II Trimestre 2002 264953.76 345488
51 i Tercer III Trimestre 2002 306438.15 350384.2
52 j Cuarto IV Trimestre 2002 314809.95 355280.4
53 k Primer I Trimestre 2003 258230.84 360176.6
54 l Segundo II Trimestre 2003 286148.76 365072.8
55 m Tercer III Trimestre 2003 323901.19 369969
56 n Cuarto IV Trimestre 2003 375291.84 374865.2
57 o Primer I Trimestre 2004 318446.73 379761.4
58 p Segundo II Trimestre 2004 354226.43 384657.6
59 q Tercer III Trimestre 2004 440093.03 389553.8
60 r Cuarto IV Trimestre 2004 431702.38 394450
61 s Primer I Trimestre 2005 391301.05 399346.2
62 t Segundo II Trimestre 2005 420211.78 404242.4
63 u Tercer III Trimestre 2005 478088.27 409138.6
64 a Cuarto IV Trimestre 2005 480198.04 414034.8
65 b Primer I Trimestre 2006 441000.23 418931
66 c Segundo II Trimestre 2006 421295.41 423827.2
67 d Tercer III Trimestre 2006 513215.38 428723.4
68 e Cuarto IV Trimestre 2006 475743.28 433619.6
69 f Primer I Trimestre 2007 433071.28 438515.8
70 g Segundo II Trimestre 2007 461186.95 443412
71 h Tercer III Trimestre 2007 525755.12 448308.2
72 i Cuarto IV Trimestre 2007 528262.49 453204.4
73 j Primer I Trimestre 2008 481838.59 458100.6
74 k Segundo II Trimestre 2008 473112.57 462996.8
75 l Tercer III Trimestre 2008 517047.20 467893
76 m Cuarto IV Trimestre 2008 516036.27 472789.2
77 n Primer I Trimestre 2009 388155.45 477685.4
78 o Segundo II Trimestre 2009 443738.03 482581.6
79 p Tercer III Trimestre 2009 464661.60 487477.8
80 q Cuarto IV Trimestre 2009 423479.34 492374
81 r Primer I Trimestre 2010 418857.40 497270.2
82 s Segundo II Trimestre 2010 463580.78 502166.4
83 t Tercer III Trimestre 2010 542994.30 507062.6
84 u Cuarto IV Trimestre 2010 534524.95 511958.8
85 a Primer I Trimestre 2011 480469.37 516855
86 b Segundo II Trimestre 2011 477373.91 521751.2
87 c Tercer III Trimestre 2011 574664.11 526647.4
88 d Cuarto IV Trimestre 2011 567130.35 531543.6
89 e Primer I Trimestre 2012 518681.92 536439.8
90 f Segundo II Trimestre 2012 546711.17 541336
91 g Tercer III Trimestre 2012 627514.60 546232.2
92 h Cuarto IV Trimestre 2012 715154.50 551128.4
93 i Primer I Trimestre 2013 640837.56 556024.6
94 j Segundo II Trimestre 2013 640830.46 560920.8
95 k Tercer III Trimestre 2013 728794.00 565817
96 l Cuarto IV Trimestre 2013 733983.39 570713.2
97 m Primer I Trimestre 2014 693919.20 575609.4
98 n Segundo II Trimestre 2014 698180.74 580505.6
99 o Tercer III Trimestre 2014 765379.41 585401.8
100 p Cuarto IV Trimestre 2014 744343.28 590298
101 q Primer I Trimestre 2015 687768.43 595194.2
102 r Segundo II Trimestre 2015 686246.57 600090.4
103 s Tercer III Trimestre 2015 744965.21 604986.6
104 t Cuarto IV Trimestre 2015 743099.87 609882.8
105 u Primer I Trimestre 2016 672174.80 614779
106 a Segundo II Trimestre 2016 646199.03 619675.2
107 b Tercer III Trimestre 2016 722143.20 624571.4
108 c Cuarto IV Trimestre 2016 696474.38 629467.6
109 d Primer I Trimestre 2017 577570.55 634363.8
110 e Segundo II Trimestre 2017 646935.76 639260
111 f Tercer III Trimestre 2017 731408.61 644156.2
112 g Cuarto IV Trimestre 2017 715696.83 649052.4
113 h Primer I Trimestre 2018 612314.03 653948.6
114 i Segundo II Trimestre 2018 624548.04 658844.8
115 j Tercer III Trimestre 2018 681941.48 663741
116 k Cuarto IV Trimestre 2018 543805.37 668637.2
117 l Primer I Trimestre 2019 491233.96 673533.4
118 m Segundo II Trimestre 2019 496833.42 678429.6
119 n Tercer III Trimestre 2019 586943.75 683325.8
120 o Cuarto IV Trimestre 2019 633607.54 688222
121 p Primer I Trimestre 2020 496676.26 693118.2
122 q Segundo II Trimestre 2020 403616.58 698014.4
123 r Tercer III Trimestre 2020 558175.97 702910.6
124 s Cuarto IV Trimestre 2020 605544.62 707806.8
125 712703
126 717599.2
127 722495.4
128 727391.6
129 732287.8
130 737184
131 742080.2
132 746976.4
133 751872.6
134 756768.8
135 761665
136 766561.2
137 771457.4
138 776353.6
139 781249.8
140 786146
141 791042.2
142 795938.4
143 800834.6
144 805730.8
145 Datos reaes 810627
146 815523.2
900000.00
147 820419.4
800000.00
148 825315.6
700000.00
149 830211.8
Moving average trend line with period = %PERIOD
150
600000.00 R² = NaN 835108
151
500000.00 840004.2
152 844900.4
400000.00
153 849796.6
300000.00
154 854692.8
200000.00
155 859589
156
100000.00 864485.2
157
0.00 869381.4
1580 20 40 60 80 100 120
874277.6 140
25
159 879173.8
160 884070
161 888966.2
162 893862.4
163 898758.6 20

164 903654.8
165 908551
166 913447.2
167 918343.4 15
168 923239.6
169 928135.8
170 933032
171 937928.2
172 942824.4 10
173 947720.6
174 952616.8
175 957513
176 962409.2 5
5
177 967305.4
178 972201.6
179 977097.8
180 981994
181 986890.2
182 991786.4
183 996682.6
184 1001578.8
185 1006475
186 1011371.2
187 1016267.4
188 1021163.6
189 1026059.8
190 1030956
191 1035852.2
192 1040748.4
193 1045644.6
194 1050540.8
195 1055437
196 1060333.2
197 1065229.4
198 1070125.6
199 1075021.8
200 1079918
201 1084814.2
202 1089710.4
203 1094606.6
204 1099502.8
205 1104399
206 1109295.2
207 1114191.4
208 1119087.6
209 1123983.8
210 1128880
211 1133776.2
212 1138672.4
213 1143568.6
214 1148464.8
215 1153361
216 1158257.2
217 1163153.4
218 1168049.6
219 1172945.8
220 1177842
221 1182738.2
222 1187634.4
223 1192530.6
224 1197426.8
225 1202323
226 1207219.2
227 1212115.4
228 1217011.6
229 1221907.8
230 1226804
231 1231700.2
232 1236596.4
233 1241492.6
234 1246388.8
235 1251285
236 1256181.2
237 1261077.4
238 1265973.6
239 1270869.8
240 1275766
241 1280662.2
242 1285558.4
243 1290454.6
244 1295350.8
245 1300247
246 1305143.2
247 1310039.4
248 1314935.6
249 1319831.8
250 1324728
251 1329624.2
252 1334520.4
253 1339416.6
254 1344312.8
255 1349209
256 1354105.2
257 1359001.4
258 1363897.6
259 1368793.8
260 1373690
261 1378586.2
262 1383482.4
263 1388378.6
264 1393274.8
265 1398171
266 1403067.2
267 1407963.4
268 1412859.6
269 1417755.8
270 1422652
271 1427548.2
272 1432444.4
273 1437340.6
274 1442236.8
275 1447133
276 1452029.2
277 1456925.4
278 1461821.6
279 1466717.8
280 1471614
281 1476510.2
282 1481406.4
283 1486302.6
284 1491198.8
285 1496095
286 1500991.2
287 1505887.4
288 1510783.6
289 1515679.8
290 1520576
291 1525472.2
292 1530368.4
293 1535264.6
294 1540160.8
295 1545057
296 1549953.2
297 1554849.4
298 1559745.6
299 1564641.8
300 1569538
301 1574434.2
302 1579330.4
303 1584226.6
304 1589122.8
305 1594019
306 1598915.2
307 1603811.4
308 1608707.6
309 1613603.8
310 1618500
311 1623396.2
312 1628292.4
313 1633188.6
314 1638084.8
315 1642981
316 1647877.2
317 1652773.4
318 1657669.6
319 1662565.8
320 1667462
321 1672358.2
322 1677254.4
323 1682150.6
324 1687046.8
325 1691943
326 1696839.2
327 1701735.4
328 1706631.6
329 1711527.8
330 1716424
331 1721320.2
332 1726216.4
333 1731112.6
334 1736008.8
335 1740905
336 1745801.2
337 1750697.4
338 1755593.6
339 1760489.8
340 1765386
341 1770282.2
342 1775178.4
343 1780074.6
344 1784970.8
345 1789867
346 1794763.2
347 1799659.4
348 1804555.6
349 1809451.8
350 1814348
351 1819244.2
352 1824140.4
353 1829036.6
354 1833932.8
355 1838829
356 1843725.2
357 1848621.4
358 1853517.6
359 1858413.8
360 1863310
361 1868206.2
362 1873102.4
363 1877998.6
364 1882894.8
365 1887791
366 1892687.2
367 1897583.4
368 1902479.6
369 1907375.8
370 1912272
371 1917168.2
372 1922064.4
373 1926960.6
374 1931856.8
375 1936753
376 1941649.2
377 1946545.4
378 1951441.6
379 1956337.8
380 1961234
381 1966130.2
382 1971026.4
383 1975922.6
384 1980818.8
385 1985715
386 1990611.2
387 1995507.4
388 2000403.6
389 2005299.8
390 2010196
391 2015092.2
392 2019988.4
393 2024884.6
394 2029780.8
395 2034677
396 2039573.2
397 2044469.4
398 2049365.6
399 2054261.8
400 2059158
Media
Movil=4
debido a que
indice de
es la
Sin estacionalida
necesaria indice= sin
tendencia= d (Promedia
diferencias cocientes para que se centrar =2 tendencia/ce
original/tend los indices de
suavisen los ntrado*100
encia un mismo
picos (son
periodo)
cuatro
periodos en
este año)

136 1.000869631 1.481964409


23,794 1.151949117 1.417513352
-9,984 0.944654821 1.563602252
-6,930 0.959333156 1.416929411
2,882 1.017628445 1.306131477
5,742 1.03451929 1.279117667
-5,300 0.969204013 1.275261996
-12,621 0.924333107 1.19271587
17,904 1.116127259 1.065173992 1.178563484 1.163837545 91.52256654 101.5248322
5,065 1.029432104 1.149970075 1.149111607 1.134101296 101.3992382 102.6694486
-5,586 0.968466005 1.146309041 1.119090986 1.102555234 103.9684005 100.4522114
-17,632 0.897228426 1.076068067 1.086019482 1.074558004 100.1405288 101.0649462
20,299 1.131869699 0.936712243 1.063096526 1.05267721 88.98380567 99.51947236
7,323 1.042029351 1.029560272 1.042257894 1.030956797 99.86454091 102.0224257
-217 0.998803425 1.042664494 1.0196557 1.009386194 103.2968848 98.9977192
-9,610 0.947004192 1.012933654 0.999116688 0.991563076 102.1552414 98.8782272
16,260 1.09469029 0.933714898 0.984009464 0.977049106 95.5647871 97.05833111
19,425 1.103336015 0.99562285 0.970088749 0.959045055 103.8139809 100.6623825
-24,222 0.883214483 1.070740174 0.948001362 0.942293688 113.6312581 100.7234427
-10,799 0.941051519 0.922378744 0.936586015 0.934306689 98.72333733 100.3049981
22,512 1.130588396 0.847121554 0.932027363 0.932683244 90.82628633 98.59206241
14,422 1.073999182 0.935243683 0.933339125 0.929995975 100.5642721 102.9418313
-10,729 0.948744602 0.98139324 0.926652825 0.923571207 106.2607012 103.847986
-9,045 0.954455582 0.910197469 0.920489589 0.921986131 98.72138396 97.06552405
12,218 1.064458834 0.849675983 0.923482674 0.922299197 92.12585089 95.46049228
9,144 1.045319462 0.885020772 0.92111572 0.916875235 96.52575814 98.67178293
-20,531 0.902654293 0.905678611 0.912634751 0.905303686 100.0414143 103.7238671
-13,156 0.930893636 0.800680399 0.897972622 0.898295129 89.13333415 98.79422708
52,868 1.298312011 0.730309728 0.898617637 0.89785738 81.33916858 99.41497141
19,707 1.085650601 0.92941745 0.897097123 0.892647346 104.1192195
-2,315 0.990734235 0.989453681 0.888197569 0.882628362 112.1030916 2102.391182
-10,795 0.956381899 0.961635722 0.877059154 0.879476532 109.3418286
10,575 1.04467767 0.902520564 0.88189391 0.88557336 101.9136984
43,771 1.177023244 0.925563016 0.889252811 0.884655028 104.6241741
-44,905 0.845705961 1.069802262 0.880057244 0.875112171 122.247444
-10,941 0.955549556 0.888742773 0.870167099 0.872319891 101.8826674
-8,050 0.965771707 0.83448444 0.874472684 0.881670014 94.64815938
45,428 1.200002489 0.792159724 0.888867344 0.884196243 89.59093987
-29,940 0.890154991 0.934634035 0.879525141 0.87366839 106.9781219
-11,692 0.951811937 0.818231781 0.867811639 0.865520634 94.53636913
4,857 1.02103361 0.766152168 0.863229629 0.862797212 88.79863747
76,062 1.322581491 0.76976334 0.862364795 0.856875141 89.83378126
935 1.002998399 1.002057832 0.851385487 0.843859451 118.7470059
-84,777 0.728964495 0.989495117 0.836333414 0.835984445 118.3628623
5,909 1.025916591 0.710304985 0.835635476 0.840021099 84.55799333
58,004 1.247962032 0.717765854 0.844406722 0.845627367 84.87968605
45,048 1.154313116 0.882486516 0.846848011 0.846486264 104.2529044
-80,878 0.759988213 1.003808278 0.846124517 0.854322002 117.4976503
8,857 1.034586493 0.751915592 0.862519486 0.871158674 86.31212825
41,484 1.15657221 0.766897135 0.879797862 0.885326569 86.62307917
8,372 1.027319702 0.874577543 0.890855276 0.891840714 98.06432128
-56,579 0.820275324 0.886088712 0.892826152 0.897537438 98.72442911
27,918 1.108112276 0.716956169 0.902248724 0.914077571 78.43493724
37,752 1.13193287 0.783812869 0.925906417 0.934719944 83.85537011
51,391 1.158661508 0.875481961 0.943533471 0.94646873 92.49982939
-56,845 0.848530919 1.001138105 0.949403989 0.954490037 104.8872243
35,780 1.112356963 0.838544218 0.959576084 0.96866105 86.56735173
85,867 1.242405946 0.920887651 0.977746017 0.983553572 93.62862147
-8,391 0.98093437 1.129736193 0.989361126 0.993716632 113.6879627
-40,401 0.906413946 1.094441315 0.998072137 1.005615954 108.8329308
28,911 1.073883582 0.979854208 1.01315977 1.024966619 95.59864584
57,876 1.137731727 1.039504461 1.036773468 1.043826243 99.58596733
2,110 1.00441292 1.168523997 1.050879017 1.054730767 110.7888414
-39,198 0.91837159 1.15980115 1.058582517 1.061317156 109.2794123
-19,705 0.955317876 1.05267988 1.064051794 1.070707793 98.31626211
91,920 1.218184137 0.994026357 1.077363792 1.074513472 92.50943641
-37,472 0.926985622 1.197078076 1.071663152 1.066130853 112.282472
-42,672 0.91030457 1.097144319 1.060598553 1.056881555 103.8095815
28,116 1.064921559 0.987584216 1.053164558 1.050012515 94.05451859
64,568 1.14000434 1.040086748 1.046860472 1.041671236 99.84788984
2,507 1.004769092 1.172753742 1.036482 1.030025097 113.8568123
-46,424 0.912119634 1.165616428 1.023568194 1.021227702 114.1387396
-8,726 0.981890159 1.051818296 1.01888721 1.018660846 103.2550038
43,935 1.092862941 1.021848471 1.018434483 1.016739101 100.5025252
-1,011 0.998044798 1.105054355 1.01504372 1.007619178 109.6698415
-127,881 0.752186374 1.091472194 1.000194636 1.00003753 109.1431232
55,583 1.143196712 0.812575488 0.999880425 1.001968994 81.09786764
20,924 1.047152972 0.919508806 1.004057563 1.002131511 91.75530317
-41,182 0.911371516 0.953195402 1.000205459 0.99592061 95.70997857
-4,622 0.989085793 0.860076577 0.99163576 0.991193369 86.77182513
44,723 1.106774703 0.842313501 0.990750979 0.99721941 84.4662161
79,414 1.171304609 0.923161681 1.00368784 1.007126947 91.66289153
-8,469 0.984402498 1.070862458 1.010566054 1.011550455 105.8634745
-54,056 0.898871739 1.044078053 1.012534855 1.017707649 102.5911571
-3,095 0.99355742 0.929601859 1.022880443 1.035341114 89.78701286
97,290 1.203802945 0.914945488 1.047801785 1.055328878 86.69766436
-7,534 0.986890148 1.091174312 1.062855971 1.069422183 102.0340076
-48,448 0.914572668 1.066949828 1.075988395 1.087761192 98.08677085
28,029 1.054039386 0.966896788 1.099533989 1.110551052 87.06459611
80,803 1.147799118 1.009929456 1.121568114 1.127683233 89.55790299
87,640 1.139661926 1.148805583 1.133798351 1.13571176 101.1529178
-74,317 0.896082676 1.297618665 1.137625168 1.142554028 113.5717553
-7 0.999988925 1.15253454 1.147482888 1.155083645 99.77931426
87,964 1.137264921 1.142461573 1.162684401 1.167379521 97.86548009
5,189 1.007120514 1.288038362 1.172074641 1.170801706 110.0133656
-40,064 0.945415404 1.286080977 1.169528772 1.17187804 109.7452921
4,262 1.006141257 1.205538345 1.174227308 1.177899759 102.3464294
67,199 1.096248239 1.202711463 1.18157221 1.178954912 102.0150518
-21,036 0.97251542 1.307442865 1.176337613 1.172737657 111.4863889
-56,575 0.923993617 1.260961879 1.169137701 1.164870164 108.2491352
-1,522 0.997787237 1.155536184 1.160602627 1.159290654 99.67614076
58,719 1.085564935 1.143571979 1.157978681 1.152554261 99.220663
-1,865 0.997496076 1.231374726 1.14712984 1.13817999 108.188049
-70,925 0.904555122 1.21843061 1.129230141 1.122423301 108.5535741
-25,976 0.961355639 1.093360045 1.115616461 1.105294507 98.92024601
75,944 1.117524432 1.042802793 1.094972553 1.082515374 96.33145342
-25,669 0.964454668 1.156222016 1.070058196 1.054923611 109.6024399
-118,904 0.829277515 1.106449932 1.039789026 1.029209806 107.5047989
69,365 1.120098247 0.910472108 1.018630587 1.012449217 89.92768158
84,473 1.130573789 1.012007253 1.006267847 0.995031278 101.7060746
-15,712 0.978518464 1.135452254 0.983794708 0.966606829 117.4678494
-103,383 0.855549456 1.102679582 0.94941895 0.938252155 117.5248654
12,234 1.019979949 0.936333578 0.92708536 0.920826476 101.6840417
57,393 1.091895959 0.947944092 0.914567592
-138,136 0.797437007 1.027421052
-52,571 0.903326791 0.81330409
5,599 1.011398771 0.729338678
90,110 1.181369294 0.732328635
46,664 1.079503004 0.858951542
-136,931 0.783886289 0.920644125
-93,060 0.812635123 0.716582343
154,559 1.382936181 0.578235315
47,369 1.084863295 0.794092402
-605,545 0 0.855522465

3,651 1
74183.0527 0.149629024
20.31790526 0.146974253
multiplicativo
Sin tendencia
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Chart Title

2500000.00

2000000.00

1500000.00

1000000.00

500000.00
500000.00

0.00
0 50 100 150 200
Prediccion=te
ndencia*indic
e de su
trimesstre/10
0 (se
indice
multiplicca
normalizado
por que al
pprinnccippio
salio que era
multipliacctiv
o)

108680.0149 -47777.19
114721.2855 -41871.98
111981.1949 -68406.28
114803.4609 -55600.44
123496.6168 -39977.49
134898.2828 -31457.62
133324.1926 -38774.20
139029.4516 -27769.00
i 146950.9001 -7226.43
j 153634.5628 -18446.96
k 155235.0304 -21911.21
l 161130.2692 -10429.85
m 163538.9557 9610.34
n 172647.2459 -1579.89
o 172375.8187 -9173.97
p 177009.0337 -4323.51
q 178503.2767 6780.60
r 190060.2418 2077.09
s 195107.1505
t 199207.7324
u 200633.0723
a 214525.0117
b 221497.9923
c 211784.1608
d 212956.13
e 224951.1414
f 241547.3705
g 234904.6144
h 241248.124
251338.9357
259199.4952
258520.1951
265045.449
265865.0762
277546.9081
274165.4715
278675.8247
278298.8469
293561.5048
298671.1958
302341.5321
302005.6281
320370.0086
328274.6992
311587.1268
311108.7991
326405.6659
348196.4581
336485.0363
343466.7964
355726.9713
364764.4275
361805.3598
368960.6288
368191.1967
382446.5702
375955.1244
380342.6157
378094.417
397062.7679
402235.241
405475.3318
403378.1839
426215.0054
435051.406
411390.0927
409261.4681
427860.1905
454845.5457
438065.4582
445685.4689
460115.0068
470329.3599
465090.5245
472875.8086
470517.3172
487346.2324
477744.7773
482009.4066
477889.9872
500564.0309
505799.2863
508609.1315
504750.7396
532060.0022
541828.1129
511193.0587
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Chart 877667.1491
Title
892589.0893
878231.1832
888536.5277
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906944.8811
884903.3888
888676.5705
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992451.7075
150
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200 250 300 350 400
1011844.543
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2025339.076
2119734.955
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