DP DPNOM DPMP MPIO

54 Norte de Santander 54001 ARBOLEDAS

CABECERA

METODO ARITMETICO METODO GEOME

AÑO P r AÑO
1985 2,035 -33 1985
1986 2,002 -18 1986
1987 1,984 -6 1987
1988 1,978 4 1988
1989 1,982 9 1989
1990 1,991 32 1990
1991 2,023 32 1991
1992 2,055 33 1992
1993 2,088 31 1993
1994 2,119 27 1994
1995 2,146 13 1995
1996 2,159 13 1996
1997 2,172 14 1997
1998 2,186 14 1998
1999 2,200 18 1999
2000 2,218 15 2000
2001 2,233 15 2001
2002 2,248 17 2002
2003 2,265 16 2003
2004 2,281 18 2004
2005 2,299 17 2005
2006 2,316 21 2006
2007 2,337 22 2007
2008 2,359 22 2008
2009 2,381 22 2009
2010 2,403 18 2010
2011 2,421 21 2011
2012 2,442 17 2012
2013 2,459 16 2013
2014 2,475 15 2014
2015 2,490 14 2015
2016 2,504 12 2016
2017 2,516 11 2017
2018 2,527 8 2018
2019 2,535 7 2019
2020 2,542 2020
507

PROYECCION DE LA POBLACION e
 2.71828183
AÑO P (Aritm) P (Geom) P (Expon)
2017 2,893 2,893 2,893
2018 3,400 3541 3639
2019 3,907 4334 7278 15% DE 2516 =
2020 4,414 5304 10917
2021 4,921 6491 14556
2022 5,428 7943 18195
2023 5,935 9721 21833
2024 6,442 11897 25472
2025 6,949 14560 29111
2026 7,456 17819 32750
2027 7,963 21808 36389
2028 8,470 26689 40028
2029 8,977 32662 43667
2030 9,484 39973 47306
2031 9,991 48920 50945
2032 10,498 59870 54584
2033 11,005 73270 58223
2034 11,512 89670 61861
2035 12,019 109741 65500
2036 12,526 134304 69139
2037 13,033 164365 72778
2038 13,540 201154 76417
2039 14,047 246178 80056
2040 14,554 301279 83695
2041 15,061 368713 87334
2042 15,568 451241 90973

GRAFICA

50

45

40

35

30 P (Ar
Linea
R² = 0.721465972105605 P (Ge
25
Linea
P (Ex
20 Expo

15
R² = 0.842983780651554
10
 R² = 0.721465972105605 P (Ge
25
Linea
P (Ex
20 Expo

15
R² = 0.842983780651554
10

0 R² = 1
METODO GEOMETRICO METODO EXPONENCIAL
P r AÑO P K
2,035 -0.016 1985 2,035 -0.013
2,002 -0.009 1986 2,002 -0.006
1,984 -0.003 1987 1,984 -0.001
1,978 0.002 1988 1,978 0.003
1,982 0.005 1989 1,982 0.010
1,991 0.016 1990 1,991 0.016
2,023 0.016 1991 2,023 0.016
2,055 0.016 1992 2,055 0.015
2,088 0.015 1993 2,088 0.014
2,119 0.013 1994 2,119 0.009
2,146 0.006 1995 2,146 0.006
2,159 0.006 1996 2,159 0.006
2,172 0.006 1997 2,172 0.006
2,186 0.006 1998 2,186 0.007
2,200 0.008 1999 2,200 0.007
2,218 0.007 2000 2,218 0.007
2,233 0.007 2001 2,233 0.007
2,248 0.008 2002 2,248 0.007
2,265 0.007 2003 2,265 0.007
2,281 0.008 2004 2,281 0.008
2,299 0.007 2005 2,299 0.008
2,316 0.009 2006 2,316 0.009
2,337 0.009 2007 2,337 0.009
2,359 0.009 2008 2,359 0.009
2,381 0.009 2009 2,381 0.008
2,403 0.007 2010 2,403 0.008
2,421 0.009 2011 2,421 0.008
2,442 0.007 2012 2,442 0.007
2,459 0.007 2013 2,459 0.006
2,475 0.006 2014 2,475 0.006
2,490 0.006 2015 2,490 0.005
2,504 0.005 2016 2,504 0.005
2,516 0.004 2017 2,516 0.004
2,527 0.003 2018 2,527 0.003
2,535 0.003 2019 2,535
2,542 2020 2,542
0.224 0.229
5% DE 2516 = 377.4

NIVEL DE COMPLEJIDAD

P ARITMETICO CON Rˆ2= 1

2042= 15568 = NIVEL DE COMPLEJIDAD MEDIO ALTO
CAPACIDAD ECONOMICA MEDIA

P (Aritm)
Linear (P (Aritm))
P (Geom)
Linear (P (Geom))
P (Expon)
Exponential (P (Expon))
P (Geom)
Linear (P (Geom))
P (Expon)
Exponential (P (Expon))