N° AÑO POBLACIÓN R

2017 25856 454.53 𝑃_𝐷=𝑃_0+𝑟(𝑡_𝐷−𝑡_0)

2018 26310.5325
2019 26765.0651
0 2020 27219.5976 AÑO
1 2021 27674.1302 1972
2 2022 28128.6627 1981
3 2023 28583.1952 1993
4 2024 29037.7278 2007
5 2025 29492.2603 2017
6 2026 29946.7929
7 2027 30401.3254 RAZÓN PROMEDIO
8 2028 30855.8579 R1
9 2029 31310.3905 R2
10 2030 31764.923 R3
11 2031 32219.4556 R4
12 2032 32673.9881 Rprom.
13 2033 33128.5206
14 2034 33583.0532
15 2035 34037.5857
16 2036 34492.1183
17 2037 34946.6508
18 2038 35401.1833
19 2039 35855.7159
20 2040 36310
_0+𝑟(𝑡_𝐷−𝑡_0) 𝑟=(𝑃_𝑓−𝑃_
0)/(𝑡_𝑓−𝑡_0
)
POBLACION (hab)
6,689
11,688
15,708
18,757
25,856

RAZÓN PROMEDIO
555.44
335.00
217.79
709.90
454.53 hab/año
N° AÑO POBLACIÓN R
2017 25856 0.0409
2018 26912.2965
2019 27968.593
0 2020 29024.8895 AÑO POBLACION (hab)
1 2021 30210.6447 1972 6,689
2 2022 31396.4 1981 11,688
3 2023 32582.1553 1993 15,708
4 2024 33767.9106 2007 18,757
5 2025 34953.6659 2017 25,856
6 2026 36139.4212
7 2027 37325.1765 RAZÓN PROMEDIO
8 2028 38510.9317 R1 0.08
9 2029 39696.687 R2 0.03
10 2030 40882.4423 R3 0.01
11 2031 42068.1976 R4 0.04
12 2032 43253.9529 Rprom. 0.0409
13 2033 44439.7082
14 2034 45625.4635
15 2035 46811.2187
16 2036 47996.974
17 2037 49182.7293
18 2038 50368.4846
19 2039 51554.2399
20 2040 52740
BLACION (hab)

hab/año
N° AÑO POBLACIÓN R 𝑃=𝑃_0∗𝑟^((𝑡
2,017 25856 1.0336
2,018 26724.0112
2,019 27621.1625
0 2,020 28548.4319 AÑO POBLACION (hab)
1 2,021 29506.8308 1,972 6689
2 2,022 30497.404 1,981 11688
3 2,023 31521.2317 1,993 15708
4 2,024 32579.4303 2,007 18757
5 2,025 33673.1537 2,017 25856
6 2,026 34803.5944
7 2,027 35971.9852 RAZÓN PROMEDIO
8 2,028 37179.5999 R1 1.06
9 2,029 38427.7555 R2 1.02
10 2,030 39717.8129 R3 1.01
11 2,031 41051.1788 R4 1.03
12 2,032 42429.3071 Rprom. 1.0336
13 2,033 43853.7004
14 2,034 45325.9121
15 2,035 46847.5474
16 2,036 48420.2654
17 2,037 50045.7811
18 2,038 51725.867
19 2,039 53462.355
20 2040 55257.1386
 𝑃=𝑃_0∗𝑟^((𝑡−𝑡_0 ) )
𝑟=(𝑃_(𝑖+1)/𝑃_𝑖
)^((1/(𝑡_(𝑖+1)−𝑡_𝑖 )) )
BLACION (hab)

hab/año
N° AÑO POBLACION (hab) Δt Matriz de Ecuación de 3 variables
1972 6,689
1981 11,688 P1993
1,993 15,708 0 P2007
2,007 18,757 14 P2017
2,017 25,856 24
2,018 26,791 25 Matriz Inversa
2,019 27,768 26
0 2,020 28,785 27 P1993
1 2,021 29,844 28 P2007
2 2,022 30,943 29 P2017
3 2,023 32,084 30
4 2,024 33,265 31
5 2,025 34,488 32
6 2,026 35,751 33
7 2,027 37,056 34
8 2,028 38,402 35
9 2,029 39,788 36
10 2,030 41,216 37
11 2,031 42,684 38
12 2,032 44,194 39
13 2,033 45,744 40
14 2,034 47,336 41
15 2,035 48,969 42
16 2,036 50,642 43
17 2,037 52,357 44
18 2,038 54,113 45
19 2,039 55,909 46
20 2,040 57,747 47
Matriz de Ecuación de 3 variables
A B C Población
0 0 1 15,708
196 14 1 18,757
576 24 1 25,856

Matriz Inversa
A B C Población
0 0 0 15,708
- 1/9 1/6 - 1/9 18,757
1 0 0 25,856

A 20.50
B -69.28
C 15708.00

P = Población para el tiempo t

A, B, C = constantes
Dt = incremento de tiempo
𝑃_1993=𝐴 〖∆𝑡〗 ^2+𝐵∆
𝑡+𝐶
el tiempo t
s
tiempo
 AÑO POBLACION (hab)
P0 1972 6,689
P1 1981 11,688
P2 1993 15,708
Pm 2007 18,757
Pn 2017 25,856

N° AÑO POBLACION (hab) m ΔP Δ2 P Z

1972 6,689
1981 11,688
1993 15,708
2007 18,757
2017 25,856
2018 26,289 0.10 4791.75 1026.33 5
2019 26,732 0.20 4791.75 1026.33 5
0 2020 27,186 0.30 4791.75 1026.33 5
1 2021 27,650 0.40 4791.75 1026.33 5
2 2022 28,124 0.50 4791.75 1026.33 5
3 2023 28,608 0.60 4791.75 1026.33 5
4 2024 29,102 0.70 4791.75 1026.33 5
5 2025 29,607 0.80 4791.75 1026.33 5
6 2026 30,122 0.90 4791.75 1026.33 5
7 2027 30,648 1.00 4791.75 1026.33 5
8 2028 31,183 1.10 4791.75 1026.33 5
9 2029 31,729 1.20 4791.75 1026.33 5
10 2030 32,285 1.30 4791.75 1026.33 5
11 2031 32,852 1.40 4791.75 1026.33 5
12 2032 33,429 1.50 4791.75 1026.33 5
13 2033 34,015 1.60 4791.75 1026.33 5
14 2034 34,613 1.70 4791.75 1026.33 5
15 2035 35,220 1.80 4791.75 1026.33 5
16 2036 35,838 1.90 4791.75 1026.33 5
17 2037 36,466 2.00 4791.75 1026.33 5
18 2038 37,104 2.10 4791.75 1026.33 5
19 2039 37,753 2.20 4791.75 1026.33 5
20 2040 38411.39333333 2.30 4791.75 1026.33 5
𝑚=(𝑡_𝑡−𝑡_𝑛
)/10
 POBLACIÓN
N° AÑO 1° 2° 3° 4° 5°
1972 6,689 6,689 6,689 6,689 6,689
1981 11,688 11,688 11,688 11,688 11,688
1993 15,708 15,708 15,708 15,708 15,708
2007 18,757 18,757 18,757 18,757 18,757
2017 25,856 25,856 25,856 25,856 25,856
2018 26,311 26,912 26,724 26,791 26,289
2019 26,765 27,969 27,621 27,768 26,732
0 2020 27,220 29,025 28,548 28,785 27,186
1 2021 27,674 30,211 29,507 29,844 27,650
2 2022 28,129 31,396 30,497 30,943 28,124
3 2023 28,583 32,582 31,521 32,084 28,608
4 2024 29,038 33,768 32,579 33,265 29,102
5 2025 29,492 34,954 33,673 34,488 29,607
6 2026 29,947 36,139 34,804 35,751 30,122
7 2027 30,401 37,325 35,972 37,056 30,648
8 2028 30,856 38,511 37,180 38,402 31,183
9 2029 31,310 39,697 38,428 39,788 31,729
10 2030 31,765 40,882 39,718 41,216 32,285
11 2031 32,219 42,068 41,051 42,684 32,852
12 2032 32,674 43,254 42,429 44,194 33,429
13 2033 33,129 44,440 43,854 45,744 34,015
14 2034 33,583 45,625 45,326 47,336 34,613
15 2035 34,038 46,811 46,848 48,969 35,220
16 2036 34,492 47,997 48,420 50,642 35,838
17 2037 34,947 49,183 50,046 52,357 36,466
18 2038 35,401 50,368 51,726 54,113 37,104
19 2039 35,856 51,554 53,462 55,909 37,753
20 2040 36,310 52,740 55,257 57,747 38,411
PROMEDIO

POB
25,856 70,000

26,605
27,371
28,153
28,977
60,000
29,818
30,676
31,551
32,443
33,353 50,000
34,280
35,226
36,190
37,173
38,175 40,000
39,196
40,236
41,297
42,377
30,000
43,478
44,600
45,742
46,907
48,093 20,000

10,000

0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
 POBLACIÓN

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

2040 2050