PROMEDIO SIMPLE M=3 M=

t Yt Yt' |et| t
1 275 1 275.00 1.00
2 291 2 291.00 2.00
3 307 3 307.00 3.00
4 281 4 281.00 291.00 10.00 4.00
5 295 5 295.00 293.00 2.00 5.00
6 268 6 268.00 294.33 26.33 6.00
Año 01
7 252 7 252.00 281.33 29.33 7.00
8 279 8 279.00 271.67 7.33 8.00
9 264 9 264.00 266.33 2.33 9.00
10 288 10 288.00 265.00 23.00 10.00
11 302 11 302.00 277.00 25.00 11.00
12 287 12 287.00 284.67 2.33 12.00
13 290 13 290.00 292.33 2.33 13.00
14 311 14 311.00 293.00 18.00 14.00
15 277 15 277.00 296.00 19.00 15.00
16 245 16 245.00 292.67 47.67 16.00
17 282 17 282.00 277.67 4.33 17.00
18 277 18 277.00 268.00 9.00 18.00
Año 02
19 298 19 298.00 268.00 30.00 19.00
20 303 20 303.00 285.67 17.33 20.00
21 310 21 310.00 292.67 17.33 21.00
22 299 22 299.00 303.67 4.67 22.00
23 285 23 285.00 304.00 19.00 23.00
24 250 24 250.00 298.00 48.00 24.00
25 260 25 260.00 278.00 18.00 25.00
26 245 26 245.00 265.00 20.00 26.00
27 271 27 271.00 251.67 19.33 27.00
28 282 28 282.00 258.67 23.33 28.00
29 302 29 302.00 266.00 36.00 29.00
30 285 30 285.00 285.00 0.00 30.00
Año 02
31 31 PRONOSTIC 289.67 31.00
DAM 17.81 DAM

PROMEDIO DOBLE
M=3
p 1
t Yt Mt Mt' at bt Yt' |et|
1 275
2 291
3 307
4 281 291.00
5 295 293.00
6 268 294.33 292.78 295.89 1.56
7 252 281.33 289.56 273.11 -8.22 297.44 45.44
8 279 271.67 282.44 260.89 -10.78 264.89 14.11
9 264 266.33 273.11 259.56 -6.78 250.11 13.89
10 288 265.00 267.67 262.33 -2.67 252.78 35.22
11 302 277.00 269.44 284.56 7.56 259.67 42.33
12 287 284.67 275.56 293.78 9.11 292.11 5.11
13 290 292.33 284.67 300.00 7.67 302.89 12.89
14 311 293.00 290.00 296.00 3.00 307.67 3.33
15 277 296.00 293.78 298.22 2.22 299.00 22.00
16 245 292.67 293.89 291.44 -1.22 300.44 55.44
17 282 277.67 288.78 266.56 -11.11 290.22 8.22
18 277 268.00 279.44 256.56 -11.44 255.44 21.56
19 298 268.00 271.22 264.78 -3.22 245.11 52.89
20 303 285.67 273.89 297.44 11.78 261.56 41.44
21 310 292.67 282.11 303.22 10.56 309.22 0.78
22 299 303.67 294.00 313.33 9.67 313.78 14.78
23 285 304.00 300.11 307.89 3.89 323.00 38.00
24 250 298.00 301.89 294.11 -3.89 311.78 61.78
25 260 278.00 293.33 262.67 -15.33 290.22 30.22
26 245 265.00 280.33 249.67 -15.33 247.33 2.33
27 271 251.67 264.89 238.44 -13.22 234.33 36.67
28 282 258.67 258.44 258.89 0.22 225.22 56.78
29 302 266.00 258.78 273.22 7.22 259.11 42.89
30 285 285.00 269.89 300.11 15.11 280.44 4.56
31 PRONOSTICO 315.22
DAM 27.61

PROMEDIO PONDERADO

t Yt a Yt' |et|
1 275.00 0.15
2 291.00 0.22
 3 307.00 0.18
4 281.00 0.25 281.00
5 295.00 0.20 295.00
6 268.00 289.78 21.78
7 252.00 289.12 37.12
8 279.00 278.37 0.63
9 264.00 274.09 10.09
10 288.00 271.12 16.88
11 302.00 269.46 32.54
12 287.00 279.10 7.90
13 290.00 284.67 5.33
14 311.00 287.07 23.93
15 277.00 296.00 19.00
16 245.00 293.79 48.79
17 282.00 281.08 0.92
18 277.00 279.43 2.43
19 298.00 277.59 20.41
20 303.00 275.06 27.94
21 310.00 283.75 26.25
22 299.00 294.63 4.37
23 285.00 298.95 13.95
24 250.00 298.91 48.91
25 260.00 288.72 28.72
26 245.00 278.08 33.08
27 271.00 266.55 4.45
28 282.00 260.00 22.00
29 302.00 262.95 39.05
30 285.00 272.58 12.42
31 PRONOSTICO 279.63
DAM 40.18
 M=3
Yt Yt' |et|
275.00
291.00
307.00
281.00
295.00
268.00 289.80 21.80
252.00 288.40 36.40
279.00 280.60 1.60
264.00 275.00 11.00
288.00 271.60 16.40
302.00 270.20 31.80
287.00 277.00 10.00
290.00 284.00 6.00
311.00 286.20 24.80
277.00 295.60 18.60
245.00 293.40 48.40
282.00 282.00 0.00
277.00 281.00 4.00
298.00 278.40 19.60
303.00 275.80 27.20
310.00 281.00 29.00
299.00 294.00 5.00
285.00 297.40 12.40
250.00 299.00 49.00
260.00 289.40 29.40
245.00 280.80 35.80
271.00 267.80 3.20
282.00 262.20 19.80
302.00 261.60 40.40
285.00 272.00 13.00
PRONOSTIC 277.00
DAM 20.58

M=5
p 1.00
t Yt Mt Mt' at bt Yt' |et|
1 275
2 291
3 307
4 281
5 295
6 268 289.80
7 252 288.40
8 279 280.60
9 264 275.00
10 288 271.60 281.08 262.12 -4.74
11 302 270.20 277.16 263.24 -3.48 257.38 44.62
12 287 277.00 274.88 279.12 1.06 259.76 27.24
13 290 284.00 275.56 292.44 4.22 280.18 9.82
14 311 286.20 277.80 294.60 4.20 296.66 14.34
15 277 295.60 282.60 308.60 6.50 298.80 21.80
16 245 293.40 287.24 299.56 3.08 315.10 70.10
17 282 282.00 288.24 275.76 -3.12 302.64 20.64
18 277 281.00 287.64 274.36 -3.32 272.64 4.36
19 298 278.40 286.08 270.72 -3.84 271.04 26.96
20 303 275.80 282.12 269.48 -3.16 266.88 36.12
21 310 281.00 279.64 282.36 0.68 266.32 43.68
22 299 294.00 282.04 305.96 5.98 283.04 15.96
23 285 297.40 285.32 309.48 6.04 311.94 26.94
24 250 299.00 289.44 308.56 4.78 315.52 65.52
25 260 289.40 292.16 286.64 -1.38 313.34 53.34
26 245 280.80 292.12 269.48 -5.66 285.26 40.26
27 271 267.80 286.88 248.72 -9.54 263.82 7.18
28 282 262.20 279.84 244.56 -8.82 239.18 42.82
29 302 261.60 272.36 250.84 -5.38 235.74 66.26
30 285 272.00 268.88 275.12 1.56 245.46 39.54
31 PRONOSTICO 276.68
DAM 33.88