male female

DemProj First year population (2010) 0-4 305,154 290,193

5-9 313,189 294,882
10 - 14 280,247 263,778
15 - 19 219,030 209,064
20 - 24 169,217 177,722
25 - 29 164,712 182,995
30 - 34 151,498 169,351
35 - 39 142,377 155,969
40 - 44 130,247 139,901
45 - 49 115,148 120,636
50 - 54 96,830 99,136
55 - 59 71,535 71,341
60 - 64 56,167 61,331
65 - 69 45,209 45,986
70 - 74 31,352 34,403
75 - 79 18,502 20,627
80+ 16073 20025
Total 2,326,487 2,357,340
DemProj TFR 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
3.52 3.56 3.56 3.47 3.51 3.55 3.52
Sumber: Susenas
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
3.50 3.47 3.45 3.42 3.39 3.36 3.33 3.30 3.27 3.24
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
3.21 3.18 3.15 3.12 3.09 3.06 3.04 3.01 2.98
DemProj ASFR Age Groups 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
15 - 19 11.01 11.01 11.01 11.00 10.98 10.94 10.89 10.85 10.81 10.76 10.72 10.68 10.63 10.58 10.52
20 - 24 25.84 25.84 25.84 25.84 25.82 25.78 25.73 25.69 25.65 25.61 25.57 25.53 25.48 25.43 25.38
25 - 29 26.23 26.23 26.23 26.23 26.24 26.27 26.29 26.32 26.35 26.37 26.40 26.43 26.46 26.49 26.52
30 - 34 20.44 20.44 20.44 20.44 20.47 20.51 20.56 20.61 20.66 20.71 20.75 20.80 20.86 20.91 20.98
35 - 39 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.76 11.77 11.79 11.81 11.83 11.85 11.86 11.88 11.90 11.92 11.94 11.96
40 - 44 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.65 3.65 3.65 3.65 3.65 3.65
45 - 49 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.00 0.99
sumber : default spectrum level nasional
2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
10.46 10.40 10.33 10.26 10.19 10.11 10.03 9.95 9.86 9.78 9.69
25.32 25.26 25.20 25.13 25.06 24.99 24.91 24.83 24.74 24.66 24.56
26.56 26.60 26.64 26.68 26.72 26.77 26.82 26.87 26.92 26.97 27.03
21.04 21.12 21.19 21.27 21.35 21.44 21.53 21.63 21.73 21.83 21.94
11.98 12.01 12.03 12.06 12.09 12.12 12.15 12.18 12.22 12.25 12.29
3.65 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.63 3.63 3.63 3.62 3.62 3.62
0.99 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.88
DemProj sex ratio at birth Proyeksi Penduduk 0-4 tahun 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
sex ratio at birth 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00

Sumber:
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00
2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00 105.00
DemProj life expectancy 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
male 65.53 65.79 66.06 65.17 64.29 63.40 63.76
female 69.47 69.73 70.02 69.38 68.74 68.10 68.28

sumber: proyeksi BPS

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
64.12 64.48 64.84 65.2 65.32 65.44 65.56 65.68 65.8 65.90
68.46 68.64 68.82 69 69.12 69.24 69.36 69.48 69.6 69.72
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
66.00 66.10 66.20 66.3 66.40 66.50 66.60 66.70 66.8
69.84 69.96 70.08 70.2 70.30 70.40 70.50 70.60 70.7
Summary demographic indicators
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
NTT_Latihan
Fertility
Input TFR 3.52 3.55 3.42 3.27 3.12
Calculated TFR 3.52 3.55 3.42 3.27 3.12
GRR 1.72 1.73 1.67 1.6 1.52
NRR 1.6 1.6 1.55 1.49 1.43
Mean age of childbearing 28.1 28.1 28.1 28.2 28.3
Child-woman ratio 0.52 0.48 0.47 0.48 0.47
Fertility table: Custom
Mortality
Male LE 65.5 63.3 65.2 65.8 66.2
Female LE 69.4 68 69 69.6 70.2
Total LE 67.5 65.7 67.1 67.7 68.2
IMR 38.9 46.3 40.4 38 36
U5MR 48.5 59.7 50.8 47.4 44.5
Total 45q15 0.088 0.1025 0.0916 0.0869 0.0829
Life table: Coale-Demeny West
Migration
Male 0 0 0 0 0
Female 0 0 0 0 0
Total 0 0 0 0 0
Vital Rates
CBR per 1000 26.3 26.3 26 25.5 24.4
CDR per 1000 7.2 8.1 7.6 7.6 7.6
RNI percent 1.91 1.82 1.84 1.79 1.68
GR percent 1.91 1.82 1.84 1.79 1.68
Doubling time 36.6 38.4 38 39 41.6
Annual births and deaths
Births 123,401 135,332 146,923 158,003 164,867
Deaths 33,841 41,536 43,133 46,991 51,322
Population
Total 4,683,827 5,146,686 5,644,275 6,186,558 6,751,871
Male 2,326,487 2,557,187 2,805,911 3,078,702 3,363,529
Female 2,357,340 2,589,499 2,838,364 3,107,856 3,388,342
Percent 0-4 12.71 12.03 11.99 11.91 11.56
Percent 5-14 24.6 23.23 21.26 20.7 20.72
Percent 15-24 16.55 18.77 20.19 19.12 17.6
Percent 15-49 47.99 49.12 50.26 50.2 50.02
Percent 15-64 57.73 59.7 61.61 61.78 61.57
Percent 65 and over 4.96 5.04 5.14 5.61 6.14
Percent females 15-49 49.02 49.67 50.33 49.89 49.42
Sex ratio 98.69 98.75 98.86 99.06 99.27
Dependency ratio 0.73 0.68 0.62 0.62 0.62
Median age 22 23 23 24 25
 Summary demographic indicators
2035 (Thousands) 2010 2015 2020 2025
NTT_Latihan FamPlan
Fertility
2.98 Input TFR 3.67 3.38 3.38 3.38
2.98 Calculated TFR 3.67 3.38 3.38 3.38
1.45 GRR 1.79 1.65 1.65 1.65
1.37 NRR 1.67 1.52 1.53 1.54
28.3 Mean age of childbearing 28.07 28.08 28.13 28.18
0.44 Child-woman ratio 0.52 0.48 0.46 0.48
Fertility table: Custom
Mortality
66.7 Male LE 65.5 63.34 65.19 65.76
70.7 Female LE 69.45 68.04 68.96 69.58
68.7 Total LE 67.49 65.71 67.09 67.68
34.2 IMR 38.86 46.27 40.43 38.05
42.2 U5MR 48.54 59.68 50.82 47.42
0.0796 Total 45q15 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.09
Life table: Coale-Demeny West
Migration
0 Male 0 0 0 0
0 Female 0 0 0 0
0 Total 0 0 0 0
Vital Rates
23 CBR per 1000 27.44 25.06 25.83 26.45
7.7 CDR per 1000 7.26 8.03 7.64 7.63
1.53 RNI percent 2.02 1.7 1.82 1.88
1.53 GR percent 2.02 1.7 1.82 1.88
45.6 Doubling time 34.69 41.03 38.46 37.19
Annual births and deaths (Thousands)
168,222 Births 128.53 128.97 145.39 163.53
56,138 Deaths 34.01 41.31 43.02 47.2
Population (Millions)
7,316,553 Total 4.68 5.15 5.63 6.18
3,648,526 Male 2.33 2.56 2.8 3.08
3,668,027 Female 2.36 2.59 2.83 3.11
10.99 Percent 0-4 12.71 12.02 11.75 12.12
20.54 Percent 5-14 24.6 23.24 21.31 20.46
17.34 Percent 15-24 16.55 18.77 20.24 19.13
50.34 Percent 15-49 47.99 49.12 50.41 50.22
61.82 Percent 15-64 57.73 59.71 61.79 61.81
6.65 Percent 65 and over 4.96 5.04 5.15 5.62
49.48 Percent females 15-49 49.02 49.68 50.47 49.92
99.47 Sex ratio 98.69 98.75 98.84 99.06
0.62 Dependency ratio 0.73 0.67 0.62 0.62
26 Median age 22.4 22.56 23.27 24.12
 2030 2035

3.38 3.38
3.38 3.38
1.65 1.65
1.55 1.56
28.26 28.35
0.5 0.5

66.25 66.73
70.19 70.65
68.22 68.7
35.97 34.23
44.5 42.19
0.08 0.08

0 0
0 0
0 0

26.31 25.57
7.63 7.65
1.87 1.79
1.87 1.79
37.45 39.03

178.91 190.67
51.9 57.07

6.8 7.46
3.39 3.72
3.41 3.74
12.23 12.01
20.53 21
17.46 16.81
49.66 49.19
61.13 60.46
6.1 6.52
49.08 48.37
99.3 99.55
 0.64 0.65
24.87 25.11
FamPlan 2010 2011 2012
Method mix Condom Male Condom 0.76 0.25 0.36

Sterilisasi Female sterilization 1.86 2.04 3.76

Male sterilization 0.45 1.51 0.97

Injectable 3 month (depo provera) 62.32 61.64 57.08

Implant implanon (3 years) 10.13 10.94 13.35

IUD Copper T 8.13 7.2 8.05

Pil Standard daily 14.72 12.39 12.95

Tradisional withdrawal 0 0 0
Periodic abstinence 0 0 0
Traditional (not specified) 1.62 4.04 3.49
sumber: Susenas
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
0.26 0.29 0.22 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28

4.35 4.86 4.94 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62
0.86 0.99 0.32 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49

56.14 52.61 54.78 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4

13.22 14 17.88 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99

8.02 8.82 8.26 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69

11.57 11.4 9.32 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 3.64 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69
5.58 7.03 0.63 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28

6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62 6.62
0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49

50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4

17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99 17.99

7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69 7.69

9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69
2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46
2033 2034 2035
0.28 0.28 0.28

6.62 6.62 6.62

0.49 0.49 0.49

50.4 50.4 50.4

17.99 17.99 17.99

7.69 7.69 7.69

9.38 9.38 9.38

0 0 0
4.69 4.69 4.69
2.46 2.46 2.46
FamPlan Goal 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
CPR 39.89 41.59 40.75 43.69 44.91 42.08 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86

sumber : Susenas

hasil setelah di regresi linear

FamPlan Goal 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
CPR 40.39 41.11 41.82 42.54 43.25 43.97 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69

y = 0.7161x + 39.674
40.3901 41.1062 41.8223 42.5384 43.2545 43.9706 44.6867
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86 44.86

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69 44.69
2035
44.86

2035
44.69
FamPlan Goal 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
mCPR 39.16 39.9 39.32 41.23 41.75 40.36

sumber : Susenas

hasil setelah di regresi linear

FamPlan Goal 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
mCPR 39.32 39.71 40.10 40.48 40.87 41.26

y = 0.3875x + 38.933
39.3205 39.708 40.0955 40.483 40.8705 41.258
1 2 3 4 5 6
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65

41.6455
7
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66 41.66

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65 41.65
FamPlan Goal 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Unmet need 27.14 22.77 20.05 17.57 17.65 32.41

sumber : Susenas

hasil setelah di regresi linear

FamPlan Goal 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Unmet need 21.46 22.22 22.98 23.75 24.51 25.27

y = 0.7638x + 20.692
21.4558 22.2196 22.9834 23.7472 24.511 25.2748
1 2 3 4 5 6
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04

26.0386
7
2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64 28.64

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033

26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04 26.04
2034 2035
28.64 28.64

2034 2035
26.04 26.04
 CPR
46

45

f(x) = 0.716071428571428 x + 39.6742857142857

44

43

42

41

40

39

38

37
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
 mCPR
42

f(x) = 0.3875 x + 38.9328571428571

41.5

41

40.5

40

39.5

39

38.5

38

37.5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
 Unmet need
35

30

25 f(x) = 0.763810357142857 x + 20.69222

20

15

10

0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016