Annee Mois t Xt Yt Tt

2013m1 1 1 32 107 42.72

2013m2 2 2 41 116 43.55
2013m3 3 3 33 108 44.38
2013m4 4 4 51 126 45.21
2013m5 5 5 64 139 46.04
2013m6 6 6 63 138 46.87
2013m7 7 7 78 153 47.7
2013m8 8 8 81 156 48.53
2013m9 9 9 24 99 49.36
2013m10 10 10 55 130 50.19
2013m11 11 11 32 108 51.02
2013m12 12 12 41 117 51.85
2014 1 13 37 28 52.68
2014 2 14 53 44 53.51
2014 3 15 40 31 54.34
2014 4 16 55 46 55.17
2014 5 17 67 58 56
2014 6 18 98 90 56.83
2014 7 19 107 99 57.66
2014 8 20 112 104 58.49
2014 9 21 17 9 59.32
2014 10 22 37 29 60.15
2014 11 23 35 28 60.98
2014 12 24 28 21 61.81
2015 1 25 47 35 62.64
2015 2 26 63 51 63.47
2015 3 27 50 39 64.3
2015 4 28 65 54 65.13
2015 5 29 77 66 65.96
2015 6 30 108 97 66.79
2015 7 31 117 107 67.62
2015 8 32 118 108 68.45
2015 9 33 23 13 69.28
2015 10 34 28 19 70.11
2015 11 35 19 10 70.94
2015 12 36 28 19 71.77
2016 1 37 57 14 72.6
2016 2 38 73 30 73.43
2016 3 39 60 98 74.26
2016 4 40 75 113 75.09
2016 5 41 87 125 75.92
2016 6 42 118 157 76.75
2016 7 43 127 166 77.58
2016 8 44 128 168 78.41
2016 9 45 33 73 79.24
2016 10 46 30 70 80.07
2016 11 47 28 69 80.9
2016 12 48 38 79 81.73
2017 1 49 65 107 82.56
2017 2 50 81 123 83.39
2017 3 51 63 106 84.22
2017 4 52 83 126 85.05
2017 5 53 91 135 85.88
2017 6 54 154 218 86.71
2017 7 55 188 253 87.54
2017 8 56 163 229 88.37
2017 9 57 43 109 89.2
2017 10 58 40 107 90.03
2017 11 59 38 105 90.86
2017 12 60 48 116 91.69
2018 1 61 75 143 92.52
2018 2 62 91 160 93.35
2018 3 63 73 143 94.18
2018 4 64 93 163 95.01
2018 5 65 101 172 95.84
2018 6 66 164 236 96.67
2018 7 67 198 270 97.5
2018 8 68 173 246 98.33
2018 9 69 53 127 99.16
2018 10 70 50 124 99.99
2018 11 71 48 123 100.82
2018 12 72 58 134 101.65
2019 1 73 83 179 102.48
2019 2 74 78 175 103.31
2019 3 75 71 169 104.14
2019 4 76 126 225 104.97
2019 5 77 156 255 105.8
2019 6 78 208 308 106.63
2019 7 79 228 329 107.46
2019 8 80 201 303 108.29
2019 9 81 83 186 109.12
2019 10 82 44 147 109.95
2019 11 83 32 136 110.78
2019 12 84 48 153 111.61
2020 85 112.44
2020 86 113.27
2020 87 114.1
MM(2) MM(3) St Xt^ err err^2
0.89 38.00 -6.00 36.00
33.00 35.33 1.09 47.40 -6.40 40.95
38.50 41.67 0.87 38.56 -5.56 30.92
50.25 49.33 1.20 54.15 -3.15 9.91
54.75 59.33 1.39 64.04 -0.04 0.00
62.75 68.33 1.91 89.58 -26.58 706.43
75.00 74.00 2.16 102.99 -24.99 624.47
59.00 61.00 2.04 99.19 -18.19 330.85
42.00 53.33 0.52 25.70 -1.70 2.90
54.75 37.00 0.59 29.57 25.43 646.48
53.25 42.67 0.47 24.12 7.88 62.09
59.00 36.67 0.58 30.24 10.76 115.76
61.25 43.67 0.89 46.86 -9.86 97.20
42.25 43.33 1.09 58.24 -5.24 27.45
40.75 49.33 0.87 47.22 -7.22 52.06
49.00 54.00 1.20 66.08 -11.08 122.69
65.00 73.33 1.39 77.89 -10.89 118.69
90.00 90.67 1.91 108.61 -10.61 112.67
99.75 105.67 2.16 124.49 -17.49 306.05
75.25 78.67 2.04 119.55 -7.55 56.95
36.50 55.33 0.52 30.89 -13.89 192.94
49.00 29.67 0.59 35.44 1.56 2.42
54.00 33.33 0.47 28.83 6.17 38.08
57.50 36.67 0.58 36.05 -8.05 64.80
71.25 46.00 0.89 55.72 -8.72 76.01
52.25 53.33 1.09 69.08 -6.08 36.96
48.75 59.33 0.87 55.87 -5.87 34.45
58.75 64.00 1.20 78.01 -13.01 169.14
75.00 83.33 1.39 91.75 -14.75 217.53
99.50 100.67 1.91 127.65 -19.65 386.13
108.25 114.33 2.16 146.00 -29.00 840.94
 80.50 86.00 2.04 139.90 -21.90 479.75
39.25 56.33 0.52 36.08 -13.08 171.01
41.50 23.33 0.59 41.31 -13.31 177.20
55.00 25.00 0.47 33.54 -14.54 211.36
75.25 34.67 0.58 41.86 -13.86 192.06
87.50 52.67 0.89 64.58 -7.58 57.43
62.25 63.33 1.09 79.92 -6.92 47.89
58.75 69.33 0.87 64.52 -4.52 20.46
68.75 74.00 1.20 89.93 -14.93 223.03
85.00 93.33 1.39 105.60 -18.60 346.07
109.50 110.67 1.91 146.69 -28.69 822.88
118.25 124.33 2.16 167.50 -40.50 1640.55
90.50 96.00 2.04 160.26 -32.26 1040.72
47.25 63.67 0.52 41.26 -8.26 68.29
47.25 30.33 0.59 47.18 -17.18 295.17
64.50 32.00 0.47 38.25 -10.25 105.00
84.75 43.67 0.58 47.67 -9.67 93.47
96.00 61.33 0.89 73.44 -8.44 71.19
69.50 69.67 1.09 90.76 -9.76 95.27
64.75 75.67 0.87 73.18 -10.18 103.58
76.25 79.00 1.20 101.86 -18.86 355.82
98.50 109.33 1.39 119.46 -28.46 809.81
144.75 144.33 1.91 165.72 -11.72 137.40
154.25 168.33 2.16 189.01 -1.01 1.02
110.00 131.33 2.04 180.62 -17.62 310.37
63.00 82.00 0.52 46.45 -3.45 11.90
68.50 40.33 0.59 53.05 -13.05 170.29
83.00 42.00 0.47 42.96 -4.96 24.56
99.75 53.67 0.58 53.48 -5.48 29.99
110.50 71.33 0.89 82.30 -7.30 53.25
84.50 79.67 1.09 101.60 -10.60 112.38
70.75 85.67 0.87 81.83 -8.83 77.99
 79.75 89.00 1.20 113.79 -20.79 432.31
103.50 119.33 1.39 133.31 -32.31 1044.01
131.50 154.33 1.91 184.76 -20.76 430.87
142.25 178.33 2.16 210.51 -12.51 156.58
99.75 141.33 2.04 200.97 -27.97 782.56
39.00 92.00 0.52 51.64 1.36 1.86
37.00 50.33 0.59 58.92 -8.92 79.54
38.50 52.00 0.47 47.66 0.34 0.11
49.75 63.00 0.58 59.29 -1.29 1.65
61.00 73.00 0.89 91.16 -8.16 66.53
56.75 77.33 1.09 112.44 -34.44 1186.19
67.00 91.67 0.87 90.49 -19.49 379.68
102.00 117.67 1.20 125.72 0.28 0.08
130.00 163.33 1.39 147.17 8.83 78.05
161.00 197.33 1.91 203.79 4.21 17.70
164.25 212.33 2.16 232.02 -4.02 16.14
121.25 170.67 2.04 221.33 -20.33 413.36
52.50 109.33 0.52 56.82 26.18 685.21
30.00 53.00 0.59 64.79 -20.79 432.11
28.00 41.33 0.47 52.37 -20.37 415.06
0.58 65.09 -17.09 292.23
0.89 100.02 somme 20828.87
1.09 123.28 1/T * somm 247.96
0.87 99.14 racine 15.75
 X
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5
a2013 32 41 33 51 64
a2014 37 53 40 55 67
a2015 47 63 50 65 77
a2016 57 73 60 75 87
a2017 65 81 63 83 91
a2018 75 91 73 93 101
a2019 83 78 71 126 156

Y
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5
a2013 107 116 108 126 139
a2014 28 44 31 46 58
a2015 35 51 39 54 66
a2016 14 30 98 113 125
a2017 107 123 106 126 135
a2018 143 160 143 163 172
a2019 179 175 169 225 255
M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 M12
63 78 81 24 55 32 41
98 107 112 17 37 35 28
108 117 118 23 28 19 28
118 127 128 33 30 28 38
154 188 163 43 40 38 48
164 198 173 53 50 48 58
208 228 201 83 44 32 48

M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 M12

138 153 156 99 130 108 117
90 99 104 9 29 28 21
97 107 108 13 19 10 19
157 166 168 73 70 69 79
218 253 229 109 107 105 116
236 270 246 127 124 123 134
308 329 303 186 147 136 153
 m s
s
49.58 18.05 70.00

57.17 30.74 60.00

61.92 34.84 50.00

71.17 35.65 40.00

30.00
88.08 49.70
20.00
98.08 49.70
10.00
113.17 66.05
0.00
40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 110.00
90.00 100.00 110.00 120.00
t1 t2 t3
1 1 1
2 4 8
3 9 27
4 16 64
5 25 125
6 36 216
7 49 343
8 64 512
9 81 729
10 100 1000
11 121 1331
12 144 1728
13 169 2197
14 196 2744
15 225 3375
16 256 4096
17 289 4913
18 324 5832
19 361 6859
20 400 8000
21 441 9261
22 484 10648
23 529 12167
24 576 13824
25 625 15625
26 676 17576
27 729 19683
28 784 21952
29 841 24389
30 900 27000
31 961 29791
32 1024 32768
33 1089 35937
34 1156 39304
35 1225 42875
36 1296 46656
37 1369 50653
38 1444 54872
39 1521 59319
40 1600 64000
41 1681 68921
42 1764 74088
43 1849 79507
44 1936 85184
45 2025 91125
46 2116 97336
47 2209 103823
48 2304 110592
49 2401 117649
50 2500 125000
51 2601 132651
52 2704 140608
53 2809 148877
54 2916 157464
55 3025 166375
56 3136 175616
57 3249 185193
58 3364 195112
59 3481 205379
60 3600 216000
61 3721 226981
62 3844 238328
63 3969 250047
64 4096 262144
65 4225 274625
66 4356 287496
67 4489 300763
68 4624 314432
69 4761 328509
70 4900 343000
71 5041 357911
72 5184 373248
73 5329 389017
74 5476 405224
75 5625 421875
76 5776 438976
77 5929 456533
78 6084 474552
79 6241 493039
80 6400 512000
81 6561 531441
82 6724 551368
83 6889 571787
84 7056 592704
 estimation de St basée sur Tt avec regr
X
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8
a2013 32 41 33 51 64 63 78 81
a2014 37 53 40 55 67 98 107 112
a2015 47 63 50 65 77 108 117 118
a2016 57 73 60 75 87 118 127 128
a2017 65 81 63 83 91 154 188 163
a2018 75 91 73 93 101 164 198 173
a2019 83 78 71 126 156 208 228 201

Tendance
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8
a2013 42.72 43.55 44.38 45.21 46.04 46.87 47.7 48.53
a2014 52.68 53.51 54.34 55.17 56 56.83 57.66 58.49
a2015 62.64 63.47 64.3 65.13 65.96 66.79 67.62 68.45
a2016 72.6 73.43 74.26 75.09 75.92 76.75 77.58 78.41
a2017 82.56 83.39 84.22 85.05 85.88 86.71 87.54 88.37
a2018 92.52 93.35 94.18 95.01 95.84 96.67 97.5 98.33
a2019 102.48 103.31 104.14 104.97 105.8 106.63 107.46 108.29

M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8
a2013 0.75 0.94 0.74 1.13 1.39 1.34 1.64 1.67
a2014 0.70 0.99 0.74 1.00 1.20 1.72 1.86 1.91
a2015 0.75 0.99 0.78 1.00 1.17 1.62 1.73 1.72
a2016 0.79 0.99 0.81 1.00 1.15 1.54 1.64 1.63
a2017 0.79 0.97 0.75 0.98 1.06 1.78 2.15 1.84
a2018 0.81 0.97 0.78 0.98 1.05 1.70 2.03 1.76
a2019 0.81 0.76 0.68 1.20 1.47 1.95 2.12 1.86
0.77 0.94 0.75 1.04 1.20 1.65 1.87 1.77
0.89 1.09 0.87 1.20 1.39 1.91 2.16 2.04
Tt avec regression
M9 M10 M11 M12
24 55 32 41
17 37 35 28
23 28 19 28
33 30 28 38
43 40 38 48
53 50 48 58
83 44 32 48

M9 M10 M11 M12

49.36 50.19 51.02 51.85
59.32 60.15 60.98 61.81
69.28 70.11 70.94 71.77
79.24 80.07 80.9 81.73
89.2 90.03 90.86 91.69
99.16 99.99 100.82 101.65
109.12 109.95 110.78 111.61

M9 M10 M11 M12

0.49 1.10 0.63 0.79
0.29 0.62 0.57 0.45
0.33 0.40 0.27 0.39
0.42 0.37 0.35 0.46
0.48 0.44 0.42 0.52
0.53 0.50 0.48 0.57
0.76 0.40 0.29 0.43
0.45 0.51 0.41 0.50 0.87
0.52 0.59 0.47 0.58
 estimation de St basée sur Tt avec M
X
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8
a2013 32 41 33 51 64 63 78 81
a2014 37 53 40 55 67 98 107 112
a2015 47 63 50 65 77 108 117 118
a2016 57 73 60 75 87 118 127 128
a2017 65 81 63 83 91 154 188 163
a2018 75 91 73 93 101 164 198 173
a2019 83 78 71 126 156 208 228 201

Tendance
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8
a2013 33.00 38.50 50.25 54.75 62.75 75.00 59.00
a2014 61.25 42.25 40.75 49.00 65.00 90.00 99.75 75.25
a2015 71.25 52.25 48.75 58.75 75.00 99.50 108.25 80.50
a2016 87.50 62.25 58.75 68.75 85.00 109.50 118.25 90.50
a2017 96.00 69.50 64.75 76.25 98.50 144.75 154.25 110.00
a2018 110.50 84.50 70.75 79.75 103.50 131.50 142.25 99.75
a2019 61.00 56.75 67.00 102.00 130.00 161.00 164.25 121.25

M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8
a2013 1.24 0.86 1.01 1.17 1.00 1.04 1.37
a2014 0.60 1.25 0.98 1.12 1.03 1.09 1.07 1.49
a2015 0.66 1.21 1.03 1.11 1.03 1.09 1.08 1.47
a2016 0.65 1.17 1.02 1.09 1.02 1.08 1.07 1.41
a2017 0.68 1.17 0.97 1.09 0.92 1.06 1.22 1.48
a2018 0.68 1.08 1.03 1.17 0.98 1.25 1.39 1.73
a2019 1.36 1.37 1.06 1.24 1.20 1.29 1.39 1.66
0.74 1.21 0.99 1.12 1.05 1.12 1.17 1.51
0.78 1.29 1.05 1.19 1.11 1.19 1.25 1.61
ur Tt avec MM(2)
M9 M10 M11 M12
24 55 32 41
17 37 35 28
23 28 19 28
33 30 28 38
43 40 38 48
53 50 48 58
83 44 32 48

M9 M10 M11 M12

42.00 54.75 53.25 59.00
36.50 49.00 54.00 57.50
39.25 41.50 55.00 75.25
47.25 47.25 64.50 84.75
63.00 68.50 83.00 99.75
39.00 37.00 38.50 49.75
52.50 30.00 28.00

M9 M10 M11 M12

0.57 1.00 0.60 0.69
0.47 0.76 0.65 0.49
0.59 0.67 0.35 0.37
0.70 0.63 0.43 0.45
0.68 0.58 0.46 0.48
1.36 1.35 1.25 1.17
1.58 1.47 1.14
0.77 0.87 0.63 0.56 0.94
0.82 0.92 0.67 0.60
 Xt MM(2) St X^ erreur ereeur^^2
32 0.78 0
41 33.00 1.29 42.42686 -1.426861 2.035933
33 38.50 1.05 40.52616 -7.526164 56.64315
51 50.25 1.19 59.57653 -8.576529 73.55685
64 54.75 1.11 60.83874 3.161256 9.99354
63 62.75 1.19 74.5725 -11.5725 133.9228
78 75.00 1.25 93.43561 -15.43561 238.258
81 59.00 1.61 94.75818 -13.75818 189.2874
24 42.00 0.82 34.33365 -10.33365 106.7843
55 54.75 0.92 50.58063 4.419366 19.5308
32 53.25 0.67 35.47116 -3.471156 12.04893
41 59.00 0.60 35.25652 5.743475 32.98751
37 61.25 0.78 48.05895 -11.05895 122.3003
53 42.25 1.29 54.31924 -1.319239 1.740392
40 40.75 1.05 42.89458 -2.894576 8.378572
55 49.00 1.19 58.09453 -3.094526 9.576092
67 65.00 1.11 72.22865 -5.228646 27.33874
98 90.00 1.19 106.9566 -8.956578 80.2203
107 99.75 1.25 124.2694 -17.26936 298.2308
112 75.25 1.61 120.8568 -8.856826 78.44337
17 36.50 0.82 29.83757 -12.83757 164.8033
37 49.00 0.92 45.26851 -8.268512 68.3683
35 54.00 0.67 35.97075 -0.97075 0.942355
28 57.50 0.60 34.36017 -6.360172 40.45179
47 71.25 0.78 55.90531 -8.905308 79.3045
63 52.25 1.29 67.17586 -4.175864 17.43784
50 48.75 1.05 51.3156 -1.315597 1.730796
65 58.75 1.19 69.65415 -4.654151 21.66112
77 75.00 1.11 83.34075 -6.340745 40.20505
108 99.50 1.19 118.2464 -10.24644 104.9895
117 108.25 1.25 134.8587 -17.85873 318.9342
118 80.50 1.61 129.2887 -11.2887 127.4347
23 39.25 0.82 32.08561 -9.085611 82.54833
28 41.50 0.92 38.33966 -10.33966 106.9085
19 55.00 0.67 36.63687 -17.63687 311.0594
28 75.25 0.60 44.96701 -16.96701 287.8794
57 87.50 0.78 68.65564 -11.65564 135.854
 73 62.25 1.29 80.03249 -7.032489 49.4559
60 58.75 1.05 61.84187 -1.841874 3.392499
75 68.75 1.19 81.51018 -6.510177 42.3824
87 85.00 1.11 94.45284 -7.452844 55.54489
118 109.50 1.19 130.1305 -12.1305 147.1491
127 118.25 1.25 147.3168 -20.31681 412.7728
128 90.50 1.61 145.3494 -17.34941 301.0019
33 47.25 0.82 38.62535 -5.625353 31.6446
30 47.25 0.92 43.65178 -13.65178 186.3711
28 64.50 0.67 42.96506 -14.96506 223.9531
38 84.75 0.60 50.64391 -12.64391 159.8684
65 96.00 0.78 75.32505 -10.32505 106.6066
81 69.50 1.29 89.35354 -8.353541 69.78165
63 64.75 1.05 68.15764 -5.15764 26.60125
83 76.25 1.19 90.4022 -7.402196 54.79251
91 98.50 1.11 109.4542 -18.45418 340.5567
154 144.75 1.19 172.0218 -18.02183 324.7864
188 154.25 1.25 192.1659 -4.165902 17.35474
163 110.00 1.61 176.6678 -13.66779 186.8084
43 63.00 0.82 51.50047 -8.500471 72.25801
40 68.50 0.92 63.28353 -23.28353 542.1229
38 83.00 0.67 55.28837 -17.28837 298.8879
48 99.75 0.60 59.60743 -11.60743 134.7324
75 110.50 0.78 86.70227 -11.70227 136.943
91 84.50 1.29 108.6385 -17.63848 311.1159
73 70.75 1.05 74.47341 -1.473405 2.170923
93 79.75 1.19 94.55181 -1.551805 2.408099
101 103.50 1.11 115.0102 -14.01023 196.2865
164 131.50 1.19 156.2754 7.724555 59.66875
198 142.25 1.25 177.2162 20.7838 431.9662
173 99.75 1.61 160.2056 12.79444 163.6977
53 39.00 0.82 31.88124 21.11876 446.0019
50 37.00 0.92 34.18235 15.81765 250.1982
48 38.50 0.67 25.64581 22.35419 499.7097
58 49.75 0.60 29.72902 28.27098 799.2484
83 61.00 0.78 47.86279 35.13721 1234.624
78 56.75 1.29 72.96134 5.038655 25.38804
71 67.00 1.05 70.52605 0.473948 0.224627
126 102.00 1.19 120.9315 5.068538 25.69007
156 130.00 1.11 144.4573 11.54271 133.2341
208 161.00 1.19 191.3334 16.66657 277.7744
228 164.25 1.25 204.624 23.37602 546.4382
201 121.25 1.61 194.7361 6.263918 39.23667
83 52.50 0.82 42.91706 40.08294 1606.642
44 30.00 0.92 27.71542 16.28458 265.1877
32 28.00 0.67 18.6515 13.3485 178.1825
48 somme 14832.65
sum/T 180.886
racine 13.44939
 Xt MM(5) St X^ erreur ereeur^^2
32 0
41 0 41 1681
33 44.20 0.87 38.30432 -5.304317 28.13578
51 50.40 1.00 50.56735 0.43265 0.187186
64 57.80 1.00 57.75216 6.247845 39.03556
63 67.40 1.19 80.24617 -17.24617 297.4304
78 62.00 1.46 90.75638 -12.75638 162.7253
81 60.20 1.54 92.51056 -11.51056 132.493
24 54.00 0.49 26.35771 -2.357711 5.558802
55 46.60 0.76 35.21092 19.78908 391.6078
32 37.80 0.87 32.84044 -0.840438 0.706336
41 43.60 0.87 37.80571 3.194286 10.20347
37 40.60 1.22 49.41706 -12.41706 154.1834
53 45.20 1.27 57.4439 -4.443901 19.74825
40 50.40 0.87 43.67732 -3.677321 13.52269
55 62.60 1.00 62.80786 -7.807859 60.96266
67 73.40 1.00 73.33924 -6.339242 40.18599
98 87.80 1.19 104.5343 -6.53433 42.69747
107 80.20 1.46 117.3978 -10.39777 108.1136
112 74.20 1.54 114.0246 -2.024644 4.099184
17 61.60 0.49 30.06732 -13.06732 170.7547
37 45.80 0.76 34.60644 2.393562 5.729141
35 32.80 0.87 28.49646 6.503536 42.29597
28 42.00 0.87 36.41835 -8.418348 70.86858
47 44.60 1.22 54.28574 -7.285736 53.08195
63 50.60 1.27 64.30667 -1.306668 1.707381
50 60.40 0.87 52.34346 -2.343456 5.491785
65 72.60 1.00 72.84106 -7.841063 61.48227
77 83.40 1.00 83.33096 -6.330964 40.08111
108 97.00 1.19 115.4878 -7.487814 56.06735
117 88.60 1.46 129.6938 -12.6938 161.1325
118 78.80 1.54 121.0936 -3.093557 9.570097
23 61.00 0.49 29.77445 -6.774452 45.89319
28 43.20 0.76 32.64188 -4.64188 21.54705
19 31.00 0.87 26.93263 -7.932634 62.92668
28 41.00 0.87 35.55124 -7.551244 57.02129
57 47.40 1.22 57.69381 -0.693809 0.481371
73 58.60 1.27 74.47373 -1.47373 2.17188
60 70.40 0.87 61.00959 -1.009591 1.019274
75 82.60 1.00 82.87427 -7.874268 62.00409
87 93.40 1.00 93.32269 -6.322687 39.97637
118 107.00 1.19 127.3938 -9.393774 88.24298
127 98.60 1.46 144.3319 -17.33192 300.3956
128 87.20 1.54 134.002 -6.002008 36.0241
33 69.20 0.49 33.77692 -0.776919 0.603603
30 51.40 0.76 38.83779 -8.837792 78.10658
28 38.80 0.87 33.70923 -5.709232 32.59533
38 48.40 0.87 41.96781 -3.967811 15.74352
65 55.00 1.22 66.94429 -1.944293 3.780277
81 66.00 1.27 83.87826 -2.878262 8.284394
63 76.60 0.87 66.38259 -3.382595 11.44195
83 94.40 1.00 94.71345 -11.71345 137.2049
91 115.80 1.00 115.7041 -24.70414 610.2948
154 135.80 1.19 161.6829 -7.682939 59.02755
188 127.80 1.46 187.0753 0.924748 0.85516
163 117.60 1.54 180.7183 -17.7183 313.9383
43 94.40 0.49 46.07718 -3.077184 9.469062
40 66.40 0.76 50.17178 -10.17178 103.4651
38 48.80 0.87 42.39718 -4.397179 19.33518
48 58.40 0.87 50.63885 -2.638846 6.963507
75 65.00 1.22 79.11598 -4.115983 16.94132
91 76.00 1.27 96.58709 -5.58709 31.21557
73 86.60 0.87 75.04873 -2.04873 4.197293
 93 104.40 1.00 104.7467 -11.74665 137.9839
101 125.80 1.00 125.6959 -24.69587 609.8859
164 145.80 1.19 173.5889 -9.588899 91.94699
198 137.80 1.46 201.7134 -3.713378 13.78917
173 127.60 1.54 196.0855 -23.08551 532.9406
53 104.40 0.49 50.95824 2.041758 4.168777
50 76.40 0.76 57.72777 -7.727769 59.71842
48 58.40 0.87 50.73761 -2.737607 7.494494
58 63.40 0.87 54.97436 3.025637 9.154477
83 67.60 1.22 82.28062 0.719377 0.517504
78 83.20 1.27 105.7374 -27.73745 769.3659
71 102.80 0.87 89.08787 -18.08787 327.171
126 127.80 1.00 128.2244 -2.224351 4.947738
156 157.80 1.00 157.6694 -1.669379 2.786825
208 183.80 1.19 218.8315 -10.83155 117.3224
228 175.20 1.46 256.46 -28.45997 809.9699
201 152.80 1.54 234.8109 -33.81086 1143.174
83 117.60 0.49 57.40124 25.59876 655.2966
44 81.60 0.76 61.65688 -17.65688 311.7656
32 0 32 1024
48 somme 12685.43
sum/T 158.5678
racine 12.59237
 estimation de St basée sur Tt avec M
X
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8
a2013 32 41 33 51 64 63 78 81
a2014 37 53 40 55 67 98 107 112
a2015 47 63 50 65 77 108 117 118
a2016 57 73 60 75 87 118 127 128
a2017 65 81 63 83 91 154 188 163
a2018 75 91 73 93 101 164 198 173
a2019 83 78 71 126 156 208 228 201

Tendance
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8
a2013 44.20 50.40 57.80 67.40 62.00 60.20
a2014 40.60 45.20 50.40 62.60 73.40 87.80 80.20 74.20
a2015 44.60 50.60 60.40 72.60 83.40 97.00 88.60 78.80
a2016 47.40 58.60 70.40 82.60 93.40 107.00 98.60 87.20
a2017 55.00 66.00 76.60 94.40 115.80 135.80 127.80 117.60
a2018 65.00 76.00 86.60 104.40 125.80 145.80 137.80 127.60
a2019 67.60 83.20 102.80 127.80 157.80 183.80 175.20 152.80

M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8
a2013 0.75 1.01 1.11 0.93 1.26 1.35
a2014 0.91 1.17 0.79 0.88 0.91 1.12 1.33 1.51
a2015 1.05 1.25 0.83 0.90 0.92 1.11 1.32 1.50
a2016 1.20 1.25 0.85 0.91 0.93 1.10 1.29 1.47
a2017 1.18 1.23 0.82 0.88 0.79 1.13 1.47 1.39
a2018 1.15 1.20 0.84 0.89 0.80 1.12 1.44 1.36
a2019 1.23 0.94 0.69 0.99 0.99 1.13 1.30 1.32
1.12 1.17 0.79 0.92 0.92 1.09 1.34 1.41
1.22 1.27 0.87 1.00 1.00 1.19 1.46 1.54

1.22 1.27 0.87 1.00 1.00 1.19 1.46 1.54

ur Tt avec MM(5)
M9 M10 M11 M12
24 55 32 41
17 37 35 28
23 28 19 28
33 30 28 38
43 40 38 48
53 50 48 58
83 44 32 48

M9 M10 M11 M12

54.00 46.60 37.80 43.60
61.60 45.80 32.80 42.00
61.00 43.20 31.00 41.00
69.20 51.40 38.80 48.40
94.40 66.40 48.80 58.40
104.40 76.40 58.40 63.40
117.60 81.60

M9 M10 M11 M12

0.44 1.18 0.85 0.94
0.28 0.81 1.07 0.67
0.38 0.65 0.61 0.68
0.48 0.58 0.72 0.79
0.46 0.60 0.78 0.82
0.51 0.65 0.82 0.91
0.71 0.54
0.45 0.69 0.80 0.80 0.92
0.49 0.76 0.87 0.87

0.49 0.76 0.87 0.87