Estimación por mínimos cuadrados - Actividad 1 y 2

Michel Dayanna Mosquera

Katherin Jaritza Parra
Duvan Mateo Avilan

Corporación Universitaria Minuto de Dios

Facultad de Administración Financiera 9°
Econometría
2021
 n = 248
𝑏= (∑▒𝑋𝑌)/ 〖∑𝑋〗 ^2

𝑎= 11.712700018 -0.00672486
(∑▒𝑌)/𝑛

𝑌=𝑎+𝐵 ∗𝑥
2
Fecha Y = Tasa de desempleo X X Y.X Pronostico
2001/01/31 2001 17 -247 61009 -4124 13
2001/02/28 2001 17 -245 60025 -4240 13
2001/03/31 2001 16 -243 59049 -3816 13
2001/04/30 2001 15 -241 58081 -3516 13
2001/05/31 2001 14 -239 57121 -3400 13
2001/06/30 2001 15 -237 56169 -3610 13
2001/07/31 2001 15 -235 55225 -3530 13
2001/08/31 2001 15 -233 54289 -3427 13
2001/09/30 2001 14 -231 53361 -3299 13
2001/10/31 2001 15 -229 52441 -3340 13
2001/11/30 2001 14 -227 51529 -3076 13
2001/12/31 2001 14 -225 50625 -3114 13
2002/01/31 2002 18 -223 49729 -3986 13
2002/02/28 2002 16 -221 48841 -3504 13
2002/03/31 2002 15 -219 47961 -3275 13
2002/04/30 2002 16 -217 47089 -3534 13
2002/05/31 2002 14 -215 46225 -3101 13
2002/06/30 2002 16 -213 45369 -3462 13
2002/07/31 2002 15 -211 44521 -3251 13
2002/08/31 2002 16 -209 43681 -3299 13
2002/09/30 2002 15 -207 42849 -3013 13
2002/10/31 2002 15 -205 42025 -3036 13
2002/11/30 2002 15 -203 41209 -2986 13
2002/12/31 2002 16 -201 40401 -3170 13
2003/01/31 2003 16 -199 39601 -3207 13
2003/02/28 2003 16 -197 38809 -3208 13
2003/03/31 2003 13 -195 38025 -2532 13
2003/04/30 2003 15 -193 37249 -2857 13
2003/05/31 2003 13 -191 36481 -2463 13
2003/06/30 2003 14 -189 35721 -2672 13
2003/07/31 2003 14 -187 34969 -2701 13
2003/08/31 2003 14 -185 34225 -2670 13
2003/09/30 2003 14 -183 33489 -2609 13
2003/10/31 2003 14 -181 32761 -2480 13
2003/11/30 2003 13 -179 32041 -2311 13
2003/12/31 2003 12 -177 31329 -2157 13
2004/01/31 2004 17 -175 30625 -2976 13
2004/02/29 2004 16 -173 29929 -2714 13
2004/03/31 2004 14 -171 29241 -2330 13
2004/04/30 2004 15 -169 28561 -2480 13
2004/05/31 2004 14 -167 27889 -2297 13
2004/06/30 2004 14 -165 27225 -2309 13
2004/07/31 2004 13 -163 26569 -2109 13
2004/08/31 2004 13 -161 25921 -2107 13
2004/09/30 2004 13 -159 25281 -1990 13
2004/10/31 2004 13 -157 24649 -1977 13
2004/11/30 2004 12 -155 24025 -1825 13
2004/12/31 2004 12 -153 23409 -1847 13
2005/01/31 2005 13 -151 22801 -1996 13
2005/02/28 2005 14 -149 22201 -2120 13
2005/03/31 2005 13 -147 21609 -1903 13
2005/04/30 2005 12 -145 21025 -1749 13
2005/05/31 2005 12 -143 20449 -1760 13
2005/06/30 2005 12 -141 19881 -1625 13
2005/07/31 2005 12 -139 19321 -1667 13
2005/08/31 2005 12 -137 18769 -1610 13
2005/09/30 2005 11 -135 18225 -1508 13
2005/10/31 2005 10 -133 17689 -1324 13
2005/11/30 2005 10 -131 17161 -1337 13
2005/12/31 2005 10 -129 16641 -1333 13
2006/01/31 2006 13 -127 16129 -1703 13
2006/02/28 2006 13 -125 15625 -1625 13
2006/03/31 2006 11 -123 15129 -1395 13
2006/04/30 2006 12 -121 14641 -1453 13
2006/05/31 2006 12 -119 14161 -1414 13
2006/06/30 2006 11 -117 13689 -1241 12
2006/07/31 2006 12 -115 13225 -1425 12
2006/08/31 2006 13 -113 12769 -1446 12
2006/09/30 2006 13 -111 12321 -1431 12
2006/10/31 2006 11 -109 11881 -1238 12
2006/11/30 2006 11 -107 11449 -1170 12
2006/12/31 2006 12 -105 11025 -1237 12
2007/01/31 2007 14 -103 10609 -1431 12
2007/02/28 2007 13 -101 10201 -1295 12
2007/03/31 2007 12 -99 9801 -1181 12
2007/04/30 2007 11 -97 9409 -1058 12
2007/05/31 2007 12 -95 9025 -1095 12
2007/06/30 2007 11 -93 8649 -1038 12
2007/07/31 2007 11 -91 8281 -1016 12
2007/08/31 2007 11 -89 7921 -955 12
2007/09/30 2007 11 -87 7569 -943 12
2007/10/31 2007 10 -85 7225 -854 12
2007/11/30 2007 9 -83 6889 -782 12
2007/12/31 2007 10 -81 6561 -801 12
2008/01/31 2008 13 -79 6241 -1033 12
2008/02/29 2008 12 -77 5929 -923 12
2008/03/31 2008 11 -75 5625 -842 12
2008/04/30 2008 11 -73 5329 -812 12
2008/05/31 2008 11 -71 5041 -770 12
2008/06/30 2008 11 -69 4761 -771 12
2008/07/31 2008 12 -67 4489 -808 12
2008/08/31 2008 11 -65 4225 -729 12
2008/09/30 2008 11 -63 3969 -690 12
2008/10/31 2008 10 -61 3721 -618 12
2008/11/30 2008 11 -59 3481 -637 12
2008/12/31 2008 11 -57 3249 -605 12
2009/01/31 2009 14 -55 3025 -784 12
2009/02/28 2009 12 -53 2809 -662 12
2009/03/31 2009 12 -51 2601 -612 12
2009/04/30 2009 12 -49 2401 -595 12
2009/05/31 2009 12 -47 2209 -548 12
2009/06/30 2009 11 -45 2025 -510 12
2009/07/31 2009 13 -43 1849 -543 12
2009/08/31 2009 12 -41 1681 -481 12
2009/09/30 2009 12 -39 1521 -474 12
2009/10/31 2009 12 -37 1369 -427 12
2009/11/30 2009 11 -35 1225 -388 12
2009/12/31 2009 11 -33 1089 -373 12
2010/01/31 2010 15 -31 961 -453 12
2010/02/28 2010 13 -29 841 -365 12
2010/03/31 2010 12 -27 729 -319 12
2010/04/30 2010 12 -25 625 -306 12
2010/05/31 2010 12 -23 529 -277 12
2010/06/30 2010 12 -21 441 -244 12
2010/07/31 2010 13 -19 361 -241 12
2010/08/31 2010 11 -17 289 -190 12
2010/09/30 2010 11 -15 225 -159 12
2010/10/31 2010 10 -13 169 -132 12
2010/11/30 2010 11 -11 121 -119 12
2010/12/31 2010 11 -9 81 -100 12
2011/01/31 2011 14 -7 49 -95 12
2011/02/28 2011 13 -5 25 -64 12
2011/03/31 2011 11 -3 9 -33 12
2011/04/30 2011 11 -1 1 -11 12
2011/05/31 2011 11 1 1 11 12
2011/06/30 2011 11 3 9 33 12
2011/07/31 2011 12 5 25 58 12
2011/08/31 2011 10 7 49 71 12
2011/09/30 2011 10 9 81 88 12
2011/10/31 2011 9 11 121 99 12
2011/11/30 2011 9 13 169 120 12
2011/12/31 2011 10 15 225 147 12
2012/01/31 2012 12 17 289 212 12
2012/02/29 2012 12 19 361 226 12
2012/03/31 2012 10 21 441 218 12
2012/04/30 2012 11 23 529 250 12
2012/05/31 2012 11 25 625 268 12
2012/06/30 2012 10 27 729 271 12
2012/07/31 2012 11 29 841 315 12
2012/08/31 2012 10 31 961 302 12
2012/09/30 2012 10 33 1089 328 11
2012/10/31 2012 9 35 1225 310 11
2012/11/30 2012 9 37 1369 342 11
2012/12/31 2012 10 39 1521 372 11
2013/01/31 2013 12 41 1681 495 11
2013/02/28 2013 12 43 1849 507 11
2013/03/31 2013 10 45 2025 459 11
2013/04/30 2013 10 47 2209 478 11
2013/05/31 2013 9 49 2401 462 11
2013/06/30 2013 9 51 2601 471 11
2013/07/31 2013 10 53 2809 524 11
2013/08/31 2013 9 55 3025 510 11
2013/09/30 2013 9 57 3249 512 11
2013/10/31 2013 8 59 3481 460 11
2013/11/30 2013 8 61 3721 517 11
2013/12/31 2013 8 63 3969 532 11
2014/01/31 2014 11 65 4225 722 11
2014/02/28 2014 11 67 4489 716 11
2014/03/31 2014 10 69 4761 672 11
2014/04/30 2014 9 71 5041 637 11
2014/05/31 2014 9 73 5329 642 11
2014/06/30 2014 9 75 5625 690 11
2014/07/31 2014 9 77 5929 715 11
2014/08/31 2014 9 79 6241 703 11
2014/09/30 2014 8 81 6561 676 11
2014/10/31 2014 8 83 6889 652 11
2014/11/30 2014 8 85 7225 655 11
2014/12/31 2014 9 87 7569 759 11
2015/01/31 2015 11 89 7921 960 11
2015/02/28 2015 10 91 8281 897 11
2015/03/31 2015 9 93 8649 824 11
2015/04/30 2015 10 95 9025 903 11
2015/05/31 2015 9 97 9409 867 11
2015/06/30 2015 8 99 9801 816 11
2015/07/31 2015 9 101 10201 893 11
2015/08/31 2015 9 103 10609 937 11
2015/09/30 2015 9 105 11025 943 11
2015/10/31 2015 8 107 11449 876 11
2015/11/30 2015 7 109 11881 793 11
2015/12/31 2015 9 111 12321 953 11
2016/01/31 2016 12 113 12769 1345 11
2016/02/29 2016 10 115 13225 1150 11
2016/03/31 2016 10 117 13689 1186 11
2016/04/30 2016 9 119 14161 1073 11
2016/05/31 2016 9 121 14641 1071 11
2016/06/30 2016 9 123 15129 1093 11
2016/07/31 2016 10 125 15625 1231 11
2016/08/31 2016 9 127 16129 1142 11
2016/09/30 2016 9 129 16641 1098 11
2016/10/31 2016 8 131 17161 1087 11
2016/11/30 2016 8 133 17689 999 11
2016/12/31 2016 9 135 18225 1180 11
2017/01/31 2017 12 137 18769 1607 11
2017/02/28 2017 11 139 19321 1460 11
2017/03/31 2017 10 141 19881 1368 11
2017/04/30 2017 9 143 20449 1274 11
2017/05/31 2017 9 145 21025 1365 11
2017/06/30 2017 9 147 21609 1281 11
2017/07/31 2017 10 149 22201 1442 11
2017/08/31 2017 9 151 22801 1374 11
2017/09/30 2017 9 153 23409 1411 11
2017/10/31 2017 9 155 24025 1326 11
2017/11/30 2017 8 157 24649 1314 11
2017/12/31 2017 9 159 25281 1372 11
2018/01/31 2018 12 161 25921 1894 11
2018/02/28 2018 11 163 26569 1761 11
2018/03/31 2018 9 165 27225 1557 11
2018/04/30 2018 9 167 27889 1580 11
2018/05/31 2018 10 169 28561 1644 11
2018/06/30 2018 9 171 29241 1553 11
2018/07/31 2018 10 173 29929 1682 11
2018/08/31 2018 9 175 30625 1602 11
2018/09/30 2018 9 177 31329 1678 11
2018/10/31 2018 9 179 32041 1622 11
2018/11/30 2018 9 181 32761 1585 10
2018/12/31 2018 10 183 33489 1779 10
2019/01/31 2019 13 185 34225 2367 10
2019/02/28 2019 12 187 34969 2201 10
2019/03/31 2019 11 189 35721 2044 10
2019/04/30 2019 10 191 36481 1974 10
2019/05/31 2019 11 193 37249 2034 10
2019/06/30 2019 9 195 38025 1840 10
2019/07/31 2019 11 197 38809 2111 10
2019/08/31 2019 11 199 39601 2148 10
2019/09/30 2019 10 201 40401 2055 10
2019/10/31 2019 10 203 41209 1998 10
2019/11/30 2019 9 205 42025 1896 10
2019/12/31 2019 10 207 42849 1973 10
2020/01/31 2020 13 209 43681 2714 10
2020/02/29 2020 12 211 44521 2565 10
2020/03/31 2020 13 213 45369 2691 10
2020/04/30 2020 20 215 46225 4259 10
2020/05/31 2020 21 217 47089 4639 10
2020/06/30 2020 20 219 47961 4339 10
2020/07/31 2020 20 221 48841 4469 10
2020/08/31 2020 17 223 49729 3737 10
2020/09/30 2020 16 225 50625 3548 10
2020/10/31 2020 15 227 51529 3326 10
2020/11/30 2020 13 229 52441 3048 10
2020/12/31 2020 13 231 53361 3089 10
2021/01/31 2021 17 233 54289 4023 10
2021/02/28 2021 16 235 55225 3733 10
2021/03/31 2021 14 237 56169 3361 10
2021/04/30 2021 15 239 57121 3598 10
2021/05/31 2021 16 241 58081 3767 10
2021/06/30 2021 14 243 59049 3500 10
2021/07/31 2021 14 245 60025 3501 10
2021/08/31 2021 12 247 61009 3046 10
2022 249 62001 0 10 10
248 2905 5084248 -34191
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.40720671
Coeficiente d 0.16581731
R^2 ajustado 0.16237027
Error típico 2.94794144
Observacione 244

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 418.043766 418.043766 48.1043164928955 3.66297341E-11
Residuos 242 2103.06681 8.69035871
Total 243 2521.11057

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

Intercepción 55.0181438 0.18872737 291.521811 0 54.64638573699 55.3899018
-122 0.0185832 0.00267934 6.93572754 3.66297341346E-11 0.013305384736 0.02386101

Análisis de los residuales Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Observación
Pronóstico 53,008759880627
Residuos
Residuos estándares Percentil 53.0087599
1 52.769577 -0.05589748 -0.01900067 0.204918032787 41.5703596
2 52.7881602 0.22975909 0.07809969 0.614754098361 43.3808099
3 52.8067434 -1.35221135 -0.45964356 1.024590163934 45.0985261
4 52.8253266 -1.59234588 -0.54127007 1.434426229508 46.0522139
5 52.8439098 -1.08322205 -0.36820874 1.844262295082 48.9663053
6 52.862493 -0.76656751 -0.26057156 2.254098360656 49.3440046
7 52.8810762 0.05677628 0.01929939 2.66393442623 49.7636527
8 52.8996594 0.97794795 0.33242398 3.073770491803 49.9854714
9 52.9182426 0.89458359 0.30408677 3.483606557377 50.1302559
10 52.9368258 2.98932828 1.0161322 3.893442622951 50.3252902
11 52.955409 2.27774378 0.77425046 4.303278688525 50.4256062
12 52.9739922 -0.78170896 -0.26571844 4.713114754098 50.631096
13 52.9925754 -0.27079408 -0.0920483 5.122950819672 50.7779919
14 53.0111586 -0.46117096 -0.15676119 5.532786885246 50.7970907
15 53.0297418 -0.42856106 -0.14567644 5.94262295082 50.8227944
16 53.048325 -0.03033073 -0.01031002 6.352459016393 50.844356
17 53.0669082 -1.74165 -0.59202151 6.762295081967 50.8720561
18 53.0854914 -0.29284627 -0.09954428 7.172131147541 50.8808364
19 53.1040746 -1.50298504 -0.51089454 7.581967213115 51.0755943
20 53.1226578 -0.93768038 -0.31873623 7.991803278689 51.2041057
21 53.141241 0.72453387 0.24628349 8.401639344262 51.2134433
22 53.1598242 0.50953721 0.17320184 8.811475409836 51.2329808
23 53.1784074 -0.93878622 -0.31911213 9.22131147541 51.2622154
24 53.1969906 -1.24324449 -0.42260355 9.631147540984 51.3252582
25 53.2155738 -0.64687491 -0.21988566 10.04098360656 51.3279667
26 53.2341569 1.23176698 0.41870212 10.45081967213 51.3397885
27 53.2527401 0.09508781 0.03232224 10.86065573771 51.4545321
28 53.2713233 1.62321487 0.55176305 11.27049180328 51.4793205
29 53.2899065 -0.75504903 -0.2566562 11.68032786885 51.5344661
30 53.3084897 -0.34059222 -0.11577407 12.09016393443 51.5936901
31 53.3270729 0.81614782 0.27742489 12.5 51.6010895
32 53.3456561 0.93898083 0.31917828 12.90983606557 51.6134786
33 53.3642393 2.13321918 0.72512367 13.31967213115 51.6887179
34 53.3828225 2.19352569 0.74562305 13.72950819672 51.7022872
35 53.4014057 1.82414343 0.62006267 14.1393442623 51.7332179
36 53.4199889 -1.28994997 -0.43847968 14.54918032787 51.7606878
37 53.4385721 -0.90900322 -0.30898829 14.95901639344 51.8274711
38 53.4571553 0.24812012 0.08434097 15.36885245902 51.8991928
39 53.4757385 -0.78127822 -0.26557202 15.77868852459 51.9537461
40 53.4943217 -0.37785128 -0.12843917 16.18852459016 52.0547835
41 53.5129049 -1.91921475 -0.6523793 16.59836065574 52.0620342
42 53.5314881 -0.01049104 -0.00356611 17.00819672131 52.0676441
43 53.5500713 -0.78278843 -0.26608537 17.41803278689 52.0959255
44 53.5686545 -0.5042546 -0.17140618 17.82786885246 52.1127351
45 53.5872377 0.21107708 0.0717493 18.23770491803 52.1300389
46 53.6058209 0.79033782 0.26865156 18.64754098361 52.1849774
47 53.6244041 -0.06870258 -0.02335338 19.05737704918 52.1922832
48 53.6429873 -1.25625541 -0.42702623 19.46721311475 52.1961451
49 53.6615705 -1.9728526 -0.67061188 19.87704918033 52.1996002
50 53.6801537 -1.48400859 -0.50444406 20.2868852459 52.2195992
51 53.6987368 -0.86147131 -0.29283125 20.69672131148 52.2396211
52 53.71732 -0.87051011 -0.29590372 21.10655737705 52.2973468
53 53.7359032 -1.21437469 -0.41279013 21.51639344262 52.3867318
54 53.7544864 0.29927096 0.10172816 21.9262295082 52.4302358
55 53.7730696 -0.71744387 -0.24387346 22.33606557377 52.5215286
56 53.7916528 -0.11182936 -0.03801303 22.74590163934 52.5295689
57 53.810236 1.61173874 0.54786209 23.15573770492 52.5348575
58 53.8288192 0.86354274 0.29353537 23.56557377049 52.5499876
59 53.8474024 1.31398115 0.44664835 23.97540983607 52.5582801
60 53.8659856 -1.8112021 -0.61566365 24.38524590164 52.5686988
61 53.8845688 -1.32628866 -0.45083192 24.79508196721 52.6011807
62 53.903152 0.05388847 0.01831776 25.20491803279 52.6717218
63 53.9217352 -1.85970103 -0.63214941 25.61475409836 52.6944603
64 53.9403184 -1.26859658 -0.43122123 26.02459016393 52.7136796
65 53.9589016 0.27598888 0.09381411 26.43442622951 52.7168895
66 53.9774848 -1.12041915 -0.38085277 26.84426229508 52.7217813
 67 53.996068 -3.12401191 -1.06191385 27.25409836066 52.743203
68 54.0146512 -4.02917976 -1.36959842 27.66393442623 52.7672828
69 54.0332344 -2.82912869 -0.96167717 28.0737704918 52.7926451
70 54.0518176 -3.22902313 -1.09760925 28.48360655738 52.8372655
71 54.0704008 -3.18956439 -1.08419644 28.89344262295 52.8468099
72 54.088984 -5.1226787 -1.74130048 29.30327868852 52.8570656
73 54.1075672 -2.89412382 -0.98377031 29.7131147541 52.9322826
74 54.1261504 -3.70054418 -1.25788864 30.12295081967 52.9378525
75 54.1447336 -1.84738673 -0.62796353 30.53278688525 52.9678975
76 54.1633167 -3.08772241 -1.04957832 30.94262295082 53.0026883
77 54.1818999 -2.64743381 -0.89991546 31.35245901639 53.0179193
78 54.2004831 -2.86069464 -0.97240706 31.76229508197 53.0179943
79 54.2190663 -2.95685096 -1.00509251 32.17213114754 53.0182229
80 54.2376495 -2.1700054 -0.73762804 32.58196721311 53.0556258
81 54.2562327 0.30084976 0.10226482 32.99180327869 53.0643999
82 54.2748159 -0.2190641 -0.07446425 33.40163934426 53.1164704
83 54.2933991 -1.86316333 -0.63332631 33.81147540984 53.1852824
84 54.3119823 -4.18172639 -1.42145206 34.22131147541 53.2252832
85 54.3305655 -2.43137274 -0.826472 34.63114754098 53.312525
86 54.3491487 -1.34646036 -0.45768868 35.04098360656 53.3388512
87 54.3677319 -1.43544928 -0.48793779 35.45081967213 53.347828
88 54.3863151 -1.64311208 -0.55852651 35.86065573771 53.3783095
89 54.4048983 -3.62690635 -1.23285768 36.27049180328 53.4110283
90 54.4234815 -2.81000287 -0.95517592 36.68032786885 53.520997
91 54.4420647 -2.96274418 -1.00709573 37.09016393443 53.5557015
92 54.4606479 -2.34791275 -0.79810229 37.5 53.6693614
93 54.4792311 -1.76234157 -0.59905499 37.90983606557 53.6798235
94 54.4978143 -3.16984758 -1.0774943 38.31967213115 53.7052754
95 54.5163975 -2.29679823 -0.78072745 38.72950819672 53.7983148
96 54.5349807 -4.20969047 -1.4309576 39.1393442623 53.8128262
97 54.5535639 -2.35396362 -0.8001591 39.54918032787 53.8657748
98 54.5721471 -1.19383751 -0.40580914 39.95901639344 53.8776074
99 54.5907303 -0.50456808 -0.17151274 40.36885245902 53.8810872
100 54.6093134 -0.20490418 -0.06965101 40.77868852459 53.9570405
101 54.6278966 -0.42523068 -0.14454437 41.18852459016 54.0537574
102 54.6464798 -0.76539267 -0.26017221 41.59836065574 54.0557518
103 54.665063 -1.3262118 -0.4508058 42.00819672131 54.0745792
104 54.6836462 -1.37112123 -0.46607141 42.41803278689 54.0861622
105 54.7022294 1.85092737 0.62916706 42.82786885246 54.1432207
106 54.7208126 1.20381913 0.40920209 43.23770491803 54.202666
107 54.7393958 0.76091567 0.25865038 43.64754098361 54.2348905
108 54.757979 -1.73975607 -0.59137773 44.05737704918 54.2602261
109 54.7765622 -0.19144908 -0.06507735 44.46721311475 54.284637
110 54.7951454 -0.53491934 -0.18182973 44.87704918033 54.3706724
111 54.8137286 0.5871956 0.19959947 45.2868852459 54.3961587
112 54.8323118 0.06058895 0.02059539 45.69672131148 54.4044093
113 54.850895 0.3016165 0.10252545 46.10655737705 54.419051
114 54.8694782 -0.23824711 -0.08098494 46.51639344262 54.4659239
115 54.8880614 0.66422393 0.22578294 46.9262295082 54.5570825
116 54.9066446 1.74633316 0.59361341 47.33606557377 54.5851131
117 54.9252278 2.4462184 0.83151834 47.74590163934 54.6312311
118 54.943811 1.87692995 0.63800586 48.15573770492 54.692362
119 54.9623942 0.9638605 0.32763538 48.56557377049 54.8929008
120 54.9809774 -0.90639819 -0.30810279 48.97540983607 54.8945382
121 54.9995606 -0.58050958 -0.19732676 49.38524590164 55.1525115
122 55.0181438 0.79280461 0.26949007 49.79508196721 55.1613836
123 55.036727 0.71332862 0.2424746 50.20491803279 55.2255491
124 55.0553102 1.33718985 0.45453745 50.61475409836 55.2331528
125 55.0738933 0.9716428 0.33028073 51.02459016393 55.3335594
126 55.0924765 0.91123589 0.30974722 51.43442622951 55.4009242
127 55.1110597 1.3202142 0.44876709 51.84426229508 55.4219748
128 55.1296429 2.53210305 0.86071224 52.25409836066 55.4755307
129 55.1482261 5.71701835 1.94332836 52.66393442623 55.4974585
130 55.1668093 4.32656747 1.47068642 53.0737704918 55.5003115
131 55.1853925 3.33295973 1.13293937 53.48360655738 55.5522853
132 55.2039757 0.74677472 0.25384359 53.89344262295 55.5763482
133 55.2225589 1.51101994 0.51362576 54.30327868852 55.7500556
134 55.2411421 2.28317021 0.77609501 54.7131147541 55.7847795
135 55.2597253 2.22183834 0.75524709 55.12295081967 55.8013049
136 55.2783085 2.97962595 1.01283418 55.53278688525 55.8109484
137 55.2968917 3.49135722 1.18678183 55.94262295082 55.9246318
138 55.3154749 1.89984342 0.6457946 56.35245901639 55.9261541
139 55.3340581 2.80589387 0.95377919 56.76229508197 55.9262547
140 55.3526413 1.9183868 0.65209787 57.17213114754 55.9507504
141 55.3712245 4.56490813 1.55170316 57.58196721311 56.0037124
142 55.3898077 2.97102387 1.00991016 57.99180327869 56.0455361
143 55.4083909 2.99962944 1.01963377 58.40163934426 56.1070603
144 55.4269741 0.7315765 0.24867742 58.81147540984 56.1585506
145 55.4455573 0.75178359 0.25554621 59.22131147541 56.1973409
146 55.4641405 1.00606129 0.34198026 59.63114754098 56.2274514
147 55.4827237 1.51792163 0.51597178 60.04098360656 56.2917699
148 55.5013069 3.22763123 1.09713612 60.45081967213 56.3356439
149 55.5198901 2.32278369 0.78956042 60.86065573771 56.3435634
150 55.5384732 2.26930033 0.77138036 61.27049180328 56.3505119
151 55.5570564 3.03318746 1.03104081 61.68032786885 56.3925
152 55.5756396 2.43036582 0.82612973 62.09016393443 56.3933356
153 55.5942228 5.32774359 1.81100612 62.5 56.4082388
154 55.612806 3.22910178 1.09763598 62.90983606557 56.4312739
155 55.6313892 3.42835889 1.16536744 63.31967213115 56.4702018
156 55.6499724 0.91260521 0.31021268 63.72950819672 56.4798614
157 55.6685556 0.62321423 0.21184293 64.1393442623 56.5531568
158 55.6871388 1.03586194 0.3521101 64.54918032787 56.5625776
159 55.705722 2.41921721 0.82234009 64.95901639344 56.6529777
160 55.7243052 2.59864121 0.88332988 65.36885245902 56.7230008
161 55.7428884 2.6055201 0.88566816 65.77868852459 56.7335789
162 55.7614716 1.88217606 0.63978912 66.18852459016 56.8207409
163 55.7800548 3.1904745 1.0845058 66.59836065574 56.863426
164 55.798638 3.35758569 1.14131022 67.00819672131 56.881747
165 55.8172212 5.45766244 1.85516812 67.41803278689 56.9353491
166 55.8358044 4.49764357 1.5288386 67.82786885246 56.9939905
167 55.8543876 3.02493009 1.02823396 68.23770491803 57.0006453
168 55.8729708 1.06237829 0.36112353 68.64754098361 57.2153183
169 55.891554 1.49817577 0.50925977 69.05737704918 57.2509458
170 55.9101372 2.31989306 0.78857784 69.46721311475 57.2710281
171 55.9287204 3.34347985 1.13651537 69.87704918033 57.2982273
172 55.9473036 2.86634132 0.97432648 70.2868852459 57.3714462
173 55.9658868 3.13256601 1.06482155 70.69672131148 57.3897297
174 55.98447 2.36758876 0.80479056 71.10655737705 57.4016973
175 56.0030531 2.85744763 0.97130334 71.51639344262 57.4403227
176 56.0216363 2.69298737 0.91540002 71.9262295082 57.4815636
177 56.0402195 5.37037182 1.8254963 72.33606557377 57.4995893
178 56.0588027 4.81685242 1.63734404 72.74590163934 57.5023656
179 56.0773859 3.44710651 1.17174013 73.15573770492 57.518427
180 56.0959691 0.76745684 0.26087386 73.56557377049 57.5243123
181 56.1145523 1.81903099 0.61832485 73.97540983607 57.5307244
182 56.1331355 0.74861146 0.25446794 74.38524590164 57.6436477
183 56.1517187 2.6078319 0.88645398 74.79508196721 57.661746
184 56.1703019 2.05052802 0.6970153 75.20491803279 57.7539065
185 56.1888851 2.62832215 0.89341903 75.61475409836 57.8077736
186 56.2074683 1.09075898 0.3707707 76.02459016393 57.8426737
187 56.2260515 2.56270933 0.87111592 76.43442622951 57.8477928
188 56.2446347 2.47012051 0.83964314 76.84426229508 57.8742157
189 56.2632179 4.50811942 1.53239955 77.25409836066 57.9335833
190 56.2818011 4.06432266 1.38154419 77.66393442623 58.0060055
191 56.3003843 2.67898941 0.91064184 78.0737704918 58.1249392
192 56.3189675 0.02459593 0.00836065 78.48360655738 58.139425
193 56.3375507 0.91339513 0.31048119 78.89344262295 58.139952
194 56.3561339 1.04556346 0.35540784 79.30327868852 58.2208299
195 56.3747171 2.88923146 0.9821073 79.7131147541 58.2300302
196 56.3933003 1.74612476 0.59354257 80.12295081967 58.2356564
197 56.4118835 3.07246243 1.04439115 80.53278688525 58.2579345
198 56.4304667 1.08796037 0.36981939 80.94262295082 58.2714717
199 56.4490498 2.16407066 0.7356107 81.35245901639 58.2753169
200 56.467633 1.76802336 0.60098634 81.76229508197 58.310444
201 56.4862162 3.46400878 1.17748555 82.17213114754 58.3229464
202 56.5047994 2.84029257 0.96547199 82.58196721311 58.3484085
203 56.5233826 2.17666258 0.73989095 82.99180327869 58.3520587
204 56.5419658 -0.74066097 -0.25176541 83.40163934426 58.3608315
205 56.560549 -0.08068767 -0.02742735 83.81147540984 58.4080203
206 56.5791322 0.41485827 0.14101859 84.22131147541 58.5039802
207 56.5977154 1.90626474 0.64797734 84.63114754098 58.5183522
208 56.6162986 1.2579171 0.42759107 85.04098360656 58.5902439
209 56.6348818 1.67556224 0.56955696 85.45081967213 58.6131205
210 56.653465 0.78685765 0.26746858 85.86065573771 58.7000452
211 56.6720482 1.59942349 0.54367589 86.27049180328 58.7146237
212 56.6906314 1.58468551 0.53866616 86.68032786885 58.7147552
213 56.7092146 2.51460172 0.85476319 87.09016393443 58.7267215
214 56.7277978 0.80292659 0.27293074 87.5 58.7289381
215 56.746381 1.98034054 0.67315718 87.90983606557 58.7595506
216 56.7649642 -1.43140483 -0.486563 88.31967213115 58.7882489
217 56.7835474 -0.43303543 -0.14719736 88.72950819672 58.7887608
218 56.8021306 -0.40879495 -0.13895754 89.1393442623 58.8136449
219 56.8207138 -1.03593431 -0.3521347 89.54918032787 58.8172073
220 56.839297 -0.43105816 -0.14652525 89.95901639344 58.8419078
221 56.8578802 0.64448547 0.21907344 90.36885245902 58.8605008
222 56.8764634 -0.64901196 -0.22061209 90.77868852459 58.8793177
223 56.8950466 -0.78798626 -0.26785222 91.18852459016 58.9705293
224 56.9136297 -0.57798586 -0.1964689 91.59836065574 58.9793737
225 56.9322129 0.82169352 0.27930999 92.00819672131 59.0597481
226 56.9507961 0.89699664 0.30490702 92.41803278689 59.0984528
227 56.9693793 0.53020996 0.18022892 92.82786885246 59.1562237
228 56.9879625 -2.61729009 -0.88966901 93.23770491803 59.2238163
229 57.0065457 -1.53101498 -0.52042247 93.64754098361 59.2639485
230 57.0251289 -5.3228417 -1.80933987 94.05737704918 59.2722002
231 57.0437121 -15.4733525 -5.25970058 94.46721311475 59.345092
232 57.0622953 -13.6814854 -4.65060928 94.87704918033 59.4843459
233 57.0808785 -11.0286646 -3.74886269 95.2868852459 59.4933768
234 57.0994617 -12.0009356 -4.07935696 95.69672131148 59.5244924
235 57.1180449 -7.7740403 -2.64255107 96.10655737705 59.9361326
236 57.1366281 -6.50553206 -2.21135987 96.51639344262 59.950225
237 57.1552113 -3.96992893 -1.34945788 96.9262295082 60.333448
238 57.1737945 -3.94851132 -1.34217761 97.33606557377 60.3461237
239 57.1923777 -3.78134941 -1.28535595 97.74590163934 60.7713373
240 57.2109609 -7.44730818 -2.53148832 98.15573770492 60.8652445
241 57.2295441 -5.40207297 -1.83627215 98.56557377049 60.8756552
242 57.2481273 -5.5149094 -1.8746275 98.97540983607 60.9219664
243 57.2667105 -6.42235443 -2.18308614 99.38524590164 61.2748836
244 57.2852937 -6.488203 -2.20546937 99.79508196721 61.4105914
 -122 Gráfico de los residuales
10
5

Residuos
0
-150 -100 -50 -5 0 50 100 150
-10
-15
-20
-122

-122 Curva de regresión ajustada

80
53,008759880627

Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
60
54.6463857 55.3899018 Column C
40 Pronóstico
0.01330538 0.02386101
20 53,008759880627
0
-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150
-122
datos de probabilidad

Gráfico de probabilidad normal

80
53,008759880627

60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil
ales

100 150

tada

Column C
Pronóstico
53,008759880627

mal

100 120
 n = 245 𝑏= (∑▒𝑋𝑌)/ 〖∑𝑋〗 ^2

𝑎= 55.019195866 0.0185575348
(∑▒𝑌)/𝑛

𝑌=𝑎+𝐵 ∗𝑥
2
Fecha Y = Tasa de ocupación X X Y.X Pronostico
30/03/2001 2001 53 -122 14884 -6467 53
29/04/2001 2001 53 -121 14641 -6378 53
31/05/2001 2001 53 -120 14400 -6362 53
30/06/2001 2001 51 -119 14161 -6123 53
31/07/2001 2001 51 -118 13924 -6045 53
31/08/2001 2001 52 -117 13689 -6056 53
30/09/2001 2001 52 -116 13456 -6043 53
30/10/2001 2001 53 -115 13225 -6088 53
29/11/2001 2001 54 -114 12996 -6142 53
30/12/2001 2001 54 -113 12769 -6081 53
30/01/2002 2002 56 -112 12544 -6264 53
27/02/2002 2002 55 -111 12321 -6131 53
30/03/2002 2002 52 -110 12100 -5741 53
30/04/2002 2002 53 -109 11881 -5747 53
31/05/2002 2002 53 -108 11664 -5675 53
30/06/2002 2002 53 -107 11449 -5628 53
31/07/2002 2002 53 -106 11236 -5620 53
31/08/2002 2002 51 -105 11025 -5389 53
30/09/2002 2002 53 -104 10816 -5490 53
30/10/2002 2002 52 -103 10609 -5315 53
29/11/2002 2002 52 -102 10404 -5323 53
30/12/2002 2002 54 -101 10201 -5440 53
30/01/2003 2003 54 -100 10000 -5367 53
27/02/2003 2003 52 -99 9801 -5172 53
30/03/2003 2003 52 -98 9604 -5091 53
30/04/2003 2003 53 -97 9409 -5099 53
31/05/2003 2003 54 -96 9216 -5229 53
30/06/2003 2003 53 -95 9025 -5068 53
31/07/2003 2003 55 -94 8836 -5160 53
31/08/2003 2003 53 -93 8649 -4886 53
30/09/2003 2003 53 -92 8464 -4873 53
30/10/2003 2003 54 -91 8281 -4927 53
29/11/2003 2003 54 -90 8100 -4886 53
30/12/2003 2003 55 -89 7921 -4939 53
30/01/2004 2004 56 -88 7744 -4891 53
28/02/2004 2004 55 -87 7569 -4805 53
30/03/2004 2004 52 -86 7396 -4483 53
30/04/2004 2004 53 -85 7225 -4465 53
31/05/2004 2004 54 -84 7056 -4511 53
30/06/2004 2004 53 -83 6889 -4374 53
31/07/2004 2004 53 -82 6724 -4356 53
31/08/2004 2004 52 -81 6561 -4179 54
30/09/2004 2004 54 -80 6400 -4282 54
31/10/2004 2004 53 -79 6241 -4169 54
29/11/2004 2004 53 -78 6084 -4139 54
30/12/2004 2004 54 -77 5929 -4142 54
30/01/2005 2005 54 -76 5776 -4134 54
27/02/2005 2005 54 -75 5625 -4017 54
30/03/2005 2005 52 -74 5476 -3877 54
30/04/2005 2005 52 -73 5329 -3773 54
31/05/2005 2005 52 -72 5184 -3758 54
30/06/2005 2005 53 -71 5041 -3751 54
31/07/2005 2005 53 -70 4900 -3699 54
31/08/2005 2005 53 -69 4761 -3624 54
30/09/2005 2005 54 -68 4624 -3676 54
30/10/2005 2005 53 -67 4489 -3555 54
29/11/2005 2005 54 -66 4356 -3543 54
30/12/2005 2005 55 -65 4225 -3602 54
30/01/2006 2006 55 -64 4096 -3500 54
27/02/2006 2006 55 -63 3969 -3475 54
30/03/2006 2006 52 -62 3844 -3227 54
30/04/2006 2006 53 -61 3721 -3206 54
31/05/2006 2006 54 -60 3600 -3237 54
30/06/2006 2006 52 -59 3481 -3072 54
31/07/2006 2006 53 -58 3364 -3055 54
31/08/2006 2006 54 -57 3249 -3091 54
30/09/2006 2006 53 -56 3136 -2960 54
30/10/2006 2006 51 -55 3025 -2798 54
29/11/2006 2006 50 -54 2916 -2699 54
30/12/2006 2006 51 -53 2809 -2714 54
30/01/2007 2007 51 -52 2704 -2643 54
27/02/2007 2007 51 -51 2601 -2595 54
30/03/2007 2007 49 -50 2500 -2448 54
30/04/2007 2007 51 -49 2401 -2509 54
31/05/2007 2007 50 -48 2304 -2420 54
30/06/2007 2007 52 -47 2209 -2458 54
31/07/2007 2007 51 -46 2116 -2349 54
31/08/2007 2007 52 -45 2025 -2319 54
30/09/2007 2007 51 -44 1936 -2259 54
30/10/2007 2007 51 -43 1849 -2204 54
29/11/2007 2007 52 -42 1764 -2187 54
30/12/2007 2007 55 -41 1681 -2237 54
30/01/2008 2008 54 -40 1600 -2162 54
28/02/2008 2008 52 -39 1521 -2045 54
30/03/2008 2008 50 -38 1444 -1905 54
30/04/2008 2008 52 -37 1369 -1920 54
31/05/2008 2008 53 -36 1296 -1908 54
30/06/2008 2008 53 -35 1225 -1853 54
31/07/2008 2008 53 -34 1156 -1793 54
31/08/2008 2008 51 -33 1089 -1676 54
30/09/2008 2008 52 -32 1024 -1652 54
30/10/2008 2008 51 -31 961 -1596 54
29/11/2008 2008 52 -30 900 -1563 54
30/12/2008 2008 53 -29 841 -1529 54
30/01/2009 2009 51 -28 784 -1437 54
27/02/2009 2009 52 -27 729 -1410 55
30/03/2009 2009 50 -26 676 -1308 55
30/04/2009 2009 52 -25 625 -1305 55
31/05/2009 2009 53 -24 576 -1281 55
30/06/2009 2009 54 -23 529 -1244 55
31/07/2009 2009 54 -22 484 -1197 55
31/08/2009 2009 54 -21 441 -1138 55
30/09/2009 2009 54 -20 400 -1078 55
30/10/2009 2009 53 -19 361 -1013 55
29/11/2009 2009 53 -18 324 -960 55
30/12/2009 2009 57 -17 289 -961 55
30/01/2010 2010 56 -16 256 -895 55
27/02/2010 2010 56 -15 225 -833 55
30/03/2010 2010 53 -14 196 -742 55
30/04/2010 2010 55 -13 169 -710 55
31/05/2010 2010 54 -12 144 -651 55
30/06/2010 2010 55 -11 121 -609 55
31/07/2010 2010 55 -10 100 -549 55
31/08/2010 2010 55 -9 81 -496 55
30/09/2010 2010 55 -8 64 -437 55
31/10/2010 2010 56 -7 49 -389 55
29/11/2010 2010 57 -6 36 -340 55
30/12/2010 2010 57 -5 25 -287 55
30/01/2011 2011 57 -4 16 -227 55
27/02/2011 2011 56 -3 9 -168 55
30/03/2011 2011 54 -2 4 -108 55
30/04/2011 2011 54 -1 1 -54 55
31/05/2011 2011 56 0 0 0 55
30/06/2011 2011 56 1 1 56 55
31/07/2011 2011 56 2 4 113 55
31/08/2011 2011 56 3 9 168 55
30/09/2011 2011 56 4 16 224 55
30/10/2011 2011 56 5 25 282 55
29/11/2011 2011 58 6 36 346 55
30/12/2011 2011 61 7 49 426 55
30/01/2012 2012 59 8 64 476 55
28/02/2012 2012 59 9 81 527 55
30/03/2012 2012 56 10 100 560 55
30/04/2012 2012 57 11 121 624 55
31/05/2012 2012 58 12 144 690 55
30/06/2012 2012 57 13 169 747 55
31/07/2012 2012 58 14 196 816 55
31/08/2012 2012 59 15 225 882 55
30/09/2012 2012 57 16 256 915 55
30/10/2012 2012 58 17 289 988 55
29/11/2012 2012 57 18 324 1031 55
30/12/2012 2012 60 19 361 1139 55
30/01/2013 2013 58 20 400 1167 55
27/02/2013 2013 58 21 441 1227 55
30/03/2013 2013 56 22 484 1235 55
30/04/2013 2013 56 23 529 1293 55
31/05/2013 2013 56 24 576 1355 55
30/06/2013 2013 57 25 625 1425 55
31/07/2013 2013 59 26 676 1527 56
31/08/2013 2013 58 27 729 1562 56
30/09/2013 2013 58 28 784 1619 56
30/10/2013 2013 59 29 841 1699 56
29/11/2013 2013 58 30 900 1740 56
30/12/2013 2013 61 31 961 1889 56
30/01/2014 2014 59 32 1024 1883 56
27/02/2014 2014 59 33 1089 1949 56
30/03/2014 2014 57 34 1156 1923 56
30/04/2014 2014 56 35 1225 1970 56
31/05/2014 2014 57 36 1296 2042 56
30/06/2014 2014 58 37 1369 2151 56
31/07/2014 2014 58 38 1444 2216 56
31/08/2014 2014 58 39 1521 2276 56
30/09/2014 2014 58 40 1600 2306 56
30/10/2014 2014 59 41 1681 2418 56
29/11/2014 2014 59 42 1764 2485 56
30/12/2014 2014 61 43 1849 2635 56
30/01/2015 2015 60 44 1936 2655 56
27/02/2015 2015 59 45 2025 2650 56
30/03/2015 2015 57 46 2116 2619 56
30/04/2015 2015 57 47 2209 2697 56
31/05/2015 2015 58 48 2304 2795 56
30/06/2015 2015 59 49 2401 2904 56
31/07/2015 2015 59 50 2500 2941 56
31/08/2015 2015 59 51 2601 3014 56
30/09/2015 2015 58 52 2704 3034 56
30/10/2015 2015 59 53 2809 3120 56
29/11/2015 2015 59 54 2916 3171 56
30/12/2015 2015 61 55 3025 3378 56
30/01/2016 2016 61 56 3136 3409 56
28/02/2016 2016 60 57 3249 3393 56
30/03/2016 2016 57 58 3364 3298 56
30/04/2016 2016 58 59 3481 3418 56
31/05/2016 2016 57 60 3600 3413 56
30/06/2016 2016 59 61 3721 3584 56
31/07/2016 2016 58 62 3844 3610 56
31/08/2016 2016 59 63 3969 3705 56
30/09/2016 2016 57 64 4096 3667 56
30/10/2016 2016 59 65 4225 3821 56
29/11/2016 2016 59 66 4356 3875 56
30/12/2016 2016 61 67 4489 4072 56
30/01/2017 2017 60 68 4624 4104 56
27/02/2017 2017 59 69 4761 4070 56
30/03/2017 2017 56 70 4900 3944 56
30/04/2017 2017 57 71 5041 4065 56
31/05/2017 2017 57 72 5184 4133 56
30/06/2017 2017 59 73 5329 4326 56
31/07/2017 2017 58 74 5476 4302 56
31/08/2017 2017 59 75 5625 4461 56
30/09/2017 2017 58 76 5776 4371 56
30/10/2017 2017 59 77 5929 4513 56
29/11/2017 2017 58 78 6084 4542 56
30/12/2017 2017 60 79 6241 4736 56
30/01/2018 2018 59 80 6400 4748 57
27/02/2018 2018 59 81 6561 4755 57
30/03/2018 2018 56 82 6724 4576 57
30/04/2018 2018 56 83 6889 4688 57
31/05/2018 2018 57 84 7056 4787 57
30/06/2018 2018 59 85 7225 4973 57
31/07/2018 2018 58 86 7396 4977 57
31/08/2018 2018 58 87 7569 5073 57
30/09/2018 2018 57 88 7744 5055 57
30/10/2018 2018 58 89 7921 5186 57
29/11/2018 2018 58 90 8100 5245 57
30/12/2018 2018 59 91 8281 5389 57
30/01/2019 2019 58 92 8464 5293 57
27/02/2019 2019 59 93 8649 5462 57
30/03/2019 2019 55 94 8836 5201 57
30/04/2019 2019 56 95 9025 5353 57
31/05/2019 2019 56 96 9216 5414 57
30/06/2019 2019 56 97 9409 5411 57
31/07/2019 2019 56 98 9604 5528 57
31/08/2019 2019 58 99 9801 5693 57
30/09/2019 2019 56 100 10000 5623 57
30/10/2019 2019 56 101 10201 5667 57
29/11/2019 2019 56 102 10404 5746 57
30/12/2019 2019 58 103 10609 5949 57
30/01/2020 2020 58 104 10816 6016 57
28/02/2020 2020 57 105 11025 6037 57
30/03/2020 2020 54 106 11236 5763 57
30/04/2020 2020 55 107 11449 5936 57
31/05/2020 2020 52 108 11664 5584 57
30/06/2020 2020 42 109 11881 4531 57
31/07/2020 2020 43 110 12100 4772 57
31/08/2020 2020 46 111 12321 5112 57
30/09/2020 2020 45 112 12544 5051 57
30/10/2020 2020 49 113 12769 5576 57
29/11/2020 2020 51 114 12996 5772 57
30/12/2020 2020 53 115 13225 6116 57
30/01/2021 2021 53 116 13456 6174 57
27/02/2021 2021 53 117 13689 6249 57
30/03/2021 2021 50 118 13924 5872 57
30/04/2021 2021 52 119 14161 6167 57
31/05/2021 2021 52 120 14400 6208 57
30/06/2021 2021 51 121 14641 6152 57
31/07/2021 2021 51 122 14884 6197 57
2022 122 14884 0 57 57
245 13480 1225490 22742
𝐵 ∗𝑥
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correla 0.407206712790064
Coeficiente de determ 0.16581730694129
R^2 ajustado 0.16237027101956
Error típico 2.94794143605887
Observaciones 244

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 418.043765843453
Residuos 242 2103.06680792475
Total 243 2521.1105737682

Coeficientes Error típico

Intercepción 55.0181437601466 0.188727366704935
-122 0.018583195958855 0.00267934342213

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico 53,008759880627 Residuos

1 52.7695770491251 -0.055897479017624
2 52.788160245084 0.229759089204521
3 52.8067434410428 -1.35221134557944
4 52.8253266370017 -1.59234587782199
5 52.8439098329605 -1.08322205263485
6 52.8624930289194 -0.766567510481202
7 52.8810762248783 0.056776283005846
8 52.8996594208371 0.977947951451391
9 52.918242616796 0.894583587238238
10 52.9368258127548 2.98932828187508
11 52.9554090087137 2.27774377613112
12 52.9739922046725 -0.781708961710827
13 52.9925754006314 -0.270794079510985
14 53.0111585965902 -0.461170957100144
15 53.0297417925491 -0.428561064472298
16 53.0483249885079 -0.03033072728325
17 53.0669081844668 -1.74164999668201
18 53.0854913804257 -0.292846273554559
19 53.1040745763845 -1.50298503660541
20 53.1226577723434 -0.937680381392766
21 53.1412409683022 0.724533867033479
22 53.1598241642611 0.509537210870917
23 53.1784073602199 -0.938786218827439
24 53.1969905561788 -1.24324448855559
25 53.2155737521376 -0.646874909672746
26 53.2341569480965 1.2317669784568
27 53.2527401440554 0.095087806623951
28 53.2713233400142 1.6232148652683
29 53.2899065359731 -0.755049034453762
30 53.3084897319319 -0.340592215108416
31 53.3270729278908 0.816147816451334
32 53.3456561238496 0.938980834942171
33 53.3642393198085 2.13321918153861
34 53.3828225157673 2.19352568945656
35 53.4014057117262 1.82414342839471
36 53.419988907685 -1.28994996534595
37 53.4385721036439 -0.909003215988498
38 53.4571552996028 0.248120122786247
39 53.4757384955616 -0.781278219977807
40 53.4943216915205 -0.377851275694262
41 53.5129048874793 -1.91921475032852
42 53.5314880834382 -0.010491040951074
43 53.550071279397 -0.782788433542528
44 53.5686544753559 -0.504254604255785
45 53.5872376713147 0.211077080271359
46 53.6058208672736 0.790337819122904
47 53.6244040632325 -0.068702583766047
48 53.6429872591913 -1.2562554117585
49 53.6615704551502 -1.97285260045326
50 53.680153651109 -1.48400858694551
51 53.6987368470679 -0.861471311535674
52 53.7173200430267 -0.870510112011424
53 53.7359032389856 -1.21437468603168
54 53.7544864349444 0.299270964767466
55 53.7730696309033 -0.717443871060589
56 53.7916528268621 -0.111829358000044
57 53.810236022821 1.6117387447978
58 53.8288192187799 0.863542741677051
59 53.8474024147387 1.31398115115839
60 53.8659856106976 -1.81120209731356
61 53.8845688066564 -1.32628866368532
62 53.9031520026153 0.053888472419025
63 53.9217351985741 -1.85970103015393
64 53.940318394533 -1.26859658109578
65 53.9589015904918 0.275988876301966
66 53.9774847864507 -1.12041914600939
 67 53.9960679824095 -3.12401191277084
68 54.0146511783684 -4.0291797590561
69 54.0332343743273 -2.82912869307935
70 54.0518175702861 -3.22902313004711
71 54.070400766245 -3.18956439094526
72 54.0889839622038 -5.12267870338832
73 54.1075671581627 -2.89412381772007
74 54.1261503541215 -3.70054417629453
75 54.1447335500804 -1.84738673488378
76 54.1633167460392 -3.08772240704614
77 54.1818999419981 -2.64743381168989
78 54.200483137957 -2.86069464262934
79 54.2190663339158 -2.95685095667559
80 54.2376495298747 -2.17000539833296
81 54.2562327258335 0.300849762160588
82 54.2748159217924 -0.219064096057664
83 54.2933991177512 -1.86316333440902
84 54.3119823137101 -4.18172639462318
85 54.3305655096689 -2.43137274495253
86 54.3491487056278 -1.34646035863278
87 54.3677319015866 -1.43544928027194
88 54.3863150975455 -1.64311208086089
89 54.4048982935044 -3.62690635320715
90 54.4234814894632 -2.81000286896771
91 54.4420646854221 -2.96274418090986
92 54.4606478813809 -2.34791275266551
93 54.4792310773398 -1.76234156916887
94 54.4978142732986 -3.16984757882782
95 54.5163974692575 -2.29679823490328
96 54.5349806652163 -4.20969047338563
97 54.5535638611752 -2.35396361736579
98 54.572147057134 -1.19383751321724
99 54.5907302530929 -0.5045680774994
100 54.6093134490518 -0.204904177000252
101 54.6278966450106 -0.425230679469209
102 54.6464798409695 -0.765392671585666
103 54.6650630369283 -1.32621180169271
104 54.6836462328872 -1.37112123329857
105 54.702229428846 1.85092736621308
106 54.7208126248049 1.20381912797772
107 54.7393958207637 0.760915668197669
108 54.7579790167226 -1.73975606968829
109 54.7765622126815 -0.191449079635646
110 54.7951454086403 -0.534919337415005
111 54.8137286045992 0.587195595092041
112 54.832311800558 0.060588954289692
113 54.8508949965169 0.301616495050538
114 54.8694781924757 -0.238247109952916
115 54.8880613884346 0.664223934107831
116 54.9066445843934 1.74633316329217
117 54.9252277803523 2.44621839987382
118 54.9438109763111 1.87692994979006
119 54.96239417227 0.963860504232905
120 54.9809773682289 -0.906398190804147
121 54.9995605641877 -0.580509580343104
122 55.0181437601466 0.792804610736141
123 55.0367269561054 0.713328620411389
124 55.0553101520643 1.33718985397594
125 55.0738933480231 0.971642795431279
126 55.092476543982 0.911235890092129
127 55.1110597399408 1.32021419725177
128 55.1296429358997 2.53210304575831
129 55.1482261318585 5.71701834793096
130 55.1668093278174 4.32656746542801
131 55.1853925237763 3.33295972574905
132 55.2039757197351 0.746774718767092
133 55.222558915694 1.51101994007374
134 55.2411421116528 2.28317020800659
135 55.2597253076117 2.22183833635983
136 55.2783085035705 2.97962595486098
137 55.2968916995294 3.49135722296091
138 55.3154748954882 1.89984342195697
139 55.3340580914471 2.80589386946111
140 55.352641287406 1.91838679684756
141 55.3712244833648 4.5649081323846
142 55.3898076793237 2.97102386983585
143 55.4083908752825 2.99962943989119
144 55.4269740712414 0.731576498965239
145 55.4455572672002 0.751783589821585
146 55.4641404631591 1.00606129184992
147 55.4827236591179 1.51792162504497
148 55.5013068550768 3.22763123104862
149 55.5198900510356 2.32278369078126
150 55.5384732469945 2.269300326296
151 55.5570564429534 3.03318745640105
152 55.5756396389122 2.430365821506
153 55.5942228348711 5.32774358651505
154 55.6128060308299 3.22910177662679
155 55.6313892267888 3.42835889205984
156 55.6499724227476 0.91260521356638
157 55.6685556187065 0.623214232642326
158 55.6871388146653 1.03586194410017
159 55.7057220106242 2.41921720616041
160 55.724305206583 2.59864120763196
161 55.7428884025419 2.60552009805111
162 55.7614715985008 1.88217605982845
163 55.7800547944596 3.1904745039118
164 55.7986379904185 3.35758569274324
165 55.8172211863773 5.45766243869368
166 55.8358043823362 4.49764357133953
167 55.854387578295 3.02493008846648
168 55.8729707742539 1.06237829445492
169 55.8915539702127 1.49817577114267
170 55.9101371661716 2.31989305868721
171 55.9287203621304 3.34347985169606
172 55.9473035580893 2.86634131748281
173 55.9658867540482 3.13256601016705
174 55.984469950007 2.3675887581949
175 56.0030531459659 2.85744762911933
176 56.0216363419247 2.69298737461868
177 56.0402195378836 5.37037182253282
178 56.0588027338424 4.81685241671747
179 56.0773859298013 3.44710651027012
180 56.0959691257601 0.767456839239067
181 56.114552321719 1.81903099200991
182 56.1331355176778 0.748611463403655
183 56.1517187136367 2.6078318979318
184 56.1703019095956 2.05052801946885
185 56.1888851055544 2.62832214586139
186 56.2074683015133 1.09075898422294
187 56.2260514974721 2.56270933357708
188 56.244634693431 2.47012050609612
189 56.2632178893898 4.50811942354177
190 56.2818010853487 4.06432265753552
191 56.3003842813075 2.67898940569857
192 56.3189674772664 0.024595930511708
193 56.3375506732252 0.913395132046859
194 56.3561338691841 1.04556345665689
195 56.374717065143 2.88923146356714
196 56.3933002611018 1.74612475786549
197 56.4118834570607 3.07246243132823
198 56.4304666530195 1.08796037498028
199 56.4490498489784 2.16407065630482
200 56.4676330449372 1.76802336342157
201 56.4862162408961 3.46400877765532
202 56.5047994368549 2.84029257232486
203 56.5233826328138 2.1766625819501
204 56.5419658287727 -0.740660970815853
205 56.5605490247315 -0.080687669179106
206 56.5791322206904 0.414858269214136
207 56.5977154166492 1.90626474121729
208 56.6162986126081 1.25791709575693
209 56.6348818085669 1.67556223692218
210 56.6534650045258 0.786857646814923
211 56.6720482004846 1.59942349160917
212 56.6906313964435 1.58468551087211
213 56.7092145924024 2.51460172191305
214 56.7277977883612 0.8029265944458
215 56.7463809843201 1.98034054014944
216 56.7649641802789 -1.43140482558221
217 56.7835473762378 -0.433035427211664
218 56.8021305721966 -0.408794945291817
219 56.8207137681555 -1.03593431086917
220 56.8392969641143 -0.431058162787522
221 56.8578801600732 0.644485466971823
222 56.876463356032 -0.649011957546733
223 56.8950465519909 -0.787986255271093
224 56.9136297479498 -0.577985862242947
225 56.9322129439086 0.821693522661498
226 56.9507961398675 0.896996644979744
227 56.9693793358263 0.530209956971788
228 56.9879625317852 -2.61729008781366
229 57.006545727744 -1.53101497857592
230 57.0251289237029 -5.32284170016217
231 57.0437121196617 -15.4733525029035
232 57.0622953156206 -13.6814854088332
233 57.0808785115794 -11.0286646487982
234 57.0994617075383 -12.0009356412793
235 57.1180449034972 -7.77404029724135
236 57.136628099456 -6.5055320564797
237 57.1552112954149 -3.96992893443916
238 57.1737944913737 -3.94851131828171
239 57.1923776873326 -3.78134941124317
240 57.2109608832914 -7.44730817901332
241 57.2295440792503 -5.40207296524628
242 57.2481272752091 -5.51490939937244
243 57.266710471168 -6.42235442840939
244 57.2852936671268 -6.48820299589605
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
418.043765843453 48.1043165 3.66297341346194E-11
8.69035871043284

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%

291.521811175189 0 54.6463857369857 55.3899018 54.6463857369857
6.93572753883077 3.66297E-11 0.013305384736396 0.02386101 0.0133053847364

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Residuos estándares Percentil 53.0087599

-0.019000665999991 0.204918032786885 41.5703596
0.078099688772385 0.614754098360656 43.3808099
-0.459643557997547 1.02459016393443 45.0985261
-0.541270066426778 1.4344262295082 46.0522139
-0.368208741926456 1.84426229508197 48.9663053
-0.260571558665569 2.25409836065574 49.3440046
0.019299388971995 2.66393442622951 49.7636527
0.332423978996352 3.07377049180328 49.9854714
0.304086771870851 3.48360655737705 50.1302559
1.01613219856173 3.89344262295082 50.3252902
0.774250457881674 4.30327868852459 50.4256062
-0.265718439394815 4.71311475409836 50.631096
-0.092048298957115 5.12295081967213 50.7779919
-0.156761189927607 5.5327868852459 50.7970907
-0.145676438181971 5.94262295081967 50.8227944
-0.010310018068331 6.35245901639344 50.844356
-0.592021508973726 6.76229508196721 50.8720561
-0.09954427875715 7.17213114754098 50.8808364
-0.510894537381913 7.58196721311476 51.0755943
-0.318736230232692 7.99180327868853 51.2041057
0.246283486395599 8.4016393442623 51.2134433
 0.173201842524472 8.81147540983607 51.2329808
-0.319112126393231 9.22131147540984 51.2622154
-0.422603553836961 9.63114754098361 51.3252582
-0.21988566065012 10.0409836065574 51.3279667
0.418702119644736 10.4508196721311 51.3397885
0.032322238606929 10.8606557377049 51.4545321
0.551763049840935 11.2704918032787 51.4793205
-0.256656199338589 11.6803278688525 51.5344661
-0.115774074881478 12.0901639344262 51.5936901
0.277424891775973 12.5 51.6010895
0.319178280285307 12.9098360655738 51.6134786
0.725123670790424 13.3196721311475 51.6887179
0.745623053494491 13.7295081967213 51.7022872
0.620062668802631 14.1393442622951 51.7332179
-0.43847967527321 14.5491803278689 51.7606878
-0.308988290768353 14.9590163934426 51.8274711
0.084340969642869 15.3688524590164 51.8991928
-0.265572021703978 15.7786885245902 51.9537461
-0.128439171377903 16.1885245901639 52.0547835
-0.652379303935184 16.5983606557377 52.0620342
-0.003566113688969 17.0081967213115 52.0676441
-0.266085373361982 17.4180327868852 52.0959255
-0.171406179362778 17.827868852459 52.1127351
0.07174930198954 18.2377049180328 52.1300389
0.268651559824034 18.6475409836066 52.1849774
-0.023353376045161 19.0573770491803 52.1922832
-0.427026225672522 19.4672131147541 52.1961451
-0.670611877086764 19.8770491803279 52.1996002
-0.504444064333929 20.2868852459016 52.2195992
-0.292831250116003 20.6967213114754 52.2396211
-0.29590371835426 21.1065573770492 52.2973468
-0.412790133180376 21.516393442623 52.3867318
0.101728159211777 21.9262295081967 52.4302358
-0.243873455607275 22.3360655737705 52.5215286
-0.038013025232898 22.7459016393443 52.5295689
0.547862088011034 23.155737704918 52.5348575
0.293535370461863 23.5655737704918 52.5499876
0.446648353775903 23.9754098360656 52.5582801
-0.615663652714793 24.3852459016393 52.5686988
-0.450831922318253 24.7950819672131 52.6011807
0.018317764659133 25.2049180327869 52.6717218
-0.632149405568965 25.6147540983607 52.6944603
-0.431221234834795 26.0245901639344 52.7136796
0.093814113811344 26.4344262295082 52.7168895
-0.380852774534033 26.844262295082 52.7217813
 -1.06191384616537 27.2540983606557 52.743203
-1.36959841841191 27.6639344262295 52.7672828
-0.961677168862021 28.0737704918033 52.7926451
-1.09760924962157 28.483606557377 52.8372655
-1.08419643860341 28.8934426229508 52.8468099
-1.74130048043243 29.3032786885246 52.8570656
-0.983770305737422 29.7131147540984 52.9322826
-1.25788864091378 30.1229508196721 52.9378525
-0.627963531437155 30.5327868852459 52.9678975
-1.04957832066944 30.9426229508197 53.0026883
-0.899915461252618 31.3524590163934 53.0179193
-0.972407063571277 31.7622950819672 53.0179943
-1.00509250912432 32.172131147541 53.0182229
-0.737628038268111 32.5819672131148 53.0556258
0.102264823878513 32.9918032786885 53.0643999
-0.074464247671516 33.4016393442623 53.1164704
-0.633326311717464 33.8114754098361 53.1852824
-1.42145205694395 34.2213114754098 53.2252832
-0.826472003035405 34.6311475409836 53.312525
-0.457688683036024 35.0409836065574 53.3388512
-0.487937789211849 35.4508196721311 53.347828
-0.558526509561283 35.8606557377049 53.3783095
-1.23285767876594 36.2704918032787 53.4110283
-0.955175920463944 36.6803278688525 53.520997
-1.00709573337175 37.0901639344262 53.5557015
-0.798102290023707 37.5 53.6693614
-0.599054986417556 37.9098360655738 53.6798235
-1.07749430161598 38.3196721311475 53.7052754
-0.780727447780023 38.7295081967213 53.7983148
-1.43095760406166 39.1393442622951 53.8128262
-0.800159099404051 39.5491803278689 53.8657748
-0.405809139259198 39.9590163934426 53.8776074
-0.171512735159328 40.3688524590164 53.8810872
-0.069651009269262 40.7786885245902 53.9570405
-0.144544374013654 41.1885245901639 54.0537574
-0.260172207534709 41.5983606557377 54.0557518
-0.450805795396696 42.0081967213115 54.0745792
-0.466071405316659 42.4180327868853 54.0861622
0.629167062517614 42.827868852459 54.1432207
0.409202088843646 43.2377049180328 54.202666
0.258650384948948 43.6475409836066 54.2348905
-0.591377725481726 44.0573770491803 54.2602261
-0.065077353792928 44.4672131147541 54.284637
-0.181829732678188 44.8770491803279 54.3706724
0.199599473448388 45.2868852459016 54.3961587
 0.020595391849142 45.6967213114754 54.4044093
0.102525451652953 46.1065573770492 54.419051
-0.080984936015653 46.5163934426229 54.4659239
0.225782939463227 46.9262295081967 54.5570825
0.593613410543276 47.3360655737705 54.5851131
0.831518336710341 47.7459016393443 54.6312311
0.638005858369701 48.155737704918 54.692362
0.327635375215016 48.5655737704918 54.8929008
-0.30810279084386 48.9754098360656 54.8945382
-0.197326763921085 49.3852459016394 55.1525115
0.269490071405566 49.7950819672131 55.1613836
0.242474599979689 50.2049180327869 55.2255491
0.454537453933535 50.6147540983607 55.2331528
0.330280730933623 51.0245901639344 55.3335594
0.309747221147244 51.4344262295082 55.4009242
0.448767090238872 51.844262295082 55.4219748
0.860712237753073 52.2540983606557 55.4755307
1.94332835852239 52.6639344262295 55.4974585
1.47068642060061 53.0737704918033 55.5003115
1.13293936780966 53.4836065573771 55.5522853
0.253843594700528 53.8934426229508 55.5763482
0.513625761040423 54.3032786885246 55.7500556
0.77609501011282 54.7131147540984 55.7847795
0.755247085863017 55.1229508196721 55.8013049
1.01283418444271 55.5327868852459 55.8109484
1.18678183070156 55.9426229508197 55.9246318
0.645794603751335 56.3524590163935 55.9261541
0.953779189724184 56.7622950819672 55.9262547
0.652097866062997 57.172131147541 55.9507504
1.55170315850447 57.5819672131148 56.0037124
1.00991016448084 57.9918032786885 56.0455361
1.01963376726066 58.4016393442623 56.1070603
0.248677417203357 58.8114754098361 56.1585506
0.255546209695266 59.2213114754098 56.1973409
0.341980263115859 59.6311475409836 56.2274514
0.515971781170134 60.0409836065574 56.2917699
1.0971361154402 60.4508196721311 56.3356439
0.78956042158622 60.8606557377049 56.3435634
0.771380361179206 61.2704918032787 56.3505119
1.03104080519032 61.6803278688525 56.3925
0.82612972970875 62.0901639344262 56.3933356
1.81100611691364 62.5 56.4082388
1.09763598315981 62.9098360655738 56.4312739
1.16536744377311 63.3196721311475 56.4702018
0.310212681458468 63.7295081967213 56.4798614
0.211842925459022 64.1393442622951 56.5531568
0.352110098127028 64.5491803278689 56.5625776
0.822340093391213 64.9590163934426 56.6529777
0.883329883704796 65.3688524590164 56.7230008
0.885668155512433 65.7786885245902 56.7335789
0.639789115618338 66.1885245901639 56.8207409
1.08450580412049 66.5983606557377 56.863426
1.14131022427773 67.0081967213115 56.881747
1.85516812136772 67.4180327868852 56.9353491
1.52883859501225 67.827868852459 56.9939905
1.02823396143061 68.2377049180328 57.0006453
0.361123533535637 68.6475409836065 57.2153183
0.509259772301828 69.0573770491803 57.2509458
0.788577838186876 69.4672131147541 57.2710281
1.13651536806781 69.8770491803279 57.2982273
0.974326480775539 70.2868852459016 57.3714462
1.06482155417677 70.6967213114754 57.3897297
0.804790556039424 71.1065573770492 57.4016973
0.971303339033331 71.5163934426229 57.4403227
0.915400024233477 71.9262295081967 57.4815636
1.82549630303611 72.3360655737705 57.4995893
1.63734403679357 72.7459016393443 57.5023656
1.17174013245548 73.155737704918 57.518427
0.260873859216316 73.5655737704918 57.5243123
0.618324849890208 73.9754098360656 57.5307244
0.254467940770869 74.3852459016393 57.6436477
0.88645398231829 74.7950819672131 57.661746
0.697015298476471 75.2049180327869 57.7539065
0.893419025536864 75.6147540983607 57.8077736
0.37077069502858 76.0245901639344 57.8426737
0.871115924333656 76.4344262295082 57.8477928
0.839643138490454 76.844262295082 57.8742157
1.53239954574309 77.2540983606557 57.9335833
1.38154418927697 77.6639344262295 58.0060055
0.910641835907211 78.0737704918033 58.1249392
0.008360646469667 78.483606557377 58.139425
0.310481190476738 78.8934426229508 58.139952
0.355407835395768 79.3032786885246 58.2208299
0.9821072971573 79.7131147540984 58.2300302
0.593542569389532 80.1229508196721 58.2356564
1.04439115110688 80.5327868852459 58.2579345
0.369819392028537 80.9426229508197 58.2714717
0.735610701295951 81.3524590163934 58.2753169
0.600986341404822 81.7622950819672 58.310444
1.1774855496527 82.172131147541 58.3229464
 0.965471993683036 82.5819672131147 58.3484085
0.739890947519708 82.9918032786885 58.3520587
-0.251765410051217 83.4016393442623 58.3608315
-0.027427345192198 83.8114754098361 58.4080203
0.141018585260115 84.2213114754098 58.5039802
0.647977338012144 84.6311475409836 58.5183522
0.427591065146619 85.0409836065574 58.5902439
0.569556963667697 85.4508196721311 58.6131205
0.267468579968619 85.8606557377049 58.7000452
0.543675888263656 86.2704918032787 58.7146237
0.538666155187666 86.6803278688525 58.7147552
0.854763189338267 87.0901639344262 58.7267215
0.272930735190492 87.5 58.7289381
0.673157176869432 87.9098360655738 58.7595506
-0.486562998540386 88.3196721311476 58.7882489
-0.147197363158689 88.7295081967213 58.7887608
-0.138957540742143 89.1393442622951 58.8136449
-0.352134697032587 89.5491803278689 58.8172073
-0.146525251614894 89.9590163934426 58.8419078
0.219073441503849 90.3688524590164 58.8605008
-0.2206120857697 90.7786885245902 58.8793177
-0.26785221645272 91.1885245901639 58.9705293
-0.196468901893281 91.5983606557377 58.9793737
0.279309987728157 92.0081967213115 59.0597481
0.304907018239576 92.4180327868852 59.0984528
0.180228920504884 92.827868852459 59.1562237
-0.88966900936545 93.2377049180328 59.2238163
-0.520422472715327 93.6475409836065 59.2639485
-1.80933986814897 94.0573770491803 59.2722002
-5.25970057996898 94.4672131147541 59.345092
-4.65060927980371 94.8770491803279 59.4843459
-3.74886268755802 95.2868852459016 59.4933768
-4.07935695517585 95.6967213114754 59.5244924
-2.64255107304185 96.1065573770492 59.9361326
-2.21135986684543 96.5163934426229 59.950225
-1.34945788347981 96.9262295081967 60.333448
-1.3421776093373 97.3360655737705 60.3461237
-1.2853559490517 97.7459016393443 60.7713373
-2.5314883210354 98.155737704918 60.8652445
-1.83627215259324 98.5655737704918 60.8756552
-1.87462750305162 98.9754098360656 60.9219664
-2.18308613505267 99.3852459016393 61.2748836
-2.20546937414289 99.7950819672131 61.4105914
 -122 Gráfico de los residuales
10
5

Residuos
0
-150 -100 -50 -5 0 50 100 150
-10
-15
-20
-122

-122 Curva de regresión ajustada

80
53,008759880627

Superior 95,0% 60
Column C
55.3899017833075 40 Pronóstico
0.02386100718131 20 53,008759880627
0
-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150
-122

Gráfico de probabilidad normal

80
53,008759880627

60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil
 n = 158 𝑏= (∑▒𝑋𝑌)/ 〖∑𝑋〗 ^2

𝑎= 10.0169552 -0.015118274
(∑▒𝑌)/𝑛

𝑌=𝑎+𝐵 ∗𝑥
2
Fecha Y = Tasa de ocupación X X Y.X Pronostico
2007/03/30 2007 11.805 -79 6241 -933 11
2007/04/30 2007 11.487 -78 6084 -896 11
2007/05/31 2007 11.401 -77 5929 -878 11
2007/06/30 2007 11.234 -76 5776 -854 11
2007/07/31 2007 11.293 -75 5625 -847 11
2007/08/31 2007 11.034 -74 5476 -817 11
2007/09/30 2007 10.990 -73 5329 -802 11
2007/10/30 2007 11.177 -72 5184 -805 11
2007/11/29 2007 10.849 -71 5041 -770 11
2007/12/30 2007 10.563 -70 4900 -739 11
2008/01/30 2008 10.282 -69 4761 -709 11
2008/02/28 2008 10.607 -68 4624 -721 11
2008/03/30 2008 10.943 -67 4489 -733 11
2008/04/30 2008 11.014 -66 4356 -727 11
2008/05/31 2008 10.966 -65 4225 -713 11
2008/06/30 2008 11.187 -64 4096 -716 11
2008/07/31 2008 11.238 -63 3969 -708 11
2008/08/31 2008 11.383 -62 3844 -706 11
2008/09/30 2008 11.196 -61 3721 -683 11
2008/10/30 2008 11.319 -60 3600 -679 11
2008/11/29 2008 11.445 -59 3481 -675 11
2008/12/30 2008 11.543 -58 3364 -669 11
2009/01/30 2009 11.645 -57 3249 -664 11
2009/02/27 2009 11.588 -56 3136 -649 11
2009/03/30 2009 11.690 -55 3025 -643 11
2009/04/30 2009 11.573 -54 2916 -625 11
2009/05/31 2009 11.608 -53 2809 -615 11
2009/06/30 2009 11.436 -52 2704 -595 11
2009/07/31 2009 11.651 -51 2601 -594 11
2009/08/31 2009 11.845 -50 2500 -592 11
2009/09/30 2009 12.294 -49 2401 -602 11
2009/10/30 2009 12.622 -48 2304 -606 11
2009/11/29 2009 12.572 -47 2209 -591 11
2009/12/30 2009 12.455 -46 2116 -573 11
2010/01/30 2010 12.028 -45 2025 -541 11
2010/02/27 2010 11.876 -44 1936 -523 11
2010/03/30 2010 11.898 -43 1849 -512 11
2010/04/30 2010 11.787 -42 1764 -495 11
2010/05/31 2010 11.894 -41 1681 -488 11
2010/06/30 2010 11.707 -40 1600 -468 11
2010/07/31 2010 11.669 -39 1521 -455 11
2010/08/31 2010 11.476 -38 1444 -436 11
2010/09/30 2010 11.183 -37 1369 -414 11
2010/10/31 2010 11.149 -36 1296 -401 11
2010/11/29 2010 11.268 -35 1225 -394 11
2010/12/30 2010 11.614 -34 1156 -395 11
2011/01/30 2011 11.458 -33 1089 -378 11
2011/02/27 2011 11.291 -32 1024 -361 11
2011/03/30 2011 10.969 -31 961 -340 10
2011/04/30 2011 10.796 -30 900 -324 10
2011/05/31 2011 10.763 -29 841 -312 10
2011/06/30 2011 10.919 -28 784 -306 10
2011/07/31 2011 11.118 -27 729 -300 10
2011/08/31 2011 10.844 -26 676 -282 10
2011/09/30 2011 10.381 -25 625 -260 10
2011/10/30 2011 9.985 -24 576 -240 10
2011/11/29 2011 9.668 -23 529 -222 10
2011/12/30 2011 9.831 -22 484 -216 10
2012/01/30 2012 9.870 -21 441 -207 10
2012/02/28 2012 10.013 -20 400 -200 10
2012/03/30 2012 9.915 -19 361 -188 10
2012/04/30 2012 10.057 -18 324 -181 10
2012/05/31 2012 10.185 -17 289 -173 10
2012/06/30 2012 10.172 -16 256 -163 10
2012/07/31 2012 10.119 -15 225 -152 10
2012/08/31 2012 9.878 -14 196 -138 10
2012/09/30 2012 9.947 -13 169 -129 10
2012/10/30 2012 10.012 -12 144 -120 10
2012/11/29 2012 9.987 -11 121 -110 10
2012/12/30 2012 9.896 -10 100 -99 10
2013/01/30 2013 9.788 -9 81 -88 10
2013/02/27 2013 9.743 -8 64 -78 10
2013/03/30 2013 9.680 -7 49 -68 10
2013/04/30 2013 9.708 -6 36 -58 10
2013/05/31 2013 9.549 -5 25 -48 10
2013/06/30 2013 9.233 -4 16 -37 10
2013/07/31 2013 9.045 -3 9 -27 10
2013/08/31 2013 8.938 -2 4 -18 10
2013/09/30 2013 9.020 -1 1 -9 10
2013/10/30 2013 8.858 1 1 9 10
2013/11/29 2013 8.884 2 4 18 10
2013/12/30 2013 8.772 3 9 26 10
2014/01/30 2014 8.810 4 16 35 10
2014/02/27 2014 8.812 5 25 44 10
2014/03/30 2014 8.908 6 36 53 10
2014/04/30 2014 8.986 7 49 63 10
2014/05/31 2014 8.661 8 64 69 10
2014/06/30 2014 8.697 9 81 78 10
2014/07/31 2014 8.592 10 100 86 10
2014/08/31 2014 8.718 11 121 96 10
2014/09/30 2014 8.471 12 144 102 10
2014/10/30 2014 8.571 13 169 111 10
2014/11/29 2014 8.357 14 196 117 10
2014/12/30 2014 8.569 15 225 129 10
2015/01/30 2015 8.444 16 256 135 10
2015/02/27 2015 8.377 17 289 142 10
2015/03/30 2015 8.090 18 324 146 10
2015/04/30 2015 8.261 19 361 157 10
2015/05/31 2015 8.529 20 400 171 10
2015/06/30 2015 8.379 21 441 176 10
2015/07/31 2015 8.148 22 484 179 10
2015/08/31 2015 8.075 23 529 186 10
2015/09/30 2015 8.578 24 576 206 10
2015/10/30 2015 8.899 25 625 222 10
2015/11/29 2015 8.647 26 676 225 10
2015/12/30 2015 8.411 27 729 227 10
2016/01/30 2016 8.450 28 784 237 10
2016/02/28 2016 8.443 29 841 245 10
2016/03/30 2016 8.561 30 900 257 10
2016/04/30 2016 8.411 31 961 261 10
2016/05/31 2016 8.454 32 1024 271 10
2016/06/30 2016 8.311 33 1089 274 10
2016/07/31 2016 8.467 34 1156 288 10
2016/08/31 2016 8.471 35 1225 296 9
2016/09/30 2016 8.291 36 1296 298 9
2016/10/30 2016 8.252 37 1369 305 9
2016/11/29 2016 8.136 38 1444 309 9
2016/12/30 2016 8.293 39 1521 323 9
2017/01/30 2017 8.496 40 1600 340 9
2017/02/27 2017 8.640 41 1681 354 9
2017/03/30 2017 8.710 42 1764 366 9
2017/04/30 2017 8.545 43 1849 367 9
2017/05/31 2017 8.582 44 1936 378 9
2017/06/30 2017 8.533 45 2025 384 9
2017/07/31 2017 8.655 46 2116 398 9
2017/08/31 2017 8.620 47 2209 405 9
2017/09/30 2017 8.800 48 2304 422 9
2017/10/30 2017 8.858 49 2401 434 9
2017/11/29 2017 8.997 50 2500 450 9
2017/12/30 2017 8.927 51 2601 455 9
2018/01/30 2018 8.837 52 2704 460 9
2018/02/27 2018 8.731 53 2809 463 9
2018/03/30 2018 8.658 54 2916 468 9
2018/04/30 2018 8.794 55 3025 484 9
2018/05/31 2018 8.724 56 3136 489 9
2018/06/30 2018 8.864 57 3249 505 9
2018/07/31 2018 8.801 58 3364 510 9
2018/08/31 2018 8.708 59 3481 514 9
2018/09/30 2018 8.849 60 3600 531 9
2018/10/30 2018 9.073 61 3721 553 9
2018/11/29 2018 9.378 62 3844 581 9
2018/12/30 2018 9.578 63 3969 603 9
2019/01/30 2019 9.838 64 4096 630 9
2019/02/27 2019 9.981 65 4225 649 9
2019/03/30 2019 10.107 66 4356 667 9
2019/04/30 2019 10.077 67 4489 675 9
2019/05/31 2019 10.077 68 4624 685 9
2019/06/30 2019 9.818 69 4761 677 9
2019/07/31 2019 9.801 70 4900 686 9
2019/08/31 2019 9.909 71 5041 704 9
2019/09/30 2019 10.170 72 5184 732 9
2019/10/30 2019 10.213 73 5329 746 9
2019/11/29 2019 10.008 74 5476 741 9
2019/12/30 2019 9.899 75 5625 742 9
2020/01/30 2020 9.964 76 5776 757 9
2020/02/28 2020 10.123 77 5929 779 9
2020/07/31 2020 20.289 78 6084 1583 9
2020/08/31 2020 18.734 79 6241 1480 9
2021 80 6400 0 9 9
158 1582.679 334960.000 -5064.017
+𝐵 ∗𝑥
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.415860286267776
Coeficiente d 0.172939777694717
R^2 ajustado 0.167603905292747
Error típico 1.50798857865084
Observacione 157
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresión 1 73.7030678021665
Residuos 155
Total 156
Coeficientes
Intercepción 10.0131009442022
-79 -0.014974648604407
Análisis de los residuales
Observación Pronóstico 11,80507
1 11.1811235353459
2 11.1661488867415
3 11.1511742381371
4 11.1361995895327
5 11.1212249409283
6 11.1062502923239
7 11.0912756437195
8 11.0763009951151
9 11.0613263465107
10 11.0463516979063
11 11.0313770493019
12 11.0164024006975
13 11.0014277520931
14 10.9864531034887
15 10.9714784548843
16 10.9565038062798
17 10.9415291576754
18 10.926554509071
19 10.9115798604666
20 10.8966052118622
21 10.8816305632578
Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados
73.7030678021665
352.474580767912 2.27402955334137
426.177648570078
Error típico Estadístico t
0.120357868240794 83.1944025808891
0.002630340122648 -5.69304649063136
Residuos Residuos estándares
0.306256464654055 0.203743453217652
0.234941113258461 0.156299439334773
0.083165761862867 0.055327744772858
0.156950410467275 0.104414509743173
-0.086844940928318 -0.057775394812337
-0.116350292323911 -0.077404440646615
0.085674356280494 0.056996639141985
-0.227420995115098 -0.151296525058778
-0.498776346510692 -0.331821290160077
-0.764751697906286 -0.508766898884877
-0.424457049301877 -0.282378839137411
-0.073392400697472 -0.048825813929928
0.012752247906935 0.008483696916509
-0.020743103488659 -0.013799779018557
0.21567154511575 0.143479960210165
0.281796193720156 0.187470751603528
0.441170842324562 0.293498035953888
0.269265490928969 0.179134442161687
0.407750139533377 0.271264221548277
0.548634788137782 0.36499065061955
0.660949436742188 0.439710295736062
22 10.8666559146534 0.778434085346596 0.517869390381667
23 10.851681266049 0.736188733951003 0.489764795804525
24 10.8367066174446 0.853383382555409 0.567730961946561
25 10.8217319688402 0.750848031159817 0.499517196748751
26 10.8067573202358 0.801502679764223 0.533216250382921
27 10.7917826716314 0.64433732836863 0.428658746737488
28 10.776808023027 0.873691976973035 0.581241674810428
29 10.7618333744226 1.08359662557744 0.72088508773041
30 10.7468587258182 1.54756127418185 1.02954717518824
31 10.7318840772137 1.89020592278626 1.25749862108529
32 10.7169094286093 1.85482057139066 1.23395778352354
33 10.7019347800049 1.75298521999507 1.16620970781709
34 10.6869601314005 1.34056986859948 0.891841857498486
35 10.6719854827961 1.20418451720388 0.801108679039608
36 10.6570108341917 1.24124916580829 0.825766703834256
37 10.6420361855873 1.1449138144127 0.761677616988544
38 10.6270615369829 1.2668484630171 0.842797166257833
39 10.6120868883785 1.09534311162151 0.728699680746413
40 10.5971122397741 1.07164776022592 0.712935857690474
41 10.5821375911697 0.894232408830323 0.594906622330517
42 10.5671629425653 0.615447057434731 0.409438895913717
43 10.5521882939609 0.596821706039139 0.397047995316675
44 10.5372136453565 0.730666354643544 0.486090918646207
45 10.5222389967521 1.09201100324795 0.726482926669755
46 10.5072643481476 0.950475651852358 0.632323604095827
47 10.4922896995432 0.798260300456764 0.531059190425054
48 10.4773150509388 0.492034949061171 0.327336435946699
49 10.4623404023344 0.333699597665577 0.222000565579981
50 10.44736575373 0.315834246269985 0.210115270716422
51 10.4323911051256 0.487068894874392 0.32403266559193
52 10.4174164565212 0.701003543478798 0.466357119440776
53 10.4024418079168 0.441518192083205 0.293729117571643
54 10.3874671593124 -0.006757159312388 -0.004495340118952
55 10.372492510708 -0.387046510707982 -0.257490703866659
56 10.3575178621036 -0.689208862103575 -0.458510463482985
57 10.3425432134992 -0.512031213499167 -0.340639364825777
58 10.3275685648948 -0.457759564894761 -0.304534027062647
59 10.3125939162904 -0.299823916290356 -0.199464067252395
60 10.2976192676859 -0.382281267685947 -0.254320527296419
61 10.2826446190815 -0.225564619081542 -0.150061532471847
62 10.2676699704771 -0.082899970477135 -0.055150921551099
63 10.2526953218727 -0.081065321872728 -0.053930383586211
64 10.2377206732683 -0.118330673268321 -0.078721930067635
65 10.2227460246639 -0.344889024663914 -0.229444563533602
66 10.2077713760595 -0.260335376059508 -0.173193498373971
 67 10.1927967274551 -0.1805667274551 -0.120125753523177
68 10.1778220788507 -0.190564078850693 -0.126776698503782
69 10.1628474302463 -0.266838430246288 -0.177519789797641
70 10.1478727816419 -0.360370781641882 -0.239744122865781
71 10.1328981330375 -0.389630133037473 -0.259209512107378
72 10.1179234844331 -0.438386484433067 -0.291645684224929
73 10.1029488358287 -0.395031835828661 -0.262803106715006
74 10.0879741872243 -0.538703187224254 -0.358383447508303
75 10.0729995386198 -0.839730538619847 -0.558648124877913
76 10.0580248900154 -1.01317989001544 -0.674038896633928
77 10.043050241411 -1.10476524141103 -0.734967947645369
78 10.0280755928066 -1.00815859280663 -0.670698374715113
79 9.99812629559781 -1.14041329559781 -0.75868355367742
80 9.98315164699341 -1.09933164699341 -0.731353136473032
81 9.968176998389 -1.195809998389 -0.795537357029123
82 9.95320234978459 -1.14318334978459 -0.760526389570703
83 9.93822770118019 -1.12582370118019 -0.748977523958014
84 9.92325305257578 -1.01544205257578 -0.675543847108373
85 9.90827840397137 -0.922184403971373 -0.613502265758955
86 9.89330375536697 -1.23259775536697 -0.820011173937084
87 9.87832910676256 -1.18089610676256 -0.785615581877968
88 9.86335445815815 -1.27089145815815 -0.845486852473306
89 9.84837980955375 -1.12997580955375 -0.751739800010273
90 9.83340516094934 -1.36210816094934 -0.90617065236892
91 9.81843051234493 -1.24756151234493 -0.82996612304565
92 9.80345586374053 -1.44643086374053 -0.962268076045277
93 9.78848121513612 -1.21950321513612 -0.811299759965973
94 9.77350656653171 -1.32909956653171 -0.884211001590265
95 9.75853191792731 -1.3816219179273 -0.919152583171366
96 9.7435572693229 -1.6539632693229 -1.10033330518479
97 9.72858262071849 -1.46748062071849 -0.976271862645923
98 9.71360797211409 -1.18448197211409 -0.788001153037483
99 9.69863332350968 -1.31942632350968 -0.877775676414848
100 9.68365867490527 -1.53593967490527 -1.02181566567971
101 9.66868402630086 -1.59379802630087 -1.06030713172643
102 9.65370937769646 -1.07592837769646 -0.715783627079887
103 9.63873472909205 -0.739751729092053 -0.492135152083061
104 9.62376008048765 -0.977134080487646 -0.650058675626955
105 9.60878543188324 -1.19796343188324 -0.796969973241441
106 9.59381078327883 -1.14352978327883 -0.760756861624594
107 9.57883613467443 -1.13534013467443 -0.755308528348804
108 9.56386148607002 -1.00249648607002 -0.666931540991923
109 9.54888683746561 -1.13831783746561 -0.757289506774899
110 9.53391218886121 -1.0796151888612 -0.718236354531421
111 9.5189375402568 -1.2076515402568 -0.803415187899703
112 9.50396289165239 -1.03736389165239 -0.690127804378943
113 9.48898824304798 -1.01795424304798 -0.677215133827254
114 9.47401359444358 -1.18336359444358 -0.787257129139578
115 9.45903894583917 -1.20737494583917 -0.803231177737332
116 9.44406429723476 -1.30805329723476 -0.87020953524162
117 9.42908964863036 -1.13565864863036 -0.755520426351848
118 9.41411500002595 -0.917633000025951 -0.610474350061318
119 9.39914035142154 -0.758993351421543 -0.504936039676891
120 9.38416570281714 -0.674137702817138 -0.44848406276527
121 9.36919105421273 -0.824443054212731 -0.548477809395315
122 9.35421640560832 -0.772282405608323 -0.513776858084004
123 9.33924175700392 -0.805897757003917 -0.536140166503304
124 9.32426710839951 -0.669346108399511 -0.445296355383588
125 9.3092924597951 -0.688831459795104 -0.45825938878431
126 9.2943178111907 -0.494198811190696 -0.328775990024535
127 9.27934316258629 -0.421315162586291 -0.28028863395668
128 9.26436851398188 -0.267021513981884 -0.177641590042937
129 9.24939386537748 -0.322106865377476 -0.214288260433138
130 9.23441921677307 -0.397052216773069 -0.264147206964102
131 9.21944456816866 -0.488504568168663 -0.324987776972183
132 9.20446991956426 -0.546171919564257 -0.363352176314826
133 9.18949527095985 -0.395129270959849 -0.262867927453126
134 9.17452062235544 -0.450354622355443 -0.299607735741602
135 9.15954597375104 -0.295199973751037 -0.196387893753479
136 9.14457132514663 -0.343704325146629 -0.228656417654136
137 9.12959667654222 -0.422079676542223 -0.280797242692795
138 9.11462202793782 -0.265498027937817 -0.176628059412986
139 9.09964737933341 -0.026394379333411 -0.017559407266718
140 9.084672730729 0.293754269270998 0.195426108919229
141 9.0696980821246 0.508556917875405 0.338328017737368
142 9.05472343352019 0.78375756647981 0.521410946411987
143 9.03974878491578 0.941737215084219 0.626510178133126
144 9.02477413631138 1.08256586368863 0.720199352045091
145 9.00979948770697 1.06733051229303 0.710063719127663
146 8.99482483910256 1.08210516089744 0.719892859975806
147 8.97985019049816 0.838377809501845 0.557748193828029
148 8.96487554189375 0.835683458106251 0.555955720783778
149 8.94990089328934 0.958777106710658 0.637846318796629
150 8.93492624468493 1.23478375531507 0.821465455657022
151 8.91995159608053 1.29311840391947 0.860273788282182
152 8.90497694747612 1.10274305252388 0.733622644624932
153 8.89000229887171 1.00884770112829 0.671156818291983
154 8.87502765026731 1.08919534973269 0.724609754879206
155 8.8600530016629 1.2628069983371 0.840108498213252
156 8.8450783530585 11.4435716469415 7.61307294239546
157 8.83010370445409 9.90433629554591 6.58906475970363
 F Valor crítico de F
32.41077834449 6.07990141367719E-08

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%

1.590389E-130 9.77534756015813 10.250854328246 9.775347560158 10.250854328246
6.079901414E-08 -0.020170588632983 -0.009778708576 -0.02017058863 -0.009778708576

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil 11.80507
0.318471337579618 8.074886
0.955414012738854 8.089594
1.59235668789809 8.136011
2.22929936305732 8.147719
2.86624203821656 8.251664
3.5031847133758 8.261102
4.14012738853503 8.29065
4.77707006369427 8.293431
5.4140127388535 8.311286
6.05095541401274 8.357025
6.68789808917197 8.37691
7.32484076433121 8.379207
7.96178343949045 8.410569
8.59872611464968 8.410822
9.23566878980892 8.443496
9.87261146496815 8.444407
10.5095541401274 8.450281
11.1464968152866 8.454297
11.7834394904459 8.466599
12.4203821656051 8.471034
13.0573248407643 8.471297
13.6942675159236 8.496482
14.3312101910828 8.529126
14.968152866242 8.533344
15.6050955414013 8.544748
16.2420382165605 8.561365
16.8789808917197 8.568978
17.515923566879 8.570869
18.1528662420382 8.577781
18.7898089171975 8.581934
19.4267515923567 8.592463
20.0636942675159 8.620461
20.7006369426752 8.640147
21.3375796178344 8.646626
21.9745222929936 8.654921
22.6114649681529 8.658298
23.2484076433121 8.660706
23.8853503184713 8.697433
24.5222929936306 8.707517
25.1592356687898 8.710028
25.796178343949 8.718404
26.4331210191083 8.724166
27.0700636942675 8.73094
27.7070063694268 8.772367
28.343949044586 8.794366
28.9808917197452 8.800119
29.6178343949045 8.800867
30.2547770700637 8.810019
30.8917197452229 8.812404
31.5286624203822 8.837367
32.1656050955414 8.849124
32.8025477707006 8.857713
33.4394904458599 8.858028
34.0764331210191 8.864346
34.7133757961783 8.88382
35.3503184713376 8.898983
35.9872611464968 8.907811
36.624203821656 8.927287
37.2611464968153 8.938285
37.8980891719745 8.986094
38.5350318471338 8.997347
39.171974522293 9.019917
39.8089171974522 9.044845
40.4458598726115 9.073253
41.0828025477707 9.233269
41.7197452229299 9.378427
42.3566878980892 9.549271
42.9936305732484 9.578255
43.6305732484076 9.668309
44.2675159235669 9.679537
44.9044585987261 9.707917
45.5414012738854 9.743268
46.1783439490446 9.787502
46.8152866242038 9.800559
47.4522292993631 9.818228
48.0891719745223 9.830512
48.7261146496815 9.838481
49.3630573248408 9.869809
50 9.877857
50.6369426751592 9.896009
51.2738853503185 9.89885
51.9108280254777 9.908678
52.5477707006369 9.915338
53.1847133757962 9.947436
53.8216560509554 9.964223
54.4585987261146 9.981486
55.0955414012739 9.985446
55.7324840764331 9.987258
56.3694267515923 10.00772
57.0063694267516 10.01223
57.6433121019108 10.01277
58.2802547770701 10.05708
58.9171974522293 10.07693
59.5541401273885 10.07713
60.1910828025478 10.10734
60.828025477707 10.11939
61.4649681528662 10.12286
62.1019108280255 10.16971
62.7388535031847 10.17163
63.375796178344 10.18477
64.0127388535032 10.21307
64.6496815286624 10.2816
65.2866242038217 10.38071
65.9235668789809 10.56255
66.5605095541401 10.60692
67.1974522292994 10.7632
67.8343949044586 10.79604
68.4713375796178 10.84396
69.1082802547771 10.84888
69.7452229299363 10.91946
70.3821656050955 10.94301
71.0191082802548 10.96571
71.656050955414 10.96935
72.2929936305733 10.9899
72.9299363057325 11.01418
73.5668789808917 11.03438
74.203821656051 11.11842
74.8407643312102 11.14901
75.4777070063694 11.17695
76.1146496815287 11.18261
76.7515923566879 11.18715
77.3885350318471 11.19582
78.0254777070064 11.23434
78.6624203821656 11.2383
79.2993630573248 11.26788
79.9363057324841 11.29055
80.5732484076433 11.29315
81.2101910828025 11.31933
81.8471337579618 11.3827
82.484076433121 11.40109
83.1210191082803 11.43612
83.7579617834395 11.44524
84.3949044585987 11.45774
85.031847133758 11.47637
85.6687898089172 11.48738
86.3057324840764 11.54258
86.9426751592357 11.57258
87.5796178343949 11.58787
88.2165605095542 11.60826
88.8535031847134 11.61425
89.4904458598726 11.64509
90.1273885350319 11.6505
90.7643312101911 11.66876
91.4012738853503 11.69009
92.0382165605096 11.70743
92.6751592356688 11.78695
93.312101910828 11.84543
93.9490445859873 11.87617
94.5859872611465 11.89391
95.2229299363057 11.89826
95.859872611465 12.02753
96.4968152866242 12.29442
97.1337579617834 12.45492
97.7707006369427 12.57173
98.4076433121019 12.62209
99.0445859872611 18.73444
99.6815286624204 20.28865
 -79 Gráfico de los residuales
15
10
Residuos

5
0
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
-5
-79

-79 Curva de regresión ajustada

25.000
20.000
11,80507

15.000 Column C
10.000 Pronóstico 11,80507
5.000
0.000
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
-79

Gráfico de probabilidad normal

25
20
11,80507

15
10
5
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil
 n = 162
𝑏= (∑▒𝑋𝑌)/ 〖∑𝑋〗 ^2

𝑎= (∑▒𝑌)/𝑛35.858472346 0.0148862632

𝑌=𝑎+𝐵 ∗𝑥
2
Fecha Y = Tasa de ocupación X X Y.X Pronostico
2007/03/30 2007 32.22467 -81 6561 -2610 35
2007/04/30 2007 31.90947 -80 6400 -2553 35
2007/05/31 2007 31.7634 -79 6241 -2509 35
2007/06/30 2007 32.59326 -78 6084 -2542 35
2007/07/31 2007 33.25214 -77 5929 -2560 35
2007/08/31 2007 32.39104 -76 5776 -2462 35
2007/09/30 2007 32.05605 -75 5625 -2404 35
2007/10/30 2007 32.30574 -74 5476 -2391 35
2007/11/29 2007 32.76107 -73 5329 -2392 35
2007/12/30 2007 32.76985 -72 5184 -2359 35
2008/01/30 2008 33.20185 -71 5041 -2357 35
2008/02/28 2008 32.77589 -70 4900 -2294 35
2008/03/30 2008 32.45526 -69 4761 -2239 35
2008/04/30 2008 32.3942 -68 4624 -2203 35
2008/05/31 2008 32.55827 -67 4489 -2181 35
2008/06/30 2008 32.3249 -66 4356 -2133 35
2008/07/31 2008 32.6447 -65 4225 -2122 35
2008/08/31 2008 32.85262 -64 4096 -2103 35
2008/09/30 2008 33.28086 -63 3969 -2097 35
2008/10/30 2008 33.13529 -62 3844 -2054 35
2008/11/29 2008 32.09016 -61 3721 -1957 35
2008/12/30 2008 31.83504 -60 3600 -1910 35
2009/01/30 2009 31.50821 -59 3481 -1859 35
2009/02/27 2009 32.07433 -58 3364 -1860 35
2009/03/30 2009 32.76877 -57 3249 -1868 35
2009/04/30 2009 33.81313 -56 3136 -1894 35
2009/05/31 2009 33.75233 -55 3025 -1856 35
2009/06/30 2009 33.4949 -54 2916 -1809 35
2009/07/31 2009 33.62626 -53 2809 -1782 35
2009/08/31 2009 33.64655 -52 2704 -1750 35
2009/09/30 2009 33.32433 -51 2601 -1700 35
2009/10/30 2009 33.03381 -50 2500 -1652 35
2009/11/29 2009 33.30602 -49 2401 -1632 35
2009/12/30 2009 33.65205 -48 2304 -1615 35
2010/01/30 2010 34.00306 -47 2209 -1598 35
2010/02/27 2010 34.35182 -46 2116 -1580 35
2010/03/30 2010 34.19127 -45 2025 -1539 35
2010/04/30 2010 33.77464 -44 1936 -1486 35
2010/05/31 2010 33.36026 -43 1849 -1434 35
2010/06/30 2010 33.46436 -42 1764 -1406 35
2010/07/31 2010 33.71801 -41 1681 -1382 35
2010/08/31 2010 33.68466 -40 1600 -1347 35
2010/09/30 2010 34.44887 -39 1521 -1344 35
2010/10/31 2010 34.75911 -38 1444 -1321 35
2010/11/29 2010 35.19026 -37 1369 -1302 35
2010/12/30 2010 35.04427 -36 1296 -1262 35
2011/01/30 2011 34.89072 -35 1225 -1221 35
2011/02/27 2011 34.63718 -34 1156 -1178 35
2011/03/30 2011 34.67722 -33 1089 -1144 35
2011/04/30 2011 35.39243 -32 1024 -1133 35
2011/05/31 2011 35.38395 -31 961 -1097 35
2011/06/30 2011 35.73728 -30 900 -1072 35
2011/07/31 2011 35.64984 -29 841 -1034 35
2011/08/31 2011 36.15305 -28 784 -1012 35
2011/09/30 2011 36.71131 -27 729 -991 35
2011/10/30 2011 37.69065 -26 676 -980 35
2011/11/29 2011 38.44347 -25 625 -961 35
2011/12/30 2011 38.16999 -24 576 -916 36
2012/01/30 2012 37.55864 -23 529 -864 36
2012/02/28 2012 37.1736 -22 484 -818 36
2012/03/30 2012 37.59649 -21 441 -790 36
2012/04/30 2012 37.79542 -20 400 -756 36
2012/05/31 2012 38.50354 -19 361 -732 36
2012/06/30 2012 38.6501 -18 324 -696 36
2012/07/31 2012 38.84045 -17 289 -660 36
2012/08/31 2012 38.58601 -16 256 -617 36
2012/09/30 2012 37.91462 -15 225 -569 36
2012/10/30 2012 37.47622 -14 196 -525 36
2012/11/29 2012 37.6513 -13 169 -489 36
2012/12/30 2012 37.73623 -12 144 -453 36
2013/01/30 2013 38.43136 -11 121 -423 36
2013/02/27 2013 38.19376 -10 100 -382 36
2013/03/30 2013 38.29188 -9 81 -345 36
2013/04/30 2013 37.4488 -8 64 -300 36
2013/05/31 2013 37.93759 -7 49 -266 36
2013/06/30 2013 37.78436 -6 36 -227 36
2013/07/31 2013 38.16221 -5 25 -191 36
2013/08/31 2013 38.18093 -4 16 -153 36
2013/09/30 2013 38.10323 -3 9 -114 36
2013/10/30 2013 37.60815 -2 4 -75 36
2013/11/29 2013 37.18402 -1 1 -37 36
2013/12/30 2013 37.84132 1 1 38 36
2014/01/30 2014 38.2831 2 4 77 36
2014/02/27 2014 38.32975 3 9 115 36
2014/03/30 2014 38.14083 4 16 153 36
2014/04/30 2014 38.15937 5 25 191 36
2014/05/31 2014 38.1796 6 36 229 36
2014/06/30 2014 38.43497 7 49 269 36
2014/07/31 2014 38.41757 8 64 307 36
2014/08/31 2014 38.61657 9 81 348 36
2014/09/30 2014 39.17529 10 100 392 36
2014/10/30 2014 39.99656 11 121 440 36
2014/11/29 2014 40.23017 12 144 483 36
2014/12/30 2014 40.34113 13 169 524 36
2015/01/30 2015 40.42957 14 196 566 36
2015/02/27 2015 40.17475 15 225 603 36
2015/03/30 2015 40.17964 16 256 643 36
2015/04/30 2015 40.1188 17 289 682 36
2015/05/31 2015 40.02776 18 324 720 36
2015/06/30 2015 39.89017 19 361 758 36
2015/07/31 2015 39.73845 20 400 795 36
2015/08/31 2015 39.65934 21 441 833 36
2015/09/30 2015 39.40166 22 484 867 36
2015/10/30 2015 39.03595 23 529 898 36
2015/11/29 2015 39.01019 24 576 936 36
2015/12/30 2015 38.91315 25 625 973 36
2016/01/30 2016 38.58227 26 676 1003 36
2016/02/28 2016 38.80863 27 729 1048 36
2016/03/30 2016 38.91669 28 784 1090 36
2016/04/30 2016 39.48217 29 841 1145 36
2016/05/31 2016 38.71606 30 900 1161 36
2016/06/30 2016 38.61999 31 961 1197 36
2016/07/31 2016 38.22211 32 1024 1223 36
2016/08/31 2016 38.20749 33 1089 1261 36
2016/09/30 2016 38.05608 34 1156 1294 36
2016/10/30 2016 38.31588 35 1225 1341 36
2016/11/29 2016 38.46513 36 1296 1385 36
2016/12/30 2016 38.09863 37 1369 1410 36
2017/01/30 2017 38.20763 38 1444 1452 36
2017/02/27 2017 37.96504 39 1521 1481 36
2017/03/30 2017 37.97657 40 1600 1519 36
2017/04/30 2017 37.42107 41 1681 1534 36
2017/05/31 2017 37.44128 42 1764 1573 36
2017/06/30 2017 37.5398 43 1849 1614 36
2017/07/31 2017 37.15607 44 1936 1635 37
2017/08/31 2017 37.00231 45 2025 1665 37
2017/09/30 2017 36.72316 46 2116 1689 37
2017/10/30 2017 36.72495 47 2209 1726 37
2017/11/29 2017 36.31244 48 2304 1743 37
2017/12/30 2017 36.48645 49 2401 1788 37
2018/01/30 2018 36.26225 50 2500 1813 37
2018/02/27 2018 36.15847 51 2601 1844 37
2018/03/30 2018 36.01535 52 2704 1873 37
2018/04/30 2018 36.88568 53 2809 1955 37
2018/05/31 2018 36.97836 54 2916 1997 37
2018/06/30 2018 37.01848 55 3025 2036 37
2018/07/31 2018 36.83059 56 3136 2063 37
2018/08/31 2018 36.73322 57 3249 2094 37
2018/09/30 2018 36.41084 58 3364 2112 37
2018/10/30 2018 35.81459 59 3481 2113 37
2018/11/29 2018 35.20397 60 3600 2112 37
2018/12/30 2018 34.73643 61 3721 2119 37
2019/01/30 2019 34.75919 62 3844 2155 37
2019/02/27 2019 35.29808 63 3969 2224 37
2019/03/30 2019 35.55088 64 4096 2275 37
2019/04/30 2019 35.67982 65 4225 2319 37
2019/05/31 2019 35.40294 66 4356 2337 37
2019/06/30 2019 35.1179 67 4489 2353 37
2019/07/31 2019 35.75534 68 4624 2431 37
2019/08/31 2019 35.63882 69 4761 2459 37
2019/09/30 2019 35.89139 70 4900 2512 37
2019/10/30 2019 35.25074 71 5041 2503 37
2019/11/29 2019 35.42462 72 5184 2551 37
2019/12/30 2019 35.0565 73 5329 2559 37
2020/01/30 2020 34.80671 74 5476 2576 37
2020/02/28 2020 34.8073 75 5625 2611 37
2020/03/30 2020 33.29705 76 5776 2531 37
2020/04/30 2020 28.85617 77 5929 2222 37
2020/05/31 2020 24.86554 78 6084 1940 37
2020/06/30 2020 22.95507 79 6241 1813 37
2020/07/31 2020 23.92054 80 6400 1914 37
2020/08/31 2020 25.60312 81 6561 2074 37
2021 82 6724 0 37 37
162 5809.07252 360882 5372.18445
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correl 0.219239695581192
Coeficiente de deter 0.048066044118534
R^2 ajustado 0.042079038106701
Error típico 3.00978423700175
Observaciones 161

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresión 1 72.727626301886 72.727626301886
Residuos 159 1440.34938337537 9.05880115330422
Total 160 1513.07700967726

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t

Intercepción 35.8738342046569 0.237217869743824 151.227368508948
-81 0.014327691978242 0.005056638338408 2.83344210508717

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico 32,22467 Residuos Residuos estándares

1 34.7276188463975 -2.81814884639751 -0.9392690095374
2 34.7419465383758 -2.97854653837576 -0.992728421899198
3 34.756274230354 -2.16301423035399 -0.720917291631702
4 34.7706019223322 -1.51846192233224 -0.506092581884898
5 34.7849296143105 -2.39388961431048 -0.79786641853555
6 34.7992573062887 -2.74320730628872 -0.914291526094264
7 34.813584998267 -2.50784499826696 -0.835846939244057
8 34.8279126902452 -2.06684269024521 -0.688863999862129
9 34.8422403822234 -2.07239038222345 -0.690713006225396
10 34.8565680742017 -1.65471807420169 -0.55150579026578
11 34.8708957661799 -2.09500576617994 -0.698250553192182
12 34.8852234581582 -2.42996345815818 -0.809889574666691
13 34.8995511501364 -2.50535115013642 -0.835015757361488
14 34.9138788421147 -2.35560884211466 -0.785107708848992
15 34.9282065340929 -2.6033065340929 -0.867663591625201
16 34.9425342260711 -2.29783422607115 -0.765851839359712
17 34.9568619180494 -2.10424191804939 -0.70132889705945
18 34.9711896100276 -1.69032961002763 -0.563374862414363
19 34.9855173020059 -1.85022730200588 -0.616667628324761
20 34.9998449939841 -2.90968499398411 -0.969777357877639
21 35.0141726859624 -3.17913268596236 -1.05958236128974
22 35.0285003779406 -3.5202903779406 -1.17328779876161
23 35.0428280699188 -2.96849806991884 -0.989379338678501
24 35.0571557618971 -2.28838576189708 -0.762702733308139
25 35.0714834538753 -1.25835345387532 -0.419400275390111
26 35.0858111458536 -1.33348114585357 -0.444439801930181
27 35.1001388378318 -1.60523883783181 -0.535014711947752
28 35.11446652981 -1.48820652981005 -0.496008674285832
29 35.1287942217883 -1.4822442217883 -0.494021479337877
30 35.1431219137665 -1.81879191376653 -0.606190436527835
31 35.1574496057448 -2.12363960574478 -0.707794008699048
32 35.171777297723 -1.86575729772303 -0.621843665677798
33 35.1861049897013 -1.53405498970126 -0.511289640571869
34 35.2004326816795 -1.19737268167951 -0.399075816810003
35 35.2147603736577 -0.86294037365775 -0.287611902079433
36 35.229088065636 -1.03781806563599 -0.345897395673769
37 35.2434157576142 -1.46877575761424 -0.489532535817051
38 35.2577434495925 -1.89748344959248 -0.63241776692903
39 35.2720711415707 -1.80771114157072 -0.602497293797431
40 35.286398833549 -1.56838883354896 -0.522732867052139
41 35.3007265255272 -1.6160665255272 -0.538623503410357
42 35.3150542175054 -0.866184217505449 -0.288693052211662
43 35.3293819094837 -0.570271909483687 -0.190067580096935
44 35.3437096014619 -0.153449601461929 -0.051143663104701
45 35.3580372934402 -0.313767293440172 -0.104576412034274
46 35.3723649854184 -0.481644985418413 -0.160528855309013
47 35.3866926773967 -0.749512677396659 -0.249807255934694
48 35.4010203693749 -0.723800369374899 -0.241237526156442
49 35.4153480613531 -0.022918061353146 -0.007638427194931
50 35.4296757533314 -0.045725753331382 -0.015240069060519
51 35.4440034453096 0.293276554690372 0.097746994235844
52 35.4583311372879 0.191508862712126 0.06382854476519
53 35.4726588292661 0.680391170733891 0.226769548333172
54 35.4869865212444 1.22432347875564 0.408058326200272
55 35.5013142132226 2.18933578677741 0.729690079578266
56 35.5156419052008 2.92782809479916 0.975824324614073
57 35.5299695971791 2.64002040282092 0.879900063506567
58 35.5442972891573 2.01434271084268 0.671366129330135
59 35.5586249811356 1.61497501886443 0.538259711986298
60 35.5729526731138 2.0235373268862 0.674430629601409
61 35.587280365092 2.20813963490795 0.7359572687055
62 35.6016080570703 2.90193194292971 0.967193320986162
63 35.6159357490485 3.03416425095147 1.01126541077064
64 35.6302634410268 3.21018655897322 1.06993239676871
65 35.644591133005 2.94141886699499 0.980354032530509
66 35.6589188249833 2.25570117501674 0.751809192469981
 67 35.6732465169615 1.80297348303849 0.600918265832751
68 35.6875742089397 1.96372579106026 0.654495869205073
69 35.701901900918 2.03432809908201 0.678027117390001
70 35.7162295928962 2.71513040710377 0.904933694863297
71 35.7305572848745 2.46320271512553 0.820967983108243
72 35.7448849768527 2.54699502314728 0.8488953646811
73 35.759212668831 1.68958733116904 0.563127466138897
74 35.7735403608092 2.1640496391908 0.721262386048505
75 35.7878680527874 1.99649194721256 0.665416596502663
76 35.8021957447657 2.36001425523432 0.786576001775674
77 35.8165234367439 2.36440656325607 0.788039926866234
78 35.8308511287222 2.27237887127784 0.757367750268854
79 35.8451788207004 1.76297117929959 0.587585781900938
80 35.8595065126786 1.32451348732135 0.441450944986661
81 35.8881618966351 1.95315810336486 0.650973733897196
82 35.9024895886134 2.38061041138662 0.79344055444619
83 35.9168172805916 2.41293271940837 0.804213350311946
84 35.9311449725699 2.20968502743014 0.736472337065185
85 35.9454726645481 2.2138973354519 0.737876269433243
86 35.9598003565263 2.21979964347365 0.739843466807031
87 35.9741280485046 2.46084195149541 0.820181157345138
88 35.9884557404828 2.42911425951716 0.809606542786574
89 36.0027834324611 2.61378656753893 0.871156512393866
90 36.0171111244393 3.15817887556068 1.05259860499625
91 36.0314388164176 3.96512118358244 1.3215467492287
92 36.0457665083958 4.1844034916042 1.39463198620189
93 36.060094200374 4.28103579962595 1.42683884864669
94 36.0744218923523 4.35514810764771 1.45153995492045
95 36.0887495843305 4.08600041566947 1.36183493937918
96 36.1030772763088 4.07656272369123 1.35868942362402
97 36.117404968287 4.00139503171299 1.33363656536785
98 36.1317326602653 3.89602733973474 1.29851826144711
99 36.1460603522435 3.7441096477565 1.24788517290106
100 36.1603880442217 3.57806195577826 1.19254265563844
101 36.1747157362 3.48462426380001 1.16140053604811
102 36.1890434281782 3.21261657182178 1.07074230280484
103 36.2033711201565 2.83257887984353 0.944078437272121
104 36.2176988121347 2.79249118786529 0.930717494046155
105 36.2320265041129 2.68112349588705 0.893599432708625
106 36.2463541960912 2.3359158039088 0.778544158980417
107 36.2606818880694 2.54794811193057 0.849213022408306
108 36.2750095800477 2.64168041995232 0.880453335434991
109 36.2893372720259 3.19283272797409 1.06414848806031
110 36.3036649640042 2.41239503599584 0.804034144246594
111 36.3179926559824 2.30199734401759 0.76723937702478
112 36.3323203479606 1.88978965203935 0.629853478808996
113 36.3466480399389 1.86084196006111 0.620205418520216
114 36.3609757319171 1.69510426808287 0.56496622205747
115 36.3753034238954 1.94057657610463 0.646780400154978
116 36.3896311158736 2.07549888412638 0.691749047847982
117 36.4039588078519 1.69467119214814 0.564821880922051
118 36.4182864998301 1.7893435001699 0.596375489277368
119 36.4326141918083 1.53242580819166 0.510746645937347
120 36.4469418837866 1.52962811621342 0.509814195056778
121 36.4612695757648 0.959800424235169 0.319894669501705
122 36.4755972677431 0.96568273225693 0.32185520101744
123 36.4899249597213 1.04987504027869 0.349915899751416
124 36.5042526516996 0.651817348300447 0.217246096110247
125 36.5185803436778 0.483729656322204 0.16122366132592
126 36.532908035656 0.190251964343958 0.063409629459539
127 36.5472357276343 0.177714272365719 0.059230905705704
128 36.5615634196125 -0.249123419612523 -0.083031067678041
129 36.5758911115908 -0.089441111590766 -0.029810087711717
130 36.590218803569 -0.327968803569007 -0.109309674569253
131 36.6045464955473 -0.446076495547253 -0.148674130071653
132 36.6188741875255 -0.603524187525494 -0.201150328370191
133 36.6332018795037 0.252478120496264 0.084149165673608
134 36.647529571482 0.330830428518027 0.110263433855236
135 36.6618572634602 0.356622736539776 0.118859827065708
136 36.6761849554385 0.154405044561536 0.051462105508828
137 36.6905126474167 0.0427073525833 0.014234057513377
138 36.7048403393949 -0.294000339394948 -0.097988226541034
139 36.7191680313732 -0.904578031373184 -0.30148943788519
140 36.7334957233514 -1.52952572335143 -0.509780068242582
141 36.7478234153297 -2.01139341532968 -0.670383150067394
142 36.7621511073079 -2.00296110730792 -0.66757272164952
143 36.7764787992862 -1.47839879928616 -0.492739827309648
144 36.7908064912644 -1.2399264912644 -0.413258699531735
145 36.8051341832426 -1.12531418324264 -0.375059230694593
146 36.8194618752209 -1.41652187522089 -0.472116687671618
147 36.8337895671991 -1.71588956719913 -0.571893814735486
148 36.8481172591774 -1.09277725917737 -0.364214904824707
149 36.8624449511556 -1.22362495115561 -0.407825511908771
150 36.8767726431339 -0.985382643133853 -0.328421041498504
151 36.8911003351121 -1.6403603351121 -0.54672045772697
152 36.9054280270903 -1.48080802709034 -0.493542805838009
153 36.9197557190686 -1.86325571906858 -0.621009907266476
154 36.9340834110468 -2.12737341104683 -0.709038459506656
155 36.9484111030251 -2.14111110302507 -0.713617134743853
156 36.9627387950033 -3.66568879500331 -1.22174805924692
157 36.9770664869815 -8.12089648698155 -2.70663716348182
158 36.9913941789598 -12.1258541789598 -4.04146113823116
159 37.005721870938 -14.050651870938 -4.68298254829271
160 37.0200495629163 -13.0995095629163 -4.36597356747655
161 37.0343772548945 -11.4312572548945 -3.80995691313371
 F Valor crítico de F
8.02839416 0.005202149043144

-81 C
Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%
1.0296E-173 35.4053298103121 36.3423386 35.4053298103121 36.3423385990017

32,22467
0.00520215 0.004340850410552 0.02431453 0.004340850410552 0.0243145335459

-100 -80 -60

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil 32.22467
0.31055900621118 22.95507
0.931677018633541 23.92054
1.5527950310559 24.86554
2.17391304347826 25.60312
2.79503105590062 28.85617
3.41614906832298 31.50821
4.03726708074534 31.7634
4.6583850931677 31.83504
5.27950310559006 31.90947
5.90062111801242 32.05605
6.52173913043478 32.07433
7.14285714285714 32.09016
7.7639751552795 32.30574
8.38509316770186 32.3249
9.00621118012422 32.39104
9.62732919254658 32.3942
10.2484472049689 32.45526
10.8695652173913 32.55827
11.4906832298137 32.59326
12.111801242236 32.6447
12.7329192546584 32.76107
13.3540372670807 32.76877
13.9751552795031 32.76985
14.5962732919255 32.77589
15.2173913043478 32.85262
15.8385093167702 33.03381
16.4596273291925 33.13529
17.0807453416149 33.20185
17.7018633540373 33.25214
18.3229813664596 33.28086
18.944099378882 33.29705
19.5652173913043 33.30602
20.1863354037267 33.32433
20.8074534161491 33.36026
21.4285714285714 33.46436
22.0496894409938 33.4949
22.6708074534161 33.62626
23.2919254658385 33.64655
23.9130434782609 33.65205
24.5341614906832 33.68466
25.1552795031056 33.71801
25.7763975155279 33.75233
26.3975155279503 33.77464
27.0186335403727 33.81313
27.639751552795 34.00306
28.2608695652174 34.19127
28.8819875776397 34.35182
29.5031055900621 34.44887
30.1242236024845 34.63718
30.7453416149068 34.67722
31.3664596273292 34.73643
31.9875776397515 34.75911
32.6086956521739 34.75919
33.2298136645963 34.80671
33.8509316770186 34.8073
34.472049689441 34.89072
35.0931677018634 35.04427
35.7142857142857 35.0565
36.3354037267081 35.1179
36.9565217391304 35.19026
37.5776397515528 35.20397
38.1987577639752 35.25074
38.8198757763975 35.29808
39.4409937888199 35.38395
40.0621118012422 35.39243
40.6832298136646 35.40294
 41.304347826087 35.42462
41.9254658385093 35.55088
42.5465838509317 35.63882
43.167701863354 35.64984
43.7888198757764 35.67982
44.4099378881988 35.73728
45.0310559006211 35.75534
45.6521739130435 35.81459
46.2732919254658 35.89139
46.8944099378882 36.01535
47.5155279503106 36.15305
48.1366459627329 36.15847
48.7577639751553 36.26225
49.3788819875776 36.31244
50 36.41084
50.6211180124224 36.48645
51.2422360248447 36.71131
51.8633540372671 36.72316
52.4844720496894 36.72495
53.1055900621118 36.73322
53.7267080745342 36.83059
54.3478260869565 36.88568
54.9689440993789 36.97836
55.5900621118012 37.00231
56.2111801242236 37.01848
56.832298136646 37.15607
57.4534161490683 37.1736
58.0745341614907 37.18402
58.695652173913 37.42107
59.3167701863354 37.44128
59.9378881987578 37.4488
60.5590062111801 37.47622
61.1801242236025 37.5398
61.8012422360248 37.55864
62.4223602484472 37.59649
63.0434782608696 37.60815
63.6645962732919 37.6513
64.2857142857143 37.69065
64.9068322981366 37.73623
65.527950310559 37.78436
66.1490683229814 37.79542
66.7701863354037 37.84132
67.3913043478261 37.91462
68.0124223602484 37.93759
68.6335403726708 37.96504
69.2546583850932 37.97657
69.8757763975155 38.05608
70.4968944099379 38.09863
71.1180124223602 38.10323
71.7391304347826 38.14083
72.360248447205 38.15937
72.9813664596273 38.16221
73.6024844720497 38.16999
74.223602484472 38.1796
74.8447204968944 38.18093
75.4658385093168 38.19376
76.0869565217391 38.20749
76.7080745341615 38.20763
77.3291925465838 38.22211
77.9503105590062 38.2831
78.5714285714286 38.29188
79.1925465838509 38.31588
79.8136645962733 38.32975
80.4347826086956 38.41757
81.055900621118 38.43136
81.6770186335404 38.43497
82.2981366459627 38.44347
82.9192546583851 38.46513
83.5403726708075 38.50354
84.1614906832298 38.58227
84.7826086956522 38.58601
85.4037267080745 38.61657
86.0248447204969 38.61999
86.6459627329192 38.6501
87.2670807453416 38.71606
87.888198757764 38.80863
88.5093167701863 38.84045
89.1304347826087 38.91315
89.751552795031 38.91669
90.3726708074534 39.01019
90.9937888198758 39.03595
91.6149068322981 39.17529
92.2360248447205 39.40166
92.8571428571429 39.48217
93.4782608695652 39.65934
94.0993788819876 39.73845
94.7204968944099 39.89017
95.3416149068323 39.99656
95.9627329192547 40.02776
96.583850931677 40.1188
97.2049689440994 40.17475
97.8260869565217 40.17964
98.4472049689441 40.23017
99.0683229813665 40.34113
99.6894409937888 40.42957
 -81 Gráfico de los residuales
10
5
Residuos

0
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 -5 0 20 40 60 80 100
-10
-15
-81

-81 Curva de regresión ajustada

50
40
32,22467

30 Column C
20 Pronóstico 32,22467
10
0
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
-81

45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120