Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 3

Forecast Errors

Moving Average
Month Units (Boomerangs) S(5 periods) MAD MSE
Jan, 2014 476
Feb, 2014 496
Mar, 2014 490
Apr, 2014 570
May, 2014 549
Jun, 2014 576 516.2 59.8 3576.04
Jul, 2014 531 536.2 5.2000000000001 27.040000000001
Aug, 2014 497 543.2 46.2 2134.44
Sep, 2014 593 544.6 48.4 2342.56
Oct, 2014 500 549.2 49.2 2420.64
Nov, 2014 578 539.4 38.6 1489.96
Dec, 2014 603 539.8 63.2 3994.24
Jan, 2015 490 554.2 64.2 4121.64
Feb, 2015 535 552.8 17.8 316.84
Mar, 2015 699 541.2 157.8 24900.84
Apr, 2015 652 581 71 5041
May, 2015 695 595.8 99.2 9840.64
Jun, 2015 675 614.2 60.8 3696.64
Jul, 2015 727 651.2 75.8 5745.64
Aug, 2015 695 689.6 5.4 29.16
Sep, 2015 700 688.8 11.2 125.44
Oct, 2015 647 698.4 51.4 2641.96
Nov, 2015 712 688.8 23.2 538.24
Dec, 2015 715 696.2 18.8 353.44
Jan, 2016 Forecast: 693.8
50.905263157895 3859.8105263158
62.127373405897
ast Errors

MAPE

10%
1%
9%
8%
10%
7%
10%
13%
3%
23%
11%
14%
9%
10%
1%
2%
8%
3%
3%

8%
Forecast Errors

Moving Average
Month Units (Mobiles) Sold (3 periods) MAD MSE MAPE
Jan 476
Feb 496
Mar 490
Apr 570 487.3333333333 82.66667 6833.778 15%
May 549 518.6666666667 30.33333 920.1111 6%
Jun 576 536.3333333333 39.66667 1573.444 7%
Jul 531 565 34 1156 6%
Aug 497 552 55 3025 11%
Sep 593 534.6666666667 58.33333 3402.778 10%
Oct 500 540.3333333333 40.33333 1626.778 8%
Nov 578 530 48 2304 8%
Dec 557
48.54167 2605.236 9%
51.04151

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi