CH (Xi-Ymean) (Xi-Ymean)²

Bulan
2014
1 182 -32.30 1043.29
2 51 -163.30 26666.89
3 167 -47.30 2237.29
4 69 -145.30 21112.09
5 126 -88.30 7796.89
6 8 -206.30 42559.69
7 12 -202.30 40925.29
8 300 85.70 7344.49
9 144 -70.30 4942.09
10 304 89.70 8046.09
11 379 164.70 27126.09
12 401 186.70 34856.89
Jumlah 2,143 224,657
Ymean 214.3
Standar Deviasi 143

data = 12 Sn = 0.9833 0.9833 K = 1.77

Yn = 0.5053 0.5053
Yt = 2.2502 2.2502
 CH (Xi-Ymean) (Xi-Ymean)²
Bulan

2008 525 276.28 76329.41

2009 194 -55.22 3049.49
2010 188 -60.72 3687.19
2011 200 -49.22 2422.83
2012 433 183.78 33774.27
2013 38 -210.72 44403.85
2014 167 -81.72 6678.52
2016 391 142.28 20242.97
2017 104 -144.72 20944.52
Jumlah 2,239 211,533
Ymean 248.7
Standar Deviasi 163

Cv = 65%
Peluang 70% = 162.54
Peluang 75% = 136.52
Peluang 90% = 43.84

metode rata2 = Ymean

aritmatik
 CH (Xi-Ymean) (Xi-Ymean)²
Bulan

2008 127 -52.67 2773.78

2009 68 -111.17 12358.03
2010 254 74.83 5600.03
2011 250 70.33 4946.78
2012 69 -110.67 12247.11
2013 229 49.83 2483.36
2014 126 -53.17 2826.69
2016 385 205.83 42367.36
2017 106 -73.17 5353.36
Jumlah 1,613 90,957
Ymean 179.2
Standar Deviasi 107

Cv = 60%
Peluang 70% = 122.65
Peluang 75% = 105.59
Peluang 90% = 44.82
 CH (Xi-Ymean) (Xi-Ymean)²
Bulan

2008 159 43.50 1892.25

2009 159 43.50 1892.25
2010 206 91.00 8281.00
2011 127 11.50 132.25
2012 63 -52.50 2756.25
2013 37 -78.00 6084.00
2014 8 -107.00 11449.00
2016 219 104.00 10816.00
2017 59 -56.00 3136.00
Jumlah 1,035 46,439
Ymean 115.0
Standar Deviasi 76

Cv = 66%
Peluang 70% = 74.62
Peluang 75% = 62.43
Peluang 90% = 19.00
 CH (Xi-Ymean) (Xi-Ymean)²
Bulan

2008 224 24.39 594.82

2009 102 -97.11 9430.57
2010 234 34.89 1217.23
2011 152 -47.11 2219.46
2012 340 140.39 19709.04
2013 462 262.89 69110.57
2014 12 -187.11 35010.57
2016 143 -56.11 3148.46
2017 124 -75.11 5641.68
Jumlah 1,792 146,082
Ymean 199.1
Standar Deviasi 135

Cv = 68%
Peluang 70% = 127.49
Peluang 75% = 105.87
Peluang 90% = 28.85
 CH (Xi-Ymean) (Xi-Ymean)²
Bulan

2008 314 151.80 23043.24

2009 165 2.30 5.29
2010 156 -6.70 44.89
2011 133 -29.40 864.36
2012 110 -52.20 2724.84
2013 98 -64.20 4121.64
2014 300 137.80 18988.84
2016 23 -139.20 19376.64
2017 162 -0.20 0.04
Jumlah 1,460 69,170
Ymean 162.2
Standar Deviasi 93

Cv = 57%
Peluang 70% = 112.92
Peluang 75% = 98.04
Peluang 90% = 45.04
 CH (Xi-Ymean) (Xi-Ymean)²
Bulan

2008 188 32.67 1067.11

2009 79 -76.33 5826.78
2010 210 55.17 3043.36
2011 186 31.17 971.36
2012 111 -43.83 1921.36
2013 201 45.67 2085.44
2014 144 -10.83 117.36
2016 138 -16.83 283.36
2017 138 -16.83 283.36
Jumlah 1,394 15,600
Ymean 154.8
Standar Deviasi 44

Cv = 29%
Peluang 70% = 131.43
Peluang 75% = 124.36
Peluang 90% = 99.19