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02 Pronostico Mrtssales92 Present Revisado Matrices
02 Pronostico Mrtssales92 Present Revisado Matrices
02 Pronostico Mrtssales92 Present Revisado Matrices
𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸=(∑▒|(𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂)/𝑌_𝑡 | )/𝑇
0.070778976 5,094,049
0.142369889 28,100,606 ###
0.030516494 1,365,837 ###
0.022832442 799,774 ###
0.024658962 887,684 ###
0.021181319 684,285 ###
0.012882571 246,519 ###
0.037150908 1,906,883 ###
0.033328169 1,644,724 ###
0.03726244 1,908,350 ###
0.050918558 3,961,920 ###
0.027179618 1,067,739 ###
0.037350405 1,875,810 ###
0.172556161 58,563,713 ###
0.036128012 2,744,250 ###
0.050264866 5,880,763 ###
0.014367351 466,011 ###
0.013949989 452,108 ###
0.002760885 17,797 ###
0.06325155 8,261,831 ###
0.008540573 148,462 ###
0.049950721 4,608,244 ###
0.00617004 69,590 ###
0.032706844 1,834,019 ###
0.018593943 616,224 ###
0.127996594 38,373,703 ###
0.012787269 371,481 ###
0.030933129 2,316,022 ###
0.05775569 7,207,387 ###
0.002603495 14,756 ###
0.070513436 12,527,508 ###
0.061935802 8,546,453 ###
0.03519003 2,971,187 ###
0.101603119 20,381,911 ###
0.045606401 3,771,410 ###
0.022202168 856,956 ###
0.009158013 148,644 ###
0.114500923 29,622,840 ###
0.018566717 747,334 ###
0.047051109 5,288,915 ###
0.014757238 504,310 ###
0.025741605 1,617,580 ###
0.005654054 77,085 ###
0.076820128 12,274,761 ###
0.007391774 115,700 ###
0.097545818 16,721,706 ###
0.015550323 440,193 ###
0.012168293 262,935 ###
0.049322202 3,925,247 ###
0.122142628 31,298,417 ###
0.022454417 1,101,538 ###
0.065149783 10,601,051 ###
0.039511061 3,598,928 ###
0.022204105 1,190,666 ###
0.009230037 201,821 ###
0.070240446 10,207,750 ###
0.002480365 12,701 ###
0.129964116 27,313,658 ###
0.089771861 11,030,368 ###
0.142309057 21,318,696 ###
0.03020793 910,225 ###
0.140595513 26,728,675 ###
0.010819474 160,863 ###
0.101592529 17,564,453 ###
0.015556173 423,227 ###
0.024908938 1,140,561 ###
0.046872042 3,681,437 ###
0.118540437 18,855,176 ###
0.008169235 91,461 ###
0.120854263 15,927,844 ###
0.015416291 252,578 ###
0.086638459 6,760,105 ###
0.074558144 4,350,723 ###
0.134859133 19,074,296 ###
0.04944601 2,822,657 ###
0.09081283 11,495,470 ###
0.031889829 1,506,999 ###
0.008322397 100,822 ###
0.027252019 1,024,814 ###
0.023720146 741,637 ###
0.025430761 898,382 ###
0.089306462 9,327,541 ###
0.033490605 1,409,225 ###
0.034832945 1,421,655 ###
0.051632459 2,828,359 ###
0.124025286 21,311,788 ###
0.011791503 196,286 ###
0.04511638 3,150,033 ###
0.01799098 482,488 ###
0.005881945 51,008 ###
0.035550068 2,003,632 ###
0.00393586 24,719 ###
0.009279824 139,977 ###
0.039280683 2,321,176 ###
0.004408633 29,028 ###
0.021849058 682,932 ###
0.051768533 3,468,819 ###
0.126887761 27,393,357 ###
0.013554669 319,623 ###
0.106138864 24,515,093 ###
0.008760946 163,444 ###
0.009378195 190,916 ###
0.017935016 723,710 ###
0.073125239 10,439,611 ###
0.057359726 7,249,988 ###
0.117772383 24,406,721 ###
0.101587648 15,034,998 ###
0.015057333 341,864 ###
0.044940645 3,336,677 ###
0.035333147 2,212,417 Q=F(K,L)
0.02007165 742,451 S.A. CT=Pk*K
0.010165266 186,469 ###
0.022885299 903,659 Max Q, …. S.
0.01432715 364,873 ###
0.013415322 311,316 L(Q,Pk,Pl)
0.00493078 41,667 ###
0.015314898 414,646 Resolver L : Q(K,L)-
0.006190768 68,559 ###
0.012267207 275,857 ###
0.005816394 61,270 Min CT….. Sa
0.030505427 1,587,437 ###
###
5% 2,447.5 ###
60,000
50,000
40,000
Column D
30,000
Ymovil
Ysuave
20,000
10,000
0
Jan-10 Aug-10 Mar-11 Oct-11 May-12 Dec-12 Jul-13 Feb-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 Nov-15 Jun-16 Jan-17 Aug-17 Mar-18 Oct-18 May-19 Dec-19
Error Porcentual Absoluto Medio
Mean Absolute Percentage Error Suavizamiento
Valor
Año
Yt Movil 1 Movil 2- 12 Yestimado MAPE RMSE
Jan-10 37,660
Feb-10 38,267
Mar-10 38,339
Apr-10 38,658 𝑌 ̂_𝑡𝑀1=(∑▒𝑌_(𝑡−𝑏𝑙𝑜
May-10 38,659 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑚𝑜𝑣𝑖𝑙)
Jun-10 38,877
)/𝑇_(𝑏𝑙𝑜𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑚𝑜𝑣𝑖𝑙)
Jul-10 39,033 𝑌 ̂_𝑡𝑀2=(∑▒𝑌 ̂_(𝑡𝑀1−𝑏𝑙𝑜𝑞𝑢𝑒
Aug-10 39,402 𝑀2) )/𝑇_(𝑏𝑙𝑜𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑀2)
Sep-10 39,385
Oct-10 39,479
𝑌 ̂_𝑡=2∗𝑌 ̂_((𝑡−1)𝑀1)−𝑌 ̂_((𝑡−1)𝑀2)+2/(𝑇−1)
Nov-10 39,710 (𝑌 ̂_((𝑡−1)𝑀1)−𝑌 ̂_((𝑡−1)𝑀2))
Dec-10 39,508
Jan-11 39,658
Feb-11 40,382 𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸=(∑▒|(𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂)/𝑌_𝑡 | )/𝑇
Mar-11 40,536
Apr-11 40,624
May-11 41,050
Jun-11 41,540
Jul-11 41,516 𝑅𝑀𝑆𝐸=√((∑▒ 〖 (𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂) 〗 ^2 )/𝑇)
Aug-11 41,718
Sep-11 42,013
Oct-11 42,204
Nov-11 42,237
Dec-11 41,864
Jan-12 42,766
Feb-12 42,995
Mar-12 42,942
Apr-12 43,365
May-12 43,313
Jun-12 43,584 40,709
Jul-12 43,676 40,910
Aug-12 43,755 41,093
Sep-12 44,085 41,284
Oct-12 43,796 41,456
Nov-12 44,567 41,653
Dec-12 44,494 41,840
Jan-13 44,992 42,039
Feb-13 44,861 42,221
Mar-13 45,084 42,410
Apr-13 44,711 42,585
May-13 44,842 42,756
Jun-13 44,680 42,928
Jul-13 45,032 43,107
Aug-13 45,133 43,266
Sep-13 45,377 43,427
Oct-13 46,016 43,607
Nov-13 46,737 43,797
Dec-13 46,311 43,956
Jan-14 45,770 44,097
Feb-14 46,418 44,254
Mar-14 47,012 44,421
Apr-14 47,142 44,585
May-14 47,536 44,762
Jun-14 47,752 44,958
Jul-14 48,113 45,136
Aug-14 48,392 45,316
Sep-14 48,980 45,518
Oct-14 49,688 45,728
Nov-14 49,598 45,938 43,325
Dec-14 50,329 46,163 43,507 48,731 0.031759956 2,555,032
Jan-15 50,378
Feb-15 50,437
Mar-15 50,883
Apr-15 51,614
May-15 51,736
Jun-15 51,886
Jul-15 52,252
Aug-15 52,545
Sep-15 52,549
Oct-15 52,885
Nov-15 52,985
Dec-15 53,696
Jan-16 52,904
Feb-16 54,234
Mar-16 54,019
Apr-16 54,406
May-16 54,559
Jun-16 54,797
Jul-16 54,822
Aug-16 55,171
Sep-16 55,563
Oct-16 55,314
Nov-16 56,012
Dec-16 54,594
Jan-17 56,117
Feb-17 56,114
Mar-17 56,033
Apr-17 56,074
May-17 56,113
Jun-17 56,125
Jul-17 56,116
Aug-17 56,227
Sep-17 56,533
Oct-17 56,705
Nov-17 57,234
Dec-17 57,430
Jan-18 57,713
Feb-18 58,173
Mar-18 58,588
Apr-18 58,133
May-18 59,814
Jun-18 60,801
Jul-18 61,519
Aug-18 61,464
Sep-18 60,493
Oct-18 60,590
Nov-18 60,350
Dec-18 60,235
Jan-19 61,616
Feb-19 62,219
Mar-19 62,677
Apr-19 63,076
May-19 63,714
Jun-19 64,358
Jul-19 64,713
Aug-19 64,609
Sep-19 64,984
Oct-19 64,875
Nov-19 64,254
Dec-19 64,955
Jan-20 65,554
Feb-20 65,359
Pron Mar-20 0.0
MAPE 3.2% 1,598.4
𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸=(∑▒|(𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂)/𝑌_𝑡 | )/𝑇
En muestra N= 1
Fuera muestr N= 2
𝑌 ̂_𝑡𝑆𝑆=𝛼𝑌_𝑡+(1−𝛼)
(𝑌 ̂_(𝑠𝑠𝑡−1)+𝑌 ̂_(𝑠𝑑𝑡−1
𝑌 ̂_𝑡𝑆𝐷=𝛽(𝑌 ̂_𝑡𝑆𝑆−𝑌 ̂_(𝑡𝑆
𝑌 ̂_(𝑡𝑆𝐷−1)
𝑌 ̂_𝑡=𝑌 ̂_(𝑡𝑆𝑆−1
(𝑡𝑆𝐷−1)
0≤𝛼≤1
Q=F(K,L)
S.A. CT=Pk*K
Max Q, …. S.
L(Q,Pk,Pl)
Resolver L : Q(K,L)-
Min CT….. Sa
0.0
0.6% 223.8
〗 ^2 )/𝑇)
Q=f(k,L)
s.a.: CT=wL+rK
Max Q, s.a CT
Lag(Q,K,L) = f(k,l) - l(CT-wL-rK)
derivamos Lag, K, L, landa
=𝛼𝑌_𝑡+(1−𝛼)
𝑡−1)+𝑌 ̂_(𝑠𝑑𝑡−1))
𝛽(𝑌 ̂_𝑡𝑆𝑆−𝑌 ̂_(𝑡𝑆𝑆−1) )+(1−𝛽)
−1)
𝑌 ̂_𝑡=𝑌 ̂_(𝑡𝑆𝑆−1)+N𝑌 ̂_
(𝑡𝑆𝐷−1)
≤𝛼≤1 0≤𝛽≤1
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
Column D
20,000
10,000
0
Jan-10 Sep-10May-11 Jan-12 Sep-12May-13 Jan-14 Sep-14May-15 Jan-16 Sep-16May-17 Jan-18 Sep-18May-19 Jan-20
ALFA: GAMA: 0≤𝛼≤1
0.5 0.5 0≤𝛾≤1 Error Porcentual Absoluto Medio
componente componente Mean Absolute Percentage Error
Valor básico estacional
Año
Yt L S Yestimado MAPE RMSE
Jan-10 7,639 -660.1 𝐿_𝑡=𝛼(𝑌_𝑡−𝑆_(𝑡−𝑠) )+(1−𝛼)
Feb-10 7,854 -445.1 (𝐿_(𝑡−1))
Mar-10 7,773 -526.1 𝑆_𝑡=𝛾(𝑌_𝑡−𝐿_𝑡 )+(1−𝛾)(𝑆_(𝑡−𝑠))
Apr-10 7,162 -1137.1 𝑌 ̂_𝑡=𝐿_(𝑡−1)+𝑆_(𝑡−
May-10 7,613 -686.1 𝑚)
Jun-10 7,974 -325.1 𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸=(∑▒|(𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂)/𝑌_𝑡 | )/𝑇
Jul-10 7,960 -339.1
Aug-10 8,137 -162.1
Sep-10 7,654 -645.1
Oct-10 7,323 -976.1 𝑅𝑀𝑆𝐸=√((∑▒ 〖 (𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂) 〗 ^2 )/𝑇)
Nov-10 9,485 1185.9
Dec-10 13,015 8299.1 4715.9
Jan-11 7,585 8272.1 -674 7639.0 0.007119314 2,916
Feb-11 7,788
Mar-11 8,197
Apr-11 7,335
May-11 7,625
Jun-11 7,874
Jul-11 8,035
Aug-11 8,460
Sep-11 7,771
Oct-11 7,898
Nov-11 10,193
Dec-11 13,217
Jan-12 7,832
Feb-12 8,256
Mar-12 8,507
Apr-12 7,241
May-12 7,955
Jun-12 8,009
Jul-12 8,190
Aug-12 8,474
Sep-12 7,826
Oct-12 7,657
Nov-12 10,401
Dec-12 13,534
Jan-13 8,201
Feb-13 8,307
Mar-13 8,344
Apr-13 7,421
May-13 7,968
Jun-13 7,954
Jul-13 8,159
Aug-13 8,510
Sep-13 7,962
Oct-13 8,148
Nov-13 10,511
Dec-13 13,214
Jan-14 8,024
Feb-14 8,009
Mar-14 8,324
Apr-14 7,348
May-14 7,824
Jun-14 7,750
Jul-14 8,056
Aug-14 8,363
Sep-14 8,374
Oct-14 8,261
Nov-14 10,965
Dec-14 13,899
Jan-15 8,219
Feb-15 7,933
Mar-15 8,107
Apr-15 7,318
May-15 7,851
Jun-15 8,167
Jul-15 8,131
Aug-15 8,341
Sep-15 8,259
Oct-15 8,087
Nov-15 10,329
Dec-15 12,916
Jan-16 7,594
Feb-16 7,833
Mar-16 7,931
Apr-16 7,062
May-16 7,563
Jun-16 7,736
Jul-16 7,794
Aug-16 8,267
Sep-16 7,798
Oct-16 7,423
Nov-16 9,697
Dec-16 12,082
Jan-17 7,399
Feb-17 7,057
Mar-17 7,860
Apr-17 6,990
May-17 7,490
Jun-17 7,562
Jul-17 7,400
Aug-17 7,826
Sep-17 7,634
Oct-17 7,499
Nov-17 10,203
Dec-17 12,053
Jan-18 7,632
Feb-18 7,288
Mar-18 7,899
Apr-18 7,090
May-18 7,645
Jun-18 7,821
Jul-18 7,702
Aug-18 8,212
Sep-18 7,609
Oct-18 7,649
Nov-18 10,207
Dec-18 11,775
Jan-19 7,666
Feb-19 6,980
Mar-19 7,675
Apr-19 6,900
May-19 7,574
Jun-19 7,481
Jul-19 7,669
Aug-19 8,038
Sep-19 7,638
Oct-19 7,604
Nov-19 9,985
Dec-19 11,807
Jan-20 7,736
Feb-20 7,218
Pron Mar-20 0.0
MAPE 0.7% 54.0
𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸=(∑▒|(𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂)/𝑌_𝑡 | )/𝑇
𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸=(∑▒|(𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂)/𝑌_𝑡 | )/𝑇
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
Column D
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Jan-10 Aug-10 Mar-11 Oct-11 May-12 Dec-12 Jul-13 Feb-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 Nov-15 Jun-16 Jan-17 Aug-17 Mar-18 Oct-18 May-19 Dec-19
ALFA: Beta GAMA: 0≤𝛼≤1
0.5 0.5 0.5 Error Porcentual Absoluto Medio
componente componente Mean Absolute Percentage Error
Valor básico Tendencia estacional
Año
Yt L B S Yestimado MAPE RMSE
Jan-10 27,365 -1048.1
Feb-10 25,743 -2670.1
Mar-10 28,768 354.9
Apr-10 26,480 -1933.1
May-10 25,502 -2911.1
Jun-10 26,773 -1640.1 𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸=(∑▒|(𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂)/𝑌_𝑡 | )/𝑇
Jul-10 25,188 -3225.1
Aug-10 27,180 -1233.1
Sep-10 27,205 -1208.1
Oct-10 27,550 -863.1 𝑅𝑀𝑆𝐸=√((∑▒ 〖 (𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂) 〗 ^2 )/𝑇)
Nov-10 31,867 3453.9
Dec-10 41,336 28,413 0 12922.9
Jan-11 30,631 30,046 817 - 232 27,365 0.106624008 10,666,756
Feb-11 28,506
Mar-11 31,733
Apr-11 28,411
May-11 29,127
Jun-11 29,133
Jul-11 27,086
Aug-11 30,417
Sep-11 29,562
Oct-11 30,717
Nov-11 36,423
Dec-11 44,598
Jan-12 32,592
Feb-12 31,841
Mar-12 33,336
Apr-12 30,734
May-12 32,666
Jun-12 30,726
Jul-12 30,579
Aug-12 33,237
Sep-12 31,095
Oct-12 34,206
Nov-12 39,858
Dec-12 47,301
Jan-13 36,561
Feb-13 33,246
Mar-13 34,947
Apr-13 33,904
May-13 34,202
Jun-13 31,739
Jul-13 33,116
Aug-13 34,174
Sep-13 32,966
Oct-13 35,504
Nov-13 39,981
Dec-13 52,786
Jan-14 37,944
Feb-14 35,282
Mar-14 38,081
Apr-14 36,473
May-14 36,463
Jun-14 35,827
Jul-14 36,508
Aug-14 36,493
Sep-14 37,214
Oct-14 39,535
Nov-14 43,175
Dec-14 57,872
Jan-15 39,538
Feb-15 37,940
Mar-15 41,725
Apr-15 39,863
May-15 38,804
Jun-15 39,455
Jul-15 40,149
Aug-15 39,443
Sep-15 40,356
Oct-15 41,961
Nov-15 47,745
Dec-15 62,673
Jan-16 41,495
Feb-16 41,600
Mar-16 45,228
Apr-16 42,964
May-16 44,625
Jun-16 44,353
Jul-16 42,607
Aug-16 45,541
Sep-16 44,320
Oct-16 45,170
Nov-16 54,465
Dec-16 68,385
Jan-17 46,769
Feb-17 43,933
Mar-17 50,539
Apr-17 46,497
May-17 50,449
Jun-17 48,806
Jul-17 47,520
Aug-17 50,438
Sep-17 47,522
Oct-17 50,199
Nov-17 61,933
Dec-17 74,619
Jan-18 52,576
Feb-18 48,567
Mar-18 54,624
Apr-18 52,354
May-18 55,101
Jun-18 51,857
Jul-18 53,461
Aug-18 55,087
Sep-18 51,483
Oct-18 56,911
Nov-18 69,892
Dec-18 75,325
Jan-19 60,263
Feb-19 55,979
Mar-19 60,236
Apr-19 61,667
May-19 66,131
Jun-19 61,580
Jul-19 65,644
Aug-19 65,175
Sep-19 61,761
Oct-19 68,337
Nov-19 74,817
Dec-19 93,920
Jan-20 64,512
Feb-20 61,687
Pron Mar-20 0.0
MAPE 10.7% 3,266.0
𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸=(∑▒|(𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂)/𝑌_𝑡 | )/𝑇
𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸=(∑▒|(𝑌_𝑡−𝑌 ̂)/𝑌_𝑡 | )/𝑇
MULTIPLICATIVO
1) Se define un L base en el ultimo t del periodo previo =( 𝑌) ̅ del periodo previo (12 meses, o 4 trimestres)
2) Se define S para cada t del periodo previo = Yt-Lbase
〗 ^2 )/𝑇)
eses, o 4 trimestres)
𝛽(𝐿_𝑡−𝐿_(𝑡−1) )+(1−𝛽)(𝐵_(𝑡−1))
̂_𝑡=𝐿_(𝑡−1)+𝑚𝐵_(𝑡−1)+𝑆_(𝑡−𝑚−𝑆)
0≤𝛾≤1
eses, o 4 trimestres)
𝛽(𝐿_𝑡−𝐿_(𝑡−1) )+(1−𝛽)(𝐵_(𝑡−1))
̂_𝑡=(𝐿_(𝑡−1)+𝑚𝐵_(𝑡−1))𝑆_(𝑡−𝑚−𝑆)
100,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
Column D
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
Jan-10 Aug-10 Mar-11 Oct-11 May-12 Dec-12 Jul-13 Feb-14 Sep-14 Apr-15 Nov-15 Jun-16 Jan-17 Aug-17 Mar-18 Oct-18 May-19 Dec-19
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2019
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual R
https://www.census.gov/retail/index.html
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
For surveyed Retail companies, approximately 52.1% provided data for this reporting period, resulting in a total quantity response rate of 66.9% for sales.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2019
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(S) Suppressed - Estimate does not meet publication standards because of high sampling variability (coefficient of variation is greater than 30%), poor response quality (total quantity response rate
is less than 50%), or other concerns about the estimate's quality.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2018
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(S) Suppressed - Estimate does not meet publication standards because of high sampling variability (coefficient of variation is greater than 30%), poor response quality (total quantity response rate
is less than 50%), or other concerns about the estimate's quality.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
(S) Suppressed - Estimate does not meet publication standards because of high sampling variability (coefficient of variation is greater than 30%), poor response quality (total quantity response rate
is less than 50%), or other concerns about the estimate's quality.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2016
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2015
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2014
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2013
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2012
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2011
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2010
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2009
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2008
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2007
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2006
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2005
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2004
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2003
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2002
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2001
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. Retail and food services total and other subsector totals may include data for kinds of business not shown.
Information on sample design, estimation procedures, and measures of sampling variability can be found on the internet at http://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/how_surveys_are_collected.html.
Estimates of Monthly Retail and Food Services Sales by Kind of Business: 2000
[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Annual Retail Trade Survey, Service Annual Survey, and administrative records]
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.
(1) GAFO represents stores classified in the following NAICS codes: 442, 443, 448, 451, 452, and 4532. NAICS code 4532 includes office supplies, stationery, and gift stores.
(2) Estimates are adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Cumulative seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated.