date période (x) DER(y) MM(3) Ft

10/8/2021 1 16.03 14.921

10/11/2021 2 15.565 14.949

10/12/2021 3 15.36 14.977

10/13/2021 4 15.23 15.65167 15.006
10/14/2021 5 15.34 15.385 15.034
10/15/2021 6 15.495 15.31 15.062
10/18/2021 7 15.23 15.355 15.091
10/19/2021 8 15 15.355 15.119
10/20/2021 9 15.02 15.24167 15.147
10/21/2021 10 15.275 15.08333 15.176
10/22/2021 11 15.26 15.09833 15.204
10/25/2021 12 15.35 15.185 15.232
10/26/2021 13 15.495 15.295 15.2609
10/27/2021 14 15.52 15.36833 15.289
10/28/2021 15 15.53 15.455 15.317
10/29/2021 16 15.655 15.515 15.345
11/1/2021 17 15.745 15.56833 15.374
11/2/2021 18 15.505 15.64333 15.402
11/3/2021 19 15.51 15.635 15.43
11/4/2021 20 15.36 15.58667 15.459
11/5/2021 21 15.43 15.45833 15.487
11/8/2021 22 15.355 15.43333 15.515
11/9/2021 23 15.795 15.38167 15.543
11/10/2021 24 16.35 15.52667 15.572
11/11/2021 25 16.405 15.83333 15.6
11/12/2021 26 16.12 16.18333 15.628
11/15/2021 27 16.25 16.29167 15.657
11/16/2021 28 15.925 16.25833 15.685 prévisi
11/17/2021 29 16.045 16.09833 15.713 M
20
11/18/2021 30 15.805 16.07333 15.742
18
11/19/2021 31 15.87 15.925 15.77
16
11/22/2021 32 16.07 15.90667 15.798
11/23/2021 33 16.04 15.915 15.826 14

11/24/2021 34 15.79 15.99333 15.855 12

11/25/2021 35 15.685 15.96667 15.883 10
DER

11/26/2021 36 15.475 15.83833 15.911 8

11/29/2021 37 15.17 15.65 15.94 6
11/30/2021 38 14.62 15.44333 15.968 4
12/1/2021 39 14.8 15.08833 15.996 2
12/2/2021 40 14.546 14.86333 16.025
0
12/3/2021 41 14.64 14.65533 16.053 0 20 4
12/6/2021 42 15.21 14.662 16.081
12/7/2021 43 15.135 14.79867 16.109
DER(y)
12/8/2021 44 14.945 14.995 16.138
12/9/2021 45 15.145 15.09667 16.166
12/10/2021 46 15.58 15.075 16.194
12/13/2021 47 15.965 15.22333 16.223
12/14/2021 48 16.065 15.56333 16.251
12/15/2021 49 15.205 15.87 16.279
12/16/2021 50 15.25 15.745 16.308
12/20/2021 51 15.625 15.50667 16.336 prévision avec la mé
12/21/2021 52 15.76 15.36 16.364
12/22/2021 53 15.62 15.545 16.392
12/23/2021 54 15.715 15.66833 16.421 20

12/24/2021 55 15.645 15.69833 16.449 18

12/27/2021 56 15.745 15.66 16.477 16
12/28/2021 57 15.915 15.70167 16.506 14
12/29/2021 58 15.955 15.76833 16.534 12
12/30/2021 59 16.015 15.87167 16.562 10
12/31/2021 60 16.105 15.96167 16.591 8
1/3/2022 61 16.12 16.025 16.619
6
1/4/2022 62 16.415 16.08 16.647
4
1/5/2022 63 17.25 16.21333 16.675
2
1/6/2022 64 18.335 16.595 16.704
0
1/7/2022 65 18.355 17.33333 16.732 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34
1/10/2022 66 17.67 17.98 16.76
1/11/2022 67 17.855 18.12 16.789 D

1/12/2022 68 17.855 17.96 16.817

1/13/2022 69 17.67 17.79333 16.845
1/14/2022 70 17.665 17.79333 16.874
1/17/2022 71 17.86 17.73 16.902
1/18/2022 72 17.625 17.73167 16.93
1/19/2022 73 17.47 17.71667 16.958
1/20/2022 74 17.5 17.65167 16.987
1/21/2022 75 17.56 17.53167 17.015
1/24/2022 76 17.395 17.51 17.043
1/25/2022 77 17.48 17.485 17.072
1/26/2022 78 17.5 17.47833 17.1
1/27/2022 79 17.825 17.45833 17.128
1/28/2022 80 17.87 17.60167 17.157
1/31/2022 81 16.92 17.73167 17.185
2/1/2022 82 17.2 17.53833 17.213
2/2/2022 83 17 17.33 17.241
2/3/2022 84 16.915 17.04 17.27
2/4/2022 85 16.77 17.03833 17.298
2/7/2022 86 16.915 16.895 17.326
2/8/2022 87 17.25 16.86667 17.355
2/9/2022 88 17.07 16.97833 17.383
2/10/2022 89 17.15 17.07833 17.411
2/11/2022 90 17.14 17.15667 17.44
2/14/2022 91 17.205 17.12 17.468
2/15/2022 92 17.295 17.165 17.496
2/16/2022 93 17.185 17.21333 17.524
2/17/2022 94 18.015 17.22833 17.553
2/18/2022 95 18.18 17.49833 17.581
2/21/2022 96 17.84 17.79333 17.609
2/22/2022 97 17.96 18.01167 17.638
2/23/2022 98 18.075 17.99333 17.666
2/24/2022 99 17.64 17.95833 17.694
2/25/2022 100 17.94 17.89167 17.723
2/28/2022 17.885 17.751

50.5 16.32201
 Société "Carrefour"

méthode de la projection de la tendance ( Trend Projection)

Column 1 Column 2
Column 1 833.25 841.6667
Column 2 23.823845 1.085612

x bar : 50,5
y bar : 16,32201

cov(x;y)=23,823845 v(x)=841,666666666667

a=0,0283
b=14,893

Y(101)=0,0283*101+14,893
prévision (28/02)=17,751 EUR

prévision avec la méthode Moyenne

Mobile (Moving Average )

20 40 60 80 100 120
période

DER(y) MM(3) Exponential (MM(3))

MM(28/02)=17,885 EUR
 prévision avec la méthode de la projection de la tendance (Trend
projection)

7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100

DER(y) Ft Exponential (Ft)

prévision (28/02)=17,751 EUR